CN107784451A - A kind of Air Logistics SC risk identification and appraisal procedure - Google Patents
A kind of Air Logistics SC risk identification and appraisal procedure Download PDFInfo
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- CN107784451A CN107784451A CN201711102325.0A CN201711102325A CN107784451A CN 107784451 A CN107784451 A CN 107784451A CN 201711102325 A CN201711102325 A CN 201711102325A CN 107784451 A CN107784451 A CN 107784451A
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Abstract
The invention discloses a kind of Air Logistics SC risk identification and appraisal procedure, comprise the following steps：S01, the weights parsing of AHP methods, with Hierarchy Analysis Method, efficiency, quality, cost, service level and the relative weight for trusting five risk factors that judge opinion input according to the researcher and manager in multidigit Air Logistics field will be calculated under Air Logistics SC risk assessment general objective about data, respectively a, b, c, d and e, wherein the summation of five relative weights is 1；The weight resolving of S02, ANP method, the weights of four Risk Dimensions under five risk factors are calculated using AHP methods.A kind of Air Logistics SC risk identification and appraisal procedure of the present invention, from overall angle research Air Logistics SC risk identification and appraisal procedure, Air Logistics supply chain operation risk can be assessed, it is possible to increase Air Logistics business managing ability and competitiveness.
Description
Technical field
The present invention relates to a kind of Air Logistics SC risk identification and appraisal procedure, belong to supply chain logisticses field.
Background technology
In recent ten years, with the continuous expansion of information technology application scope, the competitive environment day of enterprise's survival and development
Become complicated and changeable, the increasingly intensification of domestic and international Aviation Enterprise degree of cooperation, the development of Aviation Logistics Service demand is swift and violent to be increased, aviation
Loglstics enterprise has occupied critical role during the national economic development.Important composition portion of the Air Logistics as the tertiary industry
Point, there is stronger motive force for economic development, but because related facility equipment and policy are with respect to imperfection, the risk brought is asked
Topic also becomes abnormal sharp.How correctly to identify influences the factor of Air Logistics risk, assesses Risk Results and proposes to improve wind
Dangerous countermeasure, it is the important topic of Air Logistics area research.
Research of the foreign study person to SC risk is concentrated mainly on the fragility, uncertain factor, fortune of supply chain
Row interrupt etc., and then the research emphasis for summarizing SC risk factor be embodied in environmental risk, Requirements Risks, disruption risk,
Policy risk etc..Risk assessment is work most challenging in risk management, mainly using point system, semidefinite quantization method,
Frequency-domain analysis method etc..Research of the domestic scholars to SC risk relatively lags behind, but also achieves more achievement in research.Risk
Factor identification such as supply chain network is destroyed, endogenous risk and exogenous risk, profit distribution risk, methods of risk assessment are such as entrusted
Agency, Bayesian network, fuzzy comprehensive evoluation, coefficient of variation etc..Found from existing lot of documents, SC risk research
Achievement is more, but lacks systematicness, depending on the content of research is also not comprehensive enough, while Qualitative research method is more in research method
Amount method deficiency, the analysis especially for Air Logistics SC risk are only embodied in middle part airport Air Logistics risk, wealth
The less data such as risk of being engaged in, it is impossible to meet the needs of for Air Logistics risk management.
The content of the invention
The technical problem to be solved in the present invention is overcome the deficiencies in the prior art, there is provided one kind can be comprehensively to aviation thing
The Air Logistics SC risk identification and appraisal procedure that stream supply chain operation risk is assessed.
In order to solve the above technical problems, the technical solution adopted by the present invention is：
A kind of Air Logistics SC risk identification and appraisal procedure, comprise the following steps：
The weights parsing of S01, AHP method, with Hierarchy Analysis Method, according to multidigit Air Logistics field researcher and
Efficiency, the matter that the judge opinion input of manager will be calculated under Air Logistics SC risk assessment general objective about data
Amount, cost, service level and the relative weight for trusting five risk factors, respectively a, b, c, d and e, wherein five relative power
The summation of value is 1；
The weight resolving of S02, ANP method,；Four risks under five risk factors are calculated using AHP methods
The weights of dimension.
S02 specifically includes following several steps：
Step 1：The judgment matrix of risk assessment dimension and risks and assumptions is constructed, calculates the maximum feature of each judgment matrix
Characteristic vector corresponding to value, and do normalized and consistency check.If it is determined that matrix goes to step by consistency check
Rapid 2；If it is determined that matrix re-starts step 1 not over consistency check；
Step 2：Ordering vector using characteristic vector as the network risks factor, obtain relative to other risk assessment factors
Ordering vector；
Step 3：The interactional ordering vector of the all-network layer risk assessment factor is combined, obtains unweighted
Hypermatrix；
Step 4：Judgment matrix is multiplied to obtain weighting hypermatrix with unweighted hypermatrix；
Step 5：For the interdependent and feedback relationship between the reflection risk assessment factor, weighting hypermatrix is carried out at stability
Reason；
Step 6：On the basis of hypermatrix is weighted, the final power of each evaluation factor of Air Logistics SC risk is calculated
Value.
In S01, telephone interview or the form of interview is taken to obtain the judge opinion of researcher and manager.
In S01, using the market sensitiveness, information-driven, Process integration and logistics network connectedness as Guangxi Aviation logistics
Four dimensions under SC risk factor.
The market sensitiveness passes through the integrality (CD) of airfreight, satisfaction of consignor (Os), the punctual rate of flight (FPR)
Weighed with four risks and assumptions of work capacity (OA).
The logistics network connectedness means that Air Logistics realize connection on space structure, passes through city numbers of opening the navigation or air flight
(NCN) airline's quantity (NC) and three risks and assumptions of flight density (FD), are runed to weigh.
Beneficial effects of the present invention：A kind of Air Logistics SC risk identification provided by the invention and appraisal procedure, from
Overall angle research Air Logistics SC risk identification and appraisal procedure, Air Logistics supply chain operation risk can be carried out
Assess, it is possible to increase Air Logistics business managing ability and competitiveness.
Embodiment
The present invention is further described below, and following examples are only used for the technical side for clearly illustrating the present invention
Case, and can not be limited the scope of the invention with this.
Analytic network process (ANP) on the basis of Hierarchy Analysis Method (AHP) systematically, this method is more accurately retouched
The relation that decision-making is interdepended and fed back between objective things has been stated, has constructed the decision-making based on interests, chance, cost and risk
Pattern.Therefore, herein in conjunction with respective advantage during AHP and ANP method process problems, the assessment of Air Logistics SC risk is established
Built-up pattern.
The present invention is solved to the weight of the risk assessment factor with independence using AHP methods, to mutually according to
The risks and assumptions weight for the relation of relying is solved using ANP methods, and detailed process is as follows.
1st, the weights parsing of AHP methods.With Hierarchy Analysis Method, researcher and pipe according to multidigit Air Logistics field
The judge opinion of reason person inputs relevant data, the form of telephone interview or interview is taken, by the market sensitiveness, information-driven, stream
Cheng Jicheng and logistics network connectedness are as the four dimensions under Guangxi Aviation logistics supply chain risk factors.Wherein city's field sensitive
Property is the quick reflection to actual demand, passes through the integrality (CD) of airfreight, satisfaction of consignor (Os), the punctual rate of flight
(FPR) weighed with four risks and assumptions of work capacity (OA).Logistics network connectedness means Air Logistics on space structure
Connection is realized, passes through city numbers of opening the navigation or air flight (NCN), operation airline's quantity (NC) and three risks and assumptions of flight density (FD)
To weigh.Efficiency, quality, cost, service level and letter under Air Logistics SC risk assessment general objective will be calculated
The relative weight of wantonly five risk factors, respectively a, b, c, d and e, wherein the summation of five relative weights is 1.
2nd, the weight resolving of ANP methods.Between each risks and assumptions under identical Risk Dimensions have mutually according to
Deposit and feedback relationship, therefore the weights of four Risk Dimensions under five risk factors, specific steps are calculated using AHP methods
It is as follows in detail：
Step 1：The judgment matrix of risk assessment dimension and risks and assumptions is constructed, calculates the maximum feature of each judgment matrix
Characteristic vector corresponding to value, and do normalized and consistency check.If it is determined that matrix goes to step by consistency check
Rapid 2；If it is determined that matrix re-starts step 1 not over consistency check.
Step 2：Ordering vector using characteristic vector as the network risks factor, obtain relative to other risk assessment factors
Ordering vector.
Step 3：The interactional ordering vector of the all-network layer risk assessment factor is combined, obtains unweighted
Hypermatrix.
Step 4：Judgment matrix is multiplied to obtain weighting hypermatrix with unweighted hypermatrix.
Step 5：For the interdependent and feedback relationship between the reflection risk assessment factor, weighting hypermatrix is carried out at stability
Reason.
Step 6：On the basis of hypermatrix is weighted, the final power of each evaluation factor of Air Logistics SC risk is calculated
Value.
Described above is only the preferred embodiment of the present invention, it should be pointed out that：For the ordinary skill people of the art
For member, under the premise without departing from the principles of the invention, some improvements and modifications can also be made, these improvements and modifications also should
It is considered as protection scope of the present invention.
Claims (6)
1. a kind of Air Logistics SC risk identification and appraisal procedure, it is characterised in that：Comprise the following steps：
The weights parsing of S01, AHP method, with Hierarchy Analysis Method, researcher and management according to multidigit Air Logistics field
Person judge opinion input about data by be calculated Air Logistics SC risk assess general objective under efficiency, quality,
Cost, service level and the relative weight for trusting five risk factors, respectively a, b, c, d and e, wherein five relative weights
Summation is 1；
The weight resolving of S02, ANP method,；Four Risk Dimensions under five risk factors are calculated using AHP methods
Weights.
2. a kind of Air Logistics SC risk identification according to claim 1 and appraisal procedure, it is characterised in that：S02
Specifically include following several steps：
Step 1：The judgment matrix of risk assessment dimension and risks and assumptions is constructed, calculates the eigenvalue of maximum pair of each judgment matrix
The characteristic vector answered, and do normalized and consistency check.If it is determined that matrix goes to step 2 by consistency check；
If it is determined that matrix re-starts step 1 not over consistency check；
Step 2：Ordering vector using characteristic vector as the network risks factor, obtains the row relative to other risk assessment factors
Sequence vector；
Step 3：The interactional ordering vector of the all-network layer risk assessment factor is combined, obtains the super square of unweighted
Battle array；
Step 4：Judgment matrix is multiplied to obtain weighting hypermatrix with unweighted hypermatrix；
Step 5：For the interdependent and feedback relationship between the reflection risk assessment factor, disposal of stability is carried out to weighting hypermatrix；
Step 6：On the basis of hypermatrix is weighted, the final weights of each evaluation factor of Air Logistics SC risk are calculated.
3. a kind of Air Logistics SC risk identification according to claim 1 and appraisal procedure, it is characterised in that：S01
In, take telephone interview or the form of interview to obtain the judge opinion of researcher and manager.
4. a kind of Air Logistics SC risk identification according to claim 1 and appraisal procedure, it is characterised in that：S01
In, using the market sensitiveness, information-driven, Process integration and logistics network it is connective as Guangxi Aviation logistics supply chain risk because
Four dimensions under element.
5. a kind of Air Logistics SC risk identification according to claim 4 and appraisal procedure, it is characterised in that：It is described
The market sensitiveness passes through the integrality (CD) of airfreight, satisfaction of consignor (Os), the punctual rate of flight (FPR) and work capacity
(OA) four risks and assumptions are weighed.
6. a kind of Air Logistics SC risk identification according to claim 4 and appraisal procedure, it is characterised in that：It is described
Logistics network connectedness means that Air Logistics realize connection on space structure, is navigated by city numbers of opening the navigation or air flight (NCN), operation
Empty company's quantity (NC) and flight density (FD) three risks and assumptions are weighed.
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Cited By (3)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN110347972A (en) * | 2019-06-13 | 2019-10-18 | 西安交通大学 | The weight sets of electromechanical special safety equipment assessment indicator system combines quantization method |
| CN113222358A (en) * | 2021-04-23 | 2021-08-06 | 北京国信云服科技有限公司 | Logistics risk assessment model method, device, equipment and medium based on dynamic Bayesian network |
| WO2022041267A1 (en) * | 2020-08-31 | 2022-03-03 | 苏州大成电子科技有限公司 | Method for identifying and evaluating rail transit operation and maintenance logistics supply chain risk |
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| CN104299067A (en) * | 2014-08-21 | 2015-01-21 | 太仓中科信息技术研究院 | Quantifiable enterprise development situation evaluation model |
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Cited By (3)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN110347972A (en) * | 2019-06-13 | 2019-10-18 | 西安交通大学 | The weight sets of electromechanical special safety equipment assessment indicator system combines quantization method |
| WO2022041267A1 (en) * | 2020-08-31 | 2022-03-03 | 苏州大成电子科技有限公司 | Method for identifying and evaluating rail transit operation and maintenance logistics supply chain risk |
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