CN107742127A - A kind of improved anti-electricity-theft intelligent early-warning system and method - Google Patents

A kind of improved anti-electricity-theft intelligent early-warning system and method Download PDF

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CN107742127A
CN107742127A CN201710973947.4A CN201710973947A CN107742127A CN 107742127 A CN107742127 A CN 107742127A CN 201710973947 A CN201710973947 A CN 201710973947A CN 107742127 A CN107742127 A CN 107742127A
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stealing
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CN107742127B (en
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郭昆亚
李钊
范士新
任相儒
赵明江
丛培元
孙刚
原晨
曹丽娜
蔡明玖
陈硕
常将
李耀宗
宁亮
曹智
余仰淇
孙岩
孙爽莹
高潇
陈坤
韩月
兰亮
韩天阳
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State Grid Corp of China SGCC
State Grid Information and Telecommunication Co Ltd
State Grid Liaoning Electric Power Co Ltd
Electric Power Research Institute of State Grid Liaoning Electric Power Co Ltd
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State Grid Corp of China SGCC
State Grid Information and Telecommunication Co Ltd
State Grid Liaoning Electric Power Co Ltd
Electric Power Research Institute of State Grid Liaoning Electric Power Co Ltd
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Abstract

The present invention discloses a kind of improved anti-electricity-theft intelligent early-warning system and method, belongs to intelligent grid informatization.The system includes data source modules, memory module, diagnostic module, warning module.This method establishes user's electricity stealing probability big data analysis model, by multi dimensional analysis, precisely identify doubtful stealing user, applied to the business of opposing electricity-stealing, solve manually to carry out opposing electricity-stealing at present monitoring, analysis, the investigation bottleneck that workload is big, precision is low, for a live line power utility check and the personnel that oppose electricity-stealing precisely, efficiently development oppose electricity-stealing and analyze and investigation work provides reliable technical support.After configuration setting, without artificial interference, Autonomy carries out precisely analysis and early warning to power system electricity stealing;Solve manually to carry out oppose electricity-stealing monitoring, analysis, the investigation bottleneck that workload is big, precision is low at present, lift the reasonability and accuracy of managing power network resources.

Description

A kind of improved anti-electricity-theft intelligent early-warning system and method
Technical field
The invention belongs to intelligent grid informatization, more particularly to a kind of improved anti-electricity-theft intelligent early-warning system and Method.
Background technology
In recent years, as the continuous development quickly propelled with science and technology of market economy, stealing electricity phenomenon are still prohibited not repeatly Absolutely, stealing scope is wide, Ren Yuanduo, quantity are big, and professional, intelligent spreading trend is presented, situation of opposing electricity-stealing very severe, this Intelligent electricity anti-theft early warning system is directed to establishing wisdom energy system, technology and the system of power grid enterprises, establishes power business profit The ecosystem of beneficial relative benign cycle and value win-win.
At present with producing abnormal alarm data largely relevant with stealing in extraction system, line loss system, but may not report Warn and there is stealing problem, it is impossible to accomplished manually to be analyzed from door to door or each household all arrives scene investigation, prior art application What the A of publication No. CN 106291253 were analyzed based on the event data to acquisition terminal and electric energy meter generation, place one's entire reliance upon Acquisition terminal and electric energy meter are to the record information of event, and data acquisition channel and analysis mode are excessively single, and this results in work as and adopted When collecting terminal and electric energy meter event data record inaccuracy, very big error is caused to analysis result, when time record data is lost When, stealing analysis can not be carried out.
Based on above mentioned problem, user's electricity stealing probability big data analysis model need to be established, by multi dimensional analysis, precisely Doubtful stealing user is identified, applied to the business of opposing electricity-stealing, solves manually to carry out oppose electricity-stealing monitoring, analysis, investigation workload at present Greatly, the low bottleneck of precision, oppose electricity-stealing analysis and investigation precisely, are efficiently carried out for one line power utility check of scene and the personnel that oppose electricity-stealing Work provides reliable technical support.
The content of the invention
In view of the shortcomings of the prior art, it is an object of the invention to provide a kind of improved anti-electricity-theft intelligent early-warning system, match somebody with somebody Install after determining, without artificial interference, Autonomy carries out precisely analysis and early warning to power system electricity stealing;Solves current people Work oppose electricity-stealing monitoring, analysis, the investigation bottleneck that workload is big, precision is low, lifted managing power network resources reasonability and Accuracy.
To achieve these goals, an aspect of of the present present invention provides a kind of improved anti-electricity-theft intelligent early-warning system, should System includes data source modules, memory module, diagnostic module, warning module, and wherein data source modules are connected with memory module, deposited Storage module is connected with diagnostic module, and diagnostic module is connected with warning module.
The data source modules:It is the data source of analysis and warning data, the module passes through collecting device, vocational window Electric power associated traffic data is obtained etc. mode.
The memory module:Storage obtains to obtain archives class data, exception class data, measurement class number from each system of data source According to the sample data in, credit data and sample storehouse etc..
The diagnostic module:It is the core of abnormal data screening and analysis, is based primarily upon a diagnostic model and two Secondary diagnostic model, abnormal data is carried out gradually to screen and position.Pass through abnormal data and file data, metric data, sample Storehouse data are associated and compared analysis, the doubtful stealing user of precise positioning.
The warning module:By visualized graph interface and report interface to a live line power utility check and the people that opposes electricity-stealing Member provides the warning information of doubtful stealing user, and reliable skill is provided precisely, efficiently to carry out to oppose electricity-stealing analysis and investigate and prosecute work Art supports.
To achieve these goals, another aspect provides a kind of improved anti-electricity-theft intelligent early-warning method, This method comprises the following steps:
Step 1:By data source modules, custom power information acquisition terminal information, including user's electric energy meter record are obtained Electricity, electric current, electric power, the implementation information such as load, pass through operation system window typing geographic information data, files on each of customers is believed Breath, metering device archive information and harvester archive information etc..
Step 2:Dependency number is obtained by data memory module, power information acquisition system is per diem obtained and freezes day to count According to, monthly obtain sales service marketing application system, GIS-Geographic Information System, magnanimity file data information, the credit of line loss system Data, abnormal data, line loss data etc..
Step 3:" stealing coupling index system " model is built, data are analyzed, handle the corresponding index spy of generation Value indicative.Index feature value includes:Electricity trend, capacity conversion, line loss trend, decompression, defluidization, backward walking, uncap, unpack, electromagnetism Interference etc..
" the stealing coupling index system " model, Liaoning electric power saving is netted according to measuring principle/stealing mode and with reference to state The characteristics of Co., Ltd's user's stealing, to stealing user over the years in the number such as collection, the electricity of marketing system, voltage, electric current, alarm According to reversely being analyzed, stealing coupling index system is determined, meets that electricity stealing diagnosis requires that specific targets are as follows with identification:
(1) electric quantity change
" electric quantity change index " can react the feature that stealing is carried out by changing measurement loop, and the feature as model refers to Mark, the industry-specific user in portion may cause erroneous judgement in the Spring Festival and long false data, it is necessary to reject to result;Its quantitative formula is
Wherein kl is same day downward trend index, and fi is same day electricity, and fl is front and rear several days electricity, and α i are weight, before d is Number of days afterwards.
(2) line loss changes
Line loss growth rate Y and theory wire loss are compared into difference G and are weighted processing to quantify line losses indices.
E=α Y+ β G
Wherein α is weight shared by Y, and β is weight shared by G.
(3) decompression
Abnormal frequency is more, and the alarm reliability is higher, the accounting of abnormity point will occur in the cycle as model Characteristic index, its quantitative formula are
Wherein K counts to be abnormal, and Q counts for valid data.
(4) defluidization
Abnormal frequency is more, and the alarm reliability is higher, the accounting of abnormity point will occur in the cycle as model Characteristic index, its quantitative formula are
Wherein K counts to be abnormal, and Q counts for valid data.
(5) uncap, unpack, backward walking, electromagnetic interference
The alarm of event class (is uncapped, unpacked, magnetic interference):Alarm class event whether is produced in the measuring point cycle and enters row index Quantification treatment
Electricity exception class alerts (backward walking):Quantification of targets processing is carried out according to backward walking number in the measuring point cycle
K is record number in the nearly cycle
(6) stealing, arrearage
Stealing/arrearage record number will occur in nearest 3 years and carry out quantification of targets processing
K is to occur within nearly 3 years to disobey to steal (arrearage) record number
Step 4:By diagnostic module, system passes through in judgment models of index feature value input pointer of generation Neural network algorithm determines whether doubtful stealing information, the step initial analysis abnormal data and doubtful stealing data, reduces The pseudo- stealing information caused by gathered data quality problems.
Data judgment models (the preliminary doubtful stealing user model of examination):
At present with producing abnormal alarm data largely relevant with stealing in extraction system, line loss system, but may not alarm It there is stealing problem, it is impossible to it is artificial to be analyzed from door to door or each household all arrive scene investigation, big data need to be used to excavate calculation Method carries out data mining and examination goes out doubtful stealing user.The present invention is opposed electricity-stealing using sorting algorithm and processing business, selection are determined Plan tree method, method are as follows:
(1) " electricity, line loss judge " node, if it is judged that meeting decision rule, is then used for the doubtful stealing of one-level Family, into device exception decision node, if it is judged that it is then normal not meet, next node judgement is not entered.
【Rule of judgment:Electric quantity change>Threshold value 1 or line loss change>Threshold value 2】
(2) " electricity, line loss judge " node is judged to the result met, " device judges extremely " node is brought into, if sentenced Disconnected result meets decision rule, then is the doubtful user of two level, into " arrearage, stealing judge " node, if it is judged that not being inconsistent Conjunction is then that the node is normal, does not enter next node judgement.
【Rule of judgment:Decompression index>Threshold value 3 or defluidization index>Threshold value 4 or event index=1】
(3) " device judges extremely " node is judged to the result met, " arrearage, stealing judge " node is brought into, if sentenced Disconnected result meets judgment rule, then is the doubtful user of three-level, is judged as stealing substantially, if it is judged that not meeting, is, should Node is normal.
【Rule of judgment:Stealing index>Threshold value 5 or arrearage index>Threshold value 6】
Step 5:By diagnostic module, system once doubtful stealing information will be inputted in secondary judgment models, further fixed The doubtful stealing user in position.
Further to improve the accuracy of doubtful stealing user anticipation, used greatly for the doubtful stealing user of preliminary examination Whether the electricity consumption track that data analysis technique further verifies the user deviate from normal electricity consumption track, if the deviation from then Further confirm that the user has stealing suspicion.
The normal electricity consumption track of user is found it is necessary to by the substantial amounts of day power load curve of user's history cluster Go out.The system clusters big data analytical technology using K-Means.
Confirm whether user deviate from normal electricity consumption track, be exactly that the daily load curve of the family monitoring cycle is same with it The normal characteristics curve in season is drawn after being compared.The system is using discrete Fu Leixie apart from big data analytical technology (being used to calculate different similarity of curves) is compared, and analyzes the drift rate of its electricity consumption behavior, so as to which further positioning is doubted Like stealing user.
Step 6:Element is alerted in a manner of information notice information system, early warning is initiated to doubtful stealing user, by With inspection, personnel carry out on-site verification, evidence obtaining, investigation and feedback, final to determine stealing user, and realization is remedied electricity, the electricity charge, retrieved The economic loss of Utilities Electric Co..
Beneficial effect
The present invention establishes user's electricity stealing probability big data analysis model, by multi dimensional analysis, precisely identifies doubtful Stealing user, applied to the business of opposing electricity-stealing, solve manually to carry out at present to oppose electricity-stealing monitoring, analysis, investigate workload greatly, precision Low bottleneck, precisely, efficiently carry out to oppose electricity-stealing analysis and investigate and prosecute work providing for a live line power utility check and the personnel that oppose electricity-stealing Reliable technical support.After configuration setting, without artificial interference, Autonomy is precisely analyzed power system electricity stealing And early warning;Solve manually to carry out oppose electricity-stealing monitoring, analysis, the investigation bottleneck that workload is big, precision is low at present, lifting power network money The reasonability and accuracy of source control.
Brief description of the drawings
Fig. 1 is the improved anti-electricity-theft intelligent early-warning system frame diagram of one kind provided by the invention.
Fig. 2 is a determination methods flow chart provided by the invention.
Fig. 3, which is that one kind provided by the invention is secondary, judges load curve comparison chart.
Embodiment
As shown in figure 1, the invention provides a kind of improved anti-electricity-theft intelligent early-warning system, the system includes data source mould Block, memory module, diagnostic module, warning module, wherein data source modules are connected with memory module, memory module and diagnostic module It is connected, diagnostic module is connected with warning module.
The data source modules:It is the data source of analysis and warning data, the module passes through collecting device, vocational window Electric power associated traffic data, including sales service application system, power information acquisition system, line loss management system of local electric network are obtained etc. mode Data.
The memory module:Storage obtains to obtain archives class data, exception class data, measurement class number from each system of data source According to the sample data in, credit data and sample storehouse etc..
The diagnostic module:It is the core of abnormal data screening and analysis, is based primarily upon a diagnostic model and two Secondary diagnostic model, abnormal data is carried out gradually to screen and position.Pass through abnormal data and file data, metric data, sample Storehouse data are associated and compared analysis, the doubtful stealing user of precise positioning.
The warning module:By visualized graph interface and report interface to a live line power utility check and the people that opposes electricity-stealing Member provides the warning information of doubtful stealing user, and reliable skill is provided precisely, efficiently to carry out to oppose electricity-stealing analysis and investigate and prosecute work Art supports.
Another aspect provides a kind of improved anti-electricity-theft intelligent early-warning method, this method includes following step Suddenly:
Step 1:By data source modules, custom power information acquisition terminal information, including user's electric energy meter record are obtained Electricity, electric current, electric power, the implementation information such as load, pass through operation system window typing geographic information data, files on each of customers is believed Breath, metering device archive information and harvester archive information etc..
Step 2:Dependency number is obtained by data memory module, power information acquisition system is per diem obtained and freezes day to count According to, monthly obtain sales service marketing application system, GIS-Geographic Information System, magnanimity file data information, the credit of line loss system Data, abnormal data, line loss data etc..
Step 3:" stealing coupling index system " model is built, data are analyzed, handle the corresponding index spy of generation Value indicative.Index feature value includes:Electricity trend, capacity conversion, line loss trend, decompression, defluidization, backward walking, uncap, unpack, electromagnetism Interference etc..
" the stealing coupling index system " model, Liaoning electric power saving is netted according to measuring principle/stealing mode and with reference to state The characteristics of Co., Ltd's user's stealing, to stealing user over the years in the number such as collection, the electricity of marketing system, voltage, electric current, alarm According to reversely being analyzed, stealing coupling index system is determined, meets that electricity stealing diagnosis requires that specific targets are as follows with identification:
(1) electric quantity change
" electric quantity change index " can react the feature that stealing is carried out by changing measurement loop, and the feature as model refers to Mark, the industry-specific user in portion may cause erroneous judgement in the Spring Festival and long false data, it is necessary to reject to result;Its quantitative formula is
Wherein kl is same day downward trend index, and fi is same day electricity, and fl is front and rear several days electricity, and α i are weight, before d is Number of days afterwards.
(2) line loss changes
Line loss growth rate Y and theory wire loss are compared into difference G and are weighted processing to quantify line losses indices.
E=α Y+ β G
Wherein α is weight, preferably 40% shared by Y.β is weight, preferably 60% shared by G.
(3) decompression
Abnormal frequency is more, and the alarm reliability is higher, the accounting of abnormity point will occur in the cycle as model Characteristic index, its quantitative formula are
Wherein K counts to be abnormal, and Q counts for valid data.
(4) defluidization
Abnormal frequency is more, and the alarm reliability is higher, the accounting of abnormity point will occur in the cycle as model Characteristic index, its quantitative formula are
Wherein K counts to be abnormal, and Q counts for valid data.
(5) uncap, unpack, backward walking, electromagnetic interference
The alarm of event class (is uncapped, unpacked, magnetic interference):Alarm class event whether is produced in the measuring point cycle and enters row index Quantification treatment
Electricity exception class alerts (backward walking):Quantification of targets processing is carried out according to backward walking number in the measuring point cycle
K is record number in the nearly cycle
(6) stealing, arrearage
Stealing/arrearage record number will occur in nearest 3 years and carry out quantification of targets processing
K is to occur within nearly 3 years to disobey to steal (arrearage) record number
Step 4:By diagnostic module, system passes through in judgment models of index feature value input pointer of generation Neural network algorithm determines whether doubtful stealing information, the step initial analysis abnormal data and doubtful stealing data, reduces The pseudo- stealing information caused by gathered data quality problems.
Data judgment models (the preliminary doubtful stealing user model of examination):
At present with producing abnormal alarm data largely relevant with stealing in extraction system, line loss system, but may not alarm It there is stealing problem, it is impossible to it is artificial to be analyzed from door to door or each household all arrive scene investigation, big data need to be used to excavate calculation Method carries out data mining and examination goes out doubtful stealing user.According to substantial amounts of Data Mining and stealing analysis of cases, we use Sorting algorithm is opposed electricity-stealing and processing business, trade-off decision tree method, as shown in Fig. 2 this method is as follows:
(1) " electricity, line loss judge " node, if it is judged that meeting decision rule, is then used for the doubtful stealing of one-level Family, into device exception decision node, if it is judged that it is then normal not meet, next node judgement is not entered.
【Rule of judgment:Electric quantity change>Threshold value 1 or line loss change>Threshold value 2】
(2) " electricity, line loss judge " node is judged to the result met, " device judges extremely " node is brought into, if sentenced Disconnected result meets decision rule, then is the doubtful user of two level, into " arrearage, stealing judge " node, if it is judged that not being inconsistent Conjunction is then that the node is normal, does not enter next node judgement.
【Rule of judgment:Decompression index>Threshold value 3 or defluidization index>Threshold value 4 or event index=1】
(3) " device judges extremely " node is judged to the result met, " arrearage, stealing judge " node is brought into, if sentenced Disconnected result meets judgment rule, then is the doubtful user of three-level, is judged as stealing substantially, if it is judged that not meeting, is, should Node is normal.
【Rule of judgment:Stealing index>Threshold value 5 or arrearage index>Threshold value 6】
Step 5:By diagnostic module, system once doubtful stealing information will be inputted in secondary judgment models, further fixed The doubtful stealing user in position.
Further to improve the accuracy of doubtful stealing user anticipation, used greatly for the doubtful stealing user of preliminary examination Whether the electricity consumption track that data analysis technique further verifies the user deviate from normal electricity consumption track, if the deviation from then Further confirm that the user has stealing suspicion.
The normal electricity consumption track of user is found it is necessary to by the substantial amounts of day power load curve of user's history cluster Go out.The system clusters big data analytical technology, the day electricity consumption to user's history 2-3 Various Seasonals using K-Means Load curve is clustered, and the abnormal curve that wherein few day power load is clustered out is rejected, a large amount of day power load clusters Go out normal characteristics curve of the curve as the user.
Confirm whether user deviate from normal electricity consumption track, be exactly that the daily load curve of the family monitoring cycle is same with it The normal characteristics curve in season is drawn after being compared.The system is using discrete Fu Leixie apart from big data analytical technology (being used to calculate different similarity of curves) is compared, and analyzes the drift rate of its electricity consumption behavior, so as to which further positioning is doubted Like stealing user.
As shown in figure 3, history power load indicatrix is clustered using K-Means clustering algorithms, using discrete Fu Leixie Distance algorithm compares load curve, and Fig. 3 clusters out certain to the doubtful stealing user of certain preliminary examination using K-Means clustering algorithms The normal day power load indicatrix of the class of season 4, it is by discrete Fu Leixie distance algorithms that the daily load of the family monitoring cycle is bent After line is compared with this 4 class curve, obtain a result as follows:
1st, with the 1st cluster distance:1095>Ultimate range 330 between 1 class
2nd, with the 2nd cluster distance:599>Ultimate range 165 between 2 classes
3rd, with the 3rd cluster distance:312>Ultimate range 144 between 3 classes
4th, with the 4th cluster distance:811>Ultimate range 201 between 4 classes
As can be seen that the daily load curve data of user's monitoring cycle are born from day electricity consumption more normal than 4 classes with a distance from barycenter Lotus Characteristic Curve data will be big from the ultimate range of barycenter, illustrates that the customer charge characteristic enters a new state, has very Big probability is to enter stealing state.
Step 6:Element is alerted in a manner of information notice information system, early warning is initiated to doubtful stealing user, by With inspection, personnel carry out on-site verification, evidence obtaining, investigation and feedback, final to determine stealing user, and realization is remedied electricity, the electricity charge, retrieved The economic loss of Utilities Electric Co..

Claims (10)

  1. A kind of 1. improved anti-electricity-theft intelligent early-warning system, it is characterised in that the system include data source modules, memory module, Diagnostic module, warning module, wherein data source modules are connected with memory module, and memory module is connected with diagnostic module, diagnose mould Block is connected with warning module;
    The data source modules:It is the data source of analysis and warning data, the module passes through collecting device, vocational window mode Obtain electric power associated traffic data;
    The memory module:Storage obtained from each system of data source archives class data, exception class data, measure class data, Credit data and the sample data in sample storehouse;
    The diagnostic module:It is the core of abnormal data screening and analysis, based on a diagnostic model and secondary diagnosis mould Type, abnormal data is carried out gradually to screen and position;Entered by abnormal data and file data, metric data, sample storehouse data Row association and comparison analysis, the doubtful stealing user of precise positioning;
    The warning module:Carried by visualized graph interface and report interface to a live line power utility check and the personnel of opposing electricity-stealing For the warning information of doubtful stealing user.
  2. A kind of 2. improved anti-electricity-theft intelligent early-warning method, it is characterised in that using above-mentioned a kind of based on the thief-proof of electric power big data Electric intelligent early-warning system, this method comprise the following steps:
    Step 1:By data source modules, custom power information acquisition terminal information is obtained;
    Step 2:Dependency number is obtained by data memory module, the day freezing data of power information acquisition system is per diem obtained, presses Month obtain sales service marketing application system, GIS-Geographic Information System, the magnanimity file data information of line loss system, credit data, Abnormal data, line loss data;
    Step 3:" stealing coupling index system " model is built, data are analyzed, handle the corresponding index feature of generation Value;
    Step 4:By diagnostic module, system passes through nerve by judgment models of index feature value input pointer of generation Network algorithm determines whether doubtful stealing information, initial analysis abnormal data and doubtful stealing data;
    Step 5:By diagnostic module, system once doubtful stealing information will be inputted in secondary judgment models, and further positioning is doubted Like stealing user;
    Step 6:Element is alerted in a manner of information notice information system, early warning is initiated to doubtful stealing user, by with inspection Personnel carry out on-site verification, evidence obtaining, investigation and feedback, final to determine stealing user, and realization remedies electricity, the electricity charge, retrieves electric power The economic loss of company.
  3. A kind of 3. improved anti-electricity-theft intelligent early-warning method as claimed in claim 2, it is characterised in that methods described step 1 Electricity, electric current, electric power, load implementation information including user's electric energy meter record, pass through operation system window typing geography information Data, User Profile information, metering device archive information and harvester archive information.
  4. A kind of 4. improved anti-electricity-theft intelligent early-warning method as claimed in claim 2, it is characterised in that index described in step 3 Characteristic value includes:Electricity trend, capacity conversion, line loss trend, decompression, defluidization, backward walking, uncap, unpack, electromagnetic interference.
  5. 5. a kind of improved anti-electricity-theft intelligent early-warning method as described in claim 2 or 4, it is characterised in that described in step 3 " stealing coupling index system " model, index include:Electric quantity change, line loss change, decompression, defluidization, uncap, unpack, backward walking, electricity Magnetic disturbance, stealing, arrearage.
  6. A kind of 6. improved anti-electricity-theft intelligent early-warning method as described in claim 2 or 4 or 5, it is characterised in that step 3 institute " stealing coupling index system " model is stated, specific quantitative formula is:
    (1) electric quantity change
    Its quantitative formula is
    Wherein kl is same day downward trend index, and fi is same day electricity, and fl is front and rear several days electricity, and α i are weight, and d is front and rear day Number;
    (2) line loss changes
    Its quantitative formula is
    E=α Y+ β G
    Wherein α is weight shared by Y, and β is weight shared by G;
    (3) decompression
    Its quantitative formula is
    Wherein K counts to be abnormal, and Q counts for valid data.
    (4) defluidization
    Its quantitative formula is
    Wherein K counts to be abnormal, and Q counts for valid data.
    (5) uncap, unpack, backward walking, electromagnetic interference
    The alarm of event class (is uncapped, unpacked, magnetic interference):Alarm class event whether is produced in the measuring point cycle and carries out quantification of targets Processing
    Electricity exception class alerts (backward walking):Quantification of targets processing is carried out according to backward walking number in the measuring point cycle
    K is record number in the nearly cycle
    (6) stealing, arrearage
    Stealing/arrearage record number will occur in nearest 3 years and carry out quantification of targets processing
    K is to occur within nearly 3 years to disobey to steal (arrearage) record number.
  7. 7. a kind of improved anti-electricity-theft intelligent early-warning method as claimed in claim 2, it is characterised in that described in step 4 once Data judgment models, i.e., the preliminary doubtful stealing user model of examination use traditional decision-tree.
  8. A kind of 8. improved anti-electricity-theft intelligent early-warning method as claimed in claim 7, it is characterised in that decision-making described in step 4 Tree method comprises the following steps that:
    (1) " electricity, line loss judge " node, if it is judged that meeting decision rule, is then the doubtful stealing user of one-level, enters Enter device exception decision node, if it is judged that it is then normal not meet, do not enter next node judgement;
    Rule of judgment:Electric quantity change>Threshold value 1 or line loss change>Threshold value 2;
    (2) judges " electricity, line loss judge " node the result met, " device judges extremely " node is brought into, if it is determined that knot Fruit meets decision rule, then is the doubtful user of two level, into " arrearage, stealing judge " node, if it is judged that not meeting then For the node is normal, does not enter next node judgement;
    Rule of judgment:Decompression index>Threshold value 3 or defluidization index>Threshold value 4 or event index=1;
    (3) " device judges extremely " node is judged to the result met, " arrearage, stealing judge " node is brought into, if it is determined that knot Fruit meets judgment rule, then is the doubtful user of three-level, is judged as stealing substantially, if it is judged that not meeting, is, the node Normally;
    Rule of judgment:Stealing index>Threshold value 5 or arrearage index>Threshold value 6.
  9. 9. a kind of improved anti-electricity-theft intelligent early-warning method as claimed in claim 2, it is characterised in that secondary described in step 5 Judgment models, big data analytical technique is clustered using K-Means.
  10. 10. a kind of improved anti-electricity-theft intelligent early-warning method as claimed in claim 2, it is characterised in that step 5 uses Discrete Fu Leixie is compared apart from big data analytical technology, analyzes the drift rate of its electricity consumption behavior, further positions doubtful Stealing user.
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