CN107483265A - A kind of network traffics dynamic prediction method and system based on wavelet analysis - Google Patents

A kind of network traffics dynamic prediction method and system based on wavelet analysis Download PDF

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CN107483265A
CN107483265A CN201710813447.4A CN201710813447A CN107483265A CN 107483265 A CN107483265 A CN 107483265A CN 201710813447 A CN201710813447 A CN 201710813447A CN 107483265 A CN107483265 A CN 107483265A
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network traffics
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low frequency
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张喆
曾令康
孔剑虹
孟凡博
吴庆
叶跃骈
邱乐
冯笑
刘冰
赵云
李佳骏
刘欢欢
蒋定德
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State Grid Corp of China SGCC
State Grid Information and Telecommunication Co Ltd
State Grid Liaoning Electric Power Co Ltd
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State Grid Corp of China SGCC
State Grid Information and Telecommunication Co Ltd
State Grid Liaoning Electric Power Co Ltd
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    • H04L41/147Network analysis or design for predicting network behaviour
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    • G06F17/148Wavelet transforms

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Abstract

This application provides a kind of network traffics dynamic prediction method based on wavelet analysis, in network topology structure, the primary data of end to end network data on flows to be analyzed is normalized, obtains the time-domain signal of network traffics to be analyzed;Based on Wavelet Analysis Theory, the time-domain signal is converted into the time-frequency domain signal of network traffics to be analyzed;It is low frequency component, intermediate frequency component and high fdrequency component by the time-frequency domain signal decomposition, and according to the inverse transformation of small echo, obtains corresponding low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal respectively;The flux prediction model of low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal is built respectively, and respectively obtains the prediction result of low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal;The prediction result of low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal is synthesized, obtains the prediction result of network traffics to be analyzed.The complexity for reducing the error of network traffics dynamic prediction algorithm and calculating, improves precision of prediction.

Description

A kind of network traffics dynamic prediction method and system based on wavelet analysis
Technical field
The present invention relates to network traffics dynamic prediction technical field end to end, more particularly to a kind of be based on small echo The network traffics dynamic prediction method and system of analysis.
Background technology
Network traffics are extremely important to network management, traffic engineering, network monitoring, routing optimality and network measure activity. Network traffics, it is especially useful in end to end network flow, represent the behavioural characteristic of the network user and network equipment activity.Network traffics Represent between node or original destination (OD) flow between.Especially, OD is to can be from network range or global point The behavior of network activity is more effectively described.Therefore, network traffics play an important roll in proper network activity.It is however, right Special Network is difficult to be estimated and predicted due to its height time-varying property in OD business.
Tebaldi et al. proposes a kind of new statistical method, and this method is built based on the statistical model of inversion method Network source-destination traffic models and prediction network traffics.Tune et al. describes network traffics using theoretical information. Takeda et al. carrys out estimating peer-to-peer traffic matrix using part metrical information, and proposes corresponding prediction algorithm.Zhang et al. The prior information of traffic matrix is obtained based on Gravity Models management, then proposes traffic matrix estimation method.Jiang et al. is used Neutral net is accurately estimated to simulate end-to-end network traffics and obtain.Chen et al. have studied predicting network flow in short-term. Expectation-maximization algorithm is used to estimate traffic matrix, it is assumed that the business demand between OD pairs is independent of each other and obeys Gauss point Cloth.The joint time-frequency that Jiang et al. also proposes network traffics using compressive sensing theory is estimated.Some in these methods have Relatively large evaluated error, some methods are very sensitive to prior information.Therefore, above-mentioned model and method can not be caught exactly Obtain network traffics.
The content of the invention
In view of this, the invention provides a kind of network traffics dynamic prediction method and system based on wavelet analysis, drop The error of low network traffics dynamic prediction algorithm and the complexity calculated, improve precision of prediction.
In order to realize foregoing invention purpose, concrete technical scheme provided by the invention is as follows:
A kind of network traffics dynamic prediction method based on wavelet analysis, including:
In network topology structure, place is normalized to the primary data of end to end network data on flows to be analyzed Reason, obtains the time-domain signal of network traffics to be analyzed;
Based on Wavelet Analysis Theory, the time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed is converted into the network flow to be analyzed The time-frequency domain signal of amount;
It is low frequency component, intermediate frequency component and high fdrequency component by the time-frequency domain signal decomposition of the network traffics to be analyzed, and According to the inverse transformation of small echo, low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and the high-frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed are obtained respectively;
The volume forecasting mould of the low frequency signals of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal is built respectively Type, and respectively obtain the prediction result of the low frequency signals of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal;
The prediction result of the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal is synthesized, Obtain the prediction result of the network traffics to be analyzed.
Preferably, it is described in network topology structure, the primary data of end to end network data on flows to be analyzed is entered Row normalized, the time-domain signal of network traffics to be analyzed is obtained, including:
In network topology structure, the primary data for the end to end network data on flows being analysed to is entered according to preset rules Row normalized, the time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed is obtained, the time-domain signal value is within a preset range.
Preferably, the inverse transformation according to small echo, low frequency signal, the intermediate frequency of the network traffics to be analyzed are obtained respectively Signal and high-frequency signal, including:
According to the inverse transformation of small echo, obtain the network traffics to be analyzed the low frequency coefficient of time-frequency domain, intermediate frequency coefficient and High frequency coefficient;
According to the network traffics to be analyzed in the low frequency coefficient, intermediate frequency coefficient and high frequency coefficient of time-frequency domain, execution small echo Inverse transformation, obtain low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and the high-frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed respectively.
Preferably, the low frequency signal for building the network traffics to be analyzed respectively, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal Flux prediction model, and respectively obtain the prediction of the low frequency signals of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal As a result, including:
The low frequency signal is modeled using autoregression model, obtains the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed Flux prediction model, and obtain the prediction result of the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed;
The intermediate-freuqncy signal is modeled using periodic signal model, obtains the intermediate frequency letter of the network traffics to be analyzed Number flux prediction model, and obtain the prediction result of the intermediate-freuqncy signal of the network traffics to be analyzed;
The high-frequency signal is modeled using Gaussian noise model, obtains the high frequency letter of the network traffics to be analyzed Number flux prediction model, and obtain the prediction result of the high-frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed.
Preferably, the prediction knot to the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal Fruit is synthesized, and obtains the prediction result of the network traffics to be analyzed, including:
The prediction result of the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal is synthesized, Obtain the time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed;
Inverse normalized is carried out to the time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, obtains the network traffics to be analyzed Estimate, and the prediction result using the estimate as the network traffics to be analyzed.
A kind of network traffics Dynamic Forecasting System based on wavelet analysis, including:
Normalized unit, in network topology structure, to end to end network data on flows to be analyzed just Beginning data are normalized, and obtain the time-domain signal of network traffics to be analyzed;
Conversion unit, for based on Wavelet Analysis Theory, the time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed to be converted into institute State the time-frequency domain signal of network traffics to be analyzed;
Resolving cell, for being low frequency component, intermediate frequency component by the time-frequency domain signal decomposition of the network traffics to be analyzed And high fdrequency component, and according to the inverse transformation of small echo, obtain respectively the low frequency signals of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and High-frequency signal;
Forecast model construction unit, for build respectively the low frequency signals of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and The flux prediction model of high-frequency signal, and respectively obtain low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and the high frequency of the network traffics to be analyzed The prediction result of signal;
Synthesis unit, for the prediction to the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal As a result synthesized, obtain the prediction result of the network traffics to be analyzed.
Preferably, the normalized unit, specifically for the end-to-end net in network topology structure, being analysed to The primary data of network data on flows is normalized according to preset rules, obtains the time domain of the network traffics to be analyzed Signal, the time-domain signal value is within a preset range.
Preferably, the resolving cell includes:
Subelement is obtained, for the inverse transformation according to small echo, obtains low frequency of the network traffics to be analyzed in time-frequency domain Coefficient, intermediate frequency coefficient and high frequency coefficient;
Perform subelement, for according to the network traffics to be analyzed time-frequency domain low frequency coefficient, intermediate frequency coefficient and height Frequency coefficient, performs the inverse transformation of small echo, obtains low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and the high frequency letter of the network traffics to be analyzed respectively Number.
Preferably, the forecast model construction unit includes:
The forecast model structure subelement of low frequency signal, for being built to the low frequency signal using autoregression model Mould, the flux prediction model of the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed is obtained, and obtain the network traffics to be analyzed The prediction result of low frequency signal;
The forecast model structure subelement of intermediate-freuqncy signal, for being built to the intermediate-freuqncy signal using periodic signal model Mould, the flux prediction model of the intermediate-freuqncy signal of the network traffics to be analyzed is obtained, and obtain the network traffics to be analyzed The prediction result of intermediate-freuqncy signal;
The forecast model structure subelement of high-frequency signal, for being built to the high-frequency signal using Gaussian noise model Mould, the flux prediction model of the high-frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed is obtained, and obtain the network traffics to be analyzed The prediction result of high-frequency signal.
Preferably, the synthesis unit includes:
Subelement is synthesized, for the pre- of the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal Survey result to be synthesized, obtain the time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed;
Inverse normalized subelement, for being carried out to the time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed at inverse normalization Reason, obtains the estimate of the network traffics to be analyzed, and the prediction using the estimate as the network traffics to be analyzed As a result.
It is as follows relative to prior art, beneficial effects of the present invention:
A kind of network traffics dynamic prediction method and system based on wavelet analysis provided by the invention, first, it will treat point The time-domain signal of analysis network traffics is converted to time-frequency domain signal, and the intrinsic category of network traffics is characterized using Time-Frequency Analysis Method Property.Then, in time-frequency domain, by the time-frequency domain signal decomposition of the network traffics to be analyzed be low frequency component, intermediate frequency component and High fdrequency component, makes the variation tendency of low frequency part reflection network traffics, and intermediate-frequency section reflects the slow change of network traffics, radio-frequency head Divide the quick change of reflection network traffics.Finally, build respectively the low frequency signals of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and The flux prediction model of high-frequency signal, and respectively obtain low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and the high frequency of the network traffics to be analyzed The prediction result of signal;The prediction result of the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal is entered Row synthesis, obtain the prediction result of the network traffics to be analyzed.Relative to prior art, the present invention is not appointed using network traffics The Statistical Distribution Characteristics of what prior information, but the inherent temporal correlation of network traffics is extracted by Time-Frequency Analysis, from And can effectively avoid in existing statistical analysis technique to the intrinsic problem of network traffics prior information sensitiveness, so as to obtain essence True predicting network flow result.
Brief description of the drawings
In order to illustrate more clearly about the embodiment of the present invention or technical scheme of the prior art, below will be to embodiment or existing There is the required accompanying drawing used in technology description to be briefly described, it should be apparent that, drawings in the following description are only this The embodiment of invention, for those of ordinary skill in the art, on the premise of not paying creative work, can also basis The accompanying drawing of offer obtains other accompanying drawings.
Fig. 1 is a kind of network traffics dynamic prediction method flow chart based on wavelet analysis disclosed in the embodiment of the present invention;
Fig. 2 is that a kind of structure of the network traffics Dynamic Forecasting System based on wavelet analysis disclosed in the embodiment of the present invention is shown It is intended to.
Embodiment
Below in conjunction with the accompanying drawing in the embodiment of the present invention, the technical scheme in the embodiment of the present invention is carried out clear, complete Site preparation describes, it is clear that described embodiment is only part of the embodiment of the present invention, rather than whole embodiments.It is based on Embodiment in the present invention, those of ordinary skill in the art are obtained every other under the premise of creative work is not made Embodiment, belong to the scope of protection of the invention.
Present embodiment discloses a kind of network traffics dynamic prediction method based on wavelet analysis, referring to Fig. 1, Fig. 1 is The network traffics dynamic prediction method flow chart, is specifically included:
S101:In network topology structure, normalizing is carried out to the primary data of end to end network data on flows to be analyzed Change is handled, and obtains the time-domain signal of network traffics to be analyzed;
In network topology structure, the primary data for the end to end network data on flows being analysed to is entered according to preset rules Row normalized, the time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed is obtained, the time-domain signal value is within a preset range.Subtract The order of magnitude of small data, reduce the complexity that prediction algorithm calculates.
Preferably, the primary data of end to end network data on flows is x=(x (1), x (2) ..., x (m)), and it is carried out Normalized obtains:
Wherein, x (t) be network traffics x in moment t value, -1≤zt (≤), 1 and
The time-domain signal of network traffics to be analyzed is z={ z (1), z (2) ..., z (m) }.
So, be advantageous to the setting of following prediction model parameterses, reduce the computation complexity of forecast model, to make The result of prediction is closer to actual value, the precision of forecast model is further improved.
S102:Based on Wavelet Analysis Theory, the time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed is converted into described to be analyzed The time-frequency domain signal of network traffics;
Preferably, according to Wavelet Analysis Theory, the time-domain signal of network traffics to be analyzed is z={ z (1), z (2) ..., z (m) the time-frequency domain signal } being converted into formula (2):
Wherein, H is high-pass filter, and G represents low pass filter, ai(j+1)And di(j+1)It is z time-frequency coefficients respectively, I tables Show the Decomposition order of wavelet transformation.
S103:It is low frequency component, intermediate frequency component and high frequency division by the time-frequency domain signal decomposition of the network traffics to be analyzed Amount, and according to the inverse transformation of small echo, low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and the high frequency for obtaining the network traffics to be analyzed respectively are believed Number;
According to the inverse transformation of small echo, obtain the network traffics to be analyzed the low frequency coefficient of time-frequency domain, intermediate frequency coefficient and High frequency coefficient;
According to the network traffics to be analyzed in the low frequency coefficient, intermediate frequency coefficient and high frequency coefficient of time-frequency domain, execution small echo Inverse transformation, obtain low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and the high-frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed respectively.
Preferably, it is low frequency component, middle frequency division by the time-frequency domain signal decomposition of the network traffics to be analyzed according to formula (2) Amount and high fdrequency component, such as formula (3):
Wl(f,t)、Wm(f,t)、Wh(f, t) each corresponds to the low frequency in time-frequency domain, intermediate frequency and high fdrequency component, W (f, t) generation Time frequency signals of the table network traffics z in time t.
According to the inverse transformation of small echo, the low frequency coefficient that can obtain z in time-frequency domain is
Wl(f, t)=(aI,0,0,...,0) (4)
Intermediate frequency coefficient is
Wm(f, t)=(0, d1,d2,...,dk,0,...,0) (5)
High frequency coefficient is
Wh(f, t)=(0,0 ..., 0, dk+1,dk+2,...,dI) (6)
Then below equation can be obtained:
Wherein, zl(t), zm(t), zh(t) low frequency signal Ws of the network flow z (t) in time t is represented respectivelyl(f, t), Wm(f, T), WhThe reconstruction signal of (f, t).
S104:The flow for building the low frequency signals of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal respectively is pre- Model is surveyed, and respectively obtains the prediction result of the low frequency signals of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal;
The low frequency signal is modeled using autoregression model, obtains the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed Flux prediction model, and obtain the prediction result of the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed;
Preferably, to low-frequency time-domain signal zl={ zl(1),zl(2),...,zl(m) } built using autoregression model Mould:
zl(t)=b1zl(t-1)+b2zl(t-2)+...+bpzl(t-p)+ε (8)
Wherein, p is the exponent number of autoregression model, and ε represents error, b={ b1,b2,...,bpBe the low frequency signal stream Measure the parameter of forecast model.Parameter b={ b1,b2,...,bpCan be determined by signal analysis.
The intermediate-freuqncy signal is modeled using periodic signal model, obtains the intermediate frequency letter of the network traffics to be analyzed Number flux prediction model, and obtain the prediction result of the intermediate-freuqncy signal of the network traffics to be analyzed;
Preferably, to intermediate frequency time-domain signal zm={ zm(1),zm(2),...,zm(m) } built using periodic signal model Mould:
zm(t)=usin (ω t+ α)+vsin (ω t+ β)+η (9)
Wherein, u and v is the coefficient of model;ω, α, β represent the frequency and initial phase of periodic signal respectively, and η represents mould The error of type.The model of formula (9) can obtain in signal analysis theory.
The high-frequency signal is modeled using Gaussian noise model, obtains the high frequency letter of the network traffics to be analyzed Number flux prediction model, and obtain the prediction result of the high-frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed.
Preferably, to high frequency time-domain signal zh={ zh(1),zh(2),...,zh(m) } built using Gaussian noise model Mould:
Wherein, δ and μ represents the variance and average value of Gaussian noise, and λ represents error.The model of formula (10) can be in signal Obtained in analysis theories.
S105:The prediction result of the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal is carried out Synthesis, obtain the prediction result of the network traffics to be analyzed.
The prediction result of the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal is synthesized, Obtain the time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed;
Specifically, being synthesized to low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and the high-frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, obtain The time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed:
Inverse normalized is carried out to the time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, obtains the network traffics to be analyzed Estimate, and the prediction result using the estimate as the network traffics to be analyzed.
Finally, according to formula (1), the estimation formulas of end-to-end flux is obtained:
A kind of network traffics dynamic prediction method based on wavelet analysis that the present embodiment provides, first, is analysed to net The time-domain signal of network flow is converted to time-frequency domain signal, and the build-in attribute of network traffics is characterized using Time-Frequency Analysis Method.So Afterwards, it is low frequency component, intermediate frequency component and high frequency division by the time-frequency domain signal decomposition of the network traffics to be analyzed in time-frequency domain Amount, makes the variation tendency of low frequency part reflection network traffics, and intermediate-frequency section reflects the slow change of network traffics, HFS reflection The quick change of network traffics.Finally, low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and the high frequency letter of the network traffics to be analyzed are built respectively Number flux prediction model, and respectively obtain the low frequency signals of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal Prediction result;The prediction result of the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal is synthesized, Obtain the prediction result of the network traffics to be analyzed.Relative to prior art, the present invention does not utilize any priori of network traffics The Statistical Distribution Characteristics of information, but the inherent temporal correlation of network traffics is extracted by Time-Frequency Analysis, so as to have Effect is avoided to the intrinsic problem of network traffics prior information sensitiveness in existing statistical analysis technique, so as to obtain accurate net Network volume forecasting result.
Based on a kind of network traffics dynamic prediction method based on wavelet analysis, the present embodiment pair disclosed in above-described embodiment A kind of network traffics Dynamic Forecasting System based on wavelet analysis should be disclosed, referring to Fig. 2, the network traffics dynamic prediction System includes:
Normalized unit 101, in network topology structure, to end to end network data on flows to be analyzed Primary data is normalized, and obtains the time-domain signal of network traffics to be analyzed;
Conversion unit 102, for based on Wavelet Analysis Theory, the time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed to be converted into The time-frequency domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed;
Resolving cell 103, for being low frequency component, middle frequency division by the time-frequency domain signal decomposition of the network traffics to be analyzed Amount and high fdrequency component, and according to the inverse transformation of small echo, low frequency signal, the intermediate-freuqncy signal of the network traffics to be analyzed are obtained respectively And high-frequency signal;
Forecast model construction unit 104, for building low frequency signal, the intermediate-freuqncy signal of the network traffics to be analyzed respectively With the flux prediction model of high-frequency signal, and low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and the height of the network traffics to be analyzed are respectively obtained The prediction result of frequency signal;
Synthesis unit 105, for the pre- of the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal Survey result to be synthesized, obtain the prediction result of the network traffics to be analyzed.
Preferably, the normalized unit 101, is arrived specifically for the end in network topology structure, being analysed to The primary data of end network flow data is normalized according to preset rules, obtains the network traffics to be analyzed Time-domain signal, the time-domain signal value is within a preset range.
Preferably, the resolving cell 103 includes:
Subelement is obtained, for the inverse transformation according to small echo, obtains low frequency of the network traffics to be analyzed in time-frequency domain Coefficient, intermediate frequency coefficient and high frequency coefficient;
Perform subelement, for according to the network traffics to be analyzed time-frequency domain low frequency coefficient, intermediate frequency coefficient and height Frequency coefficient, performs the inverse transformation of small echo, obtains low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and the high frequency letter of the network traffics to be analyzed respectively Number.
Preferably, the forecast model construction unit 104 includes:
The forecast model structure subelement of low frequency signal, for being built to the low frequency signal using autoregression model Mould, the flux prediction model of the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed is obtained, and obtain the network traffics to be analyzed The prediction result of low frequency signal;
The forecast model structure subelement of intermediate-freuqncy signal, for being built to the intermediate-freuqncy signal using periodic signal model Mould, the flux prediction model of the intermediate-freuqncy signal of the network traffics to be analyzed is obtained, and obtain the network traffics to be analyzed The prediction result of intermediate-freuqncy signal;
The forecast model structure subelement of high-frequency signal, for being built to the high-frequency signal using Gaussian noise model Mould, the flux prediction model of the high-frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed is obtained, and obtain the network traffics to be analyzed The prediction result of high-frequency signal.
Preferably, the synthesis unit 105 includes:
Subelement is synthesized, for the pre- of the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal Survey result to be synthesized, obtain the time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed;
Inverse normalized subelement, for being carried out to the time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed at inverse normalization Reason, obtains the estimate of the network traffics to be analyzed, and the prediction using the estimate as the network traffics to be analyzed As a result.
A kind of network traffics Dynamic Forecasting System based on wavelet analysis that the present embodiment provides, first, is analysed to net The time-domain signal of network flow is converted to time-frequency domain signal, and the build-in attribute of network traffics is characterized using Time-Frequency Analysis Method.So Afterwards, it is low frequency component, intermediate frequency component and high frequency division by the time-frequency domain signal decomposition of the network traffics to be analyzed in time-frequency domain Amount, makes the variation tendency of low frequency part reflection network traffics, and intermediate-frequency section reflects the slow change of network traffics, HFS reflection The quick change of network traffics.Finally, low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and the high frequency letter of the network traffics to be analyzed are built respectively Number flux prediction model, and respectively obtain the low frequency signals of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal Prediction result;The prediction result of the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal is synthesized, Obtain the prediction result of the network traffics to be analyzed.Relative to prior art, the present invention does not utilize any priori of network traffics The Statistical Distribution Characteristics of information, but the inherent temporal correlation of network traffics is extracted by Time-Frequency Analysis, so as to have Effect is avoided to the intrinsic problem of network traffics prior information sensitiveness in existing statistical analysis technique, so as to obtain accurate net Network volume forecasting result.
The foregoing description of the disclosed embodiments, professional and technical personnel in the field are enable to realize or using the present invention. A variety of modifications to these embodiments will be apparent for those skilled in the art, as defined herein General Principle can be realized in other embodiments without departing from the spirit or scope of the present invention.Therefore, it is of the invention The embodiments shown herein is not intended to be limited to, and is to fit to and principles disclosed herein and features of novelty phase one The most wide scope caused.

Claims (10)

  1. A kind of 1. network traffics dynamic prediction method based on wavelet analysis, it is characterised in that including:
    In network topology structure, the primary data of end to end network data on flows to be analyzed is normalized, obtained To the time-domain signal of network traffics to be analyzed;
    Based on Wavelet Analysis Theory, the time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed is converted into the network traffics to be analyzed Time-frequency domain signal;
    It is low frequency component, intermediate frequency component and high fdrequency component by the time-frequency domain signal decomposition of the network traffics to be analyzed, and according to The inverse transformation of small echo, low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and the high-frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed are obtained respectively;
    The flux prediction model of the low frequency signals of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal is built respectively, and Respectively obtain the prediction result of the low frequency signals of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal;
    The prediction result of the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal is synthesized, obtained The prediction result of the network traffics to be analyzed.
  2. 2. according to the method for claim 1, it is characterised in that it is described in network topology structure, end to be analyzed is arrived The primary data of end network flow data is normalized, and obtains the time-domain signal of network traffics to be analyzed, including:
    In network topology structure, the primary data for the end to end network data on flows being analysed to is returned according to preset rules One change is handled, and obtains the time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, the time-domain signal value is within a preset range.
  3. 3. according to the method for claim 1, it is characterised in that the inverse transformation according to small echo, treated respectively described in acquisition Low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and the high-frequency signal of network traffics are analyzed, including:
    According to the inverse transformation of small echo, low frequency coefficient, intermediate frequency coefficient and high frequency of the network traffics to be analyzed in time-frequency domain are obtained Coefficient;
    According to the network traffics to be analyzed in the low frequency coefficient, intermediate frequency coefficient and high frequency coefficient of time-frequency domain, the inverse of small echo is performed Conversion, low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and the high-frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed are obtained respectively.
  4. 4. according to the method for claim 1, it is characterised in that the low frequency for building the network traffics to be analyzed respectively The flux prediction model of signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal, and respectively obtain the network traffics to be analyzed low frequency signal, The prediction result of intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal, including:
    The low frequency signal is modeled using autoregression model, obtains the stream of the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed Forecast model is measured, and obtains the prediction result of the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed;
    The intermediate-freuqncy signal is modeled using periodic signal model, obtains the intermediate-freuqncy signal of the network traffics to be analyzed Flux prediction model, and obtain the prediction result of the intermediate-freuqncy signal of the network traffics to be analyzed;
    The high-frequency signal is modeled using Gaussian noise model, obtains the high-frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed Flux prediction model, and obtain the prediction result of the high-frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed.
  5. 5. according to the method for claim 1, it is characterised in that the low frequency signal to the network traffics to be analyzed, Intermediate-freuqncy signal and the prediction result of high-frequency signal are synthesized, and obtain the prediction result of the network traffics to be analyzed, including:
    The prediction result of the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal is synthesized, obtained The time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed;
    Inverse normalized is carried out to the time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, obtains estimating for the network traffics to be analyzed Evaluation, and the prediction result using the estimate as the network traffics to be analyzed.
  6. A kind of 6. network traffics Dynamic Forecasting System based on wavelet analysis, it is characterised in that including:
    Normalized unit, in network topology structure, to the initial number of end to end network data on flows to be analyzed According to being normalized, the time-domain signal of network traffics to be analyzed is obtained;
    Conversion unit, for based on Wavelet Analysis Theory, the time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed to be converted into described treat Analyze the time-frequency domain signal of network traffics;
    Resolving cell, for being low frequency component, intermediate frequency component and height by the time-frequency domain signal decomposition of the network traffics to be analyzed Frequency component, and according to the inverse transformation of small echo, low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and the high frequency of the network traffics to be analyzed are obtained respectively Signal;
    Forecast model construction unit, for building low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and the high frequency of the network traffics to be analyzed respectively The flux prediction model of signal, and respectively obtain low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and the high-frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed Prediction result;
    Synthesis unit, for the prediction result to the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal Synthesized, obtain the prediction result of the network traffics to be analyzed.
  7. 7. system according to claim 6, it is characterised in that the normalized unit, specifically for being opened up in network Flutter in structure, the primary data for the end to end network data on flows being analysed to is normalized according to preset rules, obtains To the time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, the time-domain signal value is within a preset range.
  8. 8. system according to claim 6, it is characterised in that the resolving cell includes:
    Obtain subelement, for the inverse transformation according to small echo, obtain the network traffics to be analyzed time-frequency domain low frequency coefficient, Intermediate frequency coefficient and high frequency coefficient;
    Perform subelement, for according to the network traffics to be analyzed in the low frequency coefficient of time-frequency domain, intermediate frequency coefficient and high frequency system Number, performs the inverse transformation of small echo, obtains low frequency signal, intermediate-freuqncy signal and the high-frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed respectively.
  9. 9. system according to claim 6, it is characterised in that the forecast model construction unit includes:
    The forecast model structure subelement of low frequency signal, for being modeled to the low frequency signal using autoregression model, is obtained To the flux prediction model of the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, and obtain the low frequency letter of the network traffics to be analyzed Number prediction result;
    The forecast model structure subelement of intermediate-freuqncy signal, for being modeled to the intermediate-freuqncy signal using periodic signal model, The flux prediction model of the intermediate-freuqncy signal of the network traffics to be analyzed is obtained, and obtains the intermediate frequency of the network traffics to be analyzed The prediction result of signal;
    The forecast model structure subelement of high-frequency signal, for being modeled to the high-frequency signal using Gaussian noise model, The flux prediction model of the high-frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed is obtained, and obtains the high frequency of the network traffics to be analyzed The prediction result of signal.
  10. 10. system according to claim 6, it is characterised in that the synthesis unit includes:
    Subelement is synthesized, for the prediction knot to the low frequency signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, intermediate-freuqncy signal and high-frequency signal Fruit is synthesized, and obtains the time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed;
    Inverse normalized subelement, for carrying out inverse normalized to the time-domain signal of the network traffics to be analyzed, obtain To the estimate of the network traffics to be analyzed, and the prediction result using the estimate as the network traffics to be analyzed.
CN201710813447.4A 2017-09-11 2017-09-11 A kind of network traffics dynamic prediction method and system based on wavelet analysis Pending CN107483265A (en)

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