CN107464019A - A kind of financial events method for early warning - Google Patents

A kind of financial events method for early warning Download PDF

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Publication number
CN107464019A
CN107464019A CN201710649802.9A CN201710649802A CN107464019A CN 107464019 A CN107464019 A CN 107464019A CN 201710649802 A CN201710649802 A CN 201710649802A CN 107464019 A CN107464019 A CN 107464019A
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financial events
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user
financial
early warning
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余安
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    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/04—Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem"
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
    • G06Q10/063—Operations research, analysis or management
    • G06Q10/0635—Risk analysis of enterprise or organisation activities
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q40/00—Finance; Insurance; Tax strategies; Processing of corporate or income taxes
    • G06Q40/04—Trading; Exchange, e.g. stocks, commodities, derivatives or currency exchange

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Abstract

The invention discloses a kind of financial events method for early warning, the method for early warning includes：Monitoring internet inputs class data to obtain user in real time；According to financial events correlation rule, class extracting data financial events associated data is inputted from the user；According to financial events early warning rule, financial events warning information is produced based on the financial events associated data.Technical scheme no longer carries out early warning according to the amount valence mumber directly related with financial events according to financial events, but the user by analyzing and processing magnanimity in internet inputs class data, produce financial events warning information, existing financial events Predicting Technique is optimized, the precision of prediction of financial events is also improved while the prediction form of financial events is enriched.

Description

A kind of financial events method for early warning
Technical field
The present invention relates to data processing technique, more particularly, to a kind of financial events method for early warning.
Background technology
There are many events, especially financial events in actual life, being can be by the computing to some available datas Handle to be predicted.Wherein, it is exactly a Forecasting Methodology for being typically directed to very much financial investment event to quantify investment.
It is so-called to quantify investment, just refer to that being found from mass historical data can by modern statistics, the method for mathematics A variety of " maximum probabilities " of excess earnings are brought to refer to tactfully and highly disciplined according to the for-ecasting model constructed by these strategies Lead investment, make every effort to obtain it is stable, sustainable, higher than average excess return.It is different from traditional qualitative capitalized method It is to quantify investment not against people to feel to manage assets, but mathematics is built according to the investment thought and investment experiences of people Model, and a large amount of historical datas are handled using computer, the validity of model is verified in the short period of time, only works as model When the performance in historical data meets to require, can be just further applicable in firm bargain.
The capitalized method of the prior art that quantifies is all based on what existing Share Price and Exchange Volume data were realized.And due to measuring valence mumber Noise in is more and data full disclosure, and it is very big only to build effective investment tactics difficulty as data source, often Produce little effect.Reason is that equity investment is substantially a kind of game behavior, and only the information according to full disclosure, which carries out decision-making, does not have Any advantage.
The content of the invention
It is an object of the invention to provide a kind of financial events method for early warning, to provide effective financial events alarm mode.
The technical solution adopted for the present invention to solve the technical problems is：A kind of financial events method for early warning, its feature exist In, including：
Monitoring internet inputs class data to obtain user in real time；
According to financial events correlation rule, class extracting data financial events associated data is inputted from the user；
According to financial events early warning rule, financial events warning information is produced based on the financial events associated data；
The monitoring internet in real time inputs class data including at least one of following to obtain user：
The search type of user's input is obtained by search engine, class data are inputted as user；
In forum or microblogging website, crawl user is posted information, and class data are inputted as user.
After the search type that user inputs is obtained by search engine, in addition to：Based on retrieval exclusionary rules, according to user Clicking operation or browse operation in retrieval result, are screened to the search type.
According to financial events correlation rule, inputting class extracting data financial events associated data from the user includes： According to the keyword in financial events dictionary library or crucial clause, the association of class extracting data financial events is inputted from the user Data.
According to financial events early warning rule, financial events warning information bag is produced based on the financial events associated data Include：The occurrence number for counting the financial events associated data changes with time rule, and carries out anomalous identification；If identification It is abnormal to occurring, then according to the historical context for abnormal financial events associated data and financial events occur, produce gold Melt event warning information.
According to the historical context for abnormal financial events associated data and financial events occur, financial events are produced Warning information, including：
According to the historical context for abnormal financial events associated data and financial events occur, weighted calculation early warning Value；The financial events warning information according to corresponding to producing the early warning value；
Wherein, weight term includes following at least one attribute items of financial events associated data：Data source, data content And exception level.
Beneficial effects of the present invention：The embodiment of the present invention inputs class data by monitoring internet in real time to obtain user； According to financial events correlation rule, class extracting data financial events associated data is inputted from the user；According to financial events Early warning rule, the technological means of financial events warning information is produced based on the financial events associated data, realizes no longer foundation The amount valence mumber directly related with financial events carries out early warning according to financial events, but by analyzing and processing magnanimity in internet User inputs class data, produces financial events warning information, it is pre- that the technical scheme of the present embodiment optimizes existing financial events Survey technology, the precision of prediction of financial events is also improved while the prediction form of financial events is enriched.
Brief description of the drawings
Fig. 1 is the flow chart of financial events method for early warning of the present invention.
Embodiment
In order that the object, technical solutions and advantages of the present invention are clearer, below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings to the specific reality of the present invention Example is applied to be described in further detail.It is understood that specific embodiment described herein is used only for explaining the present invention, Rather than limitation of the invention.It also should be noted that for the ease of describing, illustrate only in accompanying drawing related to the present invention Part rather than full content.
It also should be noted that for the ease of description, illustrate only in accompanying drawing part related to the present invention rather than Full content.It should be mentioned that some exemplary embodiments are described before exemplary embodiment is discussed in greater detail Into the processing or method described as flow chart.Although operations (or step) are described as the processing of order by flow chart, It is that many of which operation can be implemented concurrently, concomitantly or simultaneously.In addition, the order of operations can be by again Arrange.The processing can be terminated when its operations are completed, it is also possible to the additional step being not included in accompanying drawing. The processing can correspond to method, function, code, subroutine, subprogram etc..
For the ease of understanding various embodiments of the present invention, the inventive concept of the present invention is summarized as follows first：
As stated in the Background Art, prior art the financial transaction to user be predicted instruct when, dependence simply with The finance data of the financial events direct correlation, typically, the amount valence mumber evidence of stock.But except typical finance data meeting Outside being had an impact to financial events, the event actually occurred in actual life can also have an impact to financial events, particularly The popular development trend that financial market can be all influenceed on the estimating of stock market, confidence etc..It is public in the event of certain also by taking stock as an example Put on record investigation, certain company of the legal person of department reduces the staff or the event such as several subsidiaries of certain corporate buyout because of economic problems, If user is paying close attention to by all means, these events are discussed, these events are equally possible after occurring can be to stock Ups and downs have an impact.And these events will necessarily embody in internet data in a variety of manners, therefore of the invention real Apply in example, creative proposes using modes such as natural language processing and data mining technologies to handle internet data, Early warning is carried out to financial events by extracting financial events associated data from internet data.Particularly, from internet User input class extracting data associated data, user input class data reflect event of concern.
Embodiment：Fig. 1 is a kind of flow chart of financial events method for early warning provided by the invention, and the method for the present embodiment can To be performed by financial events prior-warning device, the device can be realized by way of hardware and/or software, and can typically be integrated in In the server for storing magnanimity internet data, and it can be used cooperatively with providing the client of financial investment guide service.Wherein, The server can be individual server, or the cluster server that multiple servers are formed.
The method of the present embodiment specifically includes：
110th, monitoring internet inputs class data to obtain user in real time.
In the present embodiment, the user inputs class data and specifically refers to the people that user is provided by client application The input of machine interactive interface, the data of Internet.It can include specifically, the user inputs class data：User passes through Set the search term or search type of search engine input；User passes through the information issuing web site such as community forum or personal blog Model or status message for delivering etc..
Wherein it is possible to by collect different clients application program background server (search engine background server or Background server of person " XX forums " etc.) in storage user's input journal, obtain user input class data；Can also be by making The mode of information is captured in various webpages with web crawlers (Web Spider), user is obtained and inputs class data.
Wherein, obtaining the time interval of user's input class data can be preset according to actual conditions, for example, 12 is small When, 1 day or 1 week etc., the present embodiment is to this and is not limited.
120th, according to financial events correlation rule, class extracting data financial events associated data is inputted from the user.
In the present embodiment, the financial events can include such as stock, fund and futures financial investment event, Such as item price rise or drop price fluctuation event can be included, this implementation is to this and is not limited.
Financial events associated data specifically refers to data content and financial events, and directly or indirectly related user inputs Class data, in other words, financial events associated data refer to the data that can financial events be carried out with early warning.It is appreciated that It is, although the user of magnanimity inputs in class data the data for including and financial events being carried out with early warning, to be wherein more The completely irrelevant data with financial events.Therefore, it is necessary to which extracting user first inputs class before early warning is carried out to financial events The data associated in data with financial events.
Preferably, according to financial events correlation rule, class extracting data financial events incidence number is inputted from the user According to can include：According to the keyword in financial events dictionary library or crucial clause, class extracting data is inputted from the user Financial events associated data.
For example, " XX put on record investigation " this crucial clause is stored with financial events dictionary library, if obtain When user inputs class data and includes " AAA put on record investigation ", then general " AAA put on record investigation " is used as financial events associated data.
Wherein it is possible to generated by way of manually choosing or in the way of word frequency is chosen in financial events dictionary library Keyword or crucial clause.
Wherein, the method for keyword in financial events dictionary library or crucial clause being generated in the way of word frequency is chosen can With including：Obtain financial class everyday words and sentence patterns；By each everyday words and sentence patterns of acquisition according in internet In the frequency of occurrences be ranked up；Keyword or the crucial clause in financial events dictionary library are generated according to ranking results.
According to financial events correlation rule, class extracting data financial events associated data is inputted specifically also from the user It can include：Network Capture channel is determined based on financial events, class number is inputted from user corresponding with the Network Capture channel According to middle extraction financial events associated data.
For example, the financial events if necessary to early warning are equity investment event, can will be in " stock " or " XX The data captured in " the stock invester world " plate of forum " are directly as financial events associated data.
130th, according to financial events early warning rule, financial events early warning letter is produced based on the financial events associated data Breath.
Obviously, the specific event (for example, " XX companies reduce the staff ") that a meeting has an impact to financial events, before it occurs In a period of time afterwards, occurrence number of the keyword in internet corresponding to it is bound to produce exception, therefore, Ke Yigen Suitable financial events early warning rule is chosen according to the occurrence number of the financial events associated data rule that changes with time, to realize Early warning to financial events.
For example, " bankruptcy " this word is many more than the average occurrence number of the word history in the occurrence number of some day (being more than setting threshold value), therefore, early warning directly can be carried out (for example, right to equity investment event according to the abnormal conditions Stock deep bid bear market carries out early warning)；Can also be according to the word and the historical context of financial events (typical, word pair The historical hit probability of financial events), financial warning information corresponding to generation, if for example, " bankruptcy " is to stock deep bid bear market Historical hit probability be more than 70%, then according to the abnormal conditions of " bankruptcy " to the progress early warning of stock deep bid bear market.
The embodiment of the present invention inputs class data by monitoring internet in real time to obtain user；Associate and advise according to financial events Then, class extracting data financial events associated data is inputted from the user；According to financial events early warning rule, based on the gold Melt the technological means that event correlation data produce financial events warning information, realize no longer according to directly related with financial events Data (typical, the amount valence mumber evidence of stock) carry out early warning to financial events, but by analyzing and processing magnanimity in internet User inputs class data, produces financial events warning information, it is pre- that the technical scheme of the present embodiment optimizes existing financial events Survey technology, the precision of prediction to financial events is also improved while the prediction form of financial events is enriched.

Claims (5)

  1. A kind of 1. financial events method for early warning, it is characterised in that including：
    Monitoring internet inputs class data to obtain user in real time；
    According to financial events correlation rule, class extracting data financial events associated data is inputted from the user；
    According to financial events early warning rule, financial events warning information is produced based on the financial events associated data；
    The monitoring internet in real time inputs class data including at least one of following to obtain user：
    The search type of user's input is obtained by search engine, class data are inputted as user；
    In forum or microblogging website, crawl user is posted information, and class data are inputted as user.
  2. 2. according to the method for claim 1, it is characterised in that by search engine obtain user input search type it Afterwards, in addition to：Based on retrieval exclusionary rules, according to clicking operation or browse operation of the user in retrieval result, searched to described It is cable-styled to be screened.
  3. 3. according to the method for claim 2, it is characterised in that according to financial events correlation rule, inputted from the user Class extracting data financial events associated data includes：According to the keyword in financial events dictionary library or crucial clause, from institute State user and input class extracting data financial events associated data.
  4. 4. method according to claim 1 or 2, it is characterised in that according to financial events early warning rule, based on the finance Event correlation data, which produce financial events warning information, to be included：The occurrence number of the financial events associated data is counted with the time Changing rule, and carry out anomalous identification；If recognized, appearance is abnormal, abnormal financial events association occurs according to described The historical context of data and financial events, produce financial events warning information.
  5. 5. according to the method for claim 4, it is characterised in that according to it is described occur abnormal financial events associated data with The historical context of financial events, financial events warning information is produced, including：
    According to the historical context for abnormal financial events associated data and financial events occur, weighted calculation early warning value； The financial events warning information according to corresponding to producing the early warning value；
    Wherein, weight term includes following at least one attribute items of financial events associated data：Data source, data content and different Normal grade.
CN201710649802.9A 2017-08-02 2017-08-02 A kind of financial events method for early warning Pending CN107464019A (en)

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Cited By (4)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN109325857A (en) * 2018-09-20 2019-02-12 上海龙弈信息科技有限公司 A kind of financial security management and risk control processing system and its operation method
CN110245995A (en) * 2019-06-25 2019-09-17 北京向上一心科技有限公司 Analysis method, device, electronic equipment and computer readable storage medium
CN110428275A (en) * 2019-01-28 2019-11-08 北京海数宝科技有限公司 Data processing method, device, storage medium and the computer equipment of multizone price
CN114090761A (en) * 2022-01-20 2022-02-25 北京零点远景网络科技有限公司 Early warning triggering method and device based on information identification

Cited By (4)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN109325857A (en) * 2018-09-20 2019-02-12 上海龙弈信息科技有限公司 A kind of financial security management and risk control processing system and its operation method
CN110428275A (en) * 2019-01-28 2019-11-08 北京海数宝科技有限公司 Data processing method, device, storage medium and the computer equipment of multizone price
CN110245995A (en) * 2019-06-25 2019-09-17 北京向上一心科技有限公司 Analysis method, device, electronic equipment and computer readable storage medium
CN114090761A (en) * 2022-01-20 2022-02-25 北京零点远景网络科技有限公司 Early warning triggering method and device based on information identification

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Application publication date: 20171212