CN107451599A - A kind of traffic behavior Forecasting Methodology of the collective model based on machine learning - Google Patents

A kind of traffic behavior Forecasting Methodology of the collective model based on machine learning Download PDF

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Publication number
CN107451599A
CN107451599A CN201710504173.0A CN201710504173A CN107451599A CN 107451599 A CN107451599 A CN 107451599A CN 201710504173 A CN201710504173 A CN 201710504173A CN 107451599 A CN107451599 A CN 107451599A
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data
traffic
machine learning
algorithm
traffic behavior
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徐文进
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Qingdao University of Science and Technology
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Qingdao University of Science and Technology
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06FELECTRIC DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING
    • G06F18/00Pattern recognition
    • G06F18/20Analysing
    • G06F18/24Classification techniques
    • G06F18/241Classification techniques relating to the classification model, e.g. parametric or non-parametric approaches
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06FELECTRIC DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING
    • G06F18/00Pattern recognition
    • G06F18/20Analysing
    • G06F18/25Fusion techniques
    • G06F18/254Fusion techniques of classification results, e.g. of results related to same input data
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06NCOMPUTING ARRANGEMENTS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS
    • G06N20/00Machine learning

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Abstract

The invention discloses a kind of traffic behavior Forecasting Methodology of the collective model based on machine learning, belongs to traffic behavior prediction field.The present invention is actually classified based on traffic to data, it is simultaneously again innovative independently to handle traffic user type data, period data, the class data of historical data three using most rational machine learning algorithm, maintain the mutual independence of data, so as to remain transport information to greatest extent, best information service is provided for prediction;Several machine learning algorithms are combined traffic behavior are excavated and predicted by the present invention, the superposition of not exclusively several algorithms, be based on traffic theory on the basis of Intelligent Fusion platform, traffic behavior can be predicted in real time;Intelligent weighting has been carried out again, and the machine learning result of different pieces of information can be made to reach maximization after integrating.

Description

A kind of traffic behavior Forecasting Methodology of the collective model based on machine learning
Technical field
The invention belongs to traffic behavior to predict field, and in particular to a kind of traffic row of the collective model based on machine learning For Forecasting Methodology.
Background technology
Excavation and prediction of the single machine learning algorithm to pedestrian traffic behavior have good example, but due to traffic Behavior is due to what multivariable determined in itself, for different types of traffic behavior be difficult it is predicted with a kind of algorithm and Excavate, while many algorithms can not be excavated and predicted in real time.
The content of the invention
For above-mentioned technical problem present in prior art, the present invention proposes a kind of synthesis mould based on machine learning The traffic behavior Forecasting Methodology of type, it is reasonable in design, the deficiencies in the prior art are overcome, there is good effect.
To achieve these goals, the present invention adopts the following technical scheme that:
A kind of traffic behavior Forecasting Methodology of the collective model based on machine learning, using the synthesis mould based on machine learning The traffic behavior of type user is predicted, and is specifically comprised the following steps:
Step 1:Data input;
Step 2:Data type is classified;
It is defeated that different types of traffic data includes traffic user type data, period data, historical data and outside Enter the data including data;
Step 3:Machine learning is carried out to different types of data;
According to traffic theory and pedestrian traffic behavior, to different types of traffic data, calculated using different machine learning Method is excavated to traffic behavior, and is predicted according to historical record and traffic theory;
Step 4:Intelligent weighted comprehensive is carried out according to traffic historical record and current traffic condition;
Difference using different types of machine learning algorithm to the ability of processing different type traffic data, is selected optimal Algorithm process corresponding to traffic data, have by it is adjustable weighting conformable layer to algorithms of different processing after result add Power is integrated, with the result for being optimal;
Step 5:Export prediction result.
Preferably, in step 3, different machine learning algorithms includes K-means clustering algorithms (K-means Clustering algorithm, K mean cluster algorithm), ANN (Artificial Neural Network, ANN Network) algorithm, SVM (Support Vector Machine, SVMs) algorithm;Wherein, K-means clustering algorithms be used for pair Traffic user type data are handled, and artificial neural network algorithm is used to handle period data, SVMs Algorithm is used for historical data processing.
This method is by different types of machine learning algorithm Intelligent Fusion, wherein to the data of trend discrimination type The algorithm that closes on of reason is the unsupervised learning clustering algorithm in machine learning, to the artificial neural network of period data processing It is deep learning algorithm, the SVM algorithm of support vector machine for handling historical data is the sorting algorithm in supervised learning, these algorithms It is different types of algorithm in machine learning, application scenarios and algorithm structure have very big difference;Meanwhile these algorithms institute is right The data that should be handled spatial and temporal distributions in traffic data in itself, are structurally and functionally all very different;The intelligence of this method It is exactly to utilize difference of different types of machine learning algorithm to the ability of processing different type traffic data that can merge, and selection is most Traffic data corresponding to excellent algorithm process, and the result after algorithms of different processing is carried out by adjustable weighting conformable layer Weighting is integrated, the effect for being optimal.
Advantageous effects caused by the present invention:
1st, actually data are classified based on traffic, at the same again it is innovative by traffic user type data, it is period Data, historical data and the class data of outer input data four are independently handled using most rational machine learning algorithm, are protected The mutual independence of data has been held, so as to remain transport information to greatest extent, best information service is provided for prediction;
2nd, the present invention, which combines several machine learning algorithms, is excavated and is predicted to traffic behavior, is not only The superposition of several algorithms, be based on traffic theory on the basis of Intelligent Fusion platform, can to traffic behavior carry out in real time it is pre- Survey;Intelligent weighting has been carried out again, and the machine learning result of different pieces of information can be made to reach maximization after integrating.
Brief description of the drawings
Fig. 1 is the structure platform schematic diagram that the inventive method is fused into 5 layers.
Embodiment
Below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and embodiment is described in further detail to the present invention:
The structure composition as shown in figure 1, this patent method is of five storeys altogether, first layer is data input layer, and the second layer is data Classification of type layer, third layer are the machine learning algorithm layers of corresponding different types of data, and the 4th layer is remembered according to traffic history Record and current traffic condition and the intelligent weighted comprehensive layer that carries out, layer 5 is output layer.
The second layer has divided different types of traffic data, including the data of trend discrimination type, period data, history The three big species such as data;The foundation of division is on finding that three of the above is the main of influence traffic after a large amount of transport data processings Data, this dividing method is also to include the widest mode of data.
Third layer is according to traffic theory and pedestrian traffic behavior, to different types of traffic data, uses different machines Device learning algorithm to traffic behavior excavate and and is predicted wherein trend discrimination class according to historical record and traffic theory The data of type are handled by K-means clustering algorithms, and period data are handled by ANN artificial neural networks, history Data are handled by SVM algorithm of support vector machine;
4th layer of weighting intelligent algorithm, because each machine learning algorithm has when in face of different types of data Itself the advantages of and defect, this method propose the intelligence of the brand-new machine learning algorithm based on variety classes transport data processing Convergence platform.Existing traffic data algorithm platform is the platform of one species machine learning algorithm, is processing one species The machine learning algorithm of the identical type of the traffic data of type gathers together the platform of composition, such as random forests algorithm platform both It is by same kind of algorithm integration.
This method is by different types of machine learning algorithm Intelligent Fusion, wherein to the data of trend discrimination type The algorithm that closes on of reason is the unsupervised learning clustering algorithm in machine learning, to the artificial neural network of period data processing It is deep learning algorithm, the SVM algorithm of support vector machine for handling historical data is the sorting algorithm in supervised learning, these algorithms It is different types of algorithm in machine learning, application scenarios and algorithm structure have very big difference;Meanwhile these algorithms institute is right The data that should be handled spatial and temporal distributions in traffic data in itself, are structurally and functionally all very different;The intelligence of this method It is exactly to utilize difference of different types of machine learning algorithm to the ability of processing different type traffic data that can merge, and selection is most Traffic data corresponding to excellent algorithm process, and the result after algorithms of different processing is carried out by adjustable weighting conformable layer Weighting is integrated, the result for being optimal.
The inventive method creates new machine learning algorithm model, five layers of calculating processing, three kinds of different types of traffic Data combine most suitable machine learning algorithm independent process.
Certainly, described above is not limitation of the present invention, and the present invention is also not limited to the example above, this technology neck The variations, modifications, additions or substitutions that the technical staff in domain is made in the essential scope of the present invention, it should also belong to the present invention's Protection domain.

Claims (2)

1. a kind of traffic behavior Forecasting Methodology of the collective model based on machine learning, it is characterised in that use and be based on engineering The traffic behavior of the collective model user of habit is predicted, and is specifically comprised the following steps:
Step 1:Data input;
Step 2:Data type is classified;
Different types of traffic data includes traffic user type data, period data, historical data and outside input number According to data inside;
Step 3:Machine learning is carried out to different types of data;
According to traffic theory and pedestrian traffic behavior, to different types of traffic data, different machine learning algorithms pair is used Traffic behavior is excavated, and is predicted according to historical record and traffic theory;
Step 4:Intelligent weighted comprehensive is carried out according to traffic historical record and current traffic condition;
Difference using different types of machine learning algorithm to the ability of processing different type traffic data, selects optimal calculation Traffic data corresponding to method processing, there is the result after adjustable weighting conformable layer is handled algorithms of different to be weighted whole Close, with the result for being optimal;
Step 5:Export prediction result.
2. the traffic behavior Forecasting Methodology of the collective model according to claim 1 based on machine learning, it is characterised in that In step 3, different machine learning algorithms includes K-means clustering algorithms, ANN (Artificial Neural Network, artificial neural network) algorithm, SVM (Support Vector Machine, SVMs) algorithm;Wherein, K- Means clustering algorithms are used to handle traffic user type data, and artificial neural network algorithm is used for period data Handled, algorithm of support vector machine is used for historical data processing.
CN201710504173.0A 2017-06-28 2017-06-28 A kind of traffic behavior Forecasting Methodology of the collective model based on machine learning Pending CN107451599A (en)

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Cited By (5)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN108364467A (en) * 2018-02-12 2018-08-03 北京工业大学 A kind of traffic information prediction technique based on modified decision Tree algorithms
CN108648445A (en) * 2018-04-19 2018-10-12 浙江浙大中控信息技术有限公司 Dynamic traffic Tendency Prediction method based on traffic big data
CN109670644A (en) * 2018-12-20 2019-04-23 华北水利水电大学 Forecasting system and method neural network based
CN110458325A (en) * 2019-07-03 2019-11-15 青岛海信网络科技股份有限公司 A kind of traffic zone passenger flow forecasting and device in short-term
TWI696124B (en) * 2017-12-15 2020-06-11 香港商阿里巴巴集團服務有限公司 Model integration method and device

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CN102637363A (en) * 2012-04-11 2012-08-15 天津大学 SVM (Support Vector Machine)-based road vehicle running speed prediction method
CN105160866A (en) * 2015-08-07 2015-12-16 浙江高速信息工程技术有限公司 Traffic flow prediction method based on deep learning nerve network structure

Patent Citations (2)

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Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN102637363A (en) * 2012-04-11 2012-08-15 天津大学 SVM (Support Vector Machine)-based road vehicle running speed prediction method
CN105160866A (en) * 2015-08-07 2015-12-16 浙江高速信息工程技术有限公司 Traffic flow prediction method based on deep learning nerve network structure

Cited By (7)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
TWI696124B (en) * 2017-12-15 2020-06-11 香港商阿里巴巴集團服務有限公司 Model integration method and device
CN108364467A (en) * 2018-02-12 2018-08-03 北京工业大学 A kind of traffic information prediction technique based on modified decision Tree algorithms
CN108648445A (en) * 2018-04-19 2018-10-12 浙江浙大中控信息技术有限公司 Dynamic traffic Tendency Prediction method based on traffic big data
CN108648445B (en) * 2018-04-19 2020-02-21 浙江浙大中控信息技术有限公司 Dynamic traffic situation prediction method based on traffic big data
CN109670644A (en) * 2018-12-20 2019-04-23 华北水利水电大学 Forecasting system and method neural network based
CN109670644B (en) * 2018-12-20 2023-04-25 华北水利水电大学 Prediction system and method based on neural network
CN110458325A (en) * 2019-07-03 2019-11-15 青岛海信网络科技股份有限公司 A kind of traffic zone passenger flow forecasting and device in short-term

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