CN107274634A - Precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards alarm computational methods and system along a kind of transmission line of electricity - Google Patents

Precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards alarm computational methods and system along a kind of transmission line of electricity Download PDF

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CN107274634A
CN107274634A CN201710572662.XA CN201710572662A CN107274634A CN 107274634 A CN107274634 A CN 107274634A CN 201710572662 A CN201710572662 A CN 201710572662A CN 107274634 A CN107274634 A CN 107274634A
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mrow
rainfall
msub
transmission line
electricity
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CN107274634B (en
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陆佳政
邸悦伦
方针
李波
徐勋建
郭俊
冯涛
李丽
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State Grid Corp of China SGCC
State Grid Hunan Electric Power Co Ltd
Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Center of State Grid Hunan Electric Power Co Ltd
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State Grid Corp of China SGCC
State Grid Hunan Electric Power Co Ltd
Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Center of State Grid Hunan Electric Power Co Ltd
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G08SIGNALLING
    • G08BSIGNALLING OR CALLING SYSTEMS; ORDER TELEGRAPHS; ALARM SYSTEMS
    • G08B21/00Alarms responsive to a single specified undesired or abnormal condition and not otherwise provided for
    • G08B21/02Alarms for ensuring the safety of persons
    • G08B21/10Alarms for ensuring the safety of persons responsive to calamitous events, e.g. tornados or earthquakes

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  • Life Sciences & Earth Sciences (AREA)
  • Environmental & Geological Engineering (AREA)
  • General Life Sciences & Earth Sciences (AREA)
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  • General Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
  • Alarm Systems (AREA)

Abstract

The invention discloses precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards alarm computational methods and system along a kind of transmission line of electricity for belonging to electrical engineering technical field, the inventive method includes:Obtain history rainfall product data, future anticipation rainfall product data and rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards easy-suffering level along transmission line of electricity;Following effective precipitation is calculated according to history rainfall product data, future anticipation rainfall product data along transmission line of electricity;Rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards alarm index is obtained according to following effective precipitation and rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards easy-suffering level exponent data;Index selection alarm severity is alerted according to rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards and Disposal Strategies are formulated according to alarm severity.The present invention for precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards influence situation along transmission line of electricity lack research, disaster alarm lack the present situation of analysis and summary there is provided transmission line of electricity along precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards alarm computational methods and systems approach novelty, clear process, simple to operate.

Description

Precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards alarm computational methods and system along a kind of transmission line of electricity
Technical field
Accused the invention belongs to precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards along electrical engineering technical field, more particularly to a kind of transmission line of electricity Alert computational methods and system.
Background technology
Heavy showers occurs often can be with strong wind, thunderstorm, and may trigger the geological disaster such as come down, cause line tripping, Broken string, column foot unstability even transformer such as are flooded at the power grid accident, such as in mid-June, 2010 to early July southern some areas Continue heavy showers and flood causes the area power grids such as Jiangxi, Fujian, Hunan, Zhejiang, Chongqing to be partially damaged, add up to stop transport 1,220kV circuits, 4,110kV transformer stations, 23, circuit, 31,35kV transformer stations, 94, circuit, 10kV distribution lines 2433 Bar, power distribution station 38646,329.63 ten thousand customer power supplies are affected;" 7.21 " Beijing torrential rain in 2012, causes mountain torrents sudden and violent Hair, causes 1 110kV transformer station to flood full cut-off, 450 kilometers of transmission line of electricity of damage, has a strong impact on electric power netting safe running.With across Area's power grid construction and development, transmission line of electricity need the region by a variety of meteorological conditions and geologic feature, the secondary geology of heavy showers Normal operation and city dweller normal production and living of the disaster easily to power system, which are brought, to be had a strong impact on, and is had and growed in intensity Gesture.And in face of this grave danger, power grid enterprises rely solely on conventional " handling afterwards " strategy easily cause it is very big Passively, be unfavorable for power network prevent and reduce natural disasters work development and rescue work deployment.
Currently, relatively fewer, especially shortage geological disaster and strong drop is carried out in geo-hazard early-warning research along transmission line of electricity Effective combination of rain, early warning effect is very limited.Therefore, consider along the transmission line of electricity of region precipitation feature and Geological conditions, set up heavy showers Secondary Geological Hazards alarm computational methods and promote prediction and warning work gesture must OK, to carry out targetedly power network heavy showers Secondary Geological Hazards prediction and warning, it is secondary that lifting electrical network facilities resist heavy showers The ability of geological disaster, safeguards power network safety operation.
The content of the invention
Present invention aims at precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards alarm computational methods and system along a kind of transmission line of electricity of offer, To solve to alert precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards the technical problem for lacking research.
To achieve the above object, calculating side is alerted the invention provides precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards along a kind of transmission line of electricity Method, comprises the following steps:
Obtain history rainfall product data, future anticipation rainfall product data and rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards along transmission line of electricity Easy-suffering level exponent data;
Following effective precipitation is calculated according to history rainfall product data, future anticipation rainfall product data along transmission line of electricity;
The rainfall time dried rhizome of rehmannia is obtained according to following effective precipitation and rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards easy-suffering level exponent data Matter disaster alerts index;
Alert Index selection alarm severity to formulate Disposal Strategies according to alarm severity according to rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards.
It is corresponding with the above method, alerted present invention also offers precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards along a kind of transmission line of electricity Computing system, including:
Data acquisition module:For obtain history rainfall product data along transmission line of electricity, future anticipation rainfall product data with And rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards easy-suffering level exponent data;
First computing module:Along according to transmission line of electricity history rainfall product data, based on future anticipation rainfall product data Calculate following effective precipitation;
Second computing module:For according to following effective precipitation and rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards easy-suffering level index number Index is alerted according to rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards are obtained;
Output module:For alerting Index selection alarm severity according to rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards with according to alarm severity system Determine Disposal Strategies.
Beneficial effects of the present invention:
1st, the influence situation of heavy showers Secondary Geological Hazards along transmission line of electricity more can be quickly grasped, power network is familiar with Response characteristic of the geological disaster to precipitation.
2nd, it is workable.
3rd, the specific aim of transmission line of electricity heavy rain Prevention And Treatment of Geological Hazards is improved.According to analysis result, it can formulate in time Emergency disposal strategy, for there is the area of precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards alarm, carries out related power network and prevents and reduces natural disasters work in advance Make arrangement, reduce grid loss.
In addition to objects, features and advantages described above, the present invention also has other objects, features and advantages. Below with reference to accompanying drawings, the present invention is further detailed explanation.
Brief description of the drawings
The accompanying drawing for constituting the part of the application is used for providing a further understanding of the present invention, schematic reality of the invention Apply example and its illustrate to be used to explain the present invention, do not constitute inappropriate limitation of the present invention.In the accompanying drawings:
Fig. 1 be along a kind of transmission line of electricity of the preferred embodiment of the present invention precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards alarm computational methods and System flow chart.
Embodiment
Embodiments of the invention are described in detail below in conjunction with accompanying drawing, but the present invention can be defined by the claims Implement with the multitude of different ways of covering.
As shown in figure 1, the flow of the inventive method includes:
History rainfall product data, future anticipation rainfall product data and the secondary geology of rainfall along S1, acquisition transmission line of electricity Disaster easy-suffering level exponent data.
Gather the rainfall product data for passing by 15 days along transmission line of electricity and following one week prediction of precipitation data, Yi Jishou The dividing condition of the secondary geology disaster easy-suffering level of heavy showers of set pair this area transmission line of electricity area along the line, according to the reality of collection Easy-suffering level is divided into three kinds of stable type, basicly stable type and instability mode by border situation.The other easy-suffering level of stationary level is referred to Number is set to 1, and basicly stable easy-suffering level index is set to 2, and unstable easy-suffering level index is set to 3.Accordingly, realize collected Whole transmission lines of electricity along heavy showers Secondary Geological Hazards easy-suffering level quantize, obtain heavy showers Secondary Geological Hazards easy Send out extent index data.
S2, following effective rainfall calculated according to history rainfall product data along transmission line of electricity, future anticipation rainfall product data Amount.
History rainfall product data and future anticipation rainfall product data along the transmission line of electricity obtained in selecting step S1, meter Following certain day effective precipitation is calculated, the present invention can calculate following 7th day effective precipitation.
S3, according to following effective precipitation and rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards easy-suffering level exponent data to obtain rainfall secondary Geological disaster alerts index.
S4, according to rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards alert Index selection alarm severity and according to alarm severity formulate disposal plan Slightly.
The present invention lacks research, disaster alarm for precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards influence situation along transmission line of electricity and lacked The present situation of analysis and summary alerts computational methods, this method thinking there is provided precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards along a kind of transmission line of electricity It is novelty, clear process, simple to operate.
Preferably, effective precipitation calculation is:
Wherein, RcThe effective precipitation of day, R will be calculated for needed for futurefThe prediction rainfall of day, R will be calculated for needed for future1 The rainfall of day proxima luce (prox. luc), R will be calculated for needed for future2The rainfall of two days a few days ago will be calculated for needed for future, the rest may be inferred, R15For The rainfall of calculating 15 days a few days ago needed for following.
Work as RcDuring for the effective precipitation of following first day, then RfFor following first day prediction rainfall, R1To calculate day The rainfall on the same day, R2To calculate the rainfall of the previous day day, the rest may be inferred, R15To calculate the rainfall before fortnight a few days ago; If calculating following second day effective precipitation, RfFor following second day prediction rainfall, R1For first day future Predict rainfall, R2For the rainfall on the day of calculating day, the rest may be inferred, R15For the rainfall before calculating 13 days a few days ago.Accordingly, Following 7th day effective precipitation can be calculated.
Preferably, rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards alarm index calculation is:
Wherein, W is heavy showers Secondary Geological Hazards alarm index along transmission line of electricity, and I is heavy showers along transmission line of electricity Secondary Geological Hazards easy-suffering level index.
Preferably, it is according to the concrete mode of rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards alarm Index selection alarm severity:
The above method is relied on, system is calculated present invention also offers precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards alarm along a kind of transmission line of electricity System, including:
Data acquisition module:For obtain history rainfall product data along transmission line of electricity, future anticipation rainfall product data with And rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards easy-suffering level;
First computing module:Along according to transmission line of electricity history rainfall product data, based on future anticipation rainfall product data Calculate following effective precipitation;
Second computing module:For according to following effective precipitation and rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards easy-suffering level index number Index is alerted according to rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards are obtained;
Output module:For alerting Index selection alarm severity and according to alarm severity system according to rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards Determine Disposal Strategies.
Preferably, the calculation of the first computing module effective precipitation is:
Wherein, RcThe effective precipitation of day, R will be calculated for needed for futurefThe prediction rainfall of day, R will be calculated for needed for future1 The rainfall of day proxima luce (prox. luc), R will be calculated for needed for future2The rainfall of two days a few days ago will be calculated for needed for future, the rest may be inferred, R15For The rainfall of calculating 15 days a few days ago needed for following.Preferably, the second computing module rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards alarm index meter Calculation mode is:
Wherein, W is heavy showers Secondary Geological Hazards alarm index along transmission line of electricity, and I is heavy showers along transmission line of electricity Secondary Geological Hazards easy-suffering level index.
Preferably, output module is according to the concrete mode of rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards alarm Index selection alarm severity:
By taking yueyang, hunan area as an example, the transmission line of electricity in collection yueyang, hunan area dropped for following one week along the line computation same day Rainfall predicts the outcome, and passes by the rainfall product data of 15 days (including calculating the same day) along local transmission line of electricity, calculates day For on June 30th, 2016.Obtaining following effective precipitation on first day (July 1) according to the calculating of effective precipitation calculation is 107 millimeters, following effective precipitation on second day (July 2) is 110 millimeters, and following effective precipitation on 3rd day (July 3) is 106 millimeters.Calculate to obtain alerting following first day (July 1) according to rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards alarm index calculation and refer to Number is 6.9, and following alarm on second day (July 2) index is 7.0, and following alarm on 3rd day (July 3) index is 6.9.According to Rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards alarm Index selection alarm severity concrete mode can obtain, due to along the transmission line of electricity of Yueyang Area not The heavy showers Secondary Geological Hazards alarm index come three days is all higher than 6.6, so the local following three days secondary geology of heavy showers Disaster alarm severity is Level 1Alarming.Relevant portion can take corresponding counter-measure according to alarm severity.
In summary, precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards alert computational methods and are along a kind of transmission line of electricity that the present invention is provided System, considers along the transmission line of electricity of region continuous many days precipitation feature and geological conditions, sets up based on secondary The Secondary Geological Hazards of geological disaster easy-suffering level index and effective precipitation alert the computational methods of index, realize secondary geology Disaster alarm severity judges.The influence situation of heavy showers Secondary Geological Hazards along transmission line of electricity more can be quickly grasped, It is familiar with response characteristic of the power network geological disaster to precipitation;Improve being directed to for transmission line of electricity heavy rain Prevention And Treatment of Geological Hazards Property.According to analysis result, emergency disposal strategy can be formulated in time, for there is the area of precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards alarm, Carry out related power network in advance to prevent and reduce natural disasters work arrangements, reduce grid loss;And with very strong operability.
The preferred embodiments of the present invention are the foregoing is only, are not intended to limit the invention, for the skill of this area For art personnel, the present invention can have various modifications and variations.Within the spirit and principles of the invention, that is made any repaiies Change, equivalent substitution, improvement etc., should be included in the scope of the protection.

Claims (8)

1. precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards alert computational methods along a kind of transmission line of electricity, it is characterised in that comprise the following steps:
History rainfall product data, future anticipation rainfall product data and rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards along transmission line of electricity are obtained easily to send out Extent index data;
Following effective precipitation is calculated according to history rainfall product data, future anticipation rainfall product data along transmission line of electricity;
The secondary geology calamity of rainfall is obtained according to following effective precipitation and rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards easy-suffering level exponent data Evil alarm index;
Alert Index selection alarm severity to formulate Disposal Strategies according to alarm severity according to rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards.
2. precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards alert computational methods, its feature along a kind of transmission line of electricity according to claim 1 It is, the effective precipitation calculation is:
<mrow> <msub> <mi>R</mi> <mi>c</mi> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <msub> <mi>R</mi> <mi>f</mi> </msub> <mo>+</mo> <msup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mfrac> <mrow> <mn>15</mn> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mn>15</mn> </mfrac> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mn>1</mn> </msup> <msub> <mi>R</mi> <mn>1</mn> </msub> <mo>+</mo> <msup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mfrac> <mrow> <mn>15</mn> <mo>-</mo> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> <mn>15</mn> </mfrac> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mn>2</mn> </msup> <msub> <mi>R</mi> <mn>2</mn> </msub> <mo>+</mo> <mn>...</mn> <mo>+</mo> <msup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mfrac> <mrow> <mn>15</mn> <mo>-</mo> <mn>14</mn> </mrow> <mn>15</mn> </mfrac> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mn>14</mn> </msup> <msub> <mi>R</mi> <mn>14</mn> </msub> <mo>+</mo> <msup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mfrac> <mrow> <mn>15</mn> <mo>-</mo> <mn>15</mn> </mrow> <mn>15</mn> </mfrac> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mn>15</mn> </msup> <msub> <mi>R</mi> <mn>15</mn> </msub> </mrow>
Wherein, RcThe effective precipitation of day, R will be calculated for needed for futurefThe prediction rainfall of day, R will be calculated for needed for future1For not The rainfall of day proxima luce (prox. luc), R are calculated needed for coming2The rainfall of two days a few days ago will be calculated for needed for future, the rest may be inferred, R15For future The required rainfall for calculating 15 days a few days ago.
3. precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards alert computational methods, its feature along a kind of transmission line of electricity according to claim 2 It is, the rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards alarm index calculation is:
<mrow> <mi>W</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>5</mn> <mo>&amp;times;</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mo>|</mo> <mfrac> <mi>I</mi> <mn>3</mn> </mfrac> <mo>|</mo> <mo>+</mo> <mo>|</mo> <mfrac> <msub> <mi>R</mi> <mi>c</mi> </msub> <mn>150</mn> </mfrac> <mo>|</mo> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>
Wherein, W is heavy showers Secondary Geological Hazards alarm index along transmission line of electricity, and I is that heavy showers is secondary along transmission line of electricity Geological disaster easy-suffering level exponent data.
4. precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards alert computational methods, its feature along a kind of transmission line of electricity according to claim 3 It is, the concrete mode according to rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards alarm Index selection alarm severity is:
5. precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards alert computing system along a kind of transmission line of electricity, it is characterised in that including:
Data acquisition module:For obtaining history rainfall product data along transmission line of electricity, future anticipation rainfall product data and drop Rain Secondary Geological Hazards easy-suffering level exponent data;
First computing module:For being calculated not according to history rainfall product data, future anticipation rainfall product data along transmission line of electricity Carry out effective precipitation;
Second computing module:For being obtained according to following effective precipitation and rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards easy-suffering level exponent data Index is alerted to rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards;
Output module:For alerting Index selection alarm severity according to rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards with according to alarm severity formulation Put strategy.
6. precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards alert computing system, its feature along a kind of transmission line of electricity according to claim 5 It is, the calculation of the first computing module effective precipitation is:
<mrow> <msub> <mi>R</mi> <mi>c</mi> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <msub> <mi>R</mi> <mi>f</mi> </msub> <mo>+</mo> <msup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mfrac> <mrow> <mn>15</mn> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mn>15</mn> </mfrac> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mn>1</mn> </msup> <msub> <mi>R</mi> <mn>1</mn> </msub> <mo>+</mo> <msup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mfrac> <mrow> <mn>15</mn> <mo>-</mo> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> <mn>15</mn> </mfrac> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mn>2</mn> </msup> <msub> <mi>R</mi> <mn>2</mn> </msub> <mo>+</mo> <mn>...</mn> <mo>+</mo> <msup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mfrac> <mrow> <mn>15</mn> <mo>-</mo> <mn>14</mn> </mrow> <mn>15</mn> </mfrac> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mn>14</mn> </msup> <msub> <mi>R</mi> <mn>14</mn> </msub> <mo>+</mo> <msup> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mfrac> <mrow> <mn>15</mn> <mo>-</mo> <mn>15</mn> </mrow> <mn>15</mn> </mfrac> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mn>15</mn> </msup> <msub> <mi>R</mi> <mn>15</mn> </msub> </mrow> 1
Wherein, RcThe effective precipitation of day, R will be calculated for needed for futurefThe prediction rainfall of day, R will be calculated for needed for future1For not The rainfall of day proxima luce (prox. luc), R are calculated needed for coming2The rainfall of two days a few days ago will be calculated for needed for future, the rest may be inferred, R15For future The required rainfall for calculating 15 days a few days ago.
7. precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards alert computing system, its feature along a kind of transmission line of electricity according to claim 6 It is, the second computing module rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards alarm index calculation is:
<mrow> <mi>W</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>5</mn> <mo>&amp;times;</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mo>|</mo> <mfrac> <mi>I</mi> <mn>3</mn> </mfrac> <mo>|</mo> <mo>+</mo> <mo>|</mo> <mfrac> <msub> <mi>R</mi> <mi>c</mi> </msub> <mn>150</mn> </mfrac> <mo>|</mo> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>
Wherein, W is heavy showers Secondary Geological Hazards alarm index along transmission line of electricity, and I is that heavy showers is secondary along transmission line of electricity Geological disaster easy-suffering level index.
8. precipitation Secondary Geological Hazards alert computing system along a kind of transmission line of electricity according to claim 7, its feature exists In the concrete mode that output module alerts Index selection alarm severity according to rainfall Secondary Geological Hazards is:
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CN109188333A (en) * 2018-09-30 2019-01-11 国网湖南省电力有限公司 A kind of Resistance of Grounding Grids small scale test model and modification method
CN109518732A (en) * 2018-10-17 2019-03-26 国网湖南省电力有限公司 The cause calamity precipitation threshold value division methods and system of power grid channel Rainfall Patterns landslide disaster
CN110633858A (en) * 2019-09-18 2019-12-31 国网湖南省电力有限公司 Clustering early warning method and system for rainstorm geological disasters of power transmission line
CN110827514A (en) * 2019-11-12 2020-02-21 广州风雨雷科技有限公司 Geological monitoring system with geological disaster monitoring device

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CN104899437A (en) * 2015-05-29 2015-09-09 杭州辰青和业科技有限公司 Early-warning method for heavy-rainfall type landslide hazard
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CN104599445A (en) * 2014-11-21 2015-05-06 重庆地质矿产研究院 Multifunctional broadcast early warning rainfall monitoring system and monitoring method
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* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN109188333A (en) * 2018-09-30 2019-01-11 国网湖南省电力有限公司 A kind of Resistance of Grounding Grids small scale test model and modification method
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CN110827514A (en) * 2019-11-12 2020-02-21 广州风雨雷科技有限公司 Geological monitoring system with geological disaster monitoring device

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