Disclosure of Invention
The invention aims to overcome the defects in the prior art and provide a relative entropy prediction method for the relative complexity of the mine unexplored area structure. The prediction method can calculate the relative entropy of the relative complexity of the structure of the mined area of the same mine according to the relative entropy of the relative complexity of the structure of the mined area of the mine, so that the relative complexity of the structure of the mined area of the mine can be judged.
In order to achieve the purpose, the invention adopts the technical scheme that: the relative entropy prediction method for the relative complexity of the mine unexplored area structure is characterized by comprising the following steps of:
dividing a mined area of a mining area well field into a mined area latticed equal-performance block section consisting of a plurality of unit grids;
acquiring evaluation index data of the mined area of the mine field through the grid-shaped isocratic block of the mined area, wherein the evaluation index data comprises the fold type, the number of faults, the fault scale, the coal seam thickness abnormal index, the overlying sandstone thickness, the coal seam roof lithology, the coal seam floor elevation abnormal index and the coal seam floor contour number, the fold type, the number of faults and the fault scale are collectively called as construction type index data, and the coal seam thickness, the coal seam thickness abnormal index, the overlying sandstone thickness, the coal seam roof lithology, the coal seam floor elevation abnormal index and the coal seam floor contour number are collectively called as non-construction type index data;
thirdly, calculating a relative entropy actual value S of the relative complexity of the mined area of the mining area well field according to the construction type index data;
drawing contour lines on the equal-sex blocks according to the actual value S of the relative entropy of the relative complexity of the structure of the mined area of the mine field to form a relative complexity distinguishing diagram of the structure, and establishing a relation comparison table of the relative complexity of the structure and the relative entropy, wherein the relative complexity of the structure is divided into three levels of complexity, medium and simple;
step five, according to the relative entropy actual value S of the relative complexity of the structure of the mined area and the non-structure type index data x of the mined area and the mined areapObtaining the formula S ═ beta0+β1x1+…+βpxpThe relation parameter beta p and the relation constant beta in (1)0;
Step six, verifying a relation parameter beta p: because the relation parameter beta p is an estimated value, substituting the relation parameter beta p into a formula
Calculating the relative entropy of the relative complexity of the mined area structure of the mining area well field
Judging the calculation value of the relative entropy according to the relation comparison table of the relative complexity and the relative entropy
And whether the actual value S of the relative entropy belongs to the same construction relative complexity level, if so, adjusting the relation parameter beta p is not needed, and if not, adjusting the relation parameter beta p;
dividing the non-mining area of the mine field into non-mining area latticed equal-property blocks consisting of a plurality of cells;
step eight, acquiring non-structural type index data such as coal seam thickness, abnormal index of coal seam thickness, overlying sandstone thickness, lithology of a coal seam roof, elevation of a coal seam floor, abnormal index of elevation of the coal seam floor, number of contour lines of the coal seam floor and the like of the non-mined area of the mining area well field through the latticed isocratic block sections of the non-mined area;
ninthly, acquiring unstructured type index data X of the unexplored area of the mine fieldpSubstituting the formula S ═ β0+β1X1+…+βpXpCalculating the relative entropy S' of the relative complexity of the structure of the non-mining area of the mine field;
step ten, judging the complexity level corresponding to the relative entropy S' of the relative complexity of the structure of the non-mining area of the mining area well field by using a relation comparison table of the relative complexity of the structure and the relative entropy.
The relative entropy prediction method for the relative complexity of the mine non-mining area structure is characterized by specifically comprising the following steps of, when calculating the relative entropy actual value S of the relative complexity of the mine field and the mine field mined area structure in the third step:
301, making an entropy calculation assignment table of the construction type index data, wherein the entropy calculation assignment table assigns values to large faults, medium faults and small faults, and single-dip type flexure types, syncline flexure types, anticline flexure types and total fault numbers in fault scales according to weights;
step 302, making a statistical information table of evaluation index data of a mined area of a mining area well field, and assigning the structure type index data in the statistical information table according to the entropy value calculation assignment table;
step 303, passing a formula
Calculating a relative entropy actual value S of the relative complexity of the mined area structure of the mining area well field, wherein n is 5 to represent index numbers of five specific structure types, namely a fold type, the total number of faults, the number of large-scale faults, the number of medium-scale faults and the number of small-scale faultsAccording to the number of i, P
iThe probability of occurrence of index data i of five specific structure types, namely fold type, total number of faults, number of large-scale faults, number of medium-scale faults and number of small-scale faults is specific
Wherein X is the assignment of the assignment table to the index data of the construction type according to the entropy value calculation, and i is the number corresponding to each construction type.
The relative entropy prediction method for the relative complexity of the mine unexplored area structure is characterized in that the unit grids are square, the size of each unit grid is 200m multiplied by 200m, and the direction of each unit grid is parallel to the advancing direction of a mine working face and perpendicular to the advancing direction of the mine working face.
The relative entropy prediction method for the relative complexity of the mine unexplored area structure is characterized by comprising the following steps of:
step S1, determining coordinates at the cell center point of the equal block, specifically: firstly, connecting the center points of each unit of the equal block segments by line segments by means of computer aided drafting (AutoCAD); then selecting the line segment, obtaining coordinates of the center point of the cell by adopting a query command, and storing the coordinates as a text document;
step S2, obtaining each evaluation index data contour, specifically: drawing each evaluation index data contour line according to the range of the horizontal coordinate and the vertical coordinate of the target area by using a kriging interpolation method according to the data disclosed by drilling in the target area by using geographic data gridding drawing software Surfer to obtain a corresponding grid file, and storing the grid file as a text document;
step S3, acquiring each evaluation index data at the center point of the cell of the equal sex block, specifically: and opening the text document obtained by the geographic data gridding drawing software Surfer in the step S2 by using a spatial analysis function in the geographic information system MapGIS by using the geographic information system MapGIS, saving the text document as a grid file, opening the grid file by using an image processing function in the geographic information system MapGIS, and selecting the text document data obtained by the AutoCAD software in the step S1 so as to obtain each evaluation index data at the central point of the cell.
Compared with the prior art, the invention has the following advantages:
1. the prediction method of the invention is based on the evaluation of the relative structural complexity of the area which is already mined and exposed in the mine field, and combined with the statistical evaluation index data in the equal block of the field division, the relative structural complexity of the area which is not mined and exposed in the same mine is predicted.
2. By adopting the prediction method, different mining modes and mining parameters can be adopted according to geological conditions disclosed by unexplored areas of the mine field in the mining area and aiming at different relative complexity, and a certain technical basis is provided for safe and efficient mining of the mine.
3. The prediction method of the invention calculates the relative entropy actual value S of the relative complexity of the structure of the mined area by acquiring the evaluation index data of the mined area and mainly according to the index data of three structure types, namely the fold type, the fault number and the fault scale, and then substitutes the relative entropy actual value S of the relative complexity of the structure of the mined area and the index data of the non-structure type into a formula S ═ beta0+β1x1+…+βpxpTo calculate a relation parameter beta p and a relation constant beta0(ii) a After the relation parameter beta p is verified, the relation parameter beta p and the relation constant beta are added0And non-structural type index data X of a non-mining area of a mine fieldpSubstituting S ═ β0+β1X1+…+βpXpCalculating the relative entropy S' of the relative complexity of the structure of the non-mining area of the mine field; and finally, judging the complexity level corresponding to the relative entropy S' of the relative complexity of the structure of the non-mining area of the mining area well field by utilizing a relation comparison table of the relative complexity and the relative entropy of the structure. The prediction method is simple to operate and has a good prediction effect.
The technical solution of the present invention is further described in detail by the accompanying drawings and embodiments.
Detailed Description
A method for predicting relative entropy of relative complexity of a mine unexplored area structure as shown in fig. 1 comprises the following steps:
dividing a mined area of a mining area well field into a mined area latticed equal-performance block section consisting of a plurality of unit grids;
specifically, a contour diagram of a coal seam floor of a certain well field is used as a base map to divide a grid-shaped equal block of a mined area, the directions of unit grids in the grid-shaped equal block of the mined area are determined to be a north-south direction and a east-west direction according to the advancing direction of a working face in the well field, the unit grids are square, and the size of the unit grids is 200m multiplied by 200 m;
acquiring evaluation index data of the mined area of the mine field through the grid-shaped isocratic block of the mined area, wherein the evaluation index data comprises the fold type, the number of faults, the fault scale, the coal seam thickness abnormal index, the overlying sandstone thickness, the coal seam roof lithology, the coal seam floor elevation abnormal index and the coal seam floor contour number, the fold type, the number of faults and the fault scale are collectively called as construction type index data, and the coal seam thickness, the coal seam thickness abnormal index, the overlying sandstone thickness, the coal seam roof lithology, the coal seam floor elevation abnormal index and the coal seam floor contour number are collectively called as non-construction type index data;
the fold type mainly reflects the complexity of a fold structure, and is distinguished by three types, namely anticline, syncline and monocline, the complexity of the fold structure reflected by the three types is reduced in sequence, the fold type is determined to be anticline or syncline according to the fold axis trace type in a cell during statistics, if no fold axis trace occurs in a certain cell, the cell is considered to be corresponding to the monocline, and the corresponding monocline is taken as a statistical value of the index;
the number of faults, the index mainly reflects the development density of the faults in a certain range, and the total number of the faults in the cells is used as a statistical value of the index during statistics;
the fault scale mainly reflects the development degree of fracture structures, the fault fall is used for distinguishing, the larger the fault fall is, the more the surface fracture structure develops, and the number of large faults (fall is more than 5m), the number of medium faults (fall is 1-5 m) and the number of small faults (fall is less than 1m) are respectively recorded as the statistical values of the index during statistics according to the condition of the fall of each fault in a cell;
the fault thickness mainly reflects the spatial distribution form of the geological structure to the coal seam thickness, the change of the coal seam thickness is controlled by various geological structures, and the coal seam thickness value of the central point in a unit cell is taken as a statistical value of the index during statistics;
the abnormal index of the coal seam thickness mainly reflects the change degree of the coal seam thickness relative to the average value, the development degree of the geological structure is evaluated by the index, and the ratio of the coal seam thickness of the central point in the unit cell to the average value of the coal seam thickness revealed by the drill hole is taken as the statistical value of the index during statistics;
the overlying sandstone thickness mainly reflects the difference of the condition change of the sedimentary medium, and the thickness of the rock stratum within 50cm above the coal seam roof is taken as a statistical range;
the lithology of the coal seam roof mainly reflects the difference of the condition change of the deposited medium, the lithology of the coal seam roof has a control effect on structural deformation in the coal seam, and according to the lithology of the coal seam roof disclosed by the drilling hole, the lithology corresponding to the central point in the unit cell is taken as a statistical value of the index during statistics;
the elevation of the coal seam floor mainly reflects the change of the spatial form of the coal seam floor, the fluctuation change of the coal seam floor is the result of the reconstruction of the geological structure, and the ratio of the elevation of the coal seam floor at the central point in a unit cell to the average value of the elevation of the coal seam floor revealed by a drill hole is taken as the statistical value of the index during statistics;
the abnormal index of the elevation of the coal seam floor mainly reflects the variability of the coal seam morphology, the development degree of a geological structure is evaluated by using the index, and the ratio of the elevation of the coal seam floor at the central point in a unit cell to the average value of the elevation of the coal seam bottom edge revealed by a drilling hole is taken as a statistical value of the index during statistics;
the number of contour lines of the coal seam floor mainly reflects the degree of urgency of the inclination of the coal seam floor, the denser the contour lines of the coal seam floor, the greater the inclination degree of the coal seam floor on the surface, namely the stronger the transformation effect of the geological structure, and the number of contour lines of the coal seam floor in a unit grid is taken as the statistical value of the index during statistics;
step three, calculating a relative entropy actual value S of the relative complexity of the mined area of the mine field according to the construction type index data, which specifically comprises the following steps:
301, making an entropy calculation assignment table of the construction type index data, wherein the entropy calculation assignment table assigns values to large faults, medium faults and small faults, and single-dip type flexure types, syncline flexure types, anticline flexure types and total fault numbers in fault scales according to weights;
in the implementation, the fault belongs to a large fault with the fall of more than 5m, the fault belongs to a medium fault with the fall of 1-5 m, and the fault belongs to a small fault with the fall of less than 5 m. When assigning, weights are assigned according to the sizes of faults and ruffles, and the assignment with large size is large, whereas the assignment with small size is small.
In this embodiment, the entropy value calculation assigned table is as follows:
table 1 entropy calculation assignment table
Step 302, making a statistical information table of evaluation index data of a mined area of a mining area well field, and assigning the structure type index data in the statistical information table according to the entropy value calculation assignment table;
in this embodiment, according to table 1, when the evaluation index data of the mined area and the mined field is quantitatively processed, the anticline is represented by 4, the syncline is represented by 3, the monocline is represented by 2, the information in the statistical data cells is shown in fig. 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6, the statistical result is shown in table 2,
TABLE 2 statistical information table of some cells of the grid-shaped equal block segments of the mined area
The coal seam thickness abnormality index and the coal seam floor elevation abnormality index are calculated according to the following formula:
coal seam thickness anomaly index being average coal seam thickness/coal seam thickness
Coal seam floor elevation abnormal index is equal to coal seam floor elevation/coal seam floor elevation average value
And according to the coal seam thickness and the coal seam floor elevation numerical values revealed by the drill holes in the well field, taking the arithmetic average value as the average value of the coal seam thickness and the average value of the coal seam floor elevation.
Step 303, passing a formula
Calculating a relative entropy actual value S of the relative complexity of the mined area structure of the mining area well field, wherein n is 5 to represent the number of index data i of five specific structure types including a fold type, the total number of faults, the number of large-scale faults, the number of medium-scale faults and the number of small-scale faults, and P is
iIs of fold type, total number of fault and large sizeThe probability of occurrence of five specific structure type index data i, namely the number of fault, the number of medium-sized fault and the number of small-sized fault, is specific
Wherein X is the assignment of the assignment table to the index data of the construction type according to the entropy value calculation, and i is the number corresponding to each construction type.
In this embodiment, the specific calculation of the relative entropy actual value S of the relative complexity of the mined area and the shaft field is as follows:
drawing contour lines on the equal-sex blocks according to the relative entropy of the relative complexity of the structure of the mined area of the mine field to form a relative complexity distinguishing diagram of the structure, and establishing a relation comparison table of the relative complexity of the structure and the relative entropy, wherein the relative complexity of the structure is divided into three levels, namely complexity, medium and simple;
in this embodiment, the relationship between the relative complexity and the relative entropy is illustrated in the following table 3:
TABLE 3 construction of a relative complexity versus relative entropy
Step five, according to the relative entropy actual value S of the relative complexity of the structure of the mined area and the non-structure type index data x of the mined area and the mined areaiObtaining the formula S ═ beta0+β1x1+…+βpxpA relation parameter beta p and a relation constant beta0;
In this embodiment, the data (including the data in table 2) in the cells of the equal block segments divided by the mined area are counted according to the third step, the actual value S of the relative entropy is calculated, the actual value S of the relative entropy is used as a dependent variable, and the coal seam is processedThickness x1Coal seam thickness anomaly index x2Overlying sandstone thickness x3Lithology x of coal seam roof4Coal seam floor elevation x5And abnormal index x of elevation of coal seam floor6Number of contour lines x7As an independent variable, there is a correlation between a dependent variable and an independent variable, and the correlation is that the independent variable takes a fixed value and the dependent variable takes a value randomly within a certain error range. At the moment, the relation constant beta is estimated by adopting stepwise regression analysis based on the least square principle0Relation parameter betap。
The least squares principle, provided that a relationship constant β has been obtained
0And a relation parameter beta
p(β
1、β
2、β
3、β
4、β
5、β
6、β
7) According to the formula
Obtaining a calculated value of the relative entropy of a certain cell in the equal block
The numerical value is different from the actual relative entropy value S of the cell to obtain a calculated relative entropy value
The square of the difference with the actual value S of the relative entropy is Q, i.e.
The smaller Q is, the calculated value of the relative entropy of the cell is shown
The closer to the relative entropy actual value S, the minimum value of Q must exist, and the relationship constant beta is assumed at this time
0And a relation parameter beta
1、β
2、β
3、β
4、β
5、β
6、β
7I.e. the best estimate. According to the extreme value principle, Q is firstly respectively paired with beta
0、β
1、……、β
pCalculating partial derivative, takingThe result is 0, an equation set is established, and then the equation set is solved to obtain a relation constant beta
0And a relation parameter beta
1、β
2、β
3、β
4、β
5、β
6、β
7The following are:
in the formula, i refers to the number of cells, and j refers to the number of independent variables.
For the cell statistics listed in table 2, specific calculations are given as follows:
Si=0.8614
the stepwise regression analysis is to determine the formula S ═ beta0+β1x1+…+βpxpWhen considering each argument xpFor the importance degree of the formula, important variables which contribute a large amount to the formula are reserved, and secondary variables which contribute a small amount to the formula are removed.
Through a plurality of cells, the relation constant beta can be obtained0And a relation parameter betap(p=1,2,…);
Step six, verifying a relation parameter beta p: because the relation parameter beta p is an estimated value, substituting the relation parameter beta p into a formula
Calculating the relative entropy of the relative complexity of the mined area structure of the mining area well field
Judging the calculation value of the relative entropy according to the relation comparison table of the relative complexity and the relative entropy
And whether the actual value S of the relative entropy belongs to the same structure relative complexity degree, if so, adjusting the relation parameter beta p is not needed, and if not, adjusting the relation parameter beta p;
dividing the non-mining area of the mine field into non-mining area latticed equal-property blocks consisting of a plurality of cells;
specifically, a contour diagram of a coal bed floor of a certain well field is used as a base diagram to divide latticed equal blocks of an unexploited area, the directions of unit grids in the latticed equal blocks of the unexploited area are determined to be the north-south direction and the east-west direction according to the advancing direction of a working face in the well field, the unit grids are square, and the size of the unit grids is 200m multiplied by 200 m;
step eight, acquiring non-structural type index data such as coal seam thickness, abnormal index of coal seam thickness, overlying sandstone thickness, lithology of a coal seam roof, elevation of a coal seam floor, abnormal index of elevation of the coal seam floor, number of contour lines of the coal seam floor and the like of the non-mined area of the mining area well field through the latticed isocratic block sections of the non-mined area;
ninthly, acquiring unstructured type index data X of the unexplored area of the mine fieldpSubstituting the formula S ═ β0+β1X1+…+βpXpCalculating the relative entropy S' of the relative complexity of the structure of the non-mining area of the mine field;
step ten, judging the complexity level corresponding to the relative entropy S' of the relative complexity of the structure of the non-mining area of the mining area well field by using a relation comparison table of the relative complexity of the structure and the relative entropy.
In this embodiment, the following steps are adopted when obtaining the evaluation index data of the meshed isogenous block of the mined area and the evaluation index data of the meshed isogenous block of the non-mined area of the mining area well field:
step S1, determining coordinates at the cell center point of the equal block, specifically: firstly, connecting the center points of each unit of the equal block segments by line segments by means of computer aided drafting (AutoCAD); then selecting the line segment, obtaining coordinates of the center point of the cell by adopting a query command, and storing the coordinates as a text document;
step S2, obtaining each evaluation index data contour, specifically: drawing each evaluation index data contour line according to the range of the horizontal coordinate and the vertical coordinate of the target area by using a kriging interpolation method according to the data disclosed by drilling in the target area by using geographic data gridding drawing software Surfer to obtain a corresponding grid file, and storing the grid file as a text document;
step S3, acquiring each evaluation index data at the center point of the cell of the equal sex block, specifically: and opening the text document obtained by the geographic data gridding drawing software Surfer in the step S2 by using a spatial analysis function in the geographic information system MapGIS by using the geographic information system MapGIS, saving the text document as a grid file, opening the grid file by using an image processing function in the geographic information system MapGIS, and selecting the text document data obtained by the AutoCAD software in the step S1 so as to obtain each evaluation index data at the central point of the cell.
In this embodiment, the relative entropy prediction method for the relative complexity of the structure of the unexploded mine area predicts the relative complexity of the structure of the unexploded area in the same mine by combining statistical evaluation index data in the equal block segments divided by the mine field on the basis of evaluating the relative complexity of the structure of the area already mined and exposed by the mine field. By adopting the prediction method, different mining modes and mining parameters can be adopted according to geological conditions disclosed by unexplored areas of the mine field in the mining area and aiming at different relative complexity, and a certain technical basis is provided for safe and efficient mining of the mine.
In this embodiment, the prediction method calculates a relative entropy actual value S of the relative complexity of the structure of the mined area by acquiring evaluation index data of the mined area, mainly based on three structure type index data, namely a flexure type, a fault number and a fault scale, and substitutes the relative entropy actual value S of the relative complexity of the structure of the mined area and non-structure type index data into a formula S ═ β0+β1x1+…+βpxpTo calculate a relation parameter beta p and a relation constant beta0(ii) a After the relation parameter beta p is verified, the relation parameter beta p and the relation constant beta are added0And non-mined areas of the mine fieldStructure type index data XpSubstituting S ═ β0+β1X1+…+βpXpCalculating the relative entropy S' of the relative complexity of the structure of the non-mining area of the mine field; and finally, judging the complexity level corresponding to the relative entropy S' of the relative complexity of the structure of the non-mining area of the mining area well field by utilizing a relation comparison table of the relative complexity and the relative entropy of the structure. The prediction method is simple to operate and has a good prediction effect.
The above description is only a preferred embodiment of the present invention, and is not intended to limit the present invention, and all simple modifications, changes and equivalent structural changes made to the above embodiment according to the technical spirit of the present invention still fall within the protection scope of the technical solution of the present invention.