CN107103434A - A kind of people is because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method - Google Patents

A kind of people is because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method Download PDF

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CN107103434A
CN107103434A CN201710380136.3A CN201710380136A CN107103434A CN 107103434 A CN107103434 A CN 107103434A CN 201710380136 A CN201710380136 A CN 201710380136A CN 107103434 A CN107103434 A CN 107103434A
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people
key element
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sample
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陈婷
周大鹏
俞国勤
姚勇
高宇博
周毓颖
高敬贝
陈京
姜玉靓
彭勇
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State Grid Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd
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    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
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Abstract

The invention discloses a kind of people because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method, comprise the steps of:Step S1, collection worker at the production line's all standing people build people because of key element basic index data acquisition system because of element information;Step S2, according to people because key element basic index data acquisition system build people because of key element extensive analysis model;Step S3, structure people are because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnosis decision model;Step S4, input employee's sample data to be measured, obtain people because of the decision-making of key element comprehensive diagnos and its confidence assessment.The present invention considers subjective and objective people because of the Data Physical difference and feature of key element, analytical technology is compressed based on big datas such as information conversion, extensive analysis, realize that the depth for perceiving information of testing and assessing to the magnanimity of the covering informant of electric power one group is excavated to merge, so that basic index data set physical significance becomes apparent from, more objective comprehensively reflection people is because of the data characteristics of key element.

Description

A kind of people is because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method
Technical field
The present invention relates to safety management field, and in particular to a kind of people is because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method.
Background technology
Safety in production is a fundamental state policy of China, is to ensure that economic construction sustained, stable and coordinated development and society are pacified Fixed primary condition, is also the important symbol of progress of social civilization.The safety in production of electric power is not only before electric power industry development Carry and basis, be also that electric power enterprise plays social benefit and improves the guarantee of Business Economic Benefit, " Safety first, precaution crucial " Policy be power generation build eternal theme.
Electric power generation system is the bulky systems being made up of a variety of key elements such as material equipment, personnel.Wherein, as important set Into three digest journals such as the material technology system of part, humanistic community system and individual Member Systems, with people because key element (physiology, Psychology, sign) namely " people because dominance " to be coupled the crucial tie of whole safety production system, influence each other, phase interaction With, together constitute electric power enterprise safety in production material conditions, humanistic environment and participate in main body so that electric power safety production is in Now significant time-varying dynamic and system complexity feature, determine exploration electric power enterprise during keeping the safety in production, it is necessary to handle Hold its rule of keeping the safety in production.
From the point of view of electric power enterprise safety production system, people, thing, ring are the fundamentals for maintaining its safe condition, these three Effect and status of the key element in enterprise safety operation are all unquestionable.But in actual production, people, thing, ring three elements for The value of the security reliability of maintenance system is the presence of significant difference, wherein, environmental factor can with " people " and " thing " change And change;Meanwhile, " thing " because insecurity level greatly declined, improve " thing " because level of security need it is substantial amounts of science and technology throw Enter and be possible to produce effects;And " people " is because of the first cause of the electric power enterprise production accident caused by, by " people " is because what is had The outstanding features such as learnability, Modulatory character, its reliability still has wide room for promotion.
But at present, to people because the research practice of the key element mechanism of action and its reliability is still within starting stage, dependence person The shallow-layer explorative research less effective of work independence and equipment assisted decompression.Unification, specification, effective people are especially a lack of because wanting Plain cognitive and appraisal procedure, therefore, by improving electric power safety production because of the intervention regulation and control of key element to people, promoting cost efficiency Still shoulder heavy responsibilities.Its difficult point is mainly reflected in:
(1) people is because of the apparent cognitive complexity of key element, and target variable is normative, availability is difficult
Human body is as complicated biology system, and its physiology, psychology, sign et al. are mainly shown as the god of complexity because of key element Comprehensive through, the external sector signal of kinematic system perceives response, therefore, to the apparent cognitive still difficulty of its complicated mechanism of action It is larger.By continuing to develop in recent years, at present, the two kinds of technical ways used in application study are included based on biology The objective of the physiological signals such as electricity, physics pulse, breathing surveys perception, and the test and appraisal of the text based on subjective psychology quality.But on Two methods are stated, its mechanism of perception and result presentation mode have larger difference, be people because of key element association mechanism cognition and enter The regulation and control of one step analysis and utilization bring great difficulty.
(2) the subjective dependence of existing appraisal procedure is strong, and the diagnosis result of decision is unilateral single
The intelligent algorithm analyzed based on electric power big data is more in electric power system dispatching operation and equipment state assessment etc. Individual field is used widely, the stronger artificial neural network algorithm of such as fuzzy supervised learning ability, linear space separability Can preferable Gauss Bayes linear regression procedure and the preferable support vector cassification of high dimensional nonlinear space segmentation performance Deng many sorting techniques of intelligence.
But there is problems with above-mentioned practicing for single algorithm:First, algorithm critical performance parameters and association are defeated Entering index needs to rely on subjective experience selection, and algorithm does not possess the ability of parameter index relevance excavation in itself;Second, single calculate Method case study applicability is different, and the diagnosis result of decision obtained using single algorithm is unilateral single, causes misdiagnosis rate high.
(3) different population posies feature is ignored, the effective durability of system is not good enough
For the line operating personnel of electric power one, according to work position feature and the difference of job requirements, change can be divided into O&M, a variety of populations such as line live-line work are dispatched in power station maintenance debugging, end of stand, the different population people reflected because Key element effect source and primary and secondary feature are also not quite similar, and the people using equipment assisted decompression as target is because of key element intervention shallow-layer at present Using, do not take into full account above-mentioned post feature difference to algorithm index relevance and diagnose decision making reliability shadow Ring.
(4) effect checking process of feedback redundancy, quick response feedback mechanism shortcoming
At present, effect verifies feedback mechanism is generally filled in by feedback contact table and user visits et al. force feedback authentication Formula is constituted, and effect checking feedback procedure redundancy is cumbersome, and human cost is high, ageing not good, it is impossible to meet electric power safety production pair People assesses ageing requirement because of key element.
The content of the invention
It is an object of the invention to provide a kind of people because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method, deposited with solving above-mentioned prior art The problem of.
To reach above-mentioned purpose, the invention provides a kind of people because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method, comprise the steps of:
Step S1, collection worker at the production line's all standing people build people because of key element basic index data acquisition system because of element information;
Step S2, according to people because key element basic index data acquisition system build people because of key element extensive analysis model;
Step S3, structure people are because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnosis decision model;
Step S4, input employee's sample data to be measured, obtain people because of the decision-making of key element comprehensive diagnos and its confidence assessment.
Above-mentioned people because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method, wherein, in addition to step S5, by background system to diagnosis decision-making As a result issue push is carried out, instructs because of key element hidden danger to recall into pedestrian and administers.
Above-mentioned people because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method, wherein, in step sl, the people because element information comprising visitor See perception information and subjective perception information.
Above-mentioned people because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method, wherein, in step s 2, specifically comprise the steps of:
Step S21, by people because key element basic index data are divided into quantitative change Classical field and qualitative change section domain;
Step S22, the Classical field according to division and section domain construction people are because of key element extensive analysis model.
Above-mentioned people because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method, wherein, in step s3, specifically comprise the steps of:
Step S31, based on the analysis of sample statistics characteristic estimating, adaptive sample is carried out to basic index set sample data set This over-sampling is merged;
Step S32, parallel multiple-objection optimization carried out to index set and algorithm set based on balanced sample set, and to set Relevance depth is excavated, and bad subset non-to index/algorithm Pareto features solves optimal linked character subset;
Step S33, to optimal characteristics vector and optimum classifier set combination property carry out test checking after, The diagnosis result of decision to optimum classifier set carries out reliability fusion, and generation is directed to the people of different groups because of key element Analysis of Potential Diagnose decision model.
Above-mentioned people because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method, wherein, in step S31, specifically comprise the steps of:
Step S311, according to people because basic index data set is divided into four subsets by key element Status Type:State is excellent, In good condition, state is qualified, state is unqualified;
Step S312, the calculating a few sample collection sample number to be fused, it is calculated for each a small number of data set samples With respect to k adjacent to ratio, on this basis, ratio is closed on to relative k calculating Density Distribution is normalized;
Step S313, weighted sampled probability density estimation function of the construction based on Gaussian Profile, and it is close from the probability A few sample collection sample number to be fused of being sampled in distribution is spent, construction meets a small number of data sets of fusion of sample equilibrium condition.
Above-mentioned people because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method, wherein, in step S33, specifically comprise the steps of:
Step S331, the non-bad algorithm result of decision set structure decision matrixs of Pareto according to association;
Step S332, every a line to decision matrix take pessimistic attitude strategy and optimism policy calculation OWA to calculate respectively Son, i.e., take the minimum value and maximum of the row evaluation of estimate respectively, obtains multiple decision informations interval;
Step S333, interval left column is considered as pessimistic information source, its right row is carried out to it respectively as optimistic information source Normalization, construction represents the fuzzy decision vector of pessimistic attitude and optimism;
Step S334, the basic brief inference using α-cut methods being converted into fuzzy decision vector in DS evidence theories, and Final integrated decision-making rule is obtained based on Dempster-Shafer reliability fusion rules, so as to judge people because of key element sample End-state type affiliation.
Relative to prior art, the invention has the advantages that:
(1) subjective and objective people is considered because of the Data Physical difference and feature of key element, based on information conversion, extensive analysis etc. Big data compresses analytical technology, realizes that the depth for perceiving information of testing and assessing to the magnanimity of the covering informant of electric power one group is excavated and merges, makes Obtain basic index data set physical significance to become apparent from, more objective comprehensively reflection people is because of the data characteristics of key element.
(2) the different line operation colonies of electric power one, the subdivision differentiation of identical operation colony different conditions type are taken into full account, Comprehensively utilize the artificial intelligence technologys such as parallel multiple-objection optimization, evidence theory information depth integration and build people because of key element Analysis of Potential Decision model is diagnosed, intelligent diagnostics integrated decision-making information bank is established, makes the diagnosis result of decision fairer and more reasonable.
Brief description of the drawings
Fig. 1 is the present inventor because of the flow chart of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method;
Fig. 2 is for structure people because key element Analysis of Potential diagnoses the flow chart of decision model;
Fig. 3 is the flow chart that multiobjective optimization index/algorithm relation integration parallel optimization is excavated with depth.
Embodiment
Below in conjunction with accompanying drawing, by specific embodiment, the invention will be further described, and these embodiments are merely to illustrate The present invention, is not limiting the scope of the invention.
As shown in figure 1, being comprised the steps of the invention provides a kind of people because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method:
Step S1, collection worker at the production line's all standing people build people because of key element basic index data acquisition system because of element information;
Step S2, according to people because key element basic index data acquisition system build people because of key element extensive analysis model;
Step S3, structure people are because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnosis decision model;
Step S4, input employee's sample data to be measured, obtain people because of the decision-making of key element comprehensive diagnos and its confidence assessment.
Above-mentioned people because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method, wherein, in addition to step S5, by background system to diagnosis decision-making As a result issue push is carried out, instructs because of key element hidden danger to recall into pedestrian and administers.
Background system real-time collecting employee's index sample information on the regular payroll, realizes data analysis and learning management, user monitoring The basic functions such as management, communication acquisition management, abnormal user active forewarning.On above-mentioned functions optimized integration, first with reference to cloud Platform construction " employee-teams and groups-company " multistage network framework, and backstage Analysis of Policy Making and push are carried out, complete employee personal pre- Alert, problem escalation, teams and groups are periodically integrated, adjust guidance, and company leader's backtracking is dredged, the different Functional divisions of index management and control, real Existing resource-sharing and information mutual communication, ageing, the lifting electric power safety life to greatest extent that enhancing people eliminates by key element hidden danger The cost efficiency ability of production.
The system meets different computer hardwares and the portability and interoperability of operating system, with flat across many hardware The characteristics of platform, system Construction scale can have very large option leeway according to computer type difference.Systematic difference can be according to user Demand be distributed on different machines, equipment both can be based on risc architecture or based on CISC structures.Weight The node wanted supports two-shipper, double net patterns, with the reliability of safeguards system, and realizes load balancing, and advance data collection can Support to receive remote action data with network mode in a usual manner, server uses redundant configuration, database server and disk battle array Row can use cluster management, constitute the data center of the whole network.
Background analysis also includes real time propelling movement with supplying system and recalls application platform, enables after test employee's real-time reception The real-time analysis decision information that the service of platform System Back-end is pushed, teams and groups and company management and control personnel can also receive immediately, inquiry person Work status type, and backtracking management and control online is carried out, without artificial return visit, operating efficiency is greatly improved, the normal of movement is realized Stateization monitors demand.
Above-mentioned people because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method, wherein, in step sl, the people because element information comprising visitor See perception information and subjective perception information.The objective perception information is gathered by wearable physiology sensing equipment, is mainly included The physiology real time information such as pulsation, breathing.Supervisor's information is gathered by cell-phone customer terminal, and subjective quality is provided with it and is surveyed from old Table is commented, subjective quality covers mental health state, post power quality, post capability quality and post personality element from old test and appraisal The subjective psychology physiology key element of the comprehensive general post competency of electric power worker at the production line of reflection comprehensively such as matter, using multinomial standardization , self with good reliability and validity carries out synthesis measuring to measured employee, and entered by level weighted analysis Overall psychological quality of the row from old test and appraisal Quantitative marking, on this basis each measured employee of Comprehensive Assessment.
Above-mentioned people because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method, wherein, in step s 2, specifically comprise the steps of:
Step S21, by people because key element basic index data be divided into quantitative change Classical field (normal condition basic quantitative change requirement Scope) and qualitative change section domain (the qualitative change scope that state changes);
Step S22, the Classical field according to division and section domain construction people are because of key element extensive analysis model.
As shown in Fig. 2 above-mentioned people is because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method, wherein, in step s3, specifically comprising following Step:
Step S31, based on the analysis of sample statistics characteristic estimating, adaptive sample is carried out to basic index set sample data set This over-sampling is merged;
Step S32, as shown in figure 3, excellent to index set and the parallel multiple target of algorithm set progress based on balanced sample set Change, and set associativity depth is excavated, bad subset non-to index/algorithm Pareto features solves optimal linked character subset;
The particle rapidity and location updating of multiple target effective information adaptive particle swarm optimization algorithm (EIA-MOPSO) are based on Following weight criterion:(1) Inertia:Based on nearest movement velocity vector;(2) memory term:Based on same particle optimal particle position Put vector;(3) global keys:Based on population history optimum particle position information.Pass through Inertia, memory term and global keys three Ranking operation, it is ensured that global optimum's characteristic of final gained Pareto feature noninferior solutions.
Step S33, to optimal characteristics vector and optimum classifier set combination property carry out test checking after, The diagnosis result of decision to optimum classifier set carries out reliability fusion, and generation is directed to the people of different groups because of key element Analysis of Potential Diagnose decision model.
Obtain Pareto non-bad index sets and its association associated for different conditions type crowd sample set , it is necessary to effectively be believed the single result of decision of many algorithms by effective combined decision rule after the non-bad algorithm sets of Pareto Breath fusion, so as to obtain the more objective rational comprehensive diagnos result of decision.The process is using fuzzy careful based on evidential reasoning Average (FCOWA-ER) the reliability blending algorithm of careful Ordered Weighted, it is the uncertain inference side under a kind of multiple attribute decision making (MADM) framework Method.The basis of this method is DS evidence theories, and basic thought is under multiple attribute decision making (MADM) framework, respectively with most pessimistic and most optimistic Attitude constructs two fuzzy membership functions, mass the function mPess and mOpti of two kinds of attitudes of correspondence is obtained by α-cut, most Last decision-making is made based on Dempster rules of combination and decision rule afterwards.
Above-mentioned people because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method, wherein, in step S31, specifically comprise the steps of:
Step S311, according to people because basic index data set is divided into four subsets by key element Status Type:State is excellent, In good condition, state is qualified, state is unqualified;
Step S312, the calculating a few sample collection sample number to be fused, it is calculated for each a small number of data set samples With respect to k adjacent to ratio, on this basis, ratio is closed on to relative k calculating Density Distribution is normalized;
Step S313, weighted sampled probability density estimation function of the construction based on Gaussian Profile, and it is close from the probability A few sample collection sample number to be fused of being sampled in distribution is spent, construction meets a small number of data sets of fusion of sample equilibrium condition.
Above-mentioned people because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method, wherein, in step S33, specifically comprise the steps of:
Step S331, the non-bad algorithm result of decision set structure decision matrixs of Pareto according to association;
Step S332, every a line to decision matrix take pessimistic attitude strategy and optimism policy calculation OWA to calculate respectively Son, i.e., take the minimum value and maximum of the row evaluation of estimate respectively, obtains multiple decision informations interval;
Step S333, interval left column is considered as pessimistic information source, its right row is carried out to it respectively as optimistic information source Normalization, construction represents the fuzzy decision vector of pessimistic attitude and optimism;
Step S334, the basic brief inference using α-cut methods being converted into fuzzy decision vector in DS evidence theories, and Final integrated decision-making rule is obtained based on Dempster-Shafer reliability fusion rules, so as to judge people because of key element sample End-state type affiliation.
In summary, the present invention considers subjective and objective people because of the Data Physical difference and feature of key element, is become based on information Change, the big data such as extensive analysis compression analytical technology, realize the depth that information of testing and assessing is perceived to the magnanimity of the covering informant of electric power one group Degree excavates fusion so that basic index data set physical significance becomes apparent from, and more objective comprehensively reflection people is because of the number of key element According to feature.The present invention simultaneously taken into full account the different line operation colonies of electric power one, identical operation colony different conditions type it is thin Divide differentiation, comprehensively utilize the artificial intelligence technologys such as parallel multiple-objection optimization, evidence theory information depth integration and build people because wanting Plain Analysis of Potential diagnoses decision model, establishes intelligent diagnostics integrated decision-making information bank, allows the diagnosis result of decision is more fair to close Reason.
Although present disclosure is discussed in detail by above preferred embodiment, but it should be appreciated that above-mentioned Description is not considered as limitation of the present invention.After those skilled in the art have read the above, for the present invention's A variety of modifications and substitutions all will be apparent.Therefore, protection scope of the present invention should be limited to the appended claims.

Claims (7)

1. a kind of people is because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method, it is characterised in that comprise the steps of:
Step S1, collection worker at the production line's all standing people build people because of key element basic index data acquisition system because of element information;
Step S2, according to people because key element basic index data acquisition system build people because of key element extensive analysis model;
Step S3, structure people are because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnosis decision model;
Step S4, input employee's sample data to be measured, obtain people because of the decision-making of key element comprehensive diagnos and its confidence assessment.
2. people as claimed in claim 1 is because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method, it is characterised in that also including step S5, by rear Platform system carries out issue push to the diagnosis result of decision, instructs because of key element hidden danger to recall into pedestrian and administers.
3. people as claimed in claim 1 is because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method, it is characterised in that in step sl, the people Because element information includes objective perception information and subjective perception information.
4. people as claimed in claim 1 is because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method, it is characterised in that in step s 2, specific bag Containing following steps:
Step S21, by people because key element basic index data are divided into quantitative change Classical field and qualitative change section domain;
Step S22, the Classical field according to division and section domain construction people are because of key element extensive analysis model.
5. people as claimed in claim 1 is because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method, it is characterised in that in step s3, specific bag Containing following steps:
Step S31, based on the analysis of sample statistics characteristic estimating, adaptive sample mistake is carried out to basic index set sample data set Sampling fusion;
Step S32, parallel multiple-objection optimization carried out to index set and algorithm set based on balanced sample set, and to set associative Property depth excavate, bad subset non-to index/algorithm Pareto features solves optimal linked character subset;
Step S33, to optimal characteristics vector and optimum classifier set combination property carry out test checking after, to most The diagnosis result of decision of excellent grader set carries out reliability fusion, and generation is directed to the people of different groups because key element Analysis of Potential is diagnosed Decision model.
6. people as claimed in claim 5 is because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method, it is characterised in that in step S31, specific bag Containing following steps:
Step S311, basic index data set is divided into four subsets:State is excellent, in good condition, state is qualified, state not It is qualified;
Step S312, the calculating a few sample collection sample number to be fused, its is calculated with respect to k for each a small number of data set samples Neighbouring ratio, on this basis, closes on ratio to relative k and calculating Density Distribution is normalized;
Step S313, weighted sampled probability density estimation function of the construction based on Gaussian Profile, and divide from the probability density Sampled in cloth a few sample collection sample number to be fused, construction meets a small number of data sets of fusion of sample equilibrium condition.
7. people as claimed in claim 5 is because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method, it is characterised in that in step S33, specific bag Containing following steps:
Step S331, the non-bad algorithm result of decision set structure decision matrixs of Pareto according to association;
Step S332, every a line to decision matrix take pessimistic attitude strategy and optimism policy calculation OWA operators respectively, i.e., The minimum value and maximum of the row evaluation of estimate are taken respectively, obtain multiple decision informations interval;
Step S333, interval left column is considered as pessimistic information source, its right row carries out normalizing to it respectively as optimistic information source Change, construction represents the fuzzy decision vector of pessimistic attitude and optimism;
Step S334, the basic brief inference using α-cut methods being converted into fuzzy decision vector in DS evidence theories, and be based on Dempster-Shafer reliability fusion rules obtain final integrated decision-making rule, so as to judge that people is final because of key element sample Status Type belongs to.
CN201710380136.3A 2017-05-25 2017-05-25 A kind of people is because of key element Analysis of Potential diagnostic method Pending CN107103434A (en)

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Cited By (3)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN107992880A (en) * 2017-11-13 2018-05-04 山东斯博科特电气技术有限公司 A kind of optimal lump classification method for diagnosing faults of power transformer
CN113656123A (en) * 2021-07-28 2021-11-16 上海纽盾科技股份有限公司 Information evaluation method, device and system for equal protection evaluation
CN116109296A (en) * 2023-04-07 2023-05-12 北京中建源建筑工程管理有限公司 Positioning repair method and system for hidden danger of building quality

Cited By (4)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN107992880A (en) * 2017-11-13 2018-05-04 山东斯博科特电气技术有限公司 A kind of optimal lump classification method for diagnosing faults of power transformer
CN113656123A (en) * 2021-07-28 2021-11-16 上海纽盾科技股份有限公司 Information evaluation method, device and system for equal protection evaluation
CN113656123B (en) * 2021-07-28 2023-05-16 上海纽盾科技股份有限公司 Information evaluation method, device and system for equal-protection evaluation
CN116109296A (en) * 2023-04-07 2023-05-12 北京中建源建筑工程管理有限公司 Positioning repair method and system for hidden danger of building quality

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