CN107067168A - Realize national multizone low-carbon policy design and planing method that Optimum Economic increases - Google Patents
Realize national multizone low-carbon policy design and planing method that Optimum Economic increases Download PDFInfo
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- CN107067168A CN107067168A CN201710224609.0A CN201710224609A CN107067168A CN 107067168 A CN107067168 A CN 107067168A CN 201710224609 A CN201710224609 A CN 201710224609A CN 107067168 A CN107067168 A CN 107067168A
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- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
- G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
- G06Q10/063—Operations research, analysis or management
- G06Q10/0631—Resource planning, allocation, distributing or scheduling for enterprises or organisations
- G06Q10/06315—Needs-based resource requirements planning or analysis
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- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
- G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
- G06Q10/063—Operations research, analysis or management
- G06Q10/0637—Strategic management or analysis, e.g. setting a goal or target of an organisation; Planning actions based on goals; Analysis or evaluation of effectiveness of goals
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- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q50/00—Systems or methods specially adapted for specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
- G06Q50/10—Services
- G06Q50/26—Government or public services
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- Y—GENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
- Y02—TECHNOLOGIES OR APPLICATIONS FOR MITIGATION OR ADAPTATION AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE
- Y02P—CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION TECHNOLOGIES IN THE PRODUCTION OR PROCESSING OF GOODS
- Y02P90/00—Enabling technologies with a potential contribution to greenhouse gas [GHG] emissions mitigation
- Y02P90/80—Management or planning
- Y02P90/84—Greenhouse gas [GHG] management systems
Abstract
National multizone low-carbon policy design and planing method that Optimum Economic increases are realized the invention discloses a kind of, national multizone Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model and the coupling model of global multizone Optimum Economic model of growth are initially set up, to predict the society after national each various low-carbon policy executions in region under Future Climate Change scene, economy, the energy, environmental development path；Low-carbon policy comprehensive assessment index system is set up, the resultant effect of various low-carbon policies is assessed；National multizone low-carbon policy design and planning platform are set up, realizes that policy sets flexibility and the visualization of assessment result.It lifts emission reduction benefit while realizing that Optimum Economic increases, and strong operability, assessment result is reliable, can be widely applied to multizone emission reduction policy making, instructs the production and selling of enterprise.
Description
Technical field
It is specifically a kind of to realize the national multizone low-carbon policy that Optimum Economic increases the present invention relates to planing method field
Design and planing method.
Background technology
Current low-carbon policy design is more based on the dynamic Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of recurrence with planning, it is difficult to realize optimal
Growth Route；Lack unified appraisement system, it is difficult to the quality of relatively more different policy implementation results；Policy design and policy result
Assess and lack visualization, modularized interfaces.
The content of the invention realizes the national multizone low-carbon policy that Optimum Economic increases it is an object of the invention to provide a kind of
Design and planing method, to solve the problem of prior art low-carbon policy design is with planing method Shortcomings.
In order to achieve the above object, the technical solution adopted in the present invention is：
Realize national multizone low-carbon policy design and planing method that Optimum Economic increases, it is characterised in that：Including following step
Suddenly：
（1）, build national multizone Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, and global multizone Optimum Economic model of growth；
（2）, build national multizone Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model and the coupling machine of global multizone Optimum Economic model of growth
In system, coupling mechanism national multizone Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model is determined using global multizone Optimum Economic model of growth
Increase rate of investment, increases while calibrating global multizone Optimum Economic in turn using national multizone Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model
The economic growth rate and carbon emission growth rate of long model, national multizone Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model is set up by this coupling mechanism
With the coupling model of global multizone Optimum Economic model of growth；
（3）, setting area low-carbon policy or policy mix scheme and Future Climate Change scene, region low-carbon policy scheme is defeated
Enter national multizone Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, to predict national each each policy society in region under Future Climate Change scene
Meeting, economy, the energy, environmental index result, while Future Climate Change scene is inputted into global multizone Optimum Economic increases mould
Type, to predict the global climate index result under Future Climate Change scene；
（4）, introduce evaluation index weight, set up the comprehensive assessment index system that adaptive various decision-makings are considered；
（5）, utilize comprehensive estimation method, calculate national each region low-carbon policy or policy mix comprehensive grading；
（6）, utilize the comprehensive grading of the every policy in national each region or policy mix, form national each region low-carbon policy or political affairs
The suggestion report of plan combinatorial programming.
Described realizes national multizone low-carbon policy design and planing method that Optimum Economic increases, it is characterised in that：
The national multizone Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model is built based on national energy environmental policy, and the national multizone can calculate one
As equilibrium model cover more than the 40 of domestic each region and plant industry, each each enterprise of region every profession and trade can be simulated and be based on profit most
Organization of production behavior and production marketing behavior that the principle changed greatly is carried out, described organization of production behavior refer to that enterprise determines
Oneself current yield level for needing to reach, it is determined that needing the various inputs of buying in production, includes the number of various raw material
Amount, need the manpower put into, need all kinds of energy that the Input Level of the capitals such as supporting plant and equipment and needing is paid into
This, wherein various inputs may be from one's respective area, other domestic regions or foreign countries, described production marketing behavior includes layout and existed
In one's respective area, other domestic regions and the external marketing scale that should be reached, and each enterprise's organization of production behavior described in model
Parameter, the parameter of each enterprise product sales behavior of description, the parameter of description income just sub-distribution and the sub-distribution again of description income
Parameter it is true and reliable, the parameter of described each enterprise's organization of production behavior of description, the correspondence input according to input-output table
Row are set, consistent with the input inventory that the enterprise practical is produced, the parameter of each enterprise product sale of described description, according to input
The corresponding output row of output tables is set, consistent with the actual use whereabouts of the product, and the ginseng of just sub-distribution is taken in described description
Number, is set, the capital point provided according to the loan capital owner according to the work distribution labour remuneration that the labour owner provides
Set with interest income, the capital allocation bonus or undistributed profit provided according to the equity owner is set, and according to government because
Directly or indirectly intervene production process and obtain production charge or pay subsidy setting, the ginseng of sub-distribution again is taken in described description
Number, is set according to the various transfer payments between country, enterprise and residential households.
Described realizes national multizone low-carbon policy design and planing method that Optimum Economic increases, it is characterised in that：
The global multizone Optimum Economic model of growth is based on economic system, weather and geophysics system and built.
The present invention proposes the national multizone low-carbon policy design and planning platform development side for realizing that Optimum Economic increases
Method, the theory based on general equilibrium model is coupled with Optimum Economic model of growth, overcomes recurrence Dynamic General Equilibrium model
Defect, and realize under the premise of Optimum Economic increases and reduce social economy's cost of emission reduction policy to greatest extent, lift emission reduction
Comprehensive benefit；The national multizone low carbon development policy comprehensive assessment system based on general equilibrium is established, a variety of states are assessed
Family multizone low-carbon policy when there is provided unified evaluation index and criterion, can obtain national each region low-carbon policy or
The comprehensive grading of policy mix, selects optimal policy mix；It is easy to policy maker that low-carbon political affairs are flexibly set in visual interface
Plan and analysis Assessment of Policy result, also allow for each enterprise of every profession and trade and determine under every low-carbon policy, in order to maintain its own
The competitiveness of profitability and product, it should how to adjust the sales tactics of production strategy and product.
Compared with the prior art, the present invention has the beneficial effect that：
The present invention's realizes national multizone low-carbon policy design and planning platform method of production that Optimum Economic increases, based on one
As equilibrium model theory, coupled with Optimum Economic model of growth, overcome the defect of recurrence Dynamic General Equilibrium model, and real
Showed reduces social economy's cost of emission reduction policy to greatest extent under the premise of Optimum Economic increases, the comprehensive effect of lifting emission reduction
Benefit；The national multizone low carbon development policy comprehensive assessment system based on general equilibrium is established, a variety of national multizones are assessed
There is provided unified evaluation index and criterion during low-carbon policy, national each region low-carbon policy or policy mix can obtain
Comprehensive grading, select optimal policy mix；It is easy to policy maker that low-carbon policy and analysis are flexibly set in visual interface
Assessment of Policy result, also allows for each enterprise of every profession and trade and determines under every low-carbon policy, in order to maintain the profitability of its own
With the competitiveness of product, it should how to adjust the sales tactics of production strategy and product.It is a kind of strong operability, assessment result can
Lean on, realize national multizone low-carbon policy design and planning platform method of production that Optimum Economic increases, can be widely applied to each
Enterprise's production of region emission reduction policy making and optimization.
Brief description of the drawings
Fig. 1 is method flow schematic diagram of the invention.
Embodiment
As shown in figure 1, national multizone low-carbon policy design and planing method that Optimum Economic increases are realized, including it is following
Step：
（1）, build national multizone Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, and global multizone Optimum Economic model of growth；
（2）, build national multizone Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model and the coupling machine of global multizone Optimum Economic model of growth
In system, coupling mechanism national multizone Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model is determined using global multizone Optimum Economic model of growth
Increase rate of investment, increases while calibrating global multizone Optimum Economic in turn using national multizone Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model
The economic growth rate and carbon emission growth rate of long model, national multizone Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model is set up by this coupling mechanism
With the coupling model of global multizone Optimum Economic model of growth；
（3）, setting area low-carbon policy or policy mix scheme and Future Climate Change scene, region low-carbon policy scheme is defeated
Enter national multizone Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, to predict national each each policy society in region under Future Climate Change scene
Meeting, economy, the energy, environmental index result, while Future Climate Change scene is inputted into global multizone Optimum Economic increases mould
Type, to predict the global climate index result under Future Climate Change scene；
（4）, introduce evaluation index weight, set up the comprehensive assessment index system that adaptive various decision-makings are considered；
（5）, utilize comprehensive estimation method, calculate national each region low-carbon policy or policy mix comprehensive grading；
（6）, utilize the comprehensive grading of the every policy in national each region or policy mix, form national each region low-carbon policy or political affairs
The suggestion report of plan combinatorial programming.
National multizone Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model is built based on national energy environmental policy.The national multizone can be counted
Calculation general equilibrium model covers more than the 40 of domestic each region and plants industry, can simulate each each enterprise of region every profession and trade and be based on profit
Moisten organization of production behavior and production marketing behavior that maximized principle is carried out.Described organization of production behavior refers to enterprise
Oneself current yield level for needing to reach is determined, it is determined that the various inputs of buying are needed in production, including various raw material
Quantity, need the manpower put into, need the Input Level of the capitals such as supporting plant and equipment and need all kinds of energy paid
Source cost, wherein various inputs may be from one's respective area, other domestic regions or foreign countries.Described production marketing behavior includes cloth
Office is in one's respective area, the marketing scale that other domestic regions and foreign countries should reach.And each enterprise's organization of production described in model
Parameter, the parameter of each enterprise product sales behavior of description, the parameter of description income just sub-distribution and the description income of behavior are again
The parameter of distribution is true and reliable.The parameter of described each enterprise's organization of production behavior of description, the correspondence according to input-output table
Input row are set, consistent with the input inventory that the enterprise practical is produced.The parameter of each enterprise product sale of described description, foundation
The corresponding output row of input-output table is set, consistent with the actual use whereabouts of the product.Described description income just sub-distribution
Parameter, set according to the work distribution labour remuneration that the labour owner provides, the money provided according to the loan capital owner
This distribution interest income is set, and the capital allocation bonus or undistributed profit provided according to the equity owner is set, and according to political affairs
Mansion obtains production charge because directly or indirectly intervening production process or pays subsidy and sets.Sub-distribution again is taken in described description
Parameter, is set according to the various transfer payments between country, enterprise and residential households.
Global multizone Optimum Economic model of growth is based on economic system, weather and geophysics system and built.
In the present invention, the effect of Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model is to portray the method for operation of economic system in detail, including be
The behavioural characteristic and whole system of various producers and consumers reaches all commodity during balance between supply and demand, service and wanted in system
Quantity delivered, demand and the price of element；The effect of Optimum Economic model of growth is to set up the long-term rule for meeting economic development
Draw.
Claims (3)
1. realize national multizone low-carbon policy design and planing method that Optimum Economic increases, it is characterised in that：Including following
Step：
（1）, build national multizone Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, and global multizone Optimum Economic model of growth；
（2）, build national multizone Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model and the coupling machine of global multizone Optimum Economic model of growth
In system, coupling mechanism national multizone Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model is determined using global multizone Optimum Economic model of growth
Increase rate of investment, increases while calibrating global multizone Optimum Economic in turn using national multizone Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model
The economic growth rate and carbon emission growth rate of long model, national multizone Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model is set up by this coupling mechanism
With the coupling model of global multizone Optimum Economic model of growth；
（3）, setting area low-carbon policy or policy mix scheme and Future Climate Change scene, region low-carbon policy scheme is defeated
Enter national multizone Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, to predict national each each policy society in region under Future Climate Change scene
Meeting, economy, the energy, environmental index result, while Future Climate Change scene is inputted into global multizone Optimum Economic increases mould
Type, to predict the global climate index result under Future Climate Change scene；
（4）, introduce evaluation index weight, set up the comprehensive assessment index system that adaptive various decision-makings are considered；
（5）, utilize comprehensive estimation method, calculate national each region low-carbon policy or policy mix comprehensive grading；
（6）, utilize the comprehensive grading of the every policy in national each region or policy mix, form national each region low-carbon policy or political affairs
The suggestion report of plan combinatorial programming.
2. according to claim 1 realize national multizone low-carbon policy design and planing method that Optimum Economic increases,
It is characterized in that：The national multizone Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model is built based on national energy environmental policy, and the country is more
What region Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model covered domestic each region more than 40 plants industry, can simulate each region every profession and trade and respectively look forward to
Organization of production behavior and production marketing behavior that principle of the industry based on profit maximization is carried out, described organization of production behavior refer to
Be enterprise determine oneself it is current need the yield level that reaches, it is determined that need the various inputs of buying in production, including each
The quantity of raw material is planted, the manpower put into is needed, needs the Input Level of the capitals such as supporting plant and equipment and need to pay
All kinds of energy costs, wherein various inputs may be from one's respective area, other domestic regions or foreign countries, described production marketing row
Be include being laid out in one's respective area, other domestic regions and the external marketing scale that should be reached, and each enterprise described in model
Parameter, the parameter of each enterprise product sales behavior of description, the parameter of description income just sub-distribution and the description of organization of production behavior
The parameter for taking in sub-distribution again is true and reliable, the described parameter for describing each enterprise's organization of production behavior, according to input and output
The correspondence input row of table are set, consistent with the input inventory that the enterprise practical is produced, each enterprise product sale of described description
Parameter, the corresponding output row according to input-output table is set, consistent with the actual use whereabouts of the product, described description income
The parameter of first sub-distribution, is set according to the work distribution labour remuneration that the labour owner provides, according to the loan capital owner
The capital allocation interest income of offer is set, and the capital allocation bonus or undistributed profit provided according to the equity owner is set,
And production charge is obtained because directly or indirectly intervening production process according to government or subsidy setting is paid, described description income is again
The parameter of sub-distribution, is set according to the various transfer payments between country, enterprise and residential households.
3. according to claim 1 realize national multizone low-carbon policy design and planing method that Optimum Economic increases,
It is characterized in that：The global multizone Optimum Economic model of growth is based on economic system, weather and geophysics system and built.
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Cited By (3)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN109191303A (en) * | 2018-11-08 | 2019-01-11 | 迟祥 | A kind of mode system of accurate calculation land resources and real estate worth curve |
| CN110084506A (en) * | 2019-04-23 | 2019-08-02 | 兰州环境能源交易中心有限公司 | Low-carbon analysis and assessment system |
| CN112990715A (en) * | 2021-03-22 | 2021-06-18 | 数字浙江技术运营有限公司 | Policy information pushing method and device |
-
2017
- 2017-04-07 CN CN201710224609.0A patent/CN107067168A/en active Pending
Cited By (3)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN109191303A (en) * | 2018-11-08 | 2019-01-11 | 迟祥 | A kind of mode system of accurate calculation land resources and real estate worth curve |
| CN110084506A (en) * | 2019-04-23 | 2019-08-02 | 兰州环境能源交易中心有限公司 | Low-carbon analysis and assessment system |
| CN112990715A (en) * | 2021-03-22 | 2021-06-18 | 数字浙江技术运营有限公司 | Policy information pushing method and device |
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Application publication date: 20170818 |