CN106710218A - Method for predicting arrival time of bus - Google Patents

Method for predicting arrival time of bus Download PDF

Info

Publication number
CN106710218A
CN106710218A CN201710137914.6A CN201710137914A CN106710218A CN 106710218 A CN106710218 A CN 106710218A CN 201710137914 A CN201710137914 A CN 201710137914A CN 106710218 A CN106710218 A CN 106710218A
Authority
CN
China
Prior art keywords
vehicle
gps
point
road chain
data
Prior art date
Legal status (The legal status is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the status listed.)
Pending
Application number
CN201710137914.6A
Other languages
Chinese (zh)
Inventor
洪崇月
周里捷
王湘萍
刘松岩
姜志伟
冯晓东
张英伟
张达
李德峰
郝晶
Current Assignee (The listed assignees may be inaccurate. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the list.)
BEIJING PUBLIC TRANSPORT HOLDINGS (GROUP) Co Ltd
Original Assignee
BEIJING PUBLIC TRANSPORT HOLDINGS (GROUP) Co Ltd
Priority date (The priority date is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the date listed.)
Filing date
Publication date
Application filed by BEIJING PUBLIC TRANSPORT HOLDINGS (GROUP) Co Ltd filed Critical BEIJING PUBLIC TRANSPORT HOLDINGS (GROUP) Co Ltd
Priority to CN201710137914.6A priority Critical patent/CN106710218A/en
Publication of CN106710218A publication Critical patent/CN106710218A/en
Pending legal-status Critical Current

Links

Classifications

    • GPHYSICS
    • G08SIGNALLING
    • G08GTRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS
    • G08G1/00Traffic control systems for road vehicles
    • G08G1/01Detecting movement of traffic to be counted or controlled
    • G08G1/0104Measuring and analyzing of parameters relative to traffic conditions
    • G08G1/0125Traffic data processing
    • GPHYSICS
    • G08SIGNALLING
    • G08GTRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS
    • G08G1/00Traffic control systems for road vehicles
    • G08G1/123Traffic control systems for road vehicles indicating the position of vehicles, e.g. scheduled vehicles; Managing passenger vehicles circulating according to a fixed timetable, e.g. buses, trains, trams

Abstract

The invention discloses a method for predicting arrival time of a bus. The method comprises the following steps: acquiring vehicle route and station basic data, vehicle GPS data and vehicle GPS real-time data; extracting a vehicle route track according to the vehicle route and station basic data, and matching the vehicle GPS data and the vehicle route track with a route of a vehicle; determining the real-time position of the vehicle according to the vehicle GPS real-time data; and judging a driving behavior of the vehicle on the route, and predicting the arrival time of the vehicle according to a judgment result. By virtue of the method, the route track and the route matching are extracted by virtue of the positioning of the vehicle, the vehicle speed and an arrival distance are calculated by virtue of an arrival prediction algorithm, the time for the vehicle to arrive a next station is calculated, the dynamic information of the vehicle is practically sent to a passenger information service platform in real time, and arrival time prediction data is provided, so that the prediction accuracy and instantaneity of the arrival time of the vehicle are improved.

Description

A kind of bus arrival time Forecasting Methodology
Technical field
It is to be related to a kind of bus arrival time prediction side in particular the present invention relates to technical field of intelligent traffic Method.
Background technology
With deepening continuously for domestic intelligent transportation system research, the bus of GPS device is installed increasing Realized in city, these vehicles for being configured with GPS device can provide all logs of public transit vehicle, including vehicle location, Travel speed, switch door state, even state out of the station, information of on-board and off-board etc..And because the journey time of public transport receives road The influence of the factors such as road traffic flow, integrative design intersection and upper and lower passenger flow, the journey time between standing and standing is a difficulty With the underrange predicted.
There are static prediction and dynamic prediction both of which for the prediction of bus arrival time at present, static prediction is logical The regression analysis Pharaoh for crossing length and intersection number between Travel Time for Public Transport Vehicles and station estimates public transport journey time, so that root According to the public transport arrival time that bus departure time reckoning is respectively stood;Dynamic prediction is passed through according to the real-time GPS data of public transit vehicle The method of fitting of a polynomial estimates the traffic behavior in section, so as to predict the journey time of public transport, and determines car according to GPS Position, calculate public transit vehicle arrival time.But static prediction method is difficult to adapt to road traffic state complicated and changeable; And the defect of dynamic prediction method is position and velocity information merely with the GPS of public transit vehicle calculates during public transit vehicle stroke Between and arrival time, and not according to the situation real-time adjustment vehicle to the arrival time of downstream station that arrives at a station of public transit vehicle, prediction Precision by GPS accuracy and send interval influenceed very big, the degree of accuracy of prediction and real-time are poor.
The content of the invention
In view of this, it is static in the prior art to solve the invention provides a kind of bus arrival time Forecasting Methodology Forecasting Methodology cannot adapt to the situation of complex road condition, and dynamic prediction method is adjusted in real time not according to the situation of arriving at a station of public transit vehicle Vehicle arrives the arrival time of downstream station, the degree of accuracy of prediction and the poor problem of real-time.
To achieve the above object, the present invention provides following technical scheme:
A kind of vehicle arrival time Forecasting Methodology, including:
Obtain vehicle line and website basic data, vehicle GPS data and vehicle GPS real time data;
Vehicle line track is extracted according to the vehicle line and website basic data;
By the vehicle GPS data and circuit where vehicle described in the vehicle line path matching;
Real time position determination is carried out to the vehicle according to the vehicle GPS real time data;
Vehicle traveling behavior on the line is judged, it is pre- according to the arrival time that judged result carries out the vehicle Survey, the traveling behavior to vehicle on the line carries out judgement and specifically includes:Up-downgoing judges and judgement of turning back.
Preferably, counted in real time in the acquisition vehicle line and website basic data, vehicle GPS data and vehicle GPS According to before, also include:
Vehicle line data are pre-processed.
Wherein, it is described that pre-treatment step is carried out to vehicle line data, specifically include:
On the basis of the initial data that Vehicular system is accessed, according to existing road map, GPS history numbers are run with reference to vehicle According to, to be described according to GPS track or addition road chain, the road chain is divided according to crossing, and all road chains constitute the fortune of this circuit Row track, sampled point is set to by the head and the tail end points of the road chain;
Site location is corrected according to GPS accumulation points, site location is adapted to the matching GPS focus points.
Wherein, it is described by the vehicle GPS data and circuit where vehicle described in the vehicle line path matching, bag Include:
The line number of the vehicle GPS point according to Real-time Collection and circuit up-downgoing judgement, obtain all samplings of route Press the list after longitude size is ranked up;
All sampled points of the predeterminable range before and after Current vehicle GPS point longitude are found out from the list;
The distance that the sampled point to acquiring carries out point-to-point is calculated, and calculates vehicle GPS point to the sampled point Distance, it is matching sampled point to take out closest sampled point;
According to the projector distance of vehicle GPS point, judge vehicle GPS point in the position of the sampled point for being matched.
Wherein, the up-downgoing judges to be specially:
Default T2It is the timestamp of current bus GPS point, T1For the same time of car GPS point that the last time receives Stamp, only works as T2>T1When, it is considered as normal GPS information;
Default SnowIt is in uplink, according to the sampled point that current GPS point is matched, SpreBe in uplink, According to the sampled point that last GPS point is matched;XnowIt is in downgoing line, according to adopting that current bus GPS point is matched Sampling point, XpreIt is in downgoing line, according to the sampled point that last GPS point is matched;
When meeting SpreSequence number be less than Snow, and XpreSequence number be more than or equal to Xnow, then for up;When meeting Xpre Sequence number be less than Xnow, and SpreSequence number be more than or equal to Snow, then for descending.
Wherein, the arrival time prediction for carrying out the vehicle according to judged result is specifically included:
Judged according to the up-downgoing and described turning back judges the road chain length for determining vehicle;
According to the current traffic information of vehicle GPS data acquisition, including the Current vehicle speed of service and road chain speed, according to The road chain speed and road chain length prediction vehicle arrival time.
Wherein, it is described to be specifically included according to the current traffic information of vehicle GPS data acquisition:
After one gps data of every reception, by the sampling Point matching, the sampled point that will match to puts into vehicle Lateral velocity queue;
When the Current vehicle speed of service is calculated, sampled point in the queue is taken out, and remove invalid sampled point, for institute The effective sampling points in queue are stated, the operating range d of its process is calculatedis, and elapsed time Te-Ts, wherein, TsIt is first The time of individual effective sampling points, TeIt it is the time of last effective sampling points, then now the current speed of service of vehicle i is:vi =dis/(Te-Ts);
For circuit Shang Meitiao roads chain sets up a longitudinal velocity queue;
When the Current vehicle speed of service is obtained, the road chain list of vehicle process is extracted, and Current vehicle is run Speed is added in the longitudinal velocity queue of each road chain of vehicle process;
After certain the Current vehicle speed of service of car is calculated, the velocity amplitude is added to the longitudinal velocity team of road chain In row;
Assuming that store n in the longitudinal velocity queue of road chain recently by the car speed of the road chain, then road chain speed For:
Wherein, it is described that vehicle arrival time step is predicted according to the road chain speed and the road chain length, specifically include:
The GPS point of vehicle to be predicted is projected into sampled point, obtain current sampling point apart from the distance of the next stop and between Every road chain information;
Assuming that middle by n road chain, each road chain length is Li(i=1 ... n), and Current vehicle GPS point positional distance The distance of road last-of-chain is Lnow, then distance of the Current vehicle GPS point apart from the next stop be:
The road chain speed of each road chain is vi(i=1 ... n), VnowThe speed of road chain is currently located for vehicle, then to the next stop Time prediction be:
Understood via above-mentioned technical scheme, compared with prior art, the invention discloses a kind of bus arrival time Forecasting Methodology, obtains vehicle line and website basic data, vehicle GPS data and vehicle GPS real time data;According to the car Circuit and website basic data extract vehicle line track;By the vehicle GPS data and the vehicle line path matching Circuit where the vehicle;Real time position determination is carried out to the vehicle according to the vehicle GPS real time data;It is online to vehicle Traveling behavior on road is judged, is predicted according to the arrival time that judged result carries out the vehicle.The present invention passes through vehicle Positioning extraction tracks and line matching, and by predicting that the algorithm that arrives at a station calculates car speed and arrive at a station distance and then calculating Vehicle reaches the time of the next stop, Real-time by vehicle Dynamic Information Publishing to Customer information service platform, there is provided arrive at a station Time prediction data, improve the degree of accuracy and the real-time of vehicle arrival time prediction.
Brief description of the drawings
In order to illustrate more clearly about the embodiment of the present invention or technical scheme of the prior art, below will be to embodiment or existing The accompanying drawing to be used needed for having technology description is briefly described, it should be apparent that, drawings in the following description are only this Inventive embodiment, for those of ordinary skill in the art, on the premise of not paying creative work, can also basis The accompanying drawing of offer obtains other accompanying drawings.
Fig. 1 is a kind of vehicle arrival time Forecasting Methodology schematic flow sheet provided in an embodiment of the present invention;
Fig. 2 is the embodiment of the present invention by the principle schematic on spot projection to road chain;
Fig. 3 is the embodiment of the present invention by the principle schematic on vehicle GPS Point matching to circuit;
Fig. 4 is the principle schematic that the embodiment of the present invention calculates current traffic information;
Fig. 5 is the principle schematic that the embodiment of the present invention predicts public transport arrival time.
Specific embodiment
Below in conjunction with the accompanying drawing in the embodiment of the present invention, the technical scheme in the embodiment of the present invention is carried out clear, complete Site preparation is described, it is clear that described embodiment is only a part of embodiment of the invention, rather than whole embodiments.It is based on Embodiment in the present invention, it is every other that those of ordinary skill in the art are obtained under the premise of creative work is not made Embodiment, belongs to the scope of protection of the invention.
Accompanying drawing 1 is referred to, Fig. 1 illustrates for a kind of vehicle arrival time Forecasting Methodology flow provided in an embodiment of the present invention Figure.As shown in figure 1, the embodiment of the invention discloses a kind of vehicle arrival time Forecasting Methodology, the method specific steps are included such as Under:
S101, acquisition vehicle line and website basic data, vehicle GPS data and vehicle GPS real time data.
For Vehicular system access basic data including line number, site location, gps data etc., because it lacks line Circuit-switched data, in order to meet the demand of prediction of arriving at a station, it is necessary on the basis of basic data, according to existing road map, with reference to car Operation GPS historical datas, describe or addition road chain according to GPS track, and road chain is divided generally according to crossing, all road chains composition Road chain two ends are set to sampled point by the running orbit of this circuit.
S102, vehicle line track is extracted according to vehicle line and website basic data.
S103, by circuit where vehicle GPS data and vehicle line path matching vehicle.
Specifically, the step includes:
The line number of the vehicle GPS point according to Real-time Collection and circuit up-downgoing judgement, obtain all samplings of route Press the list after longitude size is ranked up;
All sampled points of the predeterminable range before and after Current vehicle GPS point longitude are found out from the list;
The distance that the sampled point to acquiring carries out point-to-point is calculated, and calculates vehicle GPS point to the sampled point Distance, it is matching sampled point to take out closest sampled point;
According to the projector distance of vehicle GPS point, judge vehicle GPS point in the position of the sampled point for being matched.
It should be noted that first, the line number of the bus GPS point according to Real-time Collection and circuit up-downgoing are obtained The all sampled points of the circuit be ranked up by longitude size after list;Secondly, using binary chop, found out from list away from 100 meters of all sampled points before and after current bus GPS point longitude;Finally, point-to-point is carried out again to the sampled point found out Distance is calculated, and calculates bus GPS point to the distance of sampled point, and it is matching sampled point, such as Fig. 3 to take out closest sampled point Shown (wherein, × be sampled point).
After the sampled point that bus GPS point is matched is found out, not can determine that its be before sampled point or after, entering , it is necessary to judge GPS point before and after website correspondence sampled point when the row next stop judges.As shown in Fig. 2 S2For GPS point is matched Sampled point, pick out S2Former and later two sampled points S1And S3Composition line segment S1S2And S2S3, GPS point is projected to and is asked on two line segments Beeline, judges that GPS is before sampled point or rear.
S104, foundation vehicle GPS real time data carry out real time position determination to vehicle.
S105, the traveling behavior to vehicle on the line judge, the arrival time of vehicle is carried out according to judged result Prediction, carries out judgement and specifically includes to vehicle traveling behavior on the line:Up-downgoing judges and judgement of turning back.
Specifically, the up-downgoing judges to be specially:
Default T2It is the timestamp of current bus GPS point, T1For the same time of car GPS point that the last time receives Stamp, only works as T2>T1When, it is considered as normal GPS information;
Default SnowIt is in uplink, according to the sampled point that current GPS point is matched, SpreBe in uplink, According to the sampled point that last GPS point is matched;XnowIt is in downgoing line, according to adopting that current bus GPS point is matched Sampling point, XpreIt is in downgoing line, according to the sampled point that last GPS point is matched;
When meeting SpreSequence number be less than Snow, and XpreSequence number be more than or equal to Xnow, then for up;When meeting Xpre Sequence number be less than Xnow, and SpreSequence number be more than or equal to Snow, then for descending.
Specifically, the judgement of turning back is specially:
Because operating line has one direction, with the situation of the traveling of chain reciprocating operation all the way, it is necessary to calculation Chinese module pair of turning back Vehicle-state treatment, makes prediction more accurate.
Major function has:Turn back area identification:By line name and direction, to turning back, region carries out specific identifier;Turn back Treatment:According to turning back, logic realizes accurately prediction to vehicle.
Specifically, being counted in real time in the acquisition vehicle line and website basic data, vehicle GPS data and vehicle GPS According to before, also including step:
Vehicle line data are pre-processed.
Specifically, carry out pretreatment to vehicle line data comprising the following steps:
On the basis of the initial data that Vehicular system is accessed, according to existing road map, GPS history numbers are run with reference to vehicle According to, to be described according to GPS track or addition road chain, the road chain is divided according to crossing, and all road chains constitute the fortune of this circuit Row track, sampled point is set to by the head and the tail end points of the road chain.
Site location is corrected according to GPS accumulation points, site location is adapted to the matching GPS focus points.
There is deviation in view of original site positional information and actual stop position, in order to further improve the accurate of prediction Site location is adapted to matching GPS focus points, it is necessary to according to GPS accumulation points, be corrected to site location by rate.
As shown in figure 3, ABCD is three road chains on a circuit, S is website position, S1And S2It is website not The projection gone the same way on chain, d1And d2It is website to the distance of road chain.When sampled point is added, d is compared1And d2, select from road chain compared with Near subpoint is added in the chain of road as sampled point, such as Fig. 3, d1<d2, then S is added1As sampled point.
Because part road chain sampled point is rare, can cause have relatively large deviation during matching, in order to improve the essence of GPS point matching Degree, then need to add sampled point on the chain of road.Adding the principle of sampled point is:Distance is big between have two sampled points on a road chain In 15m, then added a little between two sampled points.
Assuming that A, B are sampled point adjacent on the chain of road, and apart from dAB>15, then need addition n=[d in point-to-point transmissionAB/15] Individual sampled point S1, S2…Sn, and meet
, it is necessary to calculate sampled point to road first-in-chain(FIC) back range with a distance from the next stop, as sampling after increase sampled point The attribute storage of point.Finally export by circuit and station data, sample point data, road chain data, website and affiliated road chain data The public transport basic data of composition.
Specifically, the arrival time prediction for carrying out the vehicle according to judged result is specifically included:
Judged according to the up-downgoing and described turning back judges the road chain length for determining vehicle;
According to the current traffic information of vehicle GPS data acquisition, including the Current vehicle speed of service and road chain speed, according to The road chain speed and road chain length prediction vehicle arrival time.
Specifically, described specifically include according to the current traffic information of vehicle GPS data acquisition:
After one gps data of every reception, by the sampling Point matching, the sampled point that will match to puts into vehicle Lateral velocity queue.
As shown in figure 4, when the Current vehicle speed of service is calculated, taking out sampled point in the queue, and remove invalid adopting Sampling point, for the effective sampling points in the queue, calculates the operating range d of its processis, and elapsed time Te-Ts, its In, TsIt is first time of effective sampling points, TeBe the time of last effective sampling points, then the now current fortune of vehicle i Scanning frequency degree is:vi=dis/(Te-Ts)。
The Current vehicle speed of service is defined as the current 3 minutes vehicle average speed of (current time pushes away forward 3 minutes).Such as Shown in Fig. 4, after a gps data is received, matched through oversampled points, the sampled point that will match to is put into vehicle lateral speed Queue (queue length is 9, about 3 minutes).When vehicle present speed is calculated, sampled point in queue is taken out first, remove nothing Effect sampled point (less than the sampled point sequence number that previous gps time, latter GPS are matched less than previous GPS sample by such as latter gps time The sampled points such as point sequence number), the sampled point 1~2 in such as Fig. 4 (a) in lateral velocity queue is invalid sampled point, and calculating is not included. For effective sampled point in queue, calculator pass through apart from dis, and elapsed time Te-Ts, wherein, TsIt is first The time of effective sampling points, TeIt it is the time of last effective sampling points, so as to calculate average car of the vehicle in 3 minutes Speed, i.e. vehicle present speed.
Assuming that store n in the longitudinal velocity queue of road chain recently by the car speed of the road chain, then road chain speed For:
Road chain speed is defined as by an average speed for the nearest n car of road chain.For circuit Shang Meitiao roads chain is set up One longitudinal velocity queue;When the Current vehicle speed of service is obtained, the road chain list of vehicle process is extracted, and will be current Running velocity is added in the longitudinal velocity queue of each road chain of vehicle process.As shown in Fig. 4 (b), road chain it is vertical In to speed queue, speed of nearest 4 cars by the vehicle of this road chain is stored, then chain speed in road is
Specifically, described predict vehicle arrival time step, specific bag according to the road chain speed and the road chain length Include:
The GPS point of vehicle to be predicted is projected into sampled point, obtain current sampling point apart from the distance of the next stop and between Every road chain information.
Assuming that middle by n road chain, each road chain length is Li(i=1 ... n), and Current vehicle GPS point positional distance The distance of road last-of-chain is Lnow, then distance of the Current vehicle GPS point apart from the next stop be:
As shown in figure 5, road last-of-chain road chain 1 and road chain 2 that vehicle car to be predicted is spaced apart from the next stop, then arrive the next stop Distance is Lnow+L1+L2.The road chain speed of each road chain is, it is known that be vi(i=1 ... n), VnowThe speed of road chain is currently located for vehicle Spend, then the time prediction to the next stop is:
In sum, the invention discloses a kind of bus arrival time Forecasting Methodology, vehicle line and website base are obtained Plinth data, vehicle GPS data and vehicle GPS real time data;Vehicle is extracted according to the vehicle line and website basic data Tracks;By the vehicle GPS data and circuit where vehicle described in the vehicle line path matching;According to the vehicle GPS real time datas carry out real time position determination to the vehicle;Vehicle traveling behavior on the line is judged, according to sentencing Disconnected result carries out the arrival time prediction of the vehicle.The present invention extracts tracks and line matching by vehicle location, And by predicting that the algorithm that arrives at a station calculates car speed and the time of arrive at a station distance and then the calculating vehicle arrival next stop, Real-time is used By vehicle Dynamic Information Publishing to Customer information service platform, there is provided arrival time prediction data, improve vehicle arrival time The degree of accuracy of prediction and real-time.
It should be noted that each embodiment in this specification is described by the way of progressive, each embodiment weight Point explanation is all difference with other embodiment, between each embodiment identical similar part mutually referring to.
Above in association with accompanying drawing to exemplary description proposed by the invention, the explanation of above example is only intended to help and manages Solve core concept of the invention.For those of ordinary skill in the art, according to thought of the invention, in specific embodiment and Be will change in range of application, such as front-rear axle has motor to participate in the hybrid power system for driving.In sum, originally Description should not be construed as limiting the invention.
The foregoing description of the disclosed embodiments, enables professional and technical personnel in the field to realize or uses the present invention. Various modifications to these embodiments will be apparent for those skilled in the art, as defined herein General Principle can be realized in other embodiments without departing from the spirit or scope of the present invention.Therefore, the present invention The embodiments shown herein is not intended to be limited to, and is to fit to and principles disclosed herein and features of novelty phase one The scope most wide for causing.

Claims (8)

1. a kind of vehicle arrival time Forecasting Methodology, it is characterised in that including:
Obtain vehicle line and website basic data, vehicle GPS data and vehicle GPS real time data;
Vehicle line track is extracted according to the vehicle line and website basic data;
By the vehicle GPS data and circuit where vehicle described in the vehicle line path matching;
Real time position determination is carried out to the vehicle according to the vehicle GPS real time data;
Vehicle traveling behavior on the line is judged, the arrival time prediction of the vehicle is carried out according to judged result, The traveling behavior to vehicle on the line carries out judgement and specifically includes:Up-downgoing judges and judgement of turning back.
2. method according to claim 1, it is characterised in that in acquisition vehicle line and website basic data, the car Before gps data and vehicle GPS real time data, also include:
Vehicle line data are pre-processed.
3. method according to claim 2, it is characterised in that described that vehicle line data are carried out with pre-treatment step, tool Body includes:
On the basis of the initial data that Vehicular system is accessed, according to existing road map, GPS historical datas are run with reference to vehicle, Described according to GPS track or addition road chain, the road chain is divided according to crossing, and all road chains constitute the operation rail of this circuit Mark, sampled point is set to by the head and the tail end points of the road chain;
Site location is corrected according to GPS accumulation points, site location is adapted to the matching GPS focus points.
4. method according to claim 1, it is characterised in that described by the vehicle GPS data and the vehicle line Circuit where vehicle described in path matching, including:
The line number of the vehicle GPS point according to Real-time Collection and circuit up-downgoing judge, obtain all sampled points of route and press Longitude size be ranked up after list;
All sampled points of the predeterminable range before and after Current vehicle GPS point longitude are found out from the list;
The sampled point to acquiring carry out point-to-point distance calculate, calculate vehicle GPS point to the sampled point away from From it is matching sampled point to take out closest sampled point;
According to the projector distance of vehicle GPS point, judge vehicle GPS point in the position of the sampled point for being matched.
5. method according to claim 1, it is characterised in that the up-downgoing judges to be specially:
Default T2It is the timestamp of current bus GPS point, T1It is the same timestamp of car GPS point that the last time receives, only Have and work as T2>T1When, it is considered as normal GPS information;
Default SnowIt is in uplink, according to the sampled point that current GPS point is matched, SpreBe in uplink, according to The sampled point that last GPS point is matched;XnowIt is in downgoing line, according to the sampling that current bus GPS point is matched Point, XpreIt is in downgoing line, according to the sampled point that last GPS point is matched;
When meeting SpreSequence number be less than Snow, and XpreSequence number be more than or equal to Xnow, then for up;When meeting XpreSequence Number be less than Xnow, and SpreSequence number be more than or equal to Snow, then for descending.
6. method according to claim 1, it is characterised in that described that when arriving at a station of the vehicle is carried out according to judged result Between predict and specifically include:
Judged according to the up-downgoing and described turning back judges the road chain length for determining vehicle;
According to the current traffic information of vehicle GPS data acquisition, including the Current vehicle speed of service and road chain speed, according to described Road chain speed and road chain length prediction vehicle arrival time.
7. method according to claim 6, it is characterised in that described according to the current traffic information of vehicle GPS data acquisition Specifically include:
After one gps data of every reception, by the sampling Point matching, the sampled point that will match to puts into lateral direction of car Speed queue;
When the Current vehicle speed of service is calculated, sampled point in the queue is taken out, and remove invalid sampled point, for the team Effective sampling points in row, calculate the operating range d of its processis, and elapsed time Te-Ts, wherein, TsHave for first Imitate the time of sampled point, TeIt it is the time of last effective sampling points, then now the current speed of service of vehicle i is:vi= dis/(Te-Ts);
For circuit Shang Meitiao roads chain sets up a longitudinal velocity queue;
When the Current vehicle speed of service is obtained, the road chain list of vehicle process is extracted, and by the Current vehicle speed of service It is added in the longitudinal velocity queue of each road chain of vehicle process;
After certain the Current vehicle speed of service of car is calculated, the velocity amplitude is added to the longitudinal velocity queue of road chain In;
Assuming that storing the n car speed for passing through the road chain recently in the longitudinal velocity queue of road chain, then chain speed in road is:
8. method according to claim 6, it is characterised in that described pre- according to the road chain speed and the road chain length Measuring car arrival time step, specifically includes:
The GPS point of vehicle to be predicted is projected into sampled point, distance and interval of the current sampling point apart from the next stop is obtained Road chain information;
Assuming that middle by n road chain, each road chain length is Li(i=1 ... n), and Current vehicle GPS point positional distance road chain The distance of tail is Lnow, then distance of the Current vehicle GPS point apart from the next stop be:
The road chain speed of each road chain is vi(i=1 ... n), VnowThe speed of road chain is currently located for vehicle, then to the time of the next stop It is predicted as:
CN201710137914.6A 2017-03-09 2017-03-09 Method for predicting arrival time of bus Pending CN106710218A (en)

Priority Applications (1)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
CN201710137914.6A CN106710218A (en) 2017-03-09 2017-03-09 Method for predicting arrival time of bus

Applications Claiming Priority (1)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
CN201710137914.6A CN106710218A (en) 2017-03-09 2017-03-09 Method for predicting arrival time of bus

Publications (1)

Publication Number Publication Date
CN106710218A true CN106710218A (en) 2017-05-24

Family

ID=58918132

Family Applications (1)

Application Number Title Priority Date Filing Date
CN201710137914.6A Pending CN106710218A (en) 2017-03-09 2017-03-09 Method for predicting arrival time of bus

Country Status (1)

Country Link
CN (1) CN106710218A (en)

Cited By (17)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN109059952A (en) * 2018-10-11 2018-12-21 国家卫星海洋应用中心 A kind of stroke duration prediction method and device
CN109166337A (en) * 2018-09-04 2019-01-08 深圳市东部公共交通有限公司 Public transport arrival time generation method, device and bus passenger travelling OD acquisition methods
CN109920248A (en) * 2019-03-05 2019-06-21 南通大学 A kind of public transport arrival time prediction technique based on GRU neural network
CN110702136A (en) * 2019-10-29 2020-01-17 北京百度网讯科技有限公司 Route planning method and device for vehicle, electronic equipment and readable storage medium
CN111007544A (en) * 2019-12-18 2020-04-14 南京智慧交通信息有限公司 Method for measuring and calculating distance between front bus and rear bus based on line track
CN111667689A (en) * 2020-05-06 2020-09-15 浙江师范大学 Method, device and computer device for predicting vehicle travel time
CN111856541A (en) * 2020-07-24 2020-10-30 苏州中亿通智能系统有限公司 Fixed line vehicle track monitoring system and method
CN111914691A (en) * 2020-07-15 2020-11-10 北京埃福瑞科技有限公司 Rail transit vehicle positioning method and system
CN111932926A (en) * 2020-09-22 2020-11-13 深圳市都市交通规划设计研究院有限公司 Method and system for calculating station stop time
CN111968398A (en) * 2020-07-14 2020-11-20 深圳市综合交通运行指挥中心 Method, device, terminal and medium for determining running state of public transport means
CN112185153A (en) * 2020-09-27 2021-01-05 腾讯科技(深圳)有限公司 Vehicle driving route determining method, device, equipment and medium
WO2021000594A1 (en) * 2019-07-03 2021-01-07 北京京东振世信息技术有限公司 Address information collection method and apparatus
CN112396865A (en) * 2020-11-18 2021-02-23 南京智慧交通信息股份有限公司 Real-time bus arrival prediction method based on line track
CN112991722A (en) * 2021-02-03 2021-06-18 浙江浙大中控信息技术有限公司 Method and system for predicting real-time intersection of bus at high-frequency gps point
CN113077648A (en) * 2021-02-03 2021-07-06 浙江浙大中控信息技术有限公司 Method and system for predicting real-time station of public transport vehicle
CN113096429A (en) * 2021-03-09 2021-07-09 东南大学 Elastic bus area flexibility line generation method based on bus dispatching station distribution
CN115311871A (en) * 2022-08-12 2022-11-08 深圳市能信安科技股份有限公司 Vehicle driving direction determination method, device, system, equipment and storage medium

Citations (5)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN101388143A (en) * 2007-09-14 2009-03-18 同济大学 Bus arriving time prediction method and system based on floating data of the bus
CN103310651A (en) * 2013-05-24 2013-09-18 北京市交通信息中心 Bus arrival prediction method based on real-time traffic status information
CN103400507A (en) * 2013-07-08 2013-11-20 青岛海信网络科技股份有限公司 Bus operation method and bus operation system supporting line section dynamic regulation
CN103440768A (en) * 2013-09-12 2013-12-11 重庆大学 Dynamic-correction-based real-time bus arrival time predicting method
CN105632222A (en) * 2015-10-14 2016-06-01 上海博协软件有限公司 Method and system for predicting station arrival time

Patent Citations (5)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN101388143A (en) * 2007-09-14 2009-03-18 同济大学 Bus arriving time prediction method and system based on floating data of the bus
CN103310651A (en) * 2013-05-24 2013-09-18 北京市交通信息中心 Bus arrival prediction method based on real-time traffic status information
CN103400507A (en) * 2013-07-08 2013-11-20 青岛海信网络科技股份有限公司 Bus operation method and bus operation system supporting line section dynamic regulation
CN103440768A (en) * 2013-09-12 2013-12-11 重庆大学 Dynamic-correction-based real-time bus arrival time predicting method
CN105632222A (en) * 2015-10-14 2016-06-01 上海博协软件有限公司 Method and system for predicting station arrival time

Non-Patent Citations (3)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Title
张玮: "基于GPS浮动车的路径行程时间估计系统关键技术研究", 《中国博士学位论文全文数据库·工程科技Ⅱ辑》 *
过秀成 等: "《地面公共交通运行可靠性分析与调度控制》", 30 June 2013, 东南大学出版社 *
郑丽娟 等: "基于运行图的快速公交系统运营组织研究", 《交通标准化》 *

Cited By (26)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN109166337A (en) * 2018-09-04 2019-01-08 深圳市东部公共交通有限公司 Public transport arrival time generation method, device and bus passenger travelling OD acquisition methods
CN109059952A (en) * 2018-10-11 2018-12-21 国家卫星海洋应用中心 A kind of stroke duration prediction method and device
CN109920248A (en) * 2019-03-05 2019-06-21 南通大学 A kind of public transport arrival time prediction technique based on GRU neural network
CN109920248B (en) * 2019-03-05 2021-09-17 南通大学 Bus arrival time prediction method based on GRU neural network
WO2021000594A1 (en) * 2019-07-03 2021-01-07 北京京东振世信息技术有限公司 Address information collection method and apparatus
CN110702136A (en) * 2019-10-29 2020-01-17 北京百度网讯科技有限公司 Route planning method and device for vehicle, electronic equipment and readable storage medium
CN111007544A (en) * 2019-12-18 2020-04-14 南京智慧交通信息有限公司 Method for measuring and calculating distance between front bus and rear bus based on line track
CN111667689A (en) * 2020-05-06 2020-09-15 浙江师范大学 Method, device and computer device for predicting vehicle travel time
CN111667689B (en) * 2020-05-06 2022-06-03 浙江师范大学 Method, device and computer device for predicting vehicle travel time
CN111968398A (en) * 2020-07-14 2020-11-20 深圳市综合交通运行指挥中心 Method, device, terminal and medium for determining running state of public transport means
CN111968398B (en) * 2020-07-14 2022-07-29 深圳市综合交通运行指挥中心 Method, device, terminal and medium for determining running state of public transport means
CN111914691A (en) * 2020-07-15 2020-11-10 北京埃福瑞科技有限公司 Rail transit vehicle positioning method and system
CN111914691B (en) * 2020-07-15 2024-03-19 北京埃福瑞科技有限公司 Rail transit vehicle positioning method and system
CN111856541A (en) * 2020-07-24 2020-10-30 苏州中亿通智能系统有限公司 Fixed line vehicle track monitoring system and method
CN111856541B (en) * 2020-07-24 2023-11-14 苏州中亿通智能系统有限公司 Fixed line vehicle track monitoring system and method
CN111932926A (en) * 2020-09-22 2020-11-13 深圳市都市交通规划设计研究院有限公司 Method and system for calculating station stop time
CN112185153A (en) * 2020-09-27 2021-01-05 腾讯科技(深圳)有限公司 Vehicle driving route determining method, device, equipment and medium
CN112185153B (en) * 2020-09-27 2021-09-28 腾讯科技(深圳)有限公司 Vehicle driving route determining method, device, equipment and medium
CN112396865A (en) * 2020-11-18 2021-02-23 南京智慧交通信息股份有限公司 Real-time bus arrival prediction method based on line track
CN112991722B (en) * 2021-02-03 2022-07-19 浙江中控信息产业股份有限公司 High-frequency gps (gps) point bus real-time intersection prediction method and system
CN113077648A (en) * 2021-02-03 2021-07-06 浙江浙大中控信息技术有限公司 Method and system for predicting real-time station of public transport vehicle
CN112991722A (en) * 2021-02-03 2021-06-18 浙江浙大中控信息技术有限公司 Method and system for predicting real-time intersection of bus at high-frequency gps point
CN113096429B (en) * 2021-03-09 2022-03-08 东南大学 Elastic bus area flexibility line generation method based on bus dispatching station distribution
CN113096429A (en) * 2021-03-09 2021-07-09 东南大学 Elastic bus area flexibility line generation method based on bus dispatching station distribution
CN115311871A (en) * 2022-08-12 2022-11-08 深圳市能信安科技股份有限公司 Vehicle driving direction determination method, device, system, equipment and storage medium
CN115311871B (en) * 2022-08-12 2023-09-05 深圳市能信安科技股份有限公司 Method, device, system, equipment and storage medium for judging vehicle running direction

Similar Documents

Publication Publication Date Title
CN106710218A (en) Method for predicting arrival time of bus
CN103310651B (en) A kind of public transport based on real-time road condition information is arrived at a station Forecasting Methodology
CN102298851B (en) Navigation system for vehicle and navigation service method
CN111091720B (en) Congestion road section identification method and device based on signaling data and floating car data
CN103177561B (en) Method for generating bus real-time traffic status
CN101944288B (en) Method for setting stop stations of urban bus line
US20140188382A1 (en) Vehicle route planning method and apparatus
CN101964941A (en) Intelligent navigation and position service system and method based on dynamic information
CN104778834A (en) Urban road traffic jam judging method based on vehicle GPS data
CN103354030B (en) Method for determining road traffic situation by utilizing floating bus CAN bus information
Fiori et al. Optimum routing of battery electric vehicles: Insights using empirical data and microsimulation
CN103106702A (en) Bus trip service system based on cloud computing
CN105046983B (en) A kind of traffic flow forecasting system and method based on bus or train route collaboration
CN115455681B (en) Communication traffic carbon emission spatial distribution estimation method for multiple vehicles
CN106781511A (en) A kind of congestion time forecasting methods based on gps data and traffic accident type
CN107085620A (en) A kind of taxi and subway are plugged into the querying method and system of travel route
CN102063791B (en) Public transport travelling control method by combining signal control with positioning monitoring
CN102800190A (en) Bus transportation velocity extraction method based GPS (Global Positioning System) data of bus
CN107993441A (en) A kind of lorry often runs away the Forecasting Methodology and device of line
CN103903432A (en) Equipment for determining road link congestion state and method
CN108847019B (en) Method for calculating travel time of variable-route public transport vehicle to fixed station
CN106128132A (en) A kind of system of real-time road monitoring
Tiedong et al. Applying floating car data in traffic monitoring
Hook et al. Carbon dioxide reduction benefits of bus rapid transit systems: Learning from Bogotá, Colombia; Mexico City, Mexico; and Jakarta, Indonesia
CN114971085A (en) Method and system for predicting accessibility of bus station and storage medium

Legal Events

Date Code Title Description
PB01 Publication
PB01 Publication
SE01 Entry into force of request for substantive examination
RJ01 Rejection of invention patent application after publication
RJ01 Rejection of invention patent application after publication

Application publication date: 20170524