CN106548270A - A kind of photovoltaic plant power anomalous data identification method and device - Google Patents

A kind of photovoltaic plant power anomalous data identification method and device Download PDF

Info

Publication number
CN106548270A
CN106548270A CN201610875514.0A CN201610875514A CN106548270A CN 106548270 A CN106548270 A CN 106548270A CN 201610875514 A CN201610875514 A CN 201610875514A CN 106548270 A CN106548270 A CN 106548270A
Authority
CN
China
Prior art keywords
power
data
day
photovoltaic plant
photovoltaic
Prior art date
Legal status (The legal status is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the status listed.)
Granted
Application number
CN201610875514.0A
Other languages
Chinese (zh)
Other versions
CN106548270B (en
Inventor
陶颍军
邱俊宏
李贞�
孔波利
李现伟
陈斌
沈志广
崔丽艳
刘永华
张秀娟
戚振伟
王四伟
熊焰
陈强
王兆庆
Current Assignee (The listed assignees may be inaccurate. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the list.)
State Grid Corp of China SGCC
Xuji Group Co Ltd
XJ Electric Co Ltd
Xuchang XJ Software Technology Co Ltd
Original Assignee
State Grid Corp of China SGCC
Xuji Group Co Ltd
XJ Electric Co Ltd
Xuchang XJ Software Technology Co Ltd
Priority date (The priority date is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the date listed.)
Filing date
Publication date
Application filed by State Grid Corp of China SGCC, Xuji Group Co Ltd, XJ Electric Co Ltd, Xuchang XJ Software Technology Co Ltd filed Critical State Grid Corp of China SGCC
Priority to CN201610875514.0A priority Critical patent/CN106548270B/en
Publication of CN106548270A publication Critical patent/CN106548270A/en
Application granted granted Critical
Publication of CN106548270B publication Critical patent/CN106548270B/en
Active legal-status Critical Current
Anticipated expiration legal-status Critical

Links

Classifications

    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/06Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
    • G06Q10/063Operations research, analysis or management
    • G06Q10/0639Performance analysis of employees; Performance analysis of enterprise or organisation operations
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q50/00Information and communication technology [ICT] specially adapted for implementation of business processes of specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
    • G06Q50/06Energy or water supply

Landscapes

  • Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
  • Human Resources & Organizations (AREA)
  • Engineering & Computer Science (AREA)
  • Economics (AREA)
  • Strategic Management (AREA)
  • Theoretical Computer Science (AREA)
  • Entrepreneurship & Innovation (AREA)
  • Educational Administration (AREA)
  • Marketing (AREA)
  • Development Economics (AREA)
  • Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
  • Tourism & Hospitality (AREA)
  • Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
  • General Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
  • General Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
  • Public Health (AREA)
  • Primary Health Care (AREA)
  • Water Supply & Treatment (AREA)
  • General Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
  • Game Theory and Decision Science (AREA)
  • Operations Research (AREA)
  • Quality & Reliability (AREA)
  • Photovoltaic Devices (AREA)

Abstract

The present invention relates to a kind of photovoltaic plant power anomalous data identification method and device, the method, is clustered to power curve with fuzzy clustering algorithm with reference to the various factors of photovoltaic plant power data with photovoltaic plant active power data as object of study;Obvious abnormal data is recognized according to photovoltaic plant abnormal data criterion.Using the data set training photovoltaic power forecast model after rejecting abnormalities data, the precision of prediction and predictive efficiency of photovoltaic plant can be effectively improved, with extensive engineering application value.

Description

A kind of photovoltaic plant power anomalous data identification method and device
Technical field
The invention belongs to new forms of energy control technology field, and in particular to a kind of photovoltaic plant power anomalous data identification method And device.
Background technology
Collection in worksite photovoltaic power data are the bases of the work such as photovoltaic power generation quantity analytical calculation, power prediction, but by It is numerous in the reason for producing photovoltaic power abnormal data, such as communication abnormality, equipment fault and artificially ration the power supply etc., cause many light The power data of overhead utility collection in worksite is second-rate, and these abnormal datas can be to extracting photovoltaic power and irradiance, temperature etc. Between factor, true rule causes to have a strong impact on, directly can be substantially reduced using abnormal data the accuracy of photovoltaic power prediction with Effectiveness, also can have a negative impact to photovoltaic plant operational management and dispatching of power netwoks.
The content of the invention
It is an object of the invention to provide a kind of photovoltaic plant power anomalous data identification method and device, to realize to photovoltaic Power abnormal data is recognized, and improves the precision of power prediction.
In order to solve above-mentioned technical problem, the present invention provides a kind of photovoltaic plant power anomalous data identification method, including Six method schemes:
Method scheme one, comprises the steps:
1) day power data is carried out into pretreatment, day power curve is calculated with reference to the influence factor of photovoltaic plant power data The degree of association;
2) according to different affecting factors day power curve the degree of association, day power curve is gathered using clustering algorithm Class process, obtains the data classification results under different clusters numbers, that is, obtains the characteristic curve under different affecting factors;
3) according to the abnormal data criterion of photovoltaic plant power data, to the exception that there is obvious characteristic in day power Data are recognized, and the abnormal data criterion is:
A) photovoltaic power value is higher than characteristic curve value in the lasting setting time, and is not changed with irradiance;
B) photovoltaic power is less than characteristic curve value in the lasting setting time, and does not change with irradiance;
C) solar global irradiance is not substantially 0 in the lasting setting time, and photovoltaic power remains 0 or is close to 0;
If there is any of the above-described situation, it is judged to abnormal data.
Method scheme two, on the basis of method scheme one, also includes the day power data is sentenced according to abnormal data After other criterion judges, to judging not for abnormal data, the step of carry out secondary identification extremely using longitudinal method and horizontal method.
Method scheme three, on the basis of method scheme one, the calculating correlation method is gray prediction degree of association side Method, comprises the steps:
The influence factor of power data is converted into into day character vector, as the sample for calculating grey relational grade, each point Correlation coefficient is:
Wherein, ξ (k) is sequence x0With xiIn the grey incidence coefficient of k points, Respectively 2 grades minimum extreme differences and maximum extreme difference, ρ is resolution ratio, between 0 and 1, takes 0.5;
Ask for the meansigma methodss of each coefficient of association:
Method scheme four, on the basis of method scheme one or method scheme three, the shadow of the photovoltaic plant power data The factor of sound includes:
Weather pattern:
Season:
The highest temperature:
Lowest temperature:
2nd, 8,14,20 when temperature:tk=tMoment/tmax
The influence factor is converted into into day character vector (d, s, tmax,tmin,t2,t8,t14,t20) close as calculating Lycoperdon polymorphum Vitt The sample of connection degree.
Method scheme five, on the basis of method scheme one, the clustering algorithm be Fuzzy Mean Clustering Algorithm, power sample This space is X={ x1,x2,…,xn(numbers of the n for input sample), comprise the steps:
S1, given cluster classification number c (2≤c≤n), set iteration stopping threshold values ε, as needed if initialized cluster Prototype pattern is P(0), iteration count b=0;
S2, according to the meansigma methodss Matrix dividing U of coefficient of association(b):For any k (k=1,2 ..., n), i (i=1, 2 ..., c), ifThen have:
Wherein, m > 1 (typically taking m=2) are referred to as fuzzy coefficient, dikRepresent the typical sample of the sample and the i-th class of kth apoplexy due to endogenous wind The degree of association between this center;
If there is i, k so thatThen haveAnd to j ≠ k,
S3, seek clustering prototype mode matrix P(b+1)
Wherein, uikThe Matrix dividing calculated according to coefficient of association by previous step, dikRepresent the sample and i-th of kth apoplexy due to endogenous wind The degree of association between the typical sample center of class;
S4, judgement | | P(b)-P(b+1)| | and ε relations:If | | P(b)-P(b+1)| | >=ε, then b=b+1, iteration process, Until | | P(b)-P(b+1)| | < ε;Wherein, ε represents iteration stopping threshold values.
Method scheme six, on the basis of method scheme two, the horizontal method is for the work(between power curve s point Rate situation of change carries out disorder data recognition, comprises the steps:
Q1, obtain selected i-th point of power variation rate of sample day:
Δli=(li-li-1)/li
Wherein, Δ liFor the power variation rate between 2 continuous power points, i counts for power, and i=1,2 ..., s;
N days mean power rates of change in the same time before Q2, calculating:
Wherein, Δ li,avFor the mean power rate of change of n sample data, i counts for power, and i=1,2 ..., s;
If Q3, | Δ li|≥kΔli,av, it is judged as abnormal data, wherein, k is chugging coefficient;
The longitudinal method is to choose the power data of n days as sample, by the performance number of synchronization in day power curve Contrasted, comprised the steps:
P1, the day power data of n days s points is considered as the amount of being open into for s points, longitudinal direction amount is the array of n, obtains at per Expect
And variance
P2, the deviation ratio for obtaining each numerical value in two-dimensional array
Threshold values λ of the side-play amount with setting is compared, if deviation ratio is more than λ, is judged to abnormal data, wherein σjFor The variance of jth point.
The present invention also provides a kind of photovoltaic plant power anomalous data identification device, including six device schemes:
Device scheme one, including such as lower unit:
1) for day power data is carried out pretreatment, day power is calculated with reference to the influence factor of photovoltaic plant power data The unit of the degree of association of curve;
2) for according to different affecting factors day power curve the degree of association, day power curve is entered using clustering algorithm Row clustering processing, obtains the unit of the data classification results under different clusters numbers, that is, obtains the feature under different affecting factors Curve;
3) for the abnormal data criterion according to photovoltaic plant power data, to having obvious characteristic in day power The unit recognized by abnormal data, the abnormal data criterion is:
A) photovoltaic power value is higher than characteristic curve value in the lasting setting time, and is not changed with irradiance;
B) photovoltaic power is less than characteristic curve value in the lasting setting time, and does not change with irradiance;
C) solar global irradiance is not substantially 0 in the lasting setting time, and photovoltaic power remains 0 or is close to 0;
If there is any of the above-described situation, it is judged to abnormal data.
Device scheme two, on the basis of device scheme one, also includes the day power data is sentenced according to abnormal data After other criterion judges, to judging data not as exception, the unit of secondary abnormal identification is carried out using longitudinal method and horizontal method.
Device scheme three, on the basis of device scheme one, the calculating correlation method is gray prediction degree of association side Method, including such as lower module:
For the influence factor of power data is converted into day character vector, as the mould of the sample for calculating grey relational grade Block, the correlation coefficient of each point is:
Wherein, ξ (k) is sequence x0With xiIn the grey incidence coefficient of k points, Respectively 2 grades minimum extreme differences and maximum extreme difference, ρ is resolution ratio, between 0 and 1, takes 0.5;
For asking for the module of the meansigma methodss of each coefficient of association:
Device scheme four, on the basis of device scheme one or device scheme three, the shadow of the photovoltaic plant power data The factor of sound includes:
Weather pattern:
Season:
The highest temperature:
Lowest temperature:
2nd, 8,14,20 when temperature:tk=tMoment/tmax
The influence factor is converted into into day character vector (d, s, tmax,tmin,t2,t8,t14,t20) close as calculating Lycoperdon polymorphum Vitt The sample of connection degree.
Device scheme five, on the basis of device scheme one, the clustering algorithm be Fuzzy Mean Clustering Algorithm, power sample This space is X={ x1,x2,…,xn(numbers of the n for input sample), including such as lower module:
S1, for given cluster classification number c (2≤c≤n), set iteration stopping threshold values ε as needed, if initialized Clustering prototype pattern is P(0), the module of iteration count b=0;
S2, for the meansigma methodss Matrix dividing U according to coefficient of association(b)Module:For any k (k=1,2 ..., n), i (i=1,2 ..., c), ifThen have:
Wherein, m > 1 (typically taking m=2) are referred to as fuzzy coefficient, dikRepresent the typical sample of the sample and the i-th class of kth apoplexy due to endogenous wind The degree of association between this center;
If there is i, k so thatThen haveAnd to j ≠ k,
S3, for seeking clustering prototype mode matrix P(b+1)Module:
Wherein, uikThe Matrix dividing calculated according to coefficient of association by previous step, dikRepresent the sample and i-th of kth apoplexy due to endogenous wind The degree of association between the typical sample center of class;
S4, for judging | | P(b)-P(b+1) | | and the module of ε relations:If | | P(b)-P(b+1)| | >=ε, then b=b+1, repeats Iterative process, until | | P(b)-P(b+1)| | < ε;Wherein, ε represents iteration stopping threshold values.
Device scheme six, on the basis of device scheme two, the horizontal method is for the work(between power curve s point Rate situation of change carries out disorder data recognition, including such as lower module:
Q1, the module for obtaining selected i-th point of power variation rate of sample day:
Δli=(li-li-1)/li
Wherein, Δ liFor the power variation rate between 2 continuous power points, i counts for power, and i=1,2 ..., s;
Q2, the module for calculating first n days mean power rates of change in the same time:
Wherein, Δ li,avFor the mean power rate of change of n sample data, i counts for power, and i=1,2 ..., s;
If Q3, for | Δ li|≥kΔli,av, it is judged as the module of abnormal data, wherein, k is chugging coefficient;
The longitudinal method is to choose the power data of n days as sample, by the performance number of synchronization in day power curve Contrasted, including such as lower module:
P1, for the day power data of n days s points is considered as the amount of being open into for s points, array of the longitudinal direction amount for n is obtained every The expectation of point
And variance
Module;
P2, the deviation ratio for obtaining each numerical value in two-dimensional array
The module that side-play amount is compared with the threshold values λ for setting, if deviation ratio is more than λ, is judged to abnormal data, its Middle σjFor the variance of jth point.
The invention has the beneficial effects as follows:The present invention passes through to consider photovoltaic plant site environment, with reference to photovoltaic plant power number According to influence factor power curve is clustered, improve photovoltaic plant anomalous data identification accuracy and reliability;Consider There is very strong randomness and dispersibility to photovoltaic power data, and this feature will be calculated with power-generation analysis to power prediction and be produced It is raw to affect, thus according to this feature, with reference to the abnormal data criterion that live practical experience is summarized, can be bright to major part Aobvious abnormal data is recognized, and improves accuracy and reliability to power anomalous data identification, improves the essence of power prediction Degree.
Description of the drawings
Fig. 1 is the flow chart of the photovoltaic plant power anomalous data identification method of the present invention.
Specific embodiment
Below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings, the present invention is further described in detail.
The photovoltaic plant power anomalous data identification method flow diagram of the present invention is illustrated in figure 1, specifically:
1) day power data is normalized into pretreatment.
2) influence factor of photovoltaic plant power data, including weather pattern, temperature and season are considered:
Weather pattern:
Season:
The highest temperature:
Lowest temperature:
2nd, 8,14,20 when temperature:tk=tMoment/tmax
With reference to the influence factor of above-mentioned photovoltaic plant power data, day power curve is calculated according to Grey Correlation Method The degree of association:
Wherein, ξ (k) is sequence x0With xiIn the grey incidence coefficient of k points, Respectively 2 grades minimum extreme differences and maximum extreme difference, ρ is resolution ratio, between 0 and 1, takes 0.5.
The influence factor of power data is converted into into day character vector (d, s, tmax,tmin,t2,t8,t14,t20), as meter Calculate the sample of grey relational grade.
Ask for the meansigma methodss of each coefficient of association:
3) according to different affecting factors day power curve the degree of association, it is bent to day power using Fuzzy Mean Clustering Algorithm Line carries out clustering processing, obtains the data classification results under different clusters numbers, and power sample space is X={ x1,x2,…,xn} (numbers of the n for input sample), specifically:
S1, given cluster classification number c (2≤c≤n), set iteration stopping threshold values ε, as needed if initialized cluster Prototype pattern is P(0), iteration count b=0;
S2, according to the meansigma methodss Matrix dividing U of coefficient of association(b):For any k (k=1,2 ..., n), i (i=1, 2 ..., c), ifThen have:
Wherein, m > 1 (typically taking m=2) are referred to as fuzzy coefficient, dikRepresent the typical sample of the sample and the i-th class of kth apoplexy due to endogenous wind The degree of association between this center;
If there is i, k so thatThen haveAnd to j ≠ k,
S3, seek clustering prototype mode matrix P(b+1)
Wherein, uikThe Matrix dividing calculated according to coefficient of association by previous step, dikRepresent the sample and i-th of kth apoplexy due to endogenous wind The degree of association between the typical sample center of class;
S4, judgement | | P(b)-P(b+1)| | and ε relations:If | | P(b)-P(b+1)| | >=ε, then b=b+1, iteration process, Until | | P(b)-P(b+1)| | < ε;Wherein, ε represents iteration stopping threshold values.
4) according to the abnormal data criterion for photovoltaic plant power data, to having obvious characteristic in day power Abnormal data is recognized, and the abnormal data criterion is:
A, photovoltaic power value is higher than characteristic curve value in the lasting setting time, and is not changed with irradiance, mainly Producing cause is communication or measuring apparatus failure, causes photovoltaic power data record to remain at larger under high irradiance Value;
B, photovoltaic power is less than characteristic curve value in the lasting setting time, and does not change with irradiance, produces former Because rationing the power supply including photovoltaic, communicating or measuring apparatus failure, the record value of photovoltaic power is caused to be always held at compared with low irradiance Magnitude of power on;
C, solar global irradiance is not substantially 0 in the lasting setting time, and photovoltaic power remains 0 or is close to 0, and producing cause is Communication, measuring apparatus failure or photovoltaic module failure, cause data record to remain 0 or close to 0.
If there is any of the above-described situation, it is judged to abnormal data.
In the present embodiment, clustering processing is carried out to day power curve using Fuzzy Mean Clustering Algorithm, obtains different poly- Data classification results under class number.As other embodiment, other clustering algorithms can also be adopted, to realize obtaining difference The purpose of the data classification results under clusters number.
In the present embodiment, the influence factor of photovoltaic plant power data have selected weather pattern, temperature and season.As Other embodiment, can select photovoltaic plant power influence factor according to practical situation, can also accordingly increase or decrease impact Factor, can also increase atmospheric pressure, wind speed etc..
In the present embodiment, power curve is clustered with reference to the influence factor of photovoltaic plant power data, it is contemplated that Photovoltaic power data have very strong randomness and dispersibility, and this feature will be calculated with power-generation analysis to power prediction and be produced Affect, according to this feature, with reference to the abnormal data criterion that live practical experience is summarized, can be to most of significantly different Regular data is recognized.As other embodiment, in the above-mentioned abnormal data criterion summarized according to live practical experience After recognizing to most of obvious abnormal data, while two are carried out to abnormal data according to the feature of photovoltaic power curve Secondary identification, preferably to improve accuracy.
Specifically, secondary identification is carried out using longitudinal method and horizontal method to the abnormal data of day power curve.
The horizontal method is to carry out disorder data recognition for the changed power situation between 96 points of power curve, according to Between each point, power variation rate is identified to abnormal data, is comprised the steps:
Q1, obtain selected i-th point of power variation rate of sample day:
Δli=(li-li-1)/li
Wherein, Δ liFor the power variation rate between 2 continuous power points, i counts for power, and i=1, and 2 ..., 96;
N days mean power rates of change in the same time before Q2, calculating:
Wherein, Δ li,avFor the mean power rate of change of n sample data, i counts for power, and i=1, and 2 ..., 96;
If Q3, | Δ li|≥kΔli,av, it is judged as abnormal data, wherein, k is chugging coefficient.
The longitudinal method is to choose the power data of n days as sample, by the performance number of synchronization in day power curve Contrasted, comprised the steps:
P1, the day power data of n days 96 points is considered as the amount of being open into for 96 points, longitudinal direction amount is the array of n, is obtained per point Expectation
And variance
P2, the deviation ratio for obtaining each numerical value in two-dimensional array
It is compared with the threshold values λ of setting, if deviation ratio is more than λ, is judged to abnormal data, wherein σjFor jth point Variance.
The present invention also provides a kind of photovoltaic plant power anomalous data identification device, including such as lower unit:
1) for day power data is carried out pretreatment, day power is calculated with reference to the influence factor of photovoltaic plant power data The unit of the degree of association of curve;
2) for according to different affecting factors day power curve the degree of association, day power curve is entered using clustering algorithm Row clustering processing, obtains the unit of the data classification results under different clusters numbers, that is, obtains the feature under different affecting factors Curve;
3) for the abnormal data criterion according to photovoltaic plant power data, to having obvious characteristic in day power The unit recognized by abnormal data, the abnormal data criterion is:
A) photovoltaic power value is higher than characteristic curve value in the lasting setting time, and is not changed with irradiance;
B) photovoltaic power is less than characteristic curve value in the lasting setting time, and does not change with irradiance;
C in the lasting setting time it is not substantially) 0 in solar global irradiance, photovoltaic power remains 0 or is close to 0;
If there is any of the above-described situation, it is judged to abnormal data.
The device is actually based on a kind of computer solution of the inventive method flow process, i.e., a kind of software architecture, Above-mentioned each unit is each treatment progress corresponding with method flow or program.Due to the introduction to said method it is enough It is clear complete, therefore the device is no longer described in detail.

Claims (10)

1. a kind of photovoltaic plant power anomalous data identification method, it is characterised in that comprise the steps:
1) day power data is carried out into pretreatment, the pass of day power curve is calculated with reference to the influence factor of photovoltaic plant power data Connection degree;
2) according to different affecting factors day power curve the degree of association, day power curve is carried out at cluster using clustering algorithm Reason, obtains the data classification results under different clusters numbers, that is, obtains the characteristic curve under different affecting factors;
3) according to the abnormal data criterion of photovoltaic plant power data, to the abnormal data that there is obvious characteristic in day power Recognized, the abnormal data criterion is:
A) photovoltaic power value is higher than characteristic curve value in the lasting setting time, and is not changed with irradiance;
B) photovoltaic power is less than characteristic curve value in the lasting setting time, and does not change with irradiance;
C) solar global irradiance is not substantially 0 in the lasting setting time, and photovoltaic power remains 0 or is close to 0;
If there is any of the above-described situation, it is judged to abnormal data.
2. photovoltaic plant power anomalous data identification method according to claim 1, it is characterised in that also include to described After day power data foundation abnormal data criterion judgement, to judging data not as exception, using longitudinal method and horizontal method The step of carrying out secondary abnormal identification.
3. photovoltaic plant power anomalous data identification method according to claim 1, it is characterised in that the calculating association Degree method is gray prediction degree of association method, is comprised the steps:
The influence factor of power data is converted into into day character vector, as the sample for calculating grey relational grade, the correlation of each point Coefficient is:
ξ ( k ) = m i n i m i n k | x 0 ( k ) - x i ( k ) | + ρ m a x i m a x k | x 0 ( k ) - x i ( k ) | | x 0 ( k ) - x i ( k ) | + ρ m a x i m a x k | x 0 ( k ) - x i ( k ) |
Wherein, ξ (k) is sequence x0With xiIn the grey incidence coefficient of k points, Respectively 2 grades minimum extreme differences and maximum extreme difference, ρ is resolution ratio, between 0 and 1, takes 0.5;
Ask for the meansigma methodss of each coefficient of association:
R i = 1 N Σ k = 1 N ξ i ( k )
4. the photovoltaic plant power anomalous data identification method according to claim 1 or 3, it is characterised in that the photovoltaic The influence factor of power station power data includes:
Weather pattern:
Season:
The highest temperature:
Lowest temperature:
2nd, 8,14,20 when temperature:tk=tMoment/tmax
The influence factor is converted into into day character vector (d, s, tmax,tmin,t2,t8,t14,t20) as calculating grey relational grade Sample.
5. photovoltaic plant power anomalous data identification method according to claim 1, it is characterised in that the clustering algorithm For Fuzzy Mean Clustering Algorithm, power sample space is X={ x1,x2,…,xn(numbers of the n for input sample), including as follows Step:
S1, given cluster classification number c (2≤c≤n), set iteration stopping threshold values ε, as needed if initialized clustering prototype Pattern is P(0), iteration count b=0;
S2, according to the meansigma methodss Matrix dividing U of coefficient of association(b):For any k (k=1,2 ..., n), i (i=1,2 ..., c), IfThen have:
u i k ( b ) = { Σ j = 1 c [ [ d i k ( b ) d j k ( b ) ] 2 m - 1 ] } - 1
Wherein, m > 1 (typically taking m=2) are referred to as fuzzy coefficient, dikIn representing the typical sample of sample and the i-th class of kth apoplexy due to endogenous wind The degree of association between the heart;
If there is i, k so thatThen haveAnd to j ≠ k,
S3, seek clustering prototype mode matrix P(b+1)
P i b + 1 = Σ k = 1 n ( u i k d i k ( b ) ) m x k Σ k = 1 n ( u i k d i k ( b ) ) m , i = 1 , 2 , ... , c
Wherein, uikThe Matrix dividing calculated according to coefficient of association by previous step, dikRepresent the sample and the i-th class of kth apoplexy due to endogenous wind The degree of association between typical sample center;
S4, judgement | | P(b)-P(b+1)| | and ε relations:If | | P(b)-P(b+1)| | >=ε, then b=b+1, iteration process, until | | P(b)-P(b+1)| | < ε;Wherein, ε represents iteration stopping threshold values.
6. photovoltaic plant power anomalous data identification method according to claim 2, it is characterised in that the horizontal method is Disorder data recognition is carried out for the changed power situation between power curve s point, is comprised the steps:
Q1, obtain selected i-th point of power variation rate of sample day:
Δli=(li-li-1)/li
Wherein, Δ liFor the power variation rate between 2 continuous power points, i counts for power, and i=1,2 ..., s;
N days mean power rates of change in the same time before Q2, calculating:
Δl i , a v = 1 n Σ j = 1 n Δl i j
Wherein, Δ li,avFor the mean power rate of change of n sample data, i counts for power, and i=1,2 ..., s;
If Q3, | Δ li|≥kΔli,av, it is judged as abnormal data, wherein, k is chugging coefficient;
The longitudinal method is to choose the power data of n days as sample, and the performance number of synchronization in day power curve is carried out Contrast, comprises the steps:
P1, the day power data of n days s points is considered as the amount of being open into for s points, longitudinal direction amount is the array of n, obtains the expectation of per
E ( j ) = 1 n Σ i = 1 n x ( i , j )
And variance
σ ( i , j ) = Σ i = 1 n [ x ( i , j ) - E ( j ) ] 2
P2, the deviation ratio for obtaining each numerical value in two-dimensional array
ρ ( i , j ) = | x ( i , j ) - E ( j ) | 3 σ j
Threshold values λ of the side-play amount with setting is compared, if deviation ratio is more than λ, is judged to abnormal data, wherein σjFor jth point Variance.
7. a kind of photovoltaic plant power anomalous data identification device, it is characterised in that include such as lower unit:
1) for day power data is carried out pretreatment, day power curve is calculated with reference to the influence factor of photovoltaic plant power data The degree of association unit;
2) for according to different affecting factors day power curve the degree of association, day power curve is gathered using clustering algorithm Class process, obtains the unit of the data classification results under different clusters numbers, that is, obtains the characteristic curve under different affecting factors;
3) for the abnormal data criterion according to photovoltaic plant power data, to the exception that there is obvious characteristic in day power The unit recognized by data, the abnormal data criterion is:
A) photovoltaic power value is higher than characteristic curve value in the lasting setting time, and is not changed with irradiance;
B) photovoltaic power is less than characteristic curve value in the lasting setting time, and does not change with irradiance;
C) solar global irradiance is not substantially 0 in the lasting setting time, and photovoltaic power remains 0 or is close to 0;
If there is any of the above-described situation, it is judged to abnormal data.
8. photovoltaic plant power anomalous data identification device according to claim 7, it is characterised in that also include to described After day power data foundation abnormal data criterion judgement, to judging data not as exception, using longitudinal method and horizontal method Carry out the unit of secondary abnormal identification.
9. photovoltaic plant power anomalous data identification device according to claim 7, it is characterised in that the calculating association Degree method is gray prediction degree of association method, including such as lower module:
For the influence factor of power data is converted into day character vector, as the module of the sample for calculating grey relational grade, The correlation coefficient of each point is:
ξ ( k ) = m i n i m i n k | x 0 ( k ) - x i ( k ) | + ρ m a x i m a x k | x 0 ( k ) - x i ( k ) | | x 0 ( k ) - x i ( k ) | + ρ m a x i m a x k | x 0 ( k ) - x i ( k ) |
Wherein, ξ (k) is sequence x0With xiIn the grey incidence coefficient of k points, Point Not Wei 2 grades of minimum extreme differences and maximum extreme difference, ρ is resolution ratio, between 0 and 1, takes 0.5;
For asking for the module of the meansigma methodss of each coefficient of association:
R i = 1 N Σ k = 1 N ξ i ( k )
10. the photovoltaic plant power anomalous data identification device according to claim 7 or 9, it is characterised in that the photovoltaic The influence factor of power station power data includes:
Weather pattern:
Season:
The highest temperature:
Lowest temperature:
2nd, 8,14,20 when temperature:tk=tMoment/tmax
The influence factor is converted into into day character vector (d, s, tmax,tmin,t2,t8,t14,t20) as calculating grey relational grade Sample.
CN201610875514.0A 2016-09-30 2016-09-30 Photovoltaic power station power abnormity data identification method and device Active CN106548270B (en)

Priority Applications (1)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
CN201610875514.0A CN106548270B (en) 2016-09-30 2016-09-30 Photovoltaic power station power abnormity data identification method and device

Applications Claiming Priority (1)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
CN201610875514.0A CN106548270B (en) 2016-09-30 2016-09-30 Photovoltaic power station power abnormity data identification method and device

Publications (2)

Publication Number Publication Date
CN106548270A true CN106548270A (en) 2017-03-29
CN106548270B CN106548270B (en) 2020-08-14

Family

ID=58368503

Family Applications (1)

Application Number Title Priority Date Filing Date
CN201610875514.0A Active CN106548270B (en) 2016-09-30 2016-09-30 Photovoltaic power station power abnormity data identification method and device

Country Status (1)

Country Link
CN (1) CN106548270B (en)

Cited By (10)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN108107312A (en) * 2017-12-04 2018-06-01 国网江苏省电力有限公司电力科学研究院 Non- register one's residence does not power off wrong wiring of electric energy meter detection device and method
CN109842371A (en) * 2019-03-19 2019-06-04 黎和平 A kind of method and apparatus positioning photovoltaic power generation exception
CN110164102A (en) * 2019-04-22 2019-08-23 创维互联(北京)新能源科技有限公司 A kind of photovoltaic plant group string abnormal alarm method and warning device
CN110674864A (en) * 2019-09-20 2020-01-10 国网上海市电力公司 Wind power abnormal data identification method with synchronous phasor measurement device
CN110995153A (en) * 2019-12-18 2020-04-10 国网电子商务有限公司 Abnormal data detection method and device for photovoltaic power station and electronic equipment
CN111258787A (en) * 2020-01-07 2020-06-09 浙江零跑科技有限公司 Method for identifying abnormal NTC temperature sampling value based on battery pack
CN111814829A (en) * 2020-06-09 2020-10-23 江苏蓝天光伏科技有限公司 Power generation abnormity identification method and system for photovoltaic power station
CN112816216A (en) * 2021-01-05 2021-05-18 三峡大学 Rolling bearing performance test bench and identification and correction method of abnormal test sample
CN113900370A (en) * 2021-09-30 2022-01-07 万帮数字能源股份有限公司 Time calibration method and time calibration device for photovoltaic system and photovoltaic system
CN115718901A (en) * 2022-11-15 2023-02-28 中国南方电网有限责任公司超高压输电公司广州局 Data processing method and device based on converter valve and computer equipment

Citations (5)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
JP2009169930A (en) * 2007-12-21 2009-07-30 Fuji Electric Systems Co Ltd Energy demand predicting device
CN103390902A (en) * 2013-06-04 2013-11-13 国家电网公司 Photovoltaic power station super short term power prediction method based on least square method
KR20140018497A (en) * 2012-08-01 2014-02-13 한국전력공사 Prediction method of short-term wind speed and wind power and power supply line voltage prediction method therefore
CN104463349A (en) * 2014-11-11 2015-03-25 河海大学 Photovoltaic generated power prediction method based on multi-period comprehensive similar days
CN104881706A (en) * 2014-12-31 2015-09-02 天津弘源慧能科技有限公司 Electrical power system short-term load forecasting method based on big data technology

Patent Citations (5)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
JP2009169930A (en) * 2007-12-21 2009-07-30 Fuji Electric Systems Co Ltd Energy demand predicting device
KR20140018497A (en) * 2012-08-01 2014-02-13 한국전력공사 Prediction method of short-term wind speed and wind power and power supply line voltage prediction method therefore
CN103390902A (en) * 2013-06-04 2013-11-13 国家电网公司 Photovoltaic power station super short term power prediction method based on least square method
CN104463349A (en) * 2014-11-11 2015-03-25 河海大学 Photovoltaic generated power prediction method based on multi-period comprehensive similar days
CN104881706A (en) * 2014-12-31 2015-09-02 天津弘源慧能科技有限公司 Electrical power system short-term load forecasting method based on big data technology

Non-Patent Citations (2)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Title
嵇灵、牛东晓、汪鹏: "基于相似日聚类和贝叶斯神经网络的光伏发电功率预测研究", 《中国管理科学》 *
陈亚红、穆钢、段方丽: "短期电力负荷预报中几种异常数据的处理", 《东北电力学院学报》 *

Cited By (14)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN108107312B (en) * 2017-12-04 2018-11-30 国网江苏省电力有限公司电力科学研究院 Non- register one's residence does not power off wrong wiring of electric energy meter detection device and method
CN108107312A (en) * 2017-12-04 2018-06-01 国网江苏省电力有限公司电力科学研究院 Non- register one's residence does not power off wrong wiring of electric energy meter detection device and method
CN109842371A (en) * 2019-03-19 2019-06-04 黎和平 A kind of method and apparatus positioning photovoltaic power generation exception
CN110164102A (en) * 2019-04-22 2019-08-23 创维互联(北京)新能源科技有限公司 A kind of photovoltaic plant group string abnormal alarm method and warning device
CN110674864B (en) * 2019-09-20 2024-03-15 国网上海市电力公司 Wind power abnormal data identification method comprising synchronous phasor measurement device
CN110674864A (en) * 2019-09-20 2020-01-10 国网上海市电力公司 Wind power abnormal data identification method with synchronous phasor measurement device
CN110995153A (en) * 2019-12-18 2020-04-10 国网电子商务有限公司 Abnormal data detection method and device for photovoltaic power station and electronic equipment
CN111258787A (en) * 2020-01-07 2020-06-09 浙江零跑科技有限公司 Method for identifying abnormal NTC temperature sampling value based on battery pack
CN111258787B (en) * 2020-01-07 2023-06-20 浙江零跑科技股份有限公司 Method for identifying abnormal NTC temperature sampling value based on battery pack
CN111814829A (en) * 2020-06-09 2020-10-23 江苏蓝天光伏科技有限公司 Power generation abnormity identification method and system for photovoltaic power station
CN112816216A (en) * 2021-01-05 2021-05-18 三峡大学 Rolling bearing performance test bench and identification and correction method of abnormal test sample
CN113900370A (en) * 2021-09-30 2022-01-07 万帮数字能源股份有限公司 Time calibration method and time calibration device for photovoltaic system and photovoltaic system
CN113900370B (en) * 2021-09-30 2022-11-08 万帮数字能源股份有限公司 Time calibration method and time calibration device for photovoltaic system and photovoltaic system
CN115718901A (en) * 2022-11-15 2023-02-28 中国南方电网有限责任公司超高压输电公司广州局 Data processing method and device based on converter valve and computer equipment

Also Published As

Publication number Publication date
CN106548270B (en) 2020-08-14

Similar Documents

Publication Publication Date Title
CN106548270A (en) A kind of photovoltaic plant power anomalous data identification method and device
CN109002915B (en) Photovoltaic power station short-term power prediction method based on Kmeans-GRA-Elman model
CN106447098B (en) Photovoltaic ultra-short-term power prediction method and device
CN115293415A (en) Multi-wind-farm short-term power prediction method considering time evolution and space correlation
CN110807554B (en) Generation method and system based on wind power/photovoltaic classical scene set
CN105868853B (en) Method for predicting short-term wind power combination probability
CN106295899B (en) Wind power probability density Forecasting Methodology based on genetic algorithm Yu supporting vector quantile estimate
CN112257941A (en) Photovoltaic power station short-term power prediction method based on improved Bi-LSTM
CN111753893A (en) Wind turbine generator power cluster prediction method based on clustering and deep learning
CN106529719A (en) Method of predicting wind power of wind speed fusion based on particle swarm optimization algorithm
CN107516145A (en) A kind of multichannel photovoltaic power generation output forecasting method based on weighted euclidean distance pattern classification
CN109635245A (en) A kind of robust width learning system
CN112215428B (en) Photovoltaic power generation power prediction method and system based on error correction and fuzzy logic
CN104616078A (en) Spiking neural network based photovoltaic system generation power prediction method
CN105046453A (en) Construction engineering project cluster establishment method introducing cloud model for evaluation and selection
CN115099296A (en) Sea wave height prediction method based on deep learning algorithm
CN115358437A (en) Power supply load prediction method based on convolutional neural network
CN116579447A (en) Time sequence prediction method based on decomposition mechanism and attention mechanism
CN116187540A (en) Wind power station ultra-short-term power prediction method based on space-time deviation correction
CN108830405B (en) Real-time power load prediction system and method based on multi-index dynamic matching
CN112836876B (en) Power distribution network line load prediction method based on deep learning
CN116957356B (en) Scenic spot carbon neutralization management method and system based on big data
CN110555566B (en) B-spline quantile regression-based photoelectric probability density prediction method
CN116663727A (en) Photovoltaic power prediction method and system
CN116611702A (en) Integrated learning photovoltaic power generation prediction method for building integrated energy management

Legal Events

Date Code Title Description
PB01 Publication
PB01 Publication
SE01 Entry into force of request for substantive examination
SE01 Entry into force of request for substantive examination
GR01 Patent grant
GR01 Patent grant