CN106501688A - A kind of meter and the plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing lifetime estimation method of temperature and the double parameters of moisture - Google Patents

A kind of meter and the plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing lifetime estimation method of temperature and the double parameters of moisture Download PDF

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Publication number
CN106501688A
CN106501688A CN201610915402.3A CN201610915402A CN106501688A CN 106501688 A CN106501688 A CN 106501688A CN 201610915402 A CN201610915402 A CN 201610915402A CN 106501688 A CN106501688 A CN 106501688A
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China
Prior art keywords
moisture
temperature
oil insulation
paper oil
voltage ageing
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CN201610915402.3A
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Chinese (zh)
Inventor
黄正勇
李剑
王飞鹏
杨丽君
陈伟根
廖瑞金
杜林�
王有元
周泉
赵学童
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Chongqing University
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Chongqing University
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G01MEASURING; TESTING
    • G01RMEASURING ELECTRIC VARIABLES; MEASURING MAGNETIC VARIABLES
    • G01R31/00Arrangements for testing electric properties; Arrangements for locating electric faults; Arrangements for electrical testing characterised by what is being tested not provided for elsewhere
    • G01R31/12Testing dielectric strength or breakdown voltage ; Testing or monitoring effectiveness or level of insulation, e.g. of a cable or of an apparatus, for example using partial discharge measurements; Electrostatic testing
    • G01R31/1227Testing dielectric strength or breakdown voltage ; Testing or monitoring effectiveness or level of insulation, e.g. of a cable or of an apparatus, for example using partial discharge measurements; Electrostatic testing of components, parts or materials
    • G01R31/1263Testing dielectric strength or breakdown voltage ; Testing or monitoring effectiveness or level of insulation, e.g. of a cable or of an apparatus, for example using partial discharge measurements; Electrostatic testing of components, parts or materials of solid or fluid materials, e.g. insulation films, bulk material; of semiconductors or LV electronic components or parts; of cable, line or wire insulation

Abstract

The invention discloses the plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing lifetime estimation method of a kind of meter and temperature and the double parameters of moisture, comprises the following steps:Step one:Obtain the affecting laws of temperature and moisture to paper oil insulation Electric Field Distribution;Step 2:The double parameter voltage ageing life models of electric-field intensity and temperature, electric-field intensity and moisture are set up respectively;Step 3:Set up the plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing life-span universal equation of meter and temperature and the double parameters of moisture;Step 4:The significance that each parameter of the plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing life-span universal equation of meter and temperature and the double parameters of moisture is checked with stepwise regression analysis.The present invention combines transformer actual operating mode, consideration temperature and moisture the two to transformer safety run threaten the biggest factor synergies, multifactor plant paper oil insulation lifetime estimation method is proposed, the formulation of paper oil insulation safety reliability assessment strategy under different running statuses is realized.

Description

A kind of meter and the plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing life appraisal of temperature and the double parameters of moisture Method
Technical field
The invention belongs to transformer oil paper insulation voltage ageing Life Assessment Technology field, and in particular to a kind of meter and temperature and The plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing lifetime estimation method of the double parameters of moisture.
Background technology
Main composition form of the paper oil insulation as power transformer interior insulation, is subject to electricity in long-term running Multi-stress aging based on pressure, temperature and moisture affects, and its insulation life declines, and directly threatens the safe and reliable fortune of transformer OK.The paper insulated aging characteristics of vegetable oil all concentrate on the effect of the single factor tests such as electric heating at present, lack the multifactor associations such as temperature, moisture Plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing characteristic research under same-action, and not yet pay close attention to the paper oil insulation life appraisal of different running statuses.
Content of the invention
In consideration of it, a kind of it is an object of the invention to provide plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing of meter and temperature and the double parameters of moisture Lifetime estimation method.
The purpose of the present invention is achieved through the following technical solutions, the plant of a kind of meter and temperature and the double parameters of moisture Paper oil insulation voltage ageing lifetime estimation method, comprises the following steps:
Step one:After plant oilpaper is pre-processed, the test product of different tests temperature and original water content is selected and controls Acceleration electrical ageing test is carried out, the affecting laws of temperature and moisture to paper oil insulation Electric Field Distribution are obtained;
Step 2:Based on temperature and the affecting laws of the lower plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing characteristic of moisture synergy, difference Set up double parameter voltage ageing life models of electric-field intensity and temperature, electric-field intensity and moisture;
Step 3:According to temperature in the double parameter voltage ageing life models that is set up and the incidence relation of the double parameters of moisture, Set up the plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing life-span universal equation of meter and temperature and the double parameters of moisture;
Step 4:The plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing longevity that meter and temperature and the double parameters of moisture are checked with stepwise regression analysis The significance of each parameter of life universal equation.
Further, the plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing life-span universal equation of described meter and temperature and the double parameters of moisture is
In formula, x represents that moisture in paper, E represent that test electric field, L represent Weibull characteristics life, and other parameters are normal Number;Parameter k1, k2, k3 and k4 are related to moisture, and b1 and b2 are unrelated with moisture for parameter.
Further, the aging life model of the electric-field intensity and temperature:
L=exp (A1+A2U+(B1+B2U)/T)
In formula, L is breakdown time of the paper oil insulation under voltage U and the effect of temperature T;A1, A2, B1 and B2 are constant, with Experimental enviroment is relevant with specific material character.
Further, based on plant paper oil insulation sample Weibull characteristics life value and equivalent breakdown field at a temperature of different tests By force, the parameter Estimation of regression model is realized using MATLAB statistics toolbox regress functions:
L=exp (9-0.66E+1959.3/T+149.37E/T).
Further, the plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing life model of electric-field intensity and moisture is set up:
LnL=-kE-mx+n
In formula, k is tolerance coefficient, and m, n are the coefficient correlation that the paper oil insulation voltage ageing life-span tolerates coefficient.
Further, based on plant paper oil insulation sample Weibull characteristics life value under moisture in different paper and equivalent hit Field intensity is worn, parameter Estimation is carried out using the method for linear fit:
L=e(19.94-121.7x-0.239E).
As a result of above-mentioned technical proposal, the present invention has the advantage that:
The present invention combines transformer actual operating mode, it is considered to temperature and moisture the two transformer safety operation is threatened The synergy of the biggest factor, proposes multifactor plant paper oil insulation lifetime estimation method, realizes oilpaper under different running statuses The formulation of insulation safety Reliability assessment strategy, this to vegetable insulating oil popularization and application in large-scale power transformer have important Scientific meaning and using value.
Description of the drawings
In order that the object, technical solutions and advantages of the present invention are clearer, below in conjunction with accompanying drawing the present invention is made into The detailed description of one step, wherein:
Fig. 1 is stepwise regression analysis residual error lever diagram;
Fig. 2 is temperature and moisture and the relation of accelerated factor.
Specific embodiment
Below with reference to accompanying drawing, the preferred embodiments of the present invention are described in detail;It should be appreciated that preferred embodiment Only for the explanation present invention, rather than in order to limit the scope of the invention.
A kind of meter and the plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing lifetime estimation method of temperature and the double parameters of moisture, including following step Suddenly:
Step one:After plant oilpaper is pre-processed, the test product of different tests temperature and original water content is selected and controls Acceleration electrical ageing test is carried out, the affecting laws of temperature and moisture to paper oil insulation Electric Field Distribution, plant paper oil insulation etc. is obtained Effect disruptive field intensity and characteristics life increase with moisture as temperature rise and decline;
Step 2:Based on temperature and the affecting laws of the lower plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing characteristic of moisture synergy, from Fig. 2 In as can be seen that original water content higher, temperature is more obvious to the acceleration effect of insulating paper life time decay, and temperature is got over Height, in paper, moisture is also more obvious to the acceleration effect of insulating paper life time decay.Electric-field intensity and temperature association are set up respectively FALLOU voltage ageing life models:
L=exp (A1+A2U+(B1+B2U)/T)
In formula, L is breakdown time of the paper oil insulation under voltage U and the effect of temperature T;A1, A2, B1 and B2 are constant, with Experimental enviroment is relevant with specific material character.Based on plant paper oil insulation sample Weibull characteristics life at a temperature of different tests Value and equivalent disruptive field intensity, the parameter Estimation for realizing regression model using MATLAB statistics toolbox regress functions:
L=exp (9-0.66E+1959.3/T+149.37E/T)
Set up the plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing life model of electric-field intensity and moisture:
LnL=-kE-mx+n
In formula, x is insulation scraps of paper moisture, and E is equivalent disruptive field intensity.Tolerance coefficient k value is mainly had with test temperature Close, less, the coefficient correlation of m, n for paper oil insulation voltage ageing life-span tolerance coefficient is affected by moisture in insulating paper.It is based on Plant paper oil insulation sample Weibull characteristics life value and equivalent disruptive field intensity under moisture in different paper, using linear fit Method carry out parameter Estimation:
L=e(19.94-121.7x-0.239E)
Step 3:According to temperature in the double parameter voltage ageing life models that is set up and the incidence relation of the double parameters of moisture, Set up the plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing life-span universal equation of meter and temperature and the double parameters of moisture;
The plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing life-span universal equation of described meter and temperature and the double parameters of moisture is
In formula, x represents that moisture in paper, E represent that test electric field, L represent Weibull characteristics life, and other parameters are normal Number.Parameter k1、k2、k3And k4Related to moisture, parameter b1And b2Unrelated with moisture.
Step 4:The plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing longevity that meter and temperature and the double parameters of moisture are checked with stepwise regression analysis The significance of the life each parameter of universal equation, significance are higher, show life model and test data fitting effect compared with Good.
The present invention combines transformer actual operating mode, it is considered to temperature and moisture the two transformer safety operation is threatened The synergy of the biggest factor, proposes multifactor plant paper oil insulation lifetime estimation method, realizes oilpaper under different running statuses The formulation of insulation safety Reliability assessment strategy, this to vegetable insulating oil popularization and application in large-scale power transformer have important Scientific meaning and using value.
The preferred embodiments of the present invention are the foregoing is only, the present invention is not limited to, it is clear that those skilled in the art Member the present invention can be carried out various change and modification without departing from the spirit and scope of the present invention.So, if the present invention These modifications and modification belong within the scope of the claims in the present invention and its equivalent technologies, then the present invention is also intended to comprising these Including change and modification.

Claims (6)

1. the plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing lifetime estimation method of a kind of meter and the double parameters of temperature and moisture, it is characterised in that:Bag Include following steps:
Step one:After plant oilpaper is pre-processed, the test product for selecting and controlling different tests temperature and original water content is carried out Accelerate electrical ageing test, obtain the affecting laws of temperature and moisture to paper oil insulation Electric Field Distribution;
Step 2:Based on temperature and the affecting laws of the lower plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing characteristic of moisture synergy, set up respectively Electric-field intensity and double parameter voltage ageing life models of temperature, electric-field intensity and moisture;
Step 3:According to temperature in the double parameter voltage ageing life models that is set up and the incidence relation of the double parameters of moisture, set up Meter and the plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing life-span universal equation of temperature and the double parameters of moisture;
Step 4:Meter and temperature and the plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing life-span of the double parameters of moisture is checked to lead to stepwise regression analysis Significance with each parameter of equation.
2. the plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing life appraisal side of meter according to claim 1 and the double parameters of temperature and moisture Method, it is characterised in that:The plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing life-span universal equation of described meter and temperature and the double parameters of moisture is
ln L = a + b E a = k 1 + k 2 x + k 3 / T + k 4 x / T b = b 1 + b 2 / T ⇒ ln L = ( k 1 + k 2 x + k 3 / T + k 4 x / T ) + ( b 1 + b 2 / T ) E
In formula, x represents that moisture in paper, E represent that test electric field, L represent Weibull characteristics life, and other parameters are constant; Parameter k1、k2、k3And k4Related to moisture, parameter b1And b2Unrelated with moisture.
3. the plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing life appraisal side of meter according to claim 2 and the double parameters of temperature and moisture Method, it is characterised in that:The aging life model of the electric-field intensity and temperature:
L=exp (A1+A2U+(B1+B2U)/T)
In formula, L is breakdown time of the paper oil insulation under voltage U and the effect of temperature T;A1、A2、B1And B2For constant, with proving ring Border is relevant with specific material character.
4. the plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing life appraisal side of meter according to claim 3 and the double parameters of temperature and moisture Method, it is characterised in that:Based on plant paper oil insulation sample Weibull characteristics life value and equivalent breakdown field at a temperature of different tests By force, the parameter Estimation of regression model is realized using MATLAB statistics toolbox regress functions:
L=exp (9-0.66E+1959.3/T+149.37E/T).
5. the plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing life appraisal side of meter according to claim 2 and the double parameters of temperature and moisture Method, it is characterised in that:Set up the plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing life model of electric-field intensity and moisture:
LnL=-kE-mx+n
In formula, k is tolerance coefficient, and m, n are the coefficient correlation that the paper oil insulation voltage ageing life-span tolerates coefficient.
6. the plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing life appraisal side of meter according to claim 5 and the double parameters of temperature and moisture Method, it is characterised in that:Based on plant paper oil insulation sample Weibull characteristics life value under moisture in different paper and equivalent hit Field intensity is worn, parameter Estimation is carried out using the method for linear fit:
L=e(19.94-121.7x-0.239E).
CN201610915402.3A 2016-10-20 2016-10-20 A kind of meter and the plant paper oil insulation voltage ageing lifetime estimation method of temperature and the double parameters of moisture Pending CN106501688A (en)

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CN107390064A (en) * 2017-08-03 2017-11-24 中国电力科学研究院 A kind of ageing test apparatus and application method of insulating oil or paper oil insulation
CN108009313A (en) * 2017-11-03 2018-05-08 大唐东北电力试验研究所有限公司 The method that the electric field distribution under polarity inversion in paper oil insulation is determined based on MATLAB
CN109696605A (en) * 2018-10-19 2019-04-30 中电华创电力技术研究有限公司 A kind of lifetime estimation method of generator stator bar epoxy resin mica insulation
CN110554287A (en) * 2019-09-20 2019-12-10 福州大学 Oil paper insulation micro-water content evaluation method by utilizing backward selection multiple regression analysis
CN110954789A (en) * 2019-11-18 2020-04-03 大唐东北电力试验研究院有限公司 Insulation aging identification method for F-level generator
CN112364523A (en) * 2020-11-27 2021-02-12 江苏方天电力技术有限公司 Crine model-based insulating material aging life measuring method

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CN104407238A (en) * 2014-05-20 2015-03-11 国家电网公司 Oil paper insulation thermal aging life assessment method based on time temperature water superposition method
CN104076232A (en) * 2014-07-17 2014-10-01 国网上海市电力公司 Transformer oil-paper insulation electricity-heating unite ageing test device
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Cited By (8)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN107390064A (en) * 2017-08-03 2017-11-24 中国电力科学研究院 A kind of ageing test apparatus and application method of insulating oil or paper oil insulation
CN108009313A (en) * 2017-11-03 2018-05-08 大唐东北电力试验研究所有限公司 The method that the electric field distribution under polarity inversion in paper oil insulation is determined based on MATLAB
CN109696605A (en) * 2018-10-19 2019-04-30 中电华创电力技术研究有限公司 A kind of lifetime estimation method of generator stator bar epoxy resin mica insulation
CN109696605B (en) * 2018-10-19 2021-02-05 中电华创电力技术研究有限公司 Method for evaluating service life of epoxy mica insulation of generator stator bar
CN110554287A (en) * 2019-09-20 2019-12-10 福州大学 Oil paper insulation micro-water content evaluation method by utilizing backward selection multiple regression analysis
CN110954789A (en) * 2019-11-18 2020-04-03 大唐东北电力试验研究院有限公司 Insulation aging identification method for F-level generator
CN112364523A (en) * 2020-11-27 2021-02-12 江苏方天电力技术有限公司 Crine model-based insulating material aging life measuring method
CN112364523B (en) * 2020-11-27 2022-07-29 江苏方天电力技术有限公司 Crine model-based insulating material aging life measuring method

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