CN106018333B - Accumulate double-base propellant ultimate stage rapid Estimation method - Google Patents

Accumulate double-base propellant ultimate stage rapid Estimation method Download PDF

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CN106018333B
CN106018333B CN201610614508.XA CN201610614508A CN106018333B CN 106018333 B CN106018333 B CN 106018333B CN 201610614508 A CN201610614508 A CN 201610614508A CN 106018333 B CN106018333 B CN 106018333B
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张皋
丁黎
安静
周静
汪辉
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Xian Modern Chemistry Research Institute
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    • G01MEASURING; TESTING
    • G01NINVESTIGATING OR ANALYSING MATERIALS BY DETERMINING THEIR CHEMICAL OR PHYSICAL PROPERTIES
    • G01N21/00Investigating or analysing materials by the use of optical means, i.e. using sub-millimetre waves, infrared, visible or ultraviolet light
    • G01N21/17Systems in which incident light is modified in accordance with the properties of the material investigated
    • G01N21/25Colour; Spectral properties, i.e. comparison of effect of material on the light at two or more different wavelengths or wavelength bands
    • G01N21/31Investigating relative effect of material at wavelengths characteristic of specific elements or molecules, e.g. atomic absorption spectrometry
    • G01N21/35Investigating relative effect of material at wavelengths characteristic of specific elements or molecules, e.g. atomic absorption spectrometry using infrared light
    • G01N21/359Investigating relative effect of material at wavelengths characteristic of specific elements or molecules, e.g. atomic absorption spectrometry using infrared light using near infrared light
    • GPHYSICS
    • G01MEASURING; TESTING
    • G01NINVESTIGATING OR ANALYSING MATERIALS BY DETERMINING THEIR CHEMICAL OR PHYSICAL PROPERTIES
    • G01N21/00Investigating or analysing materials by the use of optical means, i.e. using sub-millimetre waves, infrared, visible or ultraviolet light
    • G01N21/17Systems in which incident light is modified in accordance with the properties of the material investigated
    • G01N21/25Colour; Spectral properties, i.e. comparison of effect of material on the light at two or more different wavelengths or wavelength bands
    • G01N21/31Investigating relative effect of material at wavelengths characteristic of specific elements or molecules, e.g. atomic absorption spectrometry
    • G01N21/35Investigating relative effect of material at wavelengths characteristic of specific elements or molecules, e.g. atomic absorption spectrometry using infrared light
    • G01N21/3563Investigating relative effect of material at wavelengths characteristic of specific elements or molecules, e.g. atomic absorption spectrometry using infrared light for analysing solids; Preparation of samples therefor

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Abstract

A kind of accumulation double-base propellant ultimate stage rapid Estimation method, No. II centralite effective content near-infrared quantitative model modeling sample of double-base propellant is prepared using thermal acceleration aging process, near infrared spectrum is acquired, No. II centralite effective content near-infrared quantitative model is established by Chemical Measurement;With reliable temperature coefficient r0Establish ultimate stage predicting equation;Near-infrared method tracing detection accumulates No. II centralite effective content in double-base propellant thermal acceleration ageing process, the crash time that effective content reaches critical pumping rate consumption is obtained, the accumulation propellant powder ultimate stage at a temperature of the operating mode and storage environment of being extrapolated by ultimate stage predicting equation.This method only needs a sample difference ageing time effective content at near-infrared method one temperature of lossless tracking that can obtain ultimate stage, and sample size reduces 96%, safety, low cost.

Description

Accumulate double-base propellant ultimate stage rapid Estimation method
Technical field
The invention belongs to explosive wastewater security evaluation field, it is related to a kind of explosive wastewater operating mode, storage process ultimate stage Rapid Estimation method.It is especially a kind of to be diffused spectrometry detection accumulation double-base propellant (SF) single temperature heat using near-infrared No. II centralite effective content of accelerated ageing sample obtains the time that No. II centralite effective content reaches critical pumping rate consumption, According to the method for accumulating double-base propellant ultimate stage at a temperature of ultimate stage predicting equation rapid Estimation operating mode and storage environment.
Background technology
Explosive wastewater chemical stability is that explosive wastewater keeps its chemical property to be no more than permission under operating mode, storage requirement Range is so that cause the ability of safety accident.
Nitrocotton, nitroglycerine are the energy ingredients in double-base propellant, in nitrocotton and nitroglycerine molecular structure all Contain-C-ONO2Structure, double-base propellant occurs slowly to decompose in heated or storage process, O-NO2Key fracture releases energy, The nitrogen oxides with autocatalysis is generated simultaneously, and nitrogen oxides is further catalyzed energy ingredient decomposition, continues slow heat release And heat accumulation is generated, chemical stability is reduced, leads to burning, explosion, influences production and storing stability.
It is No. II centralite conduct of addition in double-base propellant to improve the effective method of double-base propellant chemical stability Stabilization agent, it can absorb the nitrogen oxides that double-base propellant decomposes to give off, to inhibit nitrogen oxides to decompose double-base propellant Autocatalysis, while generating still there is stable No. II centralite derivative of effect, energy ingredient is delayed to decompose, improve pair Base propellant powder chemical stability.No. II centralite and its derivative total content are known as No. II centralite effective content, operating mode and storage The time undergone under the conditions of depositing when No. II centralite effective content drops to critical pumping rate is double-base propellant ultimate stage, is being pacified Double-base propellant chemical stability is good in periodically.
Double-base propellant obtains ultimate stage using the method that hot thermal acceleration degradation tracks No. II centralite effective content, In common chemical titration (bromine reacts the chemical method for generating bromide with stabilization agent) or high effective liquid chromatography for measuring II Determine agent effective content, No. II centralite effective content of sample crushed using aether backflow even longer time extraction in 24 hours, Low boiling point solvent ether is inflammable and explosive, and by pacifying when mechanical crushing double-base propellant aging sample preparation extracted by ether sample Full property is poor, and the bromide that cumbersome, time-consuming and chemical titration generates brings pollution.It is obtained by hot thermal acceleration degradation Different temperatures under No. II centralite effective content changing rule of aging sample, with the Arrhenius Equation obtain ultimate stage when, Since thermal acceleration degradation at least uses 4 temperature spots (65 DEG C, 75 DEG C, 85 DEG C, 95 DEG C), each temperature spot sampling number is extremely It it is less 6 times, the aged samples amount needed is big, and duration of test runs 6 months or more extremely takes, and long-time high temperature thermal acceleration Aging is dangerous high, it is difficult to meet chemical stability design and evaluation demand in new formula research and development and technical process.
There is the double-base propellant of certain size for operating mode and storage process, it is old by thermal acceleration when ultimate stage is estimated Change experiment thermal histories and will produce heat accumulation, on the one hand leads to thermal field uneven distribution, cause stabilization agent content distribution uneven, Easily because of heat accumulation burning and explosion accident occur for another aspect double-base propellant multi-temperature point degradation, accordingly, it is difficult to logical It crosses the multiple temperature spot thermal acceleration degradations of double-base propellant and is stabilized using chemical titration or high performance liquid chromatography Agent content judges ultimate stage, it is difficult to meet the needs of chemical stability is evaluated in double-base propellant storage process.
Near-infrared spectrum technique is that the frequency multiplication, sum of fundamental frequencies information based on X-H (X-C, N, O) in organic molecule carry out substance The spectral technique of qualitative and quantitative analysis has the advantages that convenient, lossless, green.The stable biradical transmitting of accumulation of No. II centralite Medicine ultimate stage rapid Estimation method, can safely, time saving, inexpensive, the stable biradical hair of accumulation of environmentally friendly No. II centralite of acquisition Penetrate medicine ultimate stage.
Invention content
Exist for defect or deficiency, the purpose of the present invention existing for above-mentioned existing accumulation double-base propellant ultimate stage technology In, a kind of accumulation double-base propellant ultimate stage rapid Estimation method is provided, this method can safely, it is time saving, inexpensive, environmentally friendly obtains Double-base propellant ultimate stage must be accumulated.
In order to realize that above-mentioned task, the present invention take the following technical solution:
A kind of accumulation double-base propellant ultimate stage rapid Estimation method, which is characterized in that this method utilizes thermal acceleration aging Method prepares No. II centralite effective content near-infrared quantitative model modeling sample of double-base propellant, using chemical titration or efficiently Liquid chromatography obtain No. II centralite effective content chemical score, using near-infrared diffuse spectrometer acquire spectrum, passing through It learns meterological and establishes No. II centralite effective content near-infrared quantitative model;Double-base propellant thermal acceleration degradation is carried out, is led to It crosses No. II centralite effective content changing rule and obtains reliable temperature coefficient r0, establish ultimate stage predicting equation;Then carry out single One temperature accumulates double-base propellant thermal acceleration degradation, double-base propellant II in near-infrared method tracing detection ageing process Centralite effective content obtains the time that No. II centralite effective content reaches critical pumping rate consumption, according to the ultimate stage side of estimating Ultimate stage at a temperature of journey and reliable temperature coefficient extrapolation operating mode and storage environment.Specifically follow these steps to carry out:
(1) thermal acceleration aging process prepares No. II centralite effective content near-infrared modeling sample
Double-base propellant is fitted into capillary exhaust pipe ground decrement bottle the thermal acceleration degradation at single temperature, when interval Between sample, prepare the double-base propellant sample of different No. II centralite effective contents.It is divided into calibration set sample and verification collection sample.
(2) No. II centralite effective content near-infrared quantitative models
1, No. II centralite effective content chemistry of double-base propellant is obtained according to chemical titration or high performance liquid chromatography Value, determines content range;
2, using near infrared spectrometer, to calibration set sample and verification collection sample collection near infrared spectrum.Sample mode is Diffusing reflection, sampling wave band are 700nm-2500nm, optimize spectral scan parameter, determine optimum resolution, scanning times and sample Duplicate measurements number.Collected near infrared spectrum is transmitted to computer.
3, pretreatment and linear fit are carried out to the near infrared spectrum of calibration set sample using chemometrics method.Selection Key band, in normalization, baseline is smooth, first derivation, second order derivation, selects in multiplicative scatter correction preprocessing procedures Mode pre-processes acquisition spectrum alone or in combination, then Partial Least Squares, that is, PLS methods is used to carry out regression fit, built Vertical calibration model carries out external certificate, the internal inspection according to model and external certificate phase with verification collection sample to institute's established model In conjunction with appraisement system, successive optimization model.
According to foundation No. II centralite effective content near-infrared quantitative model, using near infrared spectrometer to selected sample Product carry out the assay of effective stabilizer, obtain near-infrared predicted value.Chemical score and the worst error of near-infrared predicted value are answered Less than standard method repeatability error.
(3) ultimate stage predicting equation
Nitrate esters energetic material decomposes the chemical reaction for causing No. II centralite effective content of double-base propellant to change, clothes From the Arrhenius Equation, indicate that the accurate empirical formula of k-T relationships is:
The temperature coefficient r for defining reaction speed is the variation multiplying power that temperature often rises 10 DEG C of rate constants:
R=kT+10/kTFormula (2)
In formula:R indicates that the temperature difference is 10 DEG C of reaction rate temperature coefficient;
kTIndicate T DEG C when rate constant;
kT+10Indicate rate constant when (T+10) DEG C.
Due in T1And T2At two temperature, same reaction, aA+bB+ ... → lL+ ..., all from same initial dense are carried out respectively Degree proceeds to identical conversion ratio, and required time is respectively t1And t2, k1With k2Respectively T1And T2When rate constant, then have
t2/t1=k1/k2Formula (3)
If:Tn-Tn-1=10 DEG C
It can be obtained by formula (1) (2):
In formula:R indicates that the temperature difference is 10 DEG C of reaction rate temperature coefficient;
t0Indicate storage environment temperature ultimate stage, d;
tnIndicate high temperature thermal acceleration ageing time, d;
TnIndicate high temperature thermal acceleration degradation temperature, DEG C;
T0Indicate operating mode or storage environment temperature, DEG C.
(4) reliable temperature coefficient r0
Logarithm is taken to formula (4) both sides, is obtained after arrangement:
Tn=A+BlgtnFormula (5)
Wherein, B=-10/lgr
Temperature coefficient r=10-10/B, using near-infrared method tracking and testing sample different temperatures TniLower thermal acceleration aging examination No. II centralite effective content of different time is tested, No. II centralite effective content of different temperatures is obtained and changes over time relationship song Line obtains different temperatures T using No. II centralite effective content consumption 50% as critical pumping rateniCorresponding time tni, through generation Enter (5) formula and carry out one-variable linear regression, coefficient B is obtained using least square method, and then temperature coefficient r is calculated.
In double-base propellant ultimate stage predicting equation, reliable temperature coefficient ensure that chemical stability is good in ultimate stage. Reliable temperature coefficient value is less than normal, and acquisition ultimate stage is short, and reliability is high, but value is too small, and ultimate stage is overly conservative, destroys in advance It causes to waste;Conversely, the value of reliable temperature coefficient is excessive, acquisition ultimate stage is long, when being more than safe storage life, causes thermal explosion It is fried.Therefore, using 0.9 times of the mean value of a variety of typical double-base propellant temperatures coefficient and standard deviation difference as reliable temperature system Number r0
(5) thermal acceleration degradation and ultimate stage
For accumulating double-base propellant, double-base propellant is positioned over and is reduced in case (attached drawing 2) with capillary exhaust pipe, system Standby double-base propellant accumulates sample, in single temperature TnLower thermal acceleration degradation, Selection Center region carry out near infrared spectrum Scanning, obtains No. II centralite effective content of different ageing times, using effective content consumption 50% as critical pumping rate, obtains Temperature TniThe time t of lower stabilization agent consumptionn, according to accumulating biradical transmitting at a temperature of formula (4) rapid Estimation operating mode and storage environment Medicine ultimate stage.
The accumulation double-base propellant ultimate stage rapid Estimation method of the present invention, the advantageous effects brought are embodied in following Several aspects:
1, during No. II centralite of double-base propellant plays stable effect, not only No. II centralite itself has stable Effect, No. II centralite derivative still have stable effect, are the important components of No. II centralite effective content, because This, the stable agent content in double-base propellant ageing process is No. II centralite effective content.Due to No. II centralite derivative Type is more, complicated, it is difficult to obtain, obtaining No. II centralite effective content of near-infrared by thermal acceleration degradation models sample The method of product overcomes a variety of No. II centralite derivatives and prepares and match problem, avoided the high biradical hair of complicated danger Penetrate medicine manufacturing process, convenient, safety, low cost, environmental protection.
2, No. II centralite effective content modeling sample of near-infrared prepared by thermal acceleration aging process is by controlling sample time The sample for obtaining different No. II centralite effective contents, reaches and is evenly distributed in variation range, solves technique manufacture and brings The non-uniform defect of low content sample distribution.
3, chemical titration and high performance liquid chromatography are that stable agent content damages detection method, are needed to biradical transmitting Medicine sample detects No. II centralite effective content after carrying out mechanical crushing, and near infrared light has very strong penetration capacity, examining When sample, any pre-treatment need not be carried out, the scanning of near infrared spectrum is directly done to sample, you can measure double-base propellant On the one hand No. II centralite effective content of sample has been avoided in chemical titration and high performance liquid chromatography without extraction, titration Sample needs the inflammable process of refluxing extraction for 24 hours in low boiling point ether solvent when the separation of No. II centralite, solve time-consuming, The problems such as efficiency is low and pollutes, saves a large amount of reagent expense, while improving safety;On the other hand, near infrared spectrum Minute is short, and the test job of a double-base propellant sample can be completed in 2-5min, is had the advantages that quick.
When 4, obtaining the temperature coefficient of double-base propellant in the past, destructive detection is carried out using chemical titration, tracking is not Synthermal difference No. II centralite effective content of ageing time is determined with obtaining 6 ageing times at a temperature of at least four with No. II The correspondence of agent effective content, and then be fitted and obtain temperature coefficient, it is seen then that temperature coefficient is obtained using chemical titration, until 25 or more samples are needed to measure No. II centralite effective content less.After the modeling of near-infrared effective stabilizer content, 4 temperature are tracked When spending thermal acceleration aging sample stabilization agent changes of contents, only 4 samples is needed to carry out non-damaged data, avoided chemical titration It needs repeatedly to take out aging sample and carries out destructive detection, sample size reduces 84%, while having avoided repeatedly that (each temperature spot is extremely Few 6 times) sampling carries out the risky operation process of mechanical crushing, more quickly, convenient, it is greatly reduced while realizing essential safety Cost.
5, the temperature coefficient that a variety of typical double-base propellants are obtained by thermal acceleration degradation, take temperature coefficient mean value with The 0.9 of standard deviation difference is as reliable temperature coefficient r0.Using No. II centralite effective content consumption 50% as critical pumping rate, Using predicting equationUltimate stage is obtained, the stable biradical hair of accumulation of No. II centralite is established Penetrate medicine ultimate stage rapid Estimation method.This method is without carrying out multiple temperature thermal acceleration agings and repeatedly sampling progress II The destructive detection of centralite effective content titration, it is only necessary to which it is different old that near-infrared method tracks a sample at a temperature Ultimate stage can be obtained by changing No. II centralite effective content of time, and more quickly, convenient, sample size reduces 96%, realizes No. II The stable accumulation double-base propellant ultimate stage rapid Estimation of centralite.
Description of the drawings
Fig. 1 capillary exhaust pipe grounds are reduced bottle .1- capillary exhaust pipes, and 2- grounds are reduced bottle cap, and 3- grounds are reduced bottle.
Fig. 2 capillary exhaust pipes are reduced case .4- capillary exhaust pipes, and 5- is reduced case lid, and 6- is reduced babinet.
Fig. 3 double-base propellant SF-1 calibration set sample spectrum diagrams.
No. II centralite effective content of Fig. 4 SF-1 different temperatures changes over time relation curve.
Specific implementation mode
The accumulation double-base propellant ultimate stage rapid Estimation method of the present invention, it is fixed in No. II to be prepared using thermal acceleration aging process Agent effective content near-infrared quantitative model modeling sample obtains No. II centralite using chemical titration or high performance liquid chromatography Effective content chemical score, using near-infrared diffuse spectrometer acquire spectrum, establishing No. II centralite by Chemical Measurement has Imitate content near-infrared quantitative model;Using No. II centralite effective content consumption 50% as the critical pumping rate of ultimate stage, carry out heap Product double-base propellant thermal acceleration degradation obtains temperature coefficient, with a variety of by No. II centralite effective content changing rule Double-base propellant temperature coefficient mean value is used as reliable temperature coefficient r with the 0.9 of standard deviation difference0, obtain the ultimate stage side of estimating Journey;Then carry out single temperature thermal acceleration degradation, No. II centralite of sample in near-infrared method tracing detection ageing process Effective content obtains the crash time that No. II centralite effective content reaches critical pumping rate consumption, according to ultimate stage predicting equation And the ultimate stage at a temperature of reliable temperature coefficient extrapolation operating mode and storage environment.Specifically follow these steps to carry out:
(1) thermal acceleration aging process prepares No. II centralite effective content near-infrared modeling sample
Double-base propellant is fitted into hot at single temperature in capillary exhaust pipe ground decrement bottle (semi-enclosed condition, attached drawing 1) Accelerated aging test, interval time sampling prepare the double-base propellant sample of different No. II centralite effective contents, are divided into correction Collect sample and verification collection sample.
(2) No. II centralite effective content near-infrared quantitative models
1, the device used includes near infrared spectrometer, computer, high performance liquid chromatography, chemical titration II Device and chemo metric software of centralite effective content etc..
No. II centralite according to chemical titration or all double-base propellant samples of high effective liquid chromatography for measuring is effective Content determines content range.
2, using near infrared spectrometer to calibration set sample and verification collection sample collection near infrared spectrum.Sample mode is unrestrained Reflection, sampling wave band are 700nm-2500nm, optimize spectral scan parameter, determine optimum resolution, scanning times and sample weight Multiple pendulous frequency.Collected near infrared spectrum is transmitted to computer.
3, pretreatment and linear fit are carried out to calibration set sample near infrared spectrum using chemometrics method.Selection is special Levy bands of a spectrum, in normalization, baseline is smooth, first derivation, second order derivation, select in multiplicative scatter correction preprocessing procedures it is single Solely or combination pre-processes acquisition spectrum, then Partial Least Squares, that is, PLS methods is used to carry out regression fit, established Calibration model carries out external certificate with verification collection sample to institute's established model, and the internal inspection according to model is mutually tied with external certificate The appraisement system of conjunction, successive optimization model.
According to foundation No. II centralite effective content near-infrared quantitative model, using hand near infrared spectrometer to selected Sample carries out the assay of effective stabilizer, obtains near-infrared predicted value.The worst error of chemical score and near-infrared predicted value Less than standard method repeatability error.
(3) ultimate stage predicting equation
Accumulate double-base propellant stability predicting equation
In formula:r0Indicate that the temperature difference is 10 DEG C of reaction rate reliable temperature coefficient;
t0Indicate storage environment temperature ultimate stage, d;
tnIndicate high temperature thermal acceleration ageing time, d;
TnIndicate high temperature thermal acceleration degradation temperature, DEG C;
T0Indicate operating mode or storage environment temperature, DEG C.
(4) reliable temperature coefficient r0
1, safety-type oil bath baking oven is debugged, keeps it constant in 4 different temperatures, temperature interval is 10 DEG C.
2, double-base propellant is placed on capillary exhaust pipe ground decrement bottle (semi-enclosed condition, Fig. 1), is respectively placed in 4 not Thermal acceleration aging is carried out in synthermal safety-type constant temperature oil bath baking oven, it is fixed according to foundation No. II centralite effective content near-infrared Model is measured, tracking and measuring is carried out using No. II centralite effective content of near infrared spectrometer pair, with No. II centralite effective content Consumption 50% is used as ultimate stage critical pumping rate, 4 temperature and high temperature thermal acceleration aging crash time correspondence is obtained, using public affairs Formula (5), fitting obtain temperature coefficient:
R=10-10/B
The temperature coefficient of a variety of typical double-base propellants is obtained using the above method.The value of reliable temperature coefficient is less than normal, It is short to obtain ultimate stage, reliability is high, but value is too small, and ultimate stage is overly conservative, destroys cause to waste in advance;Reliable temperature coefficient Value it is excessive, obtain ultimate stage it is long, be more than safe storage life when, cause thermal explosion.Therefore, with a variety of biradical transmittings of typical case The mean value of medicine temperature coefficient is with 0.9 times of standard deviation difference as reliable temperature coefficient r0
(5) thermal acceleration degradation and ultimate stage
Double-base propellant accumulation is positioned over and is reduced in case (attached drawing 2) with capillary exhaust pipe, double-base propellant heap is prepared Product sample, the T at single temperaturenLower thermal acceleration degradation, Selection Center region carry out near infrared spectrum scanning, obtain different No. II centralite effective content of ageing time obtains temperature T using effective content consumption 50% as critical pumping rateniIt is lower stable The time t of agent consumptionn, according to accumulation double-base propellant ultimate stage at a temperature of formula (6) extrapolation operating mode or storage environment.
Embodiment 1
It is illustrated as representative using typical double-base propellant SF-1.
(1) thermal acceleration aging process prepares No. II centralite effective content near-infrared modeling sample
Typical double-base propellant SF-1 is packed into (semi-hermetic item in capillary exhaust pipe ground decrement bottle (Φ=4cm, H=8cm) Part, attached drawing 1) the thermal acceleration aging at 95 DEG C, it samples within every 5 hours, prepares the biradical transmitting of different No. II centralite effective contents Medicine sample collects 60 SF-1 samples, wherein 29 samples (number 1-29) are used as calibration set, carries out linear fit and inside Cross validation, 31 samples integrate (number is 30-60) for external certificate as external certificate.
(2) No. II centralite effective content near-infrared quantitative models
1, the device used, which includes that match is silent, flies the scientific and technological near infrared spectrometer Antaris II of generation that, computer, chemical titration The device of No. II centralite effective content of measurement, and using the silent winged generation that science and technology chemo metric software TQ Analyst of match Deng.
2, according to National Military Standard (GJB770B-2005 methods 210.1)《Centralite bromination method》, measure all SF-1 No. II centralite effective content of sample, in the range of 2.53%~0.30%.
3, using near infrared spectrometer to above-mentioned selected double-base propellant calibration set sample collection near infrared spectrum.Sampling Mode is diffusing reflection, and sampling wave band is 700nm-2500nm, resolution ratio 8cm-1, scan 64 times, each sample duplicate measurements 5 It is secondary.Collected near infrared spectrum is transmitted to computer (attached drawing 3) by USB data line.
Pretreatment and Linear Quasi are carried out to calibration set sample near infrared spectrum using chemo metric software TQ Analyst It closes.Key band is selected, using normalization method, baseline is smooth and the derivation of first derivation second order, multiplicative scatter correction or combinations thereof Form pre-processes calibration set sample spectra, then uses Partial Least Squares,
I.e. PLS methods carry out regression fit, establish No. II centralite effective content near-infrared quantitative model.Collect sample with verification External certificate is carried out to institute's established model, the appraisement system that the internal inspection and external certificate according to model are combined, successive optimization Model.Table 1 gives the parameter of preferable spectral model when several different pretreatments methods, different dimensions.
The parameter of 1 preferable spectral model of table
Preprocess method Dimension R RMSEP
Min-max normalizes 5 0.9952 0.241
Multiplicative scatter correction 5 0.9993 0.089
Normalization+baseline is smooth+first derivation 5 0.9999 0.088
First derivative+MSC 6 0.9997 0.154
First derivative+SNC 6 0.9994 0.214
As can be seen from Table 1, it is smoothly combined in advance with first derivation using normalization, baseline within the scope of 1600nm-2400nm The model of processing is optimal.The preprocess method is finally used, it is most that dimension, which selects the Partial Least-Squares Regression Model established when 5, It is good, the evaluation index R=0.9999, RMSEP=0.088 of model.The recurrence has as No. II centralite of double-base propellant SF-1 Imitate content near-infrared quantitative model.
According to No. II centralite effective content near-infrared Quantitative Prediction Model of double-base propellant SF-1 of foundation, with close red External spectrum instrument predicts 10 samples for accurately measuring No. II centralite effective content with chemical titration, detailed results 2 are shown in Table, chemical score and the worst error of near-infrared predicted value are not more than -0.04%.The maximum of chemical score and near-infrared predicted value Error should be less than standard method repeatability error.
The table centralite effective content prediction results of sample to be tested II of 2 double-base propellant SF-1 10
(3) reliable temperature coefficient r0It obtains
1, safety-type oil bath baking oven is debugged, keeps its temperature constant at 95 ± 1 DEG C, 85 ± 1 DEG C, 75 ± 1 DEG C and 65 ± 1 DEG C
2, double-base propellant SF-1 is packed into (semi-hermetic item in capillary exhaust pipe ground decrement bottle (Φ=4cm, H=8cm) Part, attached drawing 1), it is respectively placed in 95 ± 1 DEG C, 85 ± 1 DEG C, 75 ± 1 DEG C and 65 ± 1 DEG C safety-type oil bath baking ovens and carries out thermal acceleration Aging effectively contains the sample of different ageing times using No. II centralite of near infrared spectrometer and double-base propellant SF-1 Measure near-infrared quantitative model, No. II centralite effective content variation (being shown in Table 3) of tracking and measuring.Obtain ageing time at 4 temperature With the correspondence of No. II centralite content.
Ageing time and No. II centralite effective content at table 3 double-base propellant SF-1,4 temperature
Fig. 4 gives using No. II centralite effective content consumption 50% as the critical pumping rate of ultimate stage, obtains 4 groups of temperature With thermal acceleration aging crash time correspondence.
4 different temperatures of table and thermal acceleration aging crash time correspondence
Temperature/DEG C 95 85 75 65
Ultimate stage/d 4.5454 18.3386 78.2132 337.2148
Using Bei Seluote equation models, obtain:
T=105.4025-16.0214lgt (R=0.9980)
Temperature coefficient:
r10=4.21
The temperature coefficient of 13 kinds of typical double-base propellants is obtained according to the method described above, as shown in table 5 below.13 kinds of typical cases are biradical The mean value of the temperature coefficient of propellant powder is 4.07, standard deviation 0.38, and mean value is taken to be used as reliable temperature with the 0.9 of standard deviation difference Spend coefficient, r0=3.32.
The temperature coefficient of more than 5 kinds of double-base propellant of table
(4) thermal acceleration degradation and ultimate stage
Accumulate double-base propellant ultimate stage predicting equation
Double-base propellant accumulation is positioned over (attached drawing in capillary exhaust pipe decrement case (25cm × 25cm × 25cm) 2) double-base propellant accumulation sample, the thermal acceleration aging at 71 DEG C, near-infrared method inspection center region II centralite, are prepared Effective content is consumed to critical pumping rate 50% and obtains high temperature thermal acceleration ageing time tn=131d, using accumulation double-base propellant peace Regular predicting equation (6), it is 49.2a to estimate the accumulation double-base propellant ultimate stage at 30 DEG C of storage environment temperature.

Claims (1)

1. a kind of accumulation double-base propellant ultimate stage rapid Estimation method, which is characterized in that this method utilizes accelerated ageing legal system No. II centralite effective content near-infrared quantitative model modeling sample of standby double-base propellant, according to chemical titration or efficient liquid phase Chromatography obtain No. II centralite effective content chemical score, using near-infrared diffuse spectrometer acquire spectrum, pass through chemistry meter Amount is learned and establishes No. II centralite effective content near-infrared quantitative model;Using No. II centralite effective content consumption 50% as stabilizing The critical pumping rate of phase monitors a variety of typical double-base propellant thermal acceleration ageing process stabilization agent changes of contents and obtains temperature coefficient, Using a variety of double-base propellant temperature coefficient mean values and the 0.9 as reliable temperature coefficient r of standard deviation difference0, establish ultimate stage Predicting equation;Carry out single temperature accelerated aging test, double-base propellant sample in near-infrared method tracing detection ageing process No. II centralite effective content obtains the time that No. II centralite effective content reaches critical pumping rate consumption, pre- according to ultimate stage Estimate equation and reliable temperature coefficient estimates the ultimate stage of accumulation double-base propellant at a temperature of operating mode and storage environment, specifically presses following Step carries out:
(1) accelerated ageing method prepares No. II centralite effective content near-infrared modeling sample
Double-base propellant be fitted into capillary exhaust pipe ground decrement bottle at single temperature thermal acceleration degradation, interval time take Sample prepares the double-base propellant sample of different No. II centralite effective contents, is divided into calibration set sample and verification collection sample;
(2) No. II centralite effective content near-infrared quantitative models
1, No. II centralite effective content chemistry of double-base propellant sample is obtained according to chemical titration or high performance liquid chromatography Value, determines content range;
2, using near infrared spectrometer, to above-mentioned selected sample collection near infrared spectrum, sample mode is diffusing reflection, characteristic wave Section is 1600nm-2400nm, optimizes spectral scan parameter, determines optimum resolution, scanning times and sample duplicate measurements number, Collected near infrared spectrum is transmitted to computer;
3, pretreatment and linear fit are carried out to above-mentioned near infrared spectrum using chemometrics method, it is flat in normalization, baseline Selected in cunning, first derivation, second order derivation, multiplicative scatter correction preprocessing procedures alone or in combination mode to acquire spectrum It is pre-processed, then Partial Least Squares, that is, PLS methods is used to carry out regression fit, establish calibration model, collect sample with verification External certificate is carried out to institute's established model, the appraisement system that the internal inspection and external certificate according to model are combined, successive optimization Model;
According to foundation No. II centralite effective content near-infrared quantitative model, using near infrared spectrometer to selected sample into The worst error of No. II centralite effective content measurement of row, acquisition near-infrared predicted value, chemical score and near-infrared predicted value is answered small In standard method repeatability error;
(3) ultimate stage predicting equation
Accumulate double-base propellant ultimate stage predicting equation
In formula:r0Indicate that the temperature difference is 10 DEG C of reaction rate reliable temperature coefficient;
t0Indicate storage environment temperature ultimate stage, d;
tnIndicate high temperature accelerated ageing time, d;
TnIndicate high temperature accelerated aging test temperature, DEG C;
T0Indicate operating mode or storage environment temperature, DEG C;
(4) reliable temperature coefficient r0
Logarithm is taken to formula (1) both sides, is obtained after arrangement:
Tn=A+BlgtnFormula (2)
A, B are coefficient, wherein B=-10/lgr in formula
Temperature coefficient r=10-10/B, using near-infrared method tracking and testing double-base propellant different temperatures TniLower accelerated aging test No. II centralite effective content of different ageing times obtains No. II centralite effective content of different temperatures and changes over time relationship Curve obtains different temperatures T using No. II centralite effective content consumption 50% as critical pumping rateniCorresponding time tni, warp (2) formula of substitution carries out one-variable linear regression, obtains coefficient B using least square method, and then temperature coefficient r is calculated;
The temperature coefficient that a variety of typical double-base propellants are obtained using the above method, with its mean value and the 0.9 of standard deviation difference It is used as reliable temperature coefficient r again0
(5) thermal acceleration degradation and ultimate stage
Double-base propellant is positioned over and is reduced in case with capillary exhaust pipe, double-base propellant accumulation sample is prepared, in single temperature Spend TnLower accelerated aging test, Selection Center region carry out near infrared spectrum scanning, and it is fixed in No. II of different ageing times to obtain Agent effective content obtains temperature T using effective content consumption 50% as critical pumping ratenThe time t of lower stabilization agent consumptionn, according to public affairs The ultimate stage of double-base propellant is accumulated at a temperature of formula (1) extrapolation storage environment.
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