CN105654385A - Technical risk evaluation method and system of venture investment project - Google Patents
Technical risk evaluation method and system of venture investment project Download PDFInfo
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- CN105654385A CN105654385A CN201410638476.8A CN201410638476A CN105654385A CN 105654385 A CN105654385 A CN 105654385A CN 201410638476 A CN201410638476 A CN 201410638476A CN 105654385 A CN105654385 A CN 105654385A
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Abstract
The invention provides a technical risk evaluation method and system of a venture investment project, and is applied to evaluating technical risks of a venture investment project. The system comprises a database server and an applications server. The application server comprises a project data extraction module, a patent data retrieval module, a risk index calculation module, a risk processing prompt module and a correlation prompt notification module. According to the evaluation method and system, correlation project data of a project to be evaluated can be automatically extracted, then correlation patent data can be retrieved and obtained, next, project technical risk index values are calculated according to a specific algorithm, a corresponding risk processing prompt is given, a mail is sent to notify a project team, and thus project technical risks discovered through evaluation can be timely studied and processed. The evaluation method and system provided by the invention can efficiently extract objective data of the venture investment project needing technical risk evaluation and automatically calculate technical risk indexes of the project so as to effectively improve the objectiveness of the technical risk evaluation of a high-risk investment project and the evaluation work efficiency.
Description
Technical field
The invention belongs to risk assessment technology field, relate to a kind of technical risk assessment technology of Risky Investment Projects, specifically, is the technology that a kind of relevant information of the patented technology based in Risky Investment Projects is carried out technical risk assessment.
Background technology
As everyone knows, the main object of risk investment is the new new high-tech enterprise creating, and risk investment has high repayment and high risk feature. Compare general investment project, the return of Risky Investment Projects can be high more than 20 times, and bio-pharmaceuticals project even can high hundred times. But the probability of success of international Risky Investment Projects only has an appointment 10%, failed probability is very high.
The technical risk of Risky Investment Projects refers to due to technical problem or defect, causes the possibility of Risky Investment Projects failure. Technical risk causes the modal reason of Risky Investment Projects failure often.
Whether the core technology of Risky Investment Projects has patent, can project obtain the important guarantee of monopoly profits, therefore in the time carrying out detailed programs risk assessment, all can be to the validity of patent of the core technology of Risky Investment Projects, and patent stability is carried out assay.
Venture capital firm is for reducing risks, and conventionally can drop into that a large amount of human and material resources screen, evaluation item. Nearly 200 parts of application for investment specification of an items on average can be received weekly by some venture capital firms, through screening layer by layer, in average 1000 parts of investment applications, only can obtain investment less than 10 parts, and the final project that obtains investment only accounts for 0.1 ~ 1% of whole application projects. Be exactly under high like this mortality, the mortality of risk investment is still high.
The technical risk appraisal procedure of existing Risky Investment Projects, mainly contains expert consulting method, historical summary method, and theoretical probability analytic approach, Extrapolation method etc. are multiple. But in the real work of risk assessment, the new and high technology relating to due to Risky Investment Projects has initiative mostly, often cannot collect useful assessment basic data, also cannot find completely simultaneously or substantially similarly finished item do reference, can only adopt expert consulting method etc. to carry out subjective risk estimation.
Expert consulting method ubiquity subjectivity is too strong, and expert investigation table design difficulty is large, the problems such as inefficiency.
Venture capital firm, in the urgent need to objective, efficient Project Investment Risk assessment technology, to improve evaluation work efficiency, reduces project failure risk.
Summary of the invention
Main purpose of the present invention is to provide a kind of technical risk evaluating system of Risky Investment Projects, can high efficiency extraction need to carry out the objective data of the Risky Investment Projects of technical risk assessment, and then the technical risk index of automatic computational item, effectively improve objectivity and the evaluation work efficiency of the technical risk assessment of Risky Investment Projects.
In addition, a kind of technical risk appraisal procedure of Risky Investment Projects is also provided, can high efficiency extraction need to carry out the objective data of the Risky Investment Projects of technical risk assessment, and then the technical risk index of automatic computational item, effectively improve objectivity and the evaluation work efficiency of the technical risk assessment of Risky Investment Projects.
For achieving the above object, the invention provides a kind of technical risk evaluating system of Risky Investment Projects, comprise database server, application server.
Described database server comprises: project data library module, assessment data library module, patent data library module. Described project data library module is for storing the data of Risky Investment Projects; Described assessment data library module is for storing the assessment data of the current project of assessing; Described patent data library module is used for storing various patent information.
Application server comprises: project data extraction module, patent data research module, risk indicator computing module, risk are processed reminding module. Described project data extraction module, for extract the relevant item data of project to be assessed from described project data library module, is saved in described assessment data library module. Described patent data research module, for obtaining related patent data from described patent data library module retrieval, is saved in described assessment data library module. Described risk indicator computing module is used for algorithm computational item technical risk desired value in accordance with regulations. Described risk is processed reminding module for exporting the result of calculation of project technical risk desired value, and component target situation, and provides relevant information.
Further, described application server also comprises: relevant prompting notification module, send mail notification project team for the relevant information of risk being processed to prompting, and so that studying in time, project team processes the project technical risk that assessment is found.
For achieving the above object, the invention provides a kind of technical risk appraisal procedure of Risky Investment Projects, assess for the technical risk to Risky Investment Projects, the method comprises the following steps:
Step 1, extracts assessment data storehouse by the relevant item data of the project to be evaluated in Risky Investment Projects database;
Step 2, is used number of patent application record data to retrieve and obtain related patent data from patent database; Related patent data comprises the patent type corresponding with number of patent application, current patent legal state;
Step 3, computational item validity of patent risk indicator value;
Step 4, computational item patent stability risk desired value;
Step 5, in accordance with regulations algorithm computational item technical risk desired value;
Step 6, the result of calculation of output project technical risk desired value, and component target situation, and provide relevant information.
Further, the method also comprises step 7: the information of being correlated with sends mail notification project team.
For example, when project core technology is utility model patent, but the corresponding search report of project material shortage of submitting to, risk is processed in prompting will prompting: " owing to lacking corresponding utility model search report; the patent stability of this project core technology is not good, recommendations team supplements as early as possible submits corresponding utility model search report to. " technical risk evaluation operation person can utilize described relevant prompting notification module that this prompting is sent to mail notification project team, so that project team is studied this project technical risk of processing in time.
Further, the described relevant item data of the method step 1 comprise number of patent application record data, the utility model search report record data of project core technology.
Further, the described related patent data of the method step 2 comprises the patent type corresponding with number of patent application, current patent legal state.
Further, described in the method step 5, specify that algorithm is: project validity of patent risk indicator value * project patent stability risk desired value.
Adopt technique scheme, the present invention compared with prior art tool has the following advantages and good effect:
Objectivity is good, and the data that use in risk assessment are all objective data, without any artificial subjective guess.
Risk assessment operating efficiency is high, carry out Project Risk Assessment owing to using computer technology, can provide in a short period of time the various data of the patented technology risk of a large amount of Risky Investment Projects, administrative staff can be separated project larger those technical risks fast, reduce the risk of failure of investment project.
Brief description of the drawings
Fig. 1 is the system construction drawing of the embodiment of the technical risk evaluating system of Risky Investment Projects of the present invention;
Fig. 2 is the DBM figure of database server in Fig. 1;
Fig. 3 is the functional block diagram of application server in Fig. 1;
Fig. 4 is the operational flowchart of the embodiment of the technical risk appraisal procedure of Risky Investment Projects of the present invention.
Detailed description of the invention
As shown in Figure 1, be the system construction drawing of the embodiment of the technical risk evaluating system of Risky Investment Projects of the present invention. This system comprises database server 11, application server 12, network 13 and multiple client computer 14. Database server 11 for store Risky Investment Projects database data, assessment data storehouse data, patent database data. Application server 12 is connected with database server 11, for obtaining data from database server 11, and carries out technical risk assessment. Client computer 14 can be scattered in different geographical, is connected with application server 12 by network 13, and for evaluation operation person provides operation interface, display system prompting, submit operation instruction, and pass application server 12 back by network 13.
As shown in Figure 2, be the DBM figure of database server in Fig. 1.
Database server 11 comprises: project data library module 111, assessment data library module 112, patent data library module 113.
Project data library module 111, for storing the related data of Risky Investment Projects;
Assessment data library module 112, for storing the various assessment data of the project of having assessed;
Patent data library module 113, for storing various published patent documentation data information.
As shown in Figure 3, be the functional block diagram of application server 12 in Fig. 1.
Application server 12 comprises: project data extraction module 121, patent data research module 122, risk indicator computing module 123, risk are processed reminding module 124.
Project data extraction module 121, for extract the relevant item data of project to be assessed from project data library module 111, is saved in assessment data library module 112. Relevant item data comprise: number of patent application record data, utility model search report record data and the project team member list record data etc. of project core technology;
Patent data research module 122, for obtaining related patent data from 113 retrievals of patent data library module, is saved in assessment data library module 112. The related patent data that retrieval is obtained comprises: the patent type (invention, utility model, appearance design) corresponding with number of patent application, current patent legal state etc.
Risk indicator computing module 123, for using the related data algorithm computational item technical risk index in accordance with regulations of assessment data library module 112. For example,
In the time that project technical risk index comprises two component targets such as project validity of patent risk indicator and project patent stability risk index, the algorithm dictates of project technical risk index is: project validity of patent risk indicator value A* project patent stability risk desired value B.
Risk is processed reminding module 124, for exporting the project technical risk index result of calculation of risk indicator computing module 123, and component target situation, and provide corresponding classification risk processing prompting.
Relevant prompting notification module 125, sends mail notification project team for the relevant information of risk being processed to prompting, so that project team is studied processing project technical risk in time. For example, when project core technology is utility model patent, but the corresponding search report of project material shortage of submitting to, risk is processed in prompting will prompting: " owing to lacking corresponding utility model search report; the patent stability of this project core technology is not good, recommendations team supplements as early as possible submits corresponding utility model search report to. " technical risk evaluation operation person can utilize relevant prompting notification module 125 that this prompting is sent to mail notification project team, processes this project technical risk so that project team is studied in time.
As shown in Figure 4, be the operational flowchart of the embodiment of the technical risk appraisal procedure of Risky Investment Projects of the present invention.
First, step S100, extracts assessment data storehouse by the relevant item data of the project to be assessed in Risky Investment Projects database; Relevant item data comprise: number of patent application record data, the utility model search report record data etc. of project core technology.
Step S101, uses project number of patent application from patent database, to retrieve the Patents information of obtaining. The related patent data that retrieval is obtained comprises: the patent type (invention, utility model, appearance design) corresponding with number of patent application, current patent legal state etc.
Step S102, computational item validity of patent risk indicator value A; In the time that patent legal state is " patent right is effective ", validity of patent risk indicator value A is 0.5; Otherwise desired value A is 0---comprise that statutory status is that patent application is out of court, patent application is recalled, and patent application is not yet authorized, invalidation of the patent right, at the expiration, patent right or right to patent shift term of a patent, lapse of a patent etc.
Step S103, computational item patent stability risk desired value B. The factor that affects patent stability risk comprises: whether patent type is patent of invention; When patent type is utility model, whether submitted utility model patent search report to, and whether search report conclusion is " do not retrieve and affect this novelty of patent and creationary documents " etc. simultaneously. When patent type is utility model, do not submit utility model search report to simultaneously, project patent stability risk desired value B is 0; Patent type is utility model, has submitted utility model search report to simultaneously, and search report conclusion is not when " retrieve and affect this novelty of patent and creationary documents ", and project patent stability risk desired value B is 0.5.
Step S104, in accordance with regulations the patent risk indicator value C of algorithm computational item. Algorithm used is: project validity of patent risk indicator value A* project patent stability risk desired value B.
Obviously, project validity of patent risk indicator value A and project patent stability risk desired value B, as long as there is one to be 0, the patent risk indicator value C of project is zero---the patent risk that represents project is larger.
Adopt the benefit of this algorithm to be, the importance that project technical risk is affected to large index can be embodied fully---and these indexs have right of veto by one vote. And the algorithm of general project risk index adopts linear weight method more---component target is worth being superposed to the value of overall performane. Linear weight method is applicable to discounted cash flow---and the total value of project technology is the stack that every component target is worth. But for Risky Investment Projects technical risk, under many circumstances, as long as an important component target is defective, as the core technology property right that is ignorant, who can copy, and the technical risk of so whole project is irrelevant control just, and other index is good also nonsensical again.
Step S105, the result of calculation of output project technical risk desired value, and component target situation, and provide relevant information. For example, corresponding to step S104, the output situation of step S105 is as follows:
The patent risk indicator value C=0 of this project;
The patent risk of corresponding project core technology is larger.
Project validity of patent risk indicator value A=0.5, patent is effective;
Project patent stability risk desired value B=0, patent poor stability.
Relevant prompting: owing to lacking corresponding utility model search report, the patent stability of this project core technology is not good, recommendations team supplements as early as possible submits corresponding utility model search report to.
Step S106, the relevant information that relevant prompting notification module 125 is processed risk in prompting sends mail notification project team, so that project team is studied processing project technical risk in time. For example, when project core technology is utility model patent, but the corresponding search report of project material shortage of submitting to, risk is processed in prompting will prompting: " owing to lacking corresponding utility model search report; the patent stability of this project core technology is not good, recommendations team supplements as early as possible submits corresponding utility model search report to. " technical risk evaluation operation person can utilize relevant prompting notification module 125 that this prompting is sent to mail notification project team, processes this project technical risk so that project team is studied in time.
Above-described embodiment is only for description and interpretation the present invention, but not for limiting the present invention. For a person skilled in the art, the technical scheme that can record aforementioned each embodiment is modified, or part technical characterictic is wherein equal to replacement. Therefore, the scope of the present invention, should be as listed in claims. Within the spirit and principles in the present invention all, any amendment of doing, be equal to replacement, improvement etc., within all should being included in protection scope of the present invention.
Claims (7)
1. a technical risk evaluating system for Risky Investment Projects, comprises database server, application server, it is characterized in that described database server comprises:
Project data library module, for storing the data of Risky Investment Projects;
Assessment data library module, stores the assessment data of the current project of assessing;
Patent data library module, is used for storing various patent information for described patent data library module;
Described application server comprises:
Project data extraction module, for extract the relevant item data of project to be assessed from described project data library module, is saved in described assessment data library module;
Patent data research module, patent data research module, for obtaining related patent data from described patent data library module retrieval, is saved in described assessment data library module;
Risk indicator computing module, for algorithm computational item technical risk index in accordance with regulations;
Risk is processed reminding module, for exporting the result of calculation of project technical risk desired value, and component target situation, and provide relevant information.
2. the technical risk evaluating system of Risky Investment Projects as claimed in claim 1, is characterized in that described application server also comprises: relevant prompting notification module, sends mail notification project team for the relevant information of risk being processed to prompting.
3. a technical risk appraisal procedure for Risky Investment Projects, assesses for the technical risk to Risky Investment Projects, and the method comprises the following steps:
Step 1, extracts assessment data storehouse by the relevant item data of the project to be evaluated in Risky Investment Projects database;
Step 2, is used number of patent application record data to retrieve and obtain related patent data from patent database; Described related patent data comprises the patent type corresponding with number of patent application, current patent legal state;
Step 3, computational item validity of patent risk indicator value;
Step 4, computational item patent stability risk desired value;
Step 5, in accordance with regulations algorithm computational item technical risk desired value;
Step 6, the result of calculation of output project technical risk desired value, and component target situation, and provide relevant information.
4. the technical risk appraisal procedure of Risky Investment Projects as claimed in claim 3, is characterized in that, described method also comprises step: described relevant information is sent to mail notification project team.
5. the technical risk appraisal procedure of Risky Investment Projects as claimed in claim 3, is characterized in that, the described relevant item data of described method step 1 comprise number of patent application record data, the utility model search report record data of project core technology.
6. the technical risk appraisal procedure of Risky Investment Projects as claimed in claim 3, is characterized in that, the described related patent data of described method step 2 comprises the patent type corresponding with number of patent application, current patent legal state.
7. the technical risk appraisal procedure of Risky Investment Projects as claimed in claim 3, is characterized in that, specifies that algorithm is described in described method step 5: project validity of patent risk indicator value * project patent stability risk desired value.
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| CN201410638476.8A CN105654385A (en) | 2014-11-13 | 2014-11-13 | Technical risk evaluation method and system of venture investment project |
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| CN201410638476.8A CN105654385A (en) | 2014-11-13 | 2014-11-13 | Technical risk evaluation method and system of venture investment project |
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Cited By (4)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN107766311A (en) * | 2017-09-27 | 2018-03-06 | 武汉达策信息技术有限公司 | Risk investment method for reporting data and system are automatically generated based on OnlineBox systems |
| CN107993010A (en) * | 2017-12-02 | 2018-05-04 | 中科钢研节能科技有限公司 | A kind of project responsible investigation automatic analysis system and automatic analysis method |
| CN108898302A (en) * | 2018-06-25 | 2018-11-27 | 中募网络科技（北京）股份有限公司 | A kind of private is raised administrator's methods of risk assessment and device |
| CN113469546A (en) * | 2021-07-13 | 2021-10-01 | 宝能(广州)汽车研究院有限公司 | Project management and control method based on standard and regulation, electronic equipment and storage medium |
-
2014
- 2014-11-13 CN CN201410638476.8A patent/CN105654385A/en active Pending
Cited By (5)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN107766311A (en) * | 2017-09-27 | 2018-03-06 | 武汉达策信息技术有限公司 | Risk investment method for reporting data and system are automatically generated based on OnlineBox systems |
| CN107993010A (en) * | 2017-12-02 | 2018-05-04 | 中科钢研节能科技有限公司 | A kind of project responsible investigation automatic analysis system and automatic analysis method |
| CN107993010B (en) * | 2017-12-02 | 2022-05-06 | 中科钢研节能科技有限公司 | Project due diligence automatic analysis system and automatic analysis method |
| CN108898302A (en) * | 2018-06-25 | 2018-11-27 | 中募网络科技（北京）股份有限公司 | A kind of private is raised administrator's methods of risk assessment and device |
| CN113469546A (en) * | 2021-07-13 | 2021-10-01 | 宝能(广州)汽车研究院有限公司 | Project management and control method based on standard and regulation, electronic equipment and storage medium |
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Application publication date: 20160608 |