CN105512958A - Water supply risk assessment and management system and method - Google Patents
Water supply risk assessment and management system and method Download PDFInfo
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- XLYOFNOQVPJJNP-UHFFFAOYSA-N water Substances O XLYOFNOQVPJJNP-UHFFFAOYSA-N 0.000 title claims abstract description 261
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- 238000004422 calculation algorithm Methods 0.000 claims description 10
- 239000008400 supply water Substances 0.000 claims description 10
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- 230000008569 process Effects 0.000 claims description 8
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- 238000007621 cluster analysis Methods 0.000 claims description 4
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- 208000011580 syndromic disease Diseases 0.000 claims description 2
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- 238000012544 monitoring process Methods 0.000 description 13
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- 238000012545 processing Methods 0.000 description 4
- 238000012550 audit Methods 0.000 description 3
- 238000010276 construction Methods 0.000 description 3
- 230000005540 biological transmission Effects 0.000 description 2
- 239000000460 chlorine Substances 0.000 description 2
- 229910052801 chlorine Inorganic materials 0.000 description 2
- 125000001309 chloro group Chemical group Cl* 0.000 description 2
- 238000005516 engineering process Methods 0.000 description 2
- 238000007689 inspection Methods 0.000 description 2
- 230000009466 transformation Effects 0.000 description 2
- ZAMOUSCENKQFHK-UHFFFAOYSA-N Chlorine atom Chemical compound [Cl] ZAMOUSCENKQFHK-UHFFFAOYSA-N 0.000 description 1
- 241000196324 Embryophyta Species 0.000 description 1
- 235000012364 Peperomia pellucida Nutrition 0.000 description 1
- 240000007711 Peperomia pellucida Species 0.000 description 1
- 230000006837 decompression Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000011161 development Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000010586 diagram Methods 0.000 description 1
- 239000003651 drinking water Substances 0.000 description 1
- 235000020188 drinking water Nutrition 0.000 description 1
- 231100000206 health hazard Toxicity 0.000 description 1
- 238000012986 modification Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000004048 modification Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000003908 quality control method Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000007115 recruitment Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000011160 research Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000013517 stratification Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000005728 strengthening Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000012360 testing method Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000003911 water pollution Methods 0.000 description 1
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Abstract
The technical scheme of the invention comprises a water supply risk assessment and management system. The system comprises an acquisition module which is used for acquiring water supply data; a storage module which is used for storing the acquired water supply data; an analysis module which is used for analyzing the water supply data so as to obtain risk management and risk grade division; and a collection module which is used for performing trend analysis on the historical data of water supply facilities so as to correct risk assessment and risk grade division. The technical scheme also comprises a method which is used for acquiring the water supply data and storing the water supply data and then analyzing the water supply data so as to obtain the risk assessment result and the risk grade of the water supply facilities, correcting risk assessment and risk grade division and providing a water supply risk management and prediction service. The beneficial effects of the water supply risk assessment and management system and method are that centralized water supply system graded management based on risk assessment is realized so that the water supply risk assessment and management system and method are more scientific and reasonable and have more reliable effect of safety guarantee.
Description
Technical field
The present invention relates to a kind of system and method for supply water risk assessment and management, belong to computer realm.
Background technology
Centralized water supply unit of China, particularly the quantity of rural area centralized water supply engineering is more.It is large that centralized water supply system covers the size of population, and water supply quality security incident occurs will cause significant damage to population health.Strengthening risk management, carrying out the management of preventative hygienic quality is one of important leverage measure of safe drinking water, is also the necessary condition of centralized water supply sustainable development.Therefore, set up centralized water supply hygienic quality data and water system methods of risk assessment, and data acquisition equipment, Risk Calculation and data analysis statistical platform are easily provided, have good effect for what strengthen centralized water supply preventative administration of health.
The main methods such as water quality real time on-line monitoring, pipe network monitoring and HACCP that adopt manage at present:
(1) water quality real time on-line monitoring system, water quality real time on-line monitoring is the internal quality control measure of water factory, by on-line real time monitoring instrument, the indexs such as the turbidity of water system output water and chlorine residue are detected in real time, adjust the ladder of management of water factory's treatment process accordingly.
(2) Water supply network system, water supply pipe net system is monitored water quality in pipe network, and feed data back to control system by data transmission system, and adjust secondary chlorine dosage accordingly or take emergency disposal measure.Comprise water supply information monitoring module, water supply information transmission network and integrating server.
(3) Hazard Analysis and Critical Control Points (HACCP), the application of Hazard Analysis and Critical Control Points method in centralized water supply system is by identifying potential hazard factor, and by the estimation to its occurrence frequency and severity degree, the control measure that should preferentially take are proposed.
Existing centralized water supply system water quality ladder of management takes the means based on water quality monitoring to manage for the water system of individuality, has the following disadvantages, as 1) ~ 4) shown in:
1) index of real time on-line monitoring is less, only can carry out on-line checkingi to minority water-quality guideline, and testing result reliability is not high.
2) pipe network monitoring overlay area is limited, and construction cost is high, is difficult to the monitoring water quality realizing covering full user.And be based on pipe network accidents monitoring, as leakage loss, decompression etc.When generation water quality grade, take emergency measures (as increased chlorine dosage etc.) time, time stickiness obvious, the health hazard of water pollution may occur.
3) enforcement of Hazard Analysis and Critical Control Points (HACCP) method has higher requirements to the management level of water system and technical capability, need to set up expert group by water works management side and carry out man-to-man analysis and inspection, the method is widely used in the rural area centralized water supply facility that quantity is large and management level are generally not high exists difficulty.
4) existing management method is water factory's internal soundness management, lacks effective outer monitoring, risk assessment and recruitment evaluation, is difficult to form perfect Risk Management System.
Summary of the invention
For the subsidy of existing water supply risk management technology, technical method of the present invention provides a kind of system and method for supply water risk assessment and management, on centralized water supply system from water source, water treatment, water distributing network, internal soundness management and each composition important document affecting water quality safety such as water supply quality carry out the information acquisition of potential risk factor, identification, analysis, evaluation, by the method for semi-quantitative assessment, form the water system water quality safety Risk Comprehensive Evaluation result not relying on a certain single key element.
Technical scheme of the present invention comprises a kind of system of supply water risk assessment and management, this system comprises: acquisition module, comprise hand data collection submodule and automatic data acquisition submodule, wherein hand data collection submodule is used for carrying out manual typing to water facilities data, and automatic data acquisition submodule is used for the automatic collection to water facilities water quality data; Memory module, for storing for the first time the water supply data of hand data collection submodule and the collection of automatic data acquisition submodule, also for carrying out rollback process to the data not meeting water supply data requirement; Analysis module, transfers the water supply data that described hand data collection submodule gathers, and carries out the analytical calculation of system risk value, and divide the risk class of water facilities by the water facilities Risk Assessment Index System set up and water supply risk evaluation model; Collection module, for carrying out secondary storage to the water supply data of the artificial collection through the analysis of water supply data analysis module and the water supply data of collection automatically, comprise and set up historical data base and carry out storing and generate corresponding risk indicator analysis chart, also for providing water supply risk management, water supply risk assessment service.
According to the system of described water supply risk assessment and management, described acquisition module comprises: data examination & verification submodule, for auditing the water supply data of described artificial collection submodule collection, described artificial collection submodule is return to the water supply data fallen short of specifications; Data sub module stored is water supply data for what store the water supply data of the first typing of described artificial collection submodule and the typing of described data acquisition module secondary for the first time, also stores for automatic reception the water supply data automatically gathering submodule typing.
According to the system of described water supply risk assessment and management, described memory module comprises: data examination & verification submodule, for auditing the water supply data of described artificial collection submodule collection, described artificial collection submodule is return to the water supply data fallen short of specifications; Data sub module stored is water supply data for what store the water supply data of the first typing of described artificial collection submodule and the typing of described data acquisition module secondary for the first time, also stores for automatic reception the water supply data automatically gathering submodule typing.
According to the system of described water supply risk assessment and management, described analysis module gathers submodule collection and the water supply data stored for the treatment of artificial, comprise: index analysis submodule, for the Risk Assessment Index System by foundation to water supply data analysis, the algorithm of agriculture products assignment and data source; Risk assessment submodule, for carrying out gathered water facilities data by the water facilities Risk Assessment Index System set up and weight, obtains water system risk index by step analysis algorithm and weighting rank sum ratio algorithm; Risk class divides submodule, carries out cluster analysis for the risk index drawn described risk assessment submodule, and then analyzes and divide the system risk grade of water facilities of correspondence.And principal component analysis (PCA) is carried out in the risk sources obtained described risk assessment submodule and distribution.
According to the system of described water supply risk assessment and management, history data store submodule, the water supply data stored for the water supply data analyzed described analysis module and described automatic collection submodule use historical data base to carry out secondary storage; Syndrome module, based on above-mentioned history data store submodule, the water facilities risk index that described analysis module is obtained and water quality source distribution with automatically gather the water supply quality data that submodule stores and carry out trend comparative analysis, then water facilities Risk Assessment Index System and weight and water supply quality risk evaluation model are corrected; Service provision submodule, for providing the assessment of water facilities risk management and hygienic quality risk, comprise by described analysis submodule to water system risk class divide and by setting risk class carry out early warning.
Technical scheme of the present invention also comprises a kind of method of supply water risk assessment and management, the method comprises: use hand data collection submodule and automatic data acquisition submodule to carry out water supply data acquisition, wherein hand data collection submodule is used for carrying out manual typing to already present water supply data, and automatic data acquisition submodule is used for the automatic collection to water facilities water quality data; The water supply data of hand data collection submodule and the collection of automatic data acquisition submodule are stored for the first time, also for carrying out rollback process to the data not meeting water supply data requirement; Transfer the water supply data that described hand data collection submodule gathers, carry out the analytical calculation of system risk value by the water facilities risk data weight index set up and water supply risk evaluation model, and divide the risk class of water facilities; For carrying out secondary storage to the water supply data of the artificial collection through the analysis of water supply data analysis module and the water supply data of collection automatically, comprise and set up historical data base and carry out storing and generate corresponding risk indicator analysis chart, also for providing water supply risk management, water supply risk assessment service.Further, the method also comprises: transfer water facilities feature, management and water quality data, and the data inputting that supplies water for the first time; The water supply data of described memory module rollback are sorted and revised, then carries out secondary water-supply data inputting, make it meet water supply data requirement and again be sent to described memory module; The data of water facilities water quality detecting device are gathered automatically, carries out automatic input after logical checking.
Further, the method also comprises: transfer water facilities feature, management and water supply quality data, and the data inputting that supplies water for the first time; The water supply data of described memory module rollback are sorted and revised, then carries out secondary water-supply data inputting, make it meet water supply data requirement and again be sent to described memory module; The data of water supply quality pick-up unit are gathered automatically, and automatic input.
Further, the method also comprises: audit the water supply data of described artificial collection submodule collection, returns described artificial collection submodule to the water supply data fallen short of specifications; The water supply data of the first typing of the described artificial collection submodule of first storage and the water supply data of described data acquisition module secondary typing, also also store the water supply data automatically gathering submodule typing for automatic reception.
Further, the method also comprises: analyze water facilities risk sources, then by date comprision and expert consulting, confirms centralized water supply facility Risk Assessment Index System and weight; To the data of described artificial collection submodule by the index system set up and weight carries out step analysis algorithm and weighting rank sum ratio algorithm obtains water supply quality risk evaluation model; Cluster analysis is carried out to the risk index that described risk assessment submodule draws, risk factors that submodule obtains are analyzed to described index weights and risk sources carries out principal component analysis (PCA), and then analyze and divide the water-supply plant water quality grade grade that water supply data comprise.
Further, the method also comprises: the risk index analyze described analysis module and risk source distribution, and the water supply data that described automatic collection submodule stores use historical data base to carry out secondary storage; Based on described history data store submodule, the water facilities risk index that described analysis module is obtained and risk source distribution with automatically gather the water supply quality data that submodule stores and carry out trend comparative analysis, then water facilities Risk Assessment Index System and weight and water supply quality risk evaluation model are corrected; The assessment of water facilities risk management and hygienic quality risk is provided, comprise by described analysis submodule to water system risk class divide and by setting risk class carry out early warning.
Beneficial effect of the present invention is: be integrated in information platform to the processing procedure of water facilities Various types of data, not only can be the decision-making technic support that administrative authority provides centralized water supply Facilities Construction, transformation and administration of health, also supports the application of water factory level user.The present invention can support the differentiated control of set of regions Chinese style water system realization based on risk assessment, to realize more reliable and secure guarantee.
Accompanying drawing explanation
Figure 1 shows that according to embodiment of the present invention overview flow chart;
Fig. 2 a is depicted as the water supply flow chart of data processing figure of the manual collection according to embodiment of the present invention;
Fig. 2 b is depicted as the automatic collection water supply flow chart of data processing figure according to embodiment of the present invention.
Embodiment
In order to make the object, technical solutions and advantages of the present invention clearly, describe the present invention below in conjunction with the drawings and specific embodiments.The system and method for water supply risk assessment of the present invention and management is applicable to the decision-making technic support that administrative authority provides centralized water supply Facilities Construction, transformation and administration of health, also supports the application of water factory level user.
Figure 1 shows that, according to embodiment of the present invention overview flow chart, its embodiment is as shown in step S101 ~ S106, specific as follows:
S101, carry out manually and automatically gathering to water supply data, hand data collection and automatic data acquisition is used to carry out water supply data acquisition, wherein hand data collection is used for carrying out manual typing to already present water supply data, and automatic data acquisition is used for automatically gathering the data of water facilities water quality detecting device;
S102, audits water supply data and stores, and sorts and revises, then carry out secondary water-supply data inputting to the water supply data of described storage rollback, makes it meet water supply data requirement and again be sent to described memory module.
S103, the Data Source corresponding to Risk Evaluation Factors confirms and assignment.
S104, analyzes manual image data, calculates by index system and risk analysis model, and divides risk class and carry out history data store;
S105, manual image data and automatic data collection comparative analysis, upgrade and correct risk model and risk class;
S106, provides water supply risk management and risk profile service
Be respectively according to the manual of embodiment of the present invention and automatic water-supply flow chart of data processing figure shown in Fig. 2 a, Fig. 2 b, wherein for figure a be the process flow diagram of hand data collection, determination for index weights is wherein based on centralized water supply system features, by expert consulting and discussion research, specifies index pond.Determine that risk indicator system is as follows:
1, water management index weights: 0.217
2, water-purifying process administration of health index weights: 0.214
3, pipe network and adjustment structures administration of health index weights: 0.197
4, Health inspection and management index weights: 0.183
5, inner management index weights: 0.189
And the water quality detecting device that Fig. 2 b simply need to water facilities carries out data and transfers and store, real time data and manual image data are analyzed, and correct the division of risk model and risk class.
Embodiment of the present invention additionally provide a kind of centralized water supply risk and evaluation procedure, and centralized water supply risk management and evaluation method step are as S401 ~ S404
S401, the information such as typing water factory essential information, water factory's facility, treatment process, water head site, for risk assessment provides Data Source.
S402 water quality tacheometer detects water quality data, uploads platform, solves the problem of manual entry accidental error.
S403, platform is audited and is passed through checking, guarantees accuracy.Audit by warehouse-in, otherwise monitoring reports again.
S404, sets up rural area centralized water supply water quality grade Index System Model,
First, index pond is formulated.Secondly, through too much taking turns expert consulting, determining rural area centralized water supply water quality grade index system and weight index system thereof, comprising first class index, two-level index.The intensity of expert consulting result is better.Particular content in table 1,
The intensity of table 1 first class index scoring and the coefficient of variation
Platform, according to the centralized water supply water quality safety risk evaluation model set up, to auditing the data analysis and calculating that pass through, then providing risk evaluation results, risk stratification result, and providing other administration of health information needed analysis results.
The above, just preferred embodiment of the present invention, the present invention is not limited to above-mentioned embodiment, as long as it reaches technique effect of the present invention with identical means, all should belong to protection scope of the present invention.In protection scope of the present invention, its technical scheme and/or embodiment can have various different modifications and variations.
Claims (10)
1. supply water the system of risk assessment and management, and it is characterized in that, this system comprises:
Acquisition module, comprises hand data collection submodule and automatic data acquisition submodule, and wherein hand data collection submodule is used for providing manual typing to water facilities data, and automatic data acquisition submodule is used for the automatic collection to water facilities water quality data;
Memory module, for storing for the first time the water supply data of hand data collection submodule and the collection of automatic data acquisition submodule, also for carrying out rollback process to the data not meeting water supply data requirement;
Analysis module, transfers the water supply data that described hand data collection submodule gathers, and carries out the analytical calculation of system risk value, and divide the risk class of water facilities by the water facilities Risk Assessment Index System set up and water supply risk evaluation model;
Collection module, for carrying out secondary storage to the water supply data of the artificial collection through the analysis of water supply data analysis module and the water supply data of collection automatically, comprise and set up historical data base and carry out storing and generate corresponding risk indicator analysis chart, also for providing water supply risk management, water supply risk assessment service.
2. the system of water supply risk assessment and management according to claim 1, is characterized in that, described acquisition module comprises:
Artificial collection submodule, for transferring water facilities feature, management and water quality data, and carries out first water facilities data inputting;
Data acquisition submodule, for sorting the water supply data of described memory module rollback and revise, then carries out secondary water-supply data inputting, makes it meet logic principle between water supply data requirement and data and again be sent to described memory module;
Automatic collection submodule, for automatically gathering the data for laden water collecting device, carries out detection and automatic input.
3. the system of water supply risk assessment and management according to claim 1, is characterized in that, described memory module comprises:
Data examination & verification submodule, for auditing the water supply data of described artificial collection submodule collection, returns described artificial collection submodule to the water supply data fallen short of specifications;
Data sub module stored is water supply data for what store the water supply data of the first typing of described artificial collection submodule and the typing of described data acquisition module secondary for the first time, also stores for automatic reception the water supply data automatically gathering submodule typing.
4. the system of water supply risk assessment and management according to claim 1, is characterized in that, described analysis module gathers submodule collection and the water supply data stored for the treatment of artificial, comprising:
Index analysis submodule, for the Risk Assessment Index System by foundation to water supply data analysis, the algorithm of agriculture products assignment and data source;
Risk assessment submodule, for carrying out gathered water facilities data by the water facilities Risk Assessment Index System set up and weight, obtains water system risk index by step analysis algorithm and weighting rank sum ratio algorithm;
Risk class divides submodule, risk index for drawing described risk assessment submodule carries out cluster analysis, and then analyze and divide the system risk grade of corresponding water facilities, and principal component analysis (PCA) is carried out in the risk sources obtained described risk assessment submodule and distribution.
5. the system of water supply risk assessment and management according to claim 1, it is characterized in that, collection module comprises:
History data store submodule, the water supply data stored for the water supply data analyzed described analysis module and described automatic collection submodule use historical data base to carry out secondary storage;
Syndrome module, based on above-mentioned history data store submodule, the water facilities risk index that described analysis module is obtained and water quality source distribution with automatically gather the water supply quality data that submodule stores and carry out trend comparative analysis, then water facilities Risk Assessment Index System and weight and water supply quality risk evaluation model are corrected;
Service provision submodule, for providing the assessment of water facilities risk management and hygienic quality risk, comprise by described analysis submodule to water system risk class divide and by setting risk class carry out early warning.
6. supply water the method for risk assessment and management, and it is characterized in that, the method comprises:
Hand data collection submodule and automatic data acquisition submodule is used to carry out water supply data acquisition, wherein hand data collection submodule is used for carrying out manual typing to already present water supply data, and automatic data acquisition submodule is used for the automatic collection to water facilities water quality data;
The water supply data of hand data collection submodule and the collection of automatic data acquisition submodule are stored for the first time, also for carrying out rollback process to the data not meeting water supply data requirement;
Transfer the water supply data that described hand data collection submodule gathers, carry out the analytical calculation of system risk value by the water facilities risk data weight index set up and water supply risk evaluation model, and divide the risk class of water facilities;
For carrying out secondary storage to the water supply data of the artificial collection through the analysis of water supply data analysis module and the water supply data of collection automatically, comprise and set up historical data base and carry out storing and generate corresponding risk indicator analysis chart, also for providing water supply risk management, water supply risk assessment service.
7. the method for water supply risk assessment according to claim 6 and management, it is characterized in that, the method also comprises:
Water facilities feature, management and water supply quality data are transferred, and the data inputting that supplies water for the first time;
The water supply data of described memory module rollback are sorted and revised, then carries out secondary water-supply data inputting, make it meet water supply data requirement and again be sent to described memory module;
The data of water supply quality pick-up unit are gathered automatically, and automatic input.
8. the method for water supply risk assessment according to claim 6 and management, it is characterized in that, the method also comprises:
The water supply data of described artificial collection submodule collection are audited, described artificial collection submodule is return to the water supply data fallen short of specifications;
The water supply data of the first typing of the described artificial collection submodule of first storage and the water supply data of described data acquisition module secondary typing, also also store the water supply data automatically gathering submodule typing for automatic reception.
9. the method for water supply risk assessment according to claim 6 and management, it is characterized in that, the method also comprises:
Water facilities risk sources is analyzed, then by date comprision and expert consulting, confirms centralized water supply facility Risk Assessment Index System and weight;
To the data of described artificial collection submodule by the index system set up and weight carries out step analysis algorithm and weighting rank sum ratio algorithm obtains water supply quality risk evaluation model;
Cluster analysis is carried out to the risk index that described risk assessment submodule draws, risk factors that submodule obtains are analyzed to described index weights and risk sources carries out principal component analysis (PCA), and then analyze and divide the water-supply plant water quality grade grade that water supply data comprise.
10. the method for water supply risk assessment according to claim 6 and management, it is characterized in that, the method also comprises:
The risk index that described analysis module is analyzed and risk source distribution, and the water supply data that described automatic collection submodule stores use historical data base to carry out secondary storage;
Based on described history data store submodule, the water facilities risk index that described analysis module is obtained and water quality source distribution with automatically gather the water supply quality data that submodule stores and carry out trend comparative analysis, then water facilities Risk Assessment Index System and weight and water supply quality risk evaluation model are corrected;
The assessment of water facilities risk management and hygienic quality risk is provided, comprise by described analysis submodule to water system risk class divide and by setting risk class carry out early warning.
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| CN107103193A (en) * | 2017-04-21 | 2017-08-29 | 南京理工大学 | A kind of determination method of city rail vehicle wheelset profile testing result confidence level |
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| CN110121053A (en) * | 2018-02-07 | 2019-08-13 | 中国石油化工股份有限公司 | A kind of video monitoring method of situ of drilling well risk stratification early warning |
| CN112232632A (en) * | 2020-09-14 | 2021-01-15 | 深圳市水务(集团)有限公司 | HACCP-based water supply system operation management key technology evaluation method |
| CN113112375A (en) * | 2021-05-20 | 2021-07-13 | 中山大学 | Water resource decentralized management system |
| CN116777706A (en) * | 2023-06-12 | 2023-09-19 | 重庆不贰科技(集团)有限公司 | Low-carbon integrity community management system and method |
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