CN105373860A - Carbon net emission prediction method and carbon net emission prediction device - Google Patents
Carbon net emission prediction method and carbon net emission prediction device Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The present invention provides a carbon net emission prediction method and a carbon net emission prediction device. The carbon net emission prediction method comprises: acquiring a carbon total emission load, a carbon total absorbed dose and a carbon concentration mean of a preset area in a preset time; determining the carbon total net emission load of the preset area in the preset time according to the carbon total emission load and the carbon total absorbed dose; establishing a prediction equation according to the carbon total net emission load and the carbon concentration mean; and determining a carbon net emission load of an object region in an object time according to the prediction equation and the carbon concentration mean of the object region in the object time. The preset area comprises an object area. The carbon net emission prediction method is able to effectively improve the prediction precision, and reduce the geography dimension and the time dimension.
Description
Technical field
The present invention relates to Computer Simulation field, particularly relate to a kind of clean emitted smoke method of carbon and device.
Background technology
The survival and development of the Gloal Climate Change Impact mankind, and serious challenge is brought to the sustainable development of economic society.In this context, " low-carbon economy " based on low energy consumption, low stain has become global focus.Many countries carry forward vigorously with high energy efficiency, low emission be core " low-carbon (LC) revolution ", put forth effort to develop " low-carbon technology ", and Important Adjustment carried out to policies such as industry, the energy, technology, trades, to gain the initiative and industry commanding elevation.
For advancing the fast development of low-carbon economy and low-carbon technology, inevitably calculate the clean discharge capacity of carbon.Present stage has collection and the statistics that multiple means carries out carbon emission amount and carbon uptake relevant information, but the clean discharge capacity data for carbon only have relevant department or mechanism with year or longer cycle statistics and announce, and the carbon related data announced generally with complete administrative region for geography carries out counting statistics.Where necessary, need with less region for geography, in the short period, only calculating is discharged to carbon.
Therefore, set up a kind of precision reliable, and the carbon that can reduce geography dimensionality and time dimension discharges this is only only method and becomes problem demanding prompt solution.
Summary of the invention
For defect of the prior art, the invention provides a kind of clean emitted smoke method of carbon and device, effectively improve precision of prediction, and geography dimensionality and time dimension can be reduced.
First aspect, the invention provides a kind of clean emitted smoke method of carbon, comprising:
Obtain the carbon total release of predeterminable area in Preset Time, carbon gross absorption and concentration of carbon average;
According to described carbon total release and described carbon gross absorption, determine the total clean discharge capacity of the carbon of described predeterminable area in described Preset Time;
Predictive equation is set up according to the total clean discharge capacity of described carbon and concentration of carbon average;
The concentration of carbon average within the object time according to described predictive equation and target area, determines the clean discharge capacity of the carbon of described target area within the described object time.
Described predeterminable area comprises described target area.
Preferably, described carbon total release comprises one or more in energy-consuming carbon emission amount, commercial production carbon emission amount, rural activity carbon emission amount, discarded object carbon emission amount and food consumption carbon emission amount.
Preferably, described carbon gross absorption comprises one or more in Forest Carbon uptake, meadow carbon uptake, wetland carbon uptake and farmland carbon uptake.
Preferably, described concentration of carbon average comprises one or more in ground concentration of carbon average, aerial concentration of carbon average, satellite concentration of carbon average.
Preferably, the carbon total release of described acquisition predeterminable area in Preset Time, carbon gross absorption and concentration of carbon average, comprise further:
Obtain the carbon total release of predeterminable area in Preset Time, carbon gross absorption and concentration of carbon average, and described carbon total release, carbon gross absorption and concentration of carbon corresponding data are adjusted to consolidation form.
Preferably, describedly set up predictive equation according to the total clean discharge capacity of described carbon and concentration of carbon average, comprise further:
Set up described predictive equation according to the total clean discharge capacity of described carbon and concentration of carbon average, and adopt least square method to determine the coefficient of described predictive equation.
Second aspect, the invention provides the clean emitted smoke device of a kind of carbon, comprising:
Carbon data capture unit, for obtaining the carbon total release of predeterminable area in Preset Time, carbon gross absorption and concentration of carbon average;
The total clean discharge capacity determining unit of carbon, for according to described carbon total release and described carbon gross absorption, determines the total clean discharge capacity of the carbon of described predeterminable area in described Preset Time;
Predictive equation sets up unit, for setting up predictive equation according to the total clean discharge capacity of described carbon and concentration of carbon average;
The clean forecasting of discharged quantity unit of carbon, for the concentration of carbon average within the object time according to described predictive equation and target area, determines the clean discharge capacity of the carbon of described target area within the described object time;
Described predeterminable area comprises described target area.
Preferably, described carbon data capture unit, specifically for obtaining in energy-consuming carbon emission amount, commercial production carbon emission amount, rural activity carbon emission amount, discarded object carbon emission amount and food consumption carbon emission amount one or more.
Preferably, described carbon data capture unit, one or more also for obtaining in Forest Carbon uptake, meadow carbon uptake, wetland carbon uptake and farmland carbon uptake.
Preferably, described carbon data capture unit, one or more also for obtaining in ground concentration of carbon average, aerial concentration of carbon average, satellite concentration of carbon average.
As shown from the above technical solution, the clean emitted smoke method of carbon of the present invention and device, by obtaining the carbon total release of predeterminable area in Preset Time, carbon gross absorption and concentration of carbon average, determine the total clean discharge capacity of the carbon of this predeterminable area in Preset Time, thus set up predictive equation according to the total clean discharge capacity of described carbon and concentration of carbon average.Thus, the concentration of carbon average of target area within the object time can be substituted into described predictive equation, i.e. the clean discharge capacity of the carbon of measurable described target area within the described object time.Effectively improve measuring accuracy, and geography dimensionality and time dimension can be reduced.
Accompanying drawing explanation
The schematic flow sheet of the clean emitted smoke method of carbon that Fig. 1 provides for one embodiment of the invention;
The schematic flow sheet of the clean emitted smoke method of carbon that Fig. 2 provides for another embodiment of the present invention;
The structural representation of the clean emitted smoke device of carbon that Fig. 3 provides for one embodiment of the invention.
Embodiment
For making the object of the embodiment of the present invention, technical scheme and advantage clearly, below in conjunction with the accompanying drawing in the embodiment of the present invention, clear, complete description is carried out to the technical scheme in the embodiment of the present invention, obviously, described embodiment is only the present invention's part embodiment, instead of whole embodiments.Based on embodiments of the invention, those of ordinary skill in the art are not making the every other embodiment obtained under creative work prerequisite, all belong to the present invention protection.
Fig. 1 shows the schematic flow sheet of the clean emitted smoke method of carbon that one embodiment of the invention provides, and as shown in Figure 1, the carbon clean emitted smoke method of the present embodiment is as described below.
101, the carbon total release of predeterminable area in Preset Time, carbon gross absorption and concentration of carbon average is obtained.
For example, above-mentioned carbon total release at least comprises: energy-consuming carbon emission amount, commercial production carbon emission amount, rural activity carbon emission amount, discarded object carbon emission amount and food consumption carbon emission amount; Carbon gross absorption at least comprises: Forest Carbon uptake, meadow carbon uptake, wetland carbon uptake and farmland carbon uptake; Concentration of carbon average at least comprises: ground concentration of carbon average, aerial concentration of carbon average, satellite concentration of carbon average.
Further, above-mentioned each carbon emission amount and each carbon uptake are obtained by the public data in the whole nation or each province and city; After above-mentioned concentration of carbon average can adopt different types of sensor to obtain, computation of mean values obtains.
102, according to described carbon total release and described carbon gross absorption, the total clean discharge capacity of the carbon of described predeterminable area in described Preset Time is determined.
Will be understood that, the total clean discharge capacity of carbon is above-mentioned carbon total release and the difference of carbon gross absorption, the present embodiment adopts carbon emission amount and carbon uptake obtain respectively and calculate, again by the mode of total for the difference operation carbon of carbon total release and carbon gross absorption clean discharge capacity, according to the carbon emission amount obtained and the kind of carbon uptake, number and account form, the precision of the total clean discharge capacity of the final carbon obtained can be improved.
103, predictive equation is set up according to the total clean discharge capacity of described carbon and concentration of carbon average.
Should be noted that above-mentioned predictive equation can be the predictive equation set up according to the total clean discharge capacity of above-mentioned carbon and each concentration of carbon average.
For example, the total clean discharge capacity of above-mentioned carbon can be used as dependent variable, and each concentration of carbon average, as independent variable, can have corresponding weight.
When practical application, least square method can be adopted to determine the coefficient of above-mentioned predictive equation, i.e. the coefficient of each concentration of carbon average, thus determine the clean emitted smoke equation of final carbon.
104, the concentration of carbon average within the object time according to described predictive equation and target area, determines the clean discharge capacity of the carbon of described target area within the described object time.
For example, can obtain the concentration of carbon average of target area within the object time, this concentration of carbon average can be multiple, can comprise: ground concentration of carbon average, aerial concentration of carbon average and satellite concentration average.Above-mentioned each concentration of carbon average is updated in the clean emitted smoke equation of carbon that step 103 determines, namely measurablely obtains the clean discharge capacity of the carbon of target area within the object time.
Should be noted that above-mentioned predeterminable area comprises target area, namely target area is positioned at above-mentioned predeterminable area, and is not more than the scope of predeterminable area.When predicting the clean discharge capacity of the carbon beyond predeterminable area, geographic range and the time range of the predeterminable area comprising target area should be redefined, re-establish the clean emitted smoke equation of carbon in this region again according to above-mentioned step 101 to step 103, thus calculate the clean discharge capacity of carbon in this region in each object time.
The clean emitted smoke method of carbon of the present embodiment, by obtaining the carbon total release of predeterminable area in Preset Time, carbon gross absorption and concentration of carbon average, determine the total clean discharge capacity of the carbon of this predeterminable area in Preset Time, thus set up predictive equation according to the total clean discharge capacity of described carbon and concentration of carbon average.Thus, the concentration of carbon average of target area within the object time can be substituted into described predictive equation, the clean discharge capacity of the carbon of described target area within the described object time can be determined.Effectively improve precision of prediction, and geography dimensionality and time dimension can be reduced.
Fig. 2 shows the schematic flow sheet of the clean emitted smoke method of carbon that one embodiment of the invention provides, and as shown in Figure 2, the carbon clean emitted smoke method of the present embodiment is as described below.
201, the geographic range of predeterminable area and the time range of Preset Time is determined.
202, the carbon total release of predeterminable area in Preset Time is obtained.
In a particular application, above-mentioned carbon total release can comprise: energy-consuming carbon emission amount, commercial production carbon emission amount, rural activity carbon emission amount, discarded object carbon emission amount and food consumption carbon emission amount.
Wherein, energy-consuming carbon emission amount can according to formula E
i=Q
ih
i(A
ib
i+ M
i) T calculating; Wherein, E
irepresent the carbon emission amount of i-th kind of energy; Q
irepresent the consumption figure of i-th kind of energy; H
irepresent the net calorificvalue of i-th kind of energy; A
irepresent default carbon content; B
irepresent the default carbonoxide factor; M
irepresent the discharge of methane coefficient of i-th kind of energy; T is timing statistics coefficient.
Therefore, the carbon total release of energy-consuming:
wherein, n represents the kind sum of the energy.
Commercial production carbon emission amount can according to formula P
i=Q
ic
i× T × 12/44 calculates; Wherein P
irepresent the carbon emission amount of i-th kind of industrial processes; Q
irepresent the output of i-th kind of industrial products; C
irepresent the CO of i-th kind of industrial manufacture process
2emission factor.
Therefore, the carbon total release of industrial processes
wherein, n represents industrial kind sum.
Rural activity carbon emission comprises: the carbon emission of the carbon emission in rice field, the carbon emission of agricultural machinery and the process of irrigation.Wherein, carbon emission amount in rice field can calculate according to formula R=A × C × Z × T × 12/16; Wherein, R represents rice field carbon emission amount; A represents rice field area; C is carbon emission rate; Z is the paddy growth cycle.The carbon emission amount of agricultural machinery can calculate according to formula M=(S × P+E × Q) T; Wherein, M represents the carbon emission amount of agricultural machinery; S represents crop acreage; E is the total power of farm machinery; P and Q is carbon emission coefficient.Irrigation process carbon emission amount can calculate according to formula I=G × Y × T; Wherein, I is the carbon emission amount of irrigation process; G is irrigated area; Y is carbon emission coefficient.
Therefore, rural activity carbon total release T
agr=R+M+I.
Should be noted that above-mentioned T is timing statistics coefficient, in actual applications, can change according to the time dimension of actual count.Such as, be take year as chronomere at above-mentioned each carbon emission amount number, and be in units of the moon in the time of practical application, then above-mentioned timing statistics coefficient T can be 1/12; If the time of practical application is in units of sky, then above-mentioned timing statistics coefficient can be 1/365, and the present embodiment does not limit it.
Discarded object carbon emission can comprise: waste incineration carbon emission, garbage loading embeading carbon emission, sanitary wastewater carbon emission and industrial waste water carbon emission.Wherein, waste incineration carbon emission amount can calculate according to formula B=Q × C × P × F × T; Wherein, wherein, B represents waste incineration carbon discharge capacity; Q represents waste incineration amount; C represents the carbon content ratio of discarded object; P represents the mineral carbon ratio example in discarded object; F represents the complete burning efficiency of incinerator.Garbage loading embeading carbon emission amount can calculate according to formula D=0.0476Q × T; Wherein, D represents the carbon emission amount that garbage loading embeading produces; Q represents garbage loading embeading amount.Sanitary wastewater carbon emission amount can calculate according to formula L=P × aBOD × SBF × C × FTA × T; Wherein, L represents sanitary wastewater carbon emission amount; P represents population; ABOD represents biochemical oxygen demand per capita; SBF represents the biochemical oxygen demand ratio being easy to deposit; C is biochemical oxygen demand emission factor; FTA represents the biochemical oxygen demand ratio of anaerobic degradation in waste water.Industrial waste water carbon emission amount can calculate according to formula I=V × COD × C × T; Wherein, I represents industrial waste water carbon emission amount; V represents wastewater flow rate; COD represents chemical oxygen demand (COD); C represents maximum CO
2generation ability.
Therefore, discarded object carbon total release T
was=B+D+L+I.
Food consumption carbon emission amount can according to formula F
i=Q
i× P
i× T calculates; Wherein, F represents the carbon emission amount of i-th kind of food consumption; Qi represents the consumption figure of i-th kind of food; Pi represents the carbon emission coefficient of i-th kind of food.
Therefore, food consumption carbon total release:
wherein, n represents the kind sum of food.
Thus, can obtain the carbon total release of predeterminable area in Preset Time is T
ems=T
ene+ T
ind+ T
agr+ T
was+ T
foo.
203, the carbon gross absorption of predeterminable area in Preset Time is obtained.
In a particular application, above-mentioned carbon gross absorption can comprise: Forest Carbon uptake, meadow carbon uptake, wetland carbon uptake and farmland carbon uptake.
Wherein, Forest Carbon uptake can according to formula T
for=3.81 × S × T calculates; Wherein T
forrepresent Forest Carbon uptake; S represents the area of forest; T is timing statistics coefficient.
Meadow carbon uptake can according to formula T
gra=0.948 × S × T calculates; Wherein, T
grarepresent meadow carbon uptake; S represents the area on meadow.
Wetland carbon uptake can according to formula T
wet=T × Σ S
jd
jcalculate; Wherein, D
j=Σ 0.58W
jh
ijo
ij, T
wetfor wetland carbon uptake; T is timing statistics range factor; S
jfor area; D
jfor Organic Carbon Density; J is soil types, W
jfor unit weight; H
ijfor thickness of soil, O
ijfor the content of organic matter; I is soil layer sequence number.
Crop carbon uptake can according to formula U
i=TC
i× (1-P
i) × Y
i/ H
icalculate; Wherein, U
irepresent i-th kind of crop carbon uptake; C
irepresent the carbon absorptivity of i-th kind of crops synthesis unit organic matter; P
irepresent the water percentage of i-th kind of crops; Y
irepresent the economic yield of i-th kind of crops; H
irepresent the economic coefficient of i-th kind of crops.
Therefore, carbon gross absorption in farmland is
n is the kind sum of crops.
Thus, can obtain the carbon gross absorption of predeterminable area in Preset Time is T
str=T
for+ T
gra+ T
wet+ T
cro.
Should be noted that above-mentioned carbon total release and carbon gross absorption to be sent out by national statistical yearbook over the years, national traffic yearbook, national energy statistics yearbook and each province and city and the public data such as statistical yearbook, environmental statistics annual report, land use data volume obtain.
Because the carbon number of the individual parameter in each formula is according to the isomery carbon content environmental data that can be different pieces of information source, for convenience of follow-up data processing and calculating, above-mentioned isomeric data can be adjusted to consolidation form data.
For example, the Uniform data format of above-mentioned each isomery environmental data comprises: the field name DataID of Part I, can be used to distinguish above-mentioned various different pieces of information sources; The field name Location of Part II, represents the longitude and latitude in carbon content monitoring place; The field name LocName of Part III, represents the minimum row political affairs zone name (certain village, certain county etc.) of carbon content monitoring belonging to place; The field name LocID of Part IV, represents the digital code of the minimum administrative region of carbon content monitoring belonging to place, so that program is directly searched; The field name Time of Part V, represents the acquisition time of carbon content data or carbon emission (carbon absorption) the timing statistics scope in this region; The field name TimeID of Part VI, represents the timing statistics scope (as second, point, hour, day, month, year) of field Time; The field name EmsCO of Part VII
2, represent carbon emission amount; The field name of Part VIII is StrCO
2, represent carbon uptake; The field name XCO of Part IX
2, represent concentration of carbon.
204, according to the carbon total release of predeterminable area in Preset Time and carbon gross absorption, the total clean discharge capacity of carbon is calculated.
Will be understood that the total clean discharge capacity of carbon is the difference of carbon total release and carbon gross absorption.Therefore, the total clean discharge capacity of the carbon of predeterminable area in Preset Time is C
net-i=T
ems-T
str, wherein, C
net-irepresent the total clean discharge capacity of predeterminable area carbon in i-th Preset Time.
205, the concentration of carbon average of predeterminable area in Preset Time is obtained.
In a particular application, above-mentioned concentration of carbon average can comprise: ground concentration of carbon average, aerial concentration of carbon average, satellite concentration of carbon average.
Above-mentioned ground concentration of carbon average is the ratio of all concentration of carbon data of obtaining in Preset Time of the ground transaucer in predeterminable area and number of sensors.Such as, the LocID field in data structure or the direct concentration of carbon data by all the sensors in the geographic range of calculation of longitude & latitude predeterminable area can be searched, afterwards according to formula
calculate ground concentration of carbon average, wherein, C
dev-irepresent that in i-th Preset Time, ground transaucer monitors the predeterminable area concentration of carbon average obtained; X
irepresent i-th sensor concentration of carbon data value in predeterminable area and in Preset Time, n is at the sensor concentration of carbon data count in predeterminable area and in Preset Time.Similarly, LocID field in data structure can be searched or directly by the concentration of carbon data of all the sensors in the aerial extent of calculation of longitude & latitude predeterminable area, using the ratio of the concentration of carbon of all the sensors and sensor sum as aerial concentration of carbon average C
uav-i.
Above-mentioned satellite concentration of carbon average can comprise: GOSAT satellite concentration of carbon average and OCO-2 satellite concentration of carbon average.The concentration of carbon of all detectable predeterminable area of two above-mentioned satellites in Preset Time, can utilize above-mentioned mode determination geographic range and time range equally, the concentration of carbon average obtained is respectively C
gosat-iand C
oco-i.
When practical application, more satellite concentration of carbon averages can be added as the parameter setting up predictive equation, to improve predicting the outcome of the clean discharge capacity of final carbon.
206, judging that whether carbon number is enough according to sample size, when being judged as YES, performing step 207; Otherwise change preset time range, performs step 202.
When embody rule, if above-mentioned each carbon related data sample size is sufficient not, suitably can expands the length of Preset Time, return above-mentioned step 202.
207, set up predictive equation according to the total clean discharge capacity of described carbon and concentration of carbon average, and determine the coefficient of described predictive equation.
For example, the clean forecasting of discharged quantity equation of above-mentioned carbon can be:
C
net-i＝b
o+b
1C
dev-i+b
2C
uav-i+b
3C
gosat-i+b
4C
oco-i；
Wherein, C
net-irepresent the total clean discharge capacity of predeterminable area carbon in i-th Preset Time, C
dev-irepresent that in i-th Preset Time, ground transaucer monitors the predeterminable area concentration of carbon average obtained, C
uav-irepresent that in i-th Preset Time, Overhead Sensor monitors the predeterminable area concentration of carbon average obtained, C
gosat-iand C
oco-ibe respectively GOSAT satellite and OCO-2 satellite monitors the predeterminable area concentration of carbon average obtained in i-th Preset Time.
Further, least square method can be adopted to determine each coefficient b of above-mentioned predictive equation
0, b
1, b
2, b
3and b
4, thus obtain the clean emitted smoke equation of final carbon:
y＝b
o+b
1C
dev-i+b
2C
uav-i+b
3C
gosat-i+b
4C
oco-i；
Wherein, y represents the clean discharge capacity of the carbon of target area within the object time.
208, the concentration of carbon average within the object time according to described predictive equation and target area, determines the clean discharge capacity of the carbon of described target area within the described object time.
When embody rule, the above-mentioned four kind concentration of carbon averages of target area within the object time are substituting in the equation in step 207, y value can be obtained, i.e. the clean discharge capacity of the carbon of target area within the object time.
In addition, also can utilize above-mentioned ground transaucer, Overhead Sensor, the concentration of carbon measured value of GOSAT satellite and OCO-2 satellite sounding simulates the curve with time relationship, thus each concentration of carbon average can be obtained according to each curvilinear trend, be updated in above-mentioned predictive equation, the clean discharge capacity of the prediction carbon of Future targets region within the object time.
The clean emitted smoke method of carbon of the present embodiment, by obtaining the carbon total release of predeterminable area in Preset Time, carbon gross absorption and concentration of carbon average, determine the total clean discharge capacity of the carbon of this predeterminable area in Preset Time, thus set up predictive equation according to the total clean discharge capacity of described carbon and concentration of carbon average.Thus, the concentration of carbon average of target area within the object time can be substituted into described predictive equation, the clean discharge capacity of the carbon of described target area within the described object time can be determined.Effectively improve precision of prediction, and geography dimensionality and time dimension can be reduced.
Fig. 3 shows the clean emitted smoke device of carbon that one embodiment of the invention provides, as described in Figure 3, the clean emitted smoke device of carbon of the present embodiment, comprising: the total clean discharge capacity determining unit 32 of carbon data capture unit 31, carbon, predictive equation set up unit 33 and the clean forecasting of discharged quantity unit 34 of carbon.
Carbon data capture unit 31, for obtaining the carbon total release of predeterminable area in Preset Time, carbon gross absorption and concentration of carbon average;
The total clean discharge capacity determining unit 32 of carbon, for according to described carbon total release and described carbon gross absorption, determines the total clean discharge capacity of the carbon of described predeterminable area in described Preset Time;
Predictive equation sets up unit 33, for setting up predictive equation according to the total clean discharge capacity of described carbon and concentration of carbon average;
The clean forecasting of discharged quantity unit 34 of carbon, for the concentration of carbon average within the object time according to described predictive equation and target area, determines the clean discharge capacity of the carbon of described target area within the described object time;
Should be noted that above-mentioned predeterminable area comprises target area.
Preferably, carbon data capture unit 31, is further used for obtaining the carbon total release of predeterminable area in Preset Time, carbon gross absorption and concentration of carbon average, and described carbon total release, carbon gross absorption and concentration of carbon corresponding data is adjusted to consolidation form.
Preferably, above-mentioned carbon data capture unit 31, specifically for one or more in acquisition energy-consuming carbon emission amount, commercial production carbon emission amount, rural activity carbon emission amount, discarded object carbon emission amount and food consumption carbon emission amount.
Preferably.Carbon data capture unit 31, one or more also for obtaining in Forest Carbon uptake, meadow carbon uptake, wetland carbon uptake and farmland carbon uptake.
Preferably, carbon data capture unit 31, one or more also for obtaining in ground concentration of carbon average, aerial concentration of carbon average, satellite concentration of carbon average.
Preferably, predictive equation sets up unit 33, is further used for setting up described predictive equation according to the total clean discharge capacity of described carbon and concentration of carbon average, and adopts least square method to determine the coefficient of described predictive equation.
The clean emitted smoke device of carbon of the present embodiment, may be used for the technical scheme performing embodiment of the method shown in above-mentioned Fig. 1 or Fig. 2, it realizes principle and technique effect is similar, repeats no more herein.
The clean emitted smoke device of carbon of the present embodiment, by obtaining the carbon total release of predeterminable area in Preset Time, carbon gross absorption and concentration of carbon average, determine the total clean discharge capacity of the carbon of this predeterminable area in Preset Time, thus set up predictive equation according to the total clean discharge capacity of described carbon and concentration of carbon average.Thus, the concentration of carbon average of target area within the object time can be substituted into described predictive equation, the clean discharge capacity of the carbon of described target area within the described object time can be determined.Effectively improve precision of prediction, and geography dimensionality and time dimension can be reduced.
Last it is noted that above each embodiment is only in order to illustrate technical scheme of the present invention, be not intended to limit; Although with reference to foregoing embodiments to invention has been detailed description, those of ordinary skill in the art is to be understood that: it still can be modified to the technical scheme described in foregoing embodiments, or carries out equivalent replacement to wherein some or all of technical characteristic; And these amendments or replacement, do not make the essence of appropriate technical solution disengaging the claims in the present invention limit.
Claims (10)
1. the clean emitted smoke method of carbon, it is characterized in that, described method comprises:
Obtain the carbon total release of predeterminable area in Preset Time, carbon gross absorption and concentration of carbon average;
According to described carbon total release and described carbon gross absorption, determine the total clean discharge capacity of the carbon of described predeterminable area in described Preset Time;
Predictive equation is set up according to the total clean discharge capacity of described carbon and concentration of carbon average;
The concentration of carbon average within the object time according to described predictive equation and target area, determines the clean discharge capacity of the carbon of described target area within the described object time.
Described predeterminable area comprises described target area.
2. method according to claim 1, is characterized in that, described carbon total release comprise in energy-consuming carbon emission amount, commercial production carbon emission amount, rural activity carbon emission amount, discarded object carbon emission amount and food consumption carbon emission amount one or more.
3. method according to claim 1, is characterized in that, described carbon gross absorption comprise in Forest Carbon uptake, meadow carbon uptake, wetland carbon uptake and farmland carbon uptake one or more.
4. method according to claim 1, is characterized in that, described concentration of carbon average comprise in ground concentration of carbon average, aerial concentration of carbon average, satellite concentration of carbon average one or more.
5. method according to claim 1, is characterized in that, the carbon total release of described acquisition predeterminable area in Preset Time, carbon gross absorption and concentration of carbon average, comprise further:
Obtain the carbon total release of predeterminable area in Preset Time, carbon gross absorption and concentration of carbon average, and described carbon total release, carbon gross absorption and concentration of carbon corresponding data are adjusted to consolidation form.
6. method according to claim 1, is characterized in that, describedly sets up predictive equation according to the total clean discharge capacity of described carbon and concentration of carbon average, comprises further:
Set up described predictive equation according to the total clean discharge capacity of described carbon and concentration of carbon average, and adopt least square method to determine the coefficient of described predictive equation.
7. the clean emitted smoke device of carbon, it is characterized in that, described device comprises:
Carbon data capture unit, for obtaining the carbon total release of predeterminable area in Preset Time, carbon gross absorption and concentration of carbon average;
The total clean discharge capacity determining unit of carbon, for according to described carbon total release and described carbon gross absorption, determines the total clean discharge capacity of the carbon of described predeterminable area in described Preset Time;
Predictive equation sets up unit, for setting up predictive equation according to the total clean discharge capacity of described carbon and concentration of carbon average;
The clean forecasting of discharged quantity unit of carbon, for the concentration of carbon average within the object time according to described predictive equation and target area, determines the clean discharge capacity of the carbon of described target area within the described object time;
Described predeterminable area comprises described target area.
8. device according to claim 7, it is characterized in that, described carbon data capture unit, specifically for one or more in acquisition energy-consuming carbon emission amount, commercial production carbon emission amount, rural activity carbon emission amount, discarded object carbon emission amount and food consumption carbon emission amount.
9. device according to claim 7, is characterized in that, described carbon data capture unit, one or more also for obtaining in Forest Carbon uptake, meadow carbon uptake, wetland carbon uptake and farmland carbon uptake.
10. device according to claim 7, is characterized in that, described carbon data capture unit, one or more also for obtaining in ground concentration of carbon average, aerial concentration of carbon average, satellite concentration of carbon average.
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