CN104408535A - Prediction optimization decision-making system for pig raising cost - Google Patents
Prediction optimization decision-making system for pig raising cost Download PDFInfo
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- CN104408535A CN104408535A CN201410735624.8A CN201410735624A CN104408535A CN 104408535 A CN104408535 A CN 104408535A CN 201410735624 A CN201410735624 A CN 201410735624A CN 104408535 A CN104408535 A CN 104408535A
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- 238000005457 optimization Methods 0.000 title abstract 2
- 238000004519 manufacturing process Methods 0.000 claims abstract description 18
- 241000282887 Suidae Species 0.000 claims abstract description 10
- 239000000463 material Substances 0.000 claims description 4
- XLYOFNOQVPJJNP-UHFFFAOYSA-N water Substances O XLYOFNOQVPJJNP-UHFFFAOYSA-N 0.000 claims description 4
- 238000009395 breeding Methods 0.000 claims description 3
- 230000005611 electricity Effects 0.000 claims description 3
- 230000001488 breeding effect Effects 0.000 claims description 2
- 238000002649 immunization Methods 0.000 claims description 2
- 230000003053 immunization Effects 0.000 claims description 2
- 238000004364 calculation method Methods 0.000 abstract description 4
- 241000282898 Sus scrofa Species 0.000 description 18
- 238000000034 method Methods 0.000 description 3
- 241001071864 Lethrinus laticaudis Species 0.000 description 2
- 239000002994 raw material Substances 0.000 description 2
- 230000004083 survival effect Effects 0.000 description 2
- 241001269238 Data Species 0.000 description 1
- 230000009286 beneficial effect Effects 0.000 description 1
- 239000002131 composite material Substances 0.000 description 1
- 238000012258 culturing Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000007547 defect Effects 0.000 description 1
- 230000003111 delayed effect Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000010586 diagram Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000005516 engineering process Methods 0.000 description 1
- 239000003925 fat Substances 0.000 description 1
- 230000035558 fertility Effects 0.000 description 1
- 244000144972 livestock Species 0.000 description 1
- 239000003981 vehicle Substances 0.000 description 1
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- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
- G06Q10/04—Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem"
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- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q50/00—Information and communication technology [ICT] specially adapted for implementation of business processes of specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
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Abstract
The invention discloses a prediction optimization decision-making system for pig raising cost. The system comprises three layers, wherein a general table is arranged on the first layer, branch tables are arranged on the second layer, and detail tables are arranged on the third layer; the general table is a financial revenue and expenditure budget sheet and used for setting indexes such as production index and production scale and giving calculation results and operating decision suggestions; the branch tables are a public cost table and a direct cost table, the cost generated by domestic pigs in a certain stage is the direct cost and otherwise is the public cost; the detail tables include a feed cost computation sheet, a raising cost computation sheet, a depreciation cost computation sheet, an immune cost computation sheet, a health cost computation sheet, a treatment cost computation sheet, a tool cost computation sheet and a bulb cost computation sheet.
Description
Technical field
The invention belongs to livestock culturing technical field, specifically, relate to one and to raise pigs forecasting of cost Optimal Decision-making system.
Background technology
At present, in pig-breeding industry, the survival rate of the price of raw material, sow fertility rate, piggy, deliver the change of any one factor such as weight, cultivation scale, production marketing price for sale, capital causes column home to take, production cost and enterprise profit change, but also the change of circulating capital, inputoutput etc. can be affected further, between each factor, relation is complicated, and some factor also can pin down mutually.For company manager, only have and just can know profit situation when the end of the year carries out financial accounting final accounts, can not adjust in time production scale, marketing time, feed formula etc. according to the change of market conditions, production decision is seriously delayed, and therefore pole needs an instrument can predicting production cost aid decision making at any time; Meanwhile, establish the investor on pig farm for resolving, also need one can according to production scale, the computational tool producing the decision datas such as the occupation of capital of the situation such as general status and product price fast prediction, inputoutput.
Summary of the invention
In order to overcome the defect existed in prior art, the invention provides one and to raise pigs forecasting of cost Optimal Decision-making system.Its technical scheme is as follows:
One is raised pigs forecasting of cost Optimal Decision-making system, comprises three layers: ground floor is summary table, and the second layer is a table, and third layer be carefully show,
Described summary table is financial budget of income and expenditure table, is used for arranging the index such as production target, production scale, provides result and the business decision suggestion of calculating;
Described table is divided into public cost table and direct cost table, and certain domestic animal pig all counts direct cost to every can collecting in stage, otherwise is public cost;
Described thin table comprises feed cost reckoner, breeding expenses reckoner, depreciation cost reckoner, immunization fee health subsidies reckoner and treatment cost instrument expense bulb expense reckoner.
Preferably, described direct cost comprises feed cost, and described feed cost is according to each stage material than calculating, and piglet, child care pig, the feed cost in big porker each stage, public cost comprises charges for water and electricity, wage of superintendence expense.
The direct cost of a certain work-in-process is as the seedling cost of next stage, if the direct cost of piglet is as the seedling cost of child care pig, the direct cost of child care pig is again as the seedling cost of big porker, each stepped cost is made to cut like this, convenient independent calculating, makes the field of being engaged in the production of any stage carry out cost budgeting and decision-making.
Beneficial effect of the present invention:
1. easily calculate the production cost of piglet, child care pig, boar, big porker: by accurate cost classification, in direct cost, particularly introduce this composite item cost of seedling cost, each stepped cost can be calculated and isolate out, make the pig farm of the pig in raising any single stage that this instrument all can be used to calculate like this.As certain field only fats up pig, piglet is introduced from other places, then the cost of piglet is put the cost that just directly can calculate fattening in child care pig seedling cost;
2. equilibrium point is lost in the win finding piglet, child care pig, big porker to produce: when cost of material, production scale, production target etc. are determined, can calculate the unit price that breaks even at any time;
3. best suggestion of delivering mode for sale is proposed: what price to walk downwards to sell piggy or to sell big porker by system automatic decision in the most worthwhile;
4. circulating capital demand is estimated: introducing is delivered the factors such as interval for sale and calculated, and result is more accurate;
5. column home area requirements measuring and calculating: introduce production target factor as survival rate, rutting cycle etc., result of calculation is geared to actual circumstances more;
6. water consumption is estimated.
Accompanying drawing explanation
Fig. 1 is that pig farm production cost is sorted out;
Fig. 2 is the schematic diagram of forecasting of cost Optimal Decision-making system of raising pigs.
Specific embodiments
Below in conjunction with the drawings and specific embodiments, technical scheme of the present invention is described in more detail.
The present invention raises pigs forecasting of cost Optimal Decision-making system in embody rule process, comprises the following steps:
First, the cost of raising pigs is defined as two kinds: direct cost and public cost.Direct cost is exactly that those clearly can sum up in the point that every cost delivering pig for sale, and the feed cost as a pig directly can calculate according to feed consumption and feed price; Other can not directly to summing up in the point that every cost delivering pig for sale is then public cost, as vehicle consumption, charges for water and electricity, odd-jobman's wage etc.
Secondly, all costs that live pig produces are integrated in two kinds of costs as above, as shown in Figure 1.
3rd, analyze the calculating method of summary of each concrete cost further and form cost design schedule case system.Cost accounting form comprises three layers: ground floor is summary table, and the second layer is a table, and third layer is thin table.The calculating of mainly each direct cost in thin table, because of public cost, to be generally empirical data fairly simple, need not divide again and carefully show to calculate, as shown in Figure 2:
The calculating of feed cost is more complicated: basic sow and boar calculate according to the number of days that the production cycle comprises; Baby pig feedstuff is estimated based on experience value; Child care pig, big porker calculate according to each stage material ratio.
Finally, decision data is formed.Advised to the result and business decision that provide calculating by the decision-making form be placed in foremost.In order to decision-making is convenient, the data often changed (as primary raw material price) are placed in this table, conveniently carry out tentative calculation at any time, and allow to record 5 result of calculations simultaneously.
The above; be only the present invention's preferably embodiment; protection scope of the present invention is not limited thereto; anyly be familiar with those skilled in the art in the technical scope that the present invention discloses, the simple change of the technical scheme that can obtain apparently or equivalence are replaced and are all fallen within the scope of protection of the present invention.
Claims (2)
1. to raise pigs a forecasting of cost Optimal Decision-making system, it is characterized in that: collecting of cost comprises three layers: ground floor is summary table, the second layer is a table, and third layer be carefully show,
Described summary table is financial budget of income and expenditure table, is used for arranging production target, production-scale index, provides result and the business decision suggestion of calculating;
Described table is divided into public cost table and direct cost table, and certain domestic animal pig all counts direct cost to every can collecting in stage, otherwise is public cost;
Described thin table comprises feed cost reckoner, breeding expenses reckoner, depreciation cost reckoner, immunization fee health subsidies reckoner and treatment cost instrument expense bulb expense reckoner.
2. forecasting of cost Optimal Decision-making system of raising pigs according to claim 1, is characterized in that: described direct cost comprises feed cost, and described feed cost calculates according to each stage material ratio and feed formula, and public cost comprises charges for water and electricity, wage of superintendence expense.
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CN201410735624.8A CN104408535A (en) | 2014-12-08 | 2014-12-08 | Prediction optimization decision-making system for pig raising cost |
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CN201410735624.8A CN104408535A (en) | 2014-12-08 | 2014-12-08 | Prediction optimization decision-making system for pig raising cost |
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Citations (4)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
CN101271551A (en) * | 2008-05-13 | 2008-09-24 | 李英杰 | Method for livestock cultivation economic benefit estimation and cultivation business decision |
CN102885003A (en) * | 2012-09-21 | 2013-01-23 | 河南科技大学 | Marketing control method for table purpose lamb |
US20130139277A1 (en) * | 2011-03-07 | 2013-05-30 | Syngenta Participations Ag | Agricultural business applications and methods of use |
CN103651248A (en) * | 2012-09-24 | 2014-03-26 | 中国农业科学院北京畜牧兽医研究所 | Swinery production plan formulation method based on network databases and breeding parameters |
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2014
- 2014-12-08 CN CN201410735624.8A patent/CN104408535A/en active Pending
Patent Citations (4)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
CN101271551A (en) * | 2008-05-13 | 2008-09-24 | 李英杰 | Method for livestock cultivation economic benefit estimation and cultivation business decision |
US20130139277A1 (en) * | 2011-03-07 | 2013-05-30 | Syngenta Participations Ag | Agricultural business applications and methods of use |
CN102885003A (en) * | 2012-09-21 | 2013-01-23 | 河南科技大学 | Marketing control method for table purpose lamb |
CN103651248A (en) * | 2012-09-24 | 2014-03-26 | 中国农业科学院北京畜牧兽医研究所 | Swinery production plan formulation method based on network databases and breeding parameters |
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