CN104134003B - The crop yield amount Forecasting Methodology that knowledge based drives jointly with data - Google Patents
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Abstract
The invention discloses the crop yield amount Forecasting Methodology that a kind of knowledge based and data drive jointly, this method comprises the following steps:Using the crop yield amount productive potentialities submodel based on data-driven, the single rate productive potentialities E of crop is obtained according to the environmental data of input;Using the crop modeling of Kernel-based methods, structure obtains the crop yield quantum model of knowledge based driving, then according in the single rate productive potentialities E of crop and crop mechanism parameter obtain the single rate y of crop;Using regional historical environmental data and the single rate y of crop, identification obtains model parameter θdAnd θk, the single rate of the area crops is predicted with meteorological data according to certain following region.The present invention can maximally utilize history environment data and crop knowledge model, model parameter is set to obtain systematization estimation, Potentials are more accurate, easy to use, and this provides relatively reliable method for the production of auxiliary chamber crop, environment conditioning and cultivation management.
Description
Technical field
The invention belongs to data processing method and general botany technical field, more particularly to a kind of knowledge based and data
The crop yield amount Forecasting Methodology driven jointly.
Background technology
Chamber crop production, environment conditioning and cultivation management need reliable crop yield amount Forecasting Methodology.Generally come
Say, crop yield amount Forecasting Methodology can be divided into based on data according to whether comprising the knowledge related to crop growth rule
The crop yield amount Forecasting Methodology of crop yield amount Forecasting Methodology and the knowledge based driving of driving.
The complicated growth behavior of crop is considered as black box by the crop yield amount Forecasting Methodology based on data-driven, to growing
Journey is not considered, and the structure of its method places one's entire reliance upon history environment data and crop yield amount data (do not include any crop
Related knowledge), such as use the crop yield amount Forecasting Methodology based on artificial neural network.This method can be by data
Habit mode carrys out the unknown non-linear relation for the treatment of mechanism, and the data under certain environment growth can be reached with higher prediction essence
Degree.But this method can not maximally utilize existing crop knowledge and go to improve the precision of prediction of crop yield amount, and when increasing
The complexity of model is lifted rapidly when adding output variable.
Different from the method based on data-driven, the crop yield amount Forecasting Methodology of knowledge based driving is then to be based on crop
The model that growth-development law is established, including the dynamic process such as the biomass of crop produces, distribution, leaf area formation, are such as based on
Cooperation beween China and France research and development and come plant function structural model (GreenLab), the model is a kind of general plant growth mould
Type, the industrial crops such as corn, wheat, cucumber, tomato are successfully applied to, and chamber crop production, environment can be aided in adjust
Control and cultivation management.But the model can not maximally utilize environmental data and go to improve the precision of prediction of crop yield amount.
Traditional crop yield amount Forecasting Methodology is different from, in order to maximally utilize crop knowledge and environmental data to improve
Crop yield amount precision of prediction, the present invention propose the crop yield amount Forecasting Methodology that a kind of knowledge based drives jointly with data,
Chamber crop production, environment conditioning and cultivation management can be aided in.
The content of the invention
It is an object of the invention to provide a kind of reliable crop yield amount Forecasting Methodology, and enable the method to maximize
Using existing crop knowledge and environmental data, crop yield amount precision of prediction is improved, and chamber crop production, ring can be aided in
Border regulates and controls and cultivation management.
To achieve the above object, the present invention provides the crop yield amount prediction side that a kind of knowledge based drives jointly with data
Method, this method comprise the following steps:
Step 1, crop yield amount productive potentialities submodel is built using the method based on data-driven, it is expressed as:
E=fd(x,θd),
Wherein, fd() represents the method based on data-driven, and x is the environmental data of input, and E is under corresponding environmental condition
The productive potentialities of crop yield amount, θdFor submodel E parameter;
Step 2, the crop yield quantum model of knowledge based driving is obtained using the crop modeling of Kernel-based methods, structure,
It is expressed as:
Y=fk(E,θk),
Wherein, fk() represents the crop modeling of Kernel-based methods, θkFor submodel y parameter, i.e., in crop mechanism ginseng
Number;
Step 3, the per unit area yield quantum model y of the crop obtained using regional historical environmental data and the step 2, is recognized
To the model parameter θ of the crop yield amount productive potentialities submodel based on data-drivendWith knowledge based driving
The model parameter θ of crop yield quantum modelk, with according to the meteorological data in certain following region come the single rate to the area crops
It is predicted.
The crop yield amount Forecasting Methodology that knowledge based proposed by the present invention drives jointly with data, which takes full advantage of, to be based on
The method of Knowledge driving and method based on data-driven each the advantages of, crop knowledge and environment number can be maximally utilized
According to the reliability of raising crop yield amount precision of prediction.Difference with the prior art of the present invention is mainly reflected in use of the present invention
Method based on data-driven, the crop yield amount productive potentialities submodel based on data-driven is built, using Kernel-based methods
Crop modeling, the crop yield quantum model of structure knowledge based driving, two submodels are coupling in one by the way of series connection
Rise.Therefore, the present invention can crop yield amount production of the more flexible applicating history environmental data structure based on data-driven
Potential Model, and crop growth rule (crop knowledge) is combined, crop yield amount is predicted from mechanistic point.It is real
Test and show, the advantages of the inventive method is integrated with the two, and there is higher crop yield amount precision of prediction.
The present invention utilizes regional historical environmental data and crop yield amount data, model parameter is picked out, for future
The single rate prediction of the area crops.The present invention can maximally utilize history environment data and crop knowledge model, make model
Parameter obtain systematization estimation, Potentials are more accurate, easy to use, this also for chamber crop production, environment conditioning and
Cultivation management provides relatively reliable method.
Brief description of the drawings
Fig. 1 is the theory diagram for the crop yield amount Forecasting Methodology that knowledge based of the present invention drives jointly with data.
Fig. 2 is the crop yield amount Forecasting Methodology that knowledge based according to an embodiment of the invention drives jointly with data
Block diagram.
Embodiment
For the object, technical solutions and advantages of the present invention are more clearly understood, below in conjunction with specific embodiment, and reference
Accompanying drawing, the present invention is described in more detail.
The theory diagram for the crop yield amount Forecasting Methodology that Fig. 1 is knowledge based of the present invention to be driven jointly with data, such as Fig. 1
It is shown, it the described method comprises the following steps:
Step 1, crop yield amount productive potentialities submodel is built using the method based on data-driven, it is expressed as:
E=fd(x,θd),
Wherein, fd() represents the method based on data-driven, and x is the environmental data of input, and E is to make under the environmental condition
The productive potentialities of thing single rate, θdFor submodel E parameter.
The step reflects influence of the climatic environment for crop yield amount.
Wherein, the environmental data includes but is not limited to temperature, illumination, CO2The meteorological datas such as concentration, relative humidity.
Step 2, the crop yield quantum model of knowledge based driving is obtained using the crop modeling of Kernel-based methods, structure;
Wherein, the crop yield quantum model of the knowledge based driving is expressed as:
Y=fk(E,θk),
Wherein, fk() represents the crop modeling of Kernel-based methods, θkFor submodel y parameter, i.e., in crop mechanism ginseng
Number.
The step 1 and step 2 it is also assumed that by the crop yield amount productive potentialities submodel based on data-driven and
The crop yield quantum model series coupled of knowledge based driving, obtain the crop yield amount that knowledge based drives jointly with data
Forecast model, for the model, input environment data, you can obtain the single rate of crop.
Step 3, the per unit area yield quantum model y of the crop obtained using regional historical environmental data and the step 2, is recognized
To the model parameter θ of the crop yield amount productive potentialities submodel based on data-drivendWith knowledge based driving
The model parameter θ of crop yield quantum modelk, for according to the meteorological data in certain following region come the list to the area crops
Yield is predicted.
In an embodiment of the present invention, the crop for obtaining knowledge based and data drive jointly is recognized using gradient descent method
Single rate prediction model parameterses θdAnd θk。
Fig. 2 is the crop yield amount Forecasting Methodology that knowledge based according to an embodiment of the invention drives jointly with data
Block diagram, as shown in Fig. 2 in an embodiment of the present invention, being driven based on radial basis function neural network (RBFN) structure based on data
Dynamic crop yield amount productive potentialities submodel, based on plant function structural model (GreenLab) or garden crop universal model
(HortiSim) the crop yield quantum model of knowledge based driving is built.
The production of the crop yield amount based on data-driven obtained based on radial basis function neural network (RBFN) structure is latent
Power submodel is represented by:
E=fd(x,θd)=Φ (x) θd,
Wherein, θdFor RBFN weighting parameter, Φ (x)=[φ1(x),φ2(x),…,φh(x)] it is RBF,
And
In plant function structural model (GreenLab), the biomass increment Q (i) of i-th of growth cycle is expressed as:
Wherein, E (i) is i-th of growth cycle crop yield amount productive potentialities under the cycle weather circumstance condition, r and
Sp is the inherent mechanism parameter grown, and usually carries out estimation setting according to actual production data, and S (i) is i-th of growth week
The total leaf area of the crop of phase.
For growth cycle i, the biomass table of Different Crop organ o accumulations is shown as:
Wherein, PoFor the crop organ o strong parameter in relative storehouse, usually carry out estimation according to crop actual production data and set
Fixed, fo be crop organ's o spread functions, and Q () is the biomass increment of different growth periods, and No () is organ o number, j
For the organ o growth age, k is subscript, and crop organ o generally includes blade b, internode e and fruit f.GreenLab models belong to
Common plant function structural model, as space is limited, the more details on GreenLab models repeat no more.
It is it should be noted that slightly different for different industrial crops, the calculating object of crop yield amount.Such as
Tomato crop, we are concerned with the yield of tamato fruit, then its single rate calculation formula is:
For romaine lettuce, concern is primarily with the blade of romaine lettuce, then its single rate calculation formula to be for we:
Particular embodiments described above, the purpose of the present invention, technical scheme and beneficial effect are carried out further in detail
Describe in detail it is bright, should be understood that the foregoing is only the present invention specific embodiment, be not intended to limit the invention, it is all
Within the spirit and principles in the present invention, any modification, equivalent substitution and improvements done etc., it should be included in the guarantor of the present invention
Within the scope of shield.
Claims (6)
- A kind of 1. crop yield amount Forecasting Methodology that knowledge based and data drive jointly, it is characterised in that this method include with Lower step:Step 1, crop yield amount productive potentialities submodel is built using the method based on data-driven, it is expressed as:E=fd(x,θd),Wherein, fd() represents the method based on data-driven, and x is the environmental data of input, and E is crop under corresponding environmental condition The productive potentialities of single rate, θdFor submodel E parameter;Step 2, the crop yield quantum model of knowledge based driving, its table are obtained using the crop modeling of Kernel-based methods, structure It is shown as:Y=fk(E,θk),Wherein, fk() represents the crop modeling of Kernel-based methods, θkFor submodel y parameter, i.e., in crop mechanism parameter;Step 3, the per unit area yield quantum model y of the crop obtained using regional historical environmental data and the step 2, identification obtain institute State the model parameter θ of the crop yield amount productive potentialities submodel based on data-drivendWith the crop of knowledge based driving The model parameter θ of per unit area yield quantum modelk, with the meteorological data according to certain following region come to the progress of the single rate of the area crops Prediction;Wherein, the crop yield quantum based on plant function structural model or the structure knowledge based driving of garden crop universal model Model;In the plant function structural model, the biomass increment Q (i) of i-th of growth cycle is expressed as:<mrow> <mi>Q</mi> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>i</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>=</mo> <mi>E</mi> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>i</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>&CenterDot;</mo> <mi>r</mi> <mo>&CenterDot;</mo> <mi>S</mi> <mi>p</mi> <mo>{</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>-</mo> <mi>exp</mi> <mo>&lsqb;</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mfrac> <mrow> <mi>S</mi> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>i</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow> <mrow> <mi>S</mi> <mi>p</mi> </mrow> </mfrac> <mo>&rsqb;</mo> <mo>}</mo> <mo>,</mo> </mrow>Wherein, E (i) is that i-th of growth cycle crop yield amount productive potentialities, r and Sp under the cycle weather circumstance condition are The mechanism parameter that inherence is grown, S (i) are the total leaf area of the crop of i-th of growth cycle;For growth cycle i, the biomass table of Different Crop organ o accumulations is shown as:<mrow> <msub> <mi>q</mi> <mi>o</mi> </msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>i</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>=</mo> <munder> <mo>&Sigma;</mo> <mi>j</mi> </munder> <munderover> <mo>&Sigma;</mo> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>j</mi> </munderover> <msub> <mi>P</mi> <mi>o</mi> </msub> <msub> <mi>f</mi> <mi>o</mi> </msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mfrac> <mrow> <mi>Q</mi> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>i</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mi>j</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow> <mrow> <munder> <mo>&Sigma;</mo> <mi>o</mi> </munder> <munderover> <mo>&Sigma;</mo> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mi>j</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </munderover> <msub> <mi>N</mi> <mi>o</mi> </msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>i</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mi>j</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>,</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <msub> <mi>P</mi> <mi>o</mi> </msub> <msub> <mi>f</mi> <mi>o</mi> </msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>i</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mi>j</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow> </mfrac> <mo>,</mo> </mrow> Wherein, PoFor the relative of crop organ o The strong parameter in storehouse, foFor crop organ's o spread functions, Q () is the biomass increment of different growth periods, NoThat () is organ o Number, j are the organ o growth age, and k is subscript.
- 2. according to the method for claim 1, it is characterised in that the environmental data includes but is not limited to meteorological data.
- 3. according to the method for claim 1, it is characterised in that in the step 3, recognize to obtain base using gradient descent method In the model parameter θ of the crop yield amount productive potentialities submodel of data-drivendWith the crop yield quantum of knowledge based driving The model parameter θ of modelk。
- 4. according to the method for claim 1, it is characterised in that based on radial basis function neural network RBFN structures based on number According to the crop yield amount productive potentialities submodel of driving.
- 5. according to the method for claim 4, it is characterised in that build what is obtained based on radial basis function neural network RBFN Crop yield amount productive potentialities submodel based on data-driven is represented by:E=fd(x,θd)=Φ (x) θd,Wherein, θdFor RBFN weighting parameter, Φ (x)=[φ1(x),φ2(x),…,φh(x)] it is RBF, and
- 6. according to the method for claim 1, it is characterised in that the crop organ o includes but is not limited to blade b, internode e With fruit f.
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