CN103730005A - Method and system for predicting journey running time - Google Patents

Method and system for predicting journey running time Download PDF

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CN103730005A
CN103730005A CN201410027120.0A CN201410027120A CN103730005A CN 103730005 A CN103730005 A CN 103730005A CN 201410027120 A CN201410027120 A CN 201410027120A CN 103730005 A CN103730005 A CN 103730005A
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speed
traffic
running time
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CN103730005B (en
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许飞龙
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Guangdong Oppo Mobile Telecommunications Corp Ltd
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Guangdong Oppo Mobile Telecommunications Corp Ltd
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Abstract

The invention discloses a method for predicting journey running time. The method comprises the steps of presetting a running speed Vset and a running route, and enabling the total distance of the running route to be Z km; equally dividing the running route into n sections, and enabling the position of a target vehicle to be a first section of the running route; obtaining a current running speed V of the target vehicle and an average running speed of vehicles in other sections, and if no running vehicle is in the corresponding sections, setting the running speed of the corresponding sections as the preset running speed Vset; calculating total time Sn needed for running for the journey by the equation that Sn=T1+T2+...+Tn, wherein meeting the equation that T1=Z/(n*V), and meeting the equation Tn=Z/(n*Vn). According to the method, by obtaining information such as the running speed on the running route, time prediction accuracy is effectively improved, and user experience is greatly improved.

Description

A kind of Forecasting Methodology of distance running time and system
Technical field
?the present invention relates to a kind of Forecasting Methodology and system, specifically automobile Forecasting Methodology and the system of needed time of travelling in a certain section of distance.
Background technology
along with society and expanding economy, the raising of people's life, most of family all has an Automobile, for trip has at ordinary times brought convenience.Along with the increase of automobile pollution, during much highways, or even expressway all often there will be situation, the especially festivals or holidays of traffic congestion, situation is more severe.Due to situation about blocking up on road, cause people often to waste a large amount of time on the way, and owing to can not obtaining in advance the running time of corresponding distance, make the arrival destination that people can not be punctual, to people, brought inconvenience.
Summary of the invention
The technical problem to be solved in the present invention is to provide a kind of Forecasting Methodology and system of distance running time, effectively promotes the precision of predicted time, promotes greatly user and experiences.
On the one hand, the invention provides a kind of Forecasting Methodology of distance running time, comprise the following steps:
Default road speed V setand traffic route, the total kilometrage of this traffic route is Z km;
Traffic route is on average divided into n section, target carriage position is this traffic route the 1st section;
Obtain the current driving speed V of target carriage, and the average overall travel speed of the car in other segmentations, if there is no driving vehicle in corresponding segment, the travel speed of this corresponding segments is default road speed V set;
Calculating this section of needed T.T. S of distance that travel n=T 1+ T 2+ ... + T n, wherein T 1=Z/ (n*V), T n=Z/ (n*Vn).
Described method also comprises: default traffic congestion time T setif the actual travel speed in a certain segmentation of target carriage is less than 10 km/H,, in traffic congestion state, works as T nduring >Z/ (n*10), by T nvalue be made as Z/ (n*10).
Described method also comprises: if T n> T set, by T nvalue be made as T set.
Described method also comprises: each section that traffic route is divided has traffic capacity μ, this μ=V/V setif, μ > 1, μ assignment is 1.
On the other hand, the present invention also provides a kind of prognoses system of distance running time, comprises setting unit, for Offered target road speed.Traffic route and traffic congestion time; Division unit, for being divided into traffic route n section; Computing unit, travels the needed time of corresponding distance for calculating.
The present invention, by travel route being divided into n segmentation, obtains the travel speed of each segmentation, effectively promotes the precision of predicted time, promotes greatly user and experiences.
Accompanying drawing explanation
Accompanying drawing 1 is schematic flow sheet of the present invention.
Embodiment
For the ease of those skilled in the art's understanding, below in conjunction with accompanying drawing, the invention will be further described.
As shown in Figure 1, the present invention has disclosed a kind of Forecasting Methodology of distance running time, comprises the following steps:
S1, default road speed V setand traffic route, the total kilometrage of this traffic route is Z km.Can be by Offered target road speed V on mobile phone terminal setand traffic route, user can arrange according to type of vehicle, driving custom, as to pre-set road speed be 100km/H.Mobile phone terminal is by these information reportings that arrange to server, and server carries out registration process after receiving these information.
S2, is on average divided into n section by traffic route, target carriage position is this traffic route the 1st section.
S3, obtains the current driving speed V of target carriage, and the average overall travel speed of the car in other segmentations, if there is no driving vehicle in corresponding segment, the travel speed of this corresponding segments is default road speed V set.Current driving speed is reported to server, and the mobile phone terminal in each segmentation can be by information reporting to server, server is processed according to the information receiving.If there are multiple driving vehicle reporting informations in some segmentations, get the mean value of its speed as the current driving speed in this section.In each segmentation, all can possess driving traffic capacity μ, this μ=V/V setif, μ > 1, μ assignment is 1, as target line vehicle speed V setfor 100km/H, current actual travel speed is 20km/H, μ=0.2, and the traffic capacity is lower, and the road speed in this section, surface can be comparatively slow, can allow user have a clear and intuitive understanding.
S4, calculates this section of needed T.T. S of distance that travel n=T 1+ T 2+ ... + T n, wherein T 1=Z/ (n*V), T n=Z/ (n*Vn).According to the road speed in each segmentation of obtaining, can calculate current period expert and finish this distance needed prediction T.T..
Described method also comprises: default traffic congestion time T set, this traffic congestion time can be set according to driving experience at ordinary times, as is made as 0.5 hour, or other.If the actual travel speed in a certain segmentation of target carriage is less than 10 km/H,, in traffic congestion state, work as T nduring >Z/ (n*10), by T nvalue be made as Z/ (n*10), when the actual speed of driving a vehicle is less than 10 km/H, all treating as road speed is 10 km/H.
Described method also comprises: if T n> T set, by T nvalue be made as T set.In a certain segmentation of dividing, if the running time calculating is greater than the traffic congestion time, the running time of visiting segmentation is counted to the traffic congestion time.
Described method also comprises: each section that traffic route is divided has traffic capacity μ, this μ=V/V setif, μ > 1, μ assignment is 1, by the traffic capacity, can be found out, μ value is higher, shows that the traffic capacity is higher, illustrates that road up train is more smooth and easy; μ value is lower, shows that the traffic capacity is lower, illustrates that road up train is not very smooth and easy, and vehicle is more.
In addition, correction factor also can be set, the road speed in a certain segmentation be revised to Vn=V set* β n, according to current location, apart from prediction between the n of section, need running time S n-1and the traffic capacity μ of section n nproofread and correct V n.Work as S n-1>=T settime, β n=1, thinking travels has removed in the traffic congestion situation of n section before arriving n section, can use the travel speed that pre-sets of mobile phone terminal self while driving to n section.Work as S n-1< T settime, β n=(T set-S n-1)/T set+ S n-1/ T set,, as the running time S apart from section n n-1approach at 0 o'clock, correction factor=μ n; And at 0 < S n-1< T setbetween, progressively reduce μ non the impact of correction factor.If calculate
Figure 2014100271200100002DEST_PATH_IMAGE002
,
Figure 2014100271200100002DEST_PATH_IMAGE004
.For T 1, T 2t nif, the running time > T of a certain segmentation set, assignment is T set.
On the other hand, the present invention also provides a kind of prognoses system of distance running time, comprises setting unit, for Offered target road speed.Traffic route and traffic congestion time; Division unit, for being divided into traffic route n section; Computing unit, travels the needed time of corresponding distance for calculating.

Claims (6)

1. a Forecasting Methodology for distance running time, comprises the following steps:
Default road speed V setand traffic route, the total kilometrage of this traffic route is Z km;
Traffic route is on average divided into n section, target carriage position is this traffic route the 1st section;
Obtain the current driving speed V of target carriage, and the average overall travel speed of the car in other segmentations, if there is no driving vehicle in corresponding segment, the travel speed of this corresponding segments is default road speed V set;
Calculating this section of needed T.T. S of distance that travel n=T 1+ T 2+ ... + T n, wherein T 1=Z/ (n*V), T n=Z/ (n*Vn).
2. the Forecasting Methodology of distance running time according to claim 1, is characterized in that, described method also comprises: default traffic congestion time T setif the actual travel speed in a certain segmentation of target carriage is less than 10 km/H,, in traffic congestion state, works as T nduring >Z/ (n*10), by T nvalue be made as Z/ (n*10).
3. the Forecasting Methodology of distance running time according to claim 2, is characterized in that, described method also comprises: if T n> T set, by T nvalue be made as T set.
4. the Forecasting Methodology of distance running time according to claim 3, is characterized in that, described method also comprises: each section that traffic route is divided has traffic capacity μ, this μ=V/V setif, μ > 1, μ assignment is 1.
5. a prognoses system for distance running time, is characterized in that, described system comprises setting unit, for Offered target road speed.
6. traffic route and the traffic congestion time; Division unit, for being divided into traffic route n section; Computing unit, travels the needed time of corresponding distance for calculating.
CN201410027120.0A 2014-01-22 2014-01-22 Method and system for predicting journey running time Expired - Fee Related CN103730005B (en)

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CN111681414A (en) * 2020-04-30 2020-09-18 安徽科力信息产业有限责任公司 Method and device for evaluating and predicting time precision required by vehicle to pass signal lamp intersection
CN111681413A (en) * 2020-04-30 2020-09-18 安徽科力信息产业有限责任公司 Method and device for predicting crossing time of motor vehicle passing signal lamp in real time
CN111681415A (en) * 2020-04-30 2020-09-18 安徽科力信息产业有限责任公司 Method and system for predicting number of motor vehicles on expressway in real time
CN112639904A (en) * 2018-09-06 2021-04-09 本田技研工业株式会社 Route subdividing device
CN113538908A (en) * 2021-07-09 2021-10-22 大连海事大学 Road condition partition system based on combined characteristic parameters
CN113538907A (en) * 2021-07-09 2021-10-22 大连海事大学 Traffic flow classification-based driving time estimation system

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CN109817010B (en) * 2017-11-20 2020-11-10 北京嘀嘀无限科技发展有限公司 ETA (extract transform and extract) estimation method and device based on network and statistical model

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CN102298839A (en) * 2011-07-12 2011-12-28 北京世纪高通科技有限公司 Method and device for computing OD travel time

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Cited By (10)

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CN112639904A (en) * 2018-09-06 2021-04-09 本田技研工业株式会社 Route subdividing device
CN112639904B (en) * 2018-09-06 2022-10-11 本田技研工业株式会社 Route subdividing device
CN111681414A (en) * 2020-04-30 2020-09-18 安徽科力信息产业有限责任公司 Method and device for evaluating and predicting time precision required by vehicle to pass signal lamp intersection
CN111681413A (en) * 2020-04-30 2020-09-18 安徽科力信息产业有限责任公司 Method and device for predicting crossing time of motor vehicle passing signal lamp in real time
CN111681415A (en) * 2020-04-30 2020-09-18 安徽科力信息产业有限责任公司 Method and system for predicting number of motor vehicles on expressway in real time
CN111681414B (en) * 2020-04-30 2021-12-03 安徽科力信息产业有限责任公司 Method and device for evaluating and predicting time precision required by vehicle to pass signal lamp intersection
CN113538908A (en) * 2021-07-09 2021-10-22 大连海事大学 Road condition partition system based on combined characteristic parameters
CN113538907A (en) * 2021-07-09 2021-10-22 大连海事大学 Traffic flow classification-based driving time estimation system
CN113538907B (en) * 2021-07-09 2022-05-03 大连海事大学 Traffic flow classification-based driving time estimation system
CN113538908B (en) * 2021-07-09 2022-05-17 大连海事大学 Road condition partition system based on combined characteristic parameters

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