CN103177187A - Highway tunnel health status dynamic evaluation method based on variable fuzzy set theory - Google Patents
Highway tunnel health status dynamic evaluation method based on variable fuzzy set theory Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The invention discloses a highway tunnel health status dynamic evaluation method based on the variable fuzzy set theory. The method comprises the steps of constructing a highway tunnel health status evaluation index system with lining fissures, lining strength, lining thickness, corrosion of reinforcement, lining deformation, back cavities, pavement distress, harmful gas and lighting distress as evaluation indexes as well as the qualitative and quantitative criterion of the evaluation grade and each evaluation index of highway health status; and through repeated and regular detection of the highway tunnel evaluation indexes by a tunnel diagnosis and fast repairing integrated car and based on the variable fuzzy set theory, determining highway tunnel detection node health status values and the health status deteriorating speed mean value and establishing a highway tunnel health status dynamic evaluation model by means of repeated detection data of the highway tunnel health status evaluation indexes and the criterion of the evaluation grade and each evaluation index of the highway health status. The highway tunnel health status dynamic evaluation method based on the variable fuzzy set theory not only achieves objective evaluation of the highway tunnel health status, but also can be used for dynamic prediction of the highway tunnel health status.
Description
Technical field
The invention belongs to highway health status assessment technique field, be specifically related to a kind of based on variable fuzzy sets theory to runing the dynamic evaluation method of vcehicular tunnel health status.
Background technology
Evaluation and the prediction of the vcehicular tunnel health status being carried out to the system of science are the prerequisites of vcehicular tunnel disease management correct decisions.There is defect in domestic existing vcehicular tunnel health status evaluation method at present: 1) evaluation index is selected inadequate science, and between evaluation index, independence is poor, has certain relevance; 2) do not have predictability, existing vcehicular tunnel health status evaluation method does not generally have forecast function, and the prediction that tunnel defect is developed also rests on the experience aspect.Therefore, extremely urgent to the research of vcehicular tunnel health status dynamic evaluation method.
Summary of the invention
The present invention is to provide a kind of vcehicular tunnel based on variable fuzzy sets theory healthy dynamic evaluation method in purpose, be intended to solve current vcehicular tunnel health status evaluation method science not on evaluation index is selected, the poor and technical matters that do not there is predictability of independence between evaluation index.
The present invention is achieved in that the healthy dynamic evaluation method of a kind of vcehicular tunnel based on variable fuzzy sets theory, comprises the following steps:
1) set up the vcehicular tunnel health status assessment indicator system of system, set up the qualitative of highway health status opinion rating and each evaluation index and quantitative judgement standard:
(1) to vcehicular tunnel health status A, reject the Tunnel Water Leakage, freeze injury, the lining cutting aliquation that do not there is independence in existing highway tunnel health status assessment indicator system, peel off evaluation index, retain Lining Crack A
1, strength of lining A
2, lining thickness A
3, steel bar corrosion A
4, lining deformation A
5, lining cutting back cavity A
6evaluation index, add pavement disease A
7, harmful gas A
8with illumination disease A
9evaluation index, as the rule layer index, forms described vcehicular tunnel health status assessment indicator system;
In this system, described Lining Crack A
1the indicator layer evaluation index be fracture length A
11, fracture width A
12, penetration of fracture A
13; Strength of lining A
2the indicator layer evaluation index be region area A
21with intensity rate A
22; Lining thickness A
3the indicator layer evaluation index be region area A
31with thickness ratio A
32; Steel bar corrosion A
4the indicator layer evaluation index be mechanical property A
41with sectional area ratio A
42; Lining deformation A
5the indicator layer evaluation index be deflection A
51with deformation velocity A
52; Back cavity A
6the indicator layer evaluation index for radially extending A
61with A extending longitudinally
62; Pavement disease A
7the indicator layer evaluation index be friction factor A
71, cracking rate A
72with surface deformation A
73; Harmful gas A
8the indicator layer evaluation index be CO concentration A
81with smokescope A
82; Illumination disease A
9the indicator layer evaluation index be brightness A
91;
(2) set up the qualitative and quantitative criterion of highway health status opinion rating and described evaluation index;
2) set up the vcehicular tunnel health status dynamic evaluation model with forecast function:
(1) the vcehicular tunnel evaluation index of diagnosing and repairing fast integrated car to comprise described vcehicular tunnel health status assessment indicator system by tunnel at least detects three times, and detecting frequency is 1 year;
(2) based on variable fuzzy sets theory, with tunnel diagnosis and repair fast the detection node health status value that the each detected vcehicular tunnel evaluation index data evaluation of integrated car goes out vcehicular tunnel, and the vcehicular tunnel health status value ω estimated out when detecting for the first time
0as tunnel initial health value;
(3) the vcehicular tunnel health status value of estimating out during with each the detection is determined vcehicular tunnel health status year speed of worsening average v;
(4) by described vcehicular tunnel health status value ω
0with year speed of worsening average v, set up ω=ω
0the vcehicular tunnel health status dynamic evaluation model of+vt type, the forecast function of implementation model.
Condition when the present invention diagnoses and repair fast integrated car to comprise described vcehicular tunnel health status assessment indicator system vcehicular tunnel evaluation index by tunnel detects at every turn is, carrying out in identical month of complete man-hour of vcehicular tunnel agent structure, and the temperature while detecting, humidity approach, and do not have Sudden Natural Disasters to occur.
Described based on variable fuzzy sets theory, with tunnel diagnosis and repair fast the each detected vcehicular tunnel evaluation index data evaluation of integrated car to go out the method for health status value of vcehicular tunnel detection node as follows:
According to the characteristics of each evaluation index weight in described vcehicular tunnel health status assessment indicator system, adopt the product scaling law to determine the weight of indicator layer index; According to weight and the sample data of described indicator layer index, determine the weight of rule layer index;
Adopt the relative different function of Set Pair Analysis Method structure variable fuzzy sets theory, determine the Relative Subordinate Function of vcehicular tunnel health status evaluation index in level interval;
Utilize described weight and relative membership degree and function, the vcehicular tunnel health status is estimated according to the qualitative of described evaluation index and quantitative judgement standard and the described highway health status opinion rating determined by the order of rule layer after first indicator layer, obtained the health status value of described vcehicular tunnel detection node.
The present invention is by above technical scheme, realized that performance prediction is estimated the vcehicular tunnel health status scientifically and rationally, solved current vcehicular tunnel health status evaluation method science not on evaluation index is selected, between evaluation index, independence is poor and do not have a predictability.
The accompanying drawing explanation
The process flow diagram of the healthy dynamic evaluation method of vcehicular tunnel based on variable fuzzy sets theory that Fig. 1 provides for the embodiment of the present invention;
The system figure of the vcehicular tunnel health status assessment indicator system that Fig. 2 provides for the embodiment of the present invention;
The division schematic diagram of the segment length's of unit that Fig. 3 provides for the embodiment of the present invention vcehicular tunnel;
The division of the segment length's of unit that Fig. 4 provides for the embodiment of the present invention vcehicular tunnel and detect schematic diagram.
Embodiment
Below, in conjunction with example, substantive distinguishing features of the present invention and advantage are further described, but the present invention is not limited to listed embodiment.
Shown in Figure 1, the step of the healthy dynamic evaluation method of the described vcehicular tunnel based on variable fuzzy sets theory of the embodiment of the present invention is as follows:
1, set up the vcehicular tunnel health status assessment indicator system of system, the criterion of setting up highway health status opinion rating and each evaluation index, comprise qualitative and quantitative criterion;
(1) on the existing Research foundation of the tunnel defect origin cause of formation, from the angle of the whole section of vcehicular tunnel, studied, formation mechanism and the characteristics of the detailed all tunnel defects of summarizes, research and analyse relevance and independence between various diseases, according to determining: in vcehicular tunnel health status assessment indicator system, for vcehicular tunnel health status A, the Damage Types such as reject Tunnel Water Leakage, freeze injury, the lining cutting aliquation do not have independence, peel off, with Lining Crack A
1, strength of lining A
2, lining thickness A
3, steel bar corrosion A
4, lining deformation A
5, lining cutting back cavity A
6, pavement disease A
7, harmful gas A
8with illumination disease A
9deng the rule layer as appraisement system, set up new vcehicular tunnel health status assessment indicator system.
In the embodiment of the present invention, described vcehicular tunnel health status assessment indicator system is shown in Figure 2.
In this system, Lining Crack A
1the indicator layer evaluation index be fracture length A
11, fracture width A
12, penetration of fracture A
13; Strength of lining A
2the indicator layer evaluation index be region area A
21with intensity rate A
22; Lining thickness A
3the indicator layer evaluation index be region area A
31with thickness ratio A
32; Steel bar corrosion A
4the indicator layer evaluation index be mechanical property A
41with sectional area ratio A
42; Lining deformation A
5the indicator layer evaluation index be deflection A
51with deformation velocity A
52; Back cavity A
6the indicator layer evaluation index for radially extending A
61with A extending longitudinally
62; Pavement disease A
7the indicator layer evaluation index be friction factor A
71, cracking rate A
72with surface deformation A
73; Harmful gas A
8the indicator layer evaluation index be CO concentration A
81with smokescope A
82; Illumination disease A
9the indicator layer evaluation index be brightness A
91.
(2) set up the qualitative and quantitative criterion of highway health status opinion rating and described evaluation index; Comprise the criterion of the evaluation index of described rule layer and indicator layer;
In the embodiment of the present invention, the division of described highway health status grade is on the basis of analyzing domestic and international existing tunnel Health Category division methods, select the level Four division methods, and take China's " highway tunnel maintenance technical manual " (JTG H12-2003) specialized and check what conclusion was divided as basis.
In the embodiment of the present invention, the vcehicular tunnel health status divides into: healthy (B level), inferior health (1A level), disease (2A level), (3A level) level Four of being critically ill; Add " structure is without breakage " this content in the inspection conclusion of healthy (B level), shown in table a specific as follows simultaneously.
Table a vcehicular tunnel health status grade
In the embodiment of the present invention, criterion present Research in conjunction with vcehicular tunnel health status evaluation index, determine the evaluation criterion of the indicator layer evaluation index of the rule layers such as Lining Crack, strength of lining, lining thickness, steel bar corrosion, lining deformation, back cavity, pavement disease, harmful gas and illumination in described assessment indicator system, concrete evaluation criterion is as shown in following table b.
Table b vcehicular tunnel health indicator grade evaluation standard
Annotate: 1, the SFC coefficient is cornering ratio;
2, cracking rate refers to that the area of pavement crack accounts for the ratio of the road surface total area in tunnel, and crack comprises check crack and wall scroll crack, for the wall scroll crack, below length 1m, stitch below wide 1mm, the crack that degree of depth 5mm is following, its quantity is multiplied by 0.1m by single seam cumulative length; Length 1m is above or stitch the crack that wide 1mm is above or degree of depth 5mm is above, and its quantity is multiplied by 0.2m by single seam cumulative length.
Because tunnel is divided into three parts such as entrance (outlet section), transition section, interlude according to the needs of tunnel intraoral illumination.There is different requirements at different position, tunnel to tunnel illumination, so the evaluation criterion of tunnel illumination should be divided into three parts according to different parts.Because illumination has following concept: (1) luminous flux: what refer to that light source sends within the unit interval can be by the big or small Φ (lm) of the radiation energy of Human Perception; (2) light intensity: the size of luminous flux in unit solid angle
(3) illumination: the area density that is shone the place luminous flux
(4) brightness: the big or small L=ρ E/ π (cd/m of light intensity on unit area
2) (nit); L=E/C; Concrete C=13; Pitch C=22.In conjunction with digital luxmeter in actual testing be widely used and " highway tunnel ventilation Lighting Design standard " (JTJ026.1-1999) in about luminance standard be widely used and illumination and brightness between the formulism changed, select unique evaluation index that brightness is the tunnel illumination rule layer.
Table c brightness evaluation criterion
2, set up the vcehicular tunnel health status dynamic evaluation model with forecast function
(1) diagnose by tunnel and repair fast integrated car the tunnel defect index is detected at least three times, detecting frequency is 1 year.In the embodiment of the present invention, take and detect three times and describe as example, each detection need to be the carrying out of tunnel agent structure complete man-hour in identical month, and the time interval is 1 year, and temperature, humidity while requiring to detect approaches, and there is no sudden disaster and occur.
The diagnosis of described tunnel and the integrated car of quick reparation are got on the bus and are loaded with geological radar, laser tunnel cross-section instrument, reisilometer, carbonation depth analyzer, reinforcement location detection instrument, crack observer, generator, air compressor machine, grouting pump, mixing plant, polyurethane spray automatic doubler surface glouer, rig, miniature electric high-pressure grout injector, hand-held cutting equipment, small-bore drilling machine etc.Wherein said geological radar, laser tunnel cross-section instrument, reisilometer, carbonation depth analyzer, reinforcement location detection instrument, crack observer can be respectively to tunnel health status evaluation index, as Lining Crack, strength of lining, lining thickness etc. are detected, thereby can fast, repeatedly realize the high quality detection to the vcehicular tunnel evaluation index.
(2) based on variable fuzzy sets theory, with tunnel diagnosis and repair fast the detection node health status value that the each detected vcehicular tunnel evaluation index data evaluation of integrated car goes out vcehicular tunnel, and the vcehicular tunnel health status value ω estimated out when detecting for the first time
0as tunnel initial health value;
(3) the vcehicular tunnel health status value of estimating out during with each the detection is determined vcehicular tunnel health status year speed of worsening average v;
In the embodiment of the present invention, based on variable fuzzy sets theory, with tunnel diagnosis and repair fast the each detected vcehicular tunnel evaluation index data evaluation of integrated car to go out the method for health status value of vcehicular tunnel detection node as follows:
At first A studies the characteristics of the weight of each evaluation index in vcehicular tunnel health status assessment indicator system, adopts the product scaling law to determine the weight of indicator layer index, according to weight and the sample data of described indicator layer index, determines the weight of rule layer index;
The product scaling law is to take analytical hierarchy process as basis, in twos relatively time of diagnosis assessment of bids importance, first do not divide too much grade, and two grades only are set, be importance " identical (1:1) " or " a little large (1.354:1) " of diagnosis index M and N, the achievement of then being gone forward one by one the based on this analysis of going forward one by one.Judge the weight of index: fracture length ω with Lining Crack
11, fracture width ω
12, penetration of fracture ω
13for example describes.The length in crack is identical with width importance, and ω is arranged
11: ω
12=1:1; And the degree of depth in crack is being not so good as length and the width in crack aspect the condition of reflection crack, crannied length and width are larger a little than the penetration of fracture aspect importance, i.e. ω
11: ω
12: ω
13=1.354:1.354:1; The weight of 3 of Lining Crack indexs is ω
11: ω
12: ω
13=0.365:0.365:0.270; Simultaneously, in conjunction with the feature of each rule layer of evaluation index, the optimal weights of determining each rule layer is ω
1: ω
2: ω
3: ω
4: ω
5: ω
6: ω
7: ω
8: ω
9=0.205:0.150:0.120:0.100:0.150:0.100:0.075:0.050:0.050.
The application of B research variable fuzzy sets theory in vcehicular tunnel health status evaluation method, adopt the relative different function of Set Pair Analysis Method structure variable fuzzy sets theory, rationally determine the Relative Subordinate Function of tunnel health status evaluation index in each rank criterion interval.
Variable fuzzy set model in variable fuzzy sets theory is:
In formula: α is the model optimization criteria parameter, and p is distance parameter, d
g, d
bbe respectively the relative degree of membership with reference to continuum any point index i eigenwert
with
with left and right some generalized weighted distance.Under normal conditions, the α in model and p can have combination in following 4:
According to known c(c=4) other evaluation criterion structure standard interval matrix of individual level I
abwith change interval matrix I
cdsimultaneously according to the feature to index i, determine the Metzler matrix of index i rank h, determine the relative degree of membership matrix of index i rank h with the relative different function formula of variable fuzzy sets theory, thereby utilize formula in variable fuzzy set model to obtain the comprehensive relative membership degree and function of index i rank h.
C utilizes the weight of described relative membership degree and function and index, order by rule layer after first indicator layer, according to the qualitative of described evaluation index and quantitative judgement standard, and the described highway health status opinion rating of determining estimated the vcehicular tunnel health status, obtain the health status value of described vcehicular tunnel detection node;
Because vcehicular tunnel health status assessment indicator system is three layers of index system, so evaluation procedure adopts the two-stage pattern to carry out.
That is,, first from indicator layer, first select weighted average model (Ω * R'=R, matrix multiple, Ω means weight vectors, and R' means single factor evaluation matrix) each index of rule layer is carried out to the one-level fuzzy overall evaluation, obtain each rule layer index to comment set V(V={v
1, v
2, v
3, v
4, v
1, v
2, v
3, v
4mean respectively Health Category B, 1A, 2A, 3A) Membership Vestor R; By the one-level fuzzy overall evaluation as a result R be considered as the simple element evaluation collection and corresponding weight Ω ' multiplies each other (Ω ' be the weight of each rule layer index to comment set V), carry out Secondary Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation, obtain the Membership Vestor Z of destination layer to the comment set.Simultaneously, in conjunction with fuzzy vector uniformization and vcehicular tunnel Health Category table, can obtain the health value of evaluation object, shown in d.
Described fuzzy vector uniformization formula is as follows, (gives respectively comment v
1, v
2, v
3, v
4tax is with 4,3,2,1):
Table d vcehicular tunnel Health Category table
| Grade | Health status | Health value |
| B | Structure is without the damaged or slight breakage of existence | 3.5～4.0 |
| 1A | Structure exists certain damaged | 2.5～3.5 |
| 2A | Structure exists than serious damage | 1.5～2.5 |
| 3A | There is serious damage in structure | 1.0～1.5 |
In order to upper method, the disease value of repeated detection is estimated, the health value of vcehicular tunnel in the time of can drawing respectively each detect, and can obtain 1 year inner tunnel health status speed of worsening average v according to the changing value of the health value of described vcehicular tunnel health status;
(4) the healthy original state index in tunnel ω by road
0set up " ω=ω with year health status speed of worsening v
0+ vt " the vcehicular tunnel health status dynamic evaluation model of type, the measurable function of implementation model.
When concrete utilization the present invention carries out actual evaluation, in the testing process each time of using tunnel diagnosis and the integrated car of quick reparation to carry out vcehicular tunnel, vcehicular tunnel is carried out to the gridding processing, abandon the practice that vcehicular tunnel health status evaluation segment length divides by mileage number in the past, be 5 meters or 10 meters by the segment length and carry out refinement, Portal Section and the barrel section health status in tunnel are separately estimated simultaneously.Shown in Figure 3, the segment length's of unit tunnel forms and is divided into six parts---vault 1, right haunch 2, right-side wall 3, left haunch 4, left side wall 5 and inverted arch 6 by tunnel structure.The segment length's of unit vcehicular tunnel is divided and evaluation index B
ij(i=1,2,3,4,5,6; J=1,2,3,4) detection explanation, as shown in Figure 4, B wherein
ij(i=1,2,3,4,5,6; J=1,2,3,4) be illustrated in the i position and carry out the data that j kind evaluation index detects gained.
In an evaluation procedure, use the tunnel diagnosis and repair fast the Lining Crack B of integrated car to five positions such as the segment length of unit vcehicular tunnel vault 1, right haunch 2, right-side wall 3, left haunch 4, left side walls 5
ij(j=1), strength of lining B
ij(j=2), lining thickness B
ij(j=3), steel bar corrosion B
ijetc. (j=4) evaluation index detects, and the disease that obtains described five positions detects data; Evaluation index for inverted arch 6 detects, due to the Lining Crack B to inverted arch 6
61, strength of lining B
62, lining thickness B
63, steel bar corrosion B
64testing etc. evaluation index does not have operability, i.e. B
61=B
62=B
63=B
64=0, therefore in practical operation, be equivalent to the detection of road pavement disease evaluation index.Importance in tunnel, five positions health status evaluations such as integrating tunnel vault 1, right haunch 2, right-side wall 3, left haunch 4, left side wall 5, use the product scaling law to obtain the weight γ of five parts such as tunnel vault 1, right haunch 2, right-side wall 3, left haunch 4, left side wall 5
1: γ
2: γ
3: γ
4: γ
5=0.280:0.210:0.150:0.210:0.150.Then, the disease at five positions such as described tunnel vault 1, right haunch 2, right-side wall 3, left haunch 4, left side wall 5 is detected to data B
1j, B
2j, B
3j, B
4j, B
5j(j=1, 2, 3, 4) with the multiplied by weight at its position, place, obtain the segment length of this unit tunnel about Lining Crack, strength of lining, lining thickness, the detection data of the evaluation indexes such as steel bar corrosion, add the segment length of this unit tunnel about lining deformation, back cavity, pavement disease, harmful gas, the evaluation indexes such as illumination disease are detected resulting data, the comprehensive detection data that form all indicator layer evaluation indexes in the segment length of this unit tunnel, then according to the comprehensive detection data, the health status in the segment length of this unit tunnel is carried out to the two-stage fuzzy evaluation as stated above, obtain the health status value in the segment length of this unit tunnel, use this kind of method, obtain all segment lengths' of unit of whole piece vcehicular tunnel health status value.
In an evaluation procedure, according to the segmentation situation of Highway Tunnel Portal section and barrel section, obtain Highway Tunnel Portal section and each segment length's of barrel section weight ratio (ω with the product scaling law
hole: ω
barrel=1.833:1); Then multiply each other with Portal Section and each segment length's of barrel section health status value and its weighted value, thereby obtain the comprehensive health state value ω in whole piece tunnel.
By above method, just can obtain the repeatedly comprehensive health state value in whole piece tunnel, then utilize the healthy original state value of described vcehicular tunnel ω
0set up " ω=ω with year health status speed of worsening v
0+ vt " the vcehicular tunnel health status dynamic evaluation model of type, the measurable function of implementation model.
The present invention is by setting up new vcehicular tunnel health status assessment indicator system, then utilize the tunnel diagnosis and repair fast integrated car vcehicular tunnel health status evaluation index is detected, set up the vcehicular tunnel health status dynamic evaluation model with predictability based on variable fuzzy sets theory again, both can obtain the health status value of vcehicular tunnel, the development trend that measurable vcehicular tunnel health status worsens again, for the treatment decision-making of vcehicular tunnel disease provides foundation.
The above is only the preferred embodiment of the present invention; it should be pointed out that for those skilled in the art, under the premise without departing from the principles of the invention; can also make some improvements and modifications, these improvements and modifications also should be considered as protection scope of the present invention.
Claims (3)
1. a vcehicular tunnel health status dynamic evaluation method, is characterized in that, comprises the following steps:
1), set up system vcehicular tunnel health status assessment indicator system, set up the qualitative of highway health status opinion rating and each evaluation index and quantitative judgement standard:
(1) for vcehicular tunnel health status A, reject the Tunnel Water Leakage, freeze injury, the lining cutting aliquation that do not there is independence in existing highway tunnel health status assessment indicator system, peel off evaluation index, retain Lining Crack A
1, strength of lining A
2, lining thickness A
3, steel bar corrosion A
4, lining deformation A
5, lining cutting back cavity A
6evaluation index, add pavement disease A
7, harmful gas A
8with illumination disease A
9evaluation index, as the rule layer index, forms described vcehicular tunnel health status assessment indicator system;
In this system, described Lining Crack A
1the indicator layer evaluation index be fracture length A
11, fracture width A
12, penetration of fracture A
13; Strength of lining A
2the indicator layer evaluation index be region area A
21with intensity rate A
22; Lining thickness A
3the indicator layer evaluation index be region area A
31with thickness ratio A
32; Steel bar corrosion A
4the indicator layer evaluation index be mechanical property A
41with sectional area ratio A
42; Lining deformation A
5the indicator layer evaluation index be deflection A
51with deformation velocity A
52; Back cavity A
6the indicator layer evaluation index for radially extending A
61with A extending longitudinally
62; Pavement disease A
7the indicator layer evaluation index be friction factor A
71, cracking rate A
72with surface deformation A
73; Harmful gas A
8the indicator layer evaluation index be CO concentration A
81with smokescope A
82; Illumination disease A
9the indicator layer evaluation index be brightness A
91;
(2) set up the qualitative and quantitative criterion of highway health status opinion rating and described evaluation index;
2), set up the vcehicular tunnel health status dynamic evaluation model with forecast function
(1) the vcehicular tunnel evaluation index of diagnosing and repairing fast integrated car to comprise described vcehicular tunnel health status assessment indicator system by tunnel at least detects three times, and detecting frequency is 1 year;
(2) based on variable fuzzy sets theory, with tunnel diagnosis and repair fast the detection node health status value that the each detected vcehicular tunnel evaluation index data evaluation of integrated car goes out vcehicular tunnel, and the vcehicular tunnel health status value ω estimated out when detecting for the first time
0as tunnel initial health value;
(3) the vcehicular tunnel health status value of estimating out during with each the detection is determined vcehicular tunnel health status year speed of worsening average v;
(4) by described vcehicular tunnel health status value ω
0with year speed of worsening average v, set up ω=ω
0the vcehicular tunnel health status dynamic evaluation model of+vt type, the forecast function of implementation model.
2. vcehicular tunnel health status dynamic evaluation method according to claim 1, it is characterized in that, condition when the vcehicular tunnel evaluation index of by tunnel, diagnosing and repairing fast integrated car to comprise described vcehicular tunnel health status assessment indicator system detects at every turn is, carrying out in identical month of complete man-hour of vcehicular tunnel agent structure, and the temperature while detecting, humidity approach, and do not have Sudden Natural Disasters to occur.
3. vcehicular tunnel health status dynamic evaluation method according to claim 1, it is characterized in that, described based on variable fuzzy sets theory, with tunnel diagnosis and repair fast the each detected vcehicular tunnel evaluation index data evaluation of integrated car to go out the method for health status value of vcehicular tunnel detection node as follows:
According to the characteristics of each evaluation index weight in described vcehicular tunnel health status assessment indicator system, adopt the product scaling law to determine the weight of indicator layer index, according to weight and the sample data of described indicator layer index, determine the weight of rule layer index;
Adopt the relative different function of Set Pair Analysis Method structure variable fuzzy sets theory, determine the Relative Subordinate Function of vcehicular tunnel health status evaluation index in level interval;
Utilize described weight and relative membership degree and function, the vcehicular tunnel health status is estimated according to the qualitative of described evaluation index and quantitative judgement standard and the described highway health status opinion rating determined by the order of rule layer after first indicator layer, obtained the health status value of described vcehicular tunnel detection node.
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