CN101169805A

CN101169805A - Reservoir geological calamity evolution process dynamic tracking method

Info

Publication number: CN101169805A
Application number: CNA2007101950590A
Authority: CN
Inventors: 肖盛燮
Original assignee: Individual
Current assignee: Individual
Priority date: 2007-12-11
Filing date: 2007-12-11
Publication date: 2008-04-30
Anticipated expiration: 2027-12-11
Also published as: CN101169805B; WO2009074000A1

Abstract

The invention discloses a method for dynamically tracking geological hazard evolutionary process in a reservoir region, which comprises inputting various parameters acquired by tracking major geological hazards and tracking regulation, development and utilization of the geological hazards into a tracking database, performing integrated operation via geological hazard dynamic simulation and modeling software, and outputting a mathematical model and result for forecasting the geological hazards and evolutionary process thereof, so as to form a dynamic tracking method for the geological hazard evolutionary process. The invention tracks the whole evolutionary process of the geological hazards, and provides a guiding integrated management model and a tracking system for geological hazard macroscopic rules, geological hazard regulation effect, development and utilization profit, and geological hazard development trends. The invention discloses geological hazard evolutionary rules through dynamic simulation, network tracking and construction of the geological hazard tracking database and provides a geological hazard controlling strategy, so as to take effects in prevention and regulation of hazards, ecological protection, and retaining environment and safety in the reservoir region. The invention has high theoretical significance and application value.

Description

A kind of method of reservoir geological calamity evolution process dynamic tracking

Technical field

The present invention relates to a kind of method of reservoir geological calamity evolution process dynamic tracking.

Background technology

Along with the operation of building up and go into operation of the grand engineering in Three Gorges highly visible, will bear its huge mission by re-set target, respective country is thrown by stages that the huge fund immigrant relocates and reservoir geological calamity is administered early warning also obtain long-acting propelling with monitoring; But prospecting for diaster prevention and control, design, also there is not at present the Technical Follow-Up measure of relevant enforcement catastrophe deductive procedure and improvement usefulness between construction and each link of management, thereby lagged behind and declared knowledge to the active of disaster evolution process weak link regulation and control with to the system that administers after effect, current for hazard management, monitoring etc. has always just caused gazing at of people after disaster has appeared or taken place, therefore how more effectively going to control disaster in catastrophe initial stage or incubation period changes, or from the region, climate law develops and to cause feature that disaster the takes place pre-control disaster on the macroscopic view of starting with, and disaster is elapsed the sprouting stage or avoid the generation of disaster more and more to become an important problem.

Summary of the invention

The objective of the invention is: a kind of method of reservoir geological calamity evolution process dynamic tracking is provided, and this method provides early stage the debating of taking precautions against of geologic hazard to know feature and foundation, and disaster is controlled at bud; Follow the tracks of by the geologic hazard rule, the validity of initiatively administering disaster strategy is provided; The macroscopic view that causes the calamity rule by region, geographic entity and climatic revolution is familiar with, and makes up regionality and comprehensively takes precautions against natural calamities and pre-alarming system, to reduce disaster hidden danger and loss, for the integrated dynamic management of land resources provides intelligent decision.

The tracing object of the method for a kind of reservoir geological calamity evolution process dynamic tracking of the present invention comprises to the tracking of main geologic hazard with to administering and the tracking that develops.

The tracking of main geologic hazard comprises:

(1) tracking of rockfall evolution process

(2) tracking of landslide disaster

(3) tracking of mud-stone flow disaster

Administer with the tracking that develops and comprise:

(4) tracking of side slope stable state

(5) the coombe tracking of filling

(6) traffic and the incorporate tracking of taking precautions against natural calamities

(7) tracking of countermeasure is stablized in the falling zone

The present invention is by breeding embryonic character to catastrophe: the tracking, the collection that cause the calamity environmental factor, breed the catastrophe feature and breed index parameter, thus conclude and sum up the catastrophe sign and whether cause the knowledge of declaring of calamity;

By feature: cause the calamity inducement and tracking, the collection of the slippage parameter of bursting apart, thereby conclude and sum up the slump sign and whether possess the knowledge of declaring of destructive power to the catastrophe slump stage;

By tracking and collection to the features such as index parameter of catastrophe collapse state: and according to the level height of setting up defences, the resolution quality is advanced and to the assessment of stability, thereby conclude and sum up reliable markers and carry out the whether stable knowledge of declaring.

The present invention declares the knowledge problem from solving disaster development law feature, catastrophe process different scale parameter is coupled and causes the calamity condition and determines and standard control problem, the tolerance and the acquisition methods problem of disaster energy and the dynamics of destruction index, set about aspects such as the automatic handling problem of the interface of network trace and data, by being input to track database to the tracking of main geologic hazard with to administering the various parameters of obtaining with the tracking of development and use, the integration calculation process output of process geologic hazard dynamic simulation simulation softward has formed the method system of geology catastrophe evolutionary process dynamic tracking to the mathematical model and the result of geological hazards prediction and differentiation.

The present invention develops tracking control of full process to geologic hazard, catastrophe macroscopic law, hazard management effect, development and use benefit, catastrophe growth trend are provided the integrated management pattern of guidance quality and followed the tracks of operation architecture, and the parameter index fiduciary level that slumped mass theoretical model of the present invention is followed the tracks of reaches more than 80%; Wireless telemetering platform net monitoring accuracy reaches 90%, and early warning, monitoring reliability reach more than 80%; Visual Dynamic deduction index parameter precision reaches more than 70%.The present invention has disclosed the geologic hazard development law and control calamity strategy is provided by dynamic simulation simulation, enforcement network trace, structure geologic hazard track database; can play the effect that prevents and treats disaster, protection ecology, safeguards the reservoir area Environmental security, have stronger theory significance and using value.

Description of drawings

The present invention is further detailed explanation below in conjunction with the drawings and specific embodiments.

Fig. 1 is the synoptic diagram of the method for reservoir geological calamity evolution process dynamic tracking of the present invention.

Fig. 2 is the process flow diagram of the method for reservoir geological calamity evolution process dynamic tracking of the present invention.

Embodiment:

(1) tracking of main geologic hazard comprises:

(1) the rockfall evolution process is followed the tracks of

1) rockfall type and chain type stage of development feature

2) crag and avalanche cause the influence factor of calamity

3) the startup feature of crag and collapse hazard

4) crag unstability chain type evolution path is followed the tracks of

5) Conversion of energy and destruction are followed the tracks of

6) chain rupture mitigation resolution and effect are followed the tracks of

(2) landslide disaster is followed the tracks of

1) type and the distribution on landslide, reservoir area

2) landslide breeds embryonic character

3) landslide causes the coupling of the different scale disaster factor of calamity

4) landslide entry condition and sign thereof

5) landslide energy and destruction dynamics transform

6) landslide chain type failure law is followed the tracks of

7) landslide chain rupture mitigation resolution and effect thereof are followed the tracks of

(3) mud-stone flow disaster is followed the tracks of

1) the landforms geology and the characteristic parameter of formation rubble flow

2) condition of rubble flow chain type growth is followed the tracks of

3) morphological feature of rubble flow deduction

4) rubble flow is administered the tracking of index effect

(2) administer and the development and use tracking

(4) side slope steady track

1) road slope cuts with high that domatic becomes and the relation of engineering layout

2) road slope kind and characteristic parameter index

3) determine the tracking of edge slope structure type based on the ground geological state

4) road slope and height are cut the slope and are administered the stabilizing effect tracking

5) height is cut the benefit tracking of safeguarding on the slope

(5) coombe fills tracking

1) coombe chain type form and characteristic parameter

2) coombe disaster type and growth are followed the tracks of

3) fill out the version that ditch is built a dam

4) filling structure function follows the tracks of

5) coombe fills estimation of stability

6) fill out the benefit tracking that ditch is built a dam

(6) traffic and the integrated tracking of taking precautions against natural calamities

1) realizes incorporate possibility and condition flag

2) the structure function effect of integrated technique

3) project benefit of integrated technique is followed the tracks of

(7) the countermeasure tracking is stablized in the falling zone

1) storehouse water changes the condition feature and the parameter of falling zone

2) SEA LEVEL VARIATION and the storehouse bank relation of reproducing

3) water level rises to the mechanism tracking of storehouse bank stability

4) decline of water table is followed the tracks of the mechanism of storehouse bank stability

As illustrated in fig. 1 and 2, the present invention is by breeding embryonic character to catastrophe: the tracking, the collection that cause the calamity environmental factor, breed the catastrophe feature and breed index parameter, enter data into the track database of tracking network system, by the processing of geologic hazard dynamic simulation simulation softward, conclude and sum up the catastrophe sign and whether cause the knowledge of declaring of calamity thereby draw corresponding mathematics quantized data and mathematical model;

By feature: cause the calamity inducement and tracking, the collection of the slippage parameter of bursting apart to the catastrophe slump stage, processing by geologic hazard dynamic simulation simulation softward, conclude and sum up the slump sign and whether possess the knowledge of declaring of destructive power thereby draw corresponding mathematics quantized data and mathematical model, conclude and sum up destruction marking at last;

By tracking and collection to the features such as index parameter of catastrophe collapse state, and according to the level height of setting up defences, resolution is good and bad and to the assessment of stability, enter data into the track database of tracking network system, by the processing of geologic hazard dynamic simulation simulation softward, conclude and sum up reliable markers and carry out the whether stable knowledge of declaring thereby draw corresponding mathematics quantized data and mathematical model.

Claims

1. the method for a reservoir geological calamity evolution process dynamic tracking, it is characterized in that: by being input to track database to the tracking of main geologic hazard with to administering the various parameters of obtaining with the tracking of development and use, the integration calculation process output of process geologic hazard dynamic simulation simulation softward is to the mathematical model and the result of geological hazards prediction and differentiation.

2. the method for a kind of reservoir geological calamity evolution process dynamic tracking as claimed in claim 1 is characterized in that: said method comprising the steps of:

1) by embryonic character is bred in catastrophe: the tracking, the collection that cause the calamity environmental factor, breed the catastrophe feature and breed index parameter, enter data into the track database of tracking network system, by the processing of geologic hazard dynamic simulation simulation softward, conclude and sum up the catastrophe sign and whether cause the knowledge of declaring of calamity thereby draw corresponding mathematics quantized data and mathematical model;

2) by feature: cause the calamity inducement and tracking, the collection of the slippage parameter of bursting apart to the catastrophe slump stage, processing by geologic hazard dynamic simulation simulation softward, conclude and sum up the slump sign and whether possess the knowledge of declaring of destructive power thereby draw corresponding mathematics quantized data and mathematical model, conclude and sum up destruction marking at last;

3) by tracking and collection to the features such as index parameter of catastrophe collapse state, and according to the level height of setting up defences, resolution is good and bad and to the assessment of stability, enter data into the track database of tracking network system, by the processing of geologic hazard dynamic simulation simulation softward, conclude and sum up reliable markers and carry out the whether stable knowledge of declaring thereby draw corresponding mathematics quantized data and mathematical model.

3. the method for a kind of reservoir geological calamity evolution process dynamic tracking as claimed in claim 1, it is characterized in that: the tracking of described main geologic hazard comprises: the tracking of the tracking of rockfall evolution process, the tracking of landslide disaster and mud-stone flow disaster.

4. the method for a kind of reservoir geological calamity evolution process dynamic tracking as claimed in claim 1, it is characterized in that: the tracking of described improvement and development and use comprises: the tracking that countermeasure is stablized in the tracking that the tracking of side slope stable state, coombe fill, traffic and take precautions against natural calamities incorporate tracking and falling zone.