WO2019179030A1 - Product purchasing prediction method, server and storage medium - Google Patents

Product purchasing prediction method, server and storage medium Download PDF

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Publication number
WO2019179030A1
WO2019179030A1 PCT/CN2018/102110 CN2018102110W WO2019179030A1 WO 2019179030 A1 WO2019179030 A1 WO 2019179030A1 CN 2018102110 W CN2018102110 W CN 2018102110W WO 2019179030 A1 WO2019179030 A1 WO 2019179030A1
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Prior art keywords
purchase
product
analysis model
users
time series
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PCT/CN2018/102110
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French (fr)
Chinese (zh)
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王建明
肖京
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平安科技(深圳)有限公司
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Publication of WO2019179030A1 publication Critical patent/WO2019179030A1/en

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    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q30/00Commerce
    • G06Q30/06Buying, selling or leasing transactions
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q30/00Commerce
    • G06Q30/02Marketing; Price estimation or determination; Fundraising
    • G06Q30/0201Market modelling; Market analysis; Collecting market data
    • G06Q30/0202Market predictions or forecasting for commercial activities
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q40/00Finance; Insurance; Tax strategies; Processing of corporate or income taxes
    • G06Q40/04Trading; Exchange, e.g. stocks, commodities, derivatives or currency exchange
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q40/00Finance; Insurance; Tax strategies; Processing of corporate or income taxes
    • G06Q40/06Asset management; Financial planning or analysis

Definitions

  • the present application relates to the field of product purchase prediction, and in particular, to a product purchase prediction method, a server, and a computer readable storage medium.
  • the existing propensity analysis and prediction method usually uses cross-sectional data to analyze the user's purchasing tendency. This method can only predict the user's purchasing tendency in one time, and cannot predict the user's continuous purchasing tendency and the user's point preference at the time of purchase. .
  • the present application provides a product purchase prediction method, a server, and a computer readable storage medium, the main purpose of which is to predict a user's continuous purchase tendency and improve the accuracy of financial product purchase prediction.
  • the present application provides a product purchase prediction method, the method comprising:
  • Receiving step receiving an analysis request with the target user identity information and the target product type
  • the extracting step extracting, from a plurality of predetermined service servers, purchase data of various product types corresponding to the target user identity information and purchase data of a preset number of users regarding the target product type;
  • Generating step generating a corresponding purchase time series (X, Y) according to the purchase time point of the extracted purchase data, wherein X represents the interval between consecutive purchases of the same number of days, and Y represents the continuous purchase behavior of the same number of days Number of occurrences;
  • a first prediction step determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to each product purchased by the target user, and inputting a purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding In the first analysis model, generating a first purchase prediction value corresponding to each product;
  • Mean processing step performing a mean processing on the purchase time series of the target product of the preset number of users, and generating an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product of the preset number of users;
  • a second prediction step determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the preset number of users, and inputting the average purchase time series to the corresponding first In an analysis model, generating a second purchase predicted value of the target product;
  • a final prediction step determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained second analysis model, a second analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the target user, and the first purchase predicted value of the target product, in addition to the target product
  • a second purchase model corresponding to the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product type of the type and the second purchase predicted value of the target product is input, and a final purchase predicted value of the target product is generated.
  • the application further provides a server, comprising: a memory, a processor and a display, wherein the memory stores a product purchase prediction program, and the product purchase prediction program is executed by the processor, and the following steps can be implemented:
  • Receiving step receiving an analysis request with the target user identity information and the target product type
  • the extracting step extracting, from a plurality of predetermined service servers, purchase data of various product types corresponding to the target user identity information and purchase data of a preset number of users regarding the target product type;
  • Generating step generating a corresponding purchase time series (X, Y) according to the purchase time point of the extracted purchase data, wherein X represents the interval between consecutive purchases of the same number of days, and Y represents the continuous purchase behavior of the same number of days Number of occurrences;
  • a first prediction step determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to each product purchased by the target user, and inputting a purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding In the first analysis model, generating a first purchase prediction value corresponding to each product;
  • Mean processing step performing a mean processing on the purchase time series of the target product of the preset number of users, and generating an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product of the preset number of users;
  • a second prediction step determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the preset number of users, and inputting the average purchase time series to the corresponding first In an analysis model, generating a second purchase predicted value of the target product;
  • a final prediction step determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained second analysis model, a second analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the target user, and the first purchase predicted value of the target product, in addition to the target product
  • a second purchase model corresponding to the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product type of the type and the second purchase predicted value of the target product is input, and a final purchase predicted value of the target product is generated.
  • the present application further provides a computer readable storage medium including a product purchase prediction program, where the product purchase prediction program is executed by a processor, as described above Any step in the product purchase forecasting method.
  • the product purchase prediction method, the server and the computer readable storage medium proposed by the present application respectively extract various product purchases of the target user from a plurality of service servers by receiving an analysis request with the target user identity information and the target product category. Data and a preset number of other users' target product purchase data, and extracting a purchase time point to generate a purchase time series, and then inputting the target user's purchase time series into the corresponding first analysis model to generate a first purchase predicted value, The other user's purchase time series is input to the corresponding first analysis model, the second purchase predicted value is generated, and finally the first purchase predicted value and the second purchased predicted value are input into the second analysis model to generate a final purchase predicted value of the target product.
  • This application enables the present application to predict the continuous purchase tendency of the target user and improve the prediction accuracy.
  • FIG. 1 is a schematic diagram of a preferred embodiment of a server of the present application.
  • FIG. 2 is a block diagram showing a preferred embodiment of the product purchase prediction program of FIG. 1;
  • FIG. 3 is a flow chart of a first embodiment of a method for predicting product purchase according to the present application
  • FIG. 4 is a flow chart of a second embodiment of a method for predicting product purchase according to the present application.
  • Figure 5 is a flow chart of the training of the first analysis model of the present application.
  • FIG. 6 is a flowchart of training of a second analysis model of the present application.
  • Figure 7 is a schematic diagram of the purchase data of the product of the present application.
  • FIG. 1 it is a schematic diagram of a preferred embodiment of the server 1 of the present application.
  • the server 1 may be a server, a smart phone, a tablet computer, a personal computer, a portable computer, and other electronic devices having computing functions.
  • the server 1 includes a memory 11, a processor 12, a display 13, a network interface 14, and a communication bus 15.
  • the network interface 14 can optionally include a standard wired interface and a wireless interface (such as a WI-FI interface).
  • Communication bus 15 is used to implement connection communication between these components.
  • the memory 11 includes at least one type of readable storage medium.
  • the at least one type of readable storage medium may be a non-volatile storage medium such as a flash memory, a hard disk, a multimedia card, a card type memory, or the like.
  • the memory 11 may be an internal storage unit of the server 1, such as a hard disk of the server 1.
  • the memory 11 may also be an external storage unit of the server 1, such as a plug-in hard disk equipped on the server 1, a smart memory card (SMC), and a secure digital ( Secure Digital, SD) cards, flash cards, etc.
  • SMC smart memory card
  • SD Secure Digital
  • the memory 11 can be used not only for storing application software installed on the server 1 and various types of data, such as a product purchase prediction program 10, an analysis request with target user identification information and a target product type. Wait.
  • the processor 12 in some embodiments, may be a Central Processing Unit (CPU), microprocessor or other data processing chip for running program code or processing data stored in the memory 11, such as performing product purchase predictions.
  • the computer program code of the program 10 the training of the first analysis model and the second analysis model, and the like.
  • Display 13 can be referred to as a display screen or display unit.
  • the display 13 can be an LED display, a liquid crystal display, a touch-sensitive liquid crystal display, and an Organic Light-Emitting Diode (OLED) touch sensor.
  • the display 13 is used to display information processed in the server 1 and a work interface for displaying visualizations, such as displaying a final purchase predicted value of the target product at the next purchase.
  • Figure 1 shows only server 1 with components 11-15 and product purchase prediction program 10, but it should be understood that not all illustrated components may be implemented, and more or fewer components may be implemented instead.
  • the server 1 may further include a user interface
  • the user interface may include an input unit such as a keyboard, a voice output device such as an audio, a headset, etc.
  • the user interface may further include a standard wired interface and a wireless interface.
  • the server 1 may also include radio frequency (RF) circuits, sensors, audio circuits, and the like, and details are not described herein.
  • RF radio frequency
  • FIG. 2 is a block diagram of a preferred embodiment of the product purchase prediction program 10 of FIG.
  • a module as referred to in this application refers to a series of computer program instructions that are capable of performing a particular function.
  • the product purchase prediction program 10 includes: a receiving module 110, an extracting module 120, a generating module 130, a first predicting module 140, an average processing module 150, a second prediction module 160, and a final prediction module 170.
  • the functions or operational steps implemented by 110-170 are similar to the above, and are not described in detail herein, by way of example, for example:
  • the receiving module 110 is configured to receive an analysis request with target user identity information and a target product type, or receive purchase data of various product types corresponding to all users from a plurality of predetermined service servers in real time.
  • the target user identity information is information indicating the identity of the target user, such as a user name and an identity card number.
  • the product types include: stocks, funds, wealth management, insurance and other products.
  • the extracting module 120 is configured to separately extract, from a plurality of predetermined service servers, purchase data of various product types corresponding to the target user identity information and purchase data of a preset number of users regarding the target product type.
  • the service server includes: a bank server, a stock server, an insurance server, and the like.
  • the purchase data refers to the user identification information and the purchase time point of the corresponding product.
  • the generating module 130 generates a corresponding purchase time series (X, Y) according to the purchase time point of the extracted purchase data, wherein X represents an interval of consecutive purchase behaviors of the same number of days, and if X is 0, it represents a non-continuous purchase. Behavior, Y represents the number of consecutive purchases of the same number of days.
  • the first prediction module 140 is configured to determine, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to each product purchased by the target user, and input a purchase time sequence corresponding to each product separately. In the corresponding first analysis model, a first purchase prediction value corresponding to each product is generated.
  • Each product type corresponds to a first analysis model, which is pre-built and trained.
  • the first analysis model is a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model, and the training process for the first analysis model corresponding to one product is as follows:
  • the purchase time series corresponding to the product is divided into a training set of a first ratio and a verification set of a second ratio, wherein the first ratio is greater than the second ratio;
  • step S14 If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, increase the number of users in S11, and increase the number of purchase time series, and then perform step S12.
  • the averaging processing module 150 is configured to perform an averaging process on the purchase time series of the target product of the preset number of users, and generate an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product of the preset number of users.
  • the steps of the mean processing are as follows:
  • the average number of occurrences of consecutive purchase behaviors in the purchase time series of the target product purchased by the preset number of users is averaged, and the average number of consecutive purchase behaviors of all users for various preset time intervals of the target product is obtained, and the target product is obtained.
  • the various preset time intervals and the corresponding average number of occurrences of the consecutive purchase behaviors constitute an average purchase time series corresponding to the target product.
  • the second prediction module 160 is configured to determine, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the preset number of users, and input the average purchase time series to In the corresponding first analysis model, a second purchase prediction value of the target product is generated.
  • the final prediction module 170 is configured to determine, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained second analysis model, a second analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the target user, and save the first purchase predicted value of the target product.
  • a second purchase model corresponding to the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product type of the target product type and the second purchase predicted value of the target product is input, and a final purchase predicted value of the target product is generated.
  • the second analysis model is pre-built and trained.
  • the first analysis model is a Granger model (Granger model), and the training process for a second analysis model corresponding to one product is as follows:
  • S22 Perform user selection one by one from the preset number of users until all users select, and after selecting one user, determine, according to the mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, determine corresponding products purchased by the user.
  • the first analysis model, the purchase time series corresponding to the various products purchased by the user are respectively input into the corresponding first analysis model, and the first purchase prediction values corresponding to the various products are generated, and the preset number of users are respectively generated.
  • the purchase time series of each product is subjected to mean processing, generating an average purchase time series corresponding to various products of the preset number of users, and inputting an average purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding first analysis model Generating, according to the second purchase prediction value corresponding to each product, the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the first purchase of each product, the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product types other than the product, and the kind
  • the second purchase predicted value corresponding to the product is used as sample data of the product of the user;
  • step S25 If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, the number of samples is increased by increasing the number of users in S21. Then, step S22 is performed.
  • FIG. 3 it is a flowchart of the first embodiment of the product purchase prediction method of the present application.
  • the method for implementing the product purchase prediction includes: Step S10 - Step S70:
  • the receiving module 110 receives an analysis request with the target user identity information and the target product type.
  • the target user identity information is information indicating the identity of the target user, such as a user name and an identity card number.
  • the product types include: stocks, funds, wealth management, insurance and other products.
  • the target product type may refer to one or more product types, but it should be understood that the method steps described below predict the user's purchasing propensity only for one of the types of products purchased by the target user.
  • Step S20 The extracting module 120 extracts, according to the received request, the purchase data of the various product types corresponding to the target user identity information from the plurality of predetermined service servers, and the preset number of users related to the target product type.
  • the service server includes: a bank server, a stock server, an insurance server, and the like.
  • the purchase data refers to the user identification information and the purchase time point of the corresponding product.
  • a user not only purchases one product, but the purchase data of the various product types refers to purchase data of all product types purchased by the target user.
  • FIG. 7 it is a schematic diagram of the purchase data of the product of the present application.
  • the purchase time point 12 is the purchase data of the target product type.
  • the bank server records the identity information of the user 1 and various time points of the fund purchase. Different types of products can be sold by the same business server. For example, user 1 can purchase fund products on a bank server or purchase wealth management products on a bank server.
  • the preset number of users may be all users who purchase products, or may be a preset number of randomly selected users.
  • step S30 the generating module 130 generates a purchase time series (X, Y) corresponding to each product according to the purchase time points corresponding to the various products in the extracted various product purchase data.
  • the purchase time of the target product's fund product purchase data is: 2017.1.1, 2017.1.5, 2017.1.9, 2017.2.8, 2017.2.15, 2017.2.18, 2017.2.21, 2017.2.24, then Generating the purchase time series (4, 3), (0, 1), (3, 4) of the user's fund product, wherein the number 4 in (4, 3) represents the interval between consecutive purchases of 4 days apart
  • the number 3 represents the number of purchases of consecutive purchases separated by the same number of days, the number 0 in (0, 1) represents the non-continuous purchase behavior, and the number 1 represents the number of purchases of the non-continuous purchase behavior.
  • Step S40 Determine a first analysis model corresponding to each product purchased by the target user according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, and the first prediction module 140 inputs the purchase time series corresponding to each product separately.
  • a first purchase prediction value corresponding to each product is generated.
  • Each product type corresponds to a first analysis model, which is pre-built and trained.
  • the first analysis model is an LSTM model, as shown in FIG. 5, which is a flowchart of the first analysis model training of the present application.
  • the training process for the first analysis model corresponding to a product is as follows:
  • the purchase time series corresponding to the product is divided into a training set of a first ratio and a verification set of a second ratio, wherein the first ratio is greater than the second ratio.
  • a purchase time series of a fund product of 80% of users is used as a training set
  • a purchase time series of fund products of the remaining 20% of users is used as a verification set.
  • step S14 If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, increase the number of users in S11, and increase the number of purchase time series, and then perform step S12. For example, if the verification accuracy is greater than 96%, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than 96%, the purchase time sequence of 20,000 users is increased, and then step S12 is performed.
  • step S50 the average processing module 150 performs an average processing on the purchase time series of the target product of the preset number of users, and generates an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product of the preset number of users.
  • the purchase time series of the fund products of 10,000 users are averaged to generate an average purchase time series corresponding to the fund products.
  • the steps of the mean processing are as follows:
  • the average number of occurrences of consecutive purchase behaviors in the purchase time series of the target product purchased by the preset number of users is averaged, and the average number of consecutive purchase behaviors of all users for various preset time intervals of the target product is obtained.
  • the various preset time intervals of the product and the average number of occurrences of the corresponding consecutive purchase behaviors constitute an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product.
  • the purchase time series of the fund products of 10,000 users are arranged in a list, as shown in Table 1, wherein interval 0 represents a non-continuous purchase behavior, interval 1 represents a purchase time interval of 1 day, and interval N represents a purchase time.
  • the interval is N days.
  • the averaging processing module 150 averages the data in the columns of the various preset time intervals of the product, rounds the average value and then takes the integer, and obtains the average consecutive purchase times of all the preset time intervals of the user for the product.
  • the various preset time intervals of the product and their corresponding average consecutive purchases constitute an average purchase time series for the corresponding product. For example, the average number of purchases at interval 0 is averaged: (7+4+...+3)/10000, assuming that the average number of purchases is 5, an average purchase time series for the generated fund product is (0,5). ).
  • Step S60 The second prediction module 160 inputs the average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product into the corresponding first analysis model according to the mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, and generates a corresponding Second, purchase the predicted value. For example, the average purchase time series corresponding to the fund products of 10,000 users is input into the first analysis model corresponding to the fund products, and the second purchase predicted value of the fund products is generated.
  • Step S70 Determine, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained second analysis model, a second analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the target user, and the final prediction module 170 divides the first purchase prediction value corresponding to the target product.
  • a second purchase model corresponding to the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other type of products other than the target product type and the second purchase predicted value corresponding to the target product is input, and a final purchase predicted value corresponding to the target product is generated.
  • the second analysis model is pre-built and trained.
  • the first analysis model is a Granger model, as shown in FIG. 6 , which is a flowchart of the second analysis model training of the present application, and the training process for the second analysis model corresponding to one product is as follows:
  • S22 Perform user selection one by one from the preset number of users until all users select, and after selecting one user, determine, according to the mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, determine corresponding products purchased by the user.
  • the first analysis model inputs the purchase time series corresponding to the various products purchased by the user into the corresponding first analysis model, and generates first purchase prediction values corresponding to the various products.
  • the user selection one by one means that each user is selected as the target user one by one, and the first purchase prediction value of the user is calculated, until all the preset number of users are selected, and the first purchase prediction values of all the users are calculated.
  • the purchase time series of each product of the preset number of users are averaged, respectively, and an average purchase time series corresponding to each product is generated, and an average purchase time series corresponding to each product is input to the corresponding first analysis.
  • a second purchase predicted value corresponding to each product is generated. For example, the purchase time series of each product of 100,000 users is averaged, and an average purchase time series corresponding to each product is generated, and input into the first analysis model to obtain a second purchase prediction value of each product.
  • the selected user is the first purchase predicted value for each product, the first purchase predicted value corresponding to other types of products other than the product, and the second purchase predicted value corresponding to the product of the product type as the user. Sample data for this product.
  • S23 Divide the sample data into a training set of a first ratio and a verification set of a second ratio, wherein the first ratio is greater than the second ratio. For example, 80% of the sample data is randomly used as the training set, and the remaining 20% of the sample data is used as the verification set.
  • step S25 If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, the number of sample data is increased by increasing the number of users, and then step S22 is performed. For example, if the verification accuracy is greater than 98%, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than 98%, the purchase time sequence of 20,000 users is increased, and then step S22 is performed.
  • the product purchase prediction method according to the above embodiment, according to the time series of the user purchasing the product, using the first analysis model to respectively calculate the first purchase prediction value of the target user and the second purchase prediction value of the target product, and finally the target user.
  • the first purchase predicted value of the target product, the first purchase predicted value of the target product other than the target product, and the second purchase predicted value of the target product are input into the second analysis model to obtain the final target product of the target user. Buying predicted values, so as to accurately predict the user's continuous purchase tendency, and do a good job in marketing services in advance.
  • FIG. 4 it is a flowchart of the second embodiment of the product purchase prediction method of the present application.
  • the product purchase prediction method includes: step S100 - step S700.
  • the steps S300-S700 are substantially the same as those in the first embodiment, and details are not described herein again.
  • the receiving module 110 receives various product purchase data corresponding to all users from a plurality of predetermined service servers in real time. For example, whenever a user makes a product purchase at a bank server, a stock server, or an insurance server, the receiving module 110 will automatically receive data from the bank server, stock server, or insurance server that the user purchased a product.
  • Step S200 after receiving the analysis request with the target user identity information and the target product type, the extraction module 120 extracts various product purchase data corresponding to the target user identity information and a preset number of users related to the target product purchase. data. For example, after receiving the analysis request of the target user identity information and the wealth management product, the extraction module 120 extracts various product purchase data corresponding to the user identity identification information and the wealth management product purchase data of 10,000 users.
  • the product purchase prediction method proposed in this embodiment receives the product purchase data of the user in real time, and when receiving the analysis request, extracts product purchase data of the target user and other users according to the request information, and generates a purchase time sequence, according to the purchase time series.
  • the first analysis model respectively calculating the first purchase predicted value of the target user and the second purchase predicted value of the target product, and finally, the first purchase predicted value of the target product of the target user, and the target user other products than the target product.
  • the first purchase predicted value and the second purchase predicted value of the target product are input into the second analysis model to obtain a final purchase predicted value of the target product of the target user.
  • the embodiment receives the request. No need to extract user's purchase data from the business server, shorten the analysis and forecast time, and improve work efficiency.
  • the embodiment of the present application further provides a computer readable storage medium, where the computer readable storage medium includes a product purchase prediction program 10, and when the product purchase prediction program 10 is executed by the processor, the following operations are implemented:
  • Receiving step receiving an analysis request with the target user identity information and the target product type
  • the extracting step extracting, from a plurality of predetermined service servers, purchase data of various product types corresponding to the target user identity information and purchase data of a preset number of users regarding the target product type;
  • Generating step generating a corresponding purchase time series (X, Y) according to the purchase time point of the extracted purchase data, wherein X represents the interval between consecutive purchases of the same number of days, and Y represents the continuous purchase behavior of the same number of days Number of occurrences;
  • a first prediction step determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to each product purchased by the target user, and inputting a purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding In the first analysis model, generating a first purchase prediction value corresponding to each product;
  • Mean processing step performing a mean processing on the purchase time series of the target product of the preset number of users, and generating an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product of the preset number of users;
  • a second prediction step determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the preset number of users, and inputting the average purchase time series to the corresponding first In an analysis model, generating a second purchase predicted value of the target product;
  • a final prediction step determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained second analysis model, a second analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the target user, and the first purchase predicted value of the target product, in addition to the target product
  • a second purchase model corresponding to the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product type of the type and the second purchase predicted value of the target product is input, and a final purchase predicted value of the target product is generated.
  • the first analysis model is a long-term and short-term memory network model, and the first analysis model corresponding to one product includes the following training steps:
  • the purchase time series corresponding to the product is divided into a training set of a first ratio and a verification set of a second ratio, wherein the first ratio is greater than the second ratio;
  • step S14 If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, increase the number of users in S11, and increase the number of purchase time series, and then perform step S12.
  • the mean processing step further comprises:
  • the average number of occurrences of consecutive purchase behaviors in the purchase time series of the target product purchased by the preset number of users is averaged, and the average number of consecutive purchase behaviors of all users for various preset time intervals of the target product is obtained.
  • the various preset time intervals of the product and the average number of occurrences of the corresponding consecutive purchase behaviors constitute an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product.
  • the second analysis model is a Granger model
  • the second analysis model corresponding to one product comprises the following training steps:
  • S22 Perform user selection one by one from the preset number of users until all users select, and after selecting one user, determine, according to the mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, determine corresponding products purchased by the user.
  • the first analysis model, the purchase time series corresponding to the various products purchased by the user are respectively input into the corresponding first analysis model, and the first purchase prediction values corresponding to the various products are generated, and the preset number of users are respectively generated.
  • the purchase time series of each product is subjected to mean processing, generating an average purchase time series corresponding to various products of the preset number of users, and inputting an average purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding first analysis model Generating, according to the second purchase prediction value corresponding to each product, the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the first purchase of each product, the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product types other than the product, and the kind
  • the second purchase predicted value corresponding to the product is used as sample data of the product of the user;
  • step S25 If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, the number of samples is increased by increasing the number of users in S21. Then, step S22 is performed.
  • the application further provides another product purchase prediction method, the method comprising:
  • Receiving step receiving purchase data of various product types corresponding to all users from a plurality of predetermined service servers in real time;
  • Extracting step after receiving the analysis request with the target user identity information and the target product type, extracting the purchase data of the various product types corresponding to the target user identity information and the preset number of users related to the target product type Purchase data;
  • Generating step generating a corresponding purchase time series (X, Y) according to the purchase time point of the extracted purchase data, wherein X represents the interval between consecutive purchases of the same number of days, and Y represents the continuous purchase behavior of the same number of days Number of occurrences;
  • a first prediction step determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to each product purchased by the target user, and inputting a purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding In the first analysis model, generating a first purchase prediction value corresponding to each product;
  • Mean processing step performing a mean processing on the purchase time series of the target product of the preset number of users, and generating an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product of the preset number of users;
  • a second prediction step determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the preset number of users, and inputting the average purchase time series to the corresponding first In an analysis model, generating a second purchase predicted value of the target product;
  • a final prediction step determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained second analysis model, a second analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the target user, and the first purchase predicted value of the target product, in addition to the target product
  • a second purchase model corresponding to the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product type of the type and the second purchase predicted value of the target product is input, and a final purchase predicted value of the target product is generated.
  • the technical solution of the present application which is essential or contributes to the prior art, may be embodied in the form of a software product stored in a storage medium (such as ROM/RAM as described above). , a disk, an optical disk, including a number of instructions for causing a terminal device (which may be a mobile phone, a computer, a server, or a network device, etc.) to perform the methods described in the various embodiments of the present application.
  • a terminal device which may be a mobile phone, a computer, a server, or a network device, etc.

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Abstract

A product purchasing prediction method, a server and a storage medium, the method comprising: receiving an analysis request which carries identity label information and a target product type (S10); extracting purchasing data of a target user and target product purchasing data of other users (S20); generating a corresponding purchasing time sequence according to purchasing time points (S30); inputting, according to mapping between the product type and a first analysis model, the purchasing time sequence of the target user into the first analysis model so as to generate a first purchasing prediction value (S40); performing mean value processing on the purchasing time sequence for the target product of a preset amount of users, and generating an average purchasing time sequence of the preset amount of users for the target product (S50); after performing mean value processing on the purchasing time sequences of the other users, inputting same into a first analysis model to generate a second purchasing prediction value (S60); and according to mapping between product types and second analysis models, inputting the first purchasing prediction value and the second purchasing prediction value for the target product as well as first purchasing prediction values of product types other than the target product type into a corresponding second analysis model so as to generate a final purchasing prediction value for the target product (S70), and thus improving the accuracy of user purchasing intention prediction.

Description

产品购买预测方法、服务器及存储介质Product purchase forecasting method, server and storage medium
本申请要求于2018年03月19日提交中国专利局、申请号为201810226460.4,名称为“产品购买预测方法、服务器及存储介质”的中国专利申请的优先权,该中国专利申请的整体内容以参考的方式结合本申请中。This application claims priority to Chinese Patent Application No. 201101226460.4, entitled "Product Purchase Prediction Method, Server and Storage Media", filed on March 19, 2018, the entire contents of which are incorporated by reference. The way it is combined with this application.
技术领域Technical field
本申请涉及产品购买预测领域,尤其涉及一种产品购买预测方法、服务器及计算机可读存储介质。The present application relates to the field of product purchase prediction, and in particular, to a product purchase prediction method, a server, and a computer readable storage medium.
背景技术Background technique
在金融业务中,需要提前预测用户对小额保险、股票、基金等金融产品的购买倾向,有利于金融产品营销方提前做好营销和服务。In the financial business, it is necessary to predict in advance the user's propensity to purchase financial products such as microinsurance, stocks, funds, etc., which is conducive to the marketing and service of financial product marketing parties in advance.
现有的倾向性分析预测方法通常是利用横截面数据对用户购买倾向进行分析,该方法只能一次性的预测出用户的购买倾向,无法预测用户的连续购买倾向和用户具体购买时的点倾向。The existing propensity analysis and prediction method usually uses cross-sectional data to analyze the user's purchasing tendency. This method can only predict the user's purchasing tendency in one time, and cannot predict the user's continuous purchasing tendency and the user's point preference at the time of purchase. .
发明内容Summary of the invention
鉴于以上内容,本申请提供一种产品购买预测方法、服务器及计算机可读存储介质,其主要目的在于预测用户的连续购买倾向,提高金融产品购买预测的准确性。In view of the above, the present application provides a product purchase prediction method, a server, and a computer readable storage medium, the main purpose of which is to predict a user's continuous purchase tendency and improve the accuracy of financial product purchase prediction.
为实现上述目的,本申请提供一种产品购买预测方法,该方法包括:To achieve the above objective, the present application provides a product purchase prediction method, the method comprising:
接收步骤:接收带有目标用户身份标识信息和目标产品类型的分析请求;Receiving step: receiving an analysis request with the target user identity information and the target product type;
提取步骤:从多个预先确定的业务服务器中分别提取出与该目标用户身份标识信息对应的各种产品类型的购买数据及预设数量用户有关该目标产品类型的购买数据;The extracting step: extracting, from a plurality of predetermined service servers, purchase data of various product types corresponding to the target user identity information and purchase data of a preset number of users regarding the target product type;
生成步骤:根据提取出的购买数据的购买时间点,生成对应的购买时间序列(X,Y),其中X代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的间隔天数,Y代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的发生次数;Generating step: generating a corresponding purchase time series (X, Y) according to the purchase time point of the extracted purchase data, wherein X represents the interval between consecutive purchases of the same number of days, and Y represents the continuous purchase behavior of the same number of days Number of occurrences;
第一预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的各种产品对应的第一分析模型,将各种产品对应的购买时间序列分别输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第一购买预测值;a first prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to each product purchased by the target user, and inputting a purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding In the first analysis model, generating a first purchase prediction value corresponding to each product;
均值处理步骤:将所述预设数量用户的目标产品的购买时间序列进行均值处理,生成所述预设数量用户的该目标产品对应的平均购买时间序列;Mean processing step: performing a mean processing on the purchase time series of the target product of the preset number of users, and generating an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product of the preset number of users;
第二预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该预设数量用户购买的该目标产品对应的第一分析模型,将所述平均购买时间序列输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成该目标产品的第二购买预测值;a second prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the preset number of users, and inputting the average purchase time series to the corresponding first In an analysis model, generating a second purchase predicted value of the target product;
最终预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第二分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的该目标产品对应的第二分析模型,将该目标产品的第一购买预测值、除该目标产品类型外的其它产品类型对应的第一购买预测值及该目标产品的第二购买预测值输入对应的第二分析模型中,生成该目标产品的最终购买预测值。a final prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained second analysis model, a second analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the target user, and the first purchase predicted value of the target product, in addition to the target product A second purchase model corresponding to the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product type of the type and the second purchase predicted value of the target product is input, and a final purchase predicted value of the target product is generated.
此外,本申请还提供一种服务器,该服务器包括:存储器、处理器及显示器,所述存储器上存储产品购买预测程序,所述产品购买预测程序被所述处理器执行,可实现如下步骤:In addition, the application further provides a server, comprising: a memory, a processor and a display, wherein the memory stores a product purchase prediction program, and the product purchase prediction program is executed by the processor, and the following steps can be implemented:
接收步骤:接收带有目标用户身份标识信息和目标产品类型的分析请求;Receiving step: receiving an analysis request with the target user identity information and the target product type;
提取步骤:从多个预先确定的业务服务器中分别提取出与该目标用户身份标识信息对应的各种产品类型的购买数据及预设数量用户有关该目标产品 类型的购买数据;The extracting step: extracting, from a plurality of predetermined service servers, purchase data of various product types corresponding to the target user identity information and purchase data of a preset number of users regarding the target product type;
生成步骤:根据提取出的购买数据的购买时间点,生成对应的购买时间序列(X,Y),其中X代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的间隔天数,Y代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的发生次数;Generating step: generating a corresponding purchase time series (X, Y) according to the purchase time point of the extracted purchase data, wherein X represents the interval between consecutive purchases of the same number of days, and Y represents the continuous purchase behavior of the same number of days Number of occurrences;
第一预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的各种产品对应的第一分析模型,将各种产品对应的购买时间序列分别输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第一购买预测值;a first prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to each product purchased by the target user, and inputting a purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding In the first analysis model, generating a first purchase prediction value corresponding to each product;
均值处理步骤:将所述预设数量用户的目标产品的购买时间序列进行均值处理,生成所述预设数量用户的该目标产品对应的平均购买时间序列;Mean processing step: performing a mean processing on the purchase time series of the target product of the preset number of users, and generating an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product of the preset number of users;
第二预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该预设数量用户购买的该目标产品对应的第一分析模型,将所述平均购买时间序列输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成该目标产品的第二购买预测值;a second prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the preset number of users, and inputting the average purchase time series to the corresponding first In an analysis model, generating a second purchase predicted value of the target product;
最终预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第二分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的该目标产品对应的第二分析模型,将该目标产品的第一购买预测值、除该目标产品类型外的其它产品类型对应的第一购买预测值及该目标产品的第二购买预测值输入对应的第二分析模型中,生成该目标产品的最终购买预测值。a final prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained second analysis model, a second analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the target user, and the first purchase predicted value of the target product, in addition to the target product A second purchase model corresponding to the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product type of the type and the second purchase predicted value of the target product is input, and a final purchase predicted value of the target product is generated.
此外,为实现上述目的,本申请还提供一种计算机可读存储介质,所述计算机可读存储介质中包括产品购买预测程序,所述产品购买预测程序被处理器执行时,可实现如上所述产品购买预测方法中的任意步骤。In addition, in order to achieve the above object, the present application further provides a computer readable storage medium including a product purchase prediction program, where the product purchase prediction program is executed by a processor, as described above Any step in the product purchase forecasting method.
本申请提出的产品购买预测方法、服务器及计算机可读存储介质,通过接收带有目标用户身份标识信息和目标产品种类的分析请求,从多个业务服务器中分别提取出目标用户的各种产品购买数据和预设数量的其他用户的目标产品购买数据,并提取出购买时间点生成购买时间序列,然后将目标用户的购买时间序列输入到对应的第一分析模型,生成第一购买预测值,将其他用户的购买时间序列输入到对应的第一分析模型,生成第二购买预测值,最后将第一购买预测值与第二购买预测值输入第二分析模型,生成目标产品的最终购买预测值,使得本申请能够预测目标用户的连续购买倾向,提高预测精度。The product purchase prediction method, the server and the computer readable storage medium proposed by the present application respectively extract various product purchases of the target user from a plurality of service servers by receiving an analysis request with the target user identity information and the target product category. Data and a preset number of other users' target product purchase data, and extracting a purchase time point to generate a purchase time series, and then inputting the target user's purchase time series into the corresponding first analysis model to generate a first purchase predicted value, The other user's purchase time series is input to the corresponding first analysis model, the second purchase predicted value is generated, and finally the first purchase predicted value and the second purchased predicted value are input into the second analysis model to generate a final purchase predicted value of the target product. This application enables the present application to predict the continuous purchase tendency of the target user and improve the prediction accuracy.
附图说明DRAWINGS
图1为本申请服务器较佳实施例的示意图;1 is a schematic diagram of a preferred embodiment of a server of the present application;
图2为图1中产品购买预测程序较佳实施例的模块示意图;2 is a block diagram showing a preferred embodiment of the product purchase prediction program of FIG. 1;
图3为本申请产品购买预测方法第一实施例的流程图;3 is a flow chart of a first embodiment of a method for predicting product purchase according to the present application;
图4为本申请产品购买预测方法第二实施例的流程图;4 is a flow chart of a second embodiment of a method for predicting product purchase according to the present application;
图5为本申请第一分析模型训练的流程图;Figure 5 is a flow chart of the training of the first analysis model of the present application;
图6为本申请第二分析模型训练的流程图;6 is a flowchart of training of a second analysis model of the present application;
图7为本申请产品购买数据示意图。Figure 7 is a schematic diagram of the purchase data of the product of the present application.
本申请目的的实现、功能特点及优点将结合实施例,参照附图做进一步说明。The implementation, functional features and advantages of the present application will be further described with reference to the accompanying drawings.
具体实施方式detailed description
应当理解,此处所描述的具体实施例仅用以解释本申请,并不用于限定本申请。It is understood that the specific embodiments described herein are merely illustrative of the application and are not intended to be limiting.
如图1所示,是本申请服务器1较佳实施例的示意图。As shown in FIG. 1, it is a schematic diagram of a preferred embodiment of the server 1 of the present application.
在本实施例中,服务器1可以是服务器、智能手机、平板电脑、个人电脑、便携计算机以及其它具有运算功能的电子设备。In this embodiment, the server 1 may be a server, a smart phone, a tablet computer, a personal computer, a portable computer, and other electronic devices having computing functions.
该服务器1包括:存储器11、处理器12、显示器13、网络接口14及通信总线15。其中,网络接口14可选地可以包括标准的有线接口、无线接口(如WI-FI接口)。通信总线15用于实现这些组件之间的连接通信。The server 1 includes a memory 11, a processor 12, a display 13, a network interface 14, and a communication bus 15. The network interface 14 can optionally include a standard wired interface and a wireless interface (such as a WI-FI interface). Communication bus 15 is used to implement connection communication between these components.
存储器11至少包括一种类型的可读存储介质。所述至少一种类型的可读存储介质可为如闪存、硬盘、多媒体卡、卡型存储器等的非易失性存储介质。在一些实施例中,所述存储器11可以是所述服务器1的内部存储单元,例如该服务器1的硬盘。在另一些实施例中,所述存储器11也可以是所述服务器1的外部存储单元,例如所述服务器1上配备的插接式硬盘,智能存储卡(Smart Media Card,SMC),安全数字(Secure Digital,SD)卡,闪存卡(Flash Card)等。The memory 11 includes at least one type of readable storage medium. The at least one type of readable storage medium may be a non-volatile storage medium such as a flash memory, a hard disk, a multimedia card, a card type memory, or the like. In some embodiments, the memory 11 may be an internal storage unit of the server 1, such as a hard disk of the server 1. In other embodiments, the memory 11 may also be an external storage unit of the server 1, such as a plug-in hard disk equipped on the server 1, a smart memory card (SMC), and a secure digital ( Secure Digital, SD) cards, flash cards, etc.
在本实施例中,所述存储器11不仅可以用于存储安装于所述服务器1的应用软件及各类数据,例如产品购买预测程序10、带有目标用户身份标识信息和目标产品类型的分析请求等。In this embodiment, the memory 11 can be used not only for storing application software installed on the server 1 and various types of data, such as a product purchase prediction program 10, an analysis request with target user identification information and a target product type. Wait.
处理器12在一些实施例中可以是一中央处理器(Central Processing Unit,CPU),微处理器或其它数据处理芯片,用于运行存储器11中存储的程序代码或处理数据,例如执行产品购买预测程序10的计算机程序代码、第一分析模型和第二分析模型的训练等。The processor 12, in some embodiments, may be a Central Processing Unit (CPU), microprocessor or other data processing chip for running program code or processing data stored in the memory 11, such as performing product purchase predictions. The computer program code of the program 10, the training of the first analysis model and the second analysis model, and the like.
显示器13可以称为显示屏或显示单元。在一些实施例中显示器13可以是LED显示器、液晶显示器、触控式液晶显示器以及有机发光二极管(Organic Light-Emitting Diode,OLED)触摸器等。显示器13用于显示在服务器1中处理的信息以及用于显示可视化的工作界面,例如显示目标产品在下一次购买的最终购买预测值。Display 13 can be referred to as a display screen or display unit. In some embodiments, the display 13 can be an LED display, a liquid crystal display, a touch-sensitive liquid crystal display, and an Organic Light-Emitting Diode (OLED) touch sensor. The display 13 is used to display information processed in the server 1 and a work interface for displaying visualizations, such as displaying a final purchase predicted value of the target product at the next purchase.
图1仅示出了具有组件11-15以及产品购买预测程序10的服务器1,但是应理解的是,并不要求实施所有示出的组件,可以替代的实施更多或者更少的组件。Figure 1 shows only server 1 with components 11-15 and product purchase prediction program 10, but it should be understood that not all illustrated components may be implemented, and more or fewer components may be implemented instead.
可选地,该服务器1还可以包括用户接口,用户接口可以包括输入单元比如键盘(Keyboard)、语音输出装置比如音响、耳机等,可选地用户接口还可以包括标准的有线接口、无线接口。Optionally, the server 1 may further include a user interface, and the user interface may include an input unit such as a keyboard, a voice output device such as an audio, a headset, etc., optionally, the user interface may further include a standard wired interface and a wireless interface.
该服务器1还可以包括射频(Radio Frequency,RF)电路、传感器和音频电路等等,在此不再赘述。The server 1 may also include radio frequency (RF) circuits, sensors, audio circuits, and the like, and details are not described herein.
如图2所示,是图1中产品购买预测程序10较佳实施例的模块示意图。本申请所称的模块是指能够完成特定功能的一系列计算机程序指令段。2 is a block diagram of a preferred embodiment of the product purchase prediction program 10 of FIG. A module as referred to in this application refers to a series of computer program instructions that are capable of performing a particular function.
在本实施例中,产品购买预测程序10包括:接收模块110、提取模块120、生成模块130、第一预测模块140、均值处理模块150、第二预测模块160、最终预测模块170,所述模块110-170所实现的功能或操作步骤均与上文类似,此处不再详述,示例性地,例如其中:In this embodiment, the product purchase prediction program 10 includes: a receiving module 110, an extracting module 120, a generating module 130, a first predicting module 140, an average processing module 150, a second prediction module 160, and a final prediction module 170. The functions or operational steps implemented by 110-170 are similar to the above, and are not described in detail herein, by way of example, for example:
接收模块110,用于接收带有目标用户身份标识信息和目标产品类型的分析请求或实时从多个预先确定的业务服务器中接收所有用户对应的各种产品类型的购买数据。其中,所述目标用户身份标识信息是指标示识别目标用户身份的信息,如用户姓名和身份证号码等。所述产品类型包括:股票、基金、理财、保险等产品。The receiving module 110 is configured to receive an analysis request with target user identity information and a target product type, or receive purchase data of various product types corresponding to all users from a plurality of predetermined service servers in real time. The target user identity information is information indicating the identity of the target user, such as a user name and an identity card number. The product types include: stocks, funds, wealth management, insurance and other products.
提取模块120,用于从多个预先确定的业务服务器中分别提取出与该目标用户身份标识信息对应的各种产品类型的购买数据及预设数量用户有关该目标产品类型的购买数据。其中,所述业务服务器包括:银行服务器、股票服务器、保险服务器等。所述购买数据是指用户身份标识信息及对应的产品的购买时间点。The extracting module 120 is configured to separately extract, from a plurality of predetermined service servers, purchase data of various product types corresponding to the target user identity information and purchase data of a preset number of users regarding the target product type. The service server includes: a bank server, a stock server, an insurance server, and the like. The purchase data refers to the user identification information and the purchase time point of the corresponding product.
生成模块130,根据提取出的购买数据的购买时间点,生成对应的购买时 间序列(X,Y),其中X代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的间隔天数,若X为0则代表非连续购买行为,Y代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的发生次数。The generating module 130 generates a corresponding purchase time series (X, Y) according to the purchase time point of the extracted purchase data, wherein X represents an interval of consecutive purchase behaviors of the same number of days, and if X is 0, it represents a non-continuous purchase. Behavior, Y represents the number of consecutive purchases of the same number of days.
第一预测模块140,用于根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的各种产品对应的第一分析模型,将各种产品对应的购买时间序列分别输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第一购买预测值。其中,每一种产品类型对应一种第一分析模型,所述第一分析模型是预先构建并训练好的。所述第一分析模型为长短期记忆网络(Long Short-Term Memory,LSTM)模型,针对一种产品对应的第一分析模型的训练过程如下:The first prediction module 140 is configured to determine, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to each product purchased by the target user, and input a purchase time sequence corresponding to each product separately. In the corresponding first analysis model, a first purchase prediction value corresponding to each product is generated. Each product type corresponds to a first analysis model, which is pre-built and trained. The first analysis model is a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model, and the training process for the first analysis model corresponding to one product is as follows:
S11、从多个预先确定的业务服务器中提取出预设数量用户对应的某种产品类型的购买数据,根据该购买数据中对应的购买时间点,分别为各个用户生成该种产品对应的购买时间序列;S11. Extracting, from a plurality of predetermined service servers, purchase data of a certain product type corresponding to a preset number of users, and generating, according to the purchase time point in the purchase data, a purchase time corresponding to the product for each user. sequence;
S12、将该种产品对应的购买时间序列分成第一比例的训练集和第二比例的验证集,其中,第一比例大于第二比例;S12. The purchase time series corresponding to the product is divided into a training set of a first ratio and a verification set of a second ratio, wherein the first ratio is greater than the second ratio;
S13、利用训练集中的购买时间序列对所述第一分析模型进行训练,并在训练完后利用验证集中的购买时间序列对所述第一分析模型的准确率进行验证;S13: training the first analysis model by using a purchase time series in the training set, and verifying the accuracy of the first analysis model by using a purchase time series in the verification set after the training;
S14、若准确率大于预设阈值,则训练完成,若准确率小于或等于预设阈值,则通过增加S11中用户的数量,增加购买时间序列的数量,之后执行步骤S12。S14. If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, increase the number of users in S11, and increase the number of purchase time series, and then perform step S12.
均值处理模块150,用于将所述预设数量用户的目标产品的购买时间序列进行均值处理,生成所述预设数量用户的该目标产品对应的平均购买时间序列。其中,所述均值处理的步骤如下:The averaging processing module 150 is configured to perform an averaging process on the purchase time series of the target product of the preset number of users, and generate an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product of the preset number of users. Wherein, the steps of the mean processing are as follows:
将预设数量用户购买的目标产品的购买时间序列中连续购买行为的发生次数取平均值,得到所有用户针对该目标产品的各种预设时间间隔的连续购买行为的平均发生次数,该目标产品的各种预设时间间隔及其对应的连续购买行为的平均发生次数构成目标产品对应的平均购买时间序列。The average number of occurrences of consecutive purchase behaviors in the purchase time series of the target product purchased by the preset number of users is averaged, and the average number of consecutive purchase behaviors of all users for various preset time intervals of the target product is obtained, and the target product is obtained. The various preset time intervals and the corresponding average number of occurrences of the consecutive purchase behaviors constitute an average purchase time series corresponding to the target product.
第二预测模块160,用于根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该预设数量用户购买的该目标产品对应的第一分析模型,将所述平均购买时间序列输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成该目标产品的第二购买预测值。The second prediction module 160 is configured to determine, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the preset number of users, and input the average purchase time series to In the corresponding first analysis model, a second purchase prediction value of the target product is generated.
最终预测模块170,用于根据产品类型与预先训练的第二分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的该目标产品对应的第二分析模型,将该目标产品的第一购买预测值、除该目标产品类型外的其它产品类型对应的第一购买预测值及该目标产品的第二购买预测值输入对应的第二分析模型中,生成该目标产品的最终购买预测值。其中,所述第二分析模型是预先构建并训练好的。所述第一分析模型为格兰杰模型(Granger模型),针对一种产品对应的第二分析模型的训练过程如下:The final prediction module 170 is configured to determine, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained second analysis model, a second analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the target user, and save the first purchase predicted value of the target product. A second purchase model corresponding to the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product type of the target product type and the second purchase predicted value of the target product is input, and a final purchase predicted value of the target product is generated. Wherein, the second analysis model is pre-built and trained. The first analysis model is a Granger model (Granger model), and the training process for a second analysis model corresponding to one product is as follows:
S21、从多个预先确定的业务服务器中提取出预设数量用户对应的各种产品类型的购买数据,根据该购买数据中对应的购买时间点,分别为各个用户生成各种产品对应的购买时间序列;S21. Extract purchase data of various product types corresponding to a preset number of users from a plurality of predetermined service servers, and generate purchase time corresponding to each product for each user according to the corresponding purchase time point in the purchase data. sequence;
S22、从所述预设数量用户中逐一进行用户选择直到所有用户选择完毕,在选择一个用户后,根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该用户购买的各种产品对应的第一分析模型,将该用户购买的各种产品对应的购买时间序列分别输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第一购买预测值,分别将所述预设数量用户的每一种产品的购买时间序列进行均值处理,生成所述预设数量用户的各种产品对应的平均购买时间序列, 并将各种产品对应的平均购买时间序列输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第二购买预测值,将所述选择的用户针对每一种产品第一购买预测值、除该种产品外的其它产品类型对应的第一购买预测值和该种产品对应的第二购买预测值作为该用户该种产品的样本数据;S22: Perform user selection one by one from the preset number of users until all users select, and after selecting one user, determine, according to the mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, determine corresponding products purchased by the user. The first analysis model, the purchase time series corresponding to the various products purchased by the user are respectively input into the corresponding first analysis model, and the first purchase prediction values corresponding to the various products are generated, and the preset number of users are respectively respectively generated. The purchase time series of each product is subjected to mean processing, generating an average purchase time series corresponding to various products of the preset number of users, and inputting an average purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding first analysis model Generating, according to the second purchase prediction value corresponding to each product, the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the first purchase of each product, the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product types other than the product, and the kind The second purchase predicted value corresponding to the product is used as sample data of the product of the user;
S23、将样本数据分成第一比例的训练集和第二比例的验证集,其中,第一比例大于第二比例;S23. Divide the sample data into a training set of a first ratio and a verification set of a second ratio, where the first ratio is greater than the second ratio;
S24、利用训练集中各个样本数据对所述第二分析模型进行训练,并在训练完成后利用验证集中各个样本数据对训练的所述第二分析模型的准确率进行验证;S24. Train the second analysis model by using each sample data in the training set, and verify the accuracy of the second analysis model of the training by using each sample data in the verification set after the training is completed;
S25、若准确率大于预设阈值,则训练完成,若准确率小于或等于预设阈值,则通过增加S21中用户的数量,增加样本数据的数量,之后执行步骤S22。S25. If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, the number of samples is increased by increasing the number of users in S21. Then, step S22 is performed.
如图3所示,是本申请产品购买预测方法第一实施例的流程图。As shown in FIG. 3, it is a flowchart of the first embodiment of the product purchase prediction method of the present application.
在本实施例中,处理器12执行存储器11中存储的产品购买预测程序10的计算机程序时实现产品购买预测方法包括:步骤S10-步骤S70:In this embodiment, when the processor 12 executes the computer program of the product purchase prediction program 10 stored in the memory 11, the method for implementing the product purchase prediction includes: Step S10 - Step S70:
步骤S10,接收模块110接收带有目标用户身份标识信息和目标产品类型的分析请求。其中,所述目标用户身份标识信息是指标示识别目标用户身份的信息,如用户姓名和身份证号码等。所述产品类型包括:股票、基金、理财、保险等产品。所述目标产品类型可以指一种或多种产品类型,但应理解地是,下述的方法步骤仅针对目标用户购买的其中一种类型产品预测出该用户的购买倾向。In step S10, the receiving module 110 receives an analysis request with the target user identity information and the target product type. The target user identity information is information indicating the identity of the target user, such as a user name and an identity card number. The product types include: stocks, funds, wealth management, insurance and other products. The target product type may refer to one or more product types, but it should be understood that the method steps described below predict the user's purchasing propensity only for one of the types of products purchased by the target user.
步骤S20,根据接收到的请求,提取模块120从多个预先确定的业务服务器中分别提取出与该目标用户身份标识信息对应的各种产品类型的购买数据及预设数量用户有关目标产品类型的购买数据。其中,所述业务服务器包括:银行服务器、股票服务器、保险服务器等。所述购买数据是指用户身份标识信息及对应的产品的购买时间点。但应理解地是,一个用户不止购买一种产品,因此,所述各种产品类型的购买数据是指该目标用户所购买的所有产品类型的购买数据。如图7所示,是本申请产品购买数据示意图。假设,用户1为目标用户,用户1曾在银行服务器购买的基金产品为目标产品,则购买时间点12为目标产品类型的购买数据。银行服务器记录该用户1的身份标识信息及基金购买的各个时间点。同一个业务服务器可以出售不同类型的产品,例如,用户1可以在银行服务器购买基金产品,也可以在银行服务器购买理财产品。所述预设数量用户可以是所有购买产品的用户,也可以是预设数量随机抽取的用户。Step S20: The extracting module 120 extracts, according to the received request, the purchase data of the various product types corresponding to the target user identity information from the plurality of predetermined service servers, and the preset number of users related to the target product type. Purchase data. The service server includes: a bank server, a stock server, an insurance server, and the like. The purchase data refers to the user identification information and the purchase time point of the corresponding product. However, it should be understood that a user not only purchases one product, but the purchase data of the various product types refers to purchase data of all product types purchased by the target user. As shown in FIG. 7, it is a schematic diagram of the purchase data of the product of the present application. Assume that user 1 is the target user, and the fund product that user 1 purchased at the bank server is the target product, then the purchase time point 12 is the purchase data of the target product type. The bank server records the identity information of the user 1 and various time points of the fund purchase. Different types of products can be sold by the same business server. For example, user 1 can purchase fund products on a bank server or purchase wealth management products on a bank server. The preset number of users may be all users who purchase products, or may be a preset number of randomly selected users.
步骤S30,根据提取出的各种产品购买数据中各种产品对应的购买时间点,生成模块130生成各种产品对应的购买时间序列(X,Y)。例如,目标用户的基金产品购买数据对应的购买时间点为:2017.1.1,2017.1.5,2017.1.9,2017.2.8,2017.2.15,2017.2.18,2017.2.21,2017.2.24,则可以生成该用户的基金产品的购买时间序列(4,3)、(0,1)、(3,4),其中,(4,3)中的数字4代表间隔4天的连续购买行为的间隔天数,数字3代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的购买次数,(0,1)中的数字0代表非连续购买行为,数字1代表非连续购买行为的购买次数。In step S30, the generating module 130 generates a purchase time series (X, Y) corresponding to each product according to the purchase time points corresponding to the various products in the extracted various product purchase data. For example, the purchase time of the target product's fund product purchase data is: 2017.1.1, 2017.1.5, 2017.1.9, 2017.2.8, 2017.2.15, 2017.2.18, 2017.2.21, 2017.2.24, then Generating the purchase time series (4, 3), (0, 1), (3, 4) of the user's fund product, wherein the number 4 in (4, 3) represents the interval between consecutive purchases of 4 days apart The number 3 represents the number of purchases of consecutive purchases separated by the same number of days, the number 0 in (0, 1) represents the non-continuous purchase behavior, and the number 1 represents the number of purchases of the non-continuous purchase behavior.
步骤S40,根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的各种产品对应的第一分析模型,第一预测模块140将各种产品对应的购买时间序列分别输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第一购买预测值。其中,每一种产品类型对应一种第一分析模型,所述第一分析模型是预先构建并训练好的。所述第一分析模型为LSTM模型,如图5所示,是本申请第一分析模型训练的流程图,针对一种产品对应的第一分析 模型的训练过程如下:Step S40: Determine a first analysis model corresponding to each product purchased by the target user according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, and the first prediction module 140 inputs the purchase time series corresponding to each product separately. In the corresponding first analysis model, a first purchase prediction value corresponding to each product is generated. Each product type corresponds to a first analysis model, which is pre-built and trained. The first analysis model is an LSTM model, as shown in FIG. 5, which is a flowchart of the first analysis model training of the present application. The training process for the first analysis model corresponding to a product is as follows:
S11、从多个预先确定的业务服务器中提取出预设数量用户对应的某种产品类型的购买数据,根据该购买数据中对应的购买时间点,分别为各个用户生成该种产品对应的购买时间序列。例如,从银行服务器中随机选取10万个用户,提取出各个用户的基金产品购买数据,并根据对应的购买时间点生成各个用户的基金产品的购买时间序列。S11. Extracting, from a plurality of predetermined service servers, purchase data of a certain product type corresponding to a preset number of users, and generating, according to the purchase time point in the purchase data, a purchase time corresponding to the product for each user. sequence. For example, 100,000 users are randomly selected from the bank server, the fund product purchase data of each user is extracted, and the purchase time series of the fund products of each user is generated according to the corresponding purchase time point.
S12、将该种产品对应的购买时间序列分成第一比例的训练集和第二比例的验证集,其中,第一比例大于第二比例。例如,将80%用户的基金产品的购买时间序列作为训练集,将剩余20%用户的基金产品的购买时间序列作为验证集。S12. The purchase time series corresponding to the product is divided into a training set of a first ratio and a verification set of a second ratio, wherein the first ratio is greater than the second ratio. For example, a purchase time series of a fund product of 80% of users is used as a training set, and a purchase time series of fund products of the remaining 20% of users is used as a verification set.
S13、利用训练集中的购买时间序列对所述第一分析模型进行训练,并在训练完后利用验证集中的购买时间序列对所述第一分析模型的准确率进行验证。例如,将训练集中8万个用户的基金产品的购买时间序列输入到模型中训练,生成第一分析模型,并将验证集中2万个用户的基金产品的购买时间序列输入到生成的第一分析模型中进行准确率验证。S13. Train the first analysis model by using a purchase time series in the training set, and verify the accuracy of the first analysis model by using a purchase time series in the verification set after the training. For example, the training time series of the fund products of the training set of 80,000 users is input into the model training, the first analysis model is generated, and the purchase time series of the fund products of the 20,000 users is input to the first analysis generated. Accuracy verification is performed in the model.
S14、若准确率大于预设阈值,则训练完成,若准确率小于或等于预设阈值,则通过增加S11中用户的数量,增加购买时间序列的数量,之后执行步骤S12。例如,若验证准确率大于96%,则训练完成,若准确率小于96%,则增加2万个用户的购买时间序列,之后执行步骤S12。S14. If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, increase the number of users in S11, and increase the number of purchase time series, and then perform step S12. For example, if the verification accuracy is greater than 96%, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than 96%, the purchase time sequence of 20,000 users is increased, and then step S12 is performed.
步骤S50,均值处理模块150将预设数量用户的目标产品的购买时间序列进行均值处理,生成预设数量用户的该目标产品对应的平均购买时间序列。例如,将1万个用户的基金产品的购买时间序列进行均值处理,生成基金产品对应的平均购买时间序列。其中,所述均值处理的步骤如下:In step S50, the average processing module 150 performs an average processing on the purchase time series of the target product of the preset number of users, and generates an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product of the preset number of users. For example, the purchase time series of the fund products of 10,000 users are averaged to generate an average purchase time series corresponding to the fund products. Wherein, the steps of the mean processing are as follows:
将预设数量用户购买的该目标产品的购买时间序列中连续购买行为的发生次数取平均值,得到所有用户针对该目标产品的各种预设时间间隔的连续购买行为的平均发生次数,该目标产品的各种预设时间间隔及其对应的连续购买行为的平均发生次数构成该目标产品对应的平均购买时间序列。例如,将1万个用户的基金产品的购买时间序列以列表的形式排列,如表1所示,其中间隔0代表非连续购买行为,间隔1代表购买时间间隔为1天,间隔N代表购买时间间隔为N天。The average number of occurrences of consecutive purchase behaviors in the purchase time series of the target product purchased by the preset number of users is averaged, and the average number of consecutive purchase behaviors of all users for various preset time intervals of the target product is obtained. The various preset time intervals of the product and the average number of occurrences of the corresponding consecutive purchase behaviors constitute an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product. For example, the purchase time series of the fund products of 10,000 users are arranged in a list, as shown in Table 1, wherein interval 0 represents a non-continuous purchase behavior, interval 1 represents a purchase time interval of 1 day, and interval N represents a purchase time. The interval is N days.
表1Table 1
用户IDUser ID 产品类型product type 间隔0Interval 0 间隔1Interval 1 间隔2Interval 2 ……...... 间隔NInterval N
ID00001ID00001 基金fund 77 1010 44 ……...... 33
ID00002ID00002 基金fund 44 55 66 ……...... 22
……...... ……...... ……...... ……...... ……...... ……...... ……......
ID10000ID10000 基金fund 33 55 44 ……...... 00
均值处理模块150将该产品的各种预设时间间隔的列中的数据取平均值,将平均值四舍五入再取整数,得到所有用户针对该产品的各种预设时间间隔的平均连续购买次数,该产品的各种预设时间间隔及其对应的平均连续购买次数构成对应产品的一个平均购买时间序列。例如,将间隔0的购买次数取平均值:(7+4+……+3)/10000,假设,得到平均购买次数为5,则生成的基金产品的一个平均购买时间序列为(0,5)。The averaging processing module 150 averages the data in the columns of the various preset time intervals of the product, rounds the average value and then takes the integer, and obtains the average consecutive purchase times of all the preset time intervals of the user for the product. The various preset time intervals of the product and their corresponding average consecutive purchases constitute an average purchase time series for the corresponding product. For example, the average number of purchases at interval 0 is averaged: (7+4+...+3)/10000, assuming that the average number of purchases is 5, an average purchase time series for the generated fund product is (0,5). ).
步骤S60,根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,第二预测模块160将该目标产品对应的平均购买时间序列输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成该目标产品对应的第二购买预测值。例如,将1万用户的基金产品对应的平均购买时间序列输入到基金产品对应的第一分析模型中,生成基金 产品的第二购买预测值。Step S60: The second prediction module 160 inputs the average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product into the corresponding first analysis model according to the mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, and generates a corresponding Second, purchase the predicted value. For example, the average purchase time series corresponding to the fund products of 10,000 users is input into the first analysis model corresponding to the fund products, and the second purchase predicted value of the fund products is generated.
步骤S70,根据产品类型与预先训练的第二分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的该目标产品对应的第二分析模型,最终预测模块170将目标产品对应的第一购买预测值、除目标产品类型外的其它类型产品对应的第一购买预测值及该目标产品对应的第二购买预测值输入对应的第二分析模型中,生成该目标产品对应的最终购买预测值。例如,将目标用户的基金产品的第一购买预测值、除基金产品外目标用户的其它类型产品的第一购买预测值及基金产品的第二购买预测值输入到基金产品的第二分析模型,得到基金产品的最终购买预测值。其中,所述第二分析模型是预先构建并训练好的。所述第一分析模型为Granger模型,如图6所示,是本申请第二分析模型训练的流程图,针对一种产品对应的第二分析模型的训练过程如下:Step S70: Determine, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained second analysis model, a second analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the target user, and the final prediction module 170 divides the first purchase prediction value corresponding to the target product. A second purchase model corresponding to the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other type of products other than the target product type and the second purchase predicted value corresponding to the target product is input, and a final purchase predicted value corresponding to the target product is generated. For example, inputting a first purchase predicted value of the target user's fund product, a first purchase predicted value of the other type of product of the target user other than the fund product, and a second purchase predicted value of the fund product into the second analysis model of the fund product, Get the final purchase forecast for the fund product. Wherein, the second analysis model is pre-built and trained. The first analysis model is a Granger model, as shown in FIG. 6 , which is a flowchart of the second analysis model training of the present application, and the training process for the second analysis model corresponding to one product is as follows:
S21、从多个预先确定的业务服务器中提取出预设数量用户对应的各种产品类型的购买数据,根据各种产品购买数据中对应的购买时间点,分别为各个用户生成各种产品对应的购买时间序列。例如,从银行服务器、股票服务器、保险服务器等多个业务服务器中提取10万用户对应的各种产品购买数据,根据购买数据中的购买时间点,生成各种产品对应的购买时间序列。S21. Extracting purchase data of various product types corresponding to a preset number of users from a plurality of predetermined service servers, and generating corresponding products for each user according to corresponding purchase time points in the purchase data of the various products. Purchase time series. For example, various product purchase data corresponding to 100,000 users are extracted from a plurality of business servers such as a bank server, a stock server, and an insurance server, and a purchase time series corresponding to each product is generated based on the purchase time point in the purchase data.
S22、从所述预设数量用户中逐一进行用户选择直到所有用户选择完毕,在选择一个用户后,根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该用户购买的各种产品对应的第一分析模型,将该用户购买的各种产品对应的购买时间序列分别输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第一购买预测值。所述逐一进行用户选择是指逐一选择每一个用户作为目标用户,并算出该用户的第一购买预测值,直到选择完所有预设数量的用户,算出所有的用户的第一购买预测值。分别将所述预设数量用户的每一种产品的购买时间序列进行均值处理,生成各种产品对应的平均购买时间序列,并将各种产品对应的平均购买时间序列输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第二购买预测值。例如,将10万用户的每一种产品的购买时间序列进行均值处理,生成每种产品对应的平均购买时间序列,并输入到第一分析模型得到各种产品的第二购买预测值。将所述选择的用户针对每一种产品第一购买预测值、除该种产品外的其它类型产品对应的第一购买预测值和该种产品类型的产品对应的第二购买预测值作为该用户该种产品的样本数据。S22: Perform user selection one by one from the preset number of users until all users select, and after selecting one user, determine, according to the mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, determine corresponding products purchased by the user. The first analysis model inputs the purchase time series corresponding to the various products purchased by the user into the corresponding first analysis model, and generates first purchase prediction values corresponding to the various products. The user selection one by one means that each user is selected as the target user one by one, and the first purchase prediction value of the user is calculated, until all the preset number of users are selected, and the first purchase prediction values of all the users are calculated. The purchase time series of each product of the preset number of users are averaged, respectively, and an average purchase time series corresponding to each product is generated, and an average purchase time series corresponding to each product is input to the corresponding first analysis. In the model, a second purchase predicted value corresponding to each product is generated. For example, the purchase time series of each product of 100,000 users is averaged, and an average purchase time series corresponding to each product is generated, and input into the first analysis model to obtain a second purchase prediction value of each product. The selected user is the first purchase predicted value for each product, the first purchase predicted value corresponding to other types of products other than the product, and the second purchase predicted value corresponding to the product of the product type as the user. Sample data for this product.
S23、将样本数据分成第一比例的训练集和第二比例的验证集,其中,第一比例大于第二比例。例如,随机将80%的样本数据作为训练集,将剩余20%的样本数据作为验证集。S23. Divide the sample data into a training set of a first ratio and a verification set of a second ratio, wherein the first ratio is greater than the second ratio. For example, 80% of the sample data is randomly used as the training set, and the remaining 20% of the sample data is used as the verification set.
S24、利用训练集中各个样本数据对所述第二分析模型进行训练,并在训练完成后利用验证集中各个样本数据对训练的所述第二分析模型的准确率进行验证。例如,将训练集中8万个用户的样本数据输入到模型中训练,生成第二分析模型,并将验证集中2万个用户的样本数据输入到生成的第一分析模型中进行准确率验证。S24. Train the second analysis model by using each sample data in the training set, and verify the accuracy of the trained second analysis model by using each sample data in the verification set after the training is completed. For example, the sample data of 80,000 users in the training set is input into the model for training, a second analysis model is generated, and sample data of 20,000 users in the verification set is input into the generated first analysis model for accuracy verification.
S25、若准确率大于预设阈值,则训练完成,若准确率小于或等于预设阈值,则通过增加用户的数量,增加样本数据的数量,之后执行步骤S22。例如,若验证准确率大于98%,则训练完成,若准确率小于98%,则增加2万个用户的购买时间序列,之后执行步骤S22。S25. If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, the number of sample data is increased by increasing the number of users, and then step S22 is performed. For example, if the verification accuracy is greater than 98%, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than 98%, the purchase time sequence of 20,000 users is increased, and then step S22 is performed.
上述实施例提出的产品购买预测方法,根据用户购买产品的时间序列,利用第一分析模型分别算出该目标用户的第一购买预测值及该目标产品的第二购买预测值,最后将该目标用户的目标产品的第一购买预测值、目标用户除该目标产品外其它产品的第一购买预测值及该目标产品的第二购买预测值输入第二分析模型,得到目标用户的该目标产品的最终购买预测值,从而准 确的预测出用户的连续购买倾向,提前做好营销服务工作。The product purchase prediction method according to the above embodiment, according to the time series of the user purchasing the product, using the first analysis model to respectively calculate the first purchase prediction value of the target user and the second purchase prediction value of the target product, and finally the target user. The first purchase predicted value of the target product, the first purchase predicted value of the target product other than the target product, and the second purchase predicted value of the target product are input into the second analysis model to obtain the final target product of the target user. Buying predicted values, so as to accurately predict the user's continuous purchase tendency, and do a good job in marketing services in advance.
如图4所示,是本申请产品购买预测方法第二实施例的流程图。As shown in FIG. 4, it is a flowchart of the second embodiment of the product purchase prediction method of the present application.
在本实施例中,产品购买预测方法包括:步骤S100-步骤S700。其中步骤S300-步骤S700与第一实施例中的内容大致相同,这里不再赘述。In this embodiment, the product purchase prediction method includes: step S100 - step S700. The steps S300-S700 are substantially the same as those in the first embodiment, and details are not described herein again.
步骤S100,接收模块110实时从多个预先确定的业务服务器中接收所有用户对应的各种产品购买数据。例如,每当有用户在银行服务器、股票服务器或保险服务器进行产品购买时,接收模块110将自动从银行服务器、股票服务器或保险服务器接收该用户购买某产品的数据。In step S100, the receiving module 110 receives various product purchase data corresponding to all users from a plurality of predetermined service servers in real time. For example, whenever a user makes a product purchase at a bank server, a stock server, or an insurance server, the receiving module 110 will automatically receive data from the bank server, stock server, or insurance server that the user purchased a product.
步骤S200,收到带有目标用户身份标识信息和目标产品类型的分析请求后,提取模块120提取出与该目标用户身份标识信息对应的各种产品购买数据及预设数量用户有关该目标产品购买数据。例如,当接收到目标用户身份标识信息和理财产品的分析请求后,提取模块120提取出与用户身份标识信息对应的各种产品购买数据及1万用户的理财产品购买数据。Step S200, after receiving the analysis request with the target user identity information and the target product type, the extraction module 120 extracts various product purchase data corresponding to the target user identity information and a preset number of users related to the target product purchase. data. For example, after receiving the analysis request of the target user identity information and the wealth management product, the extraction module 120 extracts various product purchase data corresponding to the user identity identification information and the wealth management product purchase data of 10,000 users.
本实施例提出的产品购买预测方法,通过实时接收用户的产品购买数据,当接收到分析请求时,根据请求信息提取目标用户及其他用户的产品购买数据并生成购买时间序列,根据购买时间序列,利用第一分析模型分别算出目标用户的第一购买预测值及目标产品的第二购买预测值,最后将目标用户的该目标产品的第一购买预测值、目标用户除该目标产品外其它产品的第一购买预测值及该目标产品的第二购买预测值输入第二分析模型,得到目标用户的该目标产品的最终购买预测值,与第一实施例相比,本实施例在接收到请求后无需再从业务服务器中提取用户的购买数据,缩短分析预测时间,提高工作效率。The product purchase prediction method proposed in this embodiment receives the product purchase data of the user in real time, and when receiving the analysis request, extracts product purchase data of the target user and other users according to the request information, and generates a purchase time sequence, according to the purchase time series. Using the first analysis model, respectively calculating the first purchase predicted value of the target user and the second purchase predicted value of the target product, and finally, the first purchase predicted value of the target product of the target user, and the target user other products than the target product. The first purchase predicted value and the second purchase predicted value of the target product are input into the second analysis model to obtain a final purchase predicted value of the target product of the target user. Compared with the first embodiment, the embodiment receives the request. No need to extract user's purchase data from the business server, shorten the analysis and forecast time, and improve work efficiency.
此外,本申请实施例还提出一种计算机可读存储介质,所述计算机可读存储介质中包括产品购买预测程序10,所述产品购买预测程序10被处理器执行时实现如下操作:In addition, the embodiment of the present application further provides a computer readable storage medium, where the computer readable storage medium includes a product purchase prediction program 10, and when the product purchase prediction program 10 is executed by the processor, the following operations are implemented:
接收步骤:接收带有目标用户身份标识信息和目标产品类型的分析请求;Receiving step: receiving an analysis request with the target user identity information and the target product type;
提取步骤:从多个预先确定的业务服务器中分别提取出与该目标用户身份标识信息对应的各种产品类型的购买数据及预设数量用户有关该目标产品类型的购买数据;The extracting step: extracting, from a plurality of predetermined service servers, purchase data of various product types corresponding to the target user identity information and purchase data of a preset number of users regarding the target product type;
生成步骤:根据提取出的购买数据的购买时间点,生成对应的购买时间序列(X,Y),其中X代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的间隔天数,Y代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的发生次数;Generating step: generating a corresponding purchase time series (X, Y) according to the purchase time point of the extracted purchase data, wherein X represents the interval between consecutive purchases of the same number of days, and Y represents the continuous purchase behavior of the same number of days Number of occurrences;
第一预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的各种产品对应的第一分析模型,将各种产品对应的购买时间序列分别输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第一购买预测值;a first prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to each product purchased by the target user, and inputting a purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding In the first analysis model, generating a first purchase prediction value corresponding to each product;
均值处理步骤:将所述预设数量用户的目标产品的购买时间序列进行均值处理,生成所述预设数量用户的该目标产品对应的平均购买时间序列;Mean processing step: performing a mean processing on the purchase time series of the target product of the preset number of users, and generating an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product of the preset number of users;
第二预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该预设数量用户购买的该目标产品对应的第一分析模型,将所述平均购买时间序列输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成该目标产品的第二购买预测值;a second prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the preset number of users, and inputting the average purchase time series to the corresponding first In an analysis model, generating a second purchase predicted value of the target product;
最终预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第二分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的该目标产品对应的第二分析模型,将该目标产品的第一购买预测值、除该目标产品类型外的其它产品类型对应的第一购买预测值及该目标产品的第二购买预测值输入对应的第二分析模型中,生成该目标产品的最终购买预测值。a final prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained second analysis model, a second analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the target user, and the first purchase predicted value of the target product, in addition to the target product A second purchase model corresponding to the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product type of the type and the second purchase predicted value of the target product is input, and a final purchase predicted value of the target product is generated.
优选地,所述第一分析模型为长短期记忆网络模型,针对一种产品对应的第一分析模型包括以下训练步骤:Preferably, the first analysis model is a long-term and short-term memory network model, and the first analysis model corresponding to one product includes the following training steps:
S11、从多个预先确定的业务服务器中提取出预设数量用户对应的某种产品类型的购买数据,根据该购买数据中对应的购买时间点,分别为各个用户生成该种产品对应的购买时间序列;S11. Extracting, from a plurality of predetermined service servers, purchase data of a certain product type corresponding to a preset number of users, and generating, according to the purchase time point in the purchase data, a purchase time corresponding to the product for each user. sequence;
S12、将该种产品对应的购买时间序列分成第一比例的训练集和第二比例的验证集,其中,第一比例大于第二比例;S12. The purchase time series corresponding to the product is divided into a training set of a first ratio and a verification set of a second ratio, wherein the first ratio is greater than the second ratio;
S13、利用训练集中的购买时间序列对所述第一分析模型进行训练,并在训练完后利用验证集中的购买时间序列对所述第一分析模型的准确率进行验证;S13: training the first analysis model by using a purchase time series in the training set, and verifying the accuracy of the first analysis model by using a purchase time series in the verification set after the training;
S14、若准确率大于预设阈值,则训练完成,若准确率小于或等于预设阈值,则通过增加S11中用户的数量,增加购买时间序列的数量,之后执行步骤S12。S14. If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, increase the number of users in S11, and increase the number of purchase time series, and then perform step S12.
优选地,所述均值处理步骤还包括:Preferably, the mean processing step further comprises:
将预设数量用户购买的该目标产品的购买时间序列中连续购买行为的发生次数取平均值,得到所有用户针对该目标产品的各种预设时间间隔的连续购买行为的平均发生次数,该目标产品的各种预设时间间隔及其对应的连续购买行为的平均发生次数构成该目标产品对应的平均购买时间序列。The average number of occurrences of consecutive purchase behaviors in the purchase time series of the target product purchased by the preset number of users is averaged, and the average number of consecutive purchase behaviors of all users for various preset time intervals of the target product is obtained. The various preset time intervals of the product and the average number of occurrences of the corresponding consecutive purchase behaviors constitute an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product.
优选地,所述第二分析模型为格兰杰模型,针对一种产品对应的第二分析模型包括以下训练步骤:Preferably, the second analysis model is a Granger model, and the second analysis model corresponding to one product comprises the following training steps:
S21、从多个预先确定的业务服务器中提取出预设数量用户对应的各种产品类型的购买数据,根据该购买数据中对应的购买时间点,分别为各个用户生成各种产品对应的购买时间序列;S21. Extract purchase data of various product types corresponding to a preset number of users from a plurality of predetermined service servers, and generate purchase time corresponding to each product for each user according to the corresponding purchase time point in the purchase data. sequence;
S22、从所述预设数量用户中逐一进行用户选择直到所有用户选择完毕,在选择一个用户后,根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该用户购买的各种产品对应的第一分析模型,将该用户购买的各种产品对应的购买时间序列分别输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第一购买预测值,分别将所述预设数量用户的每一种产品的购买时间序列进行均值处理,生成所述预设数量用户的各种产品对应的平均购买时间序列,并将各种产品对应的平均购买时间序列输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第二购买预测值,将所述选择的用户针对每一种产品第一购买预测值、除该种产品外的其它产品类型对应的第一购买预测值和该种产品对应的第二购买预测值作为该用户该种产品的样本数据;S22: Perform user selection one by one from the preset number of users until all users select, and after selecting one user, determine, according to the mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, determine corresponding products purchased by the user. The first analysis model, the purchase time series corresponding to the various products purchased by the user are respectively input into the corresponding first analysis model, and the first purchase prediction values corresponding to the various products are generated, and the preset number of users are respectively respectively generated. The purchase time series of each product is subjected to mean processing, generating an average purchase time series corresponding to various products of the preset number of users, and inputting an average purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding first analysis model Generating, according to the second purchase prediction value corresponding to each product, the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the first purchase of each product, the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product types other than the product, and the kind The second purchase predicted value corresponding to the product is used as sample data of the product of the user;
S23、将样本数据分成第一比例的训练集和第二比例的验证集,其中,第一比例大于第二比例;S23. Divide the sample data into a training set of a first ratio and a verification set of a second ratio, where the first ratio is greater than the second ratio;
S24、利用训练集中各个样本数据对所述第二分析模型进行训练,并在训练完成后利用验证集中各个样本数据对训练的所述第二分析模型的准确率进行验证;S24. Train the second analysis model by using each sample data in the training set, and verify the accuracy of the second analysis model of the training by using each sample data in the verification set after the training is completed;
S25、若准确率大于预设阈值,则训练完成,若准确率小于或等于预设阈值,则通过增加S21中用户的数量,增加样本数据的数量,之后执行步骤S22。S25. If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, the number of samples is increased by increasing the number of users in S21. Then, step S22 is performed.
可选地,本申请还提供另一种产品购买预测方法,该方法包括:Optionally, the application further provides another product purchase prediction method, the method comprising:
接收步骤:实时从多个预先确定的业务服务器中接收所有用户对应的各种产品类型的购买数据;Receiving step: receiving purchase data of various product types corresponding to all users from a plurality of predetermined service servers in real time;
提取步骤:收到带有目标用户身份标识信息和目标产品类型的分析请求后,提取出与该目标用户身份标识信息对应的各种产品类型的购买数据及预设数量用户有关该目标产品类型的购买数据;Extracting step: after receiving the analysis request with the target user identity information and the target product type, extracting the purchase data of the various product types corresponding to the target user identity information and the preset number of users related to the target product type Purchase data;
生成步骤:根据提取出的购买数据的购买时间点,生成对应的购买时间 序列(X,Y),其中X代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的间隔天数,Y代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的发生次数;Generating step: generating a corresponding purchase time series (X, Y) according to the purchase time point of the extracted purchase data, wherein X represents the interval between consecutive purchases of the same number of days, and Y represents the continuous purchase behavior of the same number of days Number of occurrences;
第一预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的各种产品对应的第一分析模型,将各种产品对应的购买时间序列分别输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第一购买预测值;a first prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to each product purchased by the target user, and inputting a purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding In the first analysis model, generating a first purchase prediction value corresponding to each product;
均值处理步骤:将所述预设数量用户的目标产品的购买时间序列进行均值处理,生成所述预设数量用户的该目标产品对应的平均购买时间序列;Mean processing step: performing a mean processing on the purchase time series of the target product of the preset number of users, and generating an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product of the preset number of users;
第二预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该预设数量用户购买的该目标产品对应的第一分析模型,将所述平均购买时间序列输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成该目标产品的第二购买预测值;a second prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the preset number of users, and inputting the average purchase time series to the corresponding first In an analysis model, generating a second purchase predicted value of the target product;
最终预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第二分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的该目标产品对应的第二分析模型,将该目标产品的第一购买预测值、除该目标产品类型外的其它产品类型对应的第一购买预测值及该目标产品的第二购买预测值输入对应的第二分析模型中,生成该目标产品的最终购买预测值。a final prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained second analysis model, a second analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the target user, and the first purchase predicted value of the target product, in addition to the target product A second purchase model corresponding to the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product type of the type and the second purchase predicted value of the target product is input, and a final purchase predicted value of the target product is generated.
本申请之计算机可读存储介质的具体实施方式与上述产品购买预测方法的具体实施方式大致相同,在此不再赘述。The specific implementation manner of the computer readable storage medium of the present application is substantially the same as the specific implementation manner of the foregoing product purchase prediction method, and details are not described herein again.
上述本申请实施例序号仅仅为了描述,不代表实施例的优劣。The serial numbers of the embodiments of the present application are merely for the description, and do not represent the advantages and disadvantages of the embodiments.
通过以上的实施方式的描述,本领域的技术人员可以清楚地了解到上述实施例方法可借助软件加必需的通用硬件平台的方式来实现,当然也可以通过硬件,但很多情况下前者是更佳的实施方式。基于这样的理解,本申请的技术方案本质上或者说对现有技术做出贡献的部分可以以软件产品的形式体现出来,该计算机软件产品存储在如上所述的一个存储介质(如ROM/RAM、磁碟、光盘)中,包括若干指令用以使得一台终端设备(可以是手机,计算机,服务器,或者网络设备等)执行本申请各个实施例所述的方法。Through the description of the above embodiments, those skilled in the art can clearly understand that the foregoing embodiment method can be implemented by means of software plus a necessary general hardware platform, and of course, can also be through hardware, but in many cases, the former is better. Implementation. Based on such understanding, the technical solution of the present application, which is essential or contributes to the prior art, may be embodied in the form of a software product stored in a storage medium (such as ROM/RAM as described above). , a disk, an optical disk, including a number of instructions for causing a terminal device (which may be a mobile phone, a computer, a server, or a network device, etc.) to perform the methods described in the various embodiments of the present application.
以上仅为本申请的优选实施例,并非因此限制本申请的专利范围,凡是利用本申请说明书及附图内容所作的等效结构或等效流程变换,或直接或间接运用在其它相关的技术领域,均同理包括在本申请的专利保护范围内。The above is only a preferred embodiment of the present application, and thus does not limit the scope of the patent application, and the equivalent structure or equivalent process transformation made by the specification and the drawings of the present application, or directly or indirectly applied to other related technical fields. The same is included in the scope of patent protection of this application.

Claims (20)

  1. 一种产品购买预测方法,应用于服务器,其特征在于,所述方法包括:A product purchase prediction method is applied to a server, wherein the method comprises:
    接收步骤:接收带有目标用户身份标识信息和目标产品类型的分析请求;Receiving step: receiving an analysis request with the target user identity information and the target product type;
    提取步骤:从多个预先确定的业务服务器中分别提取出与该目标用户身份标识信息对应的各种产品类型的购买数据及预设数量用户有关该目标产品类型的购买数据;The extracting step: extracting, from a plurality of predetermined service servers, purchase data of various product types corresponding to the target user identity information and purchase data of a preset number of users regarding the target product type;
    生成步骤:根据提取出的购买数据的购买时间点,生成对应的购买时间序列(X,Y),其中X代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的间隔天数,Y代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的发生次数;Generating step: generating a corresponding purchase time series (X, Y) according to the purchase time point of the extracted purchase data, wherein X represents the interval between consecutive purchases of the same number of days, and Y represents the continuous purchase behavior of the same number of days Number of occurrences;
    第一预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的各种产品对应的第一分析模型,将各种产品对应的购买时间序列分别输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第一购买预测值;a first prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to each product purchased by the target user, and inputting a purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding In the first analysis model, generating a first purchase prediction value corresponding to each product;
    均值处理步骤:将所述预设数量用户的目标产品的购买时间序列进行均值处理,生成所述预设数量用户的该目标产品对应的平均购买时间序列;Mean processing step: performing a mean processing on the purchase time series of the target product of the preset number of users, and generating an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product of the preset number of users;
    第二预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该预设数量用户购买的该目标产品对应的第一分析模型,将所述平均购买时间序列输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成该目标产品的第二购买预测值;a second prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the preset number of users, and inputting the average purchase time series to the corresponding first In an analysis model, generating a second purchase predicted value of the target product;
    最终预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第二分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的该目标产品对应的第二分析模型,将该目标产品的第一购买预测值、除该目标产品类型外的其它产品类型对应的第一购买预测值及该目标产品的第二购买预测值输入对应的第二分析模型中,生成该目标产品的最终购买预测值。a final prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained second analysis model, a second analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the target user, and the first purchase predicted value of the target product, in addition to the target product A second purchase model corresponding to the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product type of the type and the second purchase predicted value of the target product is input, and a final purchase predicted value of the target product is generated.
  2. 根据权利要求1所述的产品购买预测方法,其特征在于,所述第一分析模型为长短期记忆网络模型,针对一种产品对应的第一分析模型包括以下训练步骤:The product purchase prediction method according to claim 1, wherein the first analysis model is a long-term and short-term memory network model, and the first analysis model corresponding to one product comprises the following training steps:
    S11、从多个预先确定的业务服务器中提取出预设数量用户对应的某种产品类型的购买数据,根据该购买数据中对应的购买时间点,分别为各个用户生成该种产品对应的购买时间序列;S11. Extracting, from a plurality of predetermined service servers, purchase data of a certain product type corresponding to a preset number of users, and generating, according to the purchase time point in the purchase data, a purchase time corresponding to the product for each user. sequence;
    S12、将该种产品对应的购买时间序列分成第一比例的训练集和第二比例的验证集,其中,第一比例大于第二比例;S12. The purchase time series corresponding to the product is divided into a training set of a first ratio and a verification set of a second ratio, wherein the first ratio is greater than the second ratio;
    S13、利用训练集中的购买时间序列对所述第一分析模型进行训练,并在训练完后利用验证集中的购买时间序列对所述第一分析模型的准确率进行验证;S13: training the first analysis model by using a purchase time series in the training set, and verifying the accuracy of the first analysis model by using a purchase time series in the verification set after the training;
    S14、若准确率大于预设阈值,则训练完成,若准确率小于或等于预设阈值,则通过增加S11中用户的数量,增加购买时间序列的数量,之后执行步骤S12。S14. If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, increase the number of users in S11, and increase the number of purchase time series, and then perform step S12.
  3. 根据权利要求1所述的产品购买预测方法,其特征在于,所述均值处理步骤还包括:The product purchase prediction method according to claim 1, wherein the mean value processing step further comprises:
    将预设数量用户购买的该目标产品的购买时间序列中连续购买行为的发生次数取平均值,得到所有用户针对该目标产品的各种预设时间间隔的连续购买行为的平均发生次数,该目标产品的各种预设时间间隔及其对应的连续购买行为的平均发生次数构成该目标产品对应的平均购买时间序列。The average number of occurrences of consecutive purchase behaviors in the purchase time series of the target product purchased by the preset number of users is averaged, and the average number of consecutive purchase behaviors of all users for various preset time intervals of the target product is obtained. The various preset time intervals of the product and the average number of occurrences of the corresponding consecutive purchase behaviors constitute an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product.
  4. 根据权利要求1所述的产品购买预测方法,其特征在于,所述第二分析模型为格兰杰模型,针对一种产品对应的第二分析模型包括以下训练步骤:The product purchase prediction method according to claim 1, wherein the second analysis model is a Granger model, and the second analysis model corresponding to one product comprises the following training steps:
    S21、从多个预先确定的业务服务器中提取出预设数量用户对应的各种产 品类型的购买数据,根据该购买数据中对应的购买时间点,分别为各个用户生成各种产品对应的购买时间序列;S21. Extract purchase data of various product types corresponding to a preset number of users from a plurality of predetermined service servers, and generate purchase time corresponding to each product for each user according to the corresponding purchase time point in the purchase data. sequence;
    S22、从所述预设数量用户中逐一进行用户选择直到所有用户选择完毕,在选择一个用户后,根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该用户购买的各种产品对应的第一分析模型,将该用户购买的各种产品对应的购买时间序列分别输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第一购买预测值,分别将所述预设数量用户的每一种产品的购买时间序列进行均值处理,生成所述预设数量用户的各种产品对应的平均购买时间序列,并将各种产品对应的平均购买时间序列输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第二购买预测值,将所述选择的用户针对每一种产品第一购买预测值、除该种产品外的其它产品类型对应的第一购买预测值和该种产品对应的第二购买预测值作为该用户该种产品的样本数据;S22: Perform user selection one by one from the preset number of users until all users select, and after selecting one user, determine, according to the mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, determine corresponding products purchased by the user. The first analysis model, the purchase time series corresponding to the various products purchased by the user are respectively input into the corresponding first analysis model, and the first purchase prediction values corresponding to the various products are generated, and the preset number of users are respectively respectively generated. The purchase time series of each product is subjected to mean processing, generating an average purchase time series corresponding to various products of the preset number of users, and inputting an average purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding first analysis model Generating, according to the second purchase prediction value corresponding to each product, the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the first purchase of each product, the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product types other than the product, and the kind The second purchase predicted value corresponding to the product is used as sample data of the product of the user;
    S23、将样本数据分成第一比例的训练集和第二比例的验证集,其中,第一比例大于第二比例;S23. Divide the sample data into a training set of a first ratio and a verification set of a second ratio, where the first ratio is greater than the second ratio;
    S24、利用训练集中各个样本数据对所述第二分析模型进行训练,并在训练完成后利用验证集中各个样本数据对训练的所述第二分析模型的准确率进行验证;S24. Train the second analysis model by using each sample data in the training set, and verify the accuracy of the second analysis model of the training by using each sample data in the verification set after the training is completed;
    S25、若准确率大于预设阈值,则训练完成,若准确率小于或等于预设阈值,则通过增加S21中用户的数量,增加样本数据的数量,之后执行步骤S22。S25. If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, the number of samples is increased by increasing the number of users in S21. Then, step S22 is performed.
  5. 一种产品购买预测方法,其特征在于,所述方法包括:A product purchase prediction method, characterized in that the method comprises:
    接收步骤:实时从多个预先确定的业务服务器中接收所有用户对应的各种产品类型的购买数据;Receiving step: receiving purchase data of various product types corresponding to all users from a plurality of predetermined service servers in real time;
    提取步骤:收到带有目标用户身份标识信息和目标产品类型的分析请求后,提取出与该目标用户身份标识信息对应的各种产品类型的购买数据及预设数量用户有关该目标产品类型的购买数据;Extracting step: after receiving the analysis request with the target user identity information and the target product type, extracting the purchase data of the various product types corresponding to the target user identity information and the preset number of users related to the target product type Purchase data;
    生成步骤:根据提取出的购买数据的购买时间点,生成对应的购买时间序列(X,Y),其中X代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的间隔天数,Y代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的发生次数;Generating step: generating a corresponding purchase time series (X, Y) according to the purchase time point of the extracted purchase data, wherein X represents the interval between consecutive purchases of the same number of days, and Y represents the continuous purchase behavior of the same number of days Number of occurrences;
    第一预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的各种产品对应的第一分析模型,将各种产品对应的购买时间序列分别输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第一购买预测值;a first prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to each product purchased by the target user, and inputting a purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding In the first analysis model, generating a first purchase prediction value corresponding to each product;
    均值处理步骤:将所述预设数量用户的目标产品的购买时间序列进行均值处理,生成所述预设数量用户的该目标产品对应的平均购买时间序列;Mean processing step: performing a mean processing on the purchase time series of the target product of the preset number of users, and generating an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product of the preset number of users;
    第二预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该预设数量用户购买的该目标产品对应的第一分析模型,将所述平均购买时间序列输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成该目标产品的第二购买预测值;a second prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the preset number of users, and inputting the average purchase time series to the corresponding first In an analysis model, generating a second purchase predicted value of the target product;
    最终预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第二分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的该目标产品对应的第二分析模型,将该目标产品的第一购买预测值、除该目标产品类型外的其它产品类型对应的第一购买预测值及该目标产品的第二购买预测值输入对应的第二分析模型中,生成该目标产品的最终购买预测值。a final prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained second analysis model, a second analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the target user, and the first purchase predicted value of the target product, in addition to the target product A second purchase model corresponding to the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product type of the type and the second purchase predicted value of the target product is input, and a final purchase predicted value of the target product is generated.
  6. 根据权利要求5所述的产品购买预测方法,其特征在于,所述第一分析模型为长短期记忆网络模型,针对一种产品对应的第一分析模型包括以下训练步骤:The product purchase prediction method according to claim 5, wherein the first analysis model is a long-term and short-term memory network model, and the first analysis model corresponding to one product comprises the following training steps:
    S11、从多个预先确定的业务服务器中提取出预设数量用户对应的某种产 品类型的购买数据,根据该购买数据中对应的购买时间点,分别为各个用户生成该种产品对应的购买时间序列;S11. Extracting, from a plurality of predetermined service servers, purchase data of a certain product type corresponding to a preset number of users, and generating, according to the purchase time point in the purchase data, a purchase time corresponding to the product for each user. sequence;
    S12、将该种产品对应的购买时间序列分成第一比例的训练集和第二比例的验证集,其中,第一比例大于第二比例;S12. The purchase time series corresponding to the product is divided into a training set of a first ratio and a verification set of a second ratio, wherein the first ratio is greater than the second ratio;
    S13、利用训练集中的购买时间序列对所述第一分析模型进行训练,并在训练完后利用验证集中的购买时间序列对所述第一分析模型的准确率进行验证;S13: training the first analysis model by using a purchase time series in the training set, and verifying the accuracy of the first analysis model by using a purchase time series in the verification set after the training;
    S14、若准确率大于预设阈值,则训练完成,若准确率小于或等于预设阈值,则通过增加S11中用户的数量,增加购买时间序列的数量,之后执行步骤S12。S14. If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, increase the number of users in S11, and increase the number of purchase time series, and then perform step S12.
  7. 根据权利要求5所述的产品购买预测方法,其特征在于,所述第二分析模型为格兰杰模型,针对一种产品对应的第二分析模型包括以下训练步骤:The product purchase prediction method according to claim 5, wherein the second analysis model is a Granger model, and the second analysis model corresponding to one product comprises the following training steps:
    S21、从多个预先确定的业务服务器中提取出预设数量用户对应的各种产品类型的购买数据,根据该购买数据中对应的购买时间点,分别为各个用户生成各种产品对应的购买时间序列;S21. Extract purchase data of various product types corresponding to a preset number of users from a plurality of predetermined service servers, and generate purchase time corresponding to each product for each user according to the corresponding purchase time point in the purchase data. sequence;
    S22、从所述预设数量用户中逐一进行用户选择直到所有用户选择完毕,在选择一个用户后,根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该用户购买的各种产品对应的第一分析模型,将该用户购买的各种产品对应的购买时间序列分别输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第一购买预测值,分别将所述预设数量用户的每一种产品的购买时间序列进行均值处理,生成所述预设数量用户的各种产品对应的平均购买时间序列,并将各种产品对应的平均购买时间序列输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第二购买预测值,将所述选择的用户针对每一种产品第一购买预测值、除该种产品外的其它产品类型对应的第一购买预测值和该种产品对应的第二购买预测值作为该用户该种产品的样本数据;S22: Perform user selection one by one from the preset number of users until all users select, and after selecting one user, determine, according to the mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, determine corresponding products purchased by the user. The first analysis model, the purchase time series corresponding to the various products purchased by the user are respectively input into the corresponding first analysis model, and the first purchase prediction values corresponding to the various products are generated, and the preset number of users are respectively respectively generated. The purchase time series of each product is subjected to mean processing, generating an average purchase time series corresponding to various products of the preset number of users, and inputting an average purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding first analysis model Generating, according to the second purchase prediction value corresponding to each product, the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the first purchase of each product, the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product types other than the product, and the kind The second purchase predicted value corresponding to the product is used as sample data of the product of the user;
    S23、将样本数据分成第一比例的训练集和第二比例的验证集,其中,第一比例大于第二比例;S23. Divide the sample data into a training set of a first ratio and a verification set of a second ratio, where the first ratio is greater than the second ratio;
    S24、利用训练集中各个样本数据对所述第二分析模型进行训练,并在训练完成后利用验证集中各个样本数据对训练的所述第二分析模型的准确率进行验证;S24. Train the second analysis model by using each sample data in the training set, and verify the accuracy of the second analysis model of the training by using each sample data in the verification set after the training is completed;
    S25、若准确率大于预设阈值,则训练完成,若准确率小于或等于预设阈值,则通过增加S21中用户的数量,增加样本数据的数量,之后执行步骤S22。S25. If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, the number of samples is increased by increasing the number of users in S21. Then, step S22 is performed.
  8. 一种服务器,其特征在于,所述服务器包括:存储器、处理器及显示器,所述存储器上存储有产品购买预测程序,所述产品购买预测程序被所述处理器执行,可实现如下步骤:A server, comprising: a memory, a processor and a display, wherein the memory stores a product purchase prediction program, and the product purchase prediction program is executed by the processor, and the following steps can be implemented:
    接收步骤:接收带有目标用户身份标识信息和目标产品类型的分析请求;Receiving step: receiving an analysis request with the target user identity information and the target product type;
    提取步骤:从多个预先确定的业务服务器中分别提取出与该目标用户身份标识信息对应的各种产品类型的购买数据及预设数量用户有关该目标产品类型的购买数据;The extracting step: extracting, from a plurality of predetermined service servers, purchase data of various product types corresponding to the target user identity information and purchase data of a preset number of users regarding the target product type;
    生成步骤:根据提取出的购买数据的购买时间点,生成对应的购买时间序列(X,Y),其中X代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的间隔天数,Y代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的发生次数;Generating step: generating a corresponding purchase time series (X, Y) according to the purchase time point of the extracted purchase data, wherein X represents the interval between consecutive purchases of the same number of days, and Y represents the continuous purchase behavior of the same number of days Number of occurrences;
    第一预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的各种产品对应的第一分析模型,将各种产品对应的购买时间序列分别输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第一购买预测值;a first prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to each product purchased by the target user, and inputting a purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding In the first analysis model, generating a first purchase prediction value corresponding to each product;
    均值处理步骤:将所述预设数量用户的目标产品的购买时间序列进行均 值处理,生成所述预设数量用户的该目标产品对应的平均购买时间序列;Mean processing step: performing an average processing on the purchase time series of the target product of the preset number of users, and generating an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product of the preset number of users;
    第二预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该预设数量用户购买的该目标产品对应的第一分析模型,将所述平均购买时间序列输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成该目标产品的第二购买预测值;a second prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the preset number of users, and inputting the average purchase time series to the corresponding first In an analysis model, generating a second purchase predicted value of the target product;
    最终预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第二分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的该目标产品对应的第二分析模型,将该目标产品的第一购买预测值、除该目标产品类型外的其它产品类型对应的第一购买预测值及该目标产品的第二购买预测值输入对应的第二分析模型中,生成该目标产品的最终购买预测值。a final prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained second analysis model, a second analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the target user, and the first purchase predicted value of the target product, in addition to the target product A second purchase model corresponding to the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product type of the type and the second purchase predicted value of the target product is input, and a final purchase predicted value of the target product is generated.
  9. 根据权利要求8所述的服务器,其特征在于,所述第一分析模型为长短期记忆网络模型,针对一种产品对应的第一分析模型包括以下训练步骤:The server according to claim 8, wherein the first analysis model is a long-term and short-term memory network model, and the first analysis model corresponding to one product comprises the following training steps:
    S11、从多个预先确定的业务服务器中提取出预设数量用户对应的某种产品类型的购买数据,根据该购买数据中对应的购买时间点,分别为各个用户生成该种产品对应的购买时间序列;S11. Extracting, from a plurality of predetermined service servers, purchase data of a certain product type corresponding to a preset number of users, and generating, according to the purchase time point in the purchase data, a purchase time corresponding to the product for each user. sequence;
    S12、将该种产品对应的购买时间序列分成第一比例的训练集和第二比例的验证集,其中,第一比例大于第二比例;S12. The purchase time series corresponding to the product is divided into a training set of a first ratio and a verification set of a second ratio, wherein the first ratio is greater than the second ratio;
    S13、利用训练集中的购买时间序列对所述第一分析模型进行训练,并在训练完后利用验证集中的购买时间序列对所述第一分析模型的准确率进行验证;S13: training the first analysis model by using a purchase time series in the training set, and verifying the accuracy of the first analysis model by using a purchase time series in the verification set after the training;
    S14、若准确率大于预设阈值,则训练完成,若准确率小于或等于预设阈值,则通过增加S11中用户的数量,增加购买时间序列的数量,之后执行步骤S12。S14. If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, increase the number of users in S11, and increase the number of purchase time series, and then perform step S12.
  10. 根据权利要求8所述的服务器,其特征在于,所述均值处理步骤还包括:The server according to claim 8, wherein the mean processing step further comprises:
    将预设数量用户购买的该目标产品的购买时间序列中连续购买行为的发生次数取平均值,得到所有用户针对该目标产品的各种预设时间间隔的连续购买行为的平均发生次数,该目标产品的各种预设时间间隔及其对应的连续购买行为的平均发生次数构成该目标产品对应的平均购买时间序列。The average number of occurrences of consecutive purchase behaviors in the purchase time series of the target product purchased by the preset number of users is averaged, and the average number of consecutive purchase behaviors of all users for various preset time intervals of the target product is obtained. The various preset time intervals of the product and the average number of occurrences of the corresponding consecutive purchase behaviors constitute an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product.
  11. 根据权利要求8所述的服务器,其特征在于,所述第二分析模型为格兰杰因果模型,针对一种产品对应的第二分析模型包括以下训练步骤:The server according to claim 8, wherein the second analysis model is a Granger causal model, and the second analysis model corresponding to one product comprises the following training steps:
    S21、从多个预先确定的业务服务器中提取出预设数量用户对应的各种产品类型的购买数据,根据该购买数据中对应的购买时间点,分别为各个用户生成各种产品对应的购买时间序列;S21. Extract purchase data of various product types corresponding to a preset number of users from a plurality of predetermined service servers, and generate purchase time corresponding to each product for each user according to the corresponding purchase time point in the purchase data. sequence;
    S22、从所述预设数量用户中逐一进行用户选择直到所有用户选择完毕,在选择一个用户后,根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该用户购买的各种产品对应的第一分析模型,将该用户购买的各种产品对应的购买时间序列分别输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第一购买预测值,分别将所述预设数量用户的每一种产品的购买时间序列进行均值处理,生成所述预设数量用户的各种产品对应的平均购买时间序列,并将各种产品对应的平均购买时间序列输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第二购买预测值,将所述选择的用户针对每一种产品第一购买预测值、除该种产品外的其它产品类型对应的第一购买预测值和该种产品对应的第二购买预测值作为该用户该种产品的样本数据;S22: Perform user selection one by one from the preset number of users until all users select, and after selecting one user, determine, according to the mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, determine corresponding products purchased by the user. The first analysis model, the purchase time series corresponding to the various products purchased by the user are respectively input into the corresponding first analysis model, and the first purchase prediction values corresponding to the various products are generated, and the preset number of users are respectively respectively generated. The purchase time series of each product is subjected to mean processing, generating an average purchase time series corresponding to various products of the preset number of users, and inputting an average purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding first analysis model Generating, according to the second purchase prediction value corresponding to each product, the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the first purchase of each product, the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product types other than the product, and the kind The second purchase predicted value corresponding to the product is used as sample data of the product of the user;
    S23、将样本数据分成第一比例的训练集和第二比例的验证集,其中,第一比例大于第二比例;S23. Divide the sample data into a training set of a first ratio and a verification set of a second ratio, where the first ratio is greater than the second ratio;
    S24、利用训练集中各个样本数据对所述第二分析模型进行训练,并在训 练完成后利用验证集中各个样本数据对训练的所述第二分析模型的准确率进行验证;S24. Train the second analysis model by using each sample data in the training set, and verify the accuracy of the trained second analysis model by using each sample data in the verification set after the training is completed;
    S25、若准确率大于预设阈值,则训练完成,若准确率小于或等于预设阈值,则通过增加S21中用户的数量,增加样本数据的数量,之后执行步骤S22。S25. If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, the number of samples is increased by increasing the number of users in S21. Then, step S22 is performed.
  12. 一种服务器,其特征在于,所述服务器包括:存储器、处理器及显示器,所述存储器上存储有产品购买预测程序,所述产品购买预测程序被所述处理器执行,可实现如下步骤:A server, comprising: a memory, a processor and a display, wherein the memory stores a product purchase prediction program, and the product purchase prediction program is executed by the processor, and the following steps can be implemented:
    接收步骤:实时从多个预先确定的业务服务器中接收所有用户对应的各种产品类型的购买数据;Receiving step: receiving purchase data of various product types corresponding to all users from a plurality of predetermined service servers in real time;
    提取步骤:收到带有目标用户身份标识信息和目标产品类型的分析请求后,提取出与该目标用户身份标识信息对应的各种产品类型的购买数据及预设数量用户有关该目标产品类型的购买数据;Extracting step: after receiving the analysis request with the target user identity information and the target product type, extracting the purchase data of the various product types corresponding to the target user identity information and the preset number of users related to the target product type Purchase data;
    生成步骤:根据提取出的购买数据的购买时间点,生成对应的购买时间序列(X,Y),其中X代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的间隔天数,Y代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的发生次数;Generating step: generating a corresponding purchase time series (X, Y) according to the purchase time point of the extracted purchase data, wherein X represents the interval between consecutive purchases of the same number of days, and Y represents the continuous purchase behavior of the same number of days Number of occurrences;
    第一预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的各种产品对应的第一分析模型,将各种产品对应的购买时间序列分别输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第一购买预测值;a first prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to each product purchased by the target user, and inputting a purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding In the first analysis model, generating a first purchase prediction value corresponding to each product;
    均值处理步骤:将所述预设数量用户的目标产品的购买时间序列进行均值处理,生成所述预设数量用户的该目标产品对应的平均购买时间序列;Mean processing step: performing a mean processing on the purchase time series of the target product of the preset number of users, and generating an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product of the preset number of users;
    第二预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该预设数量用户购买的该目标产品对应的第一分析模型,将所述平均购买时间序列输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成该目标产品的第二购买预测值;a second prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the preset number of users, and inputting the average purchase time series to the corresponding first In an analysis model, generating a second purchase predicted value of the target product;
    最终预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第二分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的该目标产品对应的第二分析模型,将该目标产品的第一购买预测值、除该目标产品类型外的其它产品类型对应的第一购买预测值及该目标产品的第二购买预测值输入对应的第二分析模型中,生成该目标产品的最终购买预测值。a final prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained second analysis model, a second analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the target user, and the first purchase predicted value of the target product, in addition to the target product A second purchase model corresponding to the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product type of the type and the second purchase predicted value of the target product is input, and a final purchase predicted value of the target product is generated.
  13. 根据权利要求12所述的服务器,其特征在于,所述第一分析模型为长短期记忆网络模型,针对一种产品对应的第一分析模型包括以下训练步骤:The server according to claim 12, wherein the first analysis model is a long-term and short-term memory network model, and the first analysis model corresponding to one product comprises the following training steps:
    S11、从多个预先确定的业务服务器中提取出预设数量用户对应的某种产品类型的购买数据,根据该购买数据中对应的购买时间点,分别为各个用户生成该种产品对应的购买时间序列;S11. Extracting, from a plurality of predetermined service servers, purchase data of a certain product type corresponding to a preset number of users, and generating, according to the purchase time point in the purchase data, a purchase time corresponding to the product for each user. sequence;
    S12、将该种产品对应的购买时间序列分成第一比例的训练集和第二比例的验证集,其中,第一比例大于第二比例;S12. The purchase time series corresponding to the product is divided into a training set of a first ratio and a verification set of a second ratio, wherein the first ratio is greater than the second ratio;
    S13、利用训练集中的购买时间序列对所述第一分析模型进行训练,并在训练完后利用验证集中的购买时间序列对所述第一分析模型的准确率进行验证;S13: training the first analysis model by using a purchase time series in the training set, and verifying the accuracy of the first analysis model by using a purchase time series in the verification set after the training;
    S14、若准确率大于预设阈值,则训练完成,若准确率小于或等于预设阈值,则通过增加S11中用户的数量,增加购买时间序列的数量,之后执行步骤S12。S14. If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, increase the number of users in S11, and increase the number of purchase time series, and then perform step S12.
  14. 根据权利要求12所述的服务器,其特征在于,所述第二分析模型为格兰杰因果模型,针对一种产品对应的第二分析模型包括以下训练步骤:The server according to claim 12, wherein the second analysis model is a Granger causal model, and the second analysis model corresponding to one product comprises the following training steps:
    S21、从多个预先确定的业务服务器中提取出预设数量用户对应的各种产品类型的购买数据,根据该购买数据中对应的购买时间点,分别为各个用户 生成各种产品对应的购买时间序列;S21. Extract purchase data of various product types corresponding to a preset number of users from a plurality of predetermined service servers, and generate purchase time corresponding to each product for each user according to the corresponding purchase time point in the purchase data. sequence;
    S22、从所述预设数量用户中逐一进行用户选择直到所有用户选择完毕,在选择一个用户后,根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该用户购买的各种产品对应的第一分析模型,将该用户购买的各种产品对应的购买时间序列分别输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第一购买预测值,分别将所述预设数量用户的每一种产品的购买时间序列进行均值处理,生成所述预设数量用户的各种产品对应的平均购买时间序列,并将各种产品对应的平均购买时间序列输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第二购买预测值,将所述选择的用户针对每一种产品第一购买预测值、除该种产品外的其它产品类型对应的第一购买预测值和该种产品对应的第二购买预测值作为该用户该种产品的样本数据;S22: Perform user selection one by one from the preset number of users until all users select, and after selecting one user, determine, according to the mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, determine corresponding products purchased by the user. The first analysis model, the purchase time series corresponding to the various products purchased by the user are respectively input into the corresponding first analysis model, and the first purchase prediction values corresponding to the various products are generated, and the preset number of users are respectively respectively generated. The purchase time series of each product is subjected to mean processing, generating an average purchase time series corresponding to various products of the preset number of users, and inputting an average purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding first analysis model Generating, according to the second purchase prediction value corresponding to each product, the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the first purchase of each product, the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product types other than the product, and the kind The second purchase predicted value corresponding to the product is used as sample data of the product of the user;
    S23、将样本数据分成第一比例的训练集和第二比例的验证集,其中,第一比例大于第二比例;S23. Divide the sample data into a training set of a first ratio and a verification set of a second ratio, where the first ratio is greater than the second ratio;
    S24、利用训练集中各个样本数据对所述第二分析模型进行训练,并在训练完成后利用验证集中各个样本数据对训练的所述第二分析模型的准确率进行验证;S24. Train the second analysis model by using each sample data in the training set, and verify the accuracy of the second analysis model of the training by using each sample data in the verification set after the training is completed;
    S25、若准确率大于预设阈值,则训练完成,若准确率小于或等于预设阈值,则通过增加S21中用户的数量,增加样本数据的数量,之后执行步骤S22。S25. If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, the number of samples is increased by increasing the number of users in S21. Then, step S22 is performed.
  15. 一种计算机可读存储介质,其特征在于,所述计算机可读存储介质中包括产品购买预测程序,所述统产品购买预测程序被处理器执行时,可实现如下步骤:A computer readable storage medium, comprising: a product purchase prediction program, wherein when the system purchase prediction program is executed by a processor, the following steps can be implemented:
    接收步骤:接收带有目标用户身份标识信息和目标产品类型的分析请求;Receiving step: receiving an analysis request with the target user identity information and the target product type;
    提取步骤:从多个预先确定的业务服务器中分别提取出与该目标用户身份标识信息对应的各种产品类型的购买数据及预设数量用户有关该目标产品类型的购买数据;The extracting step: extracting, from a plurality of predetermined service servers, purchase data of various product types corresponding to the target user identity information and purchase data of a preset number of users regarding the target product type;
    生成步骤:根据提取出的购买数据的购买时间点,生成对应的购买时间序列(X,Y),其中X代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的间隔天数,Y代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的发生次数;Generating step: generating a corresponding purchase time series (X, Y) according to the purchase time point of the extracted purchase data, wherein X represents the interval between consecutive purchases of the same number of days, and Y represents the continuous purchase behavior of the same number of days Number of occurrences;
    第一预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的各种产品对应的第一分析模型,将各种产品对应的购买时间序列分别输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第一购买预测值;a first prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to each product purchased by the target user, and inputting a purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding In the first analysis model, generating a first purchase prediction value corresponding to each product;
    均值处理步骤:将所述预设数量用户的目标产品的购买时间序列进行均值处理,生成所述预设数量用户的该目标产品对应的平均购买时间序列;Mean processing step: performing a mean processing on the purchase time series of the target product of the preset number of users, and generating an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product of the preset number of users;
    第二预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该预设数量用户购买的该目标产品对应的第一分析模型,将所述平均购买时间序列输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成该目标产品的第二购买预测值;a second prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the preset number of users, and inputting the average purchase time series to the corresponding first In an analysis model, generating a second purchase predicted value of the target product;
    最终预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第二分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的该目标产品对应的第二分析模型,将该目标产品的第一购买预测值、除该目标产品类型外的其它产品类型对应的第一购买预测值及该目标产品的第二购买预测值输入对应的第二分析模型中,生成该目标产品的最终购买预测值。a final prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained second analysis model, a second analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the target user, and the first purchase predicted value of the target product, in addition to the target product A second purchase model corresponding to the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product type of the type and the second purchase predicted value of the target product is input, and a final purchase predicted value of the target product is generated.
  16. 根据权利要求15所述的计算机可读存储介质,其特征在于,所述第一分析模型为长短期记忆网络模型,针对一种产品对应的第一分析模型包括以下训练步骤:The computer readable storage medium according to claim 15, wherein the first analysis model is a long-term and short-term memory network model, and the first analysis model corresponding to one product comprises the following training steps:
    S11、从多个预先确定的业务服务器中提取出预设数量用户对应的某种产 品类型的购买数据,根据该购买数据中对应的购买时间点,分别为各个用户生成该种产品对应的购买时间序列;S11. Extracting, from a plurality of predetermined service servers, purchase data of a certain product type corresponding to a preset number of users, and generating, according to the purchase time point in the purchase data, a purchase time corresponding to the product for each user. sequence;
    S12、将该种产品对应的购买时间序列分成第一比例的训练集和第二比例的验证集,其中,第一比例大于第二比例;S12. The purchase time series corresponding to the product is divided into a training set of a first ratio and a verification set of a second ratio, wherein the first ratio is greater than the second ratio;
    S13、利用训练集中的购买时间序列对所述第一分析模型进行训练,并在训练完后利用验证集中的购买时间序列对所述第一分析模型的准确率进行验证;S13: training the first analysis model by using a purchase time series in the training set, and verifying the accuracy of the first analysis model by using a purchase time series in the verification set after the training;
    S14、若准确率大于预设阈值,则训练完成,若准确率小于或等于预设阈值,则通过增加S11中用户的数量,增加购买时间序列的数量,之后执行步骤S12。S14. If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, increase the number of users in S11, and increase the number of purchase time series, and then perform step S12.
  17. 根据权利要求15所述的计算机可读存储介质,其特征在于,所述均值处理步骤还包括:The computer readable storage medium according to claim 15, wherein the mean processing step further comprises:
    将预设数量用户购买的该目标产品的购买时间序列中连续购买行为的发生次数取平均值,得到所有用户针对该目标产品的各种预设时间间隔的连续购买行为的平均发生次数,该目标产品的各种预设时间间隔及其对应的连续购买行为的平均发生次数构成该目标产品对应的平均购买时间序列。The average number of occurrences of consecutive purchase behaviors in the purchase time series of the target product purchased by the preset number of users is averaged, and the average number of consecutive purchase behaviors of all users for various preset time intervals of the target product is obtained. The various preset time intervals of the product and the average number of occurrences of the corresponding consecutive purchase behaviors constitute an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product.
  18. 根据权利要求15所述的计算机可读存储介质,其特征在于,所述第二分析模型为格兰杰因果模型,针对一种产品对应的第二分析模型包括以下训练步骤:The computer readable storage medium according to claim 15, wherein the second analysis model is a Granger causal model, and the second analysis model corresponding to one product comprises the following training steps:
    S21、从多个预先确定的业务服务器中提取出预设数量用户对应的各种产品类型的购买数据,根据该购买数据中对应的购买时间点,分别为各个用户生成各种产品对应的购买时间序列;S21. Extract purchase data of various product types corresponding to a preset number of users from a plurality of predetermined service servers, and generate purchase time corresponding to each product for each user according to the corresponding purchase time point in the purchase data. sequence;
    S22、从所述预设数量用户中逐一进行用户选择直到所有用户选择完毕,在选择一个用户后,根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该用户购买的各种产品对应的第一分析模型,将该用户购买的各种产品对应的购买时间序列分别输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第一购买预测值,分别将所述预设数量用户的每一种产品的购买时间序列进行均值处理,生成所述预设数量用户的各种产品对应的平均购买时间序列,并将各种产品对应的平均购买时间序列输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第二购买预测值,将所述选择的用户针对每一种产品第一购买预测值、除该种产品外的其它产品类型对应的第一购买预测值和该种产品对应的第二购买预测值作为该用户该种产品的样本数据;S22: Perform user selection one by one from the preset number of users until all users select, and after selecting one user, determine, according to the mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, determine corresponding products purchased by the user. The first analysis model, the purchase time series corresponding to the various products purchased by the user are respectively input into the corresponding first analysis model, and the first purchase prediction values corresponding to the various products are generated, and the preset number of users are respectively respectively generated. The purchase time series of each product is subjected to mean processing, generating an average purchase time series corresponding to various products of the preset number of users, and inputting an average purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding first analysis model Generating, according to the second purchase prediction value corresponding to each product, the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the first purchase of each product, the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product types other than the product, and the kind The second purchase predicted value corresponding to the product is used as sample data of the product of the user;
    S23、将样本数据分成第一比例的训练集和第二比例的验证集,其中,第一比例大于第二比例;S23. Divide the sample data into a training set of a first ratio and a verification set of a second ratio, where the first ratio is greater than the second ratio;
    S24、利用训练集中各个样本数据对所述第二分析模型进行训练,并在训练完成后利用验证集中各个样本数据对训练的所述第二分析模型的准确率进行验证;S24. Train the second analysis model by using each sample data in the training set, and verify the accuracy of the second analysis model of the training by using each sample data in the verification set after the training is completed;
    S25、若准确率大于预设阈值,则训练完成,若准确率小于或等于预设阈值,则通过增加S21中用户的数量,增加样本数据的数量,之后执行步骤S22。S25. If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, the number of samples is increased by increasing the number of users in S21. Then, step S22 is performed.
  19. 一种计算机可读存储介质,其特征在于,所述计算机可读存储介质包括:存储器、处理器及显示器,所述存储器上存储有产品购买预测程序,所述产品购买预测程序被所述处理器执行,可实现如下步骤:A computer readable storage medium, comprising: a memory, a processor, and a display, wherein the memory stores a product purchase prediction program, and the product purchase prediction program is used by the processor Execution, the following steps can be achieved:
    接收步骤:实时从多个预先确定的业务服务器中接收所有用户对应的各种产品类型的购买数据;Receiving step: receiving purchase data of various product types corresponding to all users from a plurality of predetermined service servers in real time;
    提取步骤:收到带有目标用户身份标识信息和目标产品类型的分析请求后,提取出与该目标用户身份标识信息对应的各种产品类型的购买数据及预设数量用户有关该目标产品类型的购买数据;Extracting step: after receiving the analysis request with the target user identity information and the target product type, extracting the purchase data of the various product types corresponding to the target user identity information and the preset number of users related to the target product type Purchase data;
    生成步骤:根据提取出的购买数据的购买时间点,生成对应的购买时间序列(X,Y),其中X代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的间隔天数,Y代表间隔相同天数的连续购买行为的发生次数;Generating step: generating a corresponding purchase time series (X, Y) according to the purchase time point of the extracted purchase data, wherein X represents the interval between consecutive purchases of the same number of days, and Y represents the continuous purchase behavior of the same number of days Number of occurrences;
    第一预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的各种产品对应的第一分析模型,将各种产品对应的购买时间序列分别输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成各种产品对应的第一购买预测值;a first prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to each product purchased by the target user, and inputting a purchase time series corresponding to each product into the corresponding In the first analysis model, generating a first purchase prediction value corresponding to each product;
    均值处理步骤:将所述预设数量用户的目标产品的购买时间序列进行均值处理,生成所述预设数量用户的该目标产品对应的平均购买时间序列;Mean processing step: performing a mean processing on the purchase time series of the target product of the preset number of users, and generating an average purchase time sequence corresponding to the target product of the preset number of users;
    第二预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第一分析模型的映射关系,确定该预设数量用户购买的该目标产品对应的第一分析模型,将所述平均购买时间序列输入到对应的第一分析模型中,生成该目标产品的第二购买预测值;a second prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained first analysis model, a first analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the preset number of users, and inputting the average purchase time series to the corresponding first In an analysis model, generating a second purchase predicted value of the target product;
    最终预测步骤:根据产品类型与预先训练的第二分析模型的映射关系,确定该目标用户购买的该目标产品对应的第二分析模型,将该目标产品的第一购买预测值、除该目标产品类型外的其它产品类型对应的第一购买预测值及该目标产品的第二购买预测值输入对应的第二分析模型中,生成该目标产品的最终购买预测值。a final prediction step: determining, according to a mapping relationship between the product type and the pre-trained second analysis model, a second analysis model corresponding to the target product purchased by the target user, and the first purchase predicted value of the target product, in addition to the target product A second purchase model corresponding to the first purchase predicted value corresponding to the other product type of the type and the second purchase predicted value of the target product is input, and a final purchase predicted value of the target product is generated.
  20. 根据权利要求19所述的计算机可读存储介质,其特征在于,所述第一分析模型为长短期记忆网络模型,针对一种产品对应的第一分析模型包括以下训练步骤:The computer readable storage medium according to claim 19, wherein the first analysis model is a long-term and short-term memory network model, and the first analysis model corresponding to one product comprises the following training steps:
    S11、从多个预先确定的业务服务器中提取出预设数量用户对应的某种产品类型的购买数据,根据该购买数据中对应的购买时间点,分别为各个用户生成该种产品对应的购买时间序列;S11. Extracting, from a plurality of predetermined service servers, purchase data of a certain product type corresponding to a preset number of users, and generating, according to the purchase time point in the purchase data, a purchase time corresponding to the product for each user. sequence;
    S12、将该种产品对应的购买时间序列分成第一比例的训练集和第二比例的验证集,其中,第一比例大于第二比例;S12. The purchase time series corresponding to the product is divided into a training set of a first ratio and a verification set of a second ratio, wherein the first ratio is greater than the second ratio;
    S13、利用训练集中的购买时间序列对所述第一分析模型进行训练,并在训练完后利用验证集中的购买时间序列对所述第一分析模型的准确率进行验证;S13: training the first analysis model by using a purchase time series in the training set, and verifying the accuracy of the first analysis model by using a purchase time series in the verification set after the training;
    S14、若准确率大于预设阈值,则训练完成,若准确率小于或等于预设阈值,则通过增加S11中用户的数量,增加购买时间序列的数量,之后执行步骤S12。S14. If the accuracy is greater than the preset threshold, the training is completed. If the accuracy is less than or equal to the preset threshold, increase the number of users in S11, and increase the number of purchase time series, and then perform step S12.
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