WO2016186069A1

WO2016186069A1 - Incentive prediction amount presenting device

Info

Publication number: WO2016186069A1
Application number: PCT/JP2016/064438
Authority: WO
Inventors: 和貴子砂守
Original assignee: ダイキン工業株式会社
Priority date: 2015-05-19
Filing date: 2016-05-16
Publication date: 2016-11-24
Also published as: JP2016218681A

Abstract

According to the present invention, a control device (30) is used for an energy consumption management system in which an incentive is given to a user of a facility apparatus (20) when the facility apparatus (20) performs, under a predetermined control condition, demand response control of adjusting an energy consumption in response to a control request. The control device (30) presents an incentive prediction amount and includes a storage unit (34), a prediction amount calculating unit (36a), and an output unit (33). The storage unit (34) stores an expectation value relating to an incentive prediction amount, in association with a pattern classified for each predetermined time interval depending on the state of the facility apparatus (20). The prediction amount calculating unit (36a) calculates the incentive prediction amount after elapse of the predetermined time, on the basis of the pattern of the state of the facility apparatus (20) and the expectation value. Then, the output unit (33) presents the prediction amount of the incentive.

Description

Incentive prediction amount presentation device

The present invention relates to an apparatus for presenting a predicted amount of incentive for demand response control performed by equipment.

In recent years, demand response control for realizing demand response has been studied. As one aspect of demand response, power suppliers, etc., provide incentives (money, reduction of electricity charges, etc.) to equipment users (power consumers), and promote adjustment of power consumption of equipment and equipment. There is something that contributes to the power supply. In order to realize such a demand response, the equipment performs demand response control that adjusts power consumption (energy consumption) in response to a control request.

Conventionally, in the field of power adjustment technology, a technique for displaying an incentive amount for a user whose power consumption is suppressed has been studied (for example, Japanese Patent Application Laid-Open No. 2005-250523). .

Demand for incentives is an important concern for users of equipment that performs demand response control. However, the incentive acquisition amount varies depending on the control conditions of demand response control, the use environment of the equipment, and the like. For this reason, it is difficult to predict whether or not the amount of incentive expected by the user can be continuously acquired.

An object of the present invention is to provide an incentive prediction amount presentation device that allows a user to determine the validity of control conditions for demand response control for equipment.

The incentive prediction amount presentation device according to the first aspect of the present invention provides an incentive to a user of an equipment device when the equipment device performs demand response control for adjusting energy consumption in response to a control request under a predetermined control condition. It is used for energy consumption management system that gives The incentive prediction amount presentation device presents an incentive prediction amount, and includes an expected value storage unit, a prediction amount calculation unit, and a prediction amount presentation unit. The expected value storage unit stores an expected value related to the predicted amount of incentive in association with patterns classified at predetermined time intervals according to the state of the equipment. The predicted amount calculation unit calculates the predicted amount of the incentive after a predetermined time based on the state pattern of the equipment after the predetermined time and the expected value. The predicted amount presentation unit presents a predicted amount of incentive.

In such an incentive prediction amount presentation device, the prediction amount of the incentive after a predetermined time is presented, so that the user can determine the validity of the control condition of the demand response control for the equipment.

The incentive prediction amount presentation device according to the second aspect of the present invention is the incentive prediction amount presentation device according to the first aspect, and further includes a calculation period setting unit. The calculation period setting unit sets a calculation period for the predicted amount of incentives. The predicted amount calculation unit classifies the state of the equipment in the calculation period into a plurality of patterns for each predetermined time interval, and calculates an incentive predicted amount based on the classified patterns and expected values.

In such an incentive prediction amount presentation device, the calculation period of the incentive prediction amount can be set, so that the user can set a time when he / she wants to judge the appropriateness of demand response control.

The incentive prediction amount presentation device according to the third aspect of the present invention is the incentive prediction amount presentation device according to the first aspect or the second aspect, and further includes a scheduled state information setting unit. The scheduled state information setting unit sets scheduled state information indicating the state of the equipment device scheduled for the scheduled period. The predicted amount calculation unit classifies the state of the equipment in the scheduled period into a plurality of patterns for each predetermined time interval, and calculates an incentive predicted amount based on the classified patterns and expected values.

In such an incentive prediction amount presentation device, it is possible to set the schedule state information of the equipment in the scheduled period, so that the user can determine the validity of demand response control in the scheduled period.

An incentive prediction amount presentation device according to a fourth aspect of the present invention is an incentive prediction amount presentation device according to any one of the first to third aspects, comprising a control result storage unit, a pattern classification unit, an expected value calculation unit, And an expected value writing unit. The control result storage unit stores the control result of the demand response control performed by the equipment for a predetermined period at predetermined time intervals. A pattern classification | category part classifies the state of the installation apparatus in a predetermined period into the some pattern for every predetermined time interval. The expected value calculation unit calculates an expected value for each pattern classified by the pattern classification unit based on the control result. The expected value writing unit writes the expected value calculated by the expected value calculating unit to the expected value storage unit.

In such an incentive prediction amount presentation device, the expected value is calculated as appropriate, so the accuracy of the incentive prediction amount can be increased.

The incentive prediction amount presentation device according to the fifth aspect of the present invention is the incentive prediction amount presentation device according to the fourth aspect, wherein the control result is the number of control requests and the demand response control performed in response to the control request. This is information including the number of times, the energy consumption adjusted by demand response control, and the unit price of the incentive.

In such an incentive prediction amount presentation device, an expected value is calculated based on each of the above information, so that a highly accurate incentive prediction amount can be presented.

The incentive prediction amount presentation device according to the sixth aspect of the present invention is an incentive prediction amount presentation device according to any of the first to fifth aspects, and further includes a target amount setting unit and a target day calculation unit. The target amount setting unit sets a target amount for the incentive. The target days calculation unit calculates a target number of days indicating the number of days required to reach the target amount based on the predicted amount of incentive. The predicted amount presentation unit presents the target number of days.

In such an incentive prediction amount presentation device, the target number of days until the incentive target amount is reached is presented, so that the user can easily determine the validity of the control condition for demand response control.

An incentive prediction amount presentation device according to a seventh aspect of the present invention is the incentive prediction amount presentation device according to any one of the first to sixth aspects, further comprising an actual amount storage unit and an actual comparison amount calculation unit. . The actual amount storage unit stores the incentive actual amount given due to the demand response control in association with the time information. The actual comparison amount calculation unit extracts the actual amount of the incentive stored in the actual amount storage unit based on the time information after a predetermined time corresponding to the predicted amount of the incentive, and the actual amount of the extracted incentive and a predetermined time later A performance comparison amount indicating a comparison with the predicted amount of the incentive is calculated. The predicted amount presentation unit presents a performance comparison amount.

In such an incentive prediction amount presentation device, a comparison between the actual amount of incentives and the prediction amount of incentives after a predetermined time is presented, so that the user can easily determine the validity of the control condition for demand response control. .

An incentive prediction amount presentation device according to an eighth aspect of the present invention is the incentive prediction amount presentation device according to any one of the first to seventh aspects, wherein the actual amount storage unit and the prediction amount storage unit have the same time comparison amount And a calculation unit. The actual amount storage unit stores the incentive actual amount given due to the demand response control in association with the time information. The prediction amount storage unit stores the incentive prediction amount in association with the time information. The same time comparison amount calculation unit calculates the same time comparison amount indicating a comparison between the predicted amount and the actual amount having the same time information. The predicted amount presentation unit presents the same time comparison amount.

In such an incentive prediction amount presentation device, since the time information presents a comparison between the prediction amount and the actual amount, the validity of the prediction amount presented by the incentive prediction amount presentation device can be verified.

In the incentive prediction amount presentation device according to the first aspect of the present invention, the user can determine the validity of the control condition of demand response control for the equipment.

In the incentive prediction amount presentation device according to the second aspect of the present invention, the user can set a time when he / she wants to determine the validity of demand response control.

In the incentive prediction amount presentation device according to the third aspect of the present invention, the user can determine the validity of demand response control in the scheduled period.

In the incentive prediction amount presentation device according to the fourth aspect of the present invention, the accuracy of the incentive prediction amount can be increased.

In the incentive prediction amount presentation device according to the fifth aspect of the present invention, a highly accurate incentive prediction amount can be presented.

In the incentive prediction amount presentation device according to the sixth aspect of the present invention, the user can easily determine the validity of the control condition for demand response control.

In the incentive prediction amount presentation device according to the seventh aspect of the present invention, the user can easily determine the validity of the control condition for demand response control.

In the incentive prediction amount presentation device according to the eighth aspect of the present invention, the validity of the prediction amount presented by the incentive prediction amount presentation device can be verified.

The schematic diagram for demonstrating an energy consumption management system. 1 is a schematic diagram showing a configuration of a power management apparatus 10. FIG. FIG. 3 is a schematic diagram illustrating a configuration of a storage unit 14 of the power management apparatus 10. FIG. 3 is a schematic diagram showing a configuration of a control device 30. FIG. 3 is a schematic diagram showing a configuration of a storage unit 34 of the control device 30. Process drawing for demonstrating operation | movement of the control apparatus 30. FIG. The figure for demonstrating the incentive prediction amount calculation process in the control apparatus. The schematic diagram for demonstrating the energy consumption management system which concerns on the modified example 1E. The schematic diagram for demonstrating the energy consumption management system which concerns on the modification 1F.

(1) Overall Configuration of Energy Consumption Management System FIG. 1 is a schematic diagram for explaining an energy consumption management system according to an embodiment of the present invention. In the following, for the sake of easy understanding, it is assumed that the energy consumed by the facility device 20 is electric energy.

The energy consumption management system is a mechanism that gives an incentive to a user of an equipment device when the equipment device 20 adjusts the energy consumption in response to a control request from the power company 1a for a predetermined adjustment period. . This energy consumption management system individually gives incentives to a plurality of users for a plurality of facility devices. The electric power company 1a and the user have concluded a contract in which an agreement regarding the use of electric power is determined in advance, and the incentive mode is also determined in advance based on the contract. Such an energy consumption management system is realized by the power supplier 1a of the power supplier and each device installed in each property A, B of the consumer.

The power company 1 a has a power management device 10. The power management apparatus 10 sends a “control request” that prompts each facility device 20 to adjust energy. In addition, the power management apparatus 10 calculates the amount of incentive to be given to the user from the record that the facility device 20 responds to the control request. The power management apparatus 10 may be installed not only in the power company 1a but also in an aggregator that is a lower power supplier.

The

facilities

3a and 3b of the properties A and B are, for example, buildings such as office buildings, tenant buildings, factories, and general households. Each property A and B controls the equipment 20, the power supply 6 that supplies power to the equipment 20, the power meter 7 that measures the amount of power supplied from the power supply 6 to the equipment 20, and the equipment 20. The control device 30 is installed. Power is supplied from the power company 1a to the

facilities

3a and 3b of the property A and B through the power line 102a. Electric power is supplied from the power source 6 to the equipment 20 in the same property via the indoor power line 102b. Moreover, the power management apparatus 10 and the control apparatus 30 are connected by the internet 101a, for example. The control device 30 and the equipment 20 in the same property are connected by a dedicated control line 101b or the like.

In addition, in FIG. 1, although the number of each property A and B and each apparatus is described limitedly, it is not restricted to these numbers.

As one aspect of the energy consumption management system described above, there is “demand response” (hereinafter sometimes referred to as “DR”), and energy adjustment control for realizing demand response is referred to as “demand response control”.

(2) Equipment used for energy consumption management system (2-1) Power management equipment 10
FIG. 2 is a schematic diagram illustrating the configuration of the power management apparatus 10. The power management apparatus 10 includes a communication unit 11, an input unit 12, an output unit 13, a storage unit 14, and a calculation unit 15.

The communication unit 11 communicates with the control device 30, and includes a network interface that enables connection to the Internet 101a.

The input unit 12 is used to input information to the power management apparatus 10 and includes operation buttons, a keyboard, a mouse, and the like.

The output unit 13 outputs information stored in the power management apparatus 10 and is configured by a display or the like.

The storage unit 14 stores information input to the power management apparatus 10 and includes a hard disk or the like. As shown in FIG. 3, the storage unit 14 stores a combination of an adjustable power amount and an adjustable time zone in each of the properties A and B. The storage unit 14 stores a program executed by the calculation unit 15 and the like.

The calculation unit 15 performs various calculations based on information stored in the power management apparatus 10 and is configured by a CPU, a ROM, a RAM, and the like. The calculation unit 15 reads and executes the program stored in the storage unit 14 to thereby execute the power consumption prediction unit 15a, the power adjustment determination unit 15b, the equipment device selection unit 15c, and the control shown in FIG. It functions as a request sending unit 15d and an incentive information determining unit 15e.

The power consumption prediction unit 15a predicts the amount of power supplied and the amount of demand, and predicts the power consumption after a predetermined time. The power consumption prediction unit 15a determines whether or not the demand amount of power after a predetermined time may exceed the predetermined supply amount.

When the power consumption determining unit 15b determines that the power demand after a predetermined time may exceed the predetermined supply amount by the power consumption predicting unit 15a, the power adjustment determining unit 15b adjusts and adjusts the power consumption. The time and adjustment period are determined.

The facility device selection unit 15c performs facility response control based on the information on the facility device 20 stored in the storage unit 14 and the information necessary for power consumption suppression determined by the power adjustment determination unit 15b. The device 20 is selected.

The control request sending unit 15d sends a “control request” that prompts the control device 30 selected by the facility device selection unit 15c to adjust the amount of power used. The control request includes information such as the amount of power to be adjusted and the time zone. Depending on the content of the contract between the supplier and the user, the amount of power to be adjusted may be determined in advance, and in this case, transmission of information regarding the amount of power to be adjusted is omitted.

The incentive information determination unit 15e determines information regarding the amount of incentive given to the user. The amount of incentive is given by, for example, the product of the power adjustment amount and the incentive unit price. The incentive information determination unit 15e changes the incentive unit price or the like according to the situation.

(2-2) Equipment 20
The facility device 20 is a device that operates under the control conditions set by the control device 30. By operating the equipment 20 under control conditions that satisfy the control request from the power management apparatus 10, the power consumption is adjusted in the energy consumption management system.

The types of equipment 20 include an air conditioner 20a, lighting 20b, and a ventilation fan 20c. The air conditioner 20a has different power consumption in the operation state due to a difference in an operation mode such as a cooling mode / a heating mode, a difference in set temperature, and a difference in environment such as an outside air temperature. Some of the lights 20b are operated only on / off and consume a certain amount of power in the operating state, and some of the lights 20b have different power consumption for each operation by switching the illuminance in multiple stages. The ventilation fan 20c is operated only on / off, and consumes constant power in the operating state.

(2-3) Control device 30
FIG. 4 is a schematic diagram illustrating the configuration of the control device 30. The control device 30 is used in the energy consumption management system and controls the equipment 20. The control device 30 includes a communication unit 31, an input unit 32, an output unit 33, a storage unit 34, a setting unit 35, a calculation unit 36, and a control unit 37.

The communication unit 31 communicates with the power management apparatus 10 and includes a network interface or the like that enables connection to the Internet 101a.

The input unit 32 is used to input information to the control device 30, and includes an operation button and a touch screen that covers the display of the output unit 33. Via the input unit 32, various commands such as a setting change for the equipment 20 and a change of the operation mode can be input. The input unit 32 receives an input of the “calculation period” of the predicted amount of incentive.

The output unit 33 outputs information stored in the control device 30 and includes a display. For example, the display of the output unit 33 outputs a screen showing the operation mode of the equipment 20, ON / OFF of the equipment 20, the operation mode (for example, the cooling mode / heating mode for the air conditioner 20 a), setting, and the like. It displays temperature, illuminance, ventilation volume, operating time, operating rate, other information related to operating capacity during operation, and current power consumption. The display of the output unit 33 displays the incentive prediction amount.

The storage unit 34 stores information input to the control device 30 and includes a hard disk or the like. The storage unit 34 stores a program that can be read and executed by the calculation unit 36 described later. Furthermore, the storage unit 34 stores information on control conditions and power consumption according to the type of the equipment device 20. The “control condition” is a condition when the control device 30 controls the equipment device 20. For example, as control conditions, output information for controlling the air conditioner 20a so as to reach a predetermined set temperature is stored. In the initial state, the control conditions are set in advance.

Also, the storage unit (expected value storage unit) 34 stores an expected value related to the incentive prediction amount in association with patterns classified at predetermined time intervals according to the state of the equipment. Here, “equipment status” refers to time status (season, month, early / late, day of the week), external environmental status (outside temperature, weather), operating status (operating mode, number of units operated, load factor, power consumption) ) Etc. The “pattern” is a state in which the state of the equipment classified by the above items is further divided at predetermined time intervals (for example, every 30 minutes). For example, as illustrated in FIG. 5, the storage unit 34 stores an incentive amount that can be expected for each classified pattern as an “expected value”. In this case, 0.8 yen, 15.2 yen, 15.2 yen, and 0.6 yen are stored as expected values for patterns assigned with

identification numbers

10, 11, 12, and 13, respectively. . The setting of the pattern and the incentive amount will be described later.

Furthermore, the storage unit 34 (control result storage unit) displays the control result of the demand response control performed by the facility device during a predetermined period “state (pattern) of the facility device at every predetermined time interval (for example, every 30 minutes)”. Store it in association with. Here, the “control result” is information including the number of control requests, the number of demand response controls performed in response to the control request, the power suppression amount adjusted by the demand response control, and the incentive unit price. Specifically, the storage unit 34 stores information such as a request rate, an acceptance rate, a suppression amount, and an incentive unit price as shown in FIG. 5 for each pattern as a control result of DR control. The “request rate ([%])” is an actual rate at which a control request is made from an electric power company or an aggregator in each time period. The “acceptance rate ([%])” is a performance rate at which the facility device 20 responds to a control request for DR control in each time period. The “suppression amount ([kW])” is a power suppression amount adjusted by the equipment device 20 in response to a control request for DR control in each time period. In addition, you may use the suppression rate with respect to the electric power used of the equipment 20 instead of the suppression amount. “Unit price ([yen / kW])” is the unit price of the incentive in each time period.

The setting unit 35 sets control conditions for the equipment 20 based on information input from the input unit 32 and the like.

The calculation unit 36 performs various calculations based on information stored in the control device 30 and is composed of, for example, a CPU, a ROM, and a RAM. The calculation unit 36 has the functions of the prediction amount calculation unit 36a and the expected value derivation unit 36b shown in FIG. 4 by reading and executing the program stored in the storage unit 34 described above.

The predicted amount calculation unit 36a calculates the predicted amount of the incentive after a predetermined time based on the pattern of the state of the equipment device 20 after the predetermined time and the expected value. Specifically, the predicted amount calculation unit 36a classifies the state of the equipment device 20 in the calculation period into a plurality of patterns for each predetermined time interval, and calculates the predicted amount of incentive based on the classified patterns and expected values. calculate. Details of the operation of the predicted amount calculation unit 36a will be described later.

The expected value deriving unit 36b derives an expected value related to the predicted amount of incentive based on past performance data and the like. Here, the expected value deriving unit 36b (pattern classification unit) classifies the state of the equipment device 20 in a predetermined period into a plurality of patterns at predetermined time intervals. Further, the expected value deriving unit 36b (expected value calculating unit) calculates an expected value for each classified pattern based on the past control result and the like. Then, the expected value deriving unit 36 b (expected value writing unit) writes the calculated expected value in the storage unit 34. Details of the operation of the expected value deriving unit 36b will be described later.

The control unit 37 controls the equipment 20 based on the control conditions set by the setting unit 35.

(3) Operation of Control Device 30 FIG. 6 is a process diagram for explaining the operation of the control device 30.

(3-1) Expected Value Deriving Step First, the derivation of the “expected value” for calculating the incentive prediction amount will be described.

In the storage unit 34 (control result storage unit) of the control device 30, the control result of the demand response control performed by the facility device 20 and the state of the facility device 20 are stored in association with each other at predetermined time intervals. Here, the control result of the DR control is stored in the storage unit 34 divided into time intervals of every 30 minutes. Further, as the control result, the number of control requests, the number of demand response controls performed in response to the control request, the power consumption adjusted by the demand response control, the unit price of incentive, and the like are stored in the storage unit 34 ( T1).

Next, the expected value deriving unit 36b of the control device 30 classifies the state of the equipment device 20 in a predetermined period into a plurality of patterns at predetermined time intervals according to a predefined classification item (T2).

Subsequently, the control result of the DR control is extracted from the storage unit 34 based on the state of the equipment device 20 in the predetermined period by the expected value deriving unit 36b of the control device 30 (T3). Then, the expected value derivation unit 36b calculates an expected value in each pattern based on the classified pattern and the extracted control result of the DR control (T4). As shown in FIG. 5, for example, the expected value is calculated from the product of the request rate, the acceptance rate, the suppression amount, and the incentive unit price. Specifically, it is calculated by the formula “expected value = request rate × acceptance rate × suppression amount × incentive unit price”. For example, in the case of pattern number 10 shown in FIG. 5, the request rate, acceptance rate, suppression amount, and incentive are 80 [%], 5 [%], 10 [kW], and 2 [yen / kW], respectively. Expected value is calculated as “0.8 [yen]”. The expected value calculated here is written in the storage unit 34.

In addition, when the “suppression amount” and “incentive unit price” have a plurality of actual values, one of the following calculation methods can be selected according to the purpose. That is, when it is desired to know the value most likely to occur, the “mode value” can be adopted. In addition, when it is desired to know a highly likely value under the same condition as the previous time, the “prior value” can be adopted. In addition, the “minimum value” can be adopted when it is desired to know the value when it is least expected. Further, when it is desired to know the value when the expected value is the maximum, the “maximum value” can be adopted. Further, when it is desired to know the average value, the “average value” can be adopted.

Also, when there is no past performance data at the beginning of the installation of equipment, the expected value may be obtained from the average value of similar properties. Then, after the result data is sufficiently accumulated, the result value may be replaced with one derived from the own property.

(3-2) Incentive Prediction Amount Calculation Step Next, calculation of the incentive prediction amount using the above-described expected value will be described.

First, the “calculation period” of the predicted amount of incentive desired by the user is input to the control device 30 via the input unit 32 (S1). For example, information such as “January 13, 2015 at 8:00 to January 13, 2015 at 9:59” is input as the calculation period (FIG. 7A).

Subsequently, the state of the facility device 20 in the calculation period is classified into a plurality of patterns at predetermined time intervals by the predicted amount calculation unit 36a of the control device 30 (S2). Specifically, a pattern is defined for the state of equipment every 30 minutes based on past performance data and the like. Here, "Time period from 8:00 to 8:30", "Time period from 8:30 to 9:00", "Time period from 9:00 to 9:30", "Time period from 9:30 to 10:00" Are classified as

pattern numbers

10, 11, 12, and 13 (FIG. 7B).

Next, an expected value corresponding to these patterns is extracted from the storage unit 34 by the predicted amount calculation unit 36a (S3). Here, expected values “8.0 yen”, “15.2 yen”, “15.2 yen”, and “0.6 yen” corresponding to the pattern numbers 10, 11, 12, and 13 are extracted from the storage unit 34, respectively. (FIG. 7C).

Subsequently, the total of the extracted expected values is obtained as the incentive prediction amount by the prediction amount calculation unit 36a. Then, the incentive prediction amount is presented via the output unit 33 (S4). Here, the incentive prediction amount corresponding to the calculation period is presented as “31.8 yen” (FIG. 7D).

As described above, according to the control device 30 according to the present embodiment, an incentive prediction amount that can be obtained in the specified calculation period is presented.

(4) Features (4-1)
The control device 30 (incentive prediction amount presentation device) according to an embodiment of the present invention is configured such that when the facility device 20 performs demand response control in which energy consumption is adjusted according to a control request, under a predetermined control condition, the facility device It is used in an energy consumption management system that gives incentives to 20 users. The control device 30 presents a predicted amount of incentive, and includes a storage unit 34 (expected value storage unit), a predicted amount calculation unit 36a, and an output unit 33 (predicted amount presentation unit). The storage unit 34 stores an expected value related to the predicted amount of incentives in association with patterns classified at predetermined time intervals according to the state of the equipment device 20. The predicted amount calculation unit 36a calculates the predicted amount of the incentive after a predetermined time based on the pattern of the state of the equipment device 20 after the predetermined time and the expected value. The output unit 33 presents a predicted amount of incentive.

Therefore, since the control device 30 presents the predicted amount of incentive after a predetermined time, it is possible to allow the user to determine the validity of the control condition of the demand response control for the equipment device 20.

(4-2)
In addition, the control device 30 receives the setting of the calculation period of the incentive prediction amount via the input unit 32 (calculation period setting unit). The predicted amount calculation unit 36a classifies the state of the equipment device 20 in the calculation period into a plurality of patterns for each predetermined time interval, and calculates an incentive predicted amount based on the classified patterns and expected values. With such a configuration, the user can set a time when he / she wants to determine the validity of demand response control.

(4-3)
In addition, the control device 30 includes a storage unit 34 (control result storage unit) and an expected value derivation unit 36b (pattern classification unit, expected value calculation unit, and expected value writing unit). The memory | storage part 34 memorize | stores the control result of the demand response control performed in the equipment 20 in the predetermined period for every predetermined time interval. The expected value deriving unit 36b (pattern classification unit) classifies the state of the equipment device 20 in a predetermined period into a plurality of patterns at predetermined time intervals. The expected value deriving unit 36b (expected value calculating unit) calculates an expected value for each classified pattern based on the control result. The expected value deriving unit 36 b (expected value writing unit) writes the calculated expected value in the storage unit 34. Since the control device 30 calculates and updates the expected value as appropriate, the accuracy of the incentive prediction amount can be increased.

(4-4)
Further, the control device 30 is based on information including the number of control requests, the number of demand response controls performed in response to the control request, the energy consumption adjusted by the demand response control, and the incentive unit price as a control result. Expected value. Thereby, the control apparatus 30 can show the prediction amount of a highly accurate incentive.

(5) Modification (5-1) Modification 1A
In the control device 30 according to the present embodiment, the input of the calculation period is received via the input unit 32. However, the control apparatus 30 may be configured to receive the planned state information and the planned period of the equipment. “Scheduled state information” is information indicating the state of the equipment that is scheduled in the scheduled period. For example, the schedule state information includes an operation schedule indicating the operating rate and date / time information of the air conditioner. Scheduled state information is received via the communication unit 31 or the input unit 32. After the scheduled state information and the scheduled period are received, the same operation as described above is performed. That is, the predicted amount calculation unit 36a classifies the state of the equipment in the scheduled period into a plurality of patterns for each predetermined time interval, and calculates the predicted amount of incentive based on each classified pattern and the expected value. .

Since the control device 30 according to the modified example 1A can set the schedule state information of the equipment in the scheduled period, the user can determine the validity of the demand response control in the scheduled period.

(5-2) Modification 1B
In the control device 30 according to the present embodiment, the incentive prediction amount is presented by simply indicating the expected incentive amount in the future, but the incentive target amount is set and the number of days until reaching the target amount is presented. You may do. Specifically, first, the input unit 32 (target amount setting unit) accepts setting of a target amount of incentive. Subsequently, the calculation unit 36 (target day calculation unit) calculates “target days” indicating the number of days required to reach the target amount based on the predicted amount of incentives. Then, the output unit 33 (predicted amount presentation unit) presents the target number of days. Thereby, for example, “Up to 10,000 yen, another X1 days” is displayed.

Since the control device 30 according to the modified example 1B presents the target number of days until the target amount of incentive is reached, the user can easily determine the validity of the control condition for demand response control.

(5-3) Modification 1C
The control apparatus 30 which concerns on this embodiment may compare and show the incentive amount anticipated in the future and the past performance value as a presentation aspect of the incentive prediction amount.

In this case, as a premise, the storage unit 34 (actual amount storage unit) stores the incentive actual amount given due to demand response control in association with the time information. Based on this assumption, the calculation unit 36 (actual comparison amount calculation unit) extracts and extracts the incentive performance amount stored in the storage unit 34 based on time information after a predetermined time corresponding to the incentive prediction amount. An “actual comparison amount” indicating a comparison between the actual amount of incentives and the predicted amount of incentives after a predetermined time is calculated. Then, the output unit 33 (predicted amount presenting unit) presents the actual comparison amount. For example, the control device 30 displays “X2% increase from the same month last year” or the like.

Since the control device 30 according to the modified example 1C presents a comparison between the actual amount of incentives and the predicted amount of incentives after a predetermined time, the user can easily determine the validity of the control conditions for demand response control. .

(5-4) Modification 1D
The control device 30 according to the present embodiment may compare and present the already predicted actual value of the incentive prediction amount with the past actual value.

In this case, as a premise, the storage unit 34 (actual amount storage unit) stores the incentive actual amount given due to demand response control in association with the time information. Furthermore, the storage unit 34 (prediction amount storage unit) stores the incentive prediction amount in association with the time information. Under such a premise, the calculation unit 36 (same time comparison amount calculation unit) calculates “same time comparison amount” indicating a comparison between the predicted amount and the actual amount having the same time information. Then, the output unit 33 (predicted amount presenting unit) presents the same time comparison amount. Thereby, for example, “X3 yen / time reduction as the difference between the expected amount and the actual amount” and “−X4% as the error rate of the estimated amount” are displayed.

Since the control device 30 according to the modified example 1D presents a comparison between the predicted amount and the actual amount having the same time information, the validity of the predicted amount presented by the incentive predicted amount presentation device can be verified.

(5-5) Modification 1E
In the present embodiment, the output unit 33 of the control device 30 is configured to present the control result of the DR control. However, as illustrated in FIG. 8, the presentation device 40 that presents the incentive prediction amount is separated from the control device 30. The structure provided may be sufficient. With this configuration, the user can check the incentive prediction amount regardless of the installation location of the control device 30.

(5-6) Modification 1F
Further, the control device 30 may be connected to the facility device 20 via the network NW. Moreover, you may provide the presentation apparatus 40 which presents an incentive prediction amount separately from the control apparatus 30. FIG. For example, as shown in FIG. 9, each device may have a cloud configuration via the Internet or the like. Since the presentation device 40 is connected to each device via a network, the user can check the control result of the DR control at an arbitrary location.

<Appendix>
In addition, this invention is not limited to the said embodiment as it is. The present invention can be embodied by modifying the components without departing from the scope of the invention in the implementation stage. In addition, the present invention can form various inventions by appropriately combining a plurality of constituent elements disclosed in the above embodiments. For example, some components may be deleted from all the components shown in the embodiment. Furthermore, constituent elements may be appropriately combined in different embodiments.

DESCRIPTION OF SYMBOLS 10 Power management apparatus 20 Equipment 30 Control apparatus (incentive prediction amount presentation apparatus)
31 Communication unit (planned state information setting unit)
32 Input unit (calculation period setting unit, scheduled state information setting unit, target amount setting unit)
33 Output unit (predicted amount presentation unit)
34 storage unit (expected value storage unit, control result storage unit, actual amount storage unit, predicted amount storage unit)
35 setting unit 36 calculation unit (target days calculation unit, actual comparison amount calculation unit, same time comparison amount calculation unit)
36a Predicted amount calculating unit 36b Expected value deriving unit (pattern classification unit, expected value calculating unit, expected value writing unit)
37 control unit 40 presentation device

JP 2005-250523 A

Claims

When the equipment device (20) performs demand response control for adjusting the energy consumption in response to a control request under a predetermined control condition, the equipment is used for an energy consumption management system that gives an incentive to the user of the equipment. An incentive prediction amount presentation device (30) for presenting the prediction amount of the incentive,
An expected value storage unit (34) for storing an expected value related to the predicted amount of the incentive in association with patterns classified at predetermined time intervals according to the state of the equipment;
A predicted amount calculation unit (36a) that calculates a predicted amount of incentives after a predetermined time based on the pattern of the state of the equipment after a predetermined time and the expected value;
A prediction amount presentation unit (33) for presenting the prediction amount of the incentive;
An incentive prediction amount presentation device comprising:
A calculation period setting unit (32) for setting a calculation period of the predicted amount of the incentive,
The predicted amount calculation unit classifies the state of the equipment in the calculation period into a plurality of patterns for each predetermined time interval, and calculates the predicted amount of the incentive based on the classified patterns and the expected value. To
The incentive prediction amount presentation device according to claim 1.
A schedule state information setting unit (31, 32) configured to set schedule state information indicating the state of the facility device, which is scheduled in a scheduled period;
The predicted amount calculation unit classifies the state of the equipment in the scheduled period into a plurality of patterns for each predetermined time interval, and calculates the predicted amount of the incentive based on the classified patterns and the expected value. To
The incentive prediction amount presentation device according to claim 1 or 2.
A control result storage unit (34) for storing a control result of the demand response control performed by the equipment in a predetermined period for each predetermined time interval;
A pattern classification unit (36b) for classifying the state of the equipment in the predetermined period into a plurality of patterns for each predetermined time interval;
An expected value calculation unit (36b) that calculates the expected value for each pattern classified by the pattern classification unit based on the control result;
An expected value writing unit (36b) for writing the expected value calculated by the expected value calculating unit into the expected value storage unit;
The incentive prediction amount presentation device according to any one of claims 1 to 3, further comprising:
The control result is information including the number of control requests, the number of demand response controls performed in response to the control request, the energy consumption adjusted by the demand response control, and the unit price of the incentive.
The incentive prediction amount presentation device according to claim 4.
A target amount setting unit (32) for setting a target amount of the incentive;
A target day calculation unit (36) for calculating a target number of days indicating the number of days required to reach the target amount based on the predicted amount of the incentive,
The predicted amount presentation unit presents the target number of days.
The incentive prediction amount presentation device according to any one of claims 1 to 5.
An actual amount storage unit (34) for storing an incentive actual amount given due to the demand response control in association with time information;
Based on the time information after a predetermined time corresponding to the predicted amount of the incentive, the actual amount of the incentive stored in the actual amount storage unit is extracted, and the extracted actual amount of the incentive and the prediction of the incentive after the predetermined time A performance comparison amount calculation unit (36) that calculates a performance comparison amount indicating a comparison with the amount;
The predicted amount presentation unit presents the performance comparison amount.
The incentive prediction amount presentation device according to any one of claims 1 to 6.
An actual amount storage unit (34) for storing an incentive actual amount given due to the demand response control in association with time information;
A prediction amount storage unit (34) for storing the prediction amount of the incentive in association with time information;
An identical time comparison amount calculation unit (36) for calculating an identical time comparison amount indicating a comparison between the predicted amount and the actual amount having the same time information;
The predicted amount presentation unit presents the same time comparison amount.
The incentive prediction amount presentation device according to any one of claims 1 to 7.