KR101356980B1 - Method and system of generation simulation applying eldc calculation - Google Patents

Abstract

The present invention relates to a method for simulating generation amount by calculating an equivalent load curve and a system thereof comprising a load curve obtaining step for calculating an LDC by collecting a power usage pattern for power demand of a load for each time zone and for calculating a TLDC by converting the LDC into the size of a time number for the size of the load; a power demand satisfaction determining step for applying a memory of each generation capacity to the TLDC according to the input of generators and for determining supply satisfaction for the power demand of the load; and an individual generator condition calculating step for calculating individual generation amount and generation costs for the generators according to determination for the satisfaction of the power demand. The present invention is provided to express an existing LDC as a functional formula with two steps and calculate the LDC, thereby simplifying the complex of calculation or improving the distortion of a calculation result and a complex process. [Reference numerals] (AA) No; (BB) Yes; (S110) Power usage pattern for each time; (S120) Digitally store an LDC curve (the number of time for each load mount level); (S130) Successively input generators (consider a defect possibility); (S210) Generator information (capacity, a defect stop possibility, and fuel costs); (S230) Generator feeding order (feeding order of a change costs reference); (S330) Move a memory according to generator capacity; (S350) Calculate a moving area by considering the defect possibility; (S370) Satisfy total supply; (S400) Set generation amount for each generator and calculate total costs for each generator

Description

Power generation simulation method using equivalent load curve calculation and power generation simulation system for it {Method and system of generation simulation applying ELDC calculation}

The present invention relates to a power generation simulation method using an equivalent load curve calculation and a power generation simulation system for the same, wherein the load speed curve (LDC) is digitally simulated without additional processing, and the memory of the power generation capacity of each generator is sequentially The present invention relates to a power generation simulation method for determining a power supply supply capacity and establishing a power generation plan, and a power generation simulation system for applying the same.

In order to supply electricity in response to electricity consumption, existing power generators using various raw materials such as nuclear, coal, and LNG complexes are constructed to supply electricity, but in the future, smart power resources are not only existing generators, but also wind power. It supplies electricity by integrating consumer resources such as energy supply, energy saving, emergency generator, and energy storage power by new and renewable generators such as photovoltaic and bio.

In the future, economic analysis of generator investment is needed to determine the construction investment of power resources such as general generators such as nuclear power, coal, LNG complex, and renewable power generators such as wind, solar, tidal power, and bio. The core of economic analysis is simulation of generator investment cost and future generation. The amount of power generated by generators is input sequentially from the cheapest generator to the expensive generator based on the variable cost of power generation until the power demand is satisfied. Therefore, renewable energy generators are put in the highest priority because they rarely incur variable costs, but the amount of generation depends on the generation of natural energy.

In order to simulate power generation by generators in the future, a program for simulating power generation is required.In Korea, KEPCO and Korea Electric Power Exchange use a method that applies algorithms of simulation software such as WASP and EGEAS introduced from abroad. .

1 is a flowchart illustrating a generation amount calculation process for each generator according to the prior art.

In developing the power generation plan, the economics should be analyzed in applying generator power generation, where the most important process is to calculate the power generation for each generator when each generator is economically developed according to the power demand.

Referring to the power generation calculation process according to the prior art with reference to FIG. 1, first, the power usage pattern for the load is collected to calculate the power usage pattern for each hour (S10), and based on this to derive the LDC function load loading curve (S20) do.

The conventional technique for simulating the failure of a generator is based on a mathematical approach. The fifth order polynomial is applied to mathematically express the load curve after changing the pattern of power demand to the load curve. (S30) was expressed.

FIG. 2 is a simulation of using a load speed curve (LDC) in which a load that changes in a specific one year period 8760 hours is ordered in size in a model such as WASP according to the prior art and calculates a load speed curve. A curve approximated by a polynomial is shown, where the fifth order polynomial can be expressed as y = -9.7878x5 + 24.669x4-22.887x3 + 9.5026x2-1.9928x + 1.

And since it is difficult to model the generator using the fifth-order polynomial to reflect the probability, it is converted into a Fourier series (S40) and applied. In other words, to reflect the failure of the generator internally, the fifth-order polynomial is computed using the equation approximated again with Fourier series.

There is a problem that the load speed curve is distorted and simulated in this conversion process, and it is difficult to develop the whole system due to the difficulty of mathematical conversion process.

In such a process method for implementing power generation simulation according to the prior art, there must be an understanding of a complicated function transformation, and furthermore, there is a problem in that the LDC is not accurately represented by the function transformation. In particular, there is a problem that a lot of distortion occurs at the start and end of the sensitive configuration (5% of the start time and 5% of the time zone) in the power configuration, as shown in the curve of Figure 2 LDC at the beginning and end It can be seen that the error of the curve due to and 5th order polynomial function is large.

This distortion creates errors in the power plant simulation of the peak generator and the power generator simulation of the base generator. In addition, a double error occurs because the fifth order polynomial is changed to a Fourier function in order to reflect the LDC change and the failure probability according to the generator input.

The present invention is to solve the problems of the prior art as described above, in establishing the power generation plan through the power generation simulation to calculate the LDC reflecting the power demand of the load as it is, according to the complexity and approximation of the calculation for the simulation Its main purpose is to provide a generation simulation method that eliminates distortions in calculation results at the load and makes the overall process simple.

It is necessary to understand the complicated function conversion in the conventional process method to implement the power generation simulation, to solve the problem that the LDC is not accurately represented by the function conversion, and especially the sensitive start and end parts (starting 5% time zone and 5% time of the end) to solve the problem that a lot of distortion occurs.

Due to these distortions, we want to eliminate the errors that occur in the power generation simulation of the peak generator and the power generation simulation of the base generator.

In addition, to reflect the LDC change and failure probability according to the generator input to solve the problem that the double error occurs by performing the task of changing the fifth-order polynomial to the Fourier function.

In order to achieve the above technical problem, a first characteristic configuration of the present invention is to collect a power usage pattern for a power demand of a time-phase load to calculate a load speed curve (LDC), and the LDC is the size of the number of times for the size of the load. A load curve obtaining step of calculating a TLDC by digital conversion; A power demand fulfillment determining step of reflecting memory of each power generation capacity in the digitized digitally sequentially in the TLDC according to the input of a plurality of generators, and determining supply satisfaction for power demand of the load based on this; And calculating an individual generator condition for estimating an individual power generation amount and power generation cost for the plurality of generators according to the power demand meeting decision.

Preferably, the load curve acquiring step may include: a power demand collection step of collecting a power usage pattern for power demand of a time-phase load; An LDC calculating step of calculating an LDC for an hourly power demand amount based on the power usage pattern; An LDC digitization step of dividing the LDC by the number of hours and calculating a digitized LDC for each number of times; And a TLDC calculation step of converting the digitized LDC into TLDC, which is the number of time for each load size.

More preferably, the step of determining the power demand satisfies, the power generation capacity memory calculating step of calculating the memory of the power generation capacity for one generator selected according to the sequence number of the plurality of generators; A GTLDC calculation step of calculating a GTLDC by the movement of the TLDC according to the reflection of the memory of the generation capacity by reflecting the memory of the generation capacity according to the input of the selected one generator to be reduced to the load size of the TLDC; Calculating a memory of a pre-existing failure probability for the generator; An ETLDC calculation step of calculating the ETLDC by the movement of the GTLDC according to the reflection of the failure probability of the generator by reflecting the failure probability memory to multiply the load size of the GTLDC; And a generation amount determination step of determining supply satisfaction for power demand of the load based on the ETLDC.

Here, the step of determining the power demand is satisfied, excluding the selected one generator from the plurality of generators and returning to the generation capacity memory calculating step according to a result of supply supply determination for power demand of the load according to the generation amount determination step. Development may include a regression step.

Further, in the step of determining the power demand, the order of the generator may be determined in the order of power supply according to the variable cost criteria based on the generator information including the capacity and fuel cost for the power generation of the generator.

And the step of calculating the individual generator conditions, power generation amount determining step for determining the input time period and the individual power generation amount for each of the plurality of generators based on the result according to the power demand meeting determination; Calculating an individual power generation cost for each of the plurality of generators based on the individual power generation amount; and calculating a total power generation cost for calculating the total power generation cost by adding the individual power generation costs for each of the plurality of power generators. It may include.

In addition, the second characteristic configuration of the present invention, in the power generation simulation system, calculates the load speed curve (LDC) based on the power usage pattern for a certain period, and the LDC is digital as the number of times of the load size A digitized LDC calculator for converting and calculating a TLDC; A generator component for holding power generation information on a plurality of generators of different power generation methods, and determining a power generation input order for the plurality of generators; Generating amount generation unit for each generator for calculating the equivalent load curve (ETLDC) according to the generation amount simulation by sequentially inputting the generator to the TLDC according to the power generation order; A generation condition calculation unit for each generator that calculates a generation condition for each generator according to the result of the generation simulation; And a power generation evaluation analysis unit which collects power generation conditions for the plurality of generators and determines a total power generation cost.

Preferably, the digitized LDC calculator includes: a power usage pattern collector configured to identify power demand for a load for a predetermined period and generate a power usage pattern for the load for the predetermined period based on the power demand; And an LDC curve digitizer configured to calculate an LDC based on the power usage pattern, and digitally convert the LDC to a size of a number of times for a load size to calculate a TLDC.

Here, the generator component stores generator-specific information including power generation capacity, fuel cost and failure stop probability for each generator according to a power generation method, and inputs order for each generator based on the variable cost according to the power generation capacity and fuel cost. You can decide.

More preferably, the generator generation generation simulation unit may include a generator generation memory calculation unit configured to calculate a memory based on a generation amount for the generator and a memory based on a failure stop probability; A memory reflecting unit for calculating an equivalent load curve (ETLDC) by reflecting the memory for the generator into the TLDC; And a supply satisfaction determination unit configured to determine generation supply satisfaction for the power use pattern based on the ETLDC.

According to the present invention, the conventional LDC is represented by a functional formula approximated by two steps to calculate and simplify the complexity of the calculation, and also the distortion of the calculation result and the overall result of applying the distorted function at the actual load according to the approximation. Complex processes can be improved.

In particular, the LDC can be used to perform calculations according to the simulation, and in order to consider the failure probability of the generator, a simple method can be used to replace the existing complicated mathematical method, thereby simplifying the overall process. Since there is no need for mathematical approximation, it is possible to provide a method to reduce the error due to the function transformation and to easily implement the simulation and obtain a result, and a system for applying the same.

1 is a flowchart illustrating a process for estimating power generation for each generator according to the prior art;
Figure 2 shows a curve approximated by a fifth order polynomial to calculate the LDC according to the prior art,
3 shows a schematic configuration of a power generation simulation system according to the present invention,
4 is a block diagram of an embodiment of the detailed configuration of FIG.
5 is a flowchart illustrating an embodiment of a power generation simulation method according to the present invention;
6 shows an embodiment of the hourly load curve for one week,
FIG. 7 illustrates a process of calculating a load speed curve LDC in a load curve for the embodiment of FIG. 6.
FIG. 8 shows the load curve LDC for the embodiment of FIG. 6;
FIG. 9 illustrates an embodiment of a power generation amount for each generator for the embodiment of FIG. 6.
FIG. 10 shows an embodiment of power generation amount for each generator for the embodiment of FIG. 8;
11 illustrates an embodiment of a process of calculating a TLDC from an LDC according to the present invention.
12 illustrates an embodiment for a TLDC in accordance with the present invention,
FIG. 13 illustrates an embodiment of a process of calculating a GTLDC according to a generator input in the TLDC of FIG. 12 according to the present invention.
FIG. 14 illustrates an embodiment of a process of calculating an ETLDC by reflecting a generator failure probability in the GTLDC of FIG. 13 according to the present invention; FIG.
FIG. 15 illustrates an ETLDC calculated through the embodiment of FIGS. 12 to 14 according to the present invention.
16 shows an embodiment in which the ETLDC according to the present invention follows the sum of the generation capacity for each generator by the generator input.

BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS The above and other objects, features and advantages of the present invention will become more apparent from the following detailed description of the present invention when taken in conjunction with the accompanying drawings.

First, the terminology used in the present application is used only to describe a specific embodiment, and is not intended to limit the present invention, and the singular expressions may include plural expressions unless the context clearly indicates otherwise. Also, in this application, the terms "comprise", "having", and the like are intended to specify that there are stated features, integers, steps, operations, elements, parts or combinations thereof, But do not preclude the presence or addition of features, numbers, steps, operations, components, parts, or combinations thereof.

In the following description of the present invention, a detailed description of known functions and configurations incorporated herein will be omitted when it may make the subject matter of the present invention rather unclear.

According to the present invention, the load constant curve (LDC) is digitized as it is without additional processing, and then expressed as an approximate equivalent load curve (ETLDC) through two steps, and the power generation capacity of each generator is simulated by applying the generator capacity to each generator. Initiate a generation simulation plan that will determine compliance and develop a development plan.

First, a configuration of a system for performing a power generation simulation according to the present invention will be described. FIG. 3 shows a schematic configuration of a power generation simulation system according to the present invention.

Generating amount simulation system according to the present invention is a digitized LDC calculation unit 100, generator component 200, generator generation simulation unit 200, generator generation condition calculation unit 400 and generator evaluation analysis unit 500 It may be configured to include).

The digitizing LDC calculator 100 detects the power demand of the load and generates a power usage pattern thereof. FIG. 4A illustrates a configuration of an embodiment of the digitizing LDC calculator 100. As illustrated in FIG. 4A, the digitizing LDC calculator 100 may include a power usage pattern collector 110 and an LDC curve digitizer 130. The power usage pattern collecting unit 110 collects information on the power demand of the load for a certain period of time such as one week, one month, one year, and generates a power usage pattern for a certain period of time based on the LDC curve digitizing unit ( 130 calculates a load sustain curve LDC based on the power usage pattern generated by the power usage pattern collector 110, and converts the calculated LDC to digitize the LDC. Create a graph, TLDC.

Returning to FIG. 3 again, the generator component 200 holds information on various types of generators such as nuclear power, coal, LNG, and the like. The reserved information includes power generation capacity, fuel cost, failure stop probability of each generator according to the power generation method, and the like. Contains information. In addition, the generator component 200 may determine the input order for each generator based on the variable cost according to the power generation capacity and fuel cost.

Generating amount simulation unit 200 for each generator performs a power generation simulation by inputting each generator, Figure 4 (b) shows a configuration for an embodiment of the generation amount simulation unit 200 for each generator. The generation amount simulation unit 200 for each generator may include a memory calculation unit 310, a memory reflecting unit 330, and a supply fulfillment determination unit 350 for each generator. Such a configuration is only one embodiment. In the present invention, additional configurations for the actual power generation simulation according to the power generation simulation method described later may be further included or each configuration may be subdivided.

Generator-specific memory calculation unit 310 calculates a memory based on the amount of power generation for each generator based on the information on the generator possessed by the generator component 200, where the memory is a concept for reflecting the amount of power generation in the TLDC It can be the size for the amount of power that can be applied on the space in which the TLDC is represented. In addition, the generator-specific memory calculator 310 may calculate a memory for the failure stop probability of each generator, and further, may calculate a memory in which both the generation amount and the failure stop probability of each generator are considered.

In addition, the memory reflecting unit 330 sequentially calculates the memory of the amount of power generated by each generator according to the input order of each generator of the generator component 200 to the TLDC, and finally calculates an equivalent load curve, ETLDC. The calculation of the ETLDC will be described in more detail with reference to the following Examples.

The supply satisfaction determination unit 350 determines whether the power generation supply for the power demand of the load is satisfied according to the result of the simulation of each of the generators in the memory reflecting unit 330.

3 again, the generation condition calculation unit 400 for each generator calculates generation conditions such as generation time and generation amount for each generator based on simulation results for each generator of the generation generation simulation unit 300 for each generator, The generation evaluation analysis unit 500 collects the generation conditions for each generator calculated by the generation condition calculation unit 400 for each generator, determines suitability in consideration of the overall generation cost, and establishes a generation plan.

The power generation simulation method is performed using the system for performing the power generation simulation according to the present invention. FIG. 5 is a flowchart illustrating an embodiment of the power generation simulation method according to the present invention.

Based on the power demand for a certain period of time for the load to generate a time-specific power usage pattern for a selected period (S110), and calculates the LDC based on the power usage pattern, look at the process for this through the embodiment Shall be.

FIG. 6 illustrates an embodiment of the hourly load curve for one week. As shown in FIG. 6, the general hourly load curve 160 shows a sharp increase in power usage during the weekday daytime and nighttime during the period from Monday to Sunday. It can be seen that the power usage is sharply reduced during the time zone, and that the power usage during the daytime is relatively low compared to the weekday during the weekend. The LDC is calculated based on the hourly load curve. FIG. 7 illustrates a process of calculating the load duration curve LDC in the load curve for the embodiment of FIG. 6.

The peak in the hourly load curve 160 is slightly over 70000 MW and the minimum is just over 40000 MW. From this point of view, in terms of the continuous power usage of the load, the hourly load curve 160 always uses the lowest power above the peak, and the peak is approximately for several hours and the time for the power usage from the lowest to the peak is calculated and LDC 170, which is a load speed curve, may be obtained by arranging the loads in large order, and FIG. 8 illustrates a load speed curve LDC for the embodiment of FIG.

The LDC 170 changes the value of the hourly load curve 160 back to the point of view, and the load amount of the LDC 170 and the load amount of the hourly load curve 160 are the same after all. 10 shows an embodiment of the power generation amount for each generator for the embodiment of FIG. 6 and the embodiment of FIG. 8, respectively.

In FIG. 9, the power generation accumulated by sequentially generating power from the generator 1 360a to the generator 11 360n according to the power usage pattern of the load curve 160 is shown in FIG. 9, in the case of the minimum value of the load curve 160. To generator 7 is needed, and in the case of peak value, generator 1 to generator 11 are needed. In addition, based on the LDC 170 of FIG. 10, the power generation accumulated by sequentially generating power from the generator 1 (360a) to the generator 11 (360n) is also required. In the case of the peak value, power generation from generator 1 to generator 11 is required. That is, it can be seen that the load curve 160 and the LDC 170 are the same in the amount of power generated by substantially generating each generator sequentially to meet the power demand.

Returning to FIG. 5 again and continuing with the flowchart of an embodiment of the power generation simulation method according to the present invention, the calculated LDC is digitized and stored (S120). More preferably, the digitization of the calculated LDC is the LDC. By converting, it can mean TLDC for the number of hours per load size.

The digitizing process divides the curve for the LCD into a predetermined interval, calculates the average value at a predetermined interval, and digitizes it into a set of average values. It may be possible to digitize the LDC.

Furthermore, as a process of calculating the TLDC by converting the LDC, FIG. 11 illustrates an embodiment of a process of calculating the TLDC from the LDC according to the present invention.

First, the LDC, which is a curve of the power capacity of the hour, is digitized into the number of loads according to the number of hands as shown in (a) of FIG. 11, and is converted into the number of hours by load size as shown in (b) of FIG. As shown in (c) of FIG. 11, the graph axis of the LDC represented by the number of hours by load size is converted to calculate the TLDC represented by the number of hours by load size. That is, in FIG. 11B, the TLDC is calculated for the number of times for each load size, which is the number of times on the X axis and the size of the load on the Y axis, by converting the axis of the graph about the load magnitude of the X axis and the number of hours of the Y axis.

When the digitized TLDC for the LDC is calculated in this manner, a graph of the TLDC according to the present invention shown in FIG. 12 may be generated. Referring to the flow chart of FIG. 5 again, the subsequent process will be performed. Each generator is sequentially input to the calculated TLDC (S130). At this time, generator information such as power generation capacity, fuel cost, and failure stop probability is generated for each generator. Provided (S210), and based on the generator information provided to determine the power supply order of the generator to be injected based on the variable cost for each generator (S230) and then the generator of the generator (S130) sequentially according to the determined sequence number of the generator Can be applied.

According to the power supply sequence, as much memory as the generator capacity for one generator to the TLDC (S330), Figure 13 is an embodiment of applying the memory of the power generation capacity according to the generator input in the TLDC of FIG. Illustrated.

Here, the memory of the generating capacity is calculated by the area according to the size of the generating capacity for the one generator in the space in which the graph of the TLDC of FIG. 12 is represented, the one generator as shown in FIG. The GTLDC due to the spatial movement of the TLDC is calculated by reflecting the generation capacity memory so as to reduce the load size of the TLDC. That is, a graph in which the TLDC is moved leftward as much as the generation capacity memory by reflecting the generation capacity memory in the load size of the TLDC may be a GTLDC.

In addition, the memory of the probability of failure for one generator is applied to the GTLDC (S350). FIG. 14 illustrates an embodiment in which the memory of the generator failure probability is reflected in the GTLDC of FIG. 13 according to the present invention. Here, the memory of the failure probability is calculated by calculating the ratio area according to the magnitude of the failure probability for the single generator in the space where the graph of the GTLDC is expressed, similarly to the memory of the power generation capacity. As shown in FIG. The ETLDC due to the spatial movement of the GTLDC is calculated by multiplying the load magnitude by the memory of the probability of failure for one generator. That is, ETLDC may be a graph in which the load size of the GTLDC is multiplied by the memory of the failure probability and the GTLDC is moved to the right as a whole by the ratio of the memory of the failure probability.

As such, the ETLDC shown in FIG. 15 may be calculated by reflecting the power generation capacity and the failure probability of the single generator in the TLDC of FIG. 12.

Returning to the flowchart of the embodiment of FIG. 5 again, when the ETLDC is obtained by inputting the single generator, it is determined whether the ETLDC meets the power demand of the overall load (S370) and if it does not meet the power demand of the overall load. If not, the next generation of generators is input to the calculated ETLDC to calculate the ETLDC of the next generation of generators, and it is judged again to meet the power demand of the overall load. When the final ETLDC satisfies the overall power demand of the load by sequentially repeating this process sequentially according to the order of generators, the input time and individual generation amount of each generator are determined for the generators that have been sequentially input so far, and According to the calculation of the individual power generation costs, it is to calculate the total power generation costs by collecting the individual conditions of the entire generator is injected (S400).

Furthermore, it is possible to perform a power generation evaluation based on the individual conditions of each generator and the total power generation cost, and develop a power generation plan based on this.

According to the present invention, the conventional LDC is represented by a functional formula approximated by two steps to calculate and simplify the complexity of the calculation, and also the distortion of the calculation result and the overall result of applying the distorted function at the actual load according to the approximation. Complex processes can be improved.

In particular, the LDC can be used to perform calculations according to the simulation, and in order to consider the failure probability of the generator, a simple method can be used to replace the existing complicated mathematical method, thereby simplifying the overall process. Since there is no need for mathematical approximation, it is possible to provide a method to reduce the error due to the function transformation and to easily implement the simulation and obtain a result, and a system for applying the same.

The foregoing description is merely illustrative of the technical idea of the present invention and various changes and modifications may be made by those skilled in the art without departing from the essential characteristics of the present invention. Therefore, the embodiments of the present invention are not intended to limit the scope of the present invention but to limit the scope of the present invention. The scope of protection of the present invention should be construed according to the following claims, and all technical ideas within the scope of equivalents thereof should be construed as being included in the scope of the present invention.

100: digitizing LDC calculator, 110: power usage pattern collector,
130: LDC curve digitization unit, 160: hourly load curve,
170: LDC,
200: generator component,
300: generation amount simulation unit for each generator, 310: memory calculation unit for each generator,
330: memory reflecting unit, 350: supply fulfillment determination unit,
360a, 360b, 360c, ... 360n: generator,
400: calculation of power generation conditions for each generator,
500: development evaluation analysis unit.

Claims (10)

Acquiring a load usage curve (LDC) by collecting a power usage pattern for power demand of a load according to a time slot, and calculating a TLDC by digitally converting the LDC into a magnitude of a time number for a load size;
A power demand fulfillment determining step of reflecting memory of each power generation capacity in the digitized digitally sequentially in the TLDC according to the input of a plurality of generators, and determining supply satisfaction for power demand of the load based on this; And
Generating the amount of power generation simulation, characterized in that for calculating the individual generation amount and the generation cost for the plurality of generators according to the power demand meeting determination. The method of claim 1,
The load curve acquisition step,
A power demand collection step of collecting a power usage pattern for the power demand of the time-phase load;
An LDC calculating step of calculating an LDC for an hourly power demand amount based on the power usage pattern;
An LDC digitization step of dividing the LDC by the number of hours and calculating a digitized LDC for each time number; And
And a TLDC calculation step of converting the digitized LDC into TLDC, which is the number of time for each load size. 3. The method of claim 2,
The power demand meeting determination step,
A power generation capacity memory calculating step of calculating a memory of power generation capacity for one generator selected according to the sequence number of the plurality of generators;
A GTLDC calculation step of calculating a GTLDC by the movement of the TLDC according to the reflection of the memory of the generation capacity by reflecting the memory of the generation capacity according to the input of the selected one generator to be reduced to the load size of the TLDC;
Calculating a memory of a pre-existing failure probability for the generator;
An ETLDC calculation step of calculating the ETLDC by the movement of the GTLDC according to the reflection of the failure probability of the generator by reflecting the failure probability memory to multiply the load size of the GTLDC; And
And a generation amount determination step of determining supply satisfaction for power demand of the load based on the ETLDC. The method of claim 3, wherein
The power demand meeting determination step,
And a power generation sequence regression step of excluding the selected one generator from the plurality of generators and returning to the generation capacity memory calculating step according to a result of supply supply determination for power demand of the load according to the generation amount determination step. Characteristic of power generation simulation method. 5. The method according to any one of claims 1 to 4,
In the step of determining the power demand, generation number of the generator is a power generation simulation method, characterized in that for determining the order of power supply based on the variable cost based on the generator information including the capacity and fuel cost for the power generation of the generator. 5. The method according to any one of claims 1 to 4,
The individual generator condition calculation step,
A generation amount determining step of determining an input time period and an individual generation amount for each of the plurality of generators based on the result according to the power demand meeting determination;
An individual generation cost calculation step of calculating an individual generation cost for each of the plurality of generators based on the individual generation amounts;
And a total power generation cost calculating step of calculating a total power generation cost by adding up individual power generation costs for each of the plurality of generators. In the power generation simulation system,
A digitized LDC calculator for calculating a load speed curve (LDC) based on a power usage pattern for a predetermined period, and digitally converting the LDC to a magnitude of a number of times for a load;
A generator component for holding power generation information on a plurality of generators of different power generation methods, and determining a power generation input order for the plurality of generators;
Generating amount generation unit for each generator for calculating the equivalent load curve (ETLDC) according to the generation amount simulation by sequentially inputting the generator to the TLDC according to the power generation order;
A generation condition calculation unit for each generator that calculates a generation condition for each generator according to the result of the generation simulation; And
Power generation simulation system comprising a power generation evaluation analysis unit for determining the total power generation cost by collecting the power generation conditions for a plurality of generators. The method of claim 7, wherein
The digitizing LDC calculator,
A power usage pattern collection unit which grasps the power demand for the load for a predetermined period and generates a power usage pattern for the load for the predetermined period based on the power demand; And
And an LDC curve digitizer configured to calculate an LDC based on the power usage pattern, and digitally convert the LDC to a magnitude of a number of times for a load. The method of claim 7, wherein
The generator component,
Characterized in that for storing the generator-specific information including the power generation capacity, fuel cost and failure stop probability for each generator according to the power generation method, and determining the input order for each generator based on the variable cost according to the power generation capacity and fuel cost Power generation simulation system. The method of claim 7, wherein
The generation amount simulation unit for each generator,
A generator-specific memory calculator for calculating a memory based on the amount of power generated for the generator and a memory based on a failure stop probability;
A memory reflecting unit for calculating an equivalent load curve (ETLDC) by reflecting the memory for the generator into the TLDC; And
Generating amount simulation system, characterized in that it comprises a supply satisfaction determination unit for determining the power supply supply satisfaction for the power usage pattern based on the ETLDC.

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