JPWO2018158794A1 - Demand adjustment device - Google Patents

Abstract

An object of this invention is to provide the demand adjustment apparatus which suppresses concentration of the new demand by the peak shift accompanying DR. The demand adjustment device according to the present invention includes an assignment value determination unit 12 and a communication unit 14. The allocation value determination unit 12 allocates a DR allocation value obtained by dividing the DR command value, which is the demand adjustment request amount in the demand response (DR), to at least some of the consumers that form the customer group. The communication unit 14 transfers the DR allocation value and the information of the demand adjustment period in the DR, and the condition of the peak shift destination to which the adjustment of the demand by the DR is moved to the allocated customer who is the consumer to which the DR allocation value is allocated. And DR shift information including the peak shift destination information indicating.

Description

  According to the present invention, the energy supplier requests the demander to adjust the demand, and the demand response (hereinafter referred to as DR) in which the demand is adjusted by paying the compensation value according to the adjustment value. The present invention relates to a demand adjustment device that determines a requested amount of DR.

  In the conventional DR, if a customer exceeding the DR commander's expectation reduces the demand in response to the DR command, the demand is reduced more than necessary and the peak shift causes the demand to be concentrated in another time zone There was a problem that.

  As an improvement measure, for example, in Patent Document 1, a cooperation level, which is information that quantifies the height of the consumer's awareness of the DR command, may be calculated, and the DR command may be responded to based on the size of the cooperation level. Technology that identifies high demand customers and limits DR to those customers is disclosed.

JP 2012-151992 A

  According to the technology of Patent Document 1, since the DR command is issued to the minimum number of customers required, it is possible to prevent the demand from being reduced more than necessary by the DR. However, since the control of the peak shift destination of the consumer is not performed, it has not been possible to solve the problem that the demand shift occurs in another time zone due to the peak shift. For example, when the number of customers is small but each plant is a plant with a large demand, concentration of peak shift destinations in these few plants may cause new demand concentration.

  An object of this invention is to provide the demand adjustment apparatus which suppresses concentration of the new demand by the peak shift accompanying DR in view of the above-mentioned problem.

  A demand adjustment device according to the present invention includes an assignment value determination unit and a communication unit. The allocation value determination unit allocates a demand response allocation value obtained by dividing the demand response command value, which is the demand adjustment request amount in the demand response, to at least some of the consumers constituting the customer group. The communication unit moves the demand response allocation value, the information of the demand adjustment period in the demand response, and the adjustment of the demand by the execution of the demand response to the allocated customer who is the customer to which the demand response allocation value is allocated. Demand response assignment information including peak shift destination information indicating the above condition is transmitted.

  In the demand adjustment device according to the present invention, the communication unit sends the demand response assignment value, the information of the demand adjustment period in the demand response, and the execution of the demand response to the assignment consumer who is the demander to which the demand response assignment value is assigned. Demand response assignment information including peak shift destination information indicating a condition of a peak shift destination to which the adjustment of demand is moved is transmitted. Therefore, when each allocation consumer performs peak shift along peak shift destination information, occurrence of new demand concentration due to peak shift is suppressed.

  The objects, features, aspects, and advantages of the present invention will be more apparent from the following detailed description and the accompanying drawings.

FIG. 1 is a block diagram showing a configuration of a demand adjustment device according to a first embodiment. It is a figure showing hardware constitutions of a demand adjustment device concerning the present invention. 5 is a flowchart showing the operation of the demand adjustment device according to the first embodiment. FIG. 7 is a diagram showing DR command information according to the first embodiment. FIG. 7 is a diagram showing peak shift destination information according to the first embodiment. 5 is a diagram showing DR assignment information according to Embodiment 1. FIG. FIG. 7 is a block diagram showing a configuration of a demand adjustment device according to a second embodiment. 7 is a flowchart showing the operation of the demand adjustment device according to the second embodiment. FIG. 18 is a diagram showing DR recruitment information of the second embodiment. FIG. 18 is a diagram showing DR application information of the second embodiment. It is a figure which shows the relationship between DR application value and DR performance value. FIG. 16 is a diagram showing DR assignment information according to Embodiment 2. FIG. 16 is a block diagram showing a configuration of a demand adjustment device according to a third embodiment. 15 is a flowchart showing the operation of the demand adjustment device according to the third embodiment. It is a figure explaining the determination method of the initial value of an incentive unit price. FIG. 16 is a block diagram showing a configuration of a demand adjustment device according to a fourth embodiment. 15 is a flowchart showing the operation of the demand adjustment device according to the fourth embodiment. FIG. 20 is a diagram showing DR recruitment information of the fourth embodiment. FIG. 20 is a diagram showing DR application information of the fourth embodiment. It is a figure which shows the peak shift implementation ratio according to peak shift destination time. FIG. 18 is a block diagram showing a configuration of a demand adjustment device according to a fifth embodiment. 21 is a flowchart showing the operation of the demand adjustment device according to the fifth embodiment.

  In this specification, assuming a power company as an energy supplier, a demand adjustment device installed in an aggregator will be described in a scene where a DR command on power demand is performed from a power company to a consumer via an aggregator. However, even in the case where the energy supplier is both an electric power company and an aggregator, the effects of the present invention can be obtained as long as the demand adjustment device of the present invention is installed in the system of the energy supplier.

  Moreover, although electric power is assumed as energy of demand adjustment object by DR, it is also possible to replace electric power with other energy, such as cold heat or gas.

  Furthermore, while DR generally reduces or transfers energy demand by paying for customer's consideration, the present invention also covers increase in demand due to paying for user's consideration. In this case, in the following description, the decrease in demand may be increased, the increase may be decreased, and the peak may be replaced with the off-peak.

<A. Embodiment 1>
<A-1. Configuration>
FIG. 1 is a block diagram showing a configuration of a demand adjustment device 101 according to Embodiment 1 of the present invention. The demand adjustment device 101 includes a DR command information receiving unit 10, a peak shift destination information receiving unit 11, an assignment value determining unit 12, an information storage unit 13, and a communication unit 14.

  The DR command information receiving unit 10 receives DR command information from the power company that is the DR commander. The DR command information includes, for example, a DR period that is a demand adjustment period in DR, a DR command value that is a demand adjustment request amount in DR, and information on an incentive unit price.

  The peak shift destination information receiving unit 11 receives peak shift destination information from the power company. Here, it is called peak shift that increasing demand similar to the amount of reduction before or after the demander reduces demand by a certain amount by implementing DR is the time when peak shift should be performed, that is, peak shift Information indicating the above condition is called peak shift destination information.

  The assignment value determination unit 12 divides the DR command value included in the DR command information into a DR assignment value, and assigns the DR assignment value to the consumers that form the customer group of the power company. Here, the DR allocation value may be allocated to all the consumers in the customer group, or may be allocated to only some consumers in the customer group. Hereinafter, the customer to which the DR allocation value is allocated is referred to as an allocated customer. The allocation value determination unit 12 determines the DR allocation value such that the sum of the DR allocation values for each allocation customer becomes the DR command value.

  The information storage unit 13 includes DR command information received by the DR command information receiving unit 10, peak shift destination information received by the peak shift destination information receiving unit 11, and DR for each assigned customer determined by the assigned value determining unit 12. The assigned value is stored.

  The communication unit 14 transmits and receives various information to and from a group of customers.

  FIG. 2 is a diagram exemplifying a hardware configuration for realizing the demand adjustment device 101. As shown in FIG. As shown in FIG. 2, the demand adjustment device 101 is realized by, for example, a PC (personal computer) 31, but may be realized by a computer system, and is not limited to the PC. The PC 31 includes a central processing unit (CPU) 32, a storage device 33, an input device 34, and an input / output interface 35. The CPU 32 performs various operations. The storage device 33 is configured by a hard disk device or flash memory or the like that stores information. The input device 34 is configured by a keyboard, a mouse or the like, and performs input to the PC 31.

  The input / output interface 35 is connected to an information network (not shown) for the demand adjustment device of the present invention to exchange information with the outside such as a customer and a power company. Although the type of the information network is not particularly limited, it may be, for example, an internet circuit using an optical fiber network or a telephone circuit, or may be a dedicated network established by short distance radio or the like. Although it is assumed that a display device such as a liquid crystal display is connected to the PC 31, the illustration of the display device is omitted in FIG.

  The DR command information receiving unit 10, the peak shift destination information receiving unit 11, and the communication unit 14 in the demand adjustment device 101 are realized by the input / output interface 35. Further, the allocation value determination unit 12 is realized as a function of the CPU 32 by the CPU 32 executing a software program stored in the storage device 33. The information storage unit 13 is realized by the storage device 33. The demand adjustment device 101 functions by the energy supplier performing an operation such as inputting a command via the input device 34 to the software program executed by the CPU 32.

<A-2. Operation>
FIG. 3 is a flowchart showing the operation of the demand adjustment device 101. Hereinafter, the operation of the demand adjustment device 101 will be described in detail along the flow of FIG. 3.

  First, the DR command information receiving unit 10 receives DR command information from the power company (step S101). The DR command information received by the DR command information receiving unit 10 is stored in the information storage unit 13.

  FIG. 4 illustrates DR command information. The DR command information illustrated in FIG. 4 includes information of a DR command ID, a DR start time, a DR duration, and a DR command value [kW]. For example, in a DR command with a DR command ID of 0003 (hereinafter simply referred to as “DR command of ID: 0003”), the DR start time is 2015/4/19 12:00, the DR duration time is 1 hour, the DR command The value is set at 50 kW. Therefore, the demand adjustment device 101 determines the DR allocation value for each allocation consumer such that the demand is reduced by 50 kW for 1 hour from 12:00 on April 19, 2015, for the DR command of ID: 0003. Thus, the DR command information of the first embodiment includes at least a DR period and a DR command value.

  In the example of FIG. 4, the DR period is indicated by the DR start time and the DR continuation time, but may be indicated by the DR start time and the DR end time. Moreover, although the unit of DR command value is shown by [kW], you may show by [kWh] or [J]. Further, as shown in FIG. 4, one DR command information may include a plurality of DR commands.

  Next, the peak shift destination information receiving unit 11 receives peak shift destination information from the power company (step S102). The peak shift destination information received by the peak shift destination information receiving unit 11 is stored in the information storage unit 13.

  FIG. 5 shows an example of peak shift destination information. The peak shift destination information shown in FIG. 5 includes information of a DR command ID, a peak shift inhibition period, and a peak shift designation period. The peak shift prohibition period is a period during which peak shift is prohibited, and it is determined because peak shift during this period may cause new demand concentration. Further, the peak shift designation period is a period designated as a period to be peak shift, and is determined because the demand predicted in this period is sufficiently low. Although FIG. 5 shows the peak shift inhibition period and the peak shift designation period as an example of the peak shift destination information, it is sufficient if at least one of them is included in the peak shift destination information.

  In the example of FIGS. 4 and 5, the DR command of ID: 0003 has a DR period of 2015/4/19 12:00 to 13:00 and a peak shift designation period of 2015/4/19 0:00 to 12:00. Or 2015/4/19 13: 00-15: 00. Thus, the peak shift designation period can be set either before or after the DR period.

  In addition, in FIG. 3, although reception of peak shift destination information is performed after reception of DR instruction information, either of the reception timings of both may be earlier or may be the same. In the flow of FIG. 3, it is possible to receive the peak shift destination information after the DR command information is received (step S101) and the demand forecasting accuracy in the power company can be sufficiently ensured (step S102).

  Next, the allocation value determination unit 12 determines a DR allocation value for each customer based on the DR command information and the peak shift destination information (step S103). The DR assignment value determined by the assignment value determination unit 12 is stored in the information storage unit 13. The demand scale or demand curve differs for each customer. Therefore, in order to increase the DR implementation probability of the customer with respect to the DR command, the DR allocation value to each customer needs to be appropriately determined according to the DR command time or the peak shift destination time.

  As a specific method of determining the DR allocation value, a method of apportioning the DR command value received from the electric power company according to the magnitude of the average demand of each customer in the DR period, in the DR period previously applied by the customer There is a method of determining based on a DR adjustable value which is a demand adjustable amount, or a method of focusing on peak shift destination information.

Here, a method of determining a DR assignment value focusing on peak shift destination information will be described. Specifically, it is a method of preferentially making a demander who can easily perform peak shift in accordance with the condition defined by the peak shift destination information, as an allocated demander. For example, when the peak shift designation information is included in the peak shift destination information, a consumer whose demand forecast value, which is a forecast value of the demand amount in the peak shift designation period, is lower than the average demand is prioritized as an allocation consumer. The DR allocation value DR _{i, t} [kW] to the customer i by this method is the average demand D _{average, i, t} [kW], the demand forecast value D _{predict, i, t} [kW], from the power company Assuming that the received DR command value is DR _{total, t} [kW], it is expressed by the following equation.

  Where I is the total number of consumers whose demand forecast value in the peak shift designation period is lower than the average demand, t is the time of the DR period, and t2 is the time of the peak shift designation period. In this way, by determining the DR allocation value based on the demand forecast value in the period that meets the conditions of the peak shift destination of each customer, the demand for peak shift to the peak shift designation period can be allocated by determining the DR allocation value You can be home. Here, although the method of determining the DR allocation value focusing on the peak shift destination information has been described, the DR allocation value may be determined by another method.

  Finally, the communication unit 14 acquires the DR period, the DR allocation value, and the peak shift destination information from the information storage unit 13, and transmits the DR allocation information including these information to the allocated customer (step S104). FIG. 6 illustrates DR assignment information. The DR assignment information illustrated in FIG. 6 includes DR command ID, DR start time, DR duration time [minutes], DR assignment value [kW], and information on peak shift designation period. For example, for the DR command of ID: a0002, the DR start time is 2015/4/17 12:00, the DR duration time is 30 minutes, the DR allocation value is 10 kW, and the peak shift designation period is 2015/4/18/0: 00 -24: 00. Therefore, the customer who has received this DR allocation information reduces the demand by 10 [kW] for 1 hour to 30 minutes on 2015/4/17, and 0: 2015/4/18 if the peak shift occurs. It is necessary to carry out from 00-24: 00. Thus, the DR assignment information from the communication unit 14 to each customer includes at least the DR period, the DR assignment value, and the information on the peak shift destination.

<A-3. Effect>
As described above, in the demand adjustment apparatus 101 according to the first embodiment of the present invention, the allocation value determination unit 12 determines the demand adjustment request amount in the DR with respect to at least a part of the consumers constituting the customer group Assign a DR assignment value obtained by dividing the DR command value. Further, the communication unit 14 moves the DR allocation value, the DR period which is the demand adjustment period in DR, and the adjustment portion of the demand due to the execution of DR to the allocated customer who is the customer to which the DR allocation value is allocated. DR assignment information including peak shift destination information indicating a shift destination condition is transmitted. Each assigned customer performs peak shift along the peak shift destination information, thereby suppressing the occurrence of new demand concentration due to the peak shift.

<B. Second Embodiment>
The demand adjustment device 101 according to the first embodiment performs DR allocation without asking each consumer the intention of performing DR. On the other hand, in the second embodiment, first, peak shift destination information is presented to perform DR recruitment, and by performing DR allocation to the applied customer, peak shift is performed along the peak shift destination information. Increase the possibility.

<B-1. Configuration>
FIG. 7 is a block diagram showing the configuration of the demand adjustment device 102 according to Embodiment 2 of the present invention. In the following drawings, the same or corresponding components as in the embodiment are denoted by the same reference numerals. The demand adjustment device 102 includes an incentive unit price determination unit 15, a DR actual value estimation unit 16, and a DR application value determination unit 17 in addition to the configuration of the demand adjustment device 101 according to the first embodiment. Hereinafter, parts of the demand adjustment device 102 that are different from the demand adjustment device 101 will be described, and parts that overlap with the demand adjustment device 101 will be omitted as appropriate.

  The incentive unit price determination unit 15 determines an DR unit price. In the present specification, it is assumed that exchange of cash through electricity charges is an incentive, but other means such as exchange of points available for purchasing a specific product may be used as an incentive.

  The DR actual value estimation unit 16 estimates a DR actual value, which is a demand adjustment amount of each applicant customer in the DR, from a demand actual value, which is an actual demand amount of each applicant customer who has applied for the DR.

  The DR application value determination unit 17 predicts, as a DR response value, a predicted DR actual value for the current DR application value from the relationship between the DR application value and the DR actual value for the past DR of each customer. It is determined whether the DR response value of the entire customer satisfies the DR command value.

  The hardware configuration for realizing the demand adjustment device 102 is as shown in FIG. Of the demand adjustment device 102, the DR application value determination unit 17, the incentive unit price determination unit 15, and the DR actual value estimation unit 16 are realized by a software program stored in the storage device 33 and executed by the CPU 32, This is as described in the previous embodiment.

<B-2. Operation>
FIG. 8 is a flowchart showing the operation of the demand adjustment device 102 according to the second embodiment. Hereinafter, the operation of the demand adjustment device 102 will be described along the flow of FIG.

  Steps S201 and S202 in FIG. 8 are the same as steps S101 and S102 in FIG. 3 described in the first embodiment, and thus the description thereof is omitted.

  In step S203, the incentive unit price determination unit 15 determines the initial value of the DR unit price. As a method of determining the initial value of the incentive unit price, there is a method of setting a value considered to be sufficiently small, such as about 10% of the electricity unit price, in anticipation of updating of the incentive unit price described later. The initial value of the incentive unit price determined by the incentive unit price determination unit 15 is stored in the information storage unit 13.

  Next, the communication unit 14 acquires DR command information, peak shift destination information, and initial values of incentive unit prices from the information storage unit 13, and transmits these information as DR recruitment information to the customer group (step S204). . Thus, the first DR recruitment for a group of customers is performed.

  FIG. 9 is a diagram illustrating DR recruitment information. The DR recruitment information illustrated in FIG. 9 includes a DR command ID, a DR start time, a DR continuation time, an incentive unit price [¥ / kW], and a peak shift designation period. In the example of FIG. 9, the aggregator reduces the demand for 30 minutes from 12:00 on April 17, 2015 to the group of contracting customers, and if the peak shift is to be performed, 0 on April 18, 2015: Recruit DR to be implemented between 00 and 24:00 with an incentive unit price of 15 yen / kW. Thus, the DR recruitment information includes at least a DR period, an incentive unit price, and peak shift destination information. By presenting the conditions of the peak shift destination at the stage of DR recruitment to the group of customers, DR applications by customers who can not satisfy the conditions of the peak shift destination are suppressed.

  Among the group of customers who have received the DR recruitment information, an application customer who is a customer applying for DR transmits the DR application information to the communication unit 14. When receiving the DR application information from the application demander (step S205), the communication unit 14 stores this in the information storage unit 13.

  FIG. 10 shows an example of the DR application information. The DR application information illustrated in FIG. 10 includes DR command ID, DR start time, DR duration time, incentive unit price [¥ / kW], peak shift designation period, DR application value [kW] that is a demand adjustment application amount, and a consumer. It shows the DR application information in the case where the customer of the customer ID: cst 0001 applies for 50 [kW] DR implementation for the DR recruitment information of FIG. 9 including the information of the ID. Thus, the DR application information includes at least a DR period, an incentive unit price, a DR application value, and information on a peak shift destination.

  Next, the DR application value determination unit 17 predicts the DR response value of each application customer (step S206). Each applicant customer does not necessarily carry out the DR according to the DR application value. Therefore, the DR application value determination unit 17 predicts the demand adjustment amount of the application customer expected from the DR application value as a DR response value.

  Specifically, the DR application value determination unit 17 acquires the DR application value and the DR actual value in the past DR of each application customer from the information storage unit 13 and calculates the relationship between them. Here, the DR actual value in the past DR of each customer is already calculated by the DR actual value estimation unit 16 and stored in the information storage unit 13. The DR actual value is calculated, for example, as a value obtained by subtracting the actual demand value at the time of DR execution from the estimated demand value when DR is not performed. The demand estimated value in the case where DR is not performed is calculated by, for example, the “High X of Y” method. Specifically, the average value of demand for X days with high demand does not perform DR among days from the day before DR implementation day to Y day but excluding special days such as other DR implementation days or holidays. It becomes the demand estimate value of the case. Above X and Y are arbitrary natural numbers. Note that the “High X of Y” method is an example of a method of calculating a demand estimate value when DR is not performed, and other methods may be used.

  FIG. 11 is a diagram showing the relationship between the DR application value and the DR actual value of a certain consumer. The horizontal axis in FIG. 11 indicates the DR application value [kW] and the vertical axis indicates the DR actual value [kW], and the relationship between the DR application value and the DR actual value in the five DRs implemented by the customer in the past is a circle. It is plotted by the mark. Then, from the results of these five times of DR, for example, a function indicating the relationship between the DR application value and the DR actual value can be obtained by the least square method or the like. From the function obtained in this way, the DR application value determination unit 17 uses the DR actual value for the current DR application value of the application customer as the DR response value, as shown in FIG. Thus, the DR application value determination unit 17 functions as a DR response value prediction unit.

  Next, the DR application value determination unit 17 determines whether the application demander can cover the DR command value (step S207). Specifically, the DR application value determination unit 17 sums the DR response values for all the application customers, and determines whether the total value is equal to or more than the DR command value.

  If the sum of DR response values is less than the DR command value, the application demander can not cover the DR command value. Therefore, the incentive unit price determination unit 15 updates the incentive unit price toward re-offering of DR (step S209). As a method of updating the incentive unit price, for example, there is a method of adding a preset value to the current incentive unit price. The incentive unit price updated by the incentive unit price determination unit 15 is stored in the information storage unit 13. Thereafter, the process returns to step S204, and the communication unit 14 transmits DR recruitment information including information on the updated incentive unit price to the consumer (step S204). Thus, DR recruitment is performed.

  On the other hand, when the sum of DR response values is equal to or greater than the DR command value, the DR application value determination unit 17 determines that the application demander can cover the DR command value. Then, the allocation value determination unit 12 determines a DR allocation value for the application customer (step S209).

  Specifically, when the total value of the DR application values in all the application customers is equal to the DR command value, the allocation value determination unit 12 sets the DR application value as the DR allocation value. On the other hand, when the sum of DR application values in all the application customers is larger than the DR command value, the allocation value determination unit 12 makes the total value of DR allocation values in all the allocation customers equal to the DR command value. Adjust DR assigned value. For example, the allocation value determination unit 12 allocates the DR application value of the application customer as the DR allocation value in the order of arrival of the DR application as the DR application value, and when the sum of DR allocation values reaches the DR command value, Do not assign DR. Alternatively, the allocation value determination unit 12 may uniformly subtract from the DR application value the excess of the sum value of the DR application values of all the application customers with respect to the DR command value to determine the DR allocation value. The DR allocation value for each allocated customer determined in this manner is stored in the information storage unit 13.

  Next, the communication unit 14 acquires information from the information storage unit 13, and transmits the acquired information as DR allocation information to each allocated customer (step S210). FIG. 12 illustrates DR assignment information. DR assignment information shown in FIG. 12 includes DR command ID, DR start time, DR duration time, incentive unit price [¥ / kW], peak shift designation period, DR assignment value [kW], and customer ID, It shows DR assignment information for the customer who has sent the DR application information shown in FIG. This DR allocation information adjusts the demand of 50 [kW] for 30 minutes from 12:00 on April 17, 2015, and if peak shift is performed, it is from 0:00 to 24:00 on April 18, 2015. It instructs the demander of ID: cst 0001 to carry out in the meantime. Thus, the DR assignment information to each assigned customer includes at least a DR period, a DR assignment value, an incentive unit price, and peak shift destination information.

<B-3. Effect>
As described above, in the demand adjustment apparatus 102 according to the second embodiment, the communication unit 14 transmits demand response recruitment information including peak shift destination information to the consumer group, and the demand response among the consumer group The demand response application information including the demand response application value, which is the demand adjustment application volume in the demand response, is received from the application demander who is the demander who applies to the Determine your home. According to the demand adjustment apparatus 102, since peak shift destination information is presented at the stage of DR recruitment to a group of customers, DR applications by customers who can not perform peak shift along the peak shift destination information are suppressed. Therefore, it is possible to increase the possibility that the assigned customer shifts the peak along the peak shift destination information. This suppresses the occurrence of new concentration of demand due to the peak shift.

  Further, in addition to the configuration of the demand adjustment apparatus 101, the demand adjustment apparatus 102 according to the second embodiment updates the incentive unit price in the demand response based on the demand response application value and the demand response command value. Prepare. And demand response offer information contains information on an incentive unit price. Therefore, according to the demand adjustment device 102, when the application demander can not cover the DR command value, the incentive unit price is increased and recruited again, so that the application demanders can be increased so as to cover the DR command value.

  In addition to the configuration of the demand adjustment device 101, the demand adjustment device 102 according to the second embodiment includes the demand response actual value estimation unit 16 and the demand response application value determination unit 17 that is a demand response response value prediction unit. Prepare. The demand response actual value estimation unit 16 estimates a demand response actual value which is a demand adjustment amount of each application consumer in the demand response, from a demand actual value which is an actual demand amount of each application consumer. In addition, the demand application value determination unit 17 determines the current demand response value based on the relationship between the demand response application value and the demand response actual value in the past demand response of each application demander and the demand response application value in the current demand response. The demand adjustment amount of each application consumer in the demand response is predicted as a demand response response value. Further, the incentive unit price determination unit 15 updates the incentive unit price based on the comparison result of the demand response response value of each applicant customer and the demand response command value. Therefore, according to the demand adjustment apparatus 102, even if the DR actual value of each application customer is different from the DR application value, it can be accurately determined whether the application customer can cover the DR command value. it can. Then, according to the demand adjustment device 102, when the application demander can not cover the DR command value, the incentive unit price may be increased and recruited again to increase the application demander to cover the DR command value. it can.

<C. Third Embodiment>
The demand adjustment device 102 according to the second embodiment repeats the DR recruitment while updating the incentive unit price until the sum of the DR response values of the respective application customers reaches the DR command value. In this method, it is important that the initial value of the incentive unit price be properly determined, otherwise the number of times the incentive unit price is updated may increase. Therefore, in the third embodiment, the initial value of the incentive unit price is appropriately determined based on the relationship between the incentive unit price and the demand response application value in the past DR.

<C-1. Configuration>
FIG. 13 is a block diagram showing the configuration of the demand adjustment device 103 according to the third embodiment of the present invention. The demand adjustment device 103 includes an incentive function calculation unit 18 in addition to the configuration of the demand adjustment device 102 according to the second embodiment. The configuration of the demand adjustment device 103 other than the incentive function calculation unit 18 is the same as that of the demand adjustment device 102.

  The incentive function calculation unit 18 calculates an incentive function that represents the relationship between the incentive unit price and the DR application value for each peak shift designation period of the peak shift destination information received from the power company. In the first embodiment and the second embodiment, the peak shift designation period and the peak shift inhibition period are shown as an example of the peak shift destination information, but in the third embodiment, the peak shift destination information is always the peak shift designation period. Shall be included.

  The hardware configuration for realizing the demand adjustment device 103 is as shown in FIG. In the demand adjustment apparatus 103, the incentive function calculation unit 18 is realized by a software program stored in the storage device 33 and executed by the CPU 32, and the other configuration is as described in the above embodiment.

<C-2. Operation>
FIG. 14 is a flowchart showing the operation of the demand adjustment device 103 according to the third embodiment. Hereinafter, the operation of the demand adjustment device 103 will be described along the flow of FIG. Steps S301 and S302 are the same as steps S101 and S102 of FIG. 3 described in the first embodiment, and thus the description thereof is omitted.

  In step S303, the incentive function calculation unit 18 calculates an incentive function for each peak shift destination designated period. The incentive function is a function that associates the incentive unit price at the time of DR recruitment with the DR application value of the entire application customer, and is a function that can obtain the incentive unit price for any DR application value.

  The information storage unit 13 stores information on incentive unit prices in the past DR recruitment, DR application values for all the application customers, and peak shift designation period, and the incentive function calculation unit 18 uses these information to generate incentives. Calculate the function

  The method of calculating the incentive function will be described with reference to FIG. The horizontal axis in FIG. 15 represents the incentive unit price [¥ / kW], and the vertical axis represents the DR application value [kW], and the relationship between the DR application value for the entire application customer and the incentive unit price in past DR recruitment , Peak shift is plotted by designated period. White circles indicate that the peak shift designation period is 15: 00-15: 30, white triangles indicate that the peak shift designation period is 13: 00-13: 30, and white squares indicate that the peak shift designation period is 10: 30-11: 00. It shows. The incentive function calculation unit 18 calculates an incentive function from the data on DR recruitment in the past, using a least square method or the like for each peak shift designation period. Since the ease of peak shift differs depending on the peak shift designation period, the incentive function also varies.

  Next, as shown by the broken line in FIG. 15, the incentive unit price determination unit 15 calculates the incentive unit price when the DR command value is the DR application value from the incentive function, and determines the calculated value as the initial value of the incentive unit price. (Step S304). The initial value of the incentive unit price determined by the incentive unit price determination unit 15 is stored in the information storage unit 13.

  The subsequent steps S305 to S311 are the same as steps S204 to S210 of the second embodiment shown in FIG.

<C-3. Effect>
When the initial value of the incentive unit price is too high, losses occur for the aggregator, and when it is too low, the number of renewals of the incentive unit price and the demand for DR recruitment to the customers increases, causing disadvantages for both the aggregator and the customers. For example, in the case where the fluctuation range of the incentive unit price in one update is largely defined for the purpose of reducing the number of updates, an increase in the number of updates leads to a soaring incentive unit price. On the other hand, as described above, in the demand adjustment device 103 according to the third embodiment, the incentive unit price determination unit 15 determines the incentive unit price and the demand response application value for each peak shift destination time in the past DR. The above problem is solved because the initial value of the incentive unit price is properly determined based on the relationship.

<D. Fourth Embodiment>
The demand adjustment device according to the first to third embodiments performs peak shift along the peak shift destination information to the customer requesting the DR by presenting the peak shift destination information received from the power company to the consumer group. I am urging you. On the other hand, in the fourth embodiment, even when peak shift destination information can not be obtained from the power company, DR allocation is performed so that occurrence of a new demand peak due to peak shift does not occur as much as possible.

<D-1. Configuration>
FIG. 16 is a block diagram showing the configuration of the demand adjustment device 104 according to the fourth embodiment of the present invention. The demand adjusting device 104 deletes the peak shift destination information receiving unit 11 from the demand adjusting device 102 according to the second embodiment shown in FIG. 7, and the peak shift implementation ratio calculating unit 19, the peak shift predicted value calculating unit 20, and the demand shift unit The configuration is such that a concentration determination unit 21 is added.

  The peak shift implementation ratio calculation unit 19 calculates the peak shift implementation ratio by time zone for each customer applying for the DR based on the past actual demand value.

  The peak shift prediction value calculation unit 20 calculates the demand fluctuation amount due to the peak shift of the whole allocation consumer as the peak shift prediction value for each time from the implementation ratio of the peak shift of each allocation consumer.

  The demand concentration determination unit 21 determines, based on the peak shift prediction value, whether or not new demand concentration due to the peak shift occurs when DR assignment is performed to the assigned customer.

  The hardware configuration for realizing the demand adjustment device 104 is as shown in FIG. The peak shift implementation ratio calculation unit 19, the peak shift prediction value calculation unit 20, and the demand concentration determination unit 21 of the demand adjustment device 104 are realized by a software program stored in the storage device 33 and executed by the CPU 32, and other configurations are This is as described in the previous embodiment.

<D-2. Operation>
FIG. 17 is a flowchart showing the operation of the demand adjustment device 104. Hereinafter, the operation of the demand adjustment device 104 will be described along the flow of FIG.

  First, the DR command information receiving unit 10 receives DR command information from the power company (step S401). This step is the same as step S201 in FIG. The DR command information received by the DR command information receiving unit 10 is stored in the information storage unit 13. Unlike the second embodiment, the demand adjustment device 104 does not receive peak shift destination information from the power company.

  Next, the incentive unit price determination unit 15 determines an initial value of the incentive unit price (step S402). Since this step is the same as step S203 of FIG. 8, the detailed description of the method of determining the initial value is omitted. The initial value of the incentive unit price determined by the incentive unit price determination unit 15 is stored in the information storage unit 13.

  Next, the communication unit 14 acquires the DR command information and the initial value of the incentive unit price from the information storage unit 13, and transmits these as DR recruitment information to the customer (step S403). FIG. 18 is a diagram illustrating DR recruitment information. The DR recruitment information shown in FIG. 18 includes information of DR command ID, DR start time, DR continuation time, incentive unit price [¥ / kW], and for a group of customers contracting by an aggregator, 12 April 2015: It shows that the demand adjustment of 00 to 30 minutes is recruited at 15 [¥ / kW]. This DR recruitment information differs from the DR recruitment information of the second embodiment shown in FIG. 9 and does not include a peak shift designation period as peak shift destination information. Thus, DR recruitment information according to the third embodiment includes at least information on DR period and incentive unit price.

  Each customer applying for DR transmits the DR application information to the communication unit 14. When the communication unit 14 receives the DR application information from the application customer (step S404), the communication unit 14 stores this in the information storage unit 13.

  FIG. 19 illustrates DR application information. The DR application information illustrated in FIG. 19 includes information of a DR command ID, a DR start time, a DR duration time [minutes], an incentive unit price [¥ / kW], a DR application value [kW], and a customer ID. The customer of ID: cst 0001 indicates that 50 [kW] of DR application is applied to the DR recruitment information shown in FIG. 18. Unlike the DR application information of the second embodiment shown in FIG. 10, this DR application information does not include a peak shift designation period as peak shift destination information. Thus, the DR application information of the fourth embodiment includes at least information on DR period, incentive unit price, and DR application value.

  Next, the DR application value determination unit 17 predicts the DR response value of each customer who applied for DR (step S405), and determines whether the application customer can cover the DR command value (step S406). When the DR application value determination unit 17 determines that the application demander can not cover the DR command value, the incentive unit price determination unit 15 updates the incentive unit price (step S412), and includes information on the incentive unit price updated from the communication unit 14 The DR recruitment information is transmitted (step S403). Thus, DR recruitment is performed.

  On the other hand, when the DR application value determination unit 17 determines that the application demander can cover the DR command value, the allocation value determination unit 12 determines an allocation demander to request DR from among the application demanders, and gives DR to the allocation demander. An assigned value is determined (step S407). These steps S405 to S407 and S412 are the same as steps S206 to S208 and S209 in FIG. 8, and thus detailed description will be omitted.

  When the allocation value determination unit 12 determines the DR allocation value, the peak shift implementation ratio calculation unit 19 predicts the peak shift implementation ratio by time zone of each allocation customer (step S408).

  Hereinafter, an example of the prediction method of the peak shift implementation ratio is demonstrated. First, the peak shift implementation ratio calculation unit 19 acquires the actual demand value, which is the actual demand amount of each allocated customer, from the information storage unit 13, and calculates the estimated demand value when DR is not performed from the actual demand value. . The demand estimated value in the case where DR is not performed is calculated by, for example, the High X of Y method, which is as described in the operation explanation of the DR actual value estimation unit 16 of the second embodiment. Next, the peak shift implementation ratio calculation unit 19 compares the estimated demand value without performing DR with the actual demand value when performing DR in a time zone different from the DR period, and the difference between the two. Is calculated as the demand fluctuation actual value.

  Then, the peak shift implementation ratio calculation unit 19 determines the presence or absence of implementation of the peak shift from the demand fluctuation actual value. For example, the peak shift implementation ratio calculation unit 19 determines that the peak shift has been performed in a time zone in which the demand fluctuation actual value is equal to or more than a predetermined threshold, and the peak shift destination time, the demand fluctuation at the time The actual value is taken as the peak shift actual value.

  Next, the peak shift implementation ratio calculation unit 19 arranges the number of times of implementation of the peak shift for each start time of the DR period and for each peak shift destination period. Then, the peak shift implementation ratio calculation unit 19 divides the number of implementation of peak shifts at each peak shift destination time by the total value of the number of implementation of peak shifts at all peak shift destination times to obtain a peak for each peak shift destination period. Calculate the shift implementation ratio.

FIG. 20 shows the peak shift implementation ratio Q _{12, t} [%] according to the peak shift destination time with respect to the DR command whose start time is 12 o'clock of a certain consumer. The probability Q _{12, 11} [%] that the peak shift is performed from 11 o'clock to 12 o'clock the next day is 50 [%], which is higher than other time zones. Further, the probability Q _12,15 [%] that the peak shift is performed from 15:00 to 16:00 on the next day is 5 [%], which is lower than other time zones.

Next, the peak shift prediction value calculation unit 20 calculates an expected value of the peak shift amount for each time of peak shift destination (step S409). Assuming that the peak shift amount is about the same as the DR actual value, the expected value of the peak shift amount in each period can be calculated by multiplying the DR actual value by the peak shift implementation ratio. In the example of FIG. 20, assuming that the DR actual value is P _dr12 [kW], the expected value P _{peak, t} of the peak shift amount at the peak shift destination time t is expressed by the following equation.

  Next, the peak shift predicted value calculation unit 20 sums the expected values of the peak shift amounts for all the consumers who have applied for DR, and calculates a peak shift predicted value for each time zone (step S410).

  Next, the demand concentration determination unit 21 determines whether new demand concentration occurs due to peak shift (step S411). Specifically, the demand concentration determination unit 21 compares the peak forecast value for each time zone with a predetermined threshold, and concentration of new demand occurs in a time zone in which the peak forecast value is equal to or greater than the threshold, It is determined that new demand concentration does not occur in a time zone in which the predicted value is less than the threshold.

  When the demand concentration determination unit 21 determines that new demand concentration occurs due to peak shift, the incentive unit price determination unit 15 updates the incentive unit price (step S412), and the process returns to step S403. Since step S412 is the same as step S208 of FIG. 8, the description of the method of updating the incentive unit price is omitted.

  Then, step S412 and step S403-step S410 are repeated until there is no peak shift prediction value more than a threshold value in step S411. In step S403, the DR unit information including the incentive unit price updated by the communication unit 14 is transmitted to the consumer group, and the DR unit recruits DR again. In step S407, the allotment value determination unit 12 reconfigures allotment customers based on the application result for the DR reapproval, and determines a DR allotment value for each customer. For example, the allocation value determination unit 12 determines that the peak shift implementation ratio in the time slot when the peak shift prediction value is equal to or more than the threshold in step S410 is higher than that of the existing allocation customers Select a low demander and reconfigure an assigned demander by replacing it with an existing demander. As described above, the demand adjustment device 104 prevents the concentration of demand due to peak shift from occurring by correcting the configuration of the allocated customers based on the application result of the DR re-allocation.

  In step S411, if the peak shift prediction value is less than the threshold in any of the time zones, it is considered that concentration of demand due to peak shift does not occur. Therefore, the communication unit 14 transmits DR command information according to the current DR allocation and incentive unit price (step S413). Since step S413 is the same as step S210 of FIG. 8, the detailed description of this step is omitted.

<D-3. Effect>
As described above, the demand adjustment device 104 according to the fourth embodiment of the present invention includes the allocation value determination unit 12, the communication unit 14, the incentive unit price determination unit 15, the peak shift implementation ratio calculation unit 19, and the peak shift prediction value A calculation unit 20 and a demand concentration determination unit 21 are provided. The allocation value determination unit 12 allocates a demand response allocation value obtained by dividing the demand response command value, which is the demand adjustment request amount in the demand response, to at least some of the consumers constituting the customer group. In addition, the communication unit 14 transmits DR assignment information including a demand response assignment value and information of a DR period in the demand response to the assignment customer. Further, the incentive unit price determination unit 15 determines the incentive unit price in the demand response. In addition, the peak shift implementation ratio calculation unit 19 calculates the peak shift implementation ratio, which is the movement of demand adjustment by the implementation of the demand response of each allocated customer, and the actual demand that is the actual demand quantity of each allocated customer by time. Calculated from the value. Further, the peak shift predicted value calculation unit 20 calculates the demand fluctuation amount due to the peak shift of the whole assigned customer as the peak shift predicted value for each time from the implementation ratio of the peak shift of each assigned customer. Further, the demand concentration determination unit 21 determines whether or not new demand concentration occurs based on the peak shift predicted value. Further, the allocation value determination unit 12 determines the allocation demander so that the demand concentration determination unit 21 determines that new concentration of demand does not occur. Therefore, according to the demand adjustment device 104, it is predicted whether a new demand concentration will occur or not based on the peak shift forecast value, and the assigned customer is determined according to it, and the peak shift destination for the assigned customer is obtained. It is possible to suppress the occurrence of new demand concentration without presenting information. Therefore, even if the power company does not provide peak shift destination information, DR allocation can be performed so that concentration of new demand due to peak shift does not occur.

  Further, in the demand adjustment device 104, the communication unit 14 transmits demand response recruitment information including information on incentive unit price to the consumer group, and from among the consumer groups, an application demander who is a consumer applying for the demand response Receive demand response application information including a demand response application value, which is an amount of demand adjustment application in demand response. Further, the allocation value determination unit 12 determines an allocation customer among the application customers. In addition, the incentive unit price determination unit 15 updates the incentive unit price when the demand concentration determination unit determines that a new demand concentration occurs. Further, the communication unit 14 transmits demand response recruitment information including information on the updated incentive unit price to the consumer group. In this way, the demand adjustment device 104 updates the incentives, adds the application customers, and adds the demand demand when the new demand concentration caused by the peak shift is expected to occur, thereby allocating the demand to lower the peak shift forecast value. By reconfiguring the house, it is possible to suppress the concentration of new demand caused by peak shift.

E. Fifth Embodiment>
The demand adjustment apparatus according to the first to third embodiments derives the peak shift destination associated with the DR implementation of the allocated consumer by presenting the peak shift destination information together with the DR allocation information to the allocated consumer, resulting from the peak shift. Reduce the concentration of new demand. However, if the peak shift destination information does not have a force on the allocated customers, the allocated customers do not perform the peak shift along the peak shift destination information, resulting in the concentration of new demand due to the peak shift. It is assumed that Therefore, in the fifth embodiment, by reflecting the result of the peak shift of the consumer in the incentive, the possibility of the consumer performing the peak shift along the peak shift destination information is increased, and a new demand due to the peak shift is generated. Make the concentration control effect even higher.

E-1. Configuration>
FIG. 21 is a block diagram showing a configuration of a demand adjustment device 105 according to Embodiment 5 of the present invention. The demand adjustment device 105 includes a peak shift actual value estimation unit 22 and a payment incentive determination unit 23 in addition to the configuration of the demand adjustment device 102 according to the second embodiment.

  The peak shift actual value estimation unit 22 peaks the actual amount of demand shifted from the demand actual value, which is the demand amount when the allocated customer performs the demand response, to the peak shift destination condition. Estimated as

  The payment incentive determination unit 23 calculates a payment incentive, which is an incentive paid to the assigned customer, based on the DR actual value and the peak shift actual value.

  The hardware configuration for realizing the demand adjustment device 105 is as shown in FIG. Of the demand adjustment device 105, the peak shift actual value estimation unit 22 and the payment incentive determination unit 23 are realized by a software program stored in the storage device 33 and executed by the CPU 32, and the other configurations are described in the above embodiment. As you did.

E-2. Operation>
FIG. 22 is a flowchart showing the operation of the demand adjustment device 105. Hereinafter, although operation | movement of the demand adjustment apparatus 105 is demonstrated along the flow of FIG. 22, since step S501-S510 are the same as that of step S201-S210 of FIG. 8, description is abbreviate | omitted.

  The communication unit 14 receives the demand actual value from the customer as needed, and stores it in the information storage unit 13.

  When the allocated customer executes DR and a corresponding peak shift, the DR actual value estimation unit 16 calculates a DR actual value based on the demand actual value (step S511). The calculation method of the DR actual value is as described in the second embodiment.

  Next, the peak shift actual value estimation unit 22 calculates the peak shift actual value based on the demand actual value (step S512). The peak shift actual value estimation unit 22 compares, for example, the estimated demand value when DR is not performed with the current actual demand value where DR is performed except for the DR period, and calculates the difference between the two as the peak shift actual value. For example, when the peak shift designation period is determined in the peak shift destination information, the peak shift actual value estimation unit 22 calculates the difference between the demand estimated value and the demand actual value in the peak shift designation period as the peak shift actual value Also good. In addition, when the peak shift prohibited period is defined in the peak shift destination information, the peak shift actual value estimation unit 22 shifts the difference between the estimated demand value and the actual demand value in periods other than the peak shift prohibited period. It may be calculated as an actual value. In addition, the calculation method of the demand estimated value in not performing DR is as having demonstrated in Embodiment 2. FIG.

Next, the payment incentive determination unit 23 calculates a payment incentive for each assigned customer (step S513). The payment incentive I _pay is calculated by the following formula based on the DR actual value P _dr and the peak shift actual value P _shift .

Here, I _rate is an incentive unit price, and α is a weighting factor. According to the equation (3), the payment incentive is calculated in consideration of a value obtained by weighting the DR actual value and the peak shift actual value. If α = 0.5, the DR actual value and the peak shift actual value are evaluated equally, and as α approaches 0, the peak shift actual value is emphasized. In the conventional incentive type DR, the payment incentive is calculated according to the DR actual value, but in this embodiment, the payment incentive is calculated by the following formula based on both the DR actual value and the peak shift actual value. Ru. By determining the payment incentive in this manner, the allocated demander is prompted to shift the peak along the peak shift destination information, so that concentration of new power due to the peak shift can be effectively suppressed. .

  In addition, although the determination method of the payment incentive which considered the peak shift performance value and DR performance value was shown here, you may determine a payment incentive considering other factors.

E-3. Effect>
As described above, in addition to the configuration of the demand adjustment device 102 according to the second embodiment, the demand adjustment device 105 according to the fifth embodiment of the present invention includes the peak shift actual value estimation unit 22 and the payment incentive determination unit 23 is provided. The peak shift actual value estimation unit 22 estimates a demand amount that has been peak shifted in a period that meets the conditions of the peak shift destination as a peak shift actual value from the actual demand value that is the actual demand amount of each allocated customer. Further, the payment incentive determination unit 23 determines a payment incentive which is an incentive to be paid to the allocated customer based on the demand response actual value and the peak shift actual value. Therefore, since the consumer is prompted by the consumer to carry out the peak shift along the peak shift destination information, it is possible to effectively suppress the occurrence of new demand due to the peak shift.

  In the above description, the demand adjustment apparatus 105 according to the fifth embodiment is described as a configuration in which the peak shift actual value estimation unit 22 and the payment incentive determination unit 23 are added to the demand adjustment apparatus 102 according to the second embodiment. did. However, the feature of the present embodiment that the payment incentive is determined based on the DR actual value and the peak shift actual value is also applicable to the first, third, and fourth embodiments. For example, in addition to the demand adjustment device 101 according to the first embodiment, the demand adjustment device obtained by applying the features of the present embodiment to the first embodiment includes the DR actual value estimation unit 16 and the peak shift actual value estimation unit 22, the payment incentive determination unit 23 is provided. However, the DR actual value estimation unit 16 estimates the demand response actual value of the allocated customer, not the application customer.

  In the present invention, within the scope of the invention, each embodiment can be freely combined, or each embodiment can be appropriately modified or omitted.

  Although the present invention has been described in detail, the above description is an exemplification in all aspects, and the present invention is not limited thereto. It is understood that countless variations not illustrated are conceivable without departing from the scope of the present invention.

  10 DR command information reception unit, 11 peak shift destination information reception unit, 12 assignment value determination unit, 13 information storage unit, 14 communication unit, 15 incentive unit price determination unit, 16 DR performance value estimation unit, 17 DR application value determination unit, 18 Incentive function calculation unit, 19 Peak shift ratio calculation unit.

Claims (10)

An allocation value determination unit which allocates a demand response allocation value obtained by dividing a demand response command value, which is a demand adjustment request amount in the demand response, to at least some of the consumers constituting the customer group;
The demand response allocation value, the information of the demand adjustment period in the demand response, and the peak shift destination which moves the adjustment of the demand by the execution of the demand response to the allocation customer who is the customer to which the demand response allocation value is allocated A communication unit that transmits demand response assignment information including peak shift destination information indicating a condition;
Demand adjustment device. The allocation value determination unit transmits the demand response to the allocation customer based on a demand prediction value that is a prediction value of a demand amount in a period that meets the condition of the peak shift destination of each customer who configures the customer group. Assign assigned values,
The demand adjustment device according to claim 1. The communication unit transmits demand response recruitment information including the peak shift destination information to the customer group, and a demand response in demand response from an application demander who is a demander applying for the demand response among the customer groups. Receive demand response application information including the demand response application value, which is the adjustment application volume,
The allocation value determination unit determines the allocation customer among the application customers.
The demand adjustment device according to claim 1 or 2. The system further comprises an incentive unit price determination unit that updates the incentive unit price in the demand response based on the demand response application value and the demand response command value,
The demand response recruitment information includes information on the incentive unit price.
The demand adjustment device according to claim 3. A demand response actual value estimation unit that estimates a demand response actual value that is a demand adjustment amount of each of the application customers in a demand response from a demand actual value that is an actual demand amount of each of the application consumers;
Each of the applications in the current demand response based on the relationship between the demand response application value and the demand response actual value in the past demand response of each of the application consumers and the demand response application value in the current demand response A demand response response value prediction unit that predicts a demand adjustment amount of a consumer as a demand response response value;
The incentive unit price determination unit updates the incentive unit price based on the comparison result of the demand response response value of each of the application customers and the demand response command value.
The demand adjustment device according to claim 4. The incentive unit price determination unit determines an initial value of the incentive unit price based on a relationship between an incentive unit price for each peak shift destination time in the past demand response and the demand response application value.
The demand adjustment device according to claim 4 or 5. A peak shift actual value estimation unit that estimates a demand amount that has been peak shifted in a period that meets the conditions of the peak shift destination from the actual demand value that is the actual demand amount of each of the allocated customers;
A payment incentive determination unit that determines a payment incentive that is an incentive to be paid to the allocated customer based on the demand response actual value and the peak shift actual value;
The demand adjustment device according to claim 5. A demand response actual value estimation unit that estimates a demand response actual value that is a demand adjustment amount of each of the allocated customers in a demand response from a demand actual value that is an actual demand amount of each of the allocated customers;
A peak shift actual value estimation unit configured to estimate, as a peak shift actual value, a demand amount peak-shifted during a period that meets the conditions of the peak shift destination from the demand actual value of each of the allocated customers;
A payment incentive determination unit that determines a payment incentive that is an incentive to be paid to the allocated customer based on the demand response actual value and the peak shift actual value;
The demand adjustment device according to claim 1 or 2. An allocation value determination unit which allocates a demand response allocation value obtained by dividing a demand response command value, which is a demand adjustment request amount in the demand response, to at least some of the consumers constituting the customer group;
A communication unit that transmits demand response allocation information including the demand response allocation value and demand adjustment period information in the demand response to an allocated customer who is a consumer to which the demand response allocation value is allocated;
An incentive unit price determination unit that determines an incentive unit price in demand response;
Peak shift implementation ratio that calculates the implementation ratio of peak shift which is the movement of demand adjustment by implementation of the demand response of each of the allocated customers based on the actual demand value that is the actual demand amount of each of the allocated customers A calculation unit,
A peak shift prediction value calculation unit that calculates a demand fluctuation amount due to a peak shift of the entire allocation consumer as a peak shift prediction value for each time based on an implementation ratio of peak shifts of each of the allocation consumers;
A demand concentration determination unit that determines whether or not new demand concentration occurs based on the peak shift predicted value;
The allocation value determination unit determines the allocation customer so that the demand concentration determination unit determines that new concentration of demand does not occur.
Demand adjustment device. The communication unit transmits demand response recruitment information including information on the incentive unit price to the consumer group, and a demand response in demand response from an application consumer who is a consumer applying for demand response among the consumer groups Receive demand response application information including the demand response application value, which is the adjustment application volume,
The allocation value determination unit determines the allocation customer among the application customers,
The incentive unit price determination unit updates the incentive unit price when the demand concentration determination unit determines that a new demand concentration occurs.
The communication unit transmits demand response recruitment information including information on the updated incentive unit price to the group of customers.
The demand adjustment device according to claim 9.

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