CN114863685B - Traffic participant trajectory prediction method and system based on risk acceptance degree - Google Patents
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Abstract
The invention relates to a traffic participant trajectory prediction method and system based on risk acceptance degree, comprising the following steps: for collecting different traffic participants in a target traffic scenet‑MIs at the momenttTrack information of the moment is obtained, and the track information is preprocessed; different said traffic participants including pedestrians, bicycles and motor vehicles; for is totClustering the preprocessing track information of the moment, and determining the preprocessing track information according to the clustering resulttA risk acceptance level for each of the transportation participants at a time; by usingt‑MIs at the momenttThe preprocessed track information of a time andttraining a heterogeneous graph model according to the risk acceptance degree of each traffic participant at any moment to obtain a trained heterogeneous graph model; and predicting the track of each traffic participant by using the trained heterogeneous graph model. The method and the system have the advantages that different risk acceptance degrees of different traffic participants are considered, and the future tracks of the traffic participants can be accurately predicted.
Description
Technical Field
The invention relates to the technical field of automobile intelligent interaction, in particular to a traffic participant trajectory prediction method and system based on risk acceptance degree.
Background
At present, with the increasing number of urban road traffic participants, road condition information is becoming more and more complex. The method simulates the behavior of the traffic participants in the complex urban environment, accurately expresses the interactive behavior of the traffic participants, and is important for realizing safe and socially acceptable motion planning of the automatic driving automobile. However, accurate representation of such interactive behavior remains a challenge due to the uncertainty of the movement of the traffic participants and the complexity of the urban environment.
At present, there are many methods for modeling the interaction behavior of traffic participants, but these methods have some respective disadvantages. The uncertainty problem of bicycles and pedestrians with a prediction time of more than 1 second cannot be handled by the physics-based motion model; the "two-phase" prediction framework cannot simultaneously consider interactions between traffic participants and predict future behavior; the "social awareness" approach applies a pool mechanism and concatenation operations to directly fuse the features of the interacting participants, but without interpretability. Meanwhile, the method does not consider different cognitions of different traffic participants on the same interactive scene and different judgments on risks. Therefore, the existing traffic participant interactive behavior prediction methods cannot accurately predict future tracks, and the traffic participant track prediction method and the traffic participant track prediction system based on the risk acceptance degree are provided.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention aims to provide a traffic participant trajectory prediction method and system based on risk acceptance degree, which can accurately predict the trajectory of a traffic participant.
In order to achieve the purpose, the invention provides the following scheme:
a traffic participant trajectory prediction method based on risk acceptance degrees comprises the following steps:
for collecting different traffic participants in a target traffic scenet-MTime of dayTo tTrack information of the moment is obtained, and the track information is preprocessed; different said traffic participants including pedestrians, bicycles and motor vehicles;
to pairtClustering the preprocessing track information of the moment, and determining the preprocessing track information according to the clustering resulttA risk acceptance level for each of the transportation participants at a time;
by usingt-MIs at the momenttThe preprocessed trajectory information of a time andttraining a heterogeneous graph model according to the risk acceptance degree of each traffic participant at any moment to obtain a trained heterogeneous graph model;
and predicting the track of each traffic participant by using the trained heterogeneous graph model.
A system for predicting a trajectory of a transportation participant based on risk acceptance, comprising:
the track information acquisition and processing module is used for acquiring different traffic participants in a target traffic scenet-MIs at the momenttTrack information of the moment is obtained, and the track information is preprocessed; different said transportation participants include pedestrians, bicycles and motor vehicles;
a clustering module for pairingtClustering the preprocessing track information of the moment, and determining the preprocessing track information according to the clustering resulttA risk acceptance level for each of the transportation participants at a time;
a heterogeneous graph model training module for utilizingt-MIs at the momenttThe preprocessed trajectory information of a time andttraining a heterogeneous graph model according to the risk acceptance degree of each traffic participant at any moment to obtain a trained heterogeneous graph model;
and the track prediction module is used for predicting the track of each traffic participant by utilizing the trained heterogeneous graph model.
According to the specific embodiment provided by the invention, the invention discloses the following technical effects:
the invention provides a traffic participant trajectory prediction method and system based on risk acceptance degree, which comprises the following steps: for collecting different traffic participants in a target traffic scenet-MIs at the momenttTrack information of the moment is obtained, and the track information is preprocessed; different said traffic participants including pedestrians, bicycles and motor vehicles; to pairtClustering the preprocessing track information of the moment, and determining the preprocessing track information according to the clustering resulttA risk acceptance level for each of the transportation participants at a time; by usingt-MIs at the momenttThe preprocessed trajectory information of a time andttraining a heterogeneous graph model according to the risk acceptance degree of each traffic participant at any moment to obtain a trained heterogeneous graph model; and predicting the track of each traffic participant by using the trained heterogeneous graph model. Different risk acceptance degrees of different traffic participants are considered, namely different cognitions of different traffic participants on the same interaction scene and different judgment on dangers are considered, so that the future track of the traffic participants can be accurately predicted.
Drawings
In order to more clearly illustrate the embodiments of the present invention or the technical solutions in the prior art, the drawings needed in the embodiments will be briefly described below, and it is obvious that the drawings in the following description are only some embodiments of the present invention, and it is obvious for those skilled in the art to obtain other drawings without creative efforts.
Fig. 1 is a flowchart of a traffic participant trajectory prediction method based on risk acceptance degree according to embodiment 1 of the present invention;
FIG. 2 shows the estimated time to collision provided in embodiment 1 of the present inventionTTCSchematic diagram of (1);
fig. 3 is a block diagram of a traffic participant trajectory prediction system based on risk acceptance according to embodiment 2 of the present invention.
Detailed Description
The technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention will be clearly and completely described below with reference to the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention, and it is obvious that the described embodiments are only a part of the embodiments of the present invention, and not all of the embodiments. All other embodiments, which can be derived by a person skilled in the art from the embodiments given herein without making any creative effort, shall fall within the protection scope of the present invention.
The invention aims to provide a traffic participant trajectory prediction method and system based on risk acceptance degree, which can accurately predict the trajectory of a traffic participant.
In order to make the aforementioned objects, features and advantages of the present invention comprehensible, embodiments accompanied with figures are described in further detail below.
Example 1
As shown in fig. 1, the embodiment provides a traffic participant trajectory prediction method based on risk acceptance degree, including:
s1, collecting different traffic participants in the target traffic scenet-MTime of flightIs carved to tTrack information of the moment is obtained, and the track information is preprocessed; different said traffic participants including pedestrians, bicycles and motor vehicles; the target traffic scenario may be different urban traffic scenarios including highways, town blocks, crossroads, and the like.
The preprocessing of the track information in step S1 specifically includes:
determining a target traffic participant from the different traffic participants in the target traffic scene;
determining a relative position, a relative speed and a collision estimated time of each non-target traffic participant with the target traffic participant; the pre-processing trajectory information includes the relative position, the relative velocity, and the estimated time of collision.
The expression for the relative position is:
(ii) a Wherein the content of the first and second substances,iis shown asiA traffic participant;anddenotes the firstiThe horizontal and vertical coordinates of each traffic participant relative to the target traffic participant;
the expression for the relative velocity is:
wherein the content of the first and second substances,the time difference between two adjacent moments;
the expression for the estimated time to collision is:
wherein the content of the first and second substances,is around the target traffic participantiA non-target traffic participant intThe time of impact at the moment of time,is the relative velocityIn relative positionProjection of (2). FIG. 2 shows the estimated time of collisionTTCSchematic diagram of (a).
S2, pairtPreprocessing track information of time of dayClustering is carried out, and the determination is carried out according to the clustering resulttA risk acceptance level for each of the transportation participants at a time; specifically, it can be expressed as:(ii) a Wherein the content of the first and second substances,representing the degree of risk acceptance resulting from the clustering,a representative clustering method is a method of clustering,Sthe feature vector extracted in step S1 ((S))tPre-processing trace information for a time of day),for approximating the parameters, whether the result is expected or not is judged by comparing the loss in the calculation process with the approximation parameters. The risk acceptance degree of each traffic participant can be understood as the distance between the cluster where the traffic participant is located and the target traffic participant, if the distance between the traffic participant and the host vehicle is short, the risk acceptance degree of the traffic participant is considered to be large, and the situation can also be understood as the cognitive situation and the danger judgment situation of the traffic participant in the interactive scene.
In step S2, clustering the preprocessing track information at time t by using a kernel principal component analysis method in combination with a K-means clustering algorithm;
the Kernel Principal Component Analysis (KPCA) method first maps by non-linearityData to be recordedConversion to high dimensional spaceUsing PCA in high dimensional spaceMapping to another low dimensional spaceAnd finally dividing the samples by a linear classifier.tThe preprocessing track information of the time is converted through KPCA and is clustered into K groups by minimizing the square sum in the clusters。
The target function expression of the K-means clustering algorithm is as follows:
wherein, the first and the second end of the pipe are connected with each other,representing the clustering result when the latter equation reaches the minimum;Is shown askClustering;representing calculating the square sum in the cluster;is formed by kernel principalAfter conversion of the analysistPreprocessing track information of the moment;is the firstkCluster center of individual clusters.
S3, use oft-MIs at the momenttThe preprocessed trajectory information of a time andttraining a heterogeneous graph model according to the risk acceptance degree of each traffic participant at any moment to obtain a trained heterogeneous graph model;
the heterogeneous graph model constructs an instance layer containing each traffic participant, and each traffic participant is an instance node. At the moment of timetEach traffic participant can be regarded as an example nodeExample node characteristicsfThe method comprises the following steps:
wherein the content of the first and second substances,is the relative position of the instance node with respect to the host vehicle (target traffic participant),ris the degree of risk acceptance resulting from the clustering,is the firstiThe type of individual traffic participant.
The heterogeneous graph model constructs a class layer containing traffic participants with similar movement modes according to the dynamic characteristics (such as speed, acceleration and the like) of different traffic participants, wherein each movement mode is a class nodeEach one of the classesTraffic participants under other nodes have similar dynamic characteristics. The different movement modes can be embodied in the present embodiment as pedestrians, bicycles and motor vehicles.
The relationship between the instance level and the class level is that the model is applied to all instance nodes having the same typeIntegration and embedding is performed by slave instance nodesTo category nodeThe edge guide passes information from the instance layer to the category layer. After computation in the class layer, class nodesSending processed valuable information to instance nodes。
Space edgeAnd a time edgeThe role of (1) is to establish interaction relationships between nodes. At the moment of timetExample nodeAndthe spatial relationship between the two participants (the spatial relationship between the two participants is derived from the relative position relationship and the relative velocity relationship in step S1) can be described asSpecifically, characteristics of each instance nodeThe spatial relationship can be expressed asAnd. In the same way, the time edgeMay represent the temporal precedence correlation of the same instance node between adjacent frames.
It is further found that step S3 specifically includes:
step S31, taking each traffic participant as an example node, and taking the relative position, the risk acceptance degree and the traffic participant type of the traffic participant as the characteristics of the example node;
step S32, taking the motion mode of each traffic participant as a category node; the motion mode comprises a walking mode, a riding mode and a driving mode;
step S33, taking the space relation between the traffic participants as the space edge, and taking the time correlation of one traffic participant at two adjacent moments as the time edge;
step S34, constructing the heterogeneous graph model according to the instance nodes, the category nodes, the spatial edges and the temporal edges;。
wherein the content of the first and second substances,andas an exampleA node and a category node, wherein,andspatial edges and temporal edges.
Step S35, thet-MIs at the momenttThe relative position sum of each of the traffic participants at a timetAnd inputting the risk acceptance degree of each traffic participant into the heterogeneous graph model at any moment to obtain the trained heterogeneous graph model. Specifically, it can be expressed as:。
wherein the content of the first and second substances,andare respectively traffic participantsToRelative position sequence of time instants and slaveTotThe sequence of relative positions of the time of day,represents a supervised heterogeneous graph model,are the weights of the nodes and edges in the graph neural network. The formula means: will be provided withTotRelative position sequence of time of dayClustering derived risk acceptanceAnd weightTraining to obtain a heterogeneous graph modelThe model can predictToPosition of time of day。
And S4, predicting the track of each traffic participant by using the trained heterogeneous graph model.
In the embodiment, an interactive behavior modeling method based on risk acceptance is provided, and the risk acceptance of a plurality of traffic participants in an interactive scene is clustered, then re-expressed in a heterogeneous graph model, and finally used for trajectory prediction of the traffic participants. The interactive behavior modeling method considers the individual cognition of different traffic participants to danger, better accords with the real driving process, has good practicability, and can accurately predict the future track of the traffic participants.
Example 2
As shown in fig. 3, the embodiment provides a traffic participant trajectory prediction system based on risk acceptance degree, including:
a track information acquisition and processing module T1 for collectingOf different traffic participants in a target traffic scenariot-MIs at the momenttTrack information of the moment is obtained, and the track information is preprocessed; different said traffic participants including pedestrians, bicycles and motor vehicles;
the trajectory information acquisition and processing module T1 includes:
a target traffic participant determination unit, configured to determine a target traffic participant from different traffic participants in the target traffic scene;
the characteristic extraction unit is used for determining the relative position, the relative speed and the collision estimation time of each non-target traffic participant and the target traffic participant; the pre-processing trajectory information includes the relative position, the relative velocity, and the estimated time of collision.
A clustering module T2 for pairingtClustering the preprocessing track information of the moment, and determining the preprocessing track information according to the clustering resulttA risk acceptance level for each of the transportation participants at a time;
a heterogeneous graph model training module T3 for utilizingt-MIs at the momenttThe preprocessed trajectory information of a time andttraining a heterogeneous graph model according to the risk acceptance degree of each traffic participant at any moment to obtain a trained heterogeneous graph model;
the heterogeneous map model training module T3 includes:
an example node determination unit, configured to take each of the transportation participants as an example node, and take the relative positions of the transportation participants, the risk acceptance degrees and the transportation participant types as features of the example node;
the class node determining unit is used for taking the motion mode of each traffic participant as a class node; the motion mode comprises a walking mode, a riding mode and a driving mode;
a spatial edge and time edge determining unit, configured to use a spatial relationship between the traffic participants as a spatial edge, and use a time correlation of one of the traffic participants at two adjacent moments as a time edge;
the heterogeneous graph model building unit is used for building the heterogeneous graph model according to the instance nodes, the category nodes, the space edges and the time edges;
a heterogeneous graph model training unit for training a heterogeneous graph modelt-MIs at the momenttThe relative position sum of each of the traffic participants at a timetAnd inputting the risk acceptance degree of each traffic participant into the heterogeneous graph model at any moment to obtain the trained heterogeneous graph model.
And the track prediction module T4 is used for predicting the track of each traffic participant by using the trained heterogeneous graph model.
For the system disclosed by the embodiment, the description is relatively simple because the system corresponds to the method disclosed by the embodiment, and the relevant points can be referred to the method part for description.
The principles and embodiments of the present invention have been described herein using specific examples, which are provided only to help understand the method and the core concept of the present invention; meanwhile, for a person skilled in the art, according to the idea of the present invention, the specific embodiments and the application range may be changed. In view of the above, the present disclosure should not be construed as limiting the invention.
Claims (6)
1. A traffic participant trajectory prediction method based on risk acceptance degree is characterized by comprising the following steps:
for collecting different traffic participants in a target traffic scenet-M time instants totTrack information of the moment, and preprocessing the track information; different said traffic participants including pedestrians, bicycles and motor vehicles; the pre-processing track information comprises a relative position, a relative speed and a collision estimation time;
to pairtClustering the preprocessing track information of the moment, and determining the preprocessing track information according to the clustering resulttA risk acceptance level for each of the transportation participants at a time; the risk acceptance degree is the cognitive condition of the traffic participant in an interactive scene and the judgment condition of the risk;
by usingt-M time instants totThe preprocessed trajectory information of a time andttraining a heterogeneous graph model according to the risk acceptance degree of each traffic participant at any moment to obtain the trained heterogeneous graph model, and specifically comprising the following steps:
taking each traffic participant as an example node, and taking the relative position, the risk acceptance degree and the traffic participant type of the traffic participant as the characteristics of the example node;
taking the motion mode of each traffic participant as a category node; the motion mode comprises a walking mode, a riding mode and a driving mode;
taking the space relation between the traffic participants as a space edge, and taking the time correlation of one traffic participant at two adjacent moments as a time edge;
constructing the heterogeneous graph model according to the instance nodes, the category nodes, the spatial edges and the temporal edges;
will be provided witht-M time instants totThe relative position sum of each of the traffic participants at a timetInputting the risk acceptance degree of each traffic participant into the heterogeneous graph model at any moment to obtain the trained heterogeneous graph model;
and predicting the track of each traffic participant by using the trained heterogeneous graph model.
2. The method according to claim 1, wherein the preprocessing the trajectory information specifically comprises:
determining a target traffic participant from the different traffic participants in the target traffic scene;
a relative position, a relative speed, and a collision estimated time of each non-target traffic participant with the target traffic participant are determined.
3. The method of claim 2, wherein the expression of the relative position is:
(ii) a Wherein the content of the first and second substances,iis shown asiA traffic participant;andis shown asiThe horizontal and vertical coordinates of each traffic participant relative to the target traffic participant;
the expression for the relative velocity is:
wherein, the first and the second end of the pipe are connected with each other,the time difference between two adjacent moments;
the expression for the estimated time to collision is:
4. The method of claim 1, wherein the kernel principal component analysis is combined with a K-means clustering algorithm pairtClustering the preprocessing track information at the moment;
the target function expression of the K-means clustering algorithm is as follows:
wherein the content of the first and second substances,representing the clustering result when the latter equation reaches the minimum;Is shown askClustering;representing calculating the square sum in the cluster;after transformation by kernel principal component analysistPreprocessing track information of the moment;is the firstkCluster center of individual clusters.
5. System of methods according to any of claims 1 to 4, characterized in that it comprises:
the track information acquisition and processing module is used for acquiring different traffic participants in a target traffic scenet-M time instants totTrack information of the moment is obtained, and the track information is preprocessed; different said traffic participants including pedestrians, bicycles and motor vehicles; the pre-processing trajectory information comprises the relative position, the relative velocity, and the estimated time of collision;
a clustering module for pairingtClustering the preprocessing track information of the moment, and determining the preprocessing track information according to the clustering resulttThe risk acceptance level of each traffic participant at the moment;
a heterogeneous graph model training module for utilizingt-MIs at the momenttThe preprocessed trajectory information of a time andttraining a heterogeneous graph model according to the risk acceptance degree of each traffic participant at any moment to obtain a trained heterogeneous graph model;
the heterogeneous graph model training module comprises:
an example node determination unit, configured to take each of the transportation participants as an example node, and take the relative positions of the transportation participants, the risk acceptance degrees and the transportation participant types as features of the example node;
the class node determining unit is used for taking the motion mode of each traffic participant as a class node; the motion modes comprise a walking mode, a riding mode and a driving mode;
a spatial edge and time edge determining unit, configured to use a spatial relationship between the traffic participants as a spatial edge, and use a time correlation of one of the traffic participants at two adjacent moments as a time edge;
the heterogeneous graph model building unit is used for building the heterogeneous graph model according to the instance nodes, the category nodes, the space edges and the time edges;
the heterogeneous graph model training unit is used for inputting the relative position of each traffic participant from the time t-M to the time t and the risk acceptance degree of each traffic participant at the time t into the heterogeneous graph model to obtain the trained heterogeneous graph model;
and the track prediction module is used for predicting the track of each traffic participant by utilizing the trained heterogeneous graph model.
6. The system of claim 5, wherein the trajectory information acquisition and processing module comprises:
a target traffic participant determination unit, configured to determine a target traffic participant from different traffic participants in the target traffic scene;
and the characteristic extraction unit is used for determining the relative position, the relative speed and the collision estimation time of each non-target traffic participant and the target traffic participant.
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