CN113155776A - Prediction method for optimal harvest time of oranges - Google Patents

Prediction method for optimal harvest time of oranges Download PDF

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CN113155776A
CN113155776A CN202110470267.7A CN202110470267A CN113155776A CN 113155776 A CN113155776 A CN 113155776A CN 202110470267 A CN202110470267 A CN 202110470267A CN 113155776 A CN113155776 A CN 113155776A
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citrus
near infrared
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oranges
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孙旭东
姜小刚
欧阳玉平
李雄
谢冬福
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East China Jiaotong University
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Abstract

The invention discloses a method for predicting an optimal harvesting period of oranges, which comprises the following steps of (1) collecting accumulated temperature data aiming at orange samples to obtain an optimal harvesting standard based on the accumulated temperature; collecting near infrared spectrum data of a citrus sample, and finishing spectrum data processing and characteristic screening; obtaining the internal quality index of the oranges by a physical and chemical analysis method; (2) determining an optimal harvesting standard based on the near infrared spectrum by combining the characteristics of the near infrared spectrum and the internal quality indexes of the oranges; (3) fusing an optimal harvesting standard based on accumulated temperature and an optimal harvesting standard based on near infrared spectrum, and establishing an optimal citrus harvesting period prediction model through an artificial intelligence algorithm; (4) measuring short wave near infrared spectrum, temperature and position information of the citrus sample to be measured, inputting the short wave near infrared spectrum, temperature and position information into a citrus optimal harvesting period prediction model, and quantitatively calculating the optimal harvesting period of the citrus; (5) obtaining the predicted result of the harvest time of the citrus sample in a certain place. The invention adopts a multi-information fusion mode, and can accurately predict the harvest time of the oranges.

Description

Prediction method for optimal harvest time of oranges
Technical Field
The invention belongs to the technical field of fruit nondestructive testing, and particularly relates to a prediction method of an optimal harvest time of oranges.
Background
The maturity is an important index for evaluating the fruit quality and is also a main basis for predicting the harvesting period. The harvesting has great influence on the storage effect of the oranges in due time, the harvesting time is early, the fruits are not fully developed, the size is small, the sugar accumulation is insufficient, and the mouthfeel is poor; too late harvesting time and over-ripening of fruits lead to soft surface, insufficient hardness, poor storage resistance and poor taste. The national standard requires that the ripeness of the citrus fruits is suitable for eating. However, this degree of appropriateness is difficult to grasp, and there are large individual differences in the perception of fruit taste by different examiners. According to the definition of GB/T12947-2008 fresh citrus, the maturity means that the fruit develops to a proper maturity level for eating. The fruits are picked at proper maturity, the mature condition is consistent with the market requirement (green area of the fruits is allowed in the early picking stage, oranges are less than or equal to 1/3, wide-skinned citrus is less than or equal to 1/2, early-maturing varieties are less than or equal to 7/10), and the green removing treatment is allowed when necessary; picking reasonably, and keeping the fruits intact and fresh; cleaning fruit surfaces; the flavor is normal. It is shown that the maturity is only qualitatively specified in the standard.
China is a large producing country of citrus fruits, but a sales channel chain is imperfect, citrus is not easy to store and is easily influenced by climate, the harvesting time depends on experience, and most citrus fruits on the market judge the internal quality of the fruits by manually screening the sizes and the colors of the fruits of the same variety. The ripeness of the citrus fruits is different, the overall quality is seriously influenced, and the market competitiveness of the citrus fruits is reduced. With the rapid development of economy and society and the improvement of living standard, the taste, shape and nutrition of fruits are more and more concerned by the general public. Therefore, the best harvesting time of the citrus fruits is known, the maturity is judged, the storage time is prolonged, the phenomenon of fruit late sale can be well improved, harvesting is carried out in the best harvesting time, and the maximum profit is achieved.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention aims to provide a method for predicting the optimal harvesting time of oranges, which can more accurately predict the optimal harvesting time of the oranges.
The technical scheme of the invention is as follows: the method comprises the following steps:
(1) collecting accumulated temperature data aiming at a citrus sample to obtain an optimal collection standard based on the accumulated temperature;
the specific scheme is as follows: analyzing the difference of effective accumulated temperature of different geographical positions of the orchard garden, and optimizing the network node layout of the temperature sensor; analyzing the correlation between the effective accumulated temperature and the internal quality index of the citrus, and determining the effective accumulated temperature threshold value required by the maturity of regional citrus; and establishing an effective accumulated temperature prediction model driven by real-time and historical temperature data, and predicting the optimal recovery period by using the information of the temperature sensor.
(2) Collecting near infrared spectrum data of a citrus sample, and finishing spectrum data processing and characteristic screening; the near infrared spectrum data are processed by adopting smoothing, denoising, standardization, centralization, multivariate scattering correction and standard normal variable spectrum preprocessing methods to obtain the response characteristic of a specific near infrared spectrum waveband of the citrus. Obtaining the internal quality index of the oranges by a physical and chemical analysis method;
(3) determining an optimal harvesting standard based on the near infrared spectrum by combining the characteristics of the near infrared spectrum and the internal quality indexes of the oranges; fusing an optimal harvesting standard based on accumulated temperature and an optimal harvesting standard based on near infrared spectrum, and establishing an optimal citrus harvesting period prediction model through an artificial intelligence algorithm;
(4) measuring short wave near infrared spectrum, temperature and position information of the citrus sample to be measured, inputting the short wave near infrared spectrum, temperature and position information into the citrus optimal harvesting period prediction model, and carrying out quantitative calculation on the optimal harvesting period of the citrus;
(5) obtaining the predicted result of the harvest time of the citrus sample in a certain place.
Furthermore, when the near infrared spectrum datA of the citrus sample is collected, the absorbance calculation formulA is corrected to be log (S-A-D)/(R-D), wherein A represents an ambient light spectrum, S represents A citrus sample diffuse reflection spectrum, R represents A reference spectrum, and D represents A dark current spectrum.
Further, one or more of citrus internal quality indexes of sugar degree, SSC, TA, surface color, VC and SSC/TA.
Further, the artificial intelligence algorithm includes, but is not limited to, one or more of a neural network, a support vector machine.
Compared with the prior art, the invention has the following beneficial effects: (1) the method can comprehensively utilize the near infrared spectrum and the position information of the oranges and the temperature data of the temperature sensor to complement information from the internal quality and the development accumulated temperature of the oranges and tangerines, and realizes the prediction of the accurate harvest time of the oranges and tangerines.
(2) The invention has the advantages of strong timeliness, high efficiency, good result consistency and strong automation degree by a nondestructive testing mode, and can accurately predict the harvest time of the oranges.
Drawings
FIG. 1 is a flow chart of a method for predicting the optimal harvest time of citrus.
The noun explains: SSC: soluble solid, soluble solid content;
TA: titratable acid, titratable acid;
SSC/TA: i.e. the ratio of soluble solid to titratable acid, referred to as the solid-acid ratio.
Detailed Description
The technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention will be clearly and completely described below with reference to the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention, and it is obvious that the described embodiments are only a part of the embodiments of the present invention, and not all of the embodiments.
As shown in fig. 1, a method for predicting the optimal harvest time of citrus comprises the following steps:
(1) collecting accumulated temperature data aiming at a citrus sample to obtain an optimal collection standard based on the accumulated temperature;
(2) collecting near infrared spectrum data of a citrus sample, and finishing spectrum data processing and characteristic screening; the near infrared spectrum data are processed by adopting smoothing, denoising, standardization, centralization, multivariate scattering correction and standard normal variable spectrum preprocessing methods to obtain the response characteristic of a specific near infrared spectrum waveband of the citrus. Obtaining the internal quality index of the oranges by a physical and chemical analysis method;
(3) determining an optimal harvesting standard based on the near infrared spectrum by combining the characteristics of the near infrared spectrum and the internal quality indexes of the oranges; fusing an optimal harvesting standard based on accumulated temperature and an optimal harvesting standard based on near infrared spectrum, and establishing an optimal citrus harvesting period prediction model through an artificial intelligence algorithm;
(4) measuring short wave near infrared spectrum, temperature and position information of the citrus sample to be measured, inputting the short wave near infrared spectrum, temperature and position information into the citrus optimal harvesting period prediction model, and carrying out quantitative calculation on the optimal harvesting period of the citrus;
(5) obtaining the predicted result of the harvest time of the citrus sample in a certain place.
Preferably, when near infrared spectral datA of A citrus sample is collected, the absorbance calculation formulA is modified to-log (S-A-D)/(R-D), where A represents the ambient light spectrum, S represents the citrus sample diffuse reflectance spectrum, R represents the reference spectrum, and D represents the dark current spectrum.
Preferably, one or more of citrus internal quality indexes of sugar degree, SSC, TA, surface color, VC and SSC/TA.
Preferably, the artificial intelligence algorithm includes, but is not limited to, one or more of a neural network, a support vector machine.
Citrus is a water-based organism with water content around 80%, and changes in ambient temperature can result in changes in citrus sample temperature, such as different temperatures for the same sample in the morning and in the afternoon, and different temperatures for citrus samples in and outside the corona. The temperature rise can cause the near infrared characteristic wavelength corresponding to the H-containing group to shift towards the short wave direction, so that the temperature is an important factor for the near infrared nondestructive detection of the citrus on the tree. Near infrared spectra were taken at various temperatures from 10-40 ℃ at 5 ℃ intervals using a batch of samples. And (3) inserting a probe type infrared temperature sensor near a citrus spectrum scanning point while collecting the spectrum, recording the temperature of the citrus sample, and analyzing the rule of the near infrared spectrum changing along with the temperature.
Under two different temperatures, the same orange can be approximately considered to have no change in physical and chemical properties except the temperature, so that the difference spectrum of the same orange under different temperatures is only related to the temperature. Pure temperature difference spectrum matrix, see formula (1)
Figure 843258DEST_PATH_IMAGE002
(1)
Wherein i is the citrus sample number, e.g., 30 samples used to produce a pure temperature difference spectrum matrix, i =1 … 30; j is the temperature gradient of the ith citrus sample, j =1, 2, …, n, with an interval of 5oC, in this case n = 7; d is a difference spectrum matrix, and Xij is a spectrum corresponding to the ith sample temperature gradient j.
Figure DEST_PATH_IMAGE003
(2)
The spectrum X of the citrus can be considered to consist of the measured target component (XP), the external disturbance (XQ) and the residual error (R), as in equation (2). Where P and Q are the load vectors of the spectral projection onto the target component (e.g., SSC) and the disturbance (e.g., temperature), respectively. In other words, X can be divided into useful fractions X × = XP and interferences X + = XQ; if the disturbance X + can be estimated, X may be calculated. In the project, the pure temperature spectrum matrix (D) is constructed by designing the scheme, and the pure target matrix X is calculated by adopting chemometrics methods such as EPO, GLSM, Repeatability file and the like, so that the prediction capability of the orange optimal harvest period prediction model on variable-temperature orange samples is improved.
Ambient light is another major disturbing factor for in-situ measurements in the orchard site. Sunlight changes due to time (from early to late) and space (inside and outside a canopy), and the sunlight is easily superposed with an active light source of an instrument on citrus in a short-wave near-infrared frequency band, so that the measurement result is higher. In general near infrared detection, diffuse reflectance (S), reference (R) and dark current (D) spectra of citrus samples are measured for each sample and the absorbance spectrum-log (S-D)/(R-D) is calculated. And (3) providing an ambient light interference deduction scheme, namely acquiring an ambient light spectrum (A) during near-infrared detection of the citrus sample, and correcting an absorbance calculation formulA into-log (S-A-D)/(R-D).
The fruit trees have differences in individual life due to the terrain, soil, illumination, moisture and other field conditions, so scientific and reasonable sampling is very key. In the plot, a number of fruit trees are selected to represent the population characteristics of the fruit trees, the number of which is determined with reference to formula (1). If the SD value is larger, the sampling number is increased; if the SD value is small, the number of samples is reduced.
Figure 467750DEST_PATH_IMAGE004
(3)
Wherein y is a statistical contribution with 5% confidence, typically taken to be 1.96; SD is standard deviation between trees; ε is the sampling precision and is usually 0.5.
The effective accumulated temperature is the sum of effective temperatures in the growth period of the oranges and can represent the heat required by the growth of the oranges. However, most of China is in hilly and mountainous orchards, and the temperatures of mountain tops, mountain bottoms and abdominal regions are different. Carrying out effective accumulated temperature measurement and calculation research by adopting an experimental method, and monitoring data by using a sensor for real-time data; data after the time node is observed does not occur, cannot be acquired from the sensor, and is replaced by the average value of the local near-ten-year agricultural meteorological parallel observation data. And wireless sensor network nodes are arranged at the top, bottom and abdomen areas of the mountain, so that the temperature from flowering to harvesting is monitored in real time, and the effective accumulated temperature is calculated. By analyzing the difference of effective accumulated temperature of different geographic positions of the orchard, data support is provided for optimizing the node layout of the temperature sensor network. Analyzing the correlation between the effective accumulated temperature and internal quality indexes such as citrus sugar degree, SSC, TA, surface color, VC, SSC/TA and the like, and determining an effective accumulated temperature threshold value corresponding to citrus suitable for harvesting as a threshold value for the optimal harvesting period prediction based on the temperature sensor information; and establishing an effective accumulated temperature estimation model based on the real-time monitoring data and the historical temperature data of the temperature sensor, and predicting the optimal harvesting period by applying the effective accumulated temperature.
In principle, the short wave near infrared technology can quickly, nondestructively and accurately measure the main physical and chemical property indexes of the oranges in situ, but is difficult to be suitable for the whole growth cycle. The effective temperature is easily affected by abnormal climate, and the result error is larger, but the method is suitable for the whole growth cycle, and can be just used as an auxiliary means to form good complementation with near infrared. Meanwhile, the position information acquired by the GPS is matched with the short-wave near-infrared prediction results one by one to generate a harvest decision prescription chart taking the tree as a unit, so that the aim of accurate harvest can be fulfilled.
Although embodiments of the present invention have been described, it will be appreciated by those skilled in the art that various changes, modifications, substitutions and alterations can be made in these embodiments without departing from the principles and spirit of the invention, the scope of which is defined in the appended claims and their equivalents.

Claims (4)

1. A prediction method of an optimal harvest time of oranges is characterized by comprising the following steps: the method comprises the following steps:
(1) collecting accumulated temperature data aiming at a citrus sample to obtain an optimal collection standard based on the accumulated temperature;
collecting near infrared spectrum data of a citrus sample, and finishing spectrum data processing and characteristic screening; obtaining the internal quality index of the oranges by a physical and chemical analysis method;
(2) determining an optimal harvesting standard based on the near infrared spectrum by combining the characteristics of the near infrared spectrum and the internal quality indexes of the oranges;
(3) fusing an optimal harvesting standard based on accumulated temperature and an optimal harvesting standard based on near infrared spectrum, and establishing an optimal citrus harvesting period prediction model through an artificial intelligence algorithm;
(4) measuring short wave near infrared spectrum, temperature and position information of the citrus sample to be measured, inputting the short wave near infrared spectrum, temperature and position information into the citrus optimal harvesting period prediction model, and carrying out quantitative calculation on the optimal harvesting period of the citrus;
(5) obtaining the predicted result of the harvest time of the citrus sample in a certain place.
2. The method for predicting the optimal harvesting time of citrus according to claim 1, wherein: when near infrared spectrum datA of A citrus sample is collected, an absorbance calculation formulA is corrected to be-log (S-A-D)/(R-D), wherein A represents an ambient light spectrum, S represents A citrus sample diffuse reflection spectrum, R represents A reference spectrum, and D represents A dark current spectrum.
3. The method for predicting the optimal harvesting time of citrus according to claim 1, wherein: the citrus internal quality index comprises one or more of sugar degree, SSC, TA, surface color, VC and SSC/TA.
4. The method for predicting the optimal harvesting time of citrus according to claim 1, wherein: the artificial intelligence algorithm comprises one or more of a neural network and a support vector machine.
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