CN108596399A - Method, apparatus, electronic equipment and the storage medium of express delivery amount prediction - Google Patents

Method, apparatus, electronic equipment and the storage medium of express delivery amount prediction Download PDF

Info

Publication number
CN108596399A
CN108596399A CN201810421169.2A CN201810421169A CN108596399A CN 108596399 A CN108596399 A CN 108596399A CN 201810421169 A CN201810421169 A CN 201810421169A CN 108596399 A CN108596399 A CN 108596399A
Authority
CN
China
Prior art keywords
express delivery
information
delivery amount
amount information
portfolio
Prior art date
Legal status (The legal status is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the status listed.)
Pending
Application number
CN201810421169.2A
Other languages
Chinese (zh)
Inventor
杨春丽
江明发
邱培刚
许良锋
佟雪松
吴斌
袁燕妮
刘晓平
Current Assignee (The listed assignees may be inaccurate. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the list.)
National Post Office Postal Security Center
Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications
Original Assignee
National Post Office Postal Security Center
Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications
Priority date (The priority date is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the date listed.)
Filing date
Publication date
Application filed by National Post Office Postal Security Center, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications filed Critical National Post Office Postal Security Center
Priority to CN201810421169.2A priority Critical patent/CN108596399A/en
Publication of CN108596399A publication Critical patent/CN108596399A/en
Pending legal-status Critical Current

Links

Classifications

    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/04Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem"
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/08Logistics, e.g. warehousing, loading or distribution; Inventory or stock management
    • G06Q10/083Shipping

Landscapes

  • Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
  • Engineering & Computer Science (AREA)
  • Economics (AREA)
  • Human Resources & Organizations (AREA)
  • Strategic Management (AREA)
  • Quality & Reliability (AREA)
  • Marketing (AREA)
  • Operations Research (AREA)
  • Entrepreneurship & Innovation (AREA)
  • Development Economics (AREA)
  • Tourism & Hospitality (AREA)
  • Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
  • General Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
  • General Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
  • Theoretical Computer Science (AREA)
  • Game Theory and Decision Science (AREA)
  • Management, Administration, Business Operations System, And Electronic Commerce (AREA)

Abstract

An embodiment of the present invention provides method, apparatus, electronic equipment and the storage mediums of a kind of prediction of express delivery amount, belong to field of computer technology.The above method includes:Obtain the express delivery amount information and portfolio influence information preset in historical period, it includes weather information and/or date feature information that portfolio, which influences information, information and express delivery amount information are influenced according to portfolio, preset initial model is trained, obtain Traffic prediction model, according to the express delivery amount information and Traffic prediction model in preset time step-length, output prediction express delivery amount information.The method predicted using the express delivery amount of the embodiment of the present invention, can improve the accuracy of express delivery amount information prediction.

Description

Method, apparatus, electronic equipment and the storage medium of express delivery amount prediction
Technical field
This application involves field of computer technology, method, apparatus, electronic equipment more particularly to the prediction of express delivery amount And storage medium.
Background technology
Postal industry is the key industries of modern service industry, is the modern industry for pushing circulation transition, promoting consumption upgrading, is The guiding industry of logistics field.During the nearly last ten years, express mail service industry sustained and rapid development, working scale constantly extend, postal industry Business amount grows at top speed, and makes tremendous contribution for national economy, wherein 2012-2017 express delivery amount total amounts and increases by a year-on-year basis Amount is as shown in table 1.
Table 1
During the annual express delivery busy season is concentrated mainly on electric business activity, such as " double 11 ", " double 12 ", the Spring Festival, 618 activities Period.Accurate Traffic prediction information produces businessman storage in advance, Express firm business scale personnel prepare and to state Supervision department of post office of family determines that guarantee plan all has especially important meaning in advance.
In the prior art use ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model, from Regression-Integral moving average model) prediction model predicts express delivery amount.ARIMA models are based on the pre- of time series Survey method.The model is by express delivery amount daily in the date section of acquisition, to predict next day express delivery amount.For example, as it is known that 1 Month No. 1 to daily express delivery amount data on May 10, after being trained to ARIMA models with these data, which can be pre- Measure the express delivery amount data after May 10.
Based on existing technical solution, ARIMA models are to be instructed using the relationship of simple date and express delivery amount Practice, therefore forecasting accuracy is low.
Invention content
The method, apparatus for being designed to provide the prediction of express delivery amount, electronic equipment and storage of the embodiment of the present application are situated between Matter, to realize the accuracy for improving express delivery amount information prediction.Specific technical solution is as follows:
In a first aspect, an embodiment of the present invention provides a kind of method of express delivery amount prediction, the method includes:
Obtain the express delivery amount information and portfolio influence information preset in historical period, the portfolio influence information Including weather information and/or date feature information;
Information and the express delivery amount information are influenced according to the portfolio, preset initial model is trained, Obtain Traffic prediction model;
According in preset time step-length express delivery amount information and the Traffic prediction model, output prediction express delivery industry Business amount information.
Optionally, described that information and the express delivery amount information are influenced according to the portfolio, to preset introductory die Type is trained, and obtains Traffic prediction model, including:
The portfolio is influenced into information and the express delivery amount information, according to preset time step-length to preset initial Model is trained, and determines Traffic prediction model.
Optionally, the express delivery amount information according in preset time step-length and the Traffic prediction model, it is defeated Go out to predict express delivery amount information, including:
By the express delivery amount information in target date foregoing description preset time step-length, the Traffic prediction mould is inputted Type;
Export the prediction express delivery amount information of the target date.
Optionally, the preset initial model is shot and long term memory network LSTM models.
Optionally, the preset time step-length is less than the duration of the default historical period.
Second aspect, an embodiment of the present invention provides a kind of device of express delivery amount prediction, described device includes:
Acquisition module obtains the express delivery amount information and portfolio influence information preset in historical period, the business It includes weather information and/or date feature information that amount, which influences information,;
Training module influences information and the express delivery amount information, to preset initial model according to the portfolio It is trained, obtains Traffic prediction model;
Output module, according in preset time step-length express delivery amount information and the Traffic prediction model, output Predict express delivery amount information.
Optionally, the training module, including:
The portfolio is influenced information and the express delivery amount information, according to preset time step-length by training submodule Preset initial model is trained, determines Traffic prediction model.
Optionally, the output module, including:
Input submodule, by the express delivery amount information in target date foregoing description preset time step-length, described in input Traffic prediction model;
Output sub-module exports the prediction express delivery amount information of the target date.
Optionally, the preset initial model is shot and long term memory network LSTM models.
Optionally, the preset time step-length is less than the duration of the default historical period.
The third aspect, an embodiment of the present invention provides a kind of computer readable storage medium, the computer-readable storage Dielectric memory contains computer program, and the computer program realizes that above-mentioned first aspect is any described when being executed by processor The method of express delivery amount prediction.
Fourth aspect, an embodiment of the present invention provides a kind of electronic equipment, including processor, communication interface, memory and Communication bus, wherein the processor, the communication interface, the memory complete mutual communication by communication bus; The memory, for storing computer program;The processor, when for executing the program stored on the memory, The method for realizing any express delivery amount prediction of above-mentioned first aspect.
Method, apparatus, electronic equipment and the storage medium of express delivery amount prediction provided in an embodiment of the present invention, can obtain Express delivery amount information and portfolio in default historical period is taken to influence information, it includes weather information that portfolio, which influences information, And/or date feature information, information and express delivery amount information are influenced according to portfolio, preset initial model is instructed Practice, obtain Traffic prediction model, according to the express delivery amount information and Traffic prediction model in preset time step-length, output Predict express delivery amount information.The embodiment of the present invention considers Multiple factors, such as weather information and/or date feature information. Therefore the accuracy of express delivery amount information prediction can be improved.Certainly, it implements any of the products of the present invention or method and differs It is fixed to need while reaching all the above advantage.
Description of the drawings
In order to illustrate the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present application or in the prior art more clearly, to embodiment or will show below There is attached drawing needed in technology description to be briefly described, it should be apparent that, the accompanying drawings in the following description is only this Some embodiments of application for those of ordinary skill in the art without creative efforts, can be with Obtain other attached drawings according to these attached drawings.
Fig. 1 is a kind of flow chart for the method that the express delivery amount of the embodiment of the present invention is predicted;
Fig. 2 is the first curve graph of the express delivery amount of the embodiment of the present invention;
Fig. 3 is second of curve graph of the express delivery amount of the embodiment of the present invention;
Fig. 4 is a kind of schematic diagram for the device that the express delivery amount of the embodiment of the present invention is predicted;
Fig. 5 is a kind of schematic diagram of the electronic equipment of the embodiment of the present invention.
Specific implementation mode
Below in conjunction with the attached drawing in the embodiment of the present application, technical solutions in the embodiments of the present application carries out clear, complete Site preparation describes, it is clear that described embodiments are only a part of embodiments of the present application, instead of all the embodiments.It is based on Embodiment in the application, it is obtained by those of ordinary skill in the art without making creative efforts every other Embodiment shall fall in the protection scope of this application.
An embodiment of the present invention provides a kind of methods of express delivery amount prediction, it is contemplated that Multiple factors, such as meteorological letter Breath and/or date feature information.Therefore, this method can improve the accuracy of express delivery amount information prediction.This method is held Row theme can be terminal, and terminal can be mobile phone or computer.
As shown in Figure 1, the processing procedure of this method is as follows:
Step 101, the express delivery amount information and portfolio influence information preset in historical period are obtained.
Wherein, it includes weather information and/or date feature information that portfolio, which influences information,.
Weather information is the information for characterizing the meteorological condition in preset duration, such as the highest gas in preset duration The warm, lowest temperature and the rain or shine information such as sleet.Date feature information is the letter for characterizing the feature of period residing for preset duration Breath, such as the period is in all several, period at corresponding exact dates and whether the period is in the adjacent time interval in special red-letter day (such as before and after double 11) etc..Preset duration is arbitrary duration, is set according to actual demand, such as preset duration is 1 small When, 12 hours, 1 day or 7 days etc..In inventive embodiments for 1 day, because in actual conditions, each express delivery operator is usually with 1 It is unit, and statistics pulls the information such as part amount, can facilitate calculating.Optionally, date feature information includes special festival information, example Such as double 11, double 12 or the period in the Spring Festival portfolio.
In the present invention is implemented, terminal can prestore the express delivery amount information in historical period and portfolio influence Information, terminal can influence information from the express delivery amount information and portfolio being locally stored in middle acquisition historical period;Alternatively, Terminal can also obtain express delivery amount information and portfolio influence information in historical period by network.For example, terminal is logical It crosses application program and obtains weather information on the net from weather, and obtain postal express delivery amount information from national post system general bureau, soon It includes pulling the information such as number of packages amount to pass traffic information.
Step 102, information and express delivery amount information are influenced according to portfolio, preset initial model are trained, Obtain Traffic prediction model.
In force, terminal can prestore initial model.Terminal can influence information and express delivery industry by portfolio Initial model is trained to Traffic prediction model by business amount information.Specifically, the initial model can be ARIMA, HMM (Hidden Markov Model, hidden Markov model), SVR (support) vector regression, supporting vector are returned Return) model or LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) model etc..For convenience of description, the present embodiment is with LSTM models Initial model illustrates, other situations are similar therewith.
Optionally, above-mentioned that information and above-mentioned express delivery amount information are influenced according to above-mentioned portfolio, to preset introductory die Type is trained, and obtains Traffic prediction model, including:
Above-mentioned portfolio is influenced into information and above-mentioned express delivery amount information, according to preset time step-length to preset initial Model is trained, and determines Traffic prediction model.
Preset time step-length N is obtained, N is arbitrary duration, can be set according to actual demand, such as N is 7 days, 22 It, 30 days or 40 days etc..
In order to which daily portfolio is influenced information and is converted to dimensional information by training pattern, terminal more quickly, for example, it is special Levy vector etc., the physical meaning of the dimension of dimensional information and each dimension can be with sets itself, in the embodiment of the present invention by taking table 2 as an example It illustrates.
Table 2
For terminal in training pattern, the date is simultaneously not involved in training, and the date is only used as the mark of each training data, with one It is unit, portfolio influence information is converted to the feature vector of 27 dimensions, wherein the highest temperature, the lowest temperature and wind-force value The numerical value of corresponding dimension is respectively the actual numerical value when daily maximum temperature, the lowest temperature and wind-force value.Except the highest temperature, minimum gas Outside mild wind-force value, other dimensions indicate to meet respectively according to same day actual conditions by 0 or 1 assignment, 1, and 0 indicates not meeting.Example If the same day is Friday, then the value of Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Saturday and Sunday corresponding dimension is 0, Friday corresponding dimension Value be 1.
Portfolio influences in information to include weather and week information factor, and in addition to ordinary day feature, is additionally added consideration Special red-letter day factor has been arrived, double 11 features are added.Improve the precision of express delivery amount prediction.
For each date, by the feature vector on the date and express delivery amount information input to default LSTM models, Default LSTM models are trained according to preset time step-length, to obtain Traffic prediction model.
Traffic prediction model includes input layer, hidden layer and output layer.The network node number M of input layer can be arranged It is 28, is the dimension according to feature vector, in addition what a bias node obtained.Letter is activated using tanh functions as each node Number.Hidden layer is LSTM structures, and node in hidden layer J could be provided as 9 (including a bias nodes).Output layer number of nodes can To be set as 1.
In the training process, using the method for cross validation come adjustment parameter, by the data in a preset time step-length Card set is surveyed as one, and optimizes Traffic prediction model using stochastic gradient descent algorithm.To obtain final portfolio Prediction model.
Step 103, according to the express delivery amount information and Traffic prediction model in preset time step-length, output prediction is fast Pass traffic information.
In the present invention is implemented, after terminal obtains trained Traffic prediction model, so that it may to start to predict portfolio Influence information.Terminal is according to historical data, to predict following express delivery amount.The embodiment of the present invention considers Multiple factors, Such as weather information and/or date feature information.Therefore the accuracy of express delivery amount information prediction can be improved.
Optionally, the above-mentioned express delivery amount information according in preset time step-length and above-mentioned Traffic prediction model, it is defeated Go out to predict express delivery amount information, including:
Express delivery amount information before target date in preset time step-length it is pre- to be inputted the portfolio by step 1 Survey model.
In the present invention is implemented, after terminal chooses target date to be predicted, by preset time step-length before target date History express delivery amount data as input sample, be input in trained Traffic prediction model.
Step 2 exports the prediction express delivery amount information of the target date.
In the present invention is implemented, terminal is by trained Traffic prediction model, to pre- before the target date of input If the express delivery amount information in time step is analyzed, the prediction express delivery amount information of target date is obtained.Terminal is defeated The prediction express delivery amount information of the target date gone out.For example, terminal obtains the express delivery amount letter of the target date After breath, the prediction express delivery amount information is shown on a terminal screen.
Optionally, above-mentioned preset time step-length is less than the duration of above-mentioned default historical period.
When preset time step-length is less than the duration of default historical period, can preferably by default historical period, Express delivery amount information beyond preset time step-length part, to determine the prediction express delivery amount information of target date.And Default historical period is more than preset time step-length, and it is default can to ensure that the time span of the feature vector of preset time step-length is less than The time span of the feature vector of historical period, to ensure effective analysis to the time continuity of feature vector, Ke Yiti The accuracy of the survey express delivery amount information of heavy traffic prediction model output.
In embodiments of the present invention, preset time step-length is less than default historical period, can improve Traffic prediction model The accuracy of the survey express delivery amount information of output.
Optionally, the preset initial model in the embodiment of the present invention is shot and long term memory network LSTM models.
Referring to Fig. 2, Fig. 2 is the first curve graph of express delivery amount, and horizontal axis represents the date, and the longitudinal axis represents express delivery Amount.Curve 201 is obtained express delivery industry when applying LSTM models in the method predicted of express delivery amount of the embodiment of the present invention Business amount;Curve 202 is the express delivery amount obtained in the prior art using ARIMA prediction models;Curve 203 is actual express delivery Portfolio.
Referring to Fig. 3, Fig. 3 is second of curve graph of express delivery amount, and horizontal axis represents the date, and the longitudinal axis represents express delivery Amount, wherein be the express delivery amount curve before and after double 11 in box.Curve 301 is the express delivery in the embodiment of the present invention It measures when applying LSTM models in the method for prediction, obtained express delivery amount;Curve 302 is to use ARIMA pre- in the prior art Survey the express delivery amount that model obtains;Curve 303 is actual express delivery amount.
When applying LSTM models in the method that the express delivery amount of the embodiment of the present invention is predicted, obtained express delivery amount With the error of practical express delivery amount, and in the prior art use ARIMA prediction models when, obtained express delivery amount and reality The error of express delivery amount, as shown in table 3 and table 4, wherein table 3 is the application condition table in non-double 11 periods, and table 4 is double ten The application condition table in one period.
Table 3
ARIMA models LSTM models
MSE/E11 4.27 0.9
MAE/E5 5.40 1.72
RMSE/E5 6.54 3.00
R-Square 0.569557974 0.72730548
Table 4
ARIMA models LSTM models
MSE/E11 68.8 1.99585
MAE/E5 22.266 3.1765
RMSE/E5 26.225 4.46749
R-Square -1.85358 0.914952044
Wherein, MSE (Mean Square Error, mean square error), MAE (Mean Absolute Error, average absolute Error) and the closer actual value of the smaller expression of RMSE (Root Mean Square Error, root-mean-square error) value.R-Square Value is bigger to be indicated closer to actual value.
It can be seen that when applying LSTM models in the method for the express delivery amount prediction of the embodiment of the present invention, obtained express delivery Amount, compared to the express delivery amount for using ARIMA prediction models to obtain, closer to practical express delivery amount, especially double ten Before and after one.
The embodiment of the present invention additionally provides a kind of device of express delivery amount prediction, and referring to Fig. 4, which includes:
Acquisition module 401 obtains the express delivery amount information and portfolio influence information preset in historical period, above-mentioned industry It includes weather information and/or date feature information that business amount, which influences information,;
Training module 402 influences information and above-mentioned express delivery amount information, to preset introductory die according to above-mentioned portfolio Type is trained, and obtains Traffic prediction model;
Output module 403, according in preset time step-length express delivery amount information and above-mentioned Traffic prediction model, it is defeated Go out to predict express delivery amount information.
Optionally, above-mentioned training module 402, including:
Above-mentioned portfolio is influenced information and above-mentioned express delivery amount information, according to preset time step by training submodule Length is trained preset initial model, determines Traffic prediction model.
Optionally, above-mentioned output module 403, including:
Input submodule, by the express delivery amount information before target date in above-mentioned preset time step-length, input is above-mentioned Traffic prediction model;
Output sub-module exports the prediction express delivery amount information of above-mentioned target date.
Optionally, in the device of the express delivery amount of embodiment of the present invention prediction, above-mentioned preset initial model is length Short-term memory network LSTM models.
Optionally, in the device of the express delivery amount of embodiment of the present invention prediction, above-mentioned preset time step is less than The duration of above-mentioned default historical period.
The embodiment of the present invention additionally provides a kind of electronic equipment, as shown in figure 5, including processor 501, communication interface 502, Memory 503 and communication bus 504, wherein processor 501, communication interface 502, memory 503 are complete by communication bus 504 At mutual communication,
Memory 503, for storing computer program;
Processor 501 executes following steps when for executing the program stored on memory 503:
Obtain the express delivery amount information and portfolio influence information preset in historical period, the portfolio influence information Including weather information and/or date feature information;
Information and the express delivery amount information are influenced according to the portfolio, preset initial model is trained, Obtain Traffic prediction model;
According in preset time step-length express delivery amount information and the Traffic prediction model, output prediction express delivery industry Business amount information.
The embodiment of the present invention considers Multiple factors, such as weather information and/or date feature information.Therefore it can improve The accuracy of express delivery amount information prediction.
Optionally, above-mentioned processor 501 is for when executing the program stored on memory 503, additionally it is possible to realize above-mentioned The method of any express delivery amount prediction.
A kind of device of express delivery amount prediction provided in an embodiment of the present invention, can obtain fast in default historical period Passing traffic information and portfolio influences information, and it includes weather information and/or date feature information that portfolio, which influences information, according to Portfolio influences information and express delivery amount information, is trained to preset initial model, obtains Traffic prediction model, root According to the express delivery amount information and Traffic prediction model in preset time step-length, output prediction express delivery amount information.This hair Bright embodiment considers daily Multiple factors, such as weather information and/or date feature information.Therefore express delivery industry can be improved The accuracy of business amount information prediction.Certainly, it implements any of the products of the present invention or method must be not necessarily required to reach above simultaneously All advantages.
Machine readable storage medium may include RAM (Random Access Memory, random access memory), also may be used To include NVM (Non-Volatile Memory, nonvolatile memory), for example, at least a magnetic disk storage.In addition, machine Device readable storage medium storing program for executing can also be at least one storage device for being located remotely from aforementioned processor.
Above-mentioned processor can be general processor, including CPU (Central Processing Unit, central processing Device), NP (Network Processor, network processing unit) etc.;Can also be DSP (Digital Signal Processing, Digital signal processor), ASIC (Application Specific Integrated Circuit, application-specific integrated circuit), FPGA (Field-Programmable Gate Array, field programmable gate array) or other programmable logic device are divided Vertical door or transistor logic, discrete hardware components.
The embodiment of the present invention additionally provides a kind of computer readable storage medium, above computer readable storage medium storing program for executing memory Computer program is contained, which realizes following steps when being executed by processor:
Obtain the express delivery amount information and portfolio influence information preset in historical period, the portfolio influence information Including weather information and/or date feature information;
Information and the express delivery amount information are influenced according to the portfolio, preset initial model is trained, Obtain Traffic prediction model;
According in preset time step-length express delivery amount information and the Traffic prediction model, output prediction express delivery industry Business amount information.
The embodiment of the present invention considers Multiple factors, such as weather information and/or date feature information.Therefore it can improve The accuracy of express delivery amount information prediction.
Optionally, when above computer program is executed by processor, additionally it is possible to realize any of the above-described express delivery amount prediction Method.
It should be noted that herein, relational terms such as first and second and the like are used merely to a reality Body or operation are distinguished with another entity or operation, are deposited without necessarily requiring or implying between these entities or operation In any actual relationship or order or sequence.Moreover, the terms "include", "comprise" or its any other variant are intended to Non-exclusive inclusion, so that the process, method, article or equipment including a series of elements is not only wanted including those Element, but also include other elements that are not explicitly listed, or further include for this process, method, article or equipment Intrinsic element.In the absence of more restrictions, the element limited by sentence "including a ...", it is not excluded that There is also other identical elements in process, method, article or equipment including the element.
Each embodiment in this specification is all made of relevant mode and describes, identical similar portion between each embodiment Point just to refer each other, and each embodiment focuses on the differences from other embodiments.Especially for device, For electronic equipment and storage medium embodiment, since it is substantially similar to the method embodiment, so fairly simple, the phase of description Place is closed referring to the part of embodiment of the method to illustrate.
The foregoing is merely the preferred embodiments of the application, are not intended to limit the protection domain of the application.It is all Any modification, equivalent replacement, improvement and so within spirit herein and principle are all contained in the protection domain of the application It is interior.

Claims (10)

1. a kind of method of express delivery amount prediction, which is characterized in that the method includes:
The express delivery amount information and portfolio influence information preset in historical period are obtained, the portfolio influence information includes Weather information and/or date feature information;
Information and the express delivery amount information are influenced according to the portfolio, preset initial model is trained, is obtained Traffic prediction model;
According in preset time step-length express delivery amount information and the Traffic prediction model, output prediction express delivery amount Information.
2. according to the method described in claim 1, it is characterized in that, described influence information and the express delivery according to the portfolio Traffic information is trained preset initial model, obtains Traffic prediction model, including:
The portfolio is influenced into information and the express delivery amount information, according to preset time step-length to preset initial model It is trained, determines Traffic prediction model.
3. according to the method described in claim 1, it is characterized in that, the express delivery amount according in preset time step-length is believed Breath and the Traffic prediction model, output prediction express delivery amount information, including:
By the express delivery amount information in target date foregoing description preset time step-length, the Traffic prediction model is inputted;
Export the prediction express delivery amount information of the target date.
4. according to the method described in claim 1, it is characterized in that, the preset initial model is shot and long term memory network LSTM models.
5. according to the method described in claim 1, it is characterized in that, the preset time step-length is less than the default historical period Duration.
6. a kind of device of express delivery amount prediction, which is characterized in that described device includes:
Acquisition module obtains the express delivery amount information and portfolio influence information preset in historical period, the portfolio shadow It includes weather information and/or date feature information to ring information;
Training module influences information and the express delivery amount information according to the portfolio, is carried out to preset initial model Training, obtains Traffic prediction model;
Output module, according in preset time step-length express delivery amount information and the Traffic prediction model, output prediction Express delivery amount information.
7. device according to claim 6, which is characterized in that the training module, including:
The portfolio is influenced information and the express delivery amount information, according to preset time step-length to pre- by training submodule If initial model be trained, determine Traffic prediction model.
8. device according to claim 6, which is characterized in that the output module, including:
Express delivery amount information in target date foregoing description preset time step-length is inputted the business by input submodule Measure prediction model;
Output sub-module exports the prediction express delivery amount information of the target date.
9. a kind of electronic equipment, which is characterized in that including processor, communication interface, memory and communication bus, wherein described Processor, the communication interface, the memory complete mutual communication by communication bus;The memory, for depositing Put computer program;The processor when for executing the program stored on the memory, is realized in claim 1-5 Any one of them method and step.
10. a kind of computer readable storage medium, which is characterized in that be stored with computer in the computer readable storage medium Program realizes the method and step described in any one of claim 1-5 when the computer program is executed by processor.
CN201810421169.2A 2018-05-04 2018-05-04 Method, apparatus, electronic equipment and the storage medium of express delivery amount prediction Pending CN108596399A (en)

Priority Applications (1)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
CN201810421169.2A CN108596399A (en) 2018-05-04 2018-05-04 Method, apparatus, electronic equipment and the storage medium of express delivery amount prediction

Applications Claiming Priority (1)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
CN201810421169.2A CN108596399A (en) 2018-05-04 2018-05-04 Method, apparatus, electronic equipment and the storage medium of express delivery amount prediction

Publications (1)

Publication Number Publication Date
CN108596399A true CN108596399A (en) 2018-09-28

Family

ID=63619874

Family Applications (1)

Application Number Title Priority Date Filing Date
CN201810421169.2A Pending CN108596399A (en) 2018-05-04 2018-05-04 Method, apparatus, electronic equipment and the storage medium of express delivery amount prediction

Country Status (1)

Country Link
CN (1) CN108596399A (en)

Cited By (18)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN109360625A (en) * 2018-11-12 2019-02-19 四川骏逸富顿科技有限公司 Forecasting system and prediction technique for internet middle or short term medical consultation portfolio
CN109816442A (en) * 2019-01-16 2019-05-28 四川驹马科技有限公司 A kind of various dimensions freight charges prediction technique and its system based on feature tag
CN109934385A (en) * 2019-01-29 2019-06-25 跨越速运集团有限公司 Goods amount prediction technique and system based on length Memory Neural Networks
CN110175695A (en) * 2019-04-19 2019-08-27 跨越速运集团有限公司 For the goods amount prediction technique and system during the Spring Festival
CN110889560A (en) * 2019-12-06 2020-03-17 西北工业大学 Express delivery sequence prediction method with deep interpretability
CN111401960A (en) * 2020-03-19 2020-07-10 深圳市丰巢科技有限公司 Intelligent cabinet specification recommendation method and device, server and storage medium
CN111415044A (en) * 2020-03-24 2020-07-14 狄永杰 Logistics distribution vehicle scheduling system and method based on big data
WO2020164275A1 (en) * 2019-02-15 2020-08-20 平安科技(深圳)有限公司 Processing result prediction method and apparatus based on prediction model, and server
CN111861006A (en) * 2020-07-23 2020-10-30 上海中通吉网络技术有限公司 Express delivery traffic prediction method, device and equipment based on cubic regression curve
CN111950781A (en) * 2020-07-31 2020-11-17 上海中通吉网络技术有限公司 Order arrival quantity prediction method and equipment
CN112183832A (en) * 2020-09-17 2021-01-05 上海东普信息科技有限公司 Express pickup quantity prediction method, device, equipment and storage medium
CN112312411A (en) * 2019-07-29 2021-02-02 中国移动通信集团广东有限公司 Traffic prediction method of VoLTE service and terminal equipment
CN112418534A (en) * 2020-11-26 2021-02-26 上海东普信息科技有限公司 Method and device for predicting collection quantity, electronic equipment and computer readable storage medium
CN112560325A (en) * 2019-09-25 2021-03-26 奥动新能源汽车科技有限公司 Prediction method, system, equipment and storage medium for battery swapping service
CN112990826A (en) * 2021-04-15 2021-06-18 西南交通大学 Short-time logistics demand prediction method, device, equipment and readable storage medium
CN113222057A (en) * 2021-05-28 2021-08-06 中邮信息科技(北京)有限公司 Data prediction model training method, data prediction device, data prediction equipment and data prediction medium
CN114579643A (en) * 2022-05-05 2022-06-03 国家邮政局邮政业安全中心 Express delivery traffic prediction method and device and electronic equipment
CN112560325B (en) * 2019-09-25 2024-06-07 奥动新能源汽车科技有限公司 Prediction method, system, equipment and storage medium for electricity conversion service

Citations (6)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
US20090106033A1 (en) * 2007-10-18 2009-04-23 Ashok Thangavelu System and Method for Estimating a Shipment Delivery Date
CN103617459A (en) * 2013-12-06 2014-03-05 李敬泉 Commodity demand information prediction method under multiple influence factors
WO2015040791A1 (en) * 2013-09-20 2015-03-26 日本電気株式会社 Order-volume determination device, order-volume determination method, recording medium, and order-volume determination system
CN105404945A (en) * 2015-12-29 2016-03-16 中冶南方工程技术有限公司 Harbor transportation volume prediction method and system
CN107403296A (en) * 2017-06-29 2017-11-28 北京小度信息科技有限公司 Conveyance equilibrium method and device
CN107678803A (en) * 2017-09-30 2018-02-09 广东欧珀移动通信有限公司 Using management-control method, device, storage medium and electronic equipment

Patent Citations (6)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
US20090106033A1 (en) * 2007-10-18 2009-04-23 Ashok Thangavelu System and Method for Estimating a Shipment Delivery Date
WO2015040791A1 (en) * 2013-09-20 2015-03-26 日本電気株式会社 Order-volume determination device, order-volume determination method, recording medium, and order-volume determination system
CN103617459A (en) * 2013-12-06 2014-03-05 李敬泉 Commodity demand information prediction method under multiple influence factors
CN105404945A (en) * 2015-12-29 2016-03-16 中冶南方工程技术有限公司 Harbor transportation volume prediction method and system
CN107403296A (en) * 2017-06-29 2017-11-28 北京小度信息科技有限公司 Conveyance equilibrium method and device
CN107678803A (en) * 2017-09-30 2018-02-09 广东欧珀移动通信有限公司 Using management-control method, device, storage medium and electronic equipment

Cited By (22)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN109360625B (en) * 2018-11-12 2021-11-23 四川骏逸富顿科技有限公司 Prediction system and prediction method for Internet medium-short term medication consultation business volume
CN109360625A (en) * 2018-11-12 2019-02-19 四川骏逸富顿科技有限公司 Forecasting system and prediction technique for internet middle or short term medical consultation portfolio
CN109816442A (en) * 2019-01-16 2019-05-28 四川驹马科技有限公司 A kind of various dimensions freight charges prediction technique and its system based on feature tag
CN109934385A (en) * 2019-01-29 2019-06-25 跨越速运集团有限公司 Goods amount prediction technique and system based on length Memory Neural Networks
WO2020164275A1 (en) * 2019-02-15 2020-08-20 平安科技(深圳)有限公司 Processing result prediction method and apparatus based on prediction model, and server
CN110175695A (en) * 2019-04-19 2019-08-27 跨越速运集团有限公司 For the goods amount prediction technique and system during the Spring Festival
CN110175695B (en) * 2019-04-19 2022-06-17 跨越速运集团有限公司 Method and system for predicting cargo volume during spring festival
CN112312411A (en) * 2019-07-29 2021-02-02 中国移动通信集团广东有限公司 Traffic prediction method of VoLTE service and terminal equipment
CN112560325B (en) * 2019-09-25 2024-06-07 奥动新能源汽车科技有限公司 Prediction method, system, equipment and storage medium for electricity conversion service
CN112560325A (en) * 2019-09-25 2021-03-26 奥动新能源汽车科技有限公司 Prediction method, system, equipment and storage medium for battery swapping service
CN110889560A (en) * 2019-12-06 2020-03-17 西北工业大学 Express delivery sequence prediction method with deep interpretability
CN111401960A (en) * 2020-03-19 2020-07-10 深圳市丰巢科技有限公司 Intelligent cabinet specification recommendation method and device, server and storage medium
CN111415044A (en) * 2020-03-24 2020-07-14 狄永杰 Logistics distribution vehicle scheduling system and method based on big data
CN111861006A (en) * 2020-07-23 2020-10-30 上海中通吉网络技术有限公司 Express delivery traffic prediction method, device and equipment based on cubic regression curve
CN111950781A (en) * 2020-07-31 2020-11-17 上海中通吉网络技术有限公司 Order arrival quantity prediction method and equipment
CN112183832A (en) * 2020-09-17 2021-01-05 上海东普信息科技有限公司 Express pickup quantity prediction method, device, equipment and storage medium
CN112418534B (en) * 2020-11-26 2022-10-14 上海东普信息科技有限公司 Method and device for predicting quantity of collected parts, electronic equipment and computer readable storage medium
CN112418534A (en) * 2020-11-26 2021-02-26 上海东普信息科技有限公司 Method and device for predicting collection quantity, electronic equipment and computer readable storage medium
CN112990826B (en) * 2021-04-15 2021-11-02 西南交通大学 Short-time logistics demand prediction method, device, equipment and readable storage medium
CN112990826A (en) * 2021-04-15 2021-06-18 西南交通大学 Short-time logistics demand prediction method, device, equipment and readable storage medium
CN113222057A (en) * 2021-05-28 2021-08-06 中邮信息科技(北京)有限公司 Data prediction model training method, data prediction device, data prediction equipment and data prediction medium
CN114579643A (en) * 2022-05-05 2022-06-03 国家邮政局邮政业安全中心 Express delivery traffic prediction method and device and electronic equipment

Similar Documents

Publication Publication Date Title
CN108596399A (en) Method, apparatus, electronic equipment and the storage medium of express delivery amount prediction
US20210223434A1 (en) Weather-driven multi-category infrastructure impact forecasting
CN109615226B (en) Operation index abnormity monitoring method
Kisi et al. Evaporation modelling by heuristic regression approaches using only temperature data
CN108345958A (en) A kind of order goes out to eat time prediction model construction, prediction technique, model and device
CN106126391A (en) System monitoring method and apparatus
US8588821B1 (en) Techniques for automatically outputting severe weather notifications at a user's mobile computing device
CN105678398A (en) Power load forecasting method based on big data technology, and research and application system based on method
CN109583625A (en) One kind pulling part amount prediction technique, system, equipment and storage medium
Elsner et al. Comparison of hurricane return levels using historical and geological records
Sonnadara et al. A Markov chain probability model to describe wet and dry patterns of weather at Colombo
Liu et al. Imputation of missing traffic data during holiday periods
CN108446795A (en) Power system load fluction analysis method, apparatus and readable storage medium storing program for executing
CN111476441A (en) Load prediction method for electric vehicle charging equipment and related device
CN111260151A (en) Multi-frequency dispatch duration prediction method, device, equipment and storage medium
Liu et al. Daily tourism demand forecasting: The impact of complex seasonal patterns and holiday effects
Stemkovski et al. Disorder or a new order: how climate change affects phenological variability
US20190378406A1 (en) Method of predicting a traffic behaviour in a road system
CN108154259B (en) Load prediction method and device for heat pump, storage medium, and processor
CN116030617A (en) Method and device for predicting traffic flow based on road OD data
CN107704942A (en) Distribution path determines method, apparatus and equipment
Singh et al. Load forecasting at distribution transformer using IoT based smart meter data from 6000 Irish homes
CN107544785A (en) A kind of application program update method and device
Mandal et al. Forecasting several-hours-ahead electricity demand using neural network
CN115169731A (en) Smart campus energy consumption prediction method, device, equipment and medium

Legal Events

Date Code Title Description
PB01 Publication
PB01 Publication
SE01 Entry into force of request for substantive examination
SE01 Entry into force of request for substantive examination
RJ01 Rejection of invention patent application after publication

Application publication date: 20180928

RJ01 Rejection of invention patent application after publication