CN107194546A - A kind of import resources product riskses appraisal procedure - Google Patents
A kind of import resources product riskses appraisal procedure Download PDFInfo
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- CN107194546A CN107194546A CN201710304826.0A CN201710304826A CN107194546A CN 107194546 A CN107194546 A CN 107194546A CN 201710304826 A CN201710304826 A CN 201710304826A CN 107194546 A CN107194546 A CN 107194546A
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- 230000008676 import Effects 0.000 title claims abstract description 22
- 238000000034 method Methods 0.000 title claims abstract description 18
- 229910052500 inorganic mineral Inorganic materials 0.000 claims abstract description 35
- 239000011707 mineral Substances 0.000 claims abstract description 35
- 238000012502 risk assessment Methods 0.000 claims abstract description 11
- 238000004519 manufacturing process Methods 0.000 claims description 12
- 238000012545 processing Methods 0.000 claims description 7
- 230000002950 deficient Effects 0.000 claims description 3
- 230000002939 deleterious effect Effects 0.000 claims description 3
- 230000007613 environmental effect Effects 0.000 claims description 3
- 238000007689 inspection Methods 0.000 claims description 3
- 239000000463 material Substances 0.000 claims description 3
- 238000012856 packing Methods 0.000 claims description 3
- 231100000614 poison Toxicity 0.000 claims description 3
- 230000007096 poisonous effect Effects 0.000 claims description 3
- 239000002699 waste material Substances 0.000 claims description 3
- 238000013459 approach Methods 0.000 claims description 2
- 230000002285 radioactive effect Effects 0.000 claims description 2
- 239000002994 raw material Substances 0.000 description 3
- 238000005516 engineering process Methods 0.000 description 2
- 230000004048 modification Effects 0.000 description 2
- 238000012986 modification Methods 0.000 description 2
- 238000003723 Smelting Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000009286 beneficial effect Effects 0.000 description 1
- 230000008859 change Effects 0.000 description 1
- 239000010437 gem Substances 0.000 description 1
- 229910001751 gemstone Inorganic materials 0.000 description 1
- 239000003673 groundwater Substances 0.000 description 1
- 230000006872 improvement Effects 0.000 description 1
- 239000002184 metal Substances 0.000 description 1
- 229910052751 metal Inorganic materials 0.000 description 1
- 239000004578 natural building material Substances 0.000 description 1
- 239000010970 precious metal Substances 0.000 description 1
- 230000008569 process Effects 0.000 description 1
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Abstract
The invention discloses a kind of import resources product riskses appraisal procedure.Its step of is：(1) risk management object is determined, risks and assumptions that may be present are found for mineral products, risk assessment is carried out by the way of mathematical modeling, the risk size of different mineral products is determined：Relevant information is inputted for different risk points, automatically there is quantized value corresponding, pass through the calculating of controllability and the order of severity, obtain the risk score value H of each factor, pass through the weighted of each factor, value-at-risk is finally given, and for different value-at-risks correspondence risk size, the risk management to commodity is realized according to risk size.The present invention can effectively assess determination mineral products risk, and realize the risk management to commodity according to risk size, practical reliable, it is easy to promote the use of.
Description
Technical field
The present invention relates to a kind of import resources product riskses appraisal procedure.
Background technology
Mineral products refer to mineral resources after exploitation or selecting and purchasing, depart from the product of nature occurrence status, and China imports and exports
Mineral products species is various, up to as many as hundreds of, can be divided into mineral metal products by property and purposes, nonmetallic minerals, flammable organic
Mineral products, the class of groundwater resources mineral products four.Mineral products are derived from underground mineral resources, there is a variety of use value：Can as the raw material of industry,
Smelting processing is into various products；Can there is provided power as energy source raw material；Building can be directly used in as natural building material；One
A little precious metals and jewel can be processed into senior ornaments etc..Different from other products, mineral products belong to primary product, its raw material
Mineral resources from underground, according to the different types of mineral products of import because the place of production, control of deleterious element object it is different plus
Different mineral products will be carried out risk assessment respectively by the not equal link of the enterprise that work is used, and not occurred yet on the market at present
Effective mineral products risk assessment, based on this, designs a kind of import resources product riskses appraisal procedure particularly necessary.
The content of the invention
In view of the shortcomings of the prior art, the present invention seeks to be to provide a kind of import resources product riskses assessment side
Method, can effectively assess determination import resources product riskses, and realize the risk management to commodity according to risk size, practical reliable,
It is easy to spread to use.
To achieve these goals, the present invention is to realize by the following technical solutions：A kind of import resources product riskses
Appraisal procedure, its step is：(1) risk management object is determined：According to the different types of mineral products of import, because the place of production, harmful
The not equal link of enterprise that control of element object is different, processing is used, risks and assumptions that may be present are found for mineral products.
(2) risk assessment is carried out by the way of mathematical modeling, the risk size of different mineral products is determined：For different wind
Danger point input relevant information, has quantized value corresponding, by the calculating of controllability (P) and the order of severity (D), obtains each automatically
The risk score value H of the factor, by the weighted of each factor, finally gives value-at-risk, and for different value-at-risks correspondence
Risk size.
(3) risk management to commodity is realized according to risk size：The pipe under different risks is stored in software database
Reason pattern, management mode is corresponded to for different risks automatically.
Preferably, described step (1) is importing and exporting each issuable risk of link according to mineral products, it is determined that
Place of production link, commodity link, enterprise's link these three links find out 12 risks and assumptions, the wherein risks and assumptions of place of production link
Have：Commodity place of production information, supplier information, preshipment inspection, manner of packing, the risks and assumptions of commodity link have：Radioactivity member
Plain, harmful poisonous element, quarantine material, commercial quality, deficient weight, the risks and assumptions of enterprise's link have：Environmental protection equipment and
Measure, waste processing and utilization equipment, business's information of receiving.
Preferably, step (2) the risk score value H is the step of determination：According in exle forms to it is each because
Son gives a numerical value respectively according to controllability (P) and the order of severity (D), first step risk score H=P × D, obtain it is each because
The risk score value of son；Risks and assumptions give 1-3 point according to the order of severity from small to large, it is controllable in controllability give 1 point, can not
Control gives 2 points, and risk size is divided into high, medium and low according to risk score value.
Preferably, the weight W values of each factor can determine score value by two ways in the step (2)：One is to adopt
During used in risk analysis, the score value of each risks and assumptions is directly given by expert group；Two be to use application level in mathematical modeling
Analytic approach (AHP methods) determines reciprocal influence, determines the weight coefficient of each project of rule layer.
Preferably, the final determination of step (2) the risk value is the value-at-risk H and its weight by each factor
The product of coefficient, obtains the value-at-risk Wi values of each factor, finally all Wi is added the final risk value for obtaining the commodity.
Preferably, the determination of step (2) Degree of Risk：5 grades, respectively risk are determined to merchandise risk size
It is minimum, small, in, it is big, maximum, obtain finally showing on software result be in 5 grades which rank of.
Beneficial effects of the present invention：Determination mineral products risk can be effectively assessed, different mineral products are carried out with risk respectively and is commented
Estimate, and the risk management to commodity is realized according to risk size.
Brief description of the drawings
Describe the present invention in detail with reference to the accompanying drawings and detailed description；
Fig. 1 is the structured flowchart of risks and assumptions of the present invention.
Embodiment
To be easy to understand the technical means, the inventive features, the objects and the advantages of the present invention, with reference to
Embodiment, is expanded on further the present invention.
Reference picture 1, present embodiment uses following technical scheme：A kind of import resources product riskses appraisal procedure, its
Step is：(1) risk management object is determined：According to the different types of mineral products of import, because the place of production, control of deleterious element object
The not equal link of enterprise that different, processing is used, risks and assumptions that may be present are found for mineral products, to different mineral products point
Risk assessment is not carried out.
(2) risk assessment is carried out by the way of mathematical modeling：In software interface correlation is inputted for different risk points
Information, has quantized value corresponding automatically, and by the calculating of controllability (P) and the order of severity (D), the risk for obtaining each factor is commented
Score value H, by the weighted of each factor, finally gives value-at-risk, and for different value-at-risks correspondence risk size.
(3) risk management to commodity is realized according to risk size：The pipe under different risks is stored in software database
Reason pattern, management mode is corresponded to for different risks automatically, also can assign a code to management mode.
Specifically, the manufacturing process of present embodiment is as follows：
(1) risks and assumptions that may be present are found for import mineral products：It may be produced in each link of import and export according to mineral products
Raw risk, it is determined that at source link, commodity link, enterprise's link these three links find out risks and assumptions respectively, passes through demonstration
It is determined that finding out the reasonability of risks and assumptions, 12 risks and assumptions in 3 links are finally determined.
The risks and assumptions of wherein place of production link have：Commodity place of production information, supplier information, preshipment inspection, manner of packing；
The risks and assumptions of commodity link have：Radioactive element, harmful poisonous element, quarantine material, commercial quality, deficient weight；Enterprise
The risks and assumptions of industry link have：Environmental protection equipment and measure, waste processing and utilization equipment, business's information of receiving.
(2) risk score value H determination：In application software, according in exle forms to each factor according to controllability
(P) and the order of severity (D) gives a numerical value respectively, first step risk score H=P × D obtains the risk score of each factor
Value；Risks and assumptions give 1-3 point according to the order of severity from small to large, controllable in controllability to give 1 point, uncontrollable give 2 points, wind
Dangerous size is divided into high, medium and low according to risk score value.
(3) each link and risks and assumptions weight (or given score value) W values are determined：Score value can be determined by two ways：
One when being utilized in risk analysis, and the score value of each risks and assumptions is directly given by expert group；Two be to use in mathematical modeling to answer
Reciprocal influence is determined with analytic hierarchy process (AHP) (AHP methods), the weight coefficient of each project of rule layer is determined.
(4) the final value-at-risk of this commodity is determined：By the value-at-risk H and the product of its weight coefficient of each factor, obtain
To the value-at-risk Wi values of each factor, finally all Wi are added the final risk value for obtaining the commodity.
(5) determination of merchandise risk size：Determine 5 grades to merchandise risk size, respectively least risk, it is small, in, it is big,
Maximum, obtain finally showing on software result be in 5 grades which rank of.
(6) risk management to commodity is realized according to risk size：Different pipes are formulated according to risk size by manager
Reason pattern, the database for having increase or modification management mode in software, in actual applications, is obtained finally by above-mentioned calculating
Risk size, can correspond to automatically in management mode.
Present embodiment can be accurate, objective, determines the risk size of different mineral products, effectively assesses and determines mineral products
Different mineral products are carried out risk assessment, and realize the risk management to commodity, reliability according to risk size by risk respectively
Height, applicability is wide.
The general principle and principal character and advantages of the present invention of the present invention has been shown and described above.The technology of the industry
Personnel are it should be appreciated that the present invention is not limited to the above embodiments, and the simply explanation described in above-described embodiment and specification is originally
The principle of invention, without departing from the spirit and scope of the present invention, various changes and modifications of the present invention are possible, these changes
Change and improvement all fall within the protetion scope of the claimed invention.The claimed scope of the invention by appended claims and its
Equivalent thereof.
Claims (6)
1. a kind of import resources product riskses appraisal procedure, it is characterised in that its step is：(1) risk management object is determined：According to
The different types of mineral products of import, because the not equal link of enterprise that the place of production, control of deleterious element object are different, processing is used,
Risks and assumptions that may be present are found for mineral products；
(2) risk assessment is carried out by the way of mathematical modeling, the risk size of different mineral products is determined：For different risk points
Relevant information is inputted, has quantized value corresponding automatically, by the calculating of controllability (P) and the order of severity (D), obtains each factor
Risk score value H, by the weighted of each factor, finally give value-at-risk, and for different value-at-risks correspondence risk
Size；
(3) risk management to commodity is realized according to risk size：The management mould under different risks is stored in software database
Formula, management mode is corresponded to for different risks automatically.
2. a kind of import resources product riskses appraisal procedure according to claim 1, it is characterised in that described step (1)
Importing and exporting each issuable risk of link according to mineral products, it is determined that at source link, commodity link, enterprise's link this three
Individual link finds out 12 risks and assumptions, and the risks and assumptions of wherein place of production link have：Commodity place of production information, supplier information, dress
Inspection, manner of packing before fortune, the risks and assumptions of commodity link have：Radioactive element, harmful poisonous element, quarantine material, business
Quality, deficient weight, the risks and assumptions of enterprise's link have：Environmental protection equipment and measure, waste processing and utilization equipment, the business that receives letter
Breath.
3. a kind of import resources product riskses appraisal procedure according to claim 1, it is characterised in that in the step (2)
The step of risk score value H is determined be：According in exle forms to each factor according to controllability (P) and the order of severity (D) point
A numerical value is not given, and first step risk score H=P × D obtains the risk score value of each factor；Risks and assumptions are according to tight
Weight degree gives 1-3 point from small to large, in controllability it is controllable give 1 point, it is uncontrollable give 2 points, risk size is commented according to risk
Score value is divided into high, medium and low.
4. a kind of import resources product riskses appraisal procedure according to claim 1, it is characterised in that in the step (2)
The weight W values of each factor can determine score value by two ways：One when being utilized in risk analysis, is directly given by expert group
The score value of each risks and assumptions；Two be to use application level analytic approach (AHP methods) in mathematical modeling to determine reciprocal influence, it is determined that
The weight coefficient of each project of rule layer.
5. a kind of import resources product riskses appraisal procedure according to claim 1, it is characterised in that in the step (2)
The final determination of value-at-risk is the value-at-risk H by each factor and its weight coefficient product, obtains the risk of each factor
Value Wi values, are finally added all Wi the final risk value for obtaining the commodity.
6. a kind of import resources product riskses appraisal procedure according to claim 1, it is characterised in that in the step (2)
The determination of risk size：Determine 5 grades to merchandise risk size, respectively least risk, it is small, in, it is big, maximum, on software
To final display result be in 5 grades which rank of.
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| Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
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| CN201710304826.0A CN107194546A (en) | 2017-05-03 | 2017-05-03 | A kind of import resources product riskses appraisal procedure |
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Cited By (3)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN111090833A (en) * | 2019-11-21 | 2020-05-01 | 深圳微众信用科技股份有限公司 | Data processing method, system and related equipment |
| CN112116255A (en) * | 2020-09-22 | 2020-12-22 | 北京科技大学 | Cross-border renewable resource quality safety early warning method and system |
| CN113435195A (en) * | 2021-07-01 | 2021-09-24 | 贵州电网有限责任公司 | Defect intelligent diagnosis model construction method based on main transformer load characteristics |
-
2017
- 2017-05-03 CN CN201710304826.0A patent/CN107194546A/en active Pending
Cited By (4)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN111090833A (en) * | 2019-11-21 | 2020-05-01 | 深圳微众信用科技股份有限公司 | Data processing method, system and related equipment |
| CN112116255A (en) * | 2020-09-22 | 2020-12-22 | 北京科技大学 | Cross-border renewable resource quality safety early warning method and system |
| CN113435195A (en) * | 2021-07-01 | 2021-09-24 | 贵州电网有限责任公司 | Defect intelligent diagnosis model construction method based on main transformer load characteristics |
| CN113435195B (en) * | 2021-07-01 | 2023-10-03 | 贵州电网有限责任公司 | Defect intelligent diagnosis model construction method based on main transformer load characteristics |
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Application publication date: 20170922 |
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