CN103577893B - A kind of new energy and the two-way energy conservation optimizing method powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity - Google Patents

A kind of new energy and the two-way energy conservation optimizing method powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity Download PDF

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CN103577893B
CN103577893B CN201310541224.9A CN201310541224A CN103577893B CN 103577893 B CN103577893 B CN 103577893B CN 201310541224 A CN201310541224 A CN 201310541224A CN 103577893 B CN103577893 B CN 103577893B
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load
energy
high energy
powered
thermoelectricity
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CN103577893A (en
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刘福潮
文晶
周喜超
郭鹏
但扬清
夏稀渊
吕泉成
杜培东
吴晓丹
彭晶
张宇泽
刘文颖
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State Grid Corp of China SGCC
North China Electric Power University
State Grid Gansu Electric Power Co Ltd
Electric Power Research Institute of State Grid Gansu Electric Power Co Ltd
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State Grid Corp of China SGCC
North China Electric Power University
State Grid Gansu Electric Power Co Ltd
Electric Power Research Institute of State Grid Gansu Electric Power Co Ltd
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    • YGENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
    • Y02TECHNOLOGIES OR APPLICATIONS FOR MITIGATION OR ADAPTATION AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE
    • Y02EREDUCTION OF GREENHOUSE GAS [GHG] EMISSIONS, RELATED TO ENERGY GENERATION, TRANSMISSION OR DISTRIBUTION
    • Y02E40/00Technologies for an efficient electrical power generation, transmission or distribution
    • Y02E40/70Smart grids as climate change mitigation technology in the energy generation sector
    • YGENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
    • Y04INFORMATION OR COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES HAVING AN IMPACT ON OTHER TECHNOLOGY AREAS
    • Y04SSYSTEMS INTEGRATING TECHNOLOGIES RELATED TO POWER NETWORK OPERATION, COMMUNICATION OR INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES FOR IMPROVING THE ELECTRICAL POWER GENERATION, TRANSMISSION, DISTRIBUTION, MANAGEMENT OR USAGE, i.e. SMART GRIDS
    • Y04S10/00Systems supporting electrical power generation, transmission or distribution
    • Y04S10/50Systems or methods supporting the power network operation or management, involving a certain degree of interaction with the load-side end user applications

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Abstract

The invention discloses the two-way energy conservation optimizing method powered for high energy load of a kind of new energy and thermoelectricity, including:Set upWind power data in following preset time period are carried out ultra-short term power prediction by model;Ultra-short term is carried out to the high energy load data in following preset time period using existing load prediction mathematical modeling;The need for judging whether wind power meets the normal production run of high energy load in following preset time period;If the need for wind power disclosure satisfy that the normal production run of high energy load in following preset time period, using wind-powered electricity generation and directly being powered for high energy load;If the need for wind power can not meet the normal production run of high energy load in following preset time period, setting up new energy and the two-way energy saving optimizing model powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity.The new energy and the two-way energy conservation optimizing method powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity, it is possible to achieve reliability is high, energy utilization rate is high and the advantage of energy-saving effect difference.

Description

A kind of new energy and the two-way energy conservation optimizing method powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity
Technical field
The present invention relates to new-energy grid-connected technical field, in particular it relates to which it is high energy that a kind of new energy is two-way with thermoelectricity The energy conservation optimizing method that load is powered.
Background technology
21 century, with the development and the continuous rising of energy demand of social economy, countries in the world are increased to coal, stone Oil, the use dynamics of natural gas, because reserves are limited and exploitation increasingly sharpens, will can cause the exhaustion of these resources.Together When, combustion of fossil fuels can produce the continued emissions of the air pollutants such as sulfur dioxide, particulate, particularly carbon dioxide, The greenhouse effects of the earth will be aggravated, cause air pollution, be negatively affected to our living environment.Global energy crisis and Environmental destruction turns into the problem of concern human survival and development, how to save using the energy, improve its utilization ratio into For various countries' focus of attention.
Power industry, as national basis industry, is that the main primary energy of China directly utilizes industry, power industry The efficient utilization of tremendous development and electric power, is social economy's progress and the basic guarantee of Society.Electric power energy-saving, it is first First more strong Sustainable development policies should be taken in terms of energy exploitation and application, energetically from national energy strategy Develop regenerative resource, adjustment and optimization energy industry structure, realization saving under development;Secondly, energy conversion and profit are improved With efficiency, in fields such as production, transmission and consumption, by taking the comprehensive measures such as technology, law, economy and administration, improve Efficiency of energy utilization, maximum economic and social benefit is obtained with minimum resource consumption.
Wind-power electricity generation, as a kind of important renewable energy forms, is that technology is most ripe, most in current regenerative resource Have one of scale exploit condition and the generation mode of commercialized development prospect.China's wind-powered electricity generation mainly concentrates access using extensive Mode, due to the limitation that wind resource is distributed, wind power plant is built in the end of power network mostly, and network structure is weaker, wind-powered electricity generation Ability to send outside is limited, it is necessary to which emphasis considers the on-site elimination of wind-powered electricity generation.Develop power load, on-site elimination wind-powered electricity generation, can directly by Local wind power resources advantage is converted into local economy advantage, is that the sustainable development of Wind Power Generation Industry provides safeguard.And develop medium and small enterprise Industry, power load is smaller, acts on little to the wind-powered electricity generation for a large amount of affluences of dissolving, therefore, and emphasis considers that development power load is larger High energy industry will be more efficient come wind-powered electricity generation of dissolving.But because wind energy has randomness and intermittent feature so that wind-powered electricity generation is High energy load is powered with certain uncertainty, so, it is considered to a kind of new energy is two-way for the confession of high energy load with thermoelectricity The energy saving optimizing scheme of electricity is particularly important.
During the present invention is realized, inventor has found at least to exist in the prior art that reliability is low, energy utilization rate The defects such as low and energy-saving effect difference.
The content of the invention
It is an object of the present invention in view of the above-mentioned problems, propose that a kind of new energy is two-way for the confession of high energy load with thermoelectricity The energy conservation optimizing method of electricity, to realize high reliability, energy utilization rate height and the advantage of energy-saving effect difference.
To achieve the above object, the technical solution adopted by the present invention is:A kind of new energy and thermoelectricity it is two-way for high energy it is negative The energy conservation optimizing method that lotus is powered, including:
Step 1:With reference to the randomness and fluctuation of wind, according to history wind power data, pass through curve matching and parameter Estimation, sets up arma modeling, and ultra-short term power prediction is carried out to wind power data in following preset time period;
Step 2:According to the running situation of high energy load, when being preset using existing load prediction mathematical modeling to future Between high energy load data in section carry out ultra-short term;
Step 3:According to the prediction data of wind power and the prediction data of high energy load, following preset time period is judged The need for whether interior wind power meets the normal production run of high energy load;
Step 4:The need for if wind power disclosure satisfy that the normal production run of high energy load in following preset time period, Wind-powered electricity generation is then used directly to be powered for high energy load;
Step 5:The need for if wind power can not meet the normal production run of high energy load in following preset time period, Then to use the two-way fired power generating unit energy consumption saved for high energy load power supply station of new energy and thermoelectricity to be target to the maximum, synthesis is examined Consider various constraintss, set up new energy and the two-way energy saving optimizing model powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity.
Further, after the step 5, in addition to:
Step 6:The energy saving optimizing model in step 4 is solved using particle cluster algorithm is improved, new energy is finally given Source and the two-way energy saving optimizing scheme powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity;
In step 6, the improvement particle cluster algorithm, refers to make full use of the global search of particle cluster algorithm and former-right The above-mentioned energy saving optimizing model of local optimal searching capacity calculation of even interior point method.
Further, in step 6, it is described that the energy saving optimizing model in step 4 is carried out using improvement particle cluster algorithm The operation of solution, is specifically included:
Particle cluster algorithm is used in the starting stage of optimization, by the particle group optimizing knot close to global optimum of certain number of times Fruit obtains more excellent solution as the further local optimum of initial value of primal dual interior point method.
Further, in step 6, the particle group optimizing result close to global optimum using certain number of times as The further local optimum of initial value of primal dual interior point method, obtains the operation of more excellent solution, specifically includes:
When containing the Large-scale Optimization Problems of equation and inequality constraints with PSO Algorithm, adjusted using feasible robustness Strategy, is adjusted to the particle for being unsatisfactory for equality constraint every time;
For multi-modal optimization problem, for inactive particle, i.e., do not become substantially close to population optimal value for continuous n times The particle of change, is reinitialized to avoid precocious generation to its speed;N is natural number;
The solution obtained using after global search is as initial value, for continuously differentiable Optimized model after smoothing, from convergence Stability of characteristics and change little nonlinear preprocessing with the increase iterations of calculation scale and carry out local optimum, Obtain the higher-quality solution of optimization problem.
Further, in step 1, it is described pre- to wind power data progress ultra-short term power in following preset time period Survey, be specially:
Ultra-short term wind energy Forecasting Methodology based on time series, the time series data obtained according to systematic observation passes through Curve matching and parameter Estimation carry out founding mathematical models, and then predict with this mathematical modeling the data in future.
Further, in the ultra-short term wind energy Forecasting Methodology of the time series, using auto regressive moving average ARMA Model is predicted as the model of time series to wind power;
The structure of the auto regressive moving average arma modeling is as follows:
In formula, XtIt is ARMA (p, a q) process for the time series of wind power;ajFor AR parameters;bkJoin for MA Number;et-kTo represent the time series of white-noise process;P and q are respectively AR exponent numbers and MA exponent numbers.
Further, in step 2, it is described to use existing load prediction mathematical modeling in following preset time period High energy load data carries out the operation of ultra-short term, specifically includes:
5min to 60min ultra-short term, its prediction principle is to utilize existing historical data, using appropriate Mathematical forecasting model is to predicting that the load value of day is estimated;The historical data includes history daily load data and meteorological number According to.
Further, in steps of 5, the new energy and the two-way energy saving optimizing mould powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity Type, be specially:
To use the two-way fired power generating unit energy consumption saved for high energy load power supply station of new energy and thermoelectricity to be target to the maximum, Consider the Optimized model of a variety of constraintss such as power constraint, fired power generating unit technology units limits.
Further, it is described with use new energy and thermoelectricity two-way for the saving of high energy load power supply station fired power generating unit energy Consumption is target to the maximum, considers the Optimized models of a variety of constraintss such as power constraint, fired power generating unit technology units limits Operation, is specifically included:
It is considered as new energy and the mesh of the two-way fired power generating unit energy consumption maximum saved for high energy load power supply station of thermoelectricity Scalar functions, its mathematical description is as follows:
max Csave
In formula,
Csave=C1-C2
Fired power generating unit can be divided into according to the operation characteristic of fired power generating unit by base lotus unit and economic load dispatching unit;
When being powered only with fired power generating unit for high energy load, because high energy workload demand is relatively stable, load becomes Change is small, therefore the base lotus unit that coal consumption amount can be used low is powered for high energy load;When double with fired power generating unit using new energy To when being powered for high energy load, although new energy does not consume primary energy, but the wave characteristic of new energy needs coal consumption amount The base lotus unit that higher economic load dispatching unit replaces coal consumption amount low undertakes corresponding load;
CsaveTo use the two-way fired power generating unit coal consumption amount saved for high energy load power supply station of new energy and thermoelectricity;C1For The coal consumption amount for using fired power generating unit to be powered for high energy load;C2To use new energy and thermoelectricity are two-way to be powered for high energy load Coal consumption amount;For the coal consumption flow function of base lotus unit,It is base lotus unit i in period t power output, aiWith biFor base lotus unit i coal consumption amount characteristic coefficient, G1For base lotus unit number;For the coal consumption amount of economic load dispatching unit Function,It is economic load dispatching unit j in period t power output, a'jAnd b'jIt is special for economic load dispatching unit j coal consumption amount Property coefficient;G2For economic load dispatching unit number;The wind power prediction value dissolved for high energy load.
Further, the bound for objective function, including:
(1)System power Constraints of Equilibrium:
In formula,For predicted load;
(2)Conventional power unit is constrained
Generating set units limits:
In formula, pmin,i, pmax,iRespectively base lotus unit i minimum load and EIAJ;pmin,j, pmax,jRespectively pass through Ji scheduling unit j minimum load and EIAJ;
(3)Generating set climbing rate is constrained:
In formula, rd,i, ru,iRespectively base lotus unit i descending Ramp Rate and up Ramp Rate;rd,j, ru,jRespectively Economic load dispatching unit j descending Ramp Rate and up Ramp Rate.
The new energy of various embodiments of the present invention and the two-way energy conservation optimizing method powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity, due to bag Include:Arma modeling is set up, ultra-short term power prediction is carried out to wind power data in following preset time period;Using existing negative Lotus mathematical prediction model carries out ultra-short term to the high energy load data in following preset time period;Judge following pre- If the need for whether wind power meets the normal production run of high energy load in the period;If wind-powered electricity generation in following preset time period The need for power disclosure satisfy that the normal production run of high energy load, then wind-powered electricity generation is used directly to be powered for high energy load;If not The need for carrying out wind power in preset time period and can not meeting the normal production run of high energy load, then new energy and thermoelectricity are set up The two-way energy saving optimizing model powered for high energy load;Existing high energy supplying charge method can be solved to be difficult to improve new energy Source digestion capability and can not effectively save primary energy the problem of, improve new energy level of dissolving, effectively save and once can Source;So as to overcome the defect that reliability is low, energy utilization rate is low in the prior art and energy-saving effect is poor, to realize reliability High and energy-saving effect difference the advantage of high, energy utilization rate.
Other features and advantages of the present invention will be illustrated in the following description, also, partly becomes from specification Obtain it is clear that or being understood by implementing the present invention.
Below by drawings and examples, technical scheme is described in further detail.
Brief description of the drawings
Accompanying drawing is used for providing a further understanding of the present invention, and constitutes a part for specification, the reality with the present invention Applying example is used to explain the present invention together, is not construed as limiting the invention.In the accompanying drawings:
To be new energy of the present invention with thermoelectricity two-way is that the flow of the energy conservation optimizing method that high energy load is powered is illustrated by Fig. 1 Figure;
Fig. 2 be new energy of the present invention it is two-way with thermoelectricity be that wind power is pre- in the energy conservation optimizing method that high energy load is powered Mapping;
To be new energy of the present invention two-way with thermoelectricity is IEEE39 nodes in the energy conservation optimizing method that high energy load is powered by Fig. 3 The power network wiring schematic diagram of system.
Embodiment
The preferred embodiments of the present invention are illustrated below in conjunction with accompanying drawing, it will be appreciated that preferred reality described herein Apply example to be merely to illustrate and explain the present invention, be not intended to limit the present invention.
It is difficult to improve new energy digestion capability and effectively save once can not can for existing high energy supplying charge method The problem of source, according to embodiments of the present invention, as shown in Figure 1-Figure 3 there is provided a kind of new energy and thermoelectricity it is two-way for high energy it is negative The energy conservation optimizing method that lotus is powered, improves the level of dissolving of new energy, has effectively saved primary energy.
The new energy of the present embodiment and the two-way energy conservation optimizing method powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity, including:
Step 1:With reference to the randomness and fluctuation of wind, according to history wind power data, pass through curve matching and parameter Estimation, sets up arma modeling, and ultra-short term power prediction is carried out to wind power data in following preset time period;
In step 1, wind power prediction refers to:Ultra-short term wind energy Forecasting Methodology based on time series, when should be based on Between sequence the time series data that is obtained according to systematic observation of ultra-short term wind energy Forecasting Methodology, estimated by curve matching and parameter Meter carrys out founding mathematical models, and then predicts with this mathematical modeling the data in future.The types of models of time series is a lot, here Using auto regressive moving average(ARMA)Model is predicted to wind power.ARMA (p, q) model structure is as follows:
In formula, XtIt is ARMA (p, a q) process for the time series of wind power;ajFor AR parameters;bkJoin for MA Number;et-kTo represent the time series of white-noise process;P and q are respectively AR exponent numbers and MA exponent numbers;
Step 2:According to the running situation of high energy load, when being preset using existing load prediction mathematical modeling to future Between high energy load data in section carry out ultra-short term;
In step 2, load prediction refers to:5min to 60min ultra-short term, its prediction principle is using existing Some historical datas(History daily load data and meteorological data etc.), using load of the appropriate mathematical forecasting model to prediction day Value is estimated;
In step 2, load prediction mathematical modeling is techniques well known, current existing Short-term Load Forecasting Model Mainly there are time series predicting model, Regression Model, Artificial Neural Network Prediction Model, wavelet analysis forecast model Deng.Bibliography:《The research of power-system short-term load forecasting method based on load decomposition》[master thesis], Wang Cheng Guiding principle, Hebei:North China Electric Power University, 2006;
Step 3:According to the prediction data of wind power and the prediction data of high energy load, following preset time period is judged The need for whether interior wind power meets the normal production run of high energy load;
Step 4:The need for if wind power disclosure satisfy that the normal production run of high energy load in following preset time period, Wind-powered electricity generation is then used directly to be powered for high energy load;
Step 5:The need for if wind power can not meet the normal production run of high energy load in following preset time period, Then to use the two-way fired power generating unit energy consumption saved for high energy load power supply station of new energy and thermoelectricity to be target to the maximum, synthesis is examined Consider various constraintss, set up new energy and the two-way energy saving optimizing model powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity;
In steps of 5, it is that the energy saving optimizing model that high energy load is powered refers to using new that new energy is two-way with thermoelectricity The energy is target to the maximum with the two-way fired power generating unit energy consumption saved for high energy load power supply station of thermoelectricity, considers power network about The Optimized model of a variety of constraintss such as beam, fired power generating unit technology units limits.Specifically include:
It is considered as new energy and the mesh of the two-way fired power generating unit energy consumption maximum saved for high energy load power supply station of thermoelectricity Scalar functions, its mathematical description is as follows:
max Csave
In formula,
Csave=C1-C2
Fired power generating unit can be divided into according to the operation characteristic of fired power generating unit by base lotus unit and economic load dispatching unit.Base lotus unit Coal consumption amount it is low, dynamic response capability is poor, the less base lotus of appropriate bands load variations;The dynamic response capability of economic load dispatching unit By force, coal consumption amount is higher, is suitable as spinning reserve, participatory economy scheduling or frequency modulation etc..When negative for high energy only with fired power generating unit When lotus is powered, because high energy workload demand is relatively stable, load variations are small, therefore can be using the low base lotus unit of coal consumption amount Powered for high energy load;When use new energy with fired power generating unit is two-way powered for high energy load when, although new energy does not disappear Primary energy is consumed, but the wave characteristic of new energy needs the higher economic load dispatching unit of coal consumption amount to replace the low base lotus of coal consumption amount Unit undertakes corresponding load.CsaveTo use the two-way fired power generating unit saved for high energy load power supply station of new energy and thermoelectricity Coal consumption amount;C1To use the coal consumption amount that fired power generating unit is powered for high energy load;C2To use new energy and thermoelectricity two-way for high load The coal consumption amount that energy load is powered;For the coal consumption flow function of base lotus unit,For base lotus unit i period t output Power, aiAnd biFor base lotus unit i coal consumption amount characteristic coefficient, G1For base lotus unit number;For economic load dispatching unit Coal consumption flow function,It is economic load dispatching unit j in period t power output, a'jAnd b'jFor economic load dispatching unit j coal consumption Flow characteristic coefficient;G2For economic load dispatching unit number;The wind power prediction value dissolved for high energy load.
Above-mentioned bound for objective function is:
(1)System power Constraints of Equilibrium:
In formula,For predicted load.
(2)Conventional power unit is constrained
Generating set units limits:
In formula, pmin,i, pmax,iRespectively base lotus unit i minimum load and EIAJ;pmin,j, pmax,jRespectively pass through Ji scheduling unit j minimum load and EIAJ.
(3)Generating set climbing rate is constrained:
In formula, rd,i, ru,iRespectively base lotus unit i descending Ramp Rate and up Ramp Rate;rd,j, ru,jRespectively Economic load dispatching unit j descending Ramp Rate and up Ramp Rate;
Step 6:The energy saving optimizing model in step 4 is solved using particle cluster algorithm is improved, new energy is finally given Source and the two-way energy saving optimizing scheme powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity;
In step 6, particle cluster algorithm is improved to refer to:Make full use of in the global search and original-antithesis of particle cluster algorithm The above-mentioned energy saving optimizing model of local optimal searching capacity calculation of point method.Particle cluster algorithm is used in the starting stage of optimization, will be certain The particle group optimizing result close to global optimum of number of times as primal dual interior point method the further local optimum of initial value so that Obtain more excellent solution.
In step 6, can when containing the Large-scale Optimization Problems of equation and inequality constraints using PSO Algorithm Row domain generally than narrow, be difficult to the requirement for quickly meeting institute's Constrained especially equality constraint, therefore, used in optimization process Feasible robustness adjustable strategies, are adjusted to the particle for being unsatisfactory for equality constraint every time.
In step 6, for multi-modal optimization problem, particle cluster algorithm is likely to occur precocious phenomenon so that optimization is absorbed in office Portion is optimal, therefore, for inactive particle, i.e., the particle not changed substantially close to population optimal value for continuous n times, to it Speed is reinitialized to avoid precocious generation.
In step 6, the solution obtained using after global search is as initial value, for continuously differentiable optimization mould after smoothing Type, from convergence property stabilization and changes little nonlinear preprocessing with the increase iterations of calculation scale and enters Row local optimum, so as to obtain the higher-quality solution of optimization problem.
According to the two-way energy conservation optimizing method powered for high energy load of the new energy and thermoelectricity of above-described embodiment, with IEEE39 node systems are analyzed as follows as Knowledge Verification Model:
It is high energy supplying charge formula by contrasting only with fired power generating unit and uses new energy and thermoelectricity two-way for height Carry energy supplying charge formula, it can be seen that when being powered only with fired power generating unit for high energy load, the coal consumption amount of fired power generating unit For 520.178t, and use new energy with thermoelectricity is two-way powered for high energy load when, the coal consumption amount of fired power generating unit is 495.154t, saves 25.024t coal consumption amount, so as to be effectively reduced the primary energy consumption amount of system.
Examples detailed above analysis shows:It is that high energy load is powered that the new energy of the various embodiments described above of the present invention is two-way with thermoelectricity Energy conservation optimizing method, solving existing high energy supplying charge method and being difficult to improve new energy digestion capability and can not effectively save About primary energy the problem of, new energy and thermoelectricity bidirectional power supply are established on the basis of load prediction and wind power prediction Energy saving optimizing model, and corresponding energy saving optimizing scheme is given, so as to improve the level of dissolving of new energy, effectively save Primary energy.
In summary, it is that the energy-conservation that high energy load is powered is excellent that the new energy of the various embodiments described above of the present invention is two-way with thermoelectricity Change method, including:According to history wind power data, by arma modeling come to wind power data in following preset time period Carry out ultra-short term power prediction;According to the running situation of high energy load, using existing load prediction mathematical modeling to future High energy load data in preset time period carries out ultra-short term;When wind power in following preset time period can not The need for meeting the normal production run of high energy load, then to use new energy and thermoelectricity two-way for high energy load power supply station section Fired power generating unit energy consumption about is target to the maximum, considers various constraintss, and it is high energy to set up new energy two-way with thermoelectricity The energy saving optimizing model that load is powered, and using improve particle cluster algorithm the model is solved, finally give new energy and The two-way energy saving optimizing scheme powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity.
Finally it should be noted that:The preferred embodiments of the present invention are the foregoing is only, are not intended to limit the invention, Although the present invention is described in detail with reference to the foregoing embodiments, for those skilled in the art, it still may be used To be modified to the technical scheme described in foregoing embodiments, or equivalent substitution is carried out to which part technical characteristic. Within the spirit and principles of the invention, any modification, equivalent substitution and improvements made etc., should be included in the present invention's Within protection domain.

Claims (7)

1. a kind of new energy and the two-way energy conservation optimizing method powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity, it is characterised in that including:
Step 1:With reference to the randomness and fluctuation of wind, according to history wind power data, by curve matching and parameter Estimation, Arma modeling is set up, ultra-short term power prediction is carried out to wind power data in following preset time period;
Step 2:According to the running situation of high energy load, using existing load prediction mathematical modeling to following preset time period Interior high energy load data carries out ultra-short term;
Step 3:According to the prediction data of wind power and the prediction data of high energy load, wind in following preset time period is judged The need for whether electrical power meets the normal production run of high energy load;
Step 4:If the need for wind power disclosure satisfy that the normal production run of high energy load in following preset time period, adopting Directly powered with wind-powered electricity generation for high energy load;
Step 5:The need for if wind power can not meet the normal production run of high energy load in following preset time period, with Use new energy to be target to the maximum with the two-way fired power generating unit energy consumption saved for high energy load power supply station of thermoelectricity, consider each Constraints is planted, new energy and the two-way energy saving optimizing model powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity is set up;
In steps of 5, the new energy and the two-way energy saving optimizing model powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity, be specially:
It is comprehensive to use the two-way fired power generating unit energy consumption saved for high energy load power supply station of new energy and thermoelectricity to be target to the maximum Consider power constraint, the Optimized model of a variety of constraintss of fired power generating unit technology units limits;
It is described to be target to the maximum to use new energy and thermoelectricity two-way for the fired power generating unit energy consumption of high energy load power supply station saving, Consider power constraint, the operation of the Optimized model of a variety of constraintss of fired power generating unit technology units limits, specifically include:
It is considered as new energy and the target letter of the two-way fired power generating unit energy consumption maximum saved for high energy load power supply station of thermoelectricity Number, its mathematical description is as follows:
max Csave
In formula,
Csave=C1-C2
Fired power generating unit can be divided into according to the operation characteristic of fired power generating unit by base lotus unit and economic load dispatching unit;
When being powered only with fired power generating unit for high energy load, because high energy workload demand is relatively stable, load variations are small, Therefore the base lotus unit that coal consumption amount can be used low is powered for high energy load;When using, new energy and fired power generating unit are two-way for height When load energy load is powered, although new energy does not consume primary energy, but the wave characteristic of new energy needs coal consumption amount higher The base lotus unit that economic load dispatching unit replaces coal consumption amount low undertakes corresponding load;
CsaveTo use the two-way fired power generating unit coal consumption amount saved for high energy load power supply station of new energy and thermoelectricity;C1To use Fired power generating unit is the coal consumption amount that high energy load is powered;C2To use new energy and the two-way coal powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity Consumption;For the coal consumption flow function of base lotus unit,It is base lotus unit i in period t power output, aiAnd biFor base Lotus unit i coal consumption amount characteristic coefficient, G1For base lotus unit number;For the coal consumption flow function of economic load dispatching unit,It is economic load dispatching unit j in period t power output, a'jAnd b'jFor economic load dispatching unit j coal consumption amount characteristic coefficient; G2For economic load dispatching unit number;The wind power prediction value dissolved for high energy load, T is the period total in calculating cycle Number, g represents fired power generating unit;
The bound for objective function, including:
(1) system power Constraints of Equilibrium:
In formula,For predicted load;
(2) conventional power unit is constrained
Generating set units limits:
In formula, pmin,i, pmax,iRespectively base lotus unit i minimum load and EIAJ;pmin,j, pmax,jIt is respectively economical to adjust Spend unit j minimum load and EIAJ;
(3) generating set climbing rate is constrained:
In formula, rd,i, ru,iRespectively base lotus unit i descending Ramp Rate and up Ramp Rate;rd,j, ru,jIt is respectively economical Dispatch unit j descending Ramp Rate and up Ramp Rate.
2. new energy according to claim 1 and the two-way energy conservation optimizing method powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity, it is special Levy and be, after the step 5, in addition to:
Step 6:Using improve particle cluster algorithm the energy saving optimizing model in step 5 is solved, finally give new energy and The two-way energy saving optimizing scheme powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity;
In step 6, in the improvement particle cluster algorithm, the global search and original-antithesis for referring to make full use of particle cluster algorithm The above-mentioned energy saving optimizing model of local optimal searching capacity calculation of point method.
3. new energy according to claim 2 and the two-way energy conservation optimizing method powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity, it is special Levy and be, in step 6, the operation solved using improvement particle cluster algorithm to the energy saving optimizing model in step 5, Specifically include:
Particle cluster algorithm is used in the starting stage of optimization, the particle group optimizing result close to global optimum of certain number of times is made For the further local optimum of initial value of primal dual interior point method, more excellent solution is obtained.
4. new energy according to claim 3 and the two-way energy conservation optimizing method powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity, it is special Levy and be, it is in step 6, described to regard the particle group optimizing result close to global optimum of certain number of times as point in original-antithesis The further local optimum of initial value of method, obtains the operation of more excellent solution, specifically includes:
When containing the Large-scale Optimization Problems of equation and inequality constraints with PSO Algorithm, plan is adjusted using feasible robustness Slightly, the particle for being unsatisfactory for equality constraint is adjusted every time;
For multi-modal optimization problem, for inactive particle, i.e., do not changed substantially close to population optimal value for continuous n times Particle, is reinitialized to avoid precocious generation to its speed;N is natural number;
The solution obtained using after global search is as initial value, for continuously differentiable Optimized model after smoothing, from convergence property Stable and with calculation scale increase iterations changes little nonlinear preprocessing and carries out local optimum, obtains The higher-quality solution of optimization problem.
5. new energy and the two-way energy saving optimizing powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity according to any one of claim 1-4 Method, it is characterised in that in step 1, it is described pre- to wind power data progress ultra-short term power in following preset time period Survey, be specially:
Ultra-short term wind energy Forecasting Methodology based on time series, the time series data obtained according to systematic observation passes through curve Fitting and parameter Estimation carry out founding mathematical models, and then predict with this mathematical modeling the data in future.
6. new energy according to claim 5 and the two-way energy conservation optimizing method powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity, it is special Levy and be, in step 1, in the ultra-short term wind energy Forecasting Methodology of the time series, using auto regressive moving average ARMA Model is predicted as the model of time series to wind power;
The structure of the auto regressive moving average arma modeling is as follows:
In formula, XtIt is ARMA (p, a q) process for the time series of wind power;ajFor AR parameters;bkFor MA parameters; et-kTo represent the time series of white-noise process;P and q are respectively AR exponent numbers and MA exponent numbers;T is prediction time, and j is 1 to p's Natural number (j=1,2 ... p), k for 1 to q natural number (k=1,2 ... q).
7. new energy and the two-way energy saving optimizing powered for high energy load of thermoelectricity according to any one of claim 1-4 Method, it is characterised in that in step 2, it is described to use existing load prediction mathematical modeling in following preset time period High energy load data carries out the operation of ultra-short term, specifically includes:
5min to 60min ultra-short term, its prediction principle is to utilize existing historical data, using appropriate mathematics Forecast model is to predicting that the load value of day is estimated;The historical data includes history daily load data and meteorological data.
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