CN102238584B - Device, system and method for monitoring regional passenger flow - Google Patents

Device, system and method for monitoring regional passenger flow Download PDF

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Publication number
CN102238584B
CN102238584B CN201010161662.9A CN201010161662A CN102238584B CN 102238584 B CN102238584 B CN 102238584B CN 201010161662 A CN201010161662 A CN 201010161662A CN 102238584 B CN102238584 B CN 102238584B
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user terminal
passengers
flow
volume
base station
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CN102238584A (en
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张建梅
荣勇
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China Mobile Group Anhui Co Ltd
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China Mobile Group Anhui Co Ltd
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Abstract

The invention discloses a device, system and method for monitoring regional passenger flow. By utilizing the increasingly perfected mobile communication network and highly popular mobile terminals, the invention can detect and identify the information of mobile phones carried by people in a certain region, and acquire the quantity of people entering communication cells covered by mobile communication base stations set up in the region in real time, thereby monitoring the regional passenger flow according to the above information. Thus, the cost of passenger flow monitoring is lowered, and the application scope of monitoring is expanded.

Description

Region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device, System and method for
Technical field
The present invention relates to communications industry value-added service field, relate in particular to a kind of region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device, System and method for.
Background technology
Due to the mankind in public places activity there is high mobility and uncontrollable feature, each public place administrative department and service department, expectation always can be grasped personnel's flow of public place and flow of personnel trend, carry out volume of the flow of passengers estimation, to better exercise management function and quality services are provided.
Patent application (application number: 200810037786.5) disclose a kind of predicating staff flow method and system, predicating staff flow method wherein: sampling analysis in early stage, statistics show that the personnel amount of leaving venue after one-period accounts for the average ratio of personnel amount in current venue; Setting personnel throughput threshold values, it is with normal gait speed, to pass through the personnel amount of a passway of venue in one-period; Obtain the personnel amount in the interior current personnel amount of this venue and each access road thereof; After calculating one-period, estimate to leave the personnel amount of this venue; After calculating one-period, estimate the personnel amount that enters this venue; Obtain in this venue, estimating after one-period personnel amount.
Along with the development of mobile communications industry, resident and the visitor who has set up in ,Wei city, mobile communication base station and feature region in all parts of the country provides Mobile Communication Service easily at present.Mobile phone has become the indispensable means of communication of people's daily life.
Patent application (application number: 200510024813.5) disclose a kind of mobile terminal location system and method thereof; In the technical scheme of above-mentioned patent application, at network side, increased a position judgment device, the upward signal that receive it order repeater is sampled, and utilize from the relevant demodulating information of the mobile terminal of base station controller or base station, sampled data is identified, judge the signal that whether has corresponding mobile phone in this reported data, determine whether that thus mobile phone to be positioned is in the coverage of repeater.
In realizing process of the present invention, inventor finds that in the volume of the flow of passengers monitoring mode of prior art region, there are the following problems: data acquisition depends on special device or system, construction cost is high, can only be applicable to the public place of smaller scope, is difficult to be applied to the region that geographic areas is larger.
Summary of the invention
The object of the invention is to solve in the volume of the flow of passengers monitoring mode of prior art region, data acquisition depends on the problem of special device or system, mobile terminal and communication base station based on generally building, a kind of region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring system, System and method for are proposed, to reduce traditional area volume of the flow of passengers prediction mode problem with high costs.
For achieving the above object, according to an aspect of the present invention, a kind of region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device is provided, comprise: data acquisition module, for gathering the user terminal information in Nei Ge base station cell, default geographic area, user terminal information comprises the sign of user terminal number, information gathering time and base station cell of living in; Volume of the flow of passengers analysis module, for according to the sign of user terminal number, information gathering time and base station cell, obtains the user terminal quantity of Target cell, may be by the user terminal quantity of target approach community; Acquisition module, for according to the user terminal quantity of the user terminal quantity of Target cell, possibility target approach community, obtains the volume of the flow of passengers of following Preset Time section internal object community.
Preferably, in the technical program, volume of the flow of passengers analysis module, specifically for the latitude and longitude coordinates in the residing base station cell of different time points according to user terminal, the direct of travel of judgement user terminal, obtaining may be by the user terminal quantity of target approach community.
Preferably, in the technical program, volume of the flow of passengers analysis module, also for according to may target approach the user terminal quantity of community, and the user terminal quantity of actual target approach community, obtains the admission rate that unit interval user arrives Target cell; Acquisition module, specifically for according to the user terminal quantity of Target cell, the user terminal quantity of possibility target approach community, the admission rate that unit interval user arrives Target cell, obtains the volume of the flow of passengers of following Preset Time section internal object community.
Preferably, in the technical program, volume of the flow of passengers analysis module, also for the sign in the residing base station cell of different time points according to some user terminals, obtains user terminal and is detained the unit interval of Target cell and the departure rate of unit interval user terminal; In acquisition module, the volume of the flow of passengers M of following Preset Time internal object community is:
M(t1)=∑((M1-M1×(t1/T)×O+M2×(t1/T)×I)/P)
Wherein, t1 is following Preset Time; M1 is active user's terminal quantity of Target cell; T is the unit interval that user terminal is detained Target cell; O is the departure rate of unit interval user terminal; M2 is possible by the user terminal quantity of target approach community; I is the admission rate that unit interval user terminal arrives Target cell, the terminal popularity rate that P is user to be analyzed.
Preferably, in the technical program, region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device can also comprise: ownership place enquiry module, for according to the database of the number of user terminal and operator's support system, inquire about the ownership place of each user terminal; Volume of the flow of passengers analysis module, for obtaining the user terminal quantity of the default ownership place in Target cell, may be by the user terminal quantity of the default ownership place of target approach community; Acquisition module, for obtaining the volume of the flow of passengers of the default ownership place of following Preset Time section internal object community.
Preferably, in the technical program, region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device can also comprise: parameter arranges module, and for the frequency and the mode of data acquisition are set, mode specifically comprises incremental crawler and/or full dose collection; And/or volume of the flow of passengers analysis module further comprises: standardized format submodule, and for the user terminal information obtaining from different systems platform is converted into consolidation form and merges.
In the technical program, region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device can also comprise: unloading module, for the data file after gather merging is uploaded and dumped to computing system at every turn, for computing system, use; And/or acquisition monitoring and alarm module, for to the CPU of acquisition system, internal memory, network utilization, whether acquisition plan is normally carried out and is monitored and alarm; And/or storage control module, information and estimation object information for before the estimation of the storage control system storage volume of the flow of passengers, carry out memory space control by storage policy; And/or release module, for by figure and form, with Computer Browser, SMS, or the mode such as multimedia message, to system end user publishing region volume of the flow of passengers estimation result.
For achieving the above object, according to another aspect of the present invention, a kind of system that comprises region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device is provided, can also comprise user terminal and communication base station: user terminal and communication base station carry out identification log, and the HLR in base station system or the automatic more current positional information of new record mobile phone of VLR.
For achieving the above object, according to another aspect of the present invention, a kind of region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring method is provided, has comprised: the user terminal information in pickup area in each base station cell, user terminal information comprises the sign of user terminal number, information gathering time and base station cell of living in; According to the sign of user terminal number, information gathering time and base station cell, obtain the user terminal quantity of Target cell, may be by the user terminal quantity of target approach community; According to the user terminal quantity of the user terminal quantity of Target cell, possibility target approach community, obtain the volume of the flow of passengers of following Preset Time section internal object community.
In the technical program, obtain and the step of the user terminal quantity of target approach community specifically may be comprised: the latitude and longitude coordinates according to user terminal in the residing base station cell of different time points, the direct of travel of judgement user terminal, obtaining may be by the user terminal quantity of target approach community.
Preferably, in the technical program, obtain and the step of the user terminal quantity of target approach community specifically may be comprised: according to the user terminal quantity of possibility target approach community, and the user terminal quantity of actual target approach community, obtain the admission rate that unit interval user arrives Target cell; The step of obtaining the volume of the flow of passengers of following Preset Time section internal object community specifically comprises: according to the user terminal quantity of Target cell, the user terminal quantity of possibility target approach community, the admission rate that unit interval user arrives Target cell, obtain the volume of the flow of passengers of following Preset Time section internal object community.
Preferably, in the technical program, the step of obtaining the user terminal quantity of Target cell can also comprise: the sign according to some user terminals in the residing base station cell of different time points, and obtain user terminal and be detained the unit interval of Target cell and the departure rate of unit interval user terminal; The step of obtaining the volume of the flow of passengers of following Preset Time section internal object community specifically comprises: the volume of the flow of passengers M of following Preset Time internal object community is: M (t1)=∑ ((M1-M1 * (t1/T) * O+M2 * (t1/T) * I)/P), wherein, t1 is following Preset Time; M1 is active user's terminal quantity of Target cell; T is the unit interval that user terminal is detained Target cell; O is the departure rate of unit interval user terminal; M2 is possible by the user terminal quantity of target approach community; I is the admission rate that unit interval user terminal arrives Target cell, the terminal popularity rate that P is user to be analyzed.
Preferably, in the technical program, after the step of the user terminal information in pickup area in each base station cell, can also comprise: according to the database of the number of user terminal and operator's support system, inquire about the ownership place of each user terminal; Obtain and the step of the user terminal quantity of target approach community specifically may be comprised: obtain the user terminal quantity of default ownership place in Target cell, may be by the user terminal quantity of the default ownership place of target approach community; The step of obtaining the volume of the flow of passengers of following Preset Time section internal object community specifically comprises: the volume of the flow of passengers of obtaining the default ownership place of following Preset Time section internal object community.
Preferably, in the technical program, region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring method can also comprise: the frequency and the mode of data acquisition are set, and mode specifically comprises incremental crawler and/or full dose collection; And/or the user terminal information obtaining from different systems platform is converted into consolidation form and merges.
The region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device of various embodiments of the present invention, System and method for, the mobile communications network that utilization becomes better and approaching perfection day by day and highly universal mobile terminal, the cellphone information that in detection and Identification region, personnel carry, Real-time Collection enters the personnel amount of the covering communication cell, mobile communication base station of setting up in region, and according to above-mentioned information, carry out the monitoring of the region volume of the flow of passengers, the cost that has reduced volume of the flow of passengers monitoring, has improved the scope of application of monitoring.
Other features and advantages of the present invention will be set forth in the following description, and, partly from specification, become apparent, or understand by implementing the present invention.Object of the present invention and other advantages can be realized and be obtained by specifically noted structure in the specification write, claims and accompanying drawing.
Below by drawings and Examples, technical scheme of the present invention is described in further detail.
Accompanying drawing explanation
Accompanying drawing is used to provide a further understanding of the present invention, and forms a part for specification,, jointly for explaining the present invention, is not construed as limiting the invention with embodiments of the invention.In the accompanying drawings:
Fig. 1 is regional planning schematic diagram in the embodiment of the present invention one region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device;
Fig. 2 is the schematic diagram of the embodiment of the present invention one region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device;
Fig. 3 is the flow chart of the embodiment of the present invention six region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring methods;
Fig. 4 is the flow chart of the embodiment of the present invention seven region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring methods.
Mark the following drawings mark thereon by reference to the accompanying drawings:
102-data acquisition module; 104-volume of the flow of passengers analysis module; 106-acquisition module.
Embodiment
Below in conjunction with accompanying drawing, embodiments of the invention are described, should be appreciated that embodiment described herein, only for description and interpretation the present invention, is not intended to limit the present invention.
embodiment mono-
Fig. 1 is regional planning schematic diagram in the embodiment of the present invention one region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device.As shown in Figure 1, the present embodiment region refers to carry out the geographic area of volume of the flow of passengers estimation, and internal construction 1-n mobile communication base station forms, and realizes the whole coverings of wireless signal to region.In the present embodiment, base station cell comprises that ,Er Target cells, base station all in figure is the some base station cells in region, can be also two default base station cells.The user terminal of the present embodiment, at least opens infrastructure service of common carrier, can normally set up the authentication of communicating by letter with common carrier base station.When mobile phone enters or switch in the overlay area of mobile communication base station, mobile phone can automatically carry out identification log with communication base station, and the HLR in base station system or the VLR current positional information of new record mobile phone more automatically.
Fig. 2 is the schematic diagram of the embodiment of the present invention one region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device.As shown in Figure 2, the present embodiment comprises: data acquisition module 102, and for gathering the user terminal information in Nei Ge base station cell, default geographic area, user terminal information comprises the sign of user terminal number, information gathering time and base station cell of living in; Volume of the flow of passengers analysis module 104, for according to the sign of user terminal number, information gathering time and base station cell, obtains the user terminal quantity of Target cell, may be by the user terminal quantity of target approach community; Acquisition module 106, for according to the user terminal quantity of the user terminal quantity of Target cell, possibility target approach community, obtains the volume of the flow of passengers of following Preset Time section internal object community.
In the present embodiment, volume of the flow of passengers analysis module can be according to user terminal the latitude and longitude coordinates in the residing base station cell of different time points, the direct of travel of judgement user terminal, obtaining may be by the user terminal quantity of target approach community.Specifically, according to mobile phone current place communication base station community latitude and longitude coordinates and mobile phone place last time communication base station community latitude and longitude coordinates and place, region longitude and latitude scope, the change in location direction of judgement mobile phone.Calculate thus the mobile phone quantity that each communication base station is advanced to region, the mobile phone quantity that each communication base station is advanced to region exterior.
In the present embodiment, user terminal comprises: GSM standard mobile phone terminal, CDMA standard mobile phone terminal, WCDMA standard mobile phone terminal, and/or TD-SCDMA standard mobile phone terminal.Base station comprises GSM mobile communication base station, cdma mobile communication base station, Wireless BP-base, digital cluster communication base station, and/or PHS wireless access communication base station.User terminal number comprises: mobile phone IMEI number, and/or phone number.
The present embodiment utilizes existing distribution and builds mobile communication base station very widely and communicates community division, the cellphone information that in detection and Identification region, personnel carry, Real-time Collection enters the personnel amount of the covering communication cell, mobile communication base station of setting up in region, the personnel amount that is about to enter the communication cell of the mobile communication base station covering of setting up in region, the expection volume of the flow of passengers in estimation area, and then support public administration resource and Service Source in region are carried out to science scheduling.Thereby overcome in existing volume of the flow of passengers monitoring, data acquisition depends on special device or system, the problem that construction cost is high, has reduced the cost that the volume of the flow of passengers is monitored, and has improved the scope of application of monitoring.
embodiment bis-
The present embodiment, by the basis at embodiment mono-, is described the concrete computational process of region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device.In the present embodiment, acquisition module receives the analysis data that volume of the flow of passengers analysis module sends, and according to preset model, estimates the current volume of the flow of passengers in the region in a period of time, the expection volume of the flow of passengers.
In the present embodiment, volume of the flow of passengers analysis module, for according to may target approach the user terminal quantity of community, and the user terminal quantity of actual target approach community, obtains the admission rate that unit interval user arrives Target cell; Sign according to some user terminals in the residing base station cell of different time points, obtains user terminal and is detained the unit interval of Target cell and the departure rate of unit interval user terminal.In acquisition module, the volume of the flow of passengers M (t1) of following preset time t 1 internal object community is:
M(t1)=∑((M1-M1×(t1/T)×O+M2×(t1/T)×I)/P)
Wherein, t1 is following Preset Time; M1 is active user's terminal quantity of Target cell; T is the unit interval that user terminal is detained Target cell; O is the departure rate of unit interval user terminal; M2 is possible by the user terminal quantity of target approach community; I is the admission rate that unit interval user terminal arrives Target cell, the terminal popularity rate that P is user to be analyzed.
The appraising model of the present embodiment acquisition module is dynamic correction model, and main manifestations is for to estimate for the first time according to system initial setting parameter, then observation is dynamically revised according to historical data.
The present embodiment discloses a kind of region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device based on mobile communication base station, utilize existing distribution and build mobile communication base station very widely and communicate community division, the cellphone information that in detection and Identification region, personnel carry, Real-time Collection enter the covering communication cell, mobile communication base station of setting up in region personnel amount, leave the personnel amount breath of the communication cell that the mobile communication base station of setting up in region covers, the mobile phone quantity of current existence, mobile phone residence time in region in zoning.In addition, the mobile phone quantity based on above-mentioned calculating, residence time, the current volume of the flow of passengers in estimation area, the expection volume of the flow of passengers, and then support public administration resource and Service Source in region are carried out to science scheduling.In this estimation, the region volume of the flow of passengers, expection volume of the flow of passengers data play larger effect for the raising of public administration, decision support and public service quality in region.
embodiment tri-
The present embodiment is further set forth the detailed content of the region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device to embodiment mono-and embodiment bis-.
When user terminal number is phone number, the present embodiment region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device can also comprise ownership place enquiry module, for according to the database of the number of user terminal and operator's support system, inquires about the ownership place of each user terminal.Corresponding volume of the flow of passengers analysis module, for obtaining the user terminal quantity of the default ownership place in Target cell, may be by the user terminal quantity of the default ownership place of target approach community; Acquisition module, for obtaining the volume of the flow of passengers of the default ownership place of following Preset Time section internal object community.Specifically, the attaching information that ownership place enquiry module is registered by common carrier business support system or the phone number section in common carrier business support system and HLR corresponding relation are judged the ownership place of phone number.Difference as required, that home zone of mobile phone number can refine to is provincial, districts and cities, three levels of counties and districts.According to the corresponding relation in communication cell and region, calculate in region, each ownership place mobile phone quantity, the residence time of each mobile phone in region of current existence in the communication cell of region exterior and each communication base station.Thereby the volume of the flow of passengers to default ownership place is processed.
The present embodiment volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device is realized by software programming and hardware integration mode.Data acquisition module is connected to the switch system of mobile communication base station by network, and the logic realizing between system by switch communication agreement articulates, thereby be articulated in region and the switch of each operator mobile communication base station of area peripheral edge on, take the initiative or the mode pickup area of passive collection in cellphone information in each communication cell, mobile communication base station.The present embodiment volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device can also comprise: communication protocol stack module, for realize and mobile communication base station switch between network communication protocol.In addition, volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device can also comprise: parameter arranges module, and for the frequency and the mode of data acquisition are set, mode specifically comprises incremental crawler and/or full dose collection;
The present embodiment is supported the base station system image data from different operators, for example simultaneously from the base station system of China Mobile, the base station system of CHINAUNICOM gathers user terminal information.Because the standard of the base station system of different operators is different, therefore need to carry out stylistic unification to the data from base station system collection.In the present embodiment, volume of the flow of passengers analysis module can comprise: standardized format submodule, for the user terminal information obtaining from different systems platform is converted into consolidation form and merges, specifically the cellphone information of coming from different operators, the collection of different platform switch is carried out to standardization, generate the normative document of text formatting or binary format, thereby facilitate volume of the flow of passengers analysis module to analyze.In addition, because the data source gathering is inconsistent, the file after standardized format can be many, and standardized format submodule also has data pooling function, for realizing the merging to levels of standards, generates 1 or a plurality of file.
The present embodiment is set forth the various fastenings of volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device, has whole beneficial effects of embodiment mono-and embodiment bis-, no longer repeats herein.
embodiment tetra-
For the normal operation of feasible region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device, also need some ancillary equipment to support various functions.The present embodiment, by the basis at embodiment mono-to embodiment tri-, further elaborates region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device.
The present embodiment volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device can also comprise: unloading module, for the data file after gather merging is uploaded and dumped to computing system at every turn, for computing system, use; And/or acquisition monitoring and alarm module, for to the CPU of acquisition system, internal memory, network utilization, whether acquisition plan is normally carried out and is monitored and alarm.
The present embodiment volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device can also comprise: storage control module, for information and the estimation object information before the estimation of the storage control system storage volume of the flow of passengers, by storage policy, carry out memory space control, to prevent the unconfined increase of storage information of volume of the flow of passengers history.Storage control system canned data content comprises: the result data that 1) acquisition system gathers; 2) calculation result data of computing system; 3) the estimation result data of estimating system; 4) system operation monitoring data, storage control system is stored control according to following storage policy: 1) data centralization storage; 2) estimation result data timed backup; 3) collection result data and calculation result data are regularly cleared up;
In addition, the present embodiment volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device can also comprise: release module, and for by figure and form, in modes such as Computer Browser, SMS, multimedia messages, to system end user publishing region volume of the flow of passengers estimation result.The issue of the present embodiment graphic form estimated data refer to local visitor in cake chart viewing area and nonlocal visitor's ratio, with form viewing area expection volume of the flow of passengers trend such as block diagram and broken line graphs.The issue of the present embodiment form estimated data refer to show in two-dimensional data table mode.The present embodiment refers to that with Computer Browser mode distributing data end user uses Computer Browser to pass through network address access region volume of the flow of passengers delivery system, checks volume of the flow of passengers data.The present embodiment refers to that with SMS, multimedia message mode distributing data Short Message Service Gateway or MMS gateway that delivery system passes through common carrier push volume of the flow of passengers data by certain time interval to end user, comprise the current volume of the flow of passengers in region and Region specification region, in following a period of time, may reach the volume of the flow of passengers of one's respective area.
The method that the present embodiment is realized can be with reference to the related description of embodiment mono-to embodiment tri-, and has whole beneficial effects of above-described embodiment, no longer repeats herein.
embodiment five
The present embodiment discloses a kind of system of the embodiment of comprising mono-to embodiment tetra-region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device, also comprise user terminal and communication base station, user terminal and communication base station carry out identification log, and the HLR in base station system or the automatic more current positional information of new record mobile phone of VLR.
Wherein, the present embodiment user terminal refers to the mobile phone that visitor carries, and includes but are not limited to common GSM standard mobile phone, CDMA standard mobile phone, WCDMA standard mobile phone and TD-SCDMA standard mobile phone at present.The mobile phone that the present embodiment mobile phone gives directions visitor using, at least opens infrastructure service of common carrier, can normally set up the authentication of communicating by letter with common carrier base station.When mobile phone enters or switch in the overlay area of mobile communication base station, mobile phone can automatically carry out identification log with communication base station, and the HLR in base station system or the VLR current positional information of new record mobile phone more automatically.
Wherein, the present embodiment communication base station refers in certain area of radio coverage, by mobile switching center, and the transceiving letter radio station of carrying out information transmission between mobile telephone terminal.Specifically comprise the gsm mobile communication system, CDMA mobile communication system, radio paging system, digital clustering communication system, the PHS wireless access communication system that adopt the networking of honeycomb mode, and the wireless communication system that adopts other technologies system.
The method that the present embodiment is realized can be with reference to the related description of embodiment mono-to embodiment tetra-, and has whole beneficial effects of above-described embodiment, no longer repeats herein.
embodiment six
Fig. 3 is the flow chart of the embodiment of the present invention six region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring methods.As shown in Figure 3, the present embodiment comprises:
S602: the user terminal information in pickup area in each base station cell, user terminal information comprises the sign of user terminal number, information gathering time and base station cell of living in;
S604: according to the sign of user terminal number, information gathering time and base station cell, obtain the user terminal quantity of Target cell, may be by the user terminal quantity of target approach community;
S606: according to the user terminal quantity of the user terminal quantity of Target cell, possibility target approach community, obtain the volume of the flow of passengers of following Preset Time section internal object community.
In the present embodiment, obtain and the step of the user terminal quantity of target approach community specifically can may be comprised: the latitude and longitude coordinates according to user terminal in the residing base station cell of different time points, the direct of travel of judgement user terminal, obtaining may be by the user terminal quantity of target approach community.
In the present embodiment, can arrange specially the user terminal of specific ownership place is carried out to analytical estimating.The step that is the user terminal information in each base station cell in pickup area can also comprise afterwards: according to the database of the number of user terminal and operator's support system, inquire about the ownership place of each user terminal; Obtain and the step of the user terminal quantity of target approach community specifically may be comprised: obtain the user terminal quantity of default ownership place in Target cell, may be by the user terminal quantity of the default ownership place of target approach community; The step of obtaining the volume of the flow of passengers of following Preset Time section internal object community specifically comprises: the volume of the flow of passengers of obtaining the default ownership place of following Preset Time section internal object community.
In the present embodiment, appraising model is dynamic correction model, and main manifestations is for to estimate for the first time according to system initial setting parameter, then observation is dynamically revised according to historical data.The present embodiment estimation parameter comprises: ownership place mobile phone popularity rate.The intermediate data that the present embodiment is required and estimation result comprise following data: current visitor's number in region, the current visitor's number of each communication base station of region exterior, visitor's quantity that each communication base station is advanced to region, each communication base station unit interval visitor's admission rate, unit interval visitor departure rate in region, following unit interval visitor number in region.
In following a period of time (t1), in region, different ownership place volume of the flow of passengers appraising models are as follows:
M(t1)=∑((M1-M1×(t1/T)×O+M2×(t1/T)×I)/P)
Wherein, M(t1): represent passenger flow sum in t1 time inner region; M1: the mobile phone quantity that represents different ownership place in current time region; T: represent that visitor is detained the unit interval, need to divide according to the time period according to regional characteristics, as daytime, night; O: representation unit time visitor's departure rate; M2: the mobile phone quantity of the different ownership place that expression is carried out to one's respective area; I: representation unit time visitor's admission rate; P: represent ownership place mobile phone popularity rate.Consider the feature constraint of mobility of people: (M1-M1 * (t1/T) * O+M2 * (t1/T) * I) perseverance is more than or equal to 0.
The present embodiment can be realized with the region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device of embodiment mono-and embodiment bis-, and has whole beneficial effects of above-described embodiment, no longer repeats herein.
embodiment seven
Fig. 4 is the flow chart of the embodiment of the present invention seven region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring methods.As shown in Figure 4, the present embodiment comprises:
Step S702, when the communication cell that user covers from a base station moves to the communication cell of another one base station covering, mobile phone switches communication base station community, to current place communication base station, carries out identification log;
Step S704, the user profile in mobile base station system real-time update HLR and VLR subsystem;
Step S706, acquisition system device gathers the user profile in current HLR and VLR subsystem at interval of the unit interval from the switch of mobile base station system;
Step S708, carries out standardization to the user profile data of coming from each different platform brand collection, is processed into a unified document format data;
Step S710, merges the file of standardization according to rule, is merged into one or more data files;
Step S712, by the data conversion storage gathering to computing system;
Step S714, according to the user profile gathering, in conjunction with the phone number section in the user ascription area of registering in common carrier production system or common carrier production system and each HLR geographical position of HLR(, fix) corresponding relation, the ownership place of judgement phone number.
Step S716, reads visitor's cellphone information of this collection, reads visitor's cellphone information that gathered last time; By phone number, as association, the communication cell number in visitor's cellphone information of secondary acquisition relatively, calculates: visitor's mobile phone quantity in each communication cell, and in 2 acquisition interval mobile phone quantity from sources traffic community to destinations traffic community in the time.According to the corresponding relation in communication cell and region, calculate and currently in the communication cell of region, region exterior and intra-area communication base station have mobile phone quantity, a mobile phone residence time in region.According to mobile phone current place communication base station community latitude and longitude coordinates and mobile phone place last time communication base station community latitude and longitude coordinates and place, region longitude and latitude scope, the change in location direction of judgement mobile phone.Calculate thus the mobile phone quantity that each communication base station is advanced to region, the mobile phone quantity that each communication base station is advanced to region exterior;
Step S718, acquisition module reads calculation result data from volume of the flow of passengers analysis module;
Step S720, acquisition module estimates according to appraising model: the volume of the flow of passengers data such as visitor's quantity that the current visitor's number in region, the current visitor's number of each communication base station of region exterior, each communication base station are advanced to region, each communication base station unit interval visitor's admission rate, area unit time visitor's departure rate, the following unit interval visitor number in region;
Step S722, acquisition module is submitted to storage control module by estimation result;
Step S724, storage control module is carried out data backup memory control according to storage rule to dissimilar data;
Step S726, release module reads data to be released according to issue rules from storage system;
Step S728, release module sends volume of the flow of passengers relevant information to system end user, and delivery system also can be issued to visitor the volume of the flow of passengers information relevant with other of each communication cell.
The method that the present embodiment is realized can be with reference to the related description of embodiment mono--tetra-.The method of the present embodiment has following beneficial effect: 1) utilize mobile phone that the high mobile communication base station of coverage rate and popularity rate are high as visitor's detection and Identification front end system, be applicable to the volume of the flow of passengers detection technique of larger geographical areal extent and lower construction cost; 2) by acquisition system device, the data in communication base station switch are carried out to timing acquiring, according to information such as phone number, communication base stations, carry out data normalization processing, solve the problem of personnel's monomer identification, than based on person-time data acquisition technology more accurate; 3) use regional location, communication base station position, the current communication cell of living in of visitor as the key element of position calculation, with this, calculate visitor's current location; 4) according to the different ownership place of phone number, distinguish local visitor and nonlocal visitor, and based on this, carry out volume of the flow of passengers estimation.
embodiment eight
With region, Tunxi Old Street, the Huangshan volume of the flow of passengers, be estimated as example below, calculate the visitor that at 10 o'clock in the morning, ownership place was Jiangsu Province (hereinafter to be referred as quantity estimate visitor's quantity that at 11 o'clock in the morning, J001 region ownership place was Jiangsu Province Jiangsu visitor).
The communication cell that covers in this example region, Tunxi Old Street, Huangshan is numbered J001, and the communication cell numbering that covers 4 orientation zone in adjacent all directions is respectively J002, J003, J004, J005.
Collecting current is 150 people in the Jiangsu in J001 region mobile phone quantity, the 30 minutes Jiangsu visitor's departure rates in J001 region are 30%, point-11 45 minutes Jiangsu, J001 region visitor's residence times in the mornings 9, the Jiangsu visitor's number being advanced to J001 region by J002, J003, J004, J005 region is respectively 20 people, 30 people, 40 people, 25 people, 30 minutes admission rates of Jiangsu visitor that J002, J003, J004, J005 region enter J001 region are respectively 10%, 20%, 15%,8%, Jiangsu Province mobile phone popularity rate is 68%.Above data substitution appraising model, Jiangsu, J001 region at 11 o'clock in known morning visitor's quantity is: 179 people.In this example, the 30 minutes Jiangsu visitor's departure rates in J001 region are dynamic corrected parameter, Jiangsu visitor's number in the actual J001 of the leaving region collecting according to 11 o'clock is on-the-fly modified, and calculate average according to the departure rate of nearest 7 days, for the same period estimation process of next time.
In this example, J002, J003, J004,30 minutes admission rates of Jiangsu visitor that J005 region enters J001 region are dynamic corrected parameter, Jiangsu visitor's number in the actual J001 of the entering region collecting according at 11 o'clock in the morning is dynamically revised, and calculated average according to the departure rate of nearest 7 days, for the estimation process of next time with the period.
The present embodiment is the concrete application of embodiment six and embodiment seven, has whole beneficial effects of above-described embodiment, no longer repeats herein.
One of ordinary skill in the art will appreciate that: all or part of step that realizes said method embodiment can complete by the relevant hardware of program command, aforesaid program can be stored in read/write memory medium, this program, when carrying out, is carried out the step that comprises said method embodiment; And aforesaid storage medium comprises: various media that can be program code stored such as ROM, RAM, magnetic disc, CD, network node, schedulers.
Finally it should be noted that: the foregoing is only the preferred embodiments of the present invention, be not limited to the present invention, although the present invention is had been described in detail with reference to previous embodiment, for a person skilled in the art, its technical scheme that still can record aforementioned each embodiment is modified, or part technical characterictic is wherein equal to replacement.Within the spirit and principles in the present invention all, any modification of doing, be equal to replacement, improvement etc., within all should being included in protection scope of the present invention.

Claims (11)

1. a region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device, is characterized in that, comprising:
Data acquisition module, for gathering the user terminal information in Nei Ge base station cell, default geographic area, described user terminal information comprises the sign of user terminal number, information gathering time and base station cell of living in;
Volume of the flow of passengers analysis module, for according to the sign of described user terminal number, information gathering time and base station cell, obtains the user terminal quantity of Target cell, may be by the user terminal quantity of target approach community;
Acquisition module, for according to the user terminal quantity of the user terminal quantity of described Target cell, described possibility target approach community, obtains the volume of the flow of passengers of following Preset Time section internal object community;
Wherein, described volume of the flow of passengers analysis module, also for according to described may target approach the user terminal quantity of community, and the user terminal quantity of actual target approach community, obtains the admission rate that unit interval user arrives Target cell;
Described acquisition module, specifically for according to the user terminal quantity of described Target cell, the user terminal quantity of described possibility target approach community, the admission rate that unit interval user arrives Target cell, obtains the volume of the flow of passengers of following Preset Time section internal object community;
Wherein, described volume of the flow of passengers analysis module, also for the sign in the residing base station cell of different time points according to some user terminals, obtains user terminal and is detained the unit interval of Target cell and the departure rate of unit interval user terminal;
In described acquisition module, the volume of the flow of passengers M of following Preset Time internal object community is:
M(t1)=∑((M1-M1×(t1/T)×O+M2×(t1/T)×I)/P)
Wherein, t1 is following Preset Time; M1 is active user's terminal quantity of Target cell; T is the unit interval that user terminal is detained Target cell; O is the departure rate of unit interval user terminal; M2 is possible by the user terminal quantity of target approach community; I is the admission rate that unit interval user terminal arrives Target cell, the terminal popularity rate that P is user to be analyzed.
2. device according to claim 1, is characterized in that:
Described volume of the flow of passengers analysis module, specifically for the latitude and longitude coordinates in the residing base station cell of different time points according to user terminal, the direct of travel of judgement user terminal, obtaining may be by the user terminal quantity of target approach community.
3. device according to claim 1 and 2, is characterized in that, further comprises:
Ownership place enquiry module, for according to the database of the number of described user terminal and operator's support system, inquires about the ownership place of each user terminal;
Described volume of the flow of passengers analysis module, for obtaining the user terminal quantity of the default ownership place in Target cell, may be by the user terminal quantity of the default ownership place of target approach community;
Acquisition module, for obtaining the volume of the flow of passengers of the default ownership place of following Preset Time section internal object community.
4. device according to claim 1 and 2, is characterized in that, also comprises:
Parameter arranges module, and for the frequency and the mode of data acquisition are set, described mode specifically comprises incremental crawler and/or full dose collection;
And/or described volume of the flow of passengers analysis module further comprises: standardized format submodule, and for the user terminal information obtaining from different systems platform is converted into consolidation form and merges.
5. device according to claim 1 and 2, is characterized in that:
Described user terminal comprises: GSM standard mobile phone terminal, CDMA standard mobile phone terminal, WCDMA standard mobile phone terminal, and/or TD-SCDMA standard mobile phone terminal.
And/or described base station comprises GSM mobile communication base station, cdma mobile communication base station, Wireless BP-base, digital cluster communication base station, and/or PHS wireless access communication base station.
6. device according to claim 1 and 2, is characterized in that, also comprises:
Unloading module, for the data file after gather merging is uploaded and dumped to computing system at every turn, is used for computing system;
And/or acquisition monitoring and alarm module, for to the CPU of acquisition system, internal memory, network utilization, whether acquisition plan is normally carried out and is monitored and alarm;
And/or storage control module, information and estimation object information for before the estimation of the storage control system storage volume of the flow of passengers, carry out memory space control by storage policy;
And/or release module, for by figure and form, with Computer Browser, SMS, or the mode such as multimedia message, to system end user publishing region volume of the flow of passengers estimation result.
7. comprise in claim 1-6 a system for region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring device described in any one, it is characterized in that, also comprise user terminal and communication base station:
Described user terminal and communication base station carry out identification log, and the HLR in base station system or the automatic more current positional information of new record mobile phone of VLR.
8. a region volume of the flow of passengers monitoring method, is characterized in that, comprising:
User terminal information in pickup area in each base station cell, described user terminal information comprises the sign of user terminal number, information gathering time and base station cell of living in;
According to the sign of described user terminal number, information gathering time and base station cell, obtain the user terminal quantity of Target cell, may be by the user terminal quantity of target approach community;
According to the user terminal quantity of the user terminal quantity of described Target cell, described possibility target approach community, obtain the volume of the flow of passengers of following Preset Time section internal object community;
Wherein, described obtaining may specifically comprise the step of the user terminal quantity of target approach community: according to the user terminal quantity of described possibility target approach community, with the user terminal quantity of actual target approach community, obtain the admission rate that unit interval user arrives Target cell;
The described step of obtaining the volume of the flow of passengers of following Preset Time section internal object community specifically comprises: according to the user terminal quantity of described Target cell, the user terminal quantity of described possibility target approach community, the admission rate that unit interval user arrives Target cell, obtain the volume of the flow of passengers of following Preset Time section internal object community;
Wherein, the described step of obtaining the user terminal quantity of Target cell also comprises: the sign according to some user terminals in the residing base station cell of different time points, and obtain user terminal and be detained the unit interval of Target cell and the departure rate of unit interval user terminal;
The described step of obtaining the volume of the flow of passengers of following Preset Time section internal object community specifically comprises: the volume of the flow of passengers M of following Preset Time internal object community is:
M(t1)=∑((M1-M1×(t1/T)×O+M2×(t1/T)×I)/P)
Wherein, t1 is following Preset Time; M1 is active user's terminal quantity of Target cell; T is the unit interval that user terminal is detained Target cell; O is the departure rate of unit interval user terminal; M2 is possible by the user terminal quantity of target approach community; I is the admission rate that unit interval user terminal arrives Target cell, the terminal popularity rate that P is user to be analyzed.
9. method according to claim 8, is characterized in that, described in obtain and the step of the user terminal quantity of target approach community specifically may be comprised:
Latitude and longitude coordinates according to user terminal in the residing base station cell of different time points, the direct of travel of judgement user terminal, obtaining may be by the user terminal quantity of target approach community.
10. method according to claim 8 or claim 9, is characterized in that, after the step of the user terminal information in described pickup area in each base station cell, also comprises:
According to the database of the number of described user terminal and operator's support system, inquire about the ownership place of each user terminal;
Described obtaining may specifically comprise the step of the user terminal quantity of target approach community: obtain the user terminal quantity of default ownership place in Target cell, and may be by the user terminal quantity of the default ownership place of target approach community;
The described step of obtaining the volume of the flow of passengers of following Preset Time section internal object community specifically comprises: the volume of the flow of passengers of obtaining the default ownership place of following Preset Time section internal object community.
11. methods according to claim 8 or claim 9, is characterized in that, also comprise:
The frequency and the mode of data acquisition are set, and described mode specifically comprises incremental crawler and/or full dose collection; And/or the user terminal information obtaining from different systems platform is converted into consolidation form and merges.
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