CN110991051A - Remote guidance rocket projectile drop point prediction system based on experimental design and Kriging model - Google Patents

Remote guidance rocket projectile drop point prediction system based on experimental design and Kriging model Download PDF

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CN110991051A
CN110991051A CN201911240135.4A CN201911240135A CN110991051A CN 110991051 A CN110991051 A CN 110991051A CN 201911240135 A CN201911240135 A CN 201911240135A CN 110991051 A CN110991051 A CN 110991051A
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rocket projectile
drop point
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guided rocket
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CN110991051B (en
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赵强
王佳佳
于林宇
王东豪
李娜
李世成
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Beijing Jinghang Computing Communication Research Institute
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Abstract

The invention belongs to the technical field of guided rocket drop point prediction, and particularly relates to a remote guided rocket drop point prediction system based on test design and a Kriging model. For the drop point prediction corresponding to the arc-rising section, the selected correlation functions include a Spline function, a Matern function and a Cubic function; for the drop point prediction corresponding to the arc-dropping segment, the selected correlation functions include a Spline function, a Matern function, a Gauss function and a Cubic function. The invention provides an effective scheme for the trajectory correction control system of the remotely guided rocket projectile to predict the drop point in real time.

Description

Remote guidance rocket projectile drop point prediction system based on experimental design and Kriging model
Technical Field
The invention belongs to the technical field of guided rocket drop point prediction, and particularly relates to a remote guided rocket drop point prediction system based on test design and a Kriging model.
Background
The core technology for realizing the accurate striking of the remotely guided rocket projectile is trajectory correction, and the drop point prediction guidance is one of the main methods of trajectory correction. The method for rapidly and accurately predicting the projectile drop point is one of key technologies of drop point prediction guidance, and the accuracy and the real-time performance of the method can directly influence the ballistic trajectory correction effect. Common methods for predicting the drop point include numerical integration, linearization and filter extrapolation.
The numerical integration method is a method for obtaining a drop point through an iterative ballistic program on the basis of an established ballistic model, and the most typical ballistic model is a six-degree-of-freedom model. Theoretically, the drop point obtained by calculation through a six-degree-of-freedom ballistic model is the most accurate, but in the calculation process, a large amount of time is consumed for tedious iteration, and the requirement on hardware is high, so that a numerical integration method generally adopts ballistic models with other degrees of freedom, such as a four-degree-of-freedom model, a three-degree-of-freedom model and a two-degree-of-freedom model.
The linearization method is a method for obtaining a linear ballistic equation system by approximately linearizing a nonlinear outer ballistic model, solving an analytical solution of the linear ballistic equation system, and predicting a projectile drop point by using the analytical solution. The linearization method can quickly predict the projectile landing point, but is insufficient in accuracy.
The filtering extrapolation method is a method for extrapolating a rocket drop point through an established filtering trajectory model. Because the theoretical basis of the filtering extrapolation method is established on a linear system and a Gaussian noise environment, certain errors are inevitably generated when the method is used for a nonlinear system of a flight trajectory, and even filtering divergence is caused when the noise is non-Gaussian noise.
Compared with the short-range guided rocket projectile, the long-range guided rocket projectile has the advantages of longer range, larger ballistic height and longer flight time. Under the condition, if the numerical integration method is still adopted to predict the drop point of the remotely guided rocket projectile, the real-time requirement cannot be met at all, and the linear method cannot meet the precision requirement. Meanwhile, compared with an outer ballistic model of the short-range guided rocket projectile, the relatively accurate outer ballistic model of the long-range guided rocket projectile needs to comprehensively consider the influences of gravity eccentricity, surface curvature, the change of gravity acceleration along with height and latitude, Coriolis inertia force and other factors, and the influencing factors are determined by the latitude, the elevation and the shooting direction of a gun position, so that the influence of launching conditions needs to be considered when the drop point of the long-range guided rocket projectile is predicted. The method for predicting the drop point of the remotely guided rocket projectile under any launching condition has practical significance.
Disclosure of Invention
Technical problem to be solved
The technical problem to be solved by the invention is as follows: how to utilize the optimized Latin hypercube test design and the Kriging model to carry out high-precision rapid prediction on the drop point of the remotely guided rocket projectile.
(II) technical scheme
In order to solve the technical problem, the invention provides a remote guidance rocket projectile drop point prediction system based on experimental design and a Kriging model, which comprises: the system comprises an equation set establishing module, a mathematical model establishing module, a sample acquiring module, a training module and a loading module; the system comprises an equation set establishing module, an equation set establishing module and a data processing module, wherein the equation set establishing module is used for establishing a remote rocket projectile motion equation set;
the mathematical model building module is used for building a nonlinear mathematical model for the drop point prediction of the remotely guided rocket projectile;
the sample acquisition module is used for acquiring a training sample and a test sample;
the training module is used for selecting a proper correlation function of the Kriging model to train samples corresponding to the rising arc section and the falling arc section;
the loading module is used for loading the drop point prediction model meeting the requirements of precision and instantaneity into the missile-borne computer.
In the working process of the equation set establishing module, the remote guided rocket projectile is supposed to be predicted according to the landing point of the uncontrolled ballistic flight, and an uncontrolled ballistic mathematical model in the longitudinal plane of the remote guided rocket projectile is used as a remote rocket projectile motion equation set as follows:
Figure BDA0002305980840000031
in the formula: m is the flight quality of the remotely guided rocket projectile; t is time; vxAnd VyTwo velocity components under a ground coordinate system; omegaix1、ωiy1And ωiz1The three components of the rotating angular velocity vector of the projectile body relative to a translation coordinate system are in the projectile body coordinate system; j. the design is a squarex1、Jy1And Jz1Respectively the polar moment of inertia, the equatorial moment of inertia and the equatorial moment of inertia of the remotely guided rocket projectile; omegaeThe angular speed of the rotation of the earth axis; omegaex、ωeyAnd ωezIs omegaeThree components in a transmission coordinate system;
Figure BDA0002305980840000036
and theta is the pitch angle and ballistic inclination angle respectively, α is the angle of attack;
Figure BDA0002305980840000037
p is engine thrust; q is dynamic pressure; srefAnd LrefRespectively a reference area and a reference length; cxAnd CyRespectively a drag coefficient and a lift coefficient; x and y are two position components under a ground coordinate system; r0xAnd R0yTwo components of the emission point geocentric radial under an emission coordinate system are taken as the emission point; r is the model of the geocentric radial of any point on the trajectory; gr' is the component of the acceleration of the earth's gravity along the radial direction of the earth's center;
Figure BDA0002305980840000032
is the component of the acceleration of the gravity along the earth axis direction; l is0Is the geocentric latitude of the transmitting point; a. the0Is the transmit azimuth;
Figure BDA0002305980840000033
is the rate of change of the static moment coefficient with α;
Figure BDA0002305980840000034
for damping moment coefficient
Figure BDA0002305980840000035
Of wherein
Figure BDA0002305980840000041
mcIs the rate of change of the mass of the engine over time.
In the working process of the mathematical model establishing module, a nonlinear mathematical model for predicting the drop point of the remotely guided rocket projectile under the standard meteorological condition is established, and the dependent variable of the nonlinear mathematical model is the drop point YRAnd the independent variables are parameters of launching condition and flight state, including the latitude B of the gun position0Altitude H of gun location0Shoot to ATElevation H of target pointT、Vx、Vy、x、y、
Figure BDA0002305980840000042
The basic form is:
Figure BDA0002305980840000044
in the working process of the sample acquisition module, the training sample and the test sample are acquired based on the optimized Latin hypercube test design and the remotely guided rocket projectile motion equation set.
Wherein, in the working process of the sample acquisition module,
as the acquisition method of the training sample and the test sample is the same, only the acquisition method of the training sample is given, and the method comprises the following steps:
s301: using optimized latin hypercube pairs including the latitude of the gun position B0Height H of gun position0Shoot to ATDistance XGElevation H of target pointTMedicine temperature TSCarrying out numerical test design on all the factors, wherein the value ranges of 6 factors are given according to the launching conditions and the range capability of the remotely guided rocket projectile;
s302: for each in S301A numerical test point, calculating specific emission conditions B0、H0、AT、HTAnd TSAt a given range XGEach test point corresponds to a trajectory at a corresponding shooting angle under the standard meteorological condition;
s303: for each test point in S302, the flight data of the remote rocket projectile is output at regular intervals by taking the engine shutdown time as a starting point, wherein the flight data comprises Vx、Vy、x、y、
Figure BDA0002305980840000043
ωz1An internal ballistic parameter;
s304: randomly generating a corresponding attack angle aiming at the flight data output each time in the S303, giving the change range of the attack angle according to the change range of the attack angle of the remotely guided rocket projectile at different stages in the actual flight process, and utilizing a formula
Figure BDA0002305980840000051
Recalculating the pitch angle in each flight data and comparing the pitch angle in each flight data in S303
Figure BDA0002305980840000052
Replacing with the latest pitch angle;
s305: and for the flight data and the corresponding launching conditions in the S304, recalculating the drop points corresponding to the flight data under the standard meteorological conditions by using a ballistic simulation mode in a longitudinal plane, and dividing the drop points into two groups according to the modes of the rising arc section samples and the falling arc section samples.
Wherein, the training module is suitable for the correlation function of Kriging model of drop point prediction corresponding to ballistic arc rising section and drop arc section in the working process,
for the drop point prediction corresponding to the arc-rising section, the selected correlation function comprises: a Spline function, a Matern function and a Cubic function;
for the drop point prediction corresponding to the arc-dropping segment, the selected correlation function comprises: a Spline function, a Matern function, a Gauss function, and a Cubic function.
The value range of the non-negative integer q of the Matern function is 3-5.
The system can accurately and quickly predict the drop point of the remotely guided rocket projectile under any launching condition.
(III) advantageous effects
In order to solve the urgent need of fast and high-precision prediction of the drop point of the remotely guided rocket, the invention provides a system for predicting the drop point of the remotely guided rocket based on an optimized Latin hypercube test design and a Kriging model.
Drawings
FIG. 1 is a flow chart of remotely guided rocket projectile drop point prediction under standard meteorological conditions.
FIG. 2 is a graph of the prediction accuracy of a Kriging model with a correlation function of a Matern function to a drop point as a function of a non-negative integer q.
Detailed Description
In order to make the objects, contents, and advantages of the present invention clearer, the following detailed description of the embodiments of the present invention will be made in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and examples.
In order to solve the technical problem, the invention provides a remote guidance rocket projectile drop point prediction system based on experimental design and a Kriging model, which comprises: the system comprises an equation set establishing module, a mathematical model establishing module, a sample acquiring module, a training module and a loading module; the system comprises an equation set establishing module, an equation set establishing module and a data processing module, wherein the equation set establishing module is used for establishing a remote rocket projectile motion equation set;
the mathematical model building module is used for building a nonlinear mathematical model for the drop point prediction of the remotely guided rocket projectile;
the sample acquisition module is used for acquiring a training sample and a test sample;
the training module is used for selecting a proper correlation function of the Kriging model to train samples corresponding to the rising arc section and the falling arc section;
the loading module is used for loading the drop point prediction model meeting the requirements of precision and instantaneity into the missile-borne computer.
In the working process of the equation set establishing module, the remote guided rocket projectile is supposed to be predicted according to the landing point of the uncontrolled ballistic flight, and an uncontrolled ballistic mathematical model in the longitudinal plane of the remote guided rocket projectile is used as a remote rocket projectile motion equation set as follows:
Figure BDA0002305980840000061
Figure BDA0002305980840000071
in the formula: m is the flight quality of the remotely guided rocket projectile; t is time; vxAnd VyTwo velocity components under a ground coordinate system; omegaix1、ωiy1And ωiz1The three components of the rotating angular velocity vector of the projectile body relative to a translation coordinate system are in the projectile body coordinate system; j. the design is a squarex1、Jy1And Jz1Respectively the polar moment of inertia, the equatorial moment of inertia and the equatorial moment of inertia of the remotely guided rocket projectile; omegaeThe angular speed of the rotation of the earth axis; omegaex、ωeyAnd ωezIs omegaeThree components in a transmission coordinate system;
Figure BDA0002305980840000072
and theta is the pitch angle and ballistic inclination angle respectively, α is the angle of attack;
Figure BDA0002305980840000073
p is engine thrust; q is dynamic pressure; srefAnd LrefRespectively a reference area and a reference length; cxAnd CyRespectively a drag coefficient and a lift coefficient; x and y are two position components under a ground coordinate system; r0xAnd R0yTwo components of the emission point geocentric radial under an emission coordinate system are taken as the emission point; r is the model of the geocentric radial of any point on the trajectory; gr' is the component of the acceleration of the earth's gravity along the radial direction of the earth's center;
Figure BDA0002305980840000074
is the component of the acceleration of the gravity along the earth axis direction; l is0Is the geocentric latitude of the transmitting point; a. the0Is the transmit azimuth;
Figure BDA0002305980840000075
is the rate of change of the static moment coefficient with α;
Figure BDA0002305980840000076
for damping moment coefficient
Figure BDA0002305980840000077
Of wherein
Figure BDA0002305980840000078
mcIs the rate of change of the mass of the engine over time.
In the working process of the mathematical model establishing module, a nonlinear mathematical model for predicting the drop point of the remotely guided rocket projectile under the standard meteorological condition is established, and the dependent variable of the nonlinear mathematical model is the drop point YRAnd the independent variables are parameters of launching condition and flight state, including the latitude B of the gun position0Altitude H of gun location0Shoot to ATElevation H of target pointT、Vx、Vy、x、y、
Figure BDA0002305980840000079
The basic form is:
Figure BDA00023059808400000710
in the working process of the sample acquisition module, the training sample and the test sample are acquired based on the optimized Latin hypercube test design and the remotely guided rocket projectile motion equation set.
Wherein, in the working process of the sample acquisition module,
as the acquisition method of the training sample and the test sample is the same, only the acquisition method of the training sample is given, and the method comprises the following steps:
s301: using optimized latin hypercube pairs including the latitude of the gun position B0Height H of gun position0Shoot to ATDistance XGElevation H of target pointTMedicine temperature TSCarrying out numerical test design on all the factors, wherein the value ranges of 6 factors are given according to the launching conditions and the range capability of the remotely guided rocket projectile;
s302: calculating a specific transmission condition B for each numerical test point in S3010、H0、AT、HTAnd TSAt a given range XGEach test point corresponds to a trajectory at a corresponding shooting angle under the standard meteorological condition;
s303: for each test point in S302, the flight data of the remote rocket projectile is output at regular intervals by taking the engine shutdown time as a starting point, wherein the flight data comprises Vx、Vy、x、y、
Figure BDA0002305980840000081
ωz1An internal ballistic parameter;
s304: randomly generating a corresponding attack angle aiming at the flight data output each time in the S303, giving the change range of the attack angle according to the change range of the attack angle of the remotely guided rocket projectile at different stages in the actual flight process, and utilizing a formula
Figure BDA0002305980840000082
Recalculating the pitch angle in each flight data and comparing the pitch angle in each flight data in S303
Figure BDA0002305980840000083
Replacing with the latest pitch angle;
s305: and for the flight data and the corresponding launching conditions in the S304, recalculating the drop points corresponding to the flight data under the standard meteorological conditions by using a ballistic simulation mode in a longitudinal plane, and dividing the drop points into two groups according to the modes of the rising arc section samples and the falling arc section samples.
Wherein, the training module is suitable for the correlation function of Kriging model of drop point prediction corresponding to ballistic arc rising section and drop arc section in the working process,
for the drop point prediction corresponding to the arc-rising section, the selected correlation function comprises: a Spline function, a Matern function and a Cubic function;
for the drop point prediction corresponding to the arc-dropping segment, the selected correlation function comprises: a Spline function, a Matern function, a Gauss function, and a Cubic function.
The value range of the non-negative integer q of the Matern function is 3-5.
The system can accurately and quickly predict the drop point of the remotely guided rocket projectile under any launching condition.
In addition, the invention also provides a remote guidance rocket projectile drop point prediction method based on experimental design and a Kriging model, the method can accurately and rapidly predict the remote guidance rocket projectile drop point under any launching condition, as shown in figure 1, the method comprises the following steps:
step 1: establishing a remote rocket projectile motion equation set;
step 2: establishing a nonlinear mathematical model for predicting the landing point of the remotely guided rocket projectile;
and step 3: acquiring a training sample and a test sample;
and 4, step 4: selecting a proper correlation function of the Kriging model to train samples corresponding to the rising arc section and the falling arc section;
and 5: and loading the drop point prediction model meeting the requirements of precision and real-time performance into the missile-borne computer.
In the step 1, it is assumed that the remotely guided rocket projectile is predicted according to a landing point of the uncontrolled ballistic flight, and an uncontrolled ballistic mathematical model in a longitudinal plane of the remotely guided rocket projectile is used as a motion equation set of the remotely guided rocket projectile, and the motion equation set comprises the following steps:
Figure BDA0002305980840000101
in the formula: m is a distanceThe flight quality of the guided rocket projectile; t is time; vxAnd VyTwo velocity components under a ground coordinate system; omegaix1、ωiy1And ωiz1The three components of the rotating angular velocity vector of the projectile body relative to a translation coordinate system are in the projectile body coordinate system; j. the design is a squarex1、Jy1And Jz1Respectively the polar moment of inertia, the equatorial moment of inertia and the equatorial moment of inertia of the remotely guided rocket projectile; omegaeThe angular speed of the rotation of the earth axis; omegaex、ωeyAnd ωezIs omegaeThree components in a transmission coordinate system;
Figure BDA0002305980840000102
and theta is the pitch angle and ballistic inclination angle respectively, α is the angle of attack;
Figure BDA0002305980840000103
p is engine thrust; q is dynamic pressure; srefAnd LrefRespectively a reference area and a reference length; cxAnd CyRespectively a drag coefficient and a lift coefficient; x and y are two position components under a ground coordinate system; r0xAnd R0yTwo components of the emission point geocentric radial under an emission coordinate system are taken as the emission point; r is the model of the geocentric radial of any point on the trajectory; gr' is the component of the acceleration of the earth's gravity along the radial direction of the earth's center;
Figure BDA0002305980840000104
is the component of the acceleration of the gravity along the earth axis direction; l is0Is the geocentric latitude of the transmitting point; a. the0Is the transmit azimuth;
Figure BDA0002305980840000105
is the rate of change of the static moment coefficient with α;
Figure BDA0002305980840000106
for damping moment coefficient
Figure BDA0002305980840000107
Of the rate of change ofIn
Figure BDA0002305980840000111
mcIs the rate of change of the mass of the engine over time.
In the step 2, the nonlinear mathematical model for the remote guidance rocket projectile landing point prediction comprehensively considers launching condition factors and flight state parameters influencing the remote guidance rocket projectile landing point prediction precision under standard meteorological conditions, wherein the launching condition factors comprise a shot space latitude, a shot space elevation, a shot direction and a target point elevation, and the flight state parameters comprise the speed and the position in the x direction and the y direction and a pitch angle under a ground coordinate system;
a nonlinear mathematical model for predicting the drop point of the remotely guided rocket projectile under the standard meteorological condition is established, and the dependent variable is the drop point YRAnd the independent variables are parameters of launching condition and flight state, including the latitude B of the gun position0Altitude H of gun location0Shoot to ATElevation H of target pointT、Vx、Vy、x、y、
Figure BDA0002305980840000112
The basic form is:
Figure BDA0002305980840000113
in the step 3, the training samples and the test samples are obtained by the method based on the optimized Latin hypercube test design and the remotely guided rocket projectile motion equation set.
Wherein, in the step 3,
as the acquisition method of the training sample and the test sample is the same, only the acquisition method of the training sample is given, and the method comprises the following steps:
s301: using optimized latin hypercube pairs including the latitude of the gun position B0Height H of gun position0Shoot to ATDistance XGElevation H of target pointTMedicine temperature TSThe numerical experiment design is carried out on various factorsThe value ranges of the 6 factors are given according to the launching conditions and the range capability of the remotely guided rocket projectile;
s302: calculating a specific transmission condition B for each numerical test point in S3010、H0、AT、HTAnd TSAt a given range XGEach test point corresponds to a trajectory at a corresponding shooting angle under the standard meteorological condition;
s303: for each test point in S302, the flight data of the remote rocket projectile is output at regular intervals by taking the engine shutdown time as a starting point, wherein the flight data comprises Vx、Vy、x、y、
Figure BDA0002305980840000121
ωz1An internal ballistic parameter;
s304: randomly generating a corresponding attack angle aiming at the flight data output each time in the S303, giving the change range of the attack angle according to the change range of the attack angle of the remotely guided rocket projectile at different stages in the actual flight process, and utilizing a formula
Figure BDA0002305980840000122
Recalculating the pitch angle in each flight data and comparing the pitch angle in each flight data in S303
Figure BDA0002305980840000123
Replacing with the latest pitch angle;
s305: and for the flight data and the corresponding launching conditions in the S304, recalculating the drop points corresponding to the flight data under the standard meteorological conditions by using a ballistic simulation mode in a longitudinal plane, and dividing the drop points into two groups according to the modes of the rising arc section samples and the falling arc section samples.
Wherein, in the step 4, the method is suitable for the correlation function of the Kriging model for predicting the drop points corresponding to the ballistic arc-rising section and the ballistic arc-falling section,
for the drop point prediction corresponding to the arc-rising section, the selected correlation function comprises: a Spline function, a Matern function and a Cubic function;
for the drop point prediction corresponding to the arc-dropping segment, the selected correlation function comprises: a Spline function, a Matern function, a Gauss function, and a Cubic function.
The value range of the non-negative integer q of the Matern function is 3-5.
Example 1
In the embodiment, a high-precision rapid prediction method for a remotely guided rocket projectile landing point based on an optimized latin hypercube test design and a Kriging model is provided, as shown in fig. 1, the method comprises the following steps:
s1: and establishing a motion equation set of the remotely guided rocket projectile. The drop point of a remotely guided rocket projectile is primarily determined by motion in the longitudinal plane. On the basis of carrying out stress analysis on the remotely guided rocket projectile, a relatively accurate motion model in a longitudinal plane of the remotely guided rocket projectile is established by combining the conventional ballistic model and based on the principle of being as accurate as possible, and the model comprehensively considers the influences of gravity eccentricity, surface curvature, gravity acceleration along with the change of height and latitude, Coriolis inertia force and the like. Meanwhile, the invention mainly researches the remotely guided rocket projectile according to a drop point prediction method of the uncontrolled ballistic flight, so that only an uncontrolled ballistic mathematical model in a longitudinal plane is given:
Figure BDA0002305980840000131
in the formula: m is the flight quality of the remotely guided rocket projectile; t is time; vxAnd VyTwo velocity components under a ground coordinate system; omegaix1、ωiy1And ωiz1The three components of the rotating angular velocity vector of the projectile body relative to a translation coordinate system are in the projectile body coordinate system; j. the design is a squarex1、Jy1And Jz1Respectively the polar moment of inertia, the equatorial moment of inertia and the equatorial moment of inertia of the remotely guided rocket projectile; omegaeThe angular speed of the rotation of the earth axis; omegaex、ωeyAnd ωezIs omegaeThree components in a transmission coordinate system;
Figure BDA0002305980840000132
and theta is the pitch angle and ballistic inclination angle respectively, α is the angle of attack;
Figure BDA0002305980840000133
p is engine thrust; q is dynamic pressure; srefAnd LrefRespectively a reference area and a reference length; cxAnd CyRespectively a drag coefficient and a lift coefficient; x and y are two position components under a ground coordinate system; r0xAnd R0yTwo components of the emission point geocentric radial under an emission coordinate system are taken as the emission point; r is the model of the geocentric radial of any point on the trajectory; gr' is the component of the acceleration of the earth's gravity along the radial direction of the earth's center;
Figure BDA0002305980840000141
is the component of the acceleration of the gravity along the earth axis direction; l is0Is the geocentric latitude of the transmitting point; a. the0Is the transmit azimuth;
Figure BDA0002305980840000142
is the rate of change of the static moment coefficient with α;
Figure BDA0002305980840000143
for damping moment coefficient
Figure BDA0002305980840000144
Of wherein
Figure BDA0002305980840000145
mcIs the rate of change of the mass of the engine over time.
S2: and establishing a nonlinear mathematical model for predicting the landing point of the remotely guided rocket projectile. Analyzing the equation set of motion of the remotely guided rocket projectile established in the step S1, wherein under the standard meteorological condition, when the engine of the remotely guided rocket projectile is shut down, the drop point of the remotely guided rocket projectile is mainly determined by the current flight state parameters and the stress condition, wherein the flight state parameters include the velocity V under the ground coordinate systemxAnd VyPosition x and y in the ground coordinate system, pitchCorner
Figure BDA0002305980840000146
Pitch angle rate omegaz1. For the remote guidance rocket projectile, the pitch angle speed in the longitudinal plane is small, and the influence on the drop point is small, so that the influence of the pitch angle speed can be ignored when the drop point of the remote guidance rocket projectile is predicted. For the stress condition of the current flight state, besides the influence of the current flight state parameters, the stress condition is mainly influenced by the latitude of a gun position, the altitude of the gun position and the direction. Of course, the landing point of the remote rocket projectile is also related to the elevation of the target point. The analysis result is integrated to establish a nonlinear mathematical model for predicting the drop point of the remotely guided rocket projectile under the standard meteorological condition, and the dependent variable is the drop point YRAnd the independent variables are parameters of launching condition and flight state, including the latitude B of the gun position0Altitude H of gun location0Shoot to ATElevation H of target pointT、Vx、Vy、x、y、
Figure BDA0002305980840000147
The basic form is:
Figure BDA0002305980840000148
s3: training samples and test samples are obtained. Before establishing the non-linear functional relationship between the remotely guided rocket projectile landing point and each influencing factor in the step S2, a training sample and a test sample need to be obtained. Because the acquisition methods of the training sample and the test sample are the same, only the acquisition method of the training sample is given, and the method mainly comprises the following steps:
s301: using optimized Latin hypercube method to measure various factors (including the latitude B of the gun position)0Height H of gun position0Shoot to ATDistance XGElevation H of target pointTMedicine temperature TS) Carrying out numerical test design, wherein the value range of 6 factors is given according to the launching condition and the range capability of the remotely guided rocket projectile;
s302: test for each value in S301Checking point, calculating specific transmitting condition (B)0、H0、AT、HTAnd TS) At a given range (X)G) Each test point corresponds to a trajectory at a corresponding shooting angle under the standard meteorological condition;
s303: for each test point in S302, the flight data (including V) of the remote rocket projectile is output at regular intervals by taking the engine shutdown time as a starting pointx、Vy、x、y、
Figure BDA0002305980840000151
ωz1Equal ballistic parameters);
s304: randomly generating a corresponding attack angle aiming at the flight data output each time in the S303, giving the change range of the attack angle according to the change range of the attack angle of the remotely guided rocket projectile at different stages in the actual flight process, and utilizing a formula
Figure BDA0002305980840000152
Recalculating the pitch angle in each flight data and comparing the pitch angle in each flight data in S303
Figure BDA0002305980840000153
Replacing with the latest pitch angle;
s305: and for the flight data and the corresponding launching conditions in the S304, recalculating the drop points corresponding to the flight data under the standard meteorological conditions by using a ballistic simulation program in a longitudinal plane, and dividing the drop points into two groups according to the mode of the rising arc section samples and the falling arc section samples.
S4: and selecting a correlation function to construct a Kriging model. And selecting a proper Kriging model correlation function for training the training sample in the step S3. Common correlation functions include Cubic function (Cubic), exponential function (Exp), gaussian function (Gauss), linear function (Lin), Spherical function (sphere), Spline function (Spline), and the like, as shown in table 1. In addition to the usual correlation functions described above, the Matern correlation function may be more efficient. When the positive parameter v takes a half integer, i.e. v q +1/2, where q is a non-negative integer, the expression of the Matern correlation function becomes very simple. In this case, the Matern correlation function becomes the product of an exponential function and a polynomial of order q:
Figure BDA0002305980840000161
in the formula: r (theta, x)(i),x(j)) Representing the training sample point x for the correlation function with the parameter theta(i)And x(j)Spatial correlation between them;
Figure BDA0002305980840000162
NDvis x(i)Dimension (d) of (a).
For the drop point prediction corresponding to the rising arc section, the selected correlation functions include a Spline function, a Matern function (the value of the non-negative integer q is 3-5) and a Cubic function, and for the drop point prediction corresponding to the falling arc section, the selected correlation functions include the Spline function, the Matern function (the value of the non-negative integer q is 3-5), a Gauss function and the Cubic function. When the training error meets the requirement or the iteration reaches a certain number of times, extracting a drop point prediction model, testing the prediction precision and the real-time property by using a test sample, outputting the drop point prediction model if the drop point prediction model meets the precision and the real-time property requirement, modifying the type of a correlation function or properly increasing the number of training samples if the drop point prediction model cannot meet the precision or the real-time property requirement, training a new sample, and repeating the process until the drop point prediction model meets the precision and the real-time property requirement at the same time.
S5: the non-linear functional relationship between the drop point and each influencing factor in step S4 is loaded into the missile-borne computer.
S6: during actual flight of the remotely guided rocket projectile, for any given B0、H0、AT、HT、Vx、Vy、x、y、
Figure BDA0002305980840000171
The corresponding drop point can be obtained through the non-linear function relationship in step S5.
Example 2
In this embodiment, a long-distance guided rocket projectile is taken as an example, and for an ascending arc section after the shutdown of an engine and a descending arc section before the final guidance, Kriging models with relevant functions of Cubic, Exp, Gauss, Lin, Matern, sphere and Spline are respectively used to verify the method. Aiming at all factors (gun position latitude, gun position elevation, shooting, range, target point elevation and chemical temperature), a test point is selected by adopting an optimized Latin hypercube test design, flight simulation data are output at regular intervals by taking the engine shutdown time as an initial point, and a training sample and a test sample are respectively flight simulation data generated on the basis of 1000 trajectories and 2000 trajectories. The training samples and the test samples are divided into two groups according to the mode of the arc rising section samples and the arc falling section samples.
For the rising arc section after the shutdown of the engine and the falling arc section before the end guidance, the change relation of the prediction precision of the Kriging model with the correlation function of the Matern function to the falling point along with the non-negative integer q is shown in FIG. 2, wherein the regression model part is a 4-order polynomial. When q belongs to [1,4], the drop point prediction precision corresponding to the rising arc section and the falling arc section is improved along with the increase of q, and when q belongs to [1,3], the falling point prediction precision corresponding to the rising arc section and the falling arc section is obviously improved along with the increase of q; when q belongs to [4,7], the drop point prediction precision corresponding to the arc rising section and the arc falling section is slightly reduced along with the increase of q. Taking the drop point prediction corresponding to the arc-rising section as an example, when q is 1, the Maximum Absolute Error (MAE) and the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of the drop point are 356.49m and 40.83m respectively; when q is 3, both fall to 140.15m and 13.44m, respectively; when q is 4, both further fall to 102.11m and 11.76 m; and when q is 7, they are 178.45m and 18.51m, respectively. Compared with the drop point prediction precision corresponding to the arc rising section, the Kriging model with the correlation function being the Matern function has higher prediction precision for the drop point corresponding to the arc falling section.
When the regression model is a 4 th order polynomial, the influence of the 7 correlation functions on the accuracy of the drop point prediction is shown in table 2, where Matern represents the optimal Matern correlation function (i.e., q is 4). When the number of training samples changes, the optimal nonnegative integer q of the Matern correlation function also changes, and a large amount of numerical simulation shows that the value of q is more suitable for 3-5. For the rising arc section and the falling arc section, the related functions have larger influence on the prediction precision of the falling points, the related functions Cubic, Matern and Spline have higher prediction precision on the falling points corresponding to the rising arc section and the falling arc section, a good interpolation result can be obtained mainly because the 3 related functions have good smoothness, the related functions Exp, Gauss, Lin and Spherical only have higher prediction precision on the falling points corresponding to the falling arc section, and the prediction precision of the related functions Exp, Lin and Spherical on the falling points corresponding to the falling arc section is obviously lower than that of the related functions Cubic, Matern and Spline on the falling points corresponding to the falling arc section. For the rising arc section and the falling arc section, the prediction accuracy of the 3 correlation function functions to the falling point is respectively Spline, Matern and Cubic from high to low, wherein the falling point MAE and RMSE corresponding to the correlation function Spline are respectively 83.17m and 10.46m, and 37.76m and 3.13 m. In summary, when the Kriging model is used to predict the drop points corresponding to the rising arc segment and the falling arc segment, the selected correlation functions include Spline, Matern, and Cubic, and if only the drop points corresponding to the falling arc segment are predicted, the Gauss function may also be selected.
TABLE 1
Figure BDA0002305980840000191
In the table:
Figure BDA0002305980840000192
TABLE 2
Figure BDA0002305980840000193
The above description is only a preferred embodiment of the present invention, and it should be noted that, for those skilled in the art, several modifications and variations can be made without departing from the technical principle of the present invention, and these modifications and variations should also be regarded as the protection scope of the present invention.

Claims (8)

1. A system for remotely guided rocket projectile drop point prediction based on design of experiments and Kriging modeling, said system comprising: the system comprises an equation set establishing module, a mathematical model establishing module, a sample acquiring module, a training module and a loading module; wherein,
the equation set establishing module is used for establishing a remote rocket projectile motion equation set;
the mathematical model building module is used for building a nonlinear mathematical model for the drop point prediction of the remotely guided rocket projectile;
the sample acquisition module is used for acquiring a training sample and a test sample;
the training module is used for selecting a proper correlation function of the Kriging model to train samples corresponding to the rising arc section and the falling arc section;
the loading module is used for loading the drop point prediction model meeting the requirements of precision and instantaneity into the missile-borne computer.
2. The trial design and Kriging model-based remotely guided rocket projectile drop point prediction system of claim 1 wherein during operation of the equation set-up module, assuming that the remotely guided rocket projectile is predicted according to the drop point of uncontrolled ballistic flight, the mathematical model of uncontrolled ballistic trajectory in its longitudinal plane is used as the equation set of motion for the remotely guided rocket projectile as follows:
Figure FDA0002305980830000011
in the formula: m is the flight quality of the remotely guided rocket projectile; t is time; vxAnd VyTwo velocity components under a ground coordinate system; omegaix1、ωiy1And ωiz1The three components of the rotating angular velocity vector of the projectile body relative to a translation coordinate system are in the projectile body coordinate system; j. the design is a squarex1、Jy1And Jz1Respectively the polar moment of inertia, the equatorial moment of inertia and the equatorial moment of inertia of the remotely guided rocket projectile; omegaeThe angular speed of the rotation of the earth axis; omegaex、ωeyAnd ωezIs omegaeThree components in a transmission coordinate system;
Figure FDA0002305980830000021
and theta is the pitch angle and ballistic inclination angle respectively, α is the angle of attack;
Figure FDA0002305980830000022
p is engine thrust; q is dynamic pressure; srefAnd LrefRespectively a reference area and a reference length; cxAnd CyRespectively a drag coefficient and a lift coefficient; x and y are two position components under a ground coordinate system; r0xAnd R0yTwo components of the emission point geocentric radial under an emission coordinate system are taken as the emission point; r is the model of the geocentric radial of any point on the trajectory; g'rThe component of the acceleration of the gravity along the direction of the earth center radial;
Figure FDA0002305980830000029
is the component of the acceleration of the gravity along the earth axis direction; l is0Is the geocentric latitude of the transmitting point; a. the0Is the transmit azimuth;
Figure FDA0002305980830000023
is the rate of change of the static moment coefficient with α;
Figure FDA0002305980830000024
for damping moment coefficient
Figure FDA0002305980830000025
Of wherein
Figure FDA0002305980830000026
mcIs the rate of change of the mass of the engine over time.
3. The trial design and Kriging model-based remotely guided rocket launch point prediction system of claim 2, wherein said mathematical model building module is configured to performIn the working process, a nonlinear mathematical model for predicting the drop point of the remotely guided rocket projectile under the standard meteorological condition is established, and the dependent variable is the drop point YRAnd the independent variables are parameters of launching condition and flight state, including the latitude B of the gun position0Altitude H of gun location0Shoot to ATElevation H of target pointT、Vx、Vy、x、y、
Figure FDA0002305980830000027
The basic form is:
Figure FDA0002305980830000028
4. the trial design and Kriging model-based remotely guided rocket projectile drop point prediction system of claim 3, wherein during the operation of the sample acquisition module, the training sample and test sample acquisition method acquires the training sample and test sample based on the optimized Latin hypercube trial design and the remotely guided rocket projectile motion equation set.
5. The design-of-experiment and Kriging model based remotely guided rocket launch point prediction system of claim 4, wherein during operation of said sample acquisition module,
as the acquisition method of the training sample and the test sample is the same, only the acquisition method of the training sample is given, and the method comprises the following steps:
s301: using optimized latin hypercube pairs including the latitude of the gun position B0Height H of gun position0Shoot to ATDistance XGElevation H of target pointTMedicine temperature TSCarrying out numerical test design on all the factors, wherein the value ranges of 6 factors are given according to the launching conditions and the range capability of the remotely guided rocket projectile;
s302: calculating a specific transmission condition B for each numerical test point in S3010、H0、AT、HTAnd TSAt a given range XGEach test point corresponds to a trajectory at a corresponding shooting angle under the standard meteorological condition;
s303: for each test point in S302, the flight data of the remote rocket projectile is output at regular intervals by taking the engine shutdown time as a starting point, wherein the flight data comprises Vx、Vy、x、y、
Figure FDA0002305980830000031
ωz1An internal ballistic parameter;
s304: randomly generating a corresponding attack angle aiming at the flight data output each time in the S303, giving the change range of the attack angle according to the change range of the attack angle of the remotely guided rocket projectile at different stages in the actual flight process, and utilizing a formula
Figure FDA0002305980830000032
Recalculating the pitch angle in each flight data and comparing the pitch angle in each flight data in S303
Figure FDA0002305980830000033
Replacing with the latest pitch angle;
s305: and for the flight data and the corresponding launching conditions in the S304, recalculating the drop points corresponding to the flight data under the standard meteorological conditions by using a ballistic simulation mode in a longitudinal plane, and dividing the drop points into two groups according to the modes of the rising arc section samples and the falling arc section samples.
6. The trial design and Kriging model-based remotely guided rocket projectile drop point prediction system of claim 5, wherein said training module, during operation, is adapted to the correlation function of Kriging model for drop point prediction corresponding to ballistic run-up and run-down segments,
for the drop point prediction corresponding to the arc-rising section, the selected correlation function comprises: a Spline function, a Matern function and a Cubic function;
for the drop point prediction corresponding to the arc-dropping segment, the selected correlation function comprises: a Spline function, a Matern function, a Gauss function, and a Cubic function.
7. The remotely guided rocket launch point prediction system based on experimental design and Kriging model according to claim 6, wherein the value range of the non-negative integer q of the Matern function is 3-5.
8. The trial design and Kriging model-based remotely guided rocket projectile landing point prediction system of claim 1, wherein said system can make accurate and rapid predictions of the remotely guided rocket projectile landing point under any firing conditions.
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