Detailed Description
The following detailed description of embodiments of the invention, but the invention can be practiced in many different ways, as defined and covered by the claims.
Example 1
The embodiment discloses a method for layered and refined prediction of adjacent grid temperature, which comprises the following steps:
determining a calculation grid of the three-dimensional temperature field, calculating temperature data of grid points of each grid in the three-dimensional temperature field based on a meteorological WRF numerical mode, and calculating a vertical temperature reduction rate between adjacent grids in the vertical direction; wherein, the horizontal plane of the grid represents longitude and latitude, and the vertical direction represents altitude;
determining a series of related grids in the vertical direction according to the longitude and latitude of the dancing point to be analyzed, and carrying out homogenization layering on the series of grids, wherein the grid height in the vertical direction is delta z, the layer height in the vertical direction is delta 1, and delta z/delta l is an integer greater than or equal to 2;
calculating the temperature of the ground altitude of the waving point to be analyzed in the vertical direction of the adjacent grid points in the corresponding series of grids according to the ground temperature reduction rate and the related temperature data, and then calculating the temperature of the ground altitude of the waving point to be analyzed by a bilinear interpolation method according to the calculated value of each temperature; meanwhile, according to the vertical temperature reduction rate between any delta z of the associated lattice points, calculating the vertical temperature reduction rate between the same delta z of the waving points to be analyzed by a weighted average method;
and calculating the temperature data of each layer corresponding to the delta 1 according to the temperature of the ground altitude of the dancing point to be analyzed and the vertical temperature reduction rate between the delta z.
As a preferred embodiment of the present embodiment, the calculating the temperature of the ground altitude of the dance point to be analyzed includes:
(1) and determining the ground altitude and the longitude and latitude of the four grid points of the calculation grid, and calculating the temperature of the ground altitude of the four grid points through a three-dimensional temperature field.
(2) Calculating the temperature of the ground altitude of the waving point to be analyzed in the vertical direction of the four lattice points:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,
temperature T representing the ground altitude of the waving point to be analyzed in the vertical direction of the four grid points
(i,j,1,t)、T
(i+1,j,1,t)、T
(i,j+1,1,t)、T
(i+1,j+1,1,t)Temperature, r, representing the ground altitude for four grid points
0Represents the ground temperature decrease rate, H
(i,j)、H
(i+1,j)、H
(i,j+1)、H
(i+1,j+1)Representing the ground elevation of four grid points.
(3) Calculating the temperature of the ground altitude of the dancing point to be analyzed:
in the formula, T
(Q,t)The temperature of the ground altitude representing the point of oscillation to be analyzed,
the temperature of the ground altitude of the dance point to be analyzed corresponding to the vertical direction of the four lattice points is represented, X represents the longitude of the dance point to be analyzed, Y represents the latitude of the dance point to be analyzed, and X
i、X
i+1Longitude, Y, representing two of the four grid points
j、Y
i+1Representing the latitude of two of the four grid points.
Specifically, taking the temperature hierarchical refinement prediction of the waving point to be analyzed of a certain 220kV line in a certain area as an example, confirming that the space range of a calculation grid is T, the resolution of a horizontal grid is 30km, the corresponding longitude and latitude is 0.25 degrees by 0.25 degrees, the vertical resolution is 1km, the corresponding number of horizontal grids is 5 multiplied by 5, the number of vertical grids is 5, marking the waving point to be analyzed as Q, obtaining longitude and latitude coordinates (111.36 degrees E, 29.40 degrees N) of the waving point Q to be analyzed (hereinafter referred to as Q point), and dividing the vertical direction of the Q point into 5 layers according to the vertical resolution of the calculation grid,for example: the height delta z of the adjacent grids in the vertical direction is 1000m, and the height delta 1 of the layer after vertical subdivision is 200 m; the altitude of the point Q is 127m, the horizontal plane coordinates of four grid points of the computational grid are determined to be (111.25 ° E, 29.25 ° N), (111.50 ° E, 29.25 ° N), (111.25 ° E, 29.50 ° N), (111.50 ° E, 29.50 ° N), the corresponding ground points are respectively recorded as a, B, C, and D, and the ground altitudes of the four grid points are respectively recorded as H(i,j),H(i+1,j),H(i,j+1),H(i+1,j+1)Identifying the ground altitude of four grid points as H: (i,j):103m,H(i+1,j):101m,H(i,j+1):255m,H(i+1,j+1):92m。
Calculating the three-dimensional temperature field T of the grid points by taking 20 days of 1 month, 27 months and 2015 as starting time and setting the time length to be 24 hours(i,j,k,t)Wherein i is 1 … 5, j is 1 … 5, k is 1 … 5, t is 24, specifically, the temperatures of the ground altitudes of the four grid points a, B, C and D are calculated to be-0.75 ℃, -0.69 ℃, -1.88 ℃ and-0.61 ℃ based on the weather WRF numerical model, wherein the temperatures of the ground altitudes of the four grid points a, B, C and D corresponding to the point Q are calculated according to the uniform ground temperature direct reduction rate and the temperature data calculated by the three-dimensional temperature field:
that is, the temperatures of the ground altitudes of the four grid points a, B, C and D corresponding to the point Q are: point a is-0.89 ℃, point B is-0.85 ℃, point C is-1.11 ℃ and point D is-0.82 ℃, it should be noted that a ground temperature decrease rate of 0.006 is a natural phenomenon (as a variation, a vertical temperature decrease rate r can be subsequently calculated for each relevant grid point(i,j,k,t)Replacing the value of the middle position closest to the ground instead of uniformly taking the value of 0.006), namely, the altitude is 1000m higher per liter, and the temperature is reduced by 0.006 ℃; then, the temperature of the ground altitude at the point Q is calculated by a bilinear interpolation method:
that is, the temperature of the ground elevation at point Q at 20 days 1, 28, 2015 was-0.93 ℃.
As a preferred embodiment of this embodiment, the calculating the vertical temperature directly decreasing rate of the dancing point to be analyzed includes:
(1) calculating the vertical temperature direct reduction rate between two adjacent grids in the vertical direction of the four grid points:
in the formula, r(i,j,k,t)Represents the vertical temperature direct reduction rate, T, between two adjacent grids in the vertical direction of four grid points(i,j,k,t)And T(i,j,k+1,t)The temperature of two adjacent grids is shown, and the Δ z represents the height difference of the two adjacent grids.
Further, calculating the direct temperature reduction rate r of two grid points adjacent to the four grid points A, B, C and D from bottom to topkThe results are shown in table 1 below (unit ℃/m):
TABLE 1 direct temperature reduction rate r of four grid points from bottom to topk
Lattice points
|
A
|
B
|
C
|
D
|
r1(0-1000m)
|
0.0039
|
0.0037
|
0.0038
|
0.0041
|
r2(1000-2000m)
|
-0.0024
|
-0.0032
|
-0.0026
|
-0.0022
|
r3(2000-3000m)
|
-0.0039
|
-0.0028
|
-0.0047
|
-0.0040
|
r4(3000-4000m)
|
0.0035
|
0.0028
|
0.0047
|
0.0015
|
r5(4000-5000m)
|
0.0020
|
0.0027
|
0.0011
|
0.0043 |
(2) Recording the four grid points as A, B, C, D respectively, recording the dance point to be analyzed as Q, and calculating the weight coefficients between the four grid points and the dance point to be analyzed:
in the formula, alpha
1、α
2、α
3、α
4Respectively representing A, B, C, D weight coefficients between the four grid points and the dance point to be analyzed,
is the distance from point a to point Q,
is the distance from point B to point Q,
is the distance from the point C to the point Q,
and calculating to obtain the weight coefficients between the four grid points A, B, C and D and the point Q as the distance from the point D to the point Q: alpha is alpha
1:0.26,α
2:0.29,α
3:0.21,α
4:0.24。
(3) Calculating the vertical temperature direct reduction rate between two adjacent grids of the waving point to be analyzed:
rQ(k,t)=α1r(i,j,k,t)+α2r(i+1,j,k,t)+α3r(i,j+1,k,t)+α4r(i+1,j+1,k,t);
in the formula, rQ(k,t)Representing the phase of the point of dance to be analyzedDirect rate of decrease of direct temperature, alpha, between two adjacent grids1、α2、α3、α4Respectively representing the weight coefficients r between the four grid points and the dancing points to be analyzed(i,j,k,t)、r(i+1,j,k,t)、r(i,j+1k,t)、r(i+1,j+1,k,t)Respectively showing the vertical temperature reduction rate between two adjacent grids in the vertical direction of the four grid points.
Further, the vertical temperature reduction rate between two adjacent grids at the point Q is calculated by the weight coefficients between the four grids a, B, C and D and the point Q and the vertical temperature reduction rate between two adjacent grids in the vertical direction, and is shown in table 2 below:
TABLE 2 vertical temperature sag rates between two adjacent grids at Q-point
Layer height
|
0-1000m
|
1000-2000m
|
2000-3000m
|
3000-4000m
|
4000-5000m
|
Reduction Rate (. degree. C./m)
|
-0.0039
|
0.0026
|
0.0037
|
-0.0031
|
-0.0026 |
As a preferred embodiment of this embodiment, the calculating the temperature of each layer in the vertical direction of the oscillation point to be analyzed includes:
TQ(k,t,p)=TQ(k,t,p-1)+rQ(k,t)Δl;k=1...h,t=1...L,p=1...Δz/Δl;
in the formula, TQ(k,t,p)Representing the temperature, r, of the layers in the direction perpendicular to the point of oscillation to be analyzedQ(k,t)The vertical temperature direct reduction rate between two adjacent grids of the galloping point to be analyzed is represented, delta l represents the layer height of the galloping point to be analyzed in the vertical direction, delta z/delta l represents the number of grid points between two adjacent layers of the galloping point to be analyzed in the vertical direction, k represents the number of layers, t represents the time, and p represents the p-th grid point.
Specifically, the temperature after Q point layering refinement is calculated according to the temperature of the Q point ground altitude and the vertical temperature reduction rate between two adjacent grids at Q point as shown in table 3 below:
TABLE 3 temperature after Q Point delamination and refinement
It should be noted that, in this embodiment, the dancing point to be analyzed is affected by wind speed and the like to generate self-excited vibration in the vertical direction, and in an actual situation, because the size of the calculation grid is far larger than the length of the ice-covered line, the movement ranges of the dancing point to be analyzed all fall into the same calculation grid, and the situation of crossing the calculation grid does not exist; in addition, when the dance point to be analyzed is located between two grid points in common of two adjacent grids, the grid on the north or west side of the two grids is preferably used as the calculation grid of the dance point to be analyzed based on the geographic position. In addition, when the waving point coincides with a certain grid point, the above formula is still applicable as a special case in a specific calculation process such as bilinear interpolation processing; or, when the position of the dancing point to be analyzed is at the lattice point position of the calculation grid, calculating the temperature of each layer in the vertical direction of the dancing point to be analyzed by the following steps:
(1) and confirming the position of the lattice point where the dancing point to be analyzed is located, and acquiring three-dimensional temperature field data of the series of lattice points in the vertical direction of the lattice point as the three-dimensional temperature field data of the dancing point to be analyzed.
(2) Calculating the vertical temperature direct reduction rate between two adjacent grids of the waving point to be analyzed:
in the formula, rQ(i,j,k,t)Represents the vertical temperature direct reduction rate, T, between two adjacent grids of the waving point to be analyzed(i,j,k,t)And T(i,j,k+1,t)The temperature of two adjacent grids in the vertical direction of the waving point to be analyzed is represented, and the delta z represents the height of the grids in the vertical direction of the waving point to be analyzed.
(3) Calculating the temperature of each layer in the vertical direction of the waving point to be analyzed comprises the following steps:
TQ(k,t,p)=TQ(k,t,p-1)+rQ(i,j,k,t)Δl;k=1...h,t=1...L,p=1...Δz/Δl;
in the formula, TQ(k,t,p)The temperature of each layer in the vertical direction of the waving point to be analyzed is represented, delta l represents the layer height in the vertical direction of the waving point to be analyzed, delta z/delta l represents the number of lattice points between two adjacent layers in the vertical direction of the waving point to be analyzed, rQ(i,j,k,t) The vertical temperature direct reduction rate between two adjacent grids of the waving point to be analyzed is represented, k represents the number of layers, t represents the time, and p represents the p-th grid point.
It is worth mentioning that: the invention carries out refined temperature prediction on each layer above the ground dancing point in the vertical altitude direction, and the temperature prediction is based on that weather data of an upper layer can influence a lower layer, and weather data of rainfall, snowfall and the like of a higher layer can influence the self-excited vibration amplitude, frequency and the like of the analyzed ground dancing point, so that multidimensional reference is provided for the prediction of the dancing.
Example 2
Corresponding to the above method embodiment, this embodiment discloses a system for hierarchical refinement and prediction of adjacent grid temperature, which includes:
the first calculation unit: the calculation grid is used for determining a three-dimensional temperature field, calculating temperature data of grid points of each grid in the three-dimensional temperature field based on a meteorological WRF numerical mode, and calculating a vertical temperature reduction rate between adjacent grids in the vertical direction; the horizontal plane of the grid represents longitude and latitude, and the vertical direction represents altitude.
A second calculation unit: the method is used for determining a series of related grids in the vertical direction according to the longitude and latitude of the dancing point to be analyzed, and carrying out homogenization layering on the series of grids, wherein the height of the grids in the vertical direction is delta z, the height of the layers in the vertical direction is delta 1, and delta z/delta 1 is an integer greater than or equal to 2.
A third calculation unit: the system is used for calculating the temperature of the ground altitude of the waving point to be analyzed in the vertical direction of the adjacent grid points in the corresponding series of grids according to the ground temperature reduction rate and the related temperature data, and then calculating the temperature of the ground altitude of the waving point to be analyzed by a bilinear interpolation method according to the calculated value of each temperature; and meanwhile, calculating the vertical temperature reduction rate between the same delta z of the waving point to be analyzed by a weighted average method according to the vertical temperature reduction rate between any delta z of the associated lattice points.
A fourth calculation unit: and the method is used for calculating the temperature data of each layer corresponding to the delta 1 according to the temperature of the ground altitude of the dancing point to be analyzed and the vertical temperature reduction rate between the delta z.
As a preferred embodiment of this embodiment, the calculating, in the third unit, the temperature of the ground altitude of the dancing point to be analyzed includes:
(1) a first module: the method is used for determining the ground altitude of four grid points of the calculation grid and the longitude and latitude thereof, and calculating the temperature of the ground altitude of the four grid points through the three-dimensional temperature field.
(2) A second module: the temperature used for calculating the ground altitude of the waving point to be analyzed corresponding to the vertical direction of the four lattice points is as follows:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,
temperature T representing the ground altitude of the waving point to be analyzed in the vertical direction of the four grid points
(i,j,1,t)、T
(i+1,j,1,t)、T
(i,j+1,1,t)、T
(i+1,j+1,1,t)Temperature, r, representing the ground altitude for four grid points
0Represents a uniform ground temperature reduction rate, H
(i,j)、H
(i+1,j)、H
(i,j+1)、H
(i+1,j+1)Representing the ground elevation of four grid points.
(3) A third module: temperature for calculating the ground altitude of the point of oscillation to be analyzed:
in the formula, T
(Q,t)The temperature of the ground altitude representing the point of oscillation to be analyzed,
the temperature of the ground altitude of the dance point to be analyzed corresponding to the vertical direction of the four lattice points is represented, X represents the longitude of the dance point to be analyzed, Y represents the latitude of the dance point to be analyzed, and X
i、X
i+1Longitude, Y, representing two of the four grid points
j、Y
j+1Representing the latitude of two of the four grid points.
As a preferred implementation manner of this embodiment, the calculating, in the third unit, the vertical temperature directly decreasing rate of the dancing point to be analyzed includes:
(1) a fourth module: the method is used for calculating the vertical temperature reduction rate between two adjacent grids in the vertical direction of four grid points:
in the formula, r(i,j,k,t)Represents the vertical temperature direct reduction rate, T, between two adjacent grids in the vertical direction of four grid points(i,j,k,t)And T(i,j,k+1,t)The temperature of two adjacent grids is shown, and the Δ z represents the height difference of the two adjacent grids.
(2) A fifth module: the method is used for recording the four grid points as A, B, C, D respectively, recording the dance point to be analyzed as Q, and calculating the weight coefficients between the four grid points and the dance point to be analyzed:
in the formula, alpha
1、α
2、α
3、α
4Respectively representing A, B, C, D weight coefficients between the four grid points and the dance point to be analyzed,
is the distance from point a to point Q,
is the distance from point B to point Q,
is the distance from the point C to the point Q,
the distance from point D to point Q.
(3) A sixth module: the method is used for calculating the vertical temperature direct reduction rate between two adjacent grids of the waving point to be analyzed:
rQ(k,t)=α1r(i,j,k,t)+α2r(i+1,j,k,t)+α3r(i,j+1,k,t)+α4r(i+1,j+1,k,t);
in the formula, rQ(k,t)Represents the direct temperature reduction rate alpha between two adjacent grids of the waving point to be analyzed1、α2、α3、α4Respectively representing the weight coefficients r between the four grid points and the dancing points to be analyzed(i,j,k,t)、r(i+1,j,k,t)、r(i,j+1,k,t)、r(i+1,j+1,k,t)Respectively showing the vertical temperature reduction rate between two adjacent grids in the vertical direction of the four grid points.
As a preferred embodiment of this embodiment, the fourth unit is configured to calculate the temperature of each layer in the vertical direction of the dancing point to be analyzed:
TQ(k,t,p)=TQ(k,t,p-1)+rQ(k,t)Δl;k=1...h,t=1...L,p=1...Δz/Δl;
in the formula, TQ(k,t,p)Representing the temperature, r, of the layers in the direction perpendicular to the point of oscillation to be analyzedQ(k,t)The vertical temperature direct reduction rate between two adjacent grids of the galloping point to be analyzed is represented, delta l represents the layer height of the galloping point to be analyzed in the vertical direction, delta z/delta l represents the number of grid points between two adjacent layers of the galloping point to be analyzed in the vertical direction, k represents the number of layers, t represents the time, and p represents the p-th grid point.
As a preferred embodiment of this embodiment, when the position of the dancing point to be analyzed is at the grid point position of the computational grid, calculating the temperature of each layer in the vertical direction of the dancing point to be analyzed includes:
(1) a seventh module: the method is used for confirming the lattice point position of the dancing point to be analyzed and acquiring the three-dimensional temperature field data of the series of lattice points in the vertical direction of the lattice point as the three-dimensional temperature field data of the dancing point to be analyzed.
(2) An eighth module: the method is used for calculating the vertical temperature direct reduction rate between two adjacent grids of the waving point to be analyzed:
in the formula, rQ(i,j,k,t)Represents the vertical temperature direct reduction rate, T, between two adjacent grids of the waving point to be analyzed(i,j,k,t)And T(i,j,k+1,t)The temperature of two adjacent grids in the vertical direction of the waving point to be analyzed is represented, and the delta z represents the height of the grids in the vertical direction of the waving point to be analyzed.
(3) A ninth module: the method for calculating the temperature of each layer in the vertical direction of the dancing point to be analyzed comprises the following steps:
TQ(k,t,p)=TQ(k,t,p-1)+rQ(i,j,k,t)Δl;k=1...h,t=1...L,p=1...Δz/Δl;
in the formula, TQ(k,t,p)The temperature of each layer in the vertical direction of the waving point to be analyzed is represented, delta l represents the layer height in the vertical direction of the waving point to be analyzed, delta z/delta l represents the number of lattice points between two adjacent layers in the vertical direction of the waving point to be analyzed, rQ(i,j,k,t)The vertical temperature direct reduction rate between two adjacent grids of the waving point to be analyzed is represented, k represents the number of layers, t represents the time, and p represents the p-th grid point.
As described above, the adjacent grid temperature hierarchical refinement prediction method and system provided by the invention determine the associated series grid in the vertical direction according to the longitude and latitude of the dancing point to be analyzed, and carry out homogenization and layering on the series grid, firstly, the temperature of the ground altitude of the dancing point to be analyzed in the vertical direction of the adjacent grid point in the corresponding series grid is calculated according to the ground temperature direct reduction rate and the related temperature data, and then the temperature of the ground altitude of the dancing point to be analyzed is calculated by a bilinear interpolation method according to the calculated value of each temperature; meanwhile, according to the vertical temperature reduction rate between any adjacent grids of the associated grid points, the vertical temperature reduction rate between the adjacent grids corresponding to the galloping point to be analyzed is calculated by a weighted average method; finally, calculating the temperature data of each correspondingly subdivided layer according to the temperature of the ground altitude of the dancing point to be analyzed and the vertical temperature reduction rate between every two adjacent grids; the method and the system consider the physical law of vertical temperature change, greatly improve the vertical temperature resolution of the easy-to-wave point, have high accuracy and wide calculation speed range, and provide powerful scientific support for the fine prediction of the icing wave of the power grid and the guarantee of the safe operation of the power grid.
The above description is only a preferred embodiment of the present invention and is not intended to limit the present invention, and various modifications and changes may be made by those skilled in the art. Any modification, equivalent replacement, or improvement made within the spirit and principle of the present invention should be included in the protection scope of the present invention.