CN104484708B - 一种基于一元线性回归和最小二乘法的商品需求预测方法 - Google Patents
一种基于一元线性回归和最小二乘法的商品需求预测方法 Download PDFInfo
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- CN104484708B CN104484708B CN201410637259.7A CN201410637259A CN104484708B CN 104484708 B CN104484708 B CN 104484708B CN 201410637259 A CN201410637259 A CN 201410637259A CN 104484708 B CN104484708 B CN 104484708B
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- 238000000034 method Methods 0.000 title claims abstract description 22
- 238000012417 linear regression Methods 0.000 title claims abstract description 7
- 101001095088 Homo sapiens Melanoma antigen preferentially expressed in tumors Proteins 0.000 claims description 8
- 102100037020 Melanoma antigen preferentially expressed in tumors Human genes 0.000 claims description 8
- 238000004364 calculation method Methods 0.000 claims description 4
- 238000009499 grossing Methods 0.000 claims description 4
- 241001269238 Data Species 0.000 claims description 3
- 238000011156 evaluation Methods 0.000 claims description 2
- 238000007689 inspection Methods 0.000 claims description 2
- 238000001558 permutation test Methods 0.000 claims description 2
- 239000004575 stone Substances 0.000 claims description 2
- 238000012360 testing method Methods 0.000 claims description 2
- 238000004519 manufacturing process Methods 0.000 abstract 2
- 238000003860 storage Methods 0.000 abstract 1
- 235000013405 beer Nutrition 0.000 description 2
- 238000011161 development Methods 0.000 description 2
- 238000004458 analytical method Methods 0.000 description 1
- 235000019219 chocolate Nutrition 0.000 description 1
- 238000010276 construction Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000010586 diagram Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000000694 effects Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000005516 engineering process Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000008676 import Effects 0.000 description 1
- 206010022000 influenza Diseases 0.000 description 1
- 238000012986 modification Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000004048 modification Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000011017 operating method Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000012545 processing Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000000611 regression analysis Methods 0.000 description 1
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- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
- G06Q10/04—Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem"
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- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q30/00—Commerce
- G06Q30/02—Marketing; Price estimation or determination; Fundraising
- G06Q30/0201—Market modelling; Market analysis; Collecting market data
- G06Q30/0202—Market predictions or forecasting for commercial activities
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Abstract
Description
xi | 1984 | 1985 | 1986 | 1987 | 1988 | 1989 | 1990 | 1991 | 1992 | 1993 |
yi | 8.1 | 13.8 | 23.4 | 25.2 | 31.2 | 42.0 | 42.8 | 52.6 | 54.4 | 60.2 |
xi | 1994 | 1995 | 1996 | 1997 | 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 |
yi | 66.0 | 75.8 | 77.6 | 83.4 | 93.2 | 95.0 | 104.8 | 106.6 | 112.4 | 123.2 |
xi | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |
yi | 123.0 | 133.8 | 135.6 | 145.4 | 147.2 | 157.0 | 162.8 | 164.6 | 170.4 | 176.2 |
年份 | 实际销售额 | 预测销售额 | 预测误差e | 预测精度s |
2009 | 157 | 153.317 | 3.683 | 0.9765 |
2010 | 162.8 | 159.13 | 3.67 | 0.9774 |
2011 | 164.6 | 164.943 | -0.343 | 0.9979 |
2012 | 170.4 | 170.756 | -0.356 | 0.9979 |
2013 | 176.2 | 176.569 | -0.369 | 0.9979 |
Claims (2)
Priority Applications (1)
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CN201410637259.7A CN104484708B (zh) | 2014-11-12 | 2014-11-12 | 一种基于一元线性回归和最小二乘法的商品需求预测方法 |
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CN201410637259.7A CN104484708B (zh) | 2014-11-12 | 2014-11-12 | 一种基于一元线性回归和最小二乘法的商品需求预测方法 |
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CN104484708A CN104484708A (zh) | 2015-04-01 |
CN104484708B true CN104484708B (zh) | 2018-07-13 |
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Families Citing this family (6)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
CN104915734B (zh) * | 2015-06-25 | 2017-03-22 | 深圳市腾讯计算机系统有限公司 | 基于时间序列的商品热度预测方法和系统 |
CN110033292B (zh) * | 2018-01-12 | 2024-05-17 | 北京京东尚科信息技术有限公司 | 信息输出方法和装置 |
CN109360022A (zh) * | 2018-10-15 | 2019-02-19 | 广东工业大学 | 一种基于数据挖掘的商场商品销量预测方法、装置及设备 |
CN113689020A (zh) * | 2020-05-19 | 2021-11-23 | 顺丰科技有限公司 | 业务信息预测方法、装置、计算机设备和存储介质 |
CN114912948B (zh) * | 2022-04-24 | 2023-03-24 | 深圳船奇科技有限公司 | 基于云服务的跨境电商大数据智能处理方法、装置及设备 |
CN115285943A (zh) * | 2022-08-10 | 2022-11-04 | 重庆科技学院 | 一种六氟化硫回收量预测方法 |
Citations (5)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
CN102324034A (zh) * | 2011-05-25 | 2012-01-18 | 北京理工大学 | 基于最小二乘支持向量机在线预测的传感器故障诊断方法 |
CN103258069A (zh) * | 2012-11-30 | 2013-08-21 | 武汉华中电力电网技术有限公司 | 一种钢铁行业电力需求的预测方法 |
CN103617466A (zh) * | 2013-12-13 | 2014-03-05 | 李敬泉 | 一种商品需求预测模型的综合评价方法 |
CN103617458A (zh) * | 2013-12-06 | 2014-03-05 | 李敬泉 | 一种短期商品需求预测方法 |
CN103617548A (zh) * | 2013-12-06 | 2014-03-05 | 李敬泉 | 一种趋势性、周期性商品的中长期需求预测方法 |
Family Cites Families (1)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
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US20030078831A1 (en) * | 2001-10-18 | 2003-04-24 | Dorothea Kuettner | System and method for supply chain modeling |
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Patent Citations (5)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
CN102324034A (zh) * | 2011-05-25 | 2012-01-18 | 北京理工大学 | 基于最小二乘支持向量机在线预测的传感器故障诊断方法 |
CN103258069A (zh) * | 2012-11-30 | 2013-08-21 | 武汉华中电力电网技术有限公司 | 一种钢铁行业电力需求的预测方法 |
CN103617458A (zh) * | 2013-12-06 | 2014-03-05 | 李敬泉 | 一种短期商品需求预测方法 |
CN103617548A (zh) * | 2013-12-06 | 2014-03-05 | 李敬泉 | 一种趋势性、周期性商品的中长期需求预测方法 |
CN103617466A (zh) * | 2013-12-13 | 2014-03-05 | 李敬泉 | 一种商品需求预测模型的综合评价方法 |
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Effective date of registration: 20201103 Address after: River Road, Gulou District of Nanjing city of Jiangsu Province, No. 1 210000 Patentee after: CMST NANJIANG SMART LOGISTICS TECHNOLOGY Co.,Ltd. Address before: No. 163 Qixia Xianlin Avenue District of Nanjing City, Jiangsu province 210046 Patentee before: NANJING University |
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Address after: No. 65 Beixiang Road, Gulou District, Nanjing City, Jiangsu Province, 210037 Patentee after: Zhongchu Zhiyun Technology Co.,Ltd. Country or region after: China Address before: 210000 No.1, he road, Gulou District, Nanjing City, Jiangsu Province Patentee before: CMST NANJIANG SMART LOGISTICS TECHNOLOGY CO.,LTD. Country or region before: China |